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Mapping the Ecology of Risk: 100 Risky Choices of Modern Life. 绘制风险生态:现代生活的100个风险选择。
IF 5.1 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-06 DOI: 10.1177/09567976251384975
Renato Frey, Olivia Fischer

What are the risky choices people face in our complex and fast-changing world? This article reports on a series of population surveys in Switzerland (N = 4,380) that collected those risky choices that are relevant in people's everyday lives. Using this empirical basis, we developed an inventory consisting of 100 unique real-life choices to address open questions regarding the structure, life domains, and stability of the current ecology of risk. Moreover, a follow-up study (N = 933) indicated some degree of generalizability of the construct of risk preference to the newly identified real-life choices. The five key insights that emerged from our analyses may be useful for researchers studying decision-making under risk and uncertainty (e.g., what criteria to use when developing novel measurement instruments) and policymaking in applied settings (e.g., addressing how swiftly the risks of modern life change).

在这个复杂而快速变化的世界里,人们面临着哪些有风险的选择?这篇文章报道了瑞士的一系列人口调查(N = 4,380),这些调查收集了与人们日常生活相关的风险选择。利用这一经验基础,我们开发了一个由100个独特的现实生活选择组成的清单,以解决有关结构、生命领域和当前风险生态稳定性的开放性问题。此外,一项后续研究(N = 933)表明,风险偏好结构对新确定的现实生活选择具有一定程度的普遍性。从我们的分析中得出的五个关键见解可能对研究风险和不确定性下的决策(例如,在开发新的测量工具时使用什么标准)和应用环境中的政策制定(例如,解决现代生活的风险变化有多快)的研究人员有用。
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引用次数: 0
Commentary on Eskreis-Winkler and Fishbach (2019): A Tendency to Answer Consistently Can Generate Apparent Failures to Learn From Failure. 对Eskreis-Winkler和Fishbach(2019)的评论:持续回答的倾向会产生明显的失败,从而从失败中吸取教训。
IF 5.1 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-21 DOI: 10.1177/09567976251333666
Stephen A Spiller

Recent research suggests that failure undermines learning: People learn less from failure (vs. success) because failure is ego-threatening and causes people to tune out. I argue that the core paradigm (the Script Task) provides a confounded test of that claim. When people do not learn from test feedback, they may give internally consistent answers on a subsequent test. The Script Task's scoring guidelines mark consistent answers as correct following success but incorrect following failure. As a result, differences in performance between conditions may result from equivalent learning combined with consistent responding when people do not learn. A descriptive mathematical model shows that lower performance alone is insufficient to conclude that people learn less. An experiment with U.S. Amazon Mechanical Turk workers demonstrates that a retroactive manipulation without feedback replicates the effect. Because the effect of failure on performance is confounded with consistency, the Script Task is not diagnostic regarding whether people learn less from failure unless consistency is ruled out.

最近的研究表明,失败会破坏学习:人们从失败中学到的东西更少(与成功相比),因为失败会威胁到自我,导致人们对失败视而不见。我认为核心范例(脚本任务)提供了对这种说法的混淆测试。当人们没有从测试反馈中学习时,他们可能会在随后的测试中给出内部一致的答案。脚本任务的评分准则将一致的答案标记为成功后正确,失败后错误。因此,不同条件下的表现差异可能是由于同等学习加上人们不学习时的一致反应。一个描述性的数学模型表明,仅仅表现较差不足以得出人们学得较少的结论。一项针对美国亚马逊土耳其机器人工人的实验表明,没有反馈的追溯操作可以复制这种效果。因为失败对绩效的影响与一致性相混淆,所以除非一致性被排除,否则脚本任务不能诊断人们是否从失败中学到了更少的东西。
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引用次数: 0
One Action, Two Reference Frames: Compound Cognitive Maps of Object Location. 一个动作,两个参考框架:物体定位的复合认知地图。
IF 5.1 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-06 DOI: 10.1177/09567976251391172
Benjamin Pitt

