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Reliability of Moment Tensor Inversion for Different Seismic Networks 不同地震网络的力矩张量反演可靠性
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03570-5
Anna Tymińska, Grzegorz Lizurek

The article investigates the reliability of moment tensor (MT) inversion in time domain with use of first P-wave amplitude, a method used to determine the source mechanisms of earthquakes, across four different seismic networks. The study compares the synthetic tests results of MT inversion for two underground mining and two artificial reservoir monitoring seismic networks. The analysis was performed to assesses how consistency and accuracy of the results depend on different factors like: network configuration, events depth, velocity model, focal mechanism of event and applied noise. The findings highlight the impact of network configuration compared to other variables and data quality on the reliability of moment tensor inversion and provide insights into different factors which have to be considered to enhance MT accuracy. The significance of events depth in P-wave amplitude MT inversion and the necessity to consider velocity model influence, especially presence of high velocity gradient, is highlighted by the presented results.

文章研究了利用第一 P 波振幅进行时域矩张量(MT)反演的可靠性,这种方法用于确定四个不同地震台网的震源机制。研究比较了两个地下采矿和两个人工水库监测地震网络的矩张量反演合成测试结果。分析旨在评估结果的一致性和准确性如何取决于不同的因素,如:网络配置、事件深度、速度模型、事件的焦点机制和应用噪声。研究结果强调了与其他变量和数据质量相比,网络配置对矩形张量反演可靠性的影响,并深入分析了提高矩形张量反演准确性必须考虑的不同因素。研究结果凸显了事件深度在 P 波振幅 MT 反演中的重要性,以及考虑速度模型影响的必要性,尤其是高速梯度的存在。
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引用次数: 0
On the Monitoring of Small Islands Belonging to the Aeolian Archipelago by MT-InSAR Data 利用 MT-InSAR 数据监测属于伊奥利亚群岛的小岛屿
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-09-10 DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03568-z
Marco Polcari, Mimmo Palano, Silvia Puliero, Francesca Silverii, Claudia Spinetti, Cristiano Tolomei

The aim of the present work is to evaluate the performance of several MT-InSAR techniques based on satellite SAR data in monitoring ground deformation phenomena affecting complex scenarios such as small islands of volcanic origin. To such purpose, PS, SBAS and IPTA approaches are applied in the study of Lipari, Salina and Vulcano islands belonging to the Aeolian archipelago, southern Tyrrhenian Sea, Italy. The outcomes retrieved from each technique are then discussed in terms of intrinsic features, spatial coverage, linear trend and coherence. Moreover, the accuracy of PS, SBAS and IPTA results are evaluated by comparison with in-situ measurements from the GNSS network managed by INGV-OE and private operators considering different metrics. Experimental results show that in this case there is no preferred MT-InSAR technique in an absolute way but each of them has strengths and drawbacks that have to be taken into account in the monitoring of complex scenarios.

本研究的目的是评估基于卫星合成孔径雷达数据的几种 MT-InSAR 技术在监测影响火山源小岛等复杂场景的地面变形现象方面的性能。为此,在研究意大利第勒尼安海南部伊奥利亚群岛的利帕里岛、萨利纳岛和武尔卡诺岛时,采用了 PS、SBAS 和 IPTA 方法。然后从固有特征、空间覆盖范围、线性趋势和一致性等方面讨论了每种技术的结果。此外,还将 PS、SBAS 和 IPTA 的结果与 INGV-OE 和私人运营商管理的 GNSS 网络的现场测量结果进行了比较,并考虑了不同的指标,对其准确性进行了评估。实验结果表明,在这种情况下,没有绝对的 MT-InSAR 技术可供选择,但每种技术都有其优点和缺点,在监测复杂情况时必须加以考虑。
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引用次数: 0
Stochastic Approach to the Evolution of the Global Water Cycle: Results of Historical Experiments on the CMIP-6 Models 全球水循环演变的随机方法:CMIP-6 模型的历史实验结果
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-09-09 DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03567-0
Serguei G. Dobrovolski, Vladislav P. Yushkov, Irina V. Solomonova

