The Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai (HTHH) eruption of 15 January 2022 was an exceptional event by the period, magnitude, and duration of propagation of the atmospheric waves it generated, which circled the Earth multiple times. This event, taking into account the magnitude of the atmospheric pressure waves, is comparable only to the Krakatoa eruption of 1883. To compare both eruptive sequences, a method similar to the analysis of the timing of the arrival of multiple phases at barometric stations, as reported in (Strachey, R., Stokes G.G., Scott, R.H. (1888). On the air waves and sound caused by the Krakatoa eruption of August 1883, in “The eruption of Krakatoa and subsequent phenomena,” Symons, G. J. (ed.). Report of the Krakatoa Committee of the Royal Society (Trübner and Co., London)) for Krakatoa, was used. Since the HTHH volcanic event gave rise to the only volcanic pressure wave known to have circled within the Earth’s atmosphere multiple times in the last 139 years, it is of interest to perform similar timing statistics on the multiple passages of the waves at stations that recorded them. A review of the Krakatoa analysis and a comparison with the HTHH are presented, with possible implications on the physical parameters affecting its speed of propagation. Changes in the global state of the atmosphere during the interval between the two events may also explain some of the differences observed.
2022 年 1 月 15 日的 Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai(HTHH)火山爆发是一次特殊事件,其产生的大气压波的周期、强度和传播持续时间多次环绕地球。考虑到大气压力波的强度,这一事件仅可与 1883 年喀拉喀托火山爆发相媲美。为了比较这两次喷发,我们采用了一种类似于气压站多相位到达时间分析的方法(Strachey, R., Stokes G.G., Scott, R.H. (1888).On the air waves and sound caused by the Krakatoa eruption of August 1883, in "The eruption of Krakatoa and subsequent phenomena," Symons, G. J. (ed.).英国皇家学会喀拉喀托火山委员会报告》(Trübner and Co.,伦敦))中的喀拉喀托火山。由于 HTHH 火山事件引发了过去 139 年中已知的唯一在地球大气层内多次盘旋的火山压力波,因此对记录这些波的站点进行类似的多次穿越时间统计是很有意义的。本文回顾了对喀拉喀托火山的分析,并将其与 HTHH 进行了比较,对影响其传播速度的物理参数提出了可能的影响。在两次事件的间隔期间,全球大气状态的变化也可能解释了所观察到的一些差异。
{"title":"TIMING Analysis of the Multiple Passages of the Pressure Wave Generated by the 2022 Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai and Comparison with the 1883 Krakatoa Pressure Wave","authors":"Ronan Le Bras, Paulina Bittner, Jolanta Kuśmierczyk-Michulec, Pierrick Mialle, Gérard Rambolamanana","doi":"10.1007/s00024-024-03507-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-024-03507-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai (HTHH) eruption of 15 January 2022 was an exceptional event by the period, magnitude, and duration of propagation of the atmospheric waves it generated, which circled the Earth multiple times. This event, taking into account the magnitude of the atmospheric pressure waves, is comparable only to the Krakatoa eruption of 1883. To compare both eruptive sequences, a method similar to the analysis of the timing of the arrival of multiple phases at barometric stations, as reported in (Strachey, R., Stokes G.G., Scott, R.H. (1888). On the air waves and sound caused by the Krakatoa eruption of August 1883, in “The eruption of Krakatoa and subsequent phenomena,” Symons, G. J. (ed.). Report of the Krakatoa Committee of the Royal Society (Trübner and Co., London)) for Krakatoa, was used. Since the HTHH volcanic event gave rise to the only volcanic pressure wave known to have circled within the Earth’s atmosphere multiple times in the last 139 years, it is of interest to perform similar timing statistics on the multiple passages of the waves at stations that recorded them. A review of the Krakatoa analysis and a comparison with the HTHH are presented, with possible implications on the physical parameters affecting its speed of propagation. Changes in the global state of the atmosphere during the interval between the two events may also explain some of the differences observed.</p>","PeriodicalId":21078,"journal":{"name":"pure and applied geophysics","volume":"49 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141168137","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-05-25DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03510-3
Jing Ba, Zhijiang Ai, José M. Carcione, Mengqiang Pang, Xinfei Yan, Xiao Chen