To navigate complex physical environments, animals keep track of the spatial relations among objects using various reference frames, both body-based (e.g., left/right) and environment-based (e.g., east/west), but how these spatial representations interact remains unresolved. Whereas neuroscientific findings show habitual integration across reference frames, psycholinguistic accounts suggest humans use one reference frame at a time, as in speech. This article examines whether people spontaneously use two reference frames in the same action. When placing a single object in a two-dimensional array, adult participants (N = 110) routinely used an environment-based frame to determine the object's left-right position while using a body-based frame to determine its front-back position at the same time. Such hybrid responses were prevalent among both Indigenous Tsimane' and educated U.S. participants, suggesting that people across cultures habitually construct compound cognitive maps to represent the multidimensional spatial relations that compose natural settings.

为了在复杂的物理环境中导航,动物使用各种参考框架来跟踪物体之间的空间关系,包括基于身体的(例如,左/右)和基于环境的(例如,东/西),但这些空间表征如何相互作用仍未解决。尽管神经科学的研究结果表明,人们习惯跨参照系进行整合,但心理语言学的研究表明,人类一次只使用一种参照系,就像说话一样。这篇文章探讨了人们是否会自发地在同一个动作中使用两个参考框架。当在二维数组中放置单个物体时,成年参与者(N = 110)通常使用基于环境的框架来确定物体的左右位置,同时使用基于身体的框架来确定物体的前后位置。这种混合的反应在提斯曼原住民和受过教育的美国参与者中都很普遍,这表明不同文化的人习惯性地构建复合认知地图来代表构成自然环境的多维空间关系。
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引用次数: 0
Invariant Recognition Memory Spaces for Real-World Objects Revealed With Signal-Detection Analysis. 用信号检测分析揭示现实世界对象的不变识别记忆空间。
IF 5.1 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-23 DOI: 10.1177/09567976251384640
Igor Utochkin, Daniil Azarov, Daniil Grigorev

Recognition memory refers to the process of distinguishing between previously experienced and novel events. Apart from the objective quality of stored memories, recognition depends on the retrieval context produced by all items (foils) presented together with actually memorized targets and causing confusion. Memory models often conceptualize target-foil confusability via distances in psychological spaces where greater confusability originates from shorter interitem distances. We tested whether recognition spaces change when other foils are added to the retrieval context or when target memory strength is changed (N = 1,311 adults). Using signal-detection modeling, we found that separately measured distances, d 's, from each foil to the target provide a good linear prediction of those distances for all foils being presented together against that target. Those predictions stay accurate even when the absolute distances are scaled up or down because of a change in memory strength. This suggests strong metric invariance of spaces used for recognition decisions under variable retrieval contexts.

识别记忆是指区分以前经历过的事件和新的事件的过程。除了存储记忆的客观质量外,识别还取决于所有项目(箔)与实际记忆的目标一起呈现并引起混淆所产生的检索上下文。记忆模型通常通过心理空间中的距离来概念化目标箔的混淆性,而更大的混淆性源于更短的项目间距离。我们测试了当在检索环境中添加其他箔或当目标记忆强度改变时,识别空间是否会改变(N = 1,311名成人)。使用信号检测模型,我们发现从每个箔片到目标的单独测量距离d 's为所有箔片一起针对目标呈现的距离提供了良好的线性预测。即使绝对距离因为记忆强度的变化而放大或缩小,这些预测仍然准确。这表明在变量检索环境下用于识别决策的空间具有很强的度量不变性。
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引用次数: 0
Assortative Mating Is a Natural Consequence of Heritable Variation in Preferences and Preferred Traits. 选择性交配是偏好和偏好特征遗传变异的自然结果。
IF 5.1 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-04 DOI: 10.1177/09567976251365900
Kaitlyn T Harper, Brendan P Zietsch

