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The use of a low-cost, small-aperture array as an auxiliary tool to improve infrasound monitoring in the Azores region 使用低成本小孔径阵列作为辅助工具,改进亚速尔群岛地区的次声监测工作
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-04-15 DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03469-1
Maria do Céu Jesus, Giacomo Belli, Duccio Gheri, Sandro Matos, Nicolau Wallenstein, Emanuele Marchetti

The 2022’s seismo-volcanic crisis on São Jorge Island of the Azores archipelago has provided an opportunity to deploy a portable infrasound array as a collaborative work between the Research Institute for Volcanology and Risk Assessment (IVAR) of the University of the Azores (UAc) and the University of Florence (UniFI). The four-element array, SJ1, became operational on 2 April 2022. Despite being deployed in a first stage to monitor the activities related to the volcanic unrest on São Jorge Island, SJ1 worked as a supporting tool to the existing IMS infrasound station IS42, located on Graciosa Island at ~ 40 km distance, leading to an enhancement of the infrasonic monitoring network in the region. This work emphasises the importance of low-cost portable infrasound arrays to improve the coverage of infrasound observations for local and regional monitoring purposes in the Azores region. Two events recorded by both arrays are briefly exemplified: a low-magnitude earthquake on São Jorge Island and a fireball which crossed the North Atlantic Ocean. Infrasound data from both arrays are combined to obtain a fast but still accurate source localization of the analysed events.

亚速尔群岛圣若热岛 2022 年的地震-火山危机为亚速尔群岛大学(UAc)火山学和风险评估研究所(IVAR)与佛罗伦萨大学(UniFI)合作部署便携式次声阵列提供了机会。四元素阵列 SJ1 于 2022 年 4 月 2 日开始运行。尽管在第一阶段部署该阵列是为了监测与圣若热岛火山动荡有关的活动,但 SJ1 阵列是现有国际监测系统次声站 IS42 的辅助工具,IS42 位于格拉西奥萨岛,距离约 40 公里,从而加强了该地区的次声监测网络。这项工作强调了低成本便携式次声阵列在亚速尔群岛地区扩大次声观测覆盖面以实现地方和区域监测目的的重要性。本文简要介绍了两个阵列记录的两个事件:圣若热岛的一次低强度地震和横跨北大西洋的一个火球。将两个阵列的次声数据结合起来,可以快速但仍然准确地确定所分析事件的来源。
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引用次数: 0
Halokinetically Overprinted Tectonic Inversion of the Penobscot 3D Volume Offshore Nova Scotia, Canada 加拿大新斯科舍近海佩诺布斯科特三维体积的卤化叠印构造反演
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-04-15 DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03462-8
Alexander L. Peace, Jordan J. J. Phethean, Scott Jess, Christian Schiffer

Polyphase fault evolution through reactivation is a globally observed phenomenon on passive margins. These structures play a crucial role in petroleum systems, offer vital constraints on rift and passive margin kinematics, and, in certain instances, serve as global markers for far-field stresses. Despite the significance of reactivated faults, understanding their kinematic evolution, existence, extent, and interactions within fault populations is often limited. This underscores the need for comprehensive investigations, including considerations of halokinesis in this process. This study presents a structural interpretation of a relay ramp identified in the Penobscot 3D seismic reflection survey offshore Nova Scotia, Canada. The ramp is characterized by two major SSE-dipping faults accompanied by smaller antithetic and synthetic normal faults with a general ENE-WSW strike. The two major faults exhibit evidence of reverse deformation in their lower sections, transitioning to normal offsets in their upper portions. Smaller faults predominantly affect younger strata without evidence of reactivation. Fault throw analysis indicates coupled movement on the main faults during both reverse and normal deformation intervals. Structural analysis suggests that these structures initially formed as reverse faults due to halokinesis and were subsequently reactivated during oceanward salt migration. The timing of Atlantic margin halokinesis aligns broadly with previously documented large-scale kinematic reorganization periods, suggesting similar kinematic events triggered salt movements in the Penobscot area. The observed kinematic dichotomy at depth is crucial, highlighting the potential oversight of polyphase deformation in areas where seismic data only captures near-surface structures. Recognising salt's role in kinematic reactivation is vital, explaining inversion phenomena and generating economically important trapping structures globally. This study implies that reactivation of structures in passive margins may be more widespread than previously acknowledged, particularly if seismic data only captures upper portions of structures.