The complex seismic responses of heterogeneous reservoirs can be related to the fabric structure, pore/microcrack shape, mineral composition and fluid distribution of the rock in situ. The pore structure refers to the geometric shape, size, spatial distribution and interconnectedness of pores, microcracks and throats. It is closely related to the storage space of reservoirs and the spatial distribution of oil/gas. Understanding the pore structure is crucial for the development of processes to increase oil/gas production capacity. Six dolomite samples from the Gaoshiti-Moxi Longwangmiao Formation are sorted out for measurements, and the ultrasonic and seismic attenuation are determined by using the spectral ratio method and the enhanced frequency shift method, respectively. When predicting the pore structure, we assume that the aspect ratio and volume fraction of pores and microcracks correspond to a normal distribution. On this basis, a model with the Voigt–Reuss–Hill average (VRH), differential effective medium (DEM) theory and infinituple-porosity media (IPM) theory is proposed. The acoustic wave responses in terms of reservoir porosity and standard deviation of normal distribution are analyzed, and multiscale 3D rock physics templates (RPT) are created. The calibrations of the templates are performed with the ultrasonic and seismic data, and then the templates are applied to the field data. The results show that the estimated porosity and pore structure (corresponding to the mean aspect ratio and standard deviation of a normal distribution, respectively) are in substantial agreement with the log data and the actual gas production results.
{"title":"Estimation of Pore Structure for Heterogeneous Reservoirs Based on the Theory of Differential Poroelasticity","authors":"Jing Ba, Zhijiang Ai, José M. Carcione, Mengqiang Pang, Xinfei Yan, Xiao Chen","doi":"10.1007/s00024-024-03510-3","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s00024-024-03510-3","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The complex seismic responses of heterogeneous reservoirs can be related to the fabric structure, pore/microcrack shape, mineral composition and fluid distribution of the rock in situ. The pore structure refers to the geometric shape, size, spatial distribution and interconnectedness of pores, microcracks and throats. It is closely related to the storage space of reservoirs and the spatial distribution of oil/gas. Understanding the pore structure is crucial for the development of processes to increase oil/gas production capacity. Six dolomite samples from the Gaoshiti-Moxi Longwangmiao Formation are sorted out for measurements, and the ultrasonic and seismic attenuation are determined by using the spectral ratio method and the enhanced frequency shift method, respectively. When predicting the pore structure, we assume that the aspect ratio and volume fraction of pores and microcracks correspond to a normal distribution. On this basis, a model with the Voigt–Reuss–Hill average (VRH), differential effective medium (DEM) theory and infinituple-porosity media (IPM) theory is proposed. The acoustic wave responses in terms of reservoir porosity and standard deviation of normal distribution are analyzed, and multiscale 3D rock physics templates (RPT) are created. The calibrations of the templates are performed with the ultrasonic and seismic data, and then the templates are applied to the field data. The results show that the estimated porosity and pore structure (corresponding to the mean aspect ratio and standard deviation of a normal distribution, respectively) are in substantial agreement with the log data and the actual gas production results.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":21078,"journal":{"name":"pure and applied geophysics","volume":"181 7","pages":"2131 - 2147"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-05-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141152104","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-05-25DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03509-w
Deen Mani Lal, Nandivada Umakanth
The association of lightning yield per vertical column aerosol of unit cross section (AOD) with relative humidity and rainfall has been investigated using surface observation as well as satellite data for the south-east Indian peninsula, especially Hyderabad and adjacent areas, from 2019 to 2022. For a healthy finding, the study domain area has been separated into three sub-regions: Region R1 (Lat: 17.7–19.5; Lon: 78.5–84.5); R2 (Lat: 15.1–17.5; Lon: 76–80.1); and R3 (Lat: 12.5–15; Lon: 76–80.1). During the investigation, uneven relationship between aerosol and lightning has been found. The relationship between them increases with decreasing latitude (moving towards the south). It has also been found that the yield of lightning per AOD, cloud per AOD, and rainfall increases when relative humidity increases. However, lightning per rainfall is non-linearly associated with relative humidity. Most of the clouds in region R2 have lightning, with or without rain. A regression equation has been investigated that successfully captures the lightning that occurred in the regions R1 and R2.