Assortative mating-the tendency to choose partners similar to oneself-is a ubiquitous phenomenon in mate choice. Despite numerous proposed explanations, a parsimonious mechanism has been overlooked: When individuals choose mates on the basis of heritable traits and preferences, offspring inherit a trait and the corresponding preference from each parent, creating genetic correlations that link having a trait to preferring that same trait. We evaluated this mechanism with an agent-based model simulating 100 generations in which agents, with traits and preferences each uniquely determined by 40 loci, chose reproductive partners based on preferences. Genetic correlations formed between preferences and preferred traits, as well as between partner traits (i.e., assortative mating), demonstrating that heritable variation in preferences and preferred traits is sufficient to drive assortative mating. We presented a toy model here, so we cannot speak to the robustness of such genetic correlations or to the relative explanatory power of this mechanism over others.

选择性交配——选择与自己相似的伴侣的倾向——是择偶过程中普遍存在的现象。尽管提出了许多解释,但一个简约的机制被忽视了:当个体根据可遗传的特征和偏好选择配偶时,后代会从父母双方那里继承一种特征和相应的偏好,从而产生遗传相关性,将拥有一种特征与偏好同一种特征联系起来。我们用一个基于agent的模型来评估这一机制,该模型模拟了100代,其中每个agent的性状和偏好都由40个位点唯一决定,它们根据偏好选择生殖伴侣。偏好和偏好特征之间以及伴侣特征(即,选型交配)之间形成了遗传相关性,表明偏好和偏好特征的遗传变异足以驱动选型交配。我们在这里提出了一个玩具模型,所以我们不能说这种遗传相关性的稳健性,也不能说这种机制相对于其他机制的解释力。
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引用次数: 0
Pseudo Effects: How Method Biases Can Produce Spurious Findings About Close Relationships. 伪效应:方法偏差如何产生关于亲密关系的虚假发现。
IF 5.1 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1177/09567976251370262
Samantha Joel, John K Sakaluk, James J Kim, Devinder Khera, Helena Yuchen Qin, Sarah C E Stanton

Research on interpersonal relationships frequently relies on accurate self-reporting across various relationship facets (e.g., conflict, trust, appreciation). Yet shared method biases-which may greatly inflate associations between measures-are rarely accounted for during measurement validation or hypothesis testing. To examine how method biases can affect relationship research, we embarked on the ironic exploration of a new construct-Pseudo-comprised of irrelevant relationship evaluations (e.g., "My relationship has very good Saturn"). Pseudo was moderately associated with common relationship measures (e.g., satisfaction, commitment) and predicted those measures 3 weeks later. Results of a dyadic longitudinal study suggested that Pseudo taps into method biases, particularly sentiment override (i.e., people's tendency to project their global relationship sentiments onto every relationship evaluation). We conclude that psychometric standards must be sufficiently rigorous to distinguish genuine constructs and associations from methodological artifacts that can otherwise pose a serious validity threat.

人际关系的研究经常依赖于对各种关系方面(如冲突、信任、欣赏)的准确自我报告。然而,在测量验证或假设检验期间,共享方法偏差(可能大大夸大测量之间的关联)很少被考虑在内。为了检验方法偏差如何影响关系研究,我们开始了一种新的结构的讽刺探索——由不相关的关系评估组成的伪(例如,“我的关系有很好的土星”)。Pseudo与常见的关系测量(例如,满意度,承诺)有中度相关性,并预测了3周后的这些测量。一项二元纵向研究的结果表明,Pseudo利用了方法偏差,特别是情绪凌驾(即,人们倾向于将他们的整体关系情绪投射到每一种关系评估上)。我们的结论是,心理测量标准必须足够严格,以区分真正的构念和关联与方法学上的人为因素,否则可能构成严重的有效性威胁。
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引用次数: 0
Sexual Identity Development Milestones, Latent Profiles, and Proximal Minority Stressors in Australia's Generation Z. 澳大利亚Z世代的性认同发展里程碑、潜在概况和近端少数民族压力源。
IF 5.1 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1177/09567976251372130
William Warton, Michelle L Byrne, Kelly-Ann Allen