通过再活化实现多相断层演化是在被动边缘观察到的一种全球性现象。这些结构在石油系统中起着至关重要的作用,为裂谷和被动边缘运动学提供了重要的约束条件,在某些情况下,还可作为远场应力的全球标记。尽管再活化断层具有重要意义,但人们对它们的运动演变、存在、范围以及断层群内部的相互作用的了解往往有限。这凸显了进行全面研究的必要性,包括考虑这一过程中的晕动现象。本研究对加拿大新斯科舍近海佩诺布斯科特三维地震反射勘探中发现的中继斜坡进行了构造解释。该斜坡的特点是有两条主要的 SSE 倾斜断层,同时伴有较小的逆断层和合成正断层,总体走向为 ENE-WSW。两条主要断层在其下部有反向变形的迹象,在其上部则过渡为正常偏移。较小的断层主要影响较年轻的地层,没有重新激活的迹象。断层抛掷分析表明,在逆向和正向变形期间,主要断层都发生了耦合运动。结构分析表明,这些结构最初因晕动而形成逆断层,随后在盐向海洋迁移过程中被重新激活。大西洋边缘半蠕动的时间与之前记录的大规模运动重组时期大致吻合,这表明类似的运动事件引发了佩诺布斯科特地区的盐运动。观察到的深度运动二分法至关重要,它突出了在地震数据只能捕捉到近地表结构的地区,多相变形的潜在监督作用。认识到盐在运动再活化中的作用至关重要,它可以解释反演现象,并在全球范围内产生具有重要经济意义的圈闭结构。这项研究表明,被动边缘结构的再活化可能比之前认识到的更为普遍,尤其是在地震数据只能捕捉到结构上部的情况下。
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引用次数: 0
Analysing the Determinants of Surface Solar Radiation with Tree-Based Machine Learning Methods: Case of Istanbul 用基于树的机器学习方法分析地表太阳辐射的决定因素:伊斯坦布尔案例
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-04-15 DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03472-6
Denizhan Guven

This study estimates both hourly and daily Downward Surface Solar Radiation (SSR) in Istanbul while determining the importance of variables on SSR using tree-based machine learning methods, namely Decision Tree (DT), Random Forest (RF), and Gradient Boosted Regression Tree (GBRT). The hourly and daily data of climatic factors for the period between January 2016 and December 2020 are gathered from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts' (ECMWF) ERA5 reanalysis data sets. In addition to the meteorology data, hourly data of selected aerosols are obtained from the Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change. Temperature, cloud coverage, ozone level, precipitation, pressure, and two components of wind speeds, PM10, PM2.5, and SO2 are utilized to train and test the established models. The model performances are determined with the out-of-bag errors by calculating R-squared, MSE, RMSE, and MBE. The GBRT model is found to be the most accurate model with the lowest error rates. Furthermore, this study provides the variable importance in determining the SSR. Although all models provide different values for the variable importance; temperature, ozone level, cloud coverage, and precipitation are found to be the most important variables in estimating daily SSR. For the hourly estimation, the time of day (hour) becomes the most important factor in addition to temperature, ozone level, and cloud coverage. Finally, this study shows that the tree-based machine learning methods used with these variables to estimate hourly and daily SSR results are very accurate when it is not possible to measure the SSR values directly.