Changes in the integral characteristics of the global water exchange, at climatic time scales, are considered as random functions (processes). “Trajectories” obtained as the results of numerical calculations on various, from 34 to 43, climate models (participating at the CMIP-6 “historical” experiment covering the period from 1850 through 2014) are taken as realizations of these processes. Temporal variations of following annually averaged parameters are studied: (1) average evaporation from the ocean surface, (2) precipitation over the ocean, (3) “effective evaporation” from the ocean (difference “evaporation minus precipitation”, on average equal to the water transport from the ocean to land), (4) precipitation over land, (5) evaporation (evapotranspiration) from the land surface, (6) “effective precipitation” over land (or “climatic runoff”: precipitation minus evaporation), and (7) river runoff. It is shown that precipitation over the ocean and evaporation from land largely suppress the monotonous trends in the mean values of evaporation from the ocean and precipitation over land, respectively, at secular time scales. At the same time, this damping does not extend to the trends of the last few decades, which may be due to a combination of a sharp increase in global temperature with explosive volcanic eruptions that preceded this period. An analysis of the time divergence in the model trajectories of each of the components of the global water exchange, as well as the very existence of such divergences, indicates an increase in the uncertainty of processes that is not associated with anthropogenic impact on the climate system.

在气候时间尺度上,全球水交换整体特征的变化被视为随机函数(过程)。从 34 到 43 个不同气候模型(参加了 CMIP-6 "历史 "实验,时间跨度从 1850 年到 2014 年)的数值计算结果得出的 "轨迹 "被视为这些过程的现实化。研究了以下年平均参数的时间变化:(1) 海洋表面平均蒸发量,(2) 海洋降水量,(3) 海洋 "有效蒸发量"("蒸发量减去降水量 "的差值,平均等于从海洋到陆地的水输送量),(4) 陆地降水量,(5) 陆地表面蒸发量(蒸散),(6) 陆地 "有效降水量"(或 "气候径流":降水量减去蒸发量),以及 (7) 河流径流。研究表明,海洋降水量和陆地蒸发量在很大程度上分别抑制了海洋蒸发量和陆地降水量平均值在世俗时间尺度上的单调趋势。同时,这种抑制作用并没有延伸到过去几十年的趋势,这可能是由于在这一时期之前全球气温急剧上升和火山爆发共同造成的。对全球水交换各组成部分的模型轨迹的时间差异以及这种差异的存在本身进行分析,表明过程不确定性的增加与人类活动对气候系统的影响无关。
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引用次数: 0
Basin Style Variation Along a Transform Fault: Southern Colorado River Delta, Baja California, México 变形断层沿线的盆地风格变化:墨西哥下加利福尼亚州南科罗拉多河三角洲
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-09-08 DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03561-6
Mario González-Escobar, Carlos Simón Reyes-Martínez, Cristian A. Gallegos-Castillo, Sergio M. Arregui-Ojeda, Edgar A. Mastache-Román

The Colorado River Delta is an example of a transtensional plate boundary defined by a series of en-echelon faults along the Gulf of California. Near the gulf’s mouth, the southern segment of the Cerro Prieto transform Fault (CPF) and the listric Pangas Viejas Fault (PVF) outline Montague Basin (MB), which contrasts with the pull-apart basins along the gulf’s axis. In this context, we present a series of seismic reflection profiles and known observations to illustrate the MB subsurface architecture. The imaging findings reveal concentrated deformation within the CPF and PVF regions, which exhibit a high density of faults perpendicular to the major faults. The imaging findings reveal concentrated deformation within the CPF and PVF regions, which exhibit a high density of faults perpendicular to the major faults. At the same time, in the central part of the basin, the seismoreflectors appear largely unaltered and only slightly tilted. The MB covers an area of approximately 250 km2, with a length of around 90 km and a width of 30 km between the CPF to the east and the PVF to the west. Based on the data resolution, the basin's depth is believed to be over 5 km. The acoustic basement appears only on the west side of the basin, around 4 km deep. Other important observations include the Yurimori Fault running parallel to the PVF showing significant deformation at the basement level, as well as the Ometepec and La Salina Faults in the southwest oblique to the CPF, which could be the structural link with the Wagner Basin in the Gulf of California. Historical seismicity and one particular seismic profile indicate that deformation in the Indiviso fault occurred before the El Mayor-Cucapah earthquake (2010, Mw 7.2). Although the connection with the gulf’s basins is uncertain, a slight gravimetric high striking NE is observed; this is interpreted as a strike-slip zone, suggesting that the MB could become an overlap gap between marine and terrestrial basins. Our findings provide various controls for fault linkage in a transtensional setting in which continental and oceanic basins interact.