This study examined the sequence and timing of sexual identity development (SID) milestones among Generation Z LGBTQ+ Australians, focusing on variations across subgroups and their relationship with minority stressors. The study included 490 Australian LGBTQ+ individuals aged 16 to 26, predominantly White (n = 389) and assigned female at birth (n = 402), with a balanced distribution between cisgender and gender-diverse participants. Demographic differences in the timing and achievement of SID milestones were found for sexual and gender identity. Latent profile analysis identified four distinct profiles, highlighting identity-centered and sex-centered sequences. Differences in rejection sensitivity, emotion dysregulation, and self-acceptance of sexual identity were noted across these profiles, but not for internalized homonegativity. Our findings indicate that SID trajectories do not strictly conform to discrete sexual or gender identity categories. The cross-sectional design limits causality inference, and findings are not generalizable to all LGBTQ+ young people or Generation Z more broadly.

本研究考察了Z世代LGBTQ+澳大利亚人性别认同发展(SID)里程碑的顺序和时间,重点研究了不同亚群体之间的差异及其与少数族裔压力源的关系。该研究包括490名16至26岁的澳大利亚LGBTQ+个体,主要是白人(n = 389),出生时被分配为女性(n = 402),在顺性别和性别多样化的参与者之间分布平衡。性别和性别认同在SID里程碑的时间和实现上存在人口统计学差异。潜在剖面分析发现了四种不同的剖面,突出了以身份为中心和以性别为中心的序列。在拒绝敏感性、情绪失调和性别认同的自我接受方面的差异在这些档案中被注意到,但在内化的同性恋否定性方面没有。我们的研究结果表明,SID轨迹并不严格符合离散的性或性别认同类别。横断面设计限制了因果关系推断,研究结果并不能推广到所有LGBTQ+年轻人或更广泛的Z世代。
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引用次数: 0
Are There Really People With No Inner Voice? Commentary on Nedergaard and Lupyan (2024). 真的有没有内心声音的人吗?尼德高与卢普扬评注(2024)。
IF 5.1 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-27 DOI: 10.1177/09567976251335583
Andreas Lind

The idea that some people completely lack inner speech is of both scientific and popular interest. In a recent study, Nedergaard and Lupyan compared self-reporting high and low inner-speech-prevalence groups and found that participants in the low-prevalence group performed worse on a verbal working memory test and responded more slowly and less accurately during rhyme judgments. These results represent an original contribution to the study of inner speech. However, the authors go on to draw the unfounded conclusion that their findings, together with previous empirical and anecdotal data, show that some people have no inner speech at all. They have coined the term anendophasia for this trait. This commentary examines Nedergaard and Lupyan's claim of demonstrated anendophasia; I conclude they present no compelling evidence that some individuals lack inner speech.

有些人完全缺乏内心语言的观点既引起了科学界的兴趣,也引起了大众的兴趣。在最近的一项研究中,Nedergaard和Lupyan比较了自我报告的内部语言患病率高和低的组,发现低患病率组的参与者在口头工作记忆测试中表现更差,在押韵判断中反应更慢,更不准确。这些结果代表了内在言语研究的原创性贡献。然而,作者接着得出了一个毫无根据的结论,即他们的发现,连同之前的经验和轶事数据,表明有些人根本没有内心语言。他们为这一特征创造了一个术语“无内食性”。这篇评注考察了尼德加德和卢普扬关于论证性无内性缺失的主张;我的结论是,他们没有提出令人信服的证据来证明一些人缺乏内心语言。
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引用次数: 0
Reward Association With Mental States Shapes Empathy and Prosocial Behavior. 奖励与心理状态的关联影响移情和亲社会行为。
IF 5.1 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-29 DOI: 10.1177/09567976251351304
Yi Zhang, Leor Hackel