本研究采用基于树的机器学习方法,即决策树(DT)、随机森林(RF)和梯度提升回归树(GBRT),估算伊斯坦布尔每小时和每天的向下表面太阳辐射(SSR),同时确定变量对 SSR 的重要性。从欧洲中期天气预报中心(ECMWF)ERA5 再分析数据集收集了 2016 年 1 月至 2020 年 12 月期间每小时和每天的气候因子数据。除气象数据外,还从环境、城市化和气候变化部获得了部分气溶胶的每小时数据。温度、云层覆盖率、臭氧水平、降水、气压、风速的两个分量、PM10、PM2.5 和二氧化硫被用来训练和测试已建立的模型。通过计算 R-squared、MSE、RMSE 和 MBE,利用袋外误差确定了模型的性能。结果发现,GBRT 模型是最准确的模型,误差率最低。此外,这项研究还提供了确定 SSR 的变量重要性。尽管所有模型都提供了不同的变量重要性值,但温度、臭氧水平、云层覆盖率和降水量被认为是估算每日 SSR 的最重要变量。在每小时的估算中,除了温度、臭氧水平和云层覆盖之外,一天中的时间(小时)成为最重要的因素。最后,本研究表明,在无法直接测量 SSR 值的情况下,利用这些变量估算每小时和每天 SSR 结果的基于树的机器学习方法非常准确。
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引用次数: 0
Measurements of Particle Fluxes, Electric Fields, and Lightning Occurrences at the Aragats Space-Environmental Center (ASEC) 阿拉加茨空间环境中心(ASEC)的粒子通量、电场和闪电发生率测量结果
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-04-15 DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03481-5
A. Chilingarian, T. Karapetyan, B. Sargsyan, Y. Khanikyanc, S. Chilingaryan

To catalyze transformative advancements in High-energy Physics in the Atmosphere (HEPA), a comprehensive understanding of particle fluxes, electric fields, and lightning occurrences across atmospheric layers is imperative. This paper elucidates the instrumentation and capabilities of the Aragats Space-Environmental Center (ASEC), which encompasses measurement tools for various cosmic ray species, near-surface electric fields, and lightning events integrated across high-mountain research station at slopes of Mt. Aragats and the highest mountains of Eastern Europe and Germany. Through these measurements, we aim to elucidate models of particle acceleration mechanisms and the charge distribution within the lower atmosphere. We introduce an Advanced Data Extraction Infrastructure (ADEI) integrated with sophisticated statistical analysis tools to facilitate rapid access to this wealth of data. Despite the significance of these atmospheric processes, the intricate interplay between thundercloud electrification, lightning activity, wideband radio emissions, and particle fluxes remains poorly understood. A particularly compelling avenue of inquiry lies in exploring the relationship between high-energy atmospheric phenomena, intracloud electric fields, and lightning initiation. Furthermore, investigations into accelerated structures within geospace plasmas hold promise for shedding light on particle acceleration processes, potentially extending to higher energies within analogous structures in cosmic plasmas. This paper also examines practical methodologies for extracting meaningful physical insights from temporal datasets, such as correlating surges in particle flux intensity with variations in near-surface electric field strength and precipitation patterns. Additionally, we explore the utility of wideband field and interferometer antenna signals in this context, offering valuable avenues for further research and analysis. Through these endeavors, we aim to deepen our understanding of high-energy atmospheric processes and their broader implications for terrestrial and cosmic phenomena.

要推动大气高能物理(HEPA)的变革性发展,就必须全面了解粒子通量、电场和跨大气层的闪电现象。本文阐述了阿拉加茨空间环境中心(ASEC)的仪器和能力,该中心包括各种宇宙射线种类、近地表电场和闪电事件的测量工具,这些测量工具集成在阿拉加茨山斜坡的高山研究站以及东欧和德国的最高山脉中。通过这些测量,我们旨在阐明粒子加速机制模型和低层大气中的电荷分布。我们引入了先进的数据提取基础设施(ADEI),并集成了复杂的统计分析工具,以方便快速获取这些丰富的数据。尽管这些大气过程非常重要,但人们对雷云通电、闪电活动、宽带无线电辐射和粒子通量之间错综复杂的相互作用仍然知之甚少。探索高能大气现象、云内电场和闪电启动之间的关系是一条特别引人注目的研究途径。此外,对地球空间等离子体内加速结构的研究有望揭示粒子加速过程,并有可能扩展到宇宙等离子体类似结构内的更高能量。本文还探讨了从时间数据集中提取有意义的物理见解的实用方法,例如将粒子通量强度的激增与近表面电场强度和降水模式的变化联系起来。此外,我们还探讨了宽带场和干涉仪天线信号在这方面的用途,为进一步研究和分析提供了宝贵的途径。通过这些努力,我们旨在加深对高能大气过程及其对陆地和宇宙现象的广泛影响的理解。
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引用次数: 0
Stratospheric Gravity Waves Impact on Infrasound Transmission Losses Across the International Monitoring System 平流层重力波对整个国际监测系统次声波传输损耗的影响
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-04-13 DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03467-3
C. Listowski, C. C. Stephan, A. Le Pichon, A. Hauchecorne, Y.-H. Kim, U. Achatz, G. Bölöni