{"title":"Lightning Association with Aerosol and Relative Humidity Over Andhra Pradesh and Adjacent Area in Southeast India: A General Prospection","authors":"Deen Mani Lal, Nandivada Umakanth","doi":"10.1007/s00024-024-03509-w","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s00024-024-03509-w","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The association of lightning yield per vertical column aerosol of unit cross section (AOD) with relative humidity and rainfall has been investigated using surface observation as well as satellite data for the south-east Indian peninsula, especially Hyderabad and adjacent areas, from 2019 to 2022. For a healthy finding, the study domain area has been separated into three sub-regions: Region R1 (Lat: 17.7–19.5; Lon: 78.5–84.5); R2 (Lat: 15.1–17.5; Lon: 76–80.1); and R3 (Lat: 12.5–15; Lon: 76–80.1). During the investigation, uneven relationship between aerosol and lightning has been found. The relationship between them increases with decreasing latitude (moving towards the south). It has also been found that the yield of lightning per AOD, cloud per AOD, and rainfall increases when relative humidity increases. However, lightning per rainfall is non-linearly associated with relative humidity. Most of the clouds in region R2 have lightning, with or without rain. A regression equation has been investigated that successfully captures the lightning that occurred in the regions R1 and R2.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":21078,"journal":{"name":"pure and applied geophysics","volume":"181 6","pages":"1987 - 2003"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-05-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141152153","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-05-23DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03494-0
Ahmed Lethy, Usama Massoud, Hany Mesbah, Abbas Mohamed Abbas, Said M. Said
Many quarries in East Cairo are used as solid waste landfills. These locations are now impossible to find from the ground surface due to the urban development of New Cairo. In this study, a subterranean landfill site near the Ring Road in East Cairo, Egypt, was found and delineated using electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) data and multi-temporal high-resolution satellite imagery. Up to 2005, the research location was a WNW-oriented quarry that had been randomly filled with diverse solid materials, according to an analysis of changes shown on the satellite images. Based on the change detection data, ERT survey planning was done. The ERT measurements identified the infill material-occupied electrically conductive zones on the plan view and separated them from the resistive zones, representing the natural soil areas. Two distinct geoelectrical units could be distinguished by combining the satellite images and the ERT results: Unit-2 (the lower unit) is characterized by high resistivity values that characterize the original soil (bedrock), whereas Unit-1 (the upper unit) is defined by low to moderate resistivity values that are the solid waste materials. The contact between the bedrock and the infill materials was mapped and delineated using the closely spaced grid of ERT profiles and the thorough topographic map. Ground surface elevation, the depth of Unit 1’s lower boundary, and this unit’s thickness change throughout the researched site are some criteria that might be addressed and used to characterize the unit of interest (Unit 1).