科罗拉多河三角洲是由加利福尼亚湾沿岸一系列 "en-echelon "断层界定的板块交错边界的一个实例。在海湾入海口附近,Cerro Prieto 转换断层(CPF)南段和 Pangas Viejas 排状断层(PVF)勾勒出蒙塔古盆地(MB),与海湾轴线上的拉开盆地形成鲜明对比。在此背景下,我们展示了一系列地震反射剖面和已知观测数据,以说明蒙塔古盆地的地下结构。成像结果显示,CPF 和 PVF 区域内的变形集中,与主断层垂直的断层密度很高。成像结果显示,变形集中在 CPF 和 PVF 区域,这些区域的断层密度很高,与主断层垂直。与此同时,在盆地的中部,地震反射体似乎基本未发生变化,只是略有倾斜。MB 的面积约为 250 平方公里,在 CPF 以东和 PVF 以西之间的长度约为 90 公里,宽度为 30 公里。根据数据分辨率,认为盆地深度超过 5 公里。声基底仅出现在盆地西侧,深约 4 公里。其他重要观测结果包括:与 PVF 平行的 Yurimori 断层显示出基底层的显著变形,以及与 CPF 斜向西南的 Ometepec 和 La Salina 断层,它们可能是与加利福尼亚湾瓦格纳盆地的结构联系。历史地震和一个特殊的地震剖面显示,Indiviso 断层的变形发生在 El Mayor-Cucapah 地震(2010 年,Mw 7.2)之前。虽然与海湾盆地的联系尚不确定,但观察到一个向东北方向的轻微重力高点;这被解释为一个走向滑动带,表明 MB 可能成为海洋盆地和陆地盆地之间的重叠缺口。我们的研究结果为大陆盆地和大洋盆地相互作用的横断环境中的断层联系提供了各种控制。
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引用次数: 0
PNN Enhanced Seismic Inversion for Porosity Modeling and Delineating the Potential Heterogeneous Gas Sands via Comparative Inversion Analysis in the Lower Indus Basin 通过比较反演分析在下印度河盆地进行 PNN 增强地震反演以建立孔隙度模型并划分潜在的异质气砂
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03562-5
Urooj Shakir, Aamir Ali, Muyyassar Hussain, Ahmed E. Radwan, Ahmed Abd El Aal

Seismic inversion has been in use for the last two decades to measure inverted impedances using an integrated data set approach. This research focuses on the application of multi-attribute seismic inversion and the geostatistical probabilistic neural network (PNN) approach for determining rock properties and litho-fluid classification in the Mehar-Mazarani Field of the Lower Indus Basin (LIB), Pakistan. The study compares five different inversion techniques, including model-based inversion (MBI), colored inversion (CI), linear sparse spike inversion (LSSI), band-limited inversion (BLI), and maximum likelihood sparse spike inversion (MLSSI). The inverted outputs, such as acoustic P-impedance (Zp), density (ρ), porosity (φ), and shale volume (Vsh), were analyzed in Paleocene and Cretaceous geological complex reservoirs to identify gas-bearing zones. The results indicated the existence of gas between 1630 and 1700 ms (ms) and corresponding depth ranges from approximately 3200 m up to 4200 m with varying thickness. Amongst the inversion techniques, MBI demonstrated greater accuracy, with inverted density volumes showing a strong correlation coefficient of 0.98 and the lowest root mean square error (RMSE) and relative error of 0.10 m/s * g/cc. A geostatistical PNN approach was employed to estimate variations in Vsh and φ within the sand reservoir. MBI again yielded more reliable results, with a strong correlation between the measured and inverted attributes. High φ and low Vsh were observed in predetermined low-impedance zones. Overall, MBI is proven to be the most accurate and reliable technique, providing clear identification of the gas occurrence. This research highlights the effectiveness of seismic inversion, particularly the application of MBI, in determining rock properties and identifying gas-bearing zones within the Mehar-Mazarani gas field.