The international monitoring system (IMS) has been put in place to monitor compliance with the comprehensive nuclear-test-ban treaty (CTBT). Its infrasound component, dedicated to the monitoring of atmospheric events, gives also room to civil applications (e.g. monitoring of volcanic eruptions, meteorites, severe weather). Infrasound detection capabilities are largely determined by the state of the middle atmosphere. This requires an accurate knowledge of the atmospheric processes at play. More particularly internal gravity waves (GW) pose a challenge to atmospheric modelling because of unresolved processes. Using high-resolution simulation outputs over winter 2020 (20 January–1 March) we present a method to assess the impact of GW on infrasound surface transmission losses across the IMS. We validate the method by comparing simulated GW perturbations to GW lidar observations at Observatoire de Haute-Provence in France, and satellite-based GW energy estimations globally. We perform propagation simulations using atmospheric specifications where GW are filtered out and kept in, respectively. We demonstrate that the largest impact of GW across the IMS is not where GW activity is the largest, but rather where GW activity combines with infrasound waveguides not firmly set in a given direction. In northern winter, the largest variations of transmission losses at 1 Hz due to GW occur in the southern (summer) hemisphere in the direction of the main guide (westward propagation), with average values ranging between 10 and 25 dB in the first shadow zone. It corresponds to an average signal amplification of at least a factor 5 to 15, while this amplification is around 2 to 5 for the main guide in the northern winter hemisphere (eastward propagation).

国际监测系统(IMS)的建立是为了监测全面禁止核试验条约(CTBT)的遵守情况。该系统的次声部分专门用于监测大气事件,也可用于民用(如监测火山爆发、陨石、恶劣天气)。次声探测能力在很大程度上取决于中层大气的状态。这就需要准确了解大气的变化过程。尤其是内部重力波(GW),由于其过程尚未解决,对大气建模构成了挑战。利用 2020 年冬季(1 月 20 日至 3 月 1 日)的高分辨率模拟输出,我们提出了一种方法来评估内重力波对中层大气次声表面传输损失的影响。我们将模拟的全球大气扰动与法国上普罗旺斯天文台的全球大气扰动激光雷达观测结果以及基于卫星的全球大气扰动能量估算结果进行了比较,从而验证了该方法的有效性。我们使用大气规范进行了传播模拟,其中分别滤除和保留了全球瓦。我们证明,全球瓦对整个国际监测系统的最大影响并不是在全球瓦活动量最大的地方,而是在全球瓦活动量与次声波导结合在一起,而次声波导没有牢固地设置在特定方向上的地方。在北方的冬季,全球瓦导致的 1 赫兹传输损耗的最大变化发生在南半球(夏季)的主导波方向(向西传播),在第一阴影区的平均值在 10 到 25 dB 之间。这相当于平均信号放大了至少 5 到 15 倍,而在北半球冬季(向东传播)的主向导方向,信号放大率约为 2 到 5 倍。
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引用次数: 0
A Rapid Reconstruction Method of 3D Digital Rock with Strong Pore Connectivity 具有强孔隙连通性的三维数字岩石快速重建方法
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-04-10 DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03473-5
Weichao Yan, Naser Golsanami, Huilin Xing, Sanzhong Li, Peng Chi

