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Quantitative assessment of the synergistic effect of pollution reduction and carbon reduction in the planting industry from the perspective of marginal abatement costs - Evidence from the main producing areas in the Yangtze River Basin of China 边际减排成本视角下种植业污染减排与碳减排协同效应定量评价——以长江流域主产区为例
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2025.102376
Yangyang Zhu , Xicong Wang , Zhenhong Qi
Promoting the synergistic effects of pollution reduction and carbon reduction (PRCR) in the planting industry is a key path to achieving green, low-carbon, and high-quality agricultural development. Although existing studies have focused on PRCR synergistic effects, few have evaluated it from the perspective of marginal abatement cost, and there is currently no research analyzing the driving factors of PRCR synergistic effects specifically in the planting industry. This study uses the non-radial directional distance function to quantitatively assess the PRCR synergistic effects in the main agricultural production areas of the Yangtze River Basin (YRB) from 2000 to 2023, systematically analyzing its temporal and spatial evolution, regional differences, dynamic development characteristics, driving factors, and the paths for synergistic emission reduction. The study finds that: ①Carbon emissions (PCE) and surface source pollution (PSP) show an inverted “U” shape over time, with PRCR synergistic effects fluctuating upward, and the carbon reduction effect being dominant. ②PRCR synergistic effects exhibit spatial heterogeneity, with high values concentrated in the upstream areas and gradually extending to the midstream, while the midstream remains at a low to medium-high level and the downstream remains low over the long term. The marginal abatement cost of joint emission reduction is the highest in the upstream areas. ③Regional differences show a fluctuating convergence trend, with differences mainly attributed to the contribution of hypervariable density, and a clear catch-up effect between regions. Strengthening PSP control in the downstream areas could accelerate convergence. ④PRCR synergistic effects only show stable aggregation at both high and low levels. The PRCR synergistic effects at various levels are relatively stable, especially the carbon reduction effect. ⑤Optimizing planting structures, promoting agricultural technological progress, increasing financial support for agriculture, and advancing urbanization all contribute to enhancing PRCR synergistic effects. The main agricultural production areas of the YRB (especially the upstream) are better suited to use carbon reduction in the planting industry as the main strategy to achieve higher levels of PRCR synergistic effects, while the midstream regions should balance food security, carbon reduction, and surface source pollution control.
促进种植业污染减排与碳减排的协同效应,是实现绿色、低碳、高质量农业发展的重要路径。虽然现有的研究主要集中在PRCR的协同效应上,但很少从边际减排成本的角度对其进行评价,目前还没有专门分析种植业PRCR协同效应驱动因素的研究。采用非径向定向距离函数定量评价2000 - 2023年长江流域农业主产区PRCR协同效应,系统分析其时空演变、区域差异、动态发展特征、驱动因素及协同减排路径。研究发现:①碳排放(PCE)和地表源污染(PSP)随时间的变化呈倒“U”型,PRCR协同效应向上波动,碳减排效应占主导地位。②PRCR协同效应呈现空间异质性,高值区域集中在上游,并逐渐向中游延伸,中游长期处于低至中高水平,下游长期处于低水平。上游地区联合减排的边际减排成本最高。③区域差异呈现波动趋同趋势,差异主要归因于高变密度的贡献,区域间存在明显的追赶效应。加强对下游地区PSP的控制可以加速趋同。④PRCR协同效应在高、低水平上均表现为稳定聚集。PRCR在各个层面的协同效应相对稳定,尤其是碳减排效应。⑤优化种植结构、促进农业技术进步、加大财政支农力度、推进城镇化等都有利于增强PRCR协同效应。长江三角洲农业主产区(尤其是上游)更适合以种植业减碳为主要战略,实现更高水平的PRCR协同效应,而中游地区应平衡粮食安全、碳减排和地表源污染控制。
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引用次数: 0
On the coherence of composite indexes of well-being: Multiverse analysis for formative models of measurement 幸福感综合指数的一致性:测量形成模型的多元宇宙分析
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2025.102314
Giulio Giacomo Cantone, Venera Tomaselli
Composite indexes are widely used in socio-economic research, yet methodological choices often affect their reliability, leading to variability in results and uncertainty in policy applications. This study applies Multiverse Analysis to systematically assess the robustness of the Italian Equitable and Sustainable Well-being system. 68 alternative specifications for a formative index are fitted. Results show that highly performing provinces exhibit significantly greater variability across the specifications, indicating that index-based assessments may be highly sensitive to methodological assumptions. The choice of aggregation function (e.g., arithmetic vs non-linear means) does not substantially impact uncertainty. However, techniques based on Principal Component Analysis (PCA) inflate the uncertainty in the results, as predicted by authors who question the suitability of PCA for formative measurement.