过去二十年来,地震反演一直采用综合数据集方法测量反演阻抗。本研究侧重于多属性地震反演和地质统计概率神经网络(PNN)方法的应用,以确定巴基斯坦下印度河盆地(LIB)Mehar-Mazarani 油田的岩石属性和岩流分类。研究比较了五种不同的反演技术,包括基于模型的反演(MBI)、彩色反演(CI)、线性稀疏尖峰反演(LSSI)、带限反演(BLI)和最大似然稀疏尖峰反演(MLSSI)。在古新世和白垩纪地质复合储层中分析了声学 P 阻抗(Zp)、密度(ρ)、孔隙度(φ)和页岩体积(Vsh)等反演输出结果,以确定含气区。结果表明,在 1630 至 1700 毫秒(ms)之间存在天然气,相应的深度范围从大约 3200 米到 4200 米,厚度各不相同。在各种反演技术中,MBI 显示出更高的精确度,反演的密度体积显示出 0.98 的强相关系数和最低的均方根误差(RMSE),相对误差为 0.10 m/s * g/cc。采用地质统计 PNN 方法估算了砂储层内 Vsh 和 φ 的变化。MBI 再次得出了更可靠的结果,测量和反演属性之间具有很强的相关性。在预定的低阻抗区观察到高φ和低 Vsh。总体而言,MBI 被证明是最准确、最可靠的技术,能够清晰地识别天然气层。这项研究强调了地震反演,特别是 MBI 的应用,在确定 Mehar-Mazarani 气田的岩石属性和识别含气区方面的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
A Multisynchrosqueezing-Based S-Transform for Time-Frequency Analysis of Seismic Data 基于多同步挤压的 S 变换用于地震数据时频分析
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03566-1
Wei Liu, Zhixing Zhai, Zhou Fang

Time-frequency analysis (TFA) technique has a powerful capacity to characterize non-stationary signals. In this paper, a highly energy concentrated TFA method, called multisynchrosqueezing-based S-transform (MSSBST), is proposed for the analysis of seismic data. Herein, we combine S-transform (ST) and multisynchrosqueezing framework by making full use of an iterative reassignment procedure to concentrate time-frequency energy in a stepwise manner. Furthermore, we derive a series of formulas about MSSBST and its inverse transform, which means that the MSSBST allows for signal reconstruction from its time-frequency representation (TFR). The numerical analysis shows that the proposed method not only can effectively enhance the time-frequency energy concentration but also can offer better performance in characterizing non-stationary signals compared with the short-time Fourier transform (STFT), ST and synchrosqueezing S-transform (SSST). Field examples further demonstrate its potential in depicting spectral anomalies related to hydrocarbon reservoir, thus, facilitating seismic interpretation.

时频分析(TFA)技术具有描述非稳态信号特征的强大能力。本文提出了一种能量高度集中的时频分析方法,即基于多同步阙值的 S 变换(MSSBST),用于分析地震数据。在本文中,我们结合了 S 变换(ST)和多同步挤压框架,充分利用迭代重分配程序,逐步集中时频能量。此外,我们还推导出一系列有关 MSSBST 及其逆变换的公式,这意味着 MSSBST 可以从其时频表示(TFR)中重建信号。数值分析表明,与短时傅里叶变换(STFT)、同步傅里叶变换(ST)和同步 S 变换(SSST)相比,所提出的方法不仅能有效提高时频能量集中度,而且在表征非稳态信号方面具有更好的性能。现场实例进一步证明了它在描述与油气储层相关的频谱异常方面的潜力,从而为地震解释提供了便利。
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引用次数: 0
Continuous Gravity Observations at Campi Flegrei Caldera: An Accurate Assessment of Tidal and Non-Tidal Signals and Implications for Volcano Monitoring 坎皮弗莱格雷火山口的连续重力观测:潮汐和非潮汐信号的精确评估及其对火山监测的影响
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03555-4
U. Riccardi, T. Pivetta, A. Fedele, G. Ricciardi, S. Carlino