As a technique capable of replacing laboratory experiments, a large number of digital rock simulations have been widely used for the characterization of reservoir petrophysical parameters. For conditions with less coring data, rapid reconstruction of three-dimensional (3D) digital rocks using two-dimensional (2D) pore structure images is an important prerequisite for the accurate calculation of petrophysical parameters. However, the conventional digital rock rapid reconstruction method with poor pore connectivity leads to the erroneous evaluation of key reservoir rock parameters (e.g., permeability and resistivity ). In this study, we used the sequential indicator simulation method as the base data and combined the erosion operation and expansion operation in mathematical morphology to realize the rapid construction of 3D digital rock models with strong pore connectivity . The accuracy of the digital rock model reconstructed by the new method was verified by comparing with the permeability and electrical properties obtained by the CT-based method, sequential indicator simulation method, multi-point statistical method, process-based method, and deep leaning method. This study overcomes the shortcomings of the sequential indicator simulation digital rock reconstruction method in terms of small pore radius and poor pore connectivity, improves the permeability of constructing 3D digital rocks, and lays the foundation for accurate and rapid analysis of petrophysical properties.

作为一种能够替代实验室实验的技术,大量数字岩石模拟已被广泛应用于储层岩石物理参数的表征。在取芯数据较少的条件下,利用二维孔隙结构图像快速重建三维(3D)数字岩石是准确计算岩石物理参数的重要前提。然而,传统的数字岩石快速重建方法孔隙连通性差,导致对储层岩石关键参数(如渗透率和电阻率)的错误评估。本研究以顺序指标模拟方法为基础数据,结合数学形态学中的侵蚀运算和膨胀运算,实现了孔隙连通性强的三维数字岩石模型的快速构建。通过与基于 CT 的方法、顺序指标模拟方法、多点统计方法、基于过程的方法和深部倾斜方法得到的渗透率和电性进行比较,验证了新方法重建的数字岩石模型的准确性。该研究克服了顺序指示器模拟数字岩石重建方法孔隙半径小、孔隙连通性差的缺点,提高了构建三维数字岩石的渗透性,为准确、快速地分析岩石物性奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 0
2D FDM Simulation of Seismic Waves and Tsunamis Based on Improved Coupling Equations Under Gravity 基于重力作用下改进耦合方程的地震波和海啸二维 FDM 仿真
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-04-09 DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03468-2
Masayoshi Someya, Shingo Watada, Takashi Furumura

To understand the characteristics of seismic waves and tsunamis recorded simultaneously by the ocean-bottom observation networks, the coupling between the solid Earth and the ocean has to be modeled in the presence of gravity. However, previous coupled simulations adopted approximate equations that did not fully incorporate the effects of gravity. In this study, we derived correctly linearized governing equations under gravity and compared them with those of previous studies. Numerical experiments were performed for a two-dimensional P-SV wavefield, using the finite difference method (FDM). To validate the accuracy of the calculated tsunamis, we computed the theoretical tsunami dispersion relation using a propagator matrix and compared it with our results and those of previous studies. We found that our proposed method provided more accurate results than those of previous studies, particularly in the short-period band. We also investigated the applicability of the proposed method to distant tsunamis by examining the difference between calculated and theoretical tsunami phase velocities in the long-period band. The proposed formulation provides accurate results that properly incorporate gravity into the simultaneous simulation of seismic waves and tsunamis.

为了了解海底观测网络同时记录到的地震波和海啸的特征,必须在存在重力的情况下模拟固体地球和海洋之间的耦合。然而,以往的耦合模拟采用的是近似方程,没有充分考虑重力的影响。在这项研究中,我们推导出了重力作用下的正确线性化治理方程,并与之前的研究进行了比较。采用有限差分法(FDM)对二维 P-SV 波场进行了数值实验。为了验证计算海啸的准确性,我们使用传播矩阵计算了理论海啸弥散关系,并将其与我们的结果和之前的研究结果进行了比较。我们发现,与之前的研究相比,我们提出的方法能提供更精确的结果,尤其是在短周期波段。我们还通过研究长周期波段海啸相位速度计算结果与理论结果之间的差异,研究了所提方法对远距离海啸的适用性。所提出的方法能提供准确的结果,并能将重力适当地纳入地震波和海啸的同步模拟中。
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引用次数: 0
Simulation of Broadband Ground Motions for the 2016 Mw 6.8 Chauk Earthquake 2016 年 6.8 级 Chauk 地震的宽带地面运动模拟
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-04-08 DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03475-3
Jahnabi Basu, S. T. G. Raghukanth