{"title":"Characterization of a Buried Quarry by Historical Analysis of Satellite Images Integrated with Electrical Resistivity Tomography, East Cairo area, Egypt","authors":"Ahmed Lethy, Usama Massoud, Hany Mesbah, Abbas Mohamed Abbas, Said M. Said","doi":"10.1007/s00024-024-03494-0","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s00024-024-03494-0","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Many quarries in East Cairo are used as solid waste landfills. These locations are now impossible to find from the ground surface due to the urban development of New Cairo. In this study, a subterranean landfill site near the Ring Road in East Cairo, Egypt, was found and delineated using electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) data and multi-temporal high-resolution satellite imagery. Up to 2005, the research location was a WNW-oriented quarry that had been randomly filled with diverse solid materials, according to an analysis of changes shown on the satellite images. Based on the change detection data, ERT survey planning was done. The ERT measurements identified the infill material-occupied electrically conductive zones on the plan view and separated them from the resistive zones, representing the natural soil areas. Two distinct geoelectrical units could be distinguished by combining the satellite images and the ERT results: Unit-2 (the lower unit) is characterized by high resistivity values that characterize the original soil (bedrock), whereas Unit-1 (the upper unit) is defined by low to moderate resistivity values that are the solid waste materials. The contact between the bedrock and the infill materials was mapped and delineated using the closely spaced grid of ERT profiles and the thorough topographic map. Ground surface elevation, the depth of Unit 1’s lower boundary, and this unit’s thickness change throughout the researched site are some criteria that might be addressed and used to characterize the unit of interest (Unit 1).</p></div>","PeriodicalId":21078,"journal":{"name":"pure and applied geophysics","volume":"181 6","pages":"1895 - 1906"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141105288","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-05-15DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03496-y
Zahra Zarunizadeh, Khalil Motaghi, Habib Rahimi
We analyzed 872 local earthquakes recorded by 18 seismic stations to estimate P-, S-, and coda-wave quality factors for NW Iran, an active seismic and geothermal region in the central part of the Alpine-Himalayan orogeny in western Asia. The calculated frequency-dependent attenuation relations are as follows: Qp = 38 ± 2 f1.00±0.07, Qs = 79 ± 2 f0.90±0.17, and Qc = 64 ± 1 f0.86±0.18 (for a lapse time window length of 50 s). The depth variations of Qc were investigated by estimating Qc at five lapse time windows ranging from 30 to 70 s. The Analysis of Qc in sub-regions surrounding Sahand volcano, Sabalan volcano, and Talesh Mountains indicates that Qc is increasing with the increase of the lapse times. However, the Qc values estimated in the areas surrounding the volcanoes are generally lower than those of the Talesh Mountains, confirming a lithospheric contrast between the warm and weak lithosphere of NW Iran and the more rigid South Caspian Basin lithosphere located beneath the Talesh Mountains. The average Qs/Qp ratio in NW Iran is > 1.6 at all frequencies, likely due to a high degree of heterogeneities and thermal activities in the crust.
伊朗西北部位于亚洲西部阿尔卑斯-喜马拉雅造山运动的中部,是一个地震和地热活跃的地区,我们分析了 18 个地震台记录的 872 次当地地震,估算出伊朗西北部的 P 波、S 波和尾波质量因子。计算得出的频率衰减关系如下:Qp = 38 ± 2 f 1.00±0.07,Qs = 79 ± 2 f 0.90±0.17,Qc = 64 ± 1 f 0.86±0.18(时间窗口长度为 50 秒)。萨罕德火山、萨巴兰火山和塔雷什山周围子区域的 Qc 分析表明,Qc 随时间推移而增加。然而,火山周围地区估计的 Qc 值普遍低于塔雷什山脉的 Qc 值,这证实了伊朗西北部温暖而薄弱的岩石圈与位于塔雷什山脉下更加坚硬的南里海盆地岩石圈之间的岩石圈对比。在所有频率下,伊朗西北部的平均 Qs/Qp 比率为 1.6,这可能是由于地壳的高度异质性和热活动造成的。
{"title":"Attenuation of High-Frequency Seismic Waves in NW Iran","authors":"Zahra Zarunizadeh, Khalil Motaghi, Habib Rahimi","doi":"10.1007/s00024-024-03496-y","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s00024-024-03496-y","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We analyzed 872 local earthquakes recorded by 18 seismic stations to estimate P-, S-, and coda-wave quality factors for NW Iran, an active seismic and geothermal region in the central part of the Alpine-Himalayan orogeny in western Asia. The calculated frequency-dependent attenuation relations are as follows: <i>Q</i><sub><i>p</i></sub> = 38 ± 2 <i>f</i> <sup>1.00±0.07</sup>, <i>Q</i><sub><i>s</i></sub> = 79 ± 2 <i>f</i> <sup>0.90±0.17</sup>, and <i>Q</i><sub><i>c</i></sub> = 64 ± 1 <i>f</i> <sup>0.86±0.18</sup> (for a lapse time window length of 50 s). The depth variations