We present the results of nearly one year of gravity recording acquired at the active caldera of Campi Flegrei (CFc). CFc is one of the three active volcanoes in the Neapolitan area (southern Italy) and is currently the most active one. In fact, the CFc is undergoing a period of unrest characterised by slow uplift of the ground, a peculiar phenomenon known worldwide as bradyseism, accompanied by seismicity and intense fumarolic emissions. Due to the increased intensity of the volcano dynamics, a permanent gravity station equipped with a gPhoneX spring gravimeter was installed to enhance the geodetic monitoring programmes. The purpose of the continuous recordings is to complement the time-lapse observations carried out periodically on networks of benchmarks, in order to continuously monitor the short-term gravity signals. We report on the various processing steps and analyses performed to obtain reliable parameters of the Earth's tides, non-tidal corrections and gravity residuals. The various methodologies employed to investigate the instrumental drift are also elucidated in depth, because it may masquerade the elusive gravity changes resulting from mass fluctuations within the volcanic and geothermal systems. Residual gravity signals, retrieved from the recordings, after reduction of body and ocean tides, polynomial drift, atmospheric, tilt and change of the Earth Orientation Parameters (EOP) effects, appear to be uncorrelated with hydrology, while they show a clear correlation with the most energetic earthquakes, that strongly characterise the current bradyseismic crisis. The residual gravity signals display peculiar trends characterized by steps or offsets (up to about 600 nm/s2) and transients in coincidence of the most energetic volcano-tectonic events (Magnitude > 2.5) and seismic swarms. The steps in the gravity residuals are likely to be of instrumental origin, while the amplitudes of the observed transients are not consistent with co-seismic or volcanological phenomena, for which there is no evidence from other monitoring techniques. Unfortunately, the lack of repeated absolute gravity measurements severely limits our ability to attribute the observed gravity variations to geological sources. From the analysis of the gravity records, reliable tidal gravity models have been derived, which will improve the accuracy of volcano monitoring by allowing a precise reduction of tidal effects for both relative and absolute gravity measurements taken in these volcanic areas.

我们展示了在坎皮弗莱格雷(CFc)活火山口进行的近一年的重力记录结果。CFc 是那不勒斯地区(意大利南部)三座活火山之一,也是目前最活跃的一座。事实上,CFc 火山正在经历一个动荡期,其特点是地面缓慢隆起,这种奇特的现象在全世界被称为 "缓动现象"(bradyseism),并伴有地震和强烈的炽热喷发。由于火山动态强度的增加,安装了一个配备 gPhoneX 弹簧重力仪的永久重力站,以加强大地测量监测计划。连续记录的目的是补充在基准网络上定期进行的延时观测,以持续监测短期重力信号。我们报告了为获得可靠的地球潮汐参数、非潮汐修正和重力残差而进行的各种处理步骤和分析。我们还深入阐释了调查仪器漂移所采用的各种方法,因为仪器漂移可能会掩盖火山和地热系统内部质量波动所导致的难以捉摸的重力变化。从记录中提取的残余重力信号,在减去体潮和海潮、多项式漂移、大气、倾斜和地球方位参数(EOP)变化的影响后,似乎与水文无关,但与能量最大的地震却有明显的相关性,这也是当前缓震危机的主要特征。残余重力信号显示出奇特的趋势,其特点是阶跃或偏移(高达约 600 nm/s2),以及与高能火山构造事件(震级为 2.5 级)和地震群相吻合的瞬变。重力残差中的阶跃很可能是由仪器引起的,而观测到的瞬态振幅与地震或火山现象不一致,其他监测技术也没有证据证明这一点。遗憾的是,由于缺乏重复的绝对重力测量,严重限制了我们将观测到的重力变化归因于地质来源的能力。通过对重力记录的分析,我们得出了可靠的潮汐重力模型,这将提高火山监测的准确性,因为在这些火山地区进行的相对重力和绝对重力测量都可以精确地减少潮汐效应。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of Annual and Seasonal Surface Air Temperature Simulations in CMIP6 Models over India 印度上空 CMIP6 模型的年度和季节性地表气温模拟评估
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-09-04 DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03564-3
A. Sabarinath, T. Kesavavarthini, Meera M. Nair, A. Naga Rajesh