The 2016 Mw 6.8 Chauk, Myanmar earthquake was one of the largest earthquakes in Myanmar, leading to significant damage to historical monuments and the first earthquake to occur in the instrumental era. In the current study, broadband (0.01–25 Hz) ground motions are simulated in the 4.5° × 4.5° region around the epicenter to investigate the ground-motion characteristics of the event. Towards this goal, deterministically generated low-frequency and stochastically simulated high-frequency ground motions are combined to create three-component broadband seismograms. The simulated ground motions are further compared with the available strong motion data recorded in the near-field and far-field stations. Thus, the efficacy in modeling the ground motions is quantified through the estimation of the goodness of fit between the 5% damped acceleration response spectra obtained from recorded and simulated ground motions. Furthermore, the peak ground acceleration (PGA) of the simulated ground motions for the entire region is presented in the form of a contour map along with its spatial variation with the region's topography. The simulated PGA is further compared with the global ground motion models developed for subduction zone intraslab earthquakes. Most importantly, acceleration time histories are generated at the locations of severely damaged monuments in Bagan and Nyuang-U city, which can further be utilized for nonlinear dynamic analysis of the structures.

2016 年缅甸乔克 Mw 6.8 地震是缅甸最大的地震之一,导致历史古迹遭受重大破坏,也是仪器时代发生的第一次地震。本研究模拟了震中周围 4.5° × 4.5° 区域的宽带(0.01-25 Hz)地动,以研究该事件的地动特征。为实现这一目标,将确定性生成的低频地动和随机模拟的高频地动结合起来,生成三分量宽带地震图。模拟地动还与近场和远场台站记录的现有强震数据进行了比较。因此,通过估计记录和模拟地面运动获得的 5%阻尼加速度响应谱之间的拟合度,可以量化地面运动建模的有效性。此外,还以等值线图的形式展示了整个地区模拟地动的峰值地面加速度(PGA)及其与该地区地形的空间变化。模拟的 PGA 还与为俯冲带岩床内地震开发的全球地面运动模型进行了比较。最重要的是,在蒲甘和 Nyuang-U 市严重受损的古迹位置生成了加速度时间历程,可进一步用于结构的非线性动态分析。
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引用次数: 0
Study on Target Reliability of Mine Rock Slopes by Grey Fixed Weight Clustering and Analogy Method—Case Study of the Jinbao Iron Mine 灰色固定权重聚类和类比法的矿山岩石边坡目标可靠性研究--金宝铁矿案例研究
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-04-08 DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03471-7
Axin Zheng, Jianping Pan

The target reliability of mine rock slopes must be scientifically determined, which can fully reflect the safety level of slope stability and plays an essential role in establishing slope reliability design guidelines. Since the design guidelines based on reliability methods have not been established for mine rock slopes, the suggested target reliability values are proposed based on the grey fixed weight clustering and analogy method. Firstly, a new evaluation method of slope safety grade is proposed by considering more influencing factors of slopes. Secondly, the grey fixed weight clustering is used to quantitatively processes the slope reliability data, and the slope safety grade is judged. Then, the target reliability of each grade is obtained by the analogy method. Finally, the equal difference method is applied to set the threshold of allowable failure probability for the minimum service life of slopes, and the reliability of other service life is processed by linear interpolation. The results show that, the target reliability of the maximum service life for grade I, II, III ductile failure is 3.25, 2.75, 2.25, and brittle failure is 3.75, 3.25, 2.75, respectively. the allowable failure probability of the minimum service life for each grade shows that the ductile failure is 1%, 3%, 5% and brittle failure is 0.5%, 1%, 3%, respectively. In addition, the suggested values of Inter-ramp and Bench slopes are also improved, and a case study is conducted in the Jinbao iron mine to illustrate the feasibility of the method and results in this paper.