Valuing the welfare of others is a fundamental aspect of empathy and prosocial behavior. How do people develop this valuation? Theories of associative learning suggest that people can associate social cues, such as smiles, with personal reward, thus feeling good when others thrive. Yet people often display generalized concern for others' welfare, regardless of the specific cues present. We propose that Pavlovian conditioning allows people to associate reward directly with others' abstract mental states, learning that another's happiness predicts their own reward. In four online experiments with 1,500 U.S.-based adults recruited from CloudResearch, participants' monetary outcomes were congruently or incongruently predicted by a target's mental states. Participants who experienced congruent learning reported more empathic feelings toward the target in novel situations. The values attached to mental states further influenced participants' prosocial choices. These results demonstrate how associative learning of abstract mental states can give rise to generalizable empathy and influence moral behavior.

重视他人的福利是同理心和亲社会行为的一个基本方面。人们是如何形成这种估值的?联想学习理论认为,人们可以将微笑等社交暗示与个人奖励联系起来,因此当别人成功时,他们会感觉良好。然而,人们经常表现出对他人福利的普遍关心,而不顾具体的暗示。我们提出,巴甫洛夫条件反射允许人们将奖励直接与他人的抽象心理状态联系起来,了解到他人的快乐预示着他们自己的奖励。在从CloudResearch招募的1500名美国成年人的四项在线实验中,参与者的货币结果与目标的精神状态一致或不一致。经历过一致性学习的参与者在新情境中对目标表现出更多的共情感受。附加于心理状态的价值观进一步影响了参与者的亲社会选择。这些结果证明了抽象心理状态的联想学习如何产生归纳共情并影响道德行为。
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引用次数: 0
Overconfidence Persists Despite Years of Accurate, Precise, Public, and Continuous Feedback: Two Studies of Tournament Chess Players. 尽管有多年准确、精确、公开和持续的反馈,过度自信仍然存在:对国际象棋锦标赛选手的两项研究。
IF 5.1 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-13 DOI: 10.1177/09567976251360747
Patrick R Heck, Daniel J Benjamin, Daniel J Simons, Christopher F Chabris

Overconfidence is thought to be a fundamental cognitive bias, but it is typically studied in environments where people lack accurate information about their abilities. We conducted a preregistered survey experiment and replication to learn whether overconfidence persists among tournament chess players who receive objective, precise, and public feedback about their skill. Our combined sample comprised 3,388 rated players aged 5 to 88 years from 22 countries with an average of 18.8 years of tournament experience. On average, participants asserted that their ability was 89 Elo rating points higher than their observed ratings indicated-expecting to outscore an equally rated opponent by nearly 2 to 1. One year later, only 11.3% of overconfident players achieved their asserted ability rating. Low-rated players overestimated their skill the most, and top-rated players were calibrated. Patterns consistent with overconfidence emerged in every sociodemographic subgroup we studied. We conclude that overconfidence persists in tournament chess, a real-world information environment that should be inhospitable to it.

过度自信被认为是一种基本的认知偏见,但它通常是在人们缺乏对自己能力的准确信息的环境中研究的。我们进行了一项预先注册的调查实验和复制,以了解在获得客观、精确和公众对其技能的反馈的国际象棋锦标赛选手中是否存在过度自信。我们的综合样本包括来自22个国家的3388名年龄在5到88岁之间的球员,他们平均有18.8年的比赛经验。平均而言,参与者声称他们的能力比他们观察到的评分高出89个Elo评分点——期望以接近2比1的分数超过同样评分的对手。一年后,只有11.3%的过度自信的玩家达到了他们所宣称的能力等级。得分低的玩家最容易高估自己的技能,而得分高的玩家则是经过校准的。与过度自信相一致的模式出现在我们研究的每个社会人口亚组中。我们得出的结论是,在国际象棋锦标赛中,过度自信仍然存在,这是一个不适合过度自信的现实信息环境。
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引用次数: 0
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Psychological Science
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