Surface air temperature (SAT) affects both natural systems and human activities, impacting health, agriculture, energy demand, and so on. To investigate and analyze SAT over the region of interest, it is crucial to choose suitable climate models. The study commenced with the evaluation of 42 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) models’ simulations of SAT over India for annual and all four seasons (summer, southwest monsoon, northeast monsoon, and winter) during the historical period 1985 to 2014 with respect to the gridded SAT datasets obtained from the India Meteorological Department (IMD). Multi Model Mean (MMM) of 42 models was included in the evaluation. The evaluation was performed with various statistical metrics such as root mean squared error (RMSE), mean bias error (MBE), correlation coefficient (R), mean squared error (MAE), Taylor skill score (TSS), Brier skill score (BSS), and Interannual variability skill score (IVSS). By the method of estimating Comprehensive Rating Index (CRI), the top-ranking models were identified to be CMCC-CM2-SR5 for the annual and summer season, MIROC6 for the winter season, ACCESS-ESM-1-5 for the southwest monsoon, and NorESM2-LM for northeast monsoon. The novelty of this study lies in the approach of identifying the best ensemble. For each season, statistical metric-wise top-ranked models were picked to develop the best ensemble. Again, the overall ranking of the models along with the best ensemble for each season is determined by estimating CRI. It was observed that for all seasons, the best ensemble falls within the top 3 models’ category. Future projections of SAT under four shared socio-economic pathways (SSP-2.6, 4.5, 7.0, and 8.5) were also analyzed with the best ensemble obtained for each season. The results convey that, the country will witness, especially during the summer season, there will be a 1.160 °C, 1.288 °C and 2.368 °C rise in the mean SAT between historical (1985–2014) and near future (2021–2040), near and mid future (2041–2060), mid and far future (2081–2100) if the pathway, SSP5-8.5 is followed.

地表气温(SAT)既影响自然系统,也影响人类活动,对健康、农业、能源需求等都有影响。要研究和分析相关区域的地面气温,选择合适的气候模式至关重要。研究首先评估了 42 个耦合模式相互比较项目第 6 阶段(CMIP6)模式对 1985 年至 2014 年历史时期印度上空全年和所有四季(夏季、西南季风、东北季风和冬季)SAT 的模拟结果,以及从印度气象局(IMD)获得的网格 SAT 数据集。评估包括 42 个模型的多模型平均值(MMM)。评估采用了各种统计指标,如均值平方根误差(RMSE)、均值偏差误差(MBE)、相关系数(R)、均值平方误差(MAE)、泰勒技能得分(TSS)、布赖尔技能得分(BSS)和年际变化技能得分(IVSS)。通过估算综合评价指数(CRI)的方法,确定了全年和夏季排名最高的模式为 CMCC-CM2-SR5,冬季排名最高的模式为 MIROC6,西南季风排名最高的模式为 ACCESS-ESM-1-5,东北季风排名最高的模式为 NorESM2-LM。这项研究的新颖之处在于确定最佳集合的方法。在每个季节,从统计指标上挑选出排名最靠前的模式,以建立最佳模式集合。同样,通过估算 CRI 来确定模型的总体排名以及每个季节的最佳集合。结果表明,在所有季节,最佳集合都属于前 3 个模型的范畴。此外,还分析了在四种共同的社会经济路径(SSP-2.6、4.5、7.0 和 8.5)下对未来 SAT 的预测,以及每个季节的最佳集合。结果表明,如果采用 SSP5-8.5 路径,该国的平均 SAT 将在历史(1985-2014 年)和近期未来(2021-2040 年)、近期和中期未来(2041-2060 年)、中期和远期未来(2081-2100 年)之间上升 1.160 ℃、1.288 ℃ 和 2.368 ℃,尤其是在夏季。
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引用次数: 0
Machine Learning Assisted State-of-the-Art-of Petrographic Classification From Geophysical Logs 机器学习辅助物探记录的岩相分类技术现状
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-08-31 DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03563-4
Bappa Mukherjee, Sohan Kar, Kalachand Sain

In the E&P industry, accurate lithology classification is an essential task for successful exploration and production. Geophysical logs provide high-resolution petrophysical properties, but core logging is expensive and traditional techniques may not accurately classify lithologies. We demonstrated a comparative analysis of six ML algorithms: k-nearest neighbor (kNN), support vector machine (SVM), decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) and artificial neural network (ANN) for the prediction of lithologies from geophysical logs. Here we analysed the wireline logs of eight wells associated with the petroliferous Lakadong-Therria formation of the Bhogpara oil field of the Assam-Arakan Basin. This formation contains eight typical lithologies, namely clay stone, sand stone, calcareous sandstone, shale, calcareous shale, carbonaceous shale, coal and limestone. Performance of the ML algorithms were evaluated through accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. During the training and test phases, the computed overall accuracy of the predicted ML modes exceeded 82% and 71%, respectively. The model accuracy hierarchy was ANN > XGBoost > RF > SVM > DT > kNN during training, and ANN/XGBoost > kNN > DT/RF > SVM during testing. This approach allows interpreters to select the most accurate ML model based on training phase performance. This study provided a clear insight towards generating a supplement for litholog sequence and improving the accuracy and efficiency of lithology prediction in a geologically complex petroleum reservoir using pre-received core derived litholog information at few wells.