of <i>Q</i><sub><i>c</i></sub> were investigated by estimating <i>Q</i><sub><i>c</i></sub> at five lapse time windows ranging from 30 to 70 s. The Analysis of <i>Q</i><sub><i>c</i></sub> in sub-regions surrounding Sahand volcano, Sabalan volcano, and Talesh Mountains indicates that <i>Q</i><sub><i>c</i></sub> is increasing with the increase of the lapse times. However, the <i>Q</i><sub><i>c</i></sub> values estimated in the areas surrounding the volcanoes are generally lower than those of the Talesh Mountains, confirming a lithospheric contrast between the warm and weak lithosphere of NW Iran and the more rigid South Caspian Basin lithosphere located beneath the Talesh Mountains. The average <i>Q</i><sub><i>s</i></sub>/<i>Q</i><sub><i>p</i></sub> ratio in NW Iran is > 1.6 at all frequencies, likely due to a high degree of heterogeneities and thermal activities in the crust.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":21078,"journal":{"name":"pure and applied geophysics","volume":"181 6","pages":"1811 - 1829"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-05-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140940792","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-05-15DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03499-9
Veysi Kartal, Muhammet Emin Emiroglu
Water is one of the most essential elements for human life and must be provided for life necessities. Historical changes in hydro-meteorological data are vital for operating and planning water structures. Drought indices are commonly used in the literature to assess the drought. Long-term streamflow records were used to evaluate the hydrological drought based on the Stream Flow Drought Index (SDI) in Sakarya, Kızılırmak and Yeşilırmak basins located in Turkey for 56 years (1965–2020) with sixteen stations. SDI values were calculated at 1-, 3-, 6-, and 12-month scales based on moving averages (MA) to analyze the drought. Run Test and Double Mass Curve were applied to analyze the streamflow data. Moreover, Sen’s Innovative Trend Detection Test (SITDT), Innovative Polygon Trend Analysis (IPTA), Mann–Kendall and Sen’s slope were applied to evaluate the trend in the streamflow. Findings show that similar results were obtained for SDI-1, SDI-3, SDI-6, and SDI-12 results based on MA at the same stations. Although different droughts occurred, normal droughts were observed more. Downward trends were detected in streamflow data based on IPTA, SITDT, Mann–Kendall and Sen’s slope. As a result, assessment of hydrological drought and trend analysis in these basins will contribute to water resources planning and management in the basins.
{"title":"Hydrological Drought and Trend Analysis in Kızılırmak, Yeşilırmak and Sakarya Basins","authors":"Veysi Kartal, Muhammet Emin Emiroglu","doi":"10.1007/s00024-024-03499-9","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s00024-024-03499-9","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Water is one of the most essential elements for human life and must be provided for life necessities. Historical changes in hydro-meteorological data are vital for operating and planning water structures. Drought indices are commonly used in the literature to assess the drought. Long-term streamflow records were used to evaluate the hydrological drought based on the Stream Flow Drought Index (SDI) in Sakarya, Kızılırmak and Yeşilırmak basins located in Turkey for 56 years (1965–2020) with sixteen stations. SDI values were calculated at 1-, 3-, 6-, and 12-month scales based on moving averages (MA) to analyze the drought. Run Test and Double Mass Curve were applied to analyze the streamflow data. Moreover, Sen’s Innovative Trend Detection Test (SITDT), Innovative Polygon Trend Analysis (IPTA), Mann–Kendall and Sen’s slope were applied to evaluate the trend in the streamflow. Findings show that similar results were obtained for SDI-1, SDI-3, SDI-6, and SDI-12 results based on MA at the same stations. Although different droughts occurred, normal droughts were observed more. Downward trends were detected in streamflow data based on IPTA, SITDT, Mann–Kendall and Sen’s slope. As a result, assessment of hydrological drought and trend analysis in these basins will contribute to water resources planning and management in the basins.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":21078,"journal":{"name":"pure and applied geophysics","volume":"181 6","pages":"1919 - 1943"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-05-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140976473","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-05-11DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03497-x
Javed Akhter, Riddhima Biswas, Lalu Das, Subrata Kumar Midya