矿山岩石边坡的目标可靠度必须科学确定,它能充分反映边坡稳定性的安全水平,对制定边坡可靠度设计准则起着至关重要的作用。由于基于可靠度方法的矿山岩石边坡设计准则尚未建立,因此基于灰色定权聚类法和类比法提出了可靠度目标值建议。首先,通过考虑更多的边坡影响因素,提出了一种新的边坡安全等级评价方法。其次,利用灰色定权聚类法对边坡可靠性数据进行定量处理,判断边坡安全等级。然后,通过类比法得到各等级的目标可靠度。最后,采用等差法设定边坡最低使用年限的允许失效概率阈值,并通过线性插值法处理其他使用年限的可靠性。结果表明,Ⅰ、Ⅱ、Ⅲ级韧性破坏的最大使用寿命目标可靠度分别为 3.25、2.75、2.25,脆性破坏的最大使用寿命目标可靠度分别为 3.75、3.25、2.75,各等级最小使用寿命的允许破坏概率分别为 1%、3%、5%,脆性破坏的允许破坏概率分别为 0.5%、1%、3%。此外,还改进了斜坡间和斜坡台阶的建议值,并在金宝铁矿进行了案例研究,以说明本文方法和结果的可行性。
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引用次数: 0
Seismic Discrimination Between Nuclear Explosions and Natural Earthquakes using Multi-Machine Learning Techniques 利用多机学习技术对核爆炸和天然地震进行地震判别
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-04-08 DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03463-7
Shimaa. H. Elkhouly, Ghada Ali

In the field of seismic signal analysis, it is of utmost importance to accurately differentiate between earthquakes and underground nuclear explosions. As a contribution for the verification regime of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty (CTBT), Various methods have been employed for this purpose, including Complexity, Spectral ratio, mb—Ms (body wave and surface wave magnitudes), and corner frequency of P and S waves. These discrimination techniques have been examined to manually identify natural seismic events from nuclear explosions across different regions worldwide, such as China, India, Pakistan, North Korea, and the United States. To gather the necessary data, a comprehensive dataset comprising nuclear explosions and earthquakes of the same magnitude range (4 ≤ mb ≤ 6.5) of 35 seismic events from 1945 to 2017 has been compiled from the International Research Institute for Seismology (IRIS) using broadband and long period seismic stations. The objective of this study is to employ a range of linear and nonlinear Machine Learning (ML) models with the aim of automatically distinguishing between underground nuclear explosions and large earthquakes to enhance the accuracy of manual feature extraction. For this purpose, time domain waveforms and different classifier techniques focused on feature extraction have been used. The ML models employed include logistic regression, K-nearest neighbours classifier, decision tree classifier, random forest classifier, voting classifier, and Naive Bayes. The outcomes of the ROC and AUC analyses were employed to validate the validity of our proposed discrimination algorithm. The results show that the Random Forest Classifier is the most effective model, obtaining 100% accuracy in the case of feature extraction, while the best model for the time domain waveform classifier that achieved 75.5% accuracy is the voting classifier.

在地震信号分析领域,准确区分地震和地下核爆炸至关重要。作为对《全面禁止核试验条约》(CTBT)核查制度的贡献,我们为此采用了多种方法,包括复杂性、频谱比、mb-Ms(体波和面波震级)以及 P 波和 S 波的角频率。这些判别技术已被用于人工识别全球不同地区(如中国、印度、巴基斯坦、朝鲜和美国)的核爆炸引起的天然地震事件。为了收集必要的数据,国际地震学研究所(IRIS)利用宽带和长周期地震台站汇编了一个综合数据集,其中包括从 1945 年到 2017 年发生的 35 次地震事件中震级范围相同(4 ≤ mb ≤ 6.5)的核爆炸和地震。本研究的目的是采用一系列线性和非线性机器学习(ML)模型,自动区分地下核爆炸和大地震,以提高人工特征提取的准确性。为此,使用了时域波形和侧重于特征提取的不同分类器技术。采用的 ML 模型包括逻辑回归、K-近邻分类器、决策树分类器、随机森林分类器、投票分类器和 Naive Bayes。我们采用 ROC 和 AUC 分析结果来验证我们提出的判别算法的有效性。结果表明,随机森林分类器是最有效的模型,在特征提取方面获得了 100% 的准确率,而时域波形分类器的最佳模型是投票分类器,获得了 75.5% 的准确率。
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pure and applied geophysics
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