综合指数广泛应用于社会经济研究,但方法选择往往影响其可靠性,导致结果的可变性和政策应用的不确定性。本研究应用多元宇宙分析系统评估意大利公平和可持续福利系统的稳健性。为形成性指数拟合了68个可选规格。结果表明,表现优异的省份表现出更大的差异,表明基于指数的评估可能对方法假设高度敏感。聚合函数的选择(例如,算术均值与非线性均值)不会对不确定性产生实质性影响。然而,基于主成分分析(PCA)的技术增加了结果的不确定性,正如质疑PCA对形成性测量的适用性的作者所预测的那样。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing public safety through integrated UAV and police patrols 通过集成无人机和警察巡逻加强公共安全
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2025.102334
Shangyao Yan, Tsung-Hsun Hsieh, Yu-Chien Lai
The police departments in Taiwan have been facing a problem in recent years due to the shortage and aging of the police force. The government and research institutes have developed unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) with higher endurance, combined with advanced key technologies, to support police patrols under the concept of the “Aerial Police Vehicle”. This development aims to reduce the workload of the police and make it possible to conduct police patrols in the future by using a combination of police vehicles and UAVs. Given the characteristics of police vehicles and UAVs, this study adopts the time-space network technique, incorporates relevant operational constraints, and adopts the objective of maximizing crime coverage rates to develop the routing and scheduling model for combined UAV-police vehicle patrols. Additionally, this study proposes a heuristic algorithm that utilizes a decomposition technique of patrol resources to efficiently solve this complex problem. The performance of the proposed algorithm was evaluated using a case study created from practical data from a police department in Taiwan, demonstrating that for a large-scale problem with 9 police stations and 91 patrol points, the proposed algorithm achieved a solution with an objective value of 906 for the maximized cumulative crime coverage rate in approximately 884 s, while a commercial solver (CPLEX) failed to find a feasible solution within a time limit of 28,800 s. The recommendations based on the sensitivity and scenario analysis results can be used as a reference for decision-makers to gradually replace police vehicles with UAVs in the future.
近年来,由于警力短缺和老龄化,台湾的警察部门一直面临着一个问题。在“空中警车”的概念下,政府和研究机构开发了具有更高续航力的无人驾驶飞行器(uav),结合先进的关键技术,以支持警察巡逻。这一发展旨在减少警察的工作量,并使未来通过使用警车和无人机的组合进行警察巡逻成为可能。针对警车和无人机的特点,采用时空网络技术,结合相关操作约束,以犯罪覆盖率最大化为目标,建立了无人机-警车联合巡逻的路径调度模型。此外,本研究提出一种启发式演算法,利用巡逻资源分解技术来有效解决这个复杂的问题。以台湾某警察部门的实际数据为例,对所提出算法的性能进行了评估,结果表明,对于具有9个警察局和91个巡逻点的大规模问题,所提出的算法在大约884秒内获得了最大累积犯罪覆盖率的客观值为906的解,而商业求解器(CPLEX)未能在28800秒的时间限制内找到可行的解。基于灵敏度和场景分析结果的建议,可作为决策者在未来逐步用无人机取代警车的参考。
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引用次数: 0
Improving scholarship assignment using approximate dynamic programming: A Chilean case study 利用近似动态规划改进奖学金分配:智利个案研究
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2025.102296
Sofía Redondo , Alejandro Cataldo , José Tomás Marquinez , Pablo A. Rey , Antoine Sauré
A solution approach is proposed for a problem of assigning scholarships under budget constraints and uncertainty regarding the duration of previously awarded scholarships as determined by future renewals. The problem objective is to maximize the sum of the scores of accepted applicants subject to two conditions: (1) no applicant can be assigned a scholarship until assignments have been made to all applicants with higher scores; and (2) the annual budget allocation must first cover all renewals of previous awards. The approach