The rise of extreme heat events and increase in heat stress under changing climate has been a major concern in recent periods. The present study has been undertaken to analyze temperature extremes and heat stress patterns over Eastern India during the period 1981–2020 for April, May, and June (AMJ). Six indices namely, Monthly maximum value of daily maximum temperature (TXx), Monthly maximum value of daily minimum temperature (TNx), Monthly minimum value of daily maximum temperature (TXn), Monthly minimum value of daily minimum temperature (TNn), Percentage of days when maximum temperature > 90th percentile (TX90p) and minimum temperature > 90th percentile (TN90p) have been utilized to assess the changes in temperature extremes. Furthermore, three heat stress indices (HSIs) namely, Humidex, Simplified Wet-Bulb Globe Temperature, and Apparent Temperature have been used to estimate and categorize heat stress levels. Mixed results with both increasing and decreasing trends over different parts of the study area have been observed during three months in case of TXx, TXn, TNx, and TNn. During AMJ, there has been amplification in the frequency of TX90p over coastal regions of West Bengal and Odisha in latest decades. Increasing TN90p frequency has been found over Sikkim, Bihar, and North Bengal while it has decreased over Chhattisgarh and Odisha. The frequency of strong heat stress has intensified over Gangetic West Bengal and Bihar during recent decades. Spatial coverage of strong stress has also gradually extended and the area under no stress has decreased during AMJ season.
{"title":"Recent Changes in Temperature Extremes and Heat Stress over Eastern India","authors":"Javed Akhter, Riddhima Biswas, Lalu Das, Subrata Kumar Midya","doi":"10.1007/s00024-024-03497-x","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s00024-024-03497-x","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The rise of extreme heat events and increase in heat stress under changing climate has been a major concern in recent periods. The present study has been undertaken to analyze temperature extremes and heat stress patterns over Eastern India during the period 1981–2020 for April, May, and June (AMJ). Six indices namely, Monthly maximum value of daily maximum temperature (TXx), Monthly maximum value of daily minimum temperature (TNx), Monthly minimum value of daily maximum temperature (TXn), Monthly minimum value of daily minimum temperature (TNn), Percentage of days when maximum temperature > 90th percentile (TX90p) and minimum temperature > 90th percentile (TN90p) have been utilized to assess the changes in temperature extremes. Furthermore, three heat stress indices (HSIs) namely, Humidex, Simplified Wet-Bulb Globe Temperature, and Apparent Temperature have been used to estimate and categorize heat stress levels. Mixed results with both increasing and decreasing trends over different parts of the study area have been observed during three months in case of TXx, TXn, TNx, and TNn. During AMJ, there has been amplification in the frequency of TX90p over coastal regions of West Bengal and Odisha in latest decades. Increasing TN90p frequency has been found over Sikkim, Bihar, and North Bengal while it has decreased over Chhattisgarh and Odisha. The frequency of strong heat stress has intensified over Gangetic West Bengal and Bihar during recent decades. Spatial coverage of strong stress has also gradually extended and the area under no stress has decreased during AMJ season.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":21078,"journal":{"name":"pure and applied geophysics","volume":"181 6","pages":"2005 - 2024"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-05-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140940552","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-05-07DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03450-y
Hui Liu, Jing Yu, Jian Song
This study explores the effect of submesoscale topography on baroclinic instability under the quadric shear basic zonal flow is discussed. On the beta plane approximation, the quasi-geostrophic model is used for numerical simulation, and the multiscale model to discuss and verify this problem. A multiscale framework is used to explain the interaction between mesoscale eddies, submesoscale variability, and topographic effects. The multiscale method makes it possible to express the dynamic characteristics of the governing equations with a set of closed systems containing only mesoscale variables. It is found that the interaction between submesoscale topography and baroclinic instability affects some characteristics of mesoscale variability, such as promoting the formation of mesoscale eddies.