在勘探和开发行业,准确的岩性分类是成功勘探和生产的一项基本任务。地球物理测井可提供高分辨率的岩石物理特性,但岩心测井费用昂贵,而且传统技术可能无法对岩性进行准确分类。我们展示了六种 ML 算法的比较分析:k-近邻(kNN)、支持向量机(SVM)、决策树(DT)、随机森林(RF)、极梯度提升(XGBoost)和人工神经网络(ANN),用于从地球物理测井记录预测岩性。在此,我们分析了与阿萨姆-阿拉干盆地博格帕拉油田含油层拉卡东-特里亚地层相关的八口油井的有线测井记录。该地层包含八种典型岩性,即粘土岩、砂岩、钙质砂岩、页岩、钙质页岩、碳质页岩、煤和石灰岩。通过准确度、精确度、召回率、F1-分数和接收者操作特征曲线(ROC)对 ML 算法的性能进行了评估。在训练和测试阶段,计算得出的 ML 模式预测总体准确率分别超过 82% 和 71%。在训练阶段,模型准确率等级为 ANN > XGBoost > RF > SVM > DT > kNN;在测试阶段,模型准确率等级为 ANN/XGBoost > kNN > DT/RF > SVM。这种方法允许解释人员根据训练阶段的表现选择最准确的 ML 模型。这项研究提供了一个清晰的视角,有助于为岩性序列提供补充,并利用在少数油井中预先接收的岩心衍生岩性信息,提高地质复杂的石油储层中岩性预测的准确性和效率。
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引用次数: 0
Seawater Intrusion Mapping Using Geophysical Methods, Piezometry, and Hydrochemical Data Analysis: Application in the Coastal Aquifer of Nador Wadi Plain in Tipaza (Algeria) 利用地球物理方法、压强测量和水化学数据分析绘制海水入侵图:在提帕扎纳多尔瓦迪平原沿海含水层中的应用(阿尔及利亚)
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03565-2
Mohamed Amine Bechkit, Abdelmadjid Boufekane, Gianluigi Busico, Giuseppe Francesco Cesare Lama, Fayçal Chafiheddine Mouhoub, Moussa Aichaoui, Khiereddine Arrache, Seid Bourouis

Nowadays the salinization of freshwater resources due to seawater intrusion represent a worldwide issue. Accordingly, this study aims to identify and locate the freshwater-saltwater interface in the downstream part of the Nador wadi plain (Algeria), a coastal area characterized by a semi-arid mediterranean climate using a multi-methodologies approach including geophysical methods, hydrostatics approach, hydrochemical method, and piezometry situation. The investigation was carried out by the electrical survey and refraction seismic methods in the period of April-May 2018. Moreover, the hydrochemical and piezometry methods were used to confirm the results of the geophysical technique. The results of the present study case showed that the seawater intrusion interface is located at 420–1380 m from the shoreline. Additionally, the presence of the bedrock bulge (clay formation) at a distance ranging between 550 and 1050 m from the shoreline, plays the role of the natural hydraulic barrier for the seawater advance. The findings indicate that the identified seawater intrusion interface and the natural hydraulic barrier formed by the bedrock bulge are critical for managing groundwater resources in the Nador wadi plain. This methodology can be applied to other coastal plains worldwide to address the challenges of seawater intrusion and groundwater salinization.

如今,海水入侵导致淡水资源盐碱化已成为世界性问题。因此,本研究旨在采用多种方法(包括地球物理方法、水文方法、水化学方法和压强测量法)确定纳祖尔瓦迪平原(阿尔及利亚)下游地区淡水-盐水界面的位置,该沿海地区的特点是半干旱地中海气候。调查于 2018 年 4 月至 5 月期间通过电测法和折射地震法进行。此外,还使用了水化学方法和压强测量方法来确认地球物理技术的结果。本研究案例的结果显示,海水入侵界面位于距离海岸线 420-1380 米处。此外,在距离海岸线 550 米至 1050 米处存在基岩隆起(粘土层),为海水入侵起到了天然水力屏障的作用。研究结果表明,已确定的海水入侵界面和基岩隆起形成的天然水力屏障对于纳祖尔瓦迪平原的地下水资源管理至关重要。这一方法可应用于全球其他沿海平原,以应对海水入侵和地下水盐碱化的挑战。
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