{"title":"Effect of Submesoscale Topography on Baroclinic Instability Under the Quadric Shear Basic Zonal Flow","authors":"Hui Liu, Jing Yu, Jian Song","doi":"10.1007/s00024-024-03450-y","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s00024-024-03450-y","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study explores the effect of submesoscale topography on baroclinic instability under the quadric shear basic zonal flow is discussed. On the beta plane approximation, the quasi-geostrophic model is used for numerical simulation, and the multiscale model to discuss and verify this problem. A multiscale framework is used to explain the interaction between mesoscale eddies, submesoscale variability, and topographic effects. The multiscale method makes it possible to express the dynamic characteristics of the governing equations with a set of closed systems containing only mesoscale variables. It is found that the interaction between submesoscale topography and baroclinic instability affects some characteristics of mesoscale variability, such as promoting the formation of mesoscale eddies.</p><p>and the energy and momentum transport of eddies.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":21078,"journal":{"name":"pure and applied geophysics","volume":"181 6","pages":"2051 - 2062"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-05-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140882278","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-05-02DOI: 10.1007/s00024-024-03491-3
Andreas Steinberg, Peter Gaebler, Gernot Hartmann, Johanna Lehr, Christoph Pilger
We test a deep learning based denoising autoencoder algorithm on regional and teleseismic seismological and hydroacoustic datasets, which we compile from the International Monitoring System of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organisation. We focus on stations which can be relevant to investigate North Korean nuclear tests. Denoising of waveform records using autoencoder techniques potentially enables improved signal detection and processing due to lowered signal-to-noise ratios. We train and compare the performance of several different denoising autoencoder models, for short- and long waveform periods, trained on the complete station network as well as on individual stations. We investigate if the denoised waveform signals are useful for seismic source analysis and if they can still be reliably used in downstream analysis for further inferences on the seismic source type, i.e. seismic moment tensor analysis. The declared North Korean nuclear tests are a suitable benchmark test set, as they have extensively been researched and their source type and location might be assumed known. Verification of the source type is of particular interest for potential nuclear tests under international law. We find that care needs to be taken using the denoised waveform data, as a slight bias is introduced in the seismic moment tensor analysis. However we also find promising results hinting at possible future use of the technique for standard analyses, as it improves the investigation of smaller events. Autoencoder based denoising techniques could be employed in future routine frameworks to increase earthquake catalog completeness and possibly aid in detecting smaller potential treaty relevant events.
{"title":"Deep Neural Networks Based Denoising of Regional Seismic Waveforms and Impact on Analysis of North Korean Nuclear Tests","authors":"Andreas Steinberg, Peter Gaebler, Gernot Hartmann, Johanna Lehr, Christoph Pilger","doi":"10.1007/s00024-024-03491-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-024-03491-3","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We test a deep learning based denoising autoencoder algorithm on regional and teleseismic seismological and hydroacoustic datasets, which we compile from the International Monitoring System of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organisation. We focus on stations which can be relevant to investigate North Korean nuclear tests. Denoising of waveform records using autoencoder techniques potentially enables improved signal detection and processing due to lowered signal-to-noise ratios. We train and compare the performance of several different denoising autoencoder models, for short- and long waveform periods, trained on the complete station network as well as on individual stations. We investigate if the denoised waveform signals are useful for seismic source analysis and if they can still be reliably used in downstream analysis for further inferences on the seismic source type, i.e. seismic moment tensor analysis. The declared North Korean nuclear tests are a suitable benchmark test set, as they have extensively been researched and their source type and location might be assumed known. Verification of the source type is of particular interest for potential nuclear tests under international law. We find that care needs to be taken using the denoised waveform data, as a slight bias is introduced in the seismic moment tensor analysis. However we also find promising results hinting at possible future use of the technique for standard analyses, as it improves the investigation of smaller events. Autoencoder based denoising techniques could be employed in future routine frameworks to increase earthquake catalog completeness and possibly aid in detecting smaller potential treaty relevant events.</p>","PeriodicalId":21078,"journal":{"name":"pure and applied geophysics","volume":"47 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140882275","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Traditional rainfall-runoff modeling techniques require large datasets and often an exhaustive calibration process, which is challenging, especially in poorly-gauged basins and resource-limited settings. Therefore, it is necessary to examine new ways of constructing predictive models for runoff that can achieve satisfactory results, while also minimizing the data requirement and model construction time. In this study, the effectiveness of integrating the Random Forest (RF) as an important feature identifier with novel gradient boosted trees to achieve satisfactory results was examined for two adjacent catchments in Vietnam. Antecedent daily runoff in combination with daily and one-day antecedent rainfall was found to significantly influence the runoff at the outlet of the catchments. Categorical Boosting (CatBoost) and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) were effective in predicting day-ahead runoff. For instance, CatBoost with NSE, d, r, and R2 values of 0.92, 0.98, 0.96, and 0.92, respectively, and XGBoost with NSE, d, r, and R2 values of 0.91, 0.98, 0.96, and 0.92, respectively, are well suited for predicting runoff. A comparative analysis of their results with previous studies revealed that the models were very effective since they were able to better reduce generalization errors at different calibration and validation phases. This study presents the integration of RF and gradient boosted trees as a simplified alternative to computationally expensive and data-intensive physically-based rainfall-runoff models. The practitioners can build upon the experimentation presented in this study to minimize the computational time requirement, construction process complexity, and data requirement, which are often serious constraints in physically-based rainfall-runoff modeling.
{"title":"Effectiveness of Integrating Ensemble-Based Feature Selection and Novel Gradient Boosted Trees in Runoff Prediction: A Case Study in Vu Gia Thu Bon River Basin, Vietnam","authors":"Oluwatobi Aiyelokun, Quoc Bao Pham, Oluwafunbi Aiyelokun, Nguyen Thi Thuy Linh, Tirthankar Roy, Duong Tran Anh, Ewa Łupikasza","doi":"10.1007/s00024-024-03486-0","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s00024-024-03486-0","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Traditional rainfall-runoff modeling techniques require large datasets and often an exhaustive calibration process, which is challenging, especially in poorly-gauged basins and resource-limited settings. Therefore, it is necessary to examine new ways of constructing predictive models for runoff that can achieve satisfactory results, while also minimizing the data requirement and model construction time. In this study, the effectiveness of integrating the Random Forest (RF) as an important feature identifier with novel gradient boosted trees to achieve satisfactory results was examined for two adjacent catchments in Vietnam. Antecedent daily runoff in combination with daily and one-day antecedent rainfall was found to significantly influence the runoff at the outlet of the catchments. Categorical Boosting (CatBoost) and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) were effective in predicting day-ahead runoff. For instance, CatBoost with NSE, d, r, and R<sup>2</sup> values of 0.92, 0.98, 0.96, and 0.92, respectively, and XGBoost with NSE, d, r, and R<sup>2</sup> values of 0.91, 0.98, 0.96, and 0.92, respectively, are well suited for predicting runoff. A comparative analysis of their results with previous studies revealed that the models were very effective since they were able to better reduce generalization errors at different calibration and validation phases. This study presents the integration of RF and gradient boosted trees as a simplified alternative to computationally expensive and data-intensive physically-based rainfall-runoff models. The practitioners can build upon the experimentation presented in this study to minimize the computational time requirement, construction process complexity, and data requirement, which are often serious constraints in physically-based rainfall-runoff modeling.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":21078,"journal":{"name":"pure and applied geophysics","volume":"181 5","pages":"1725 - 1744"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-04-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140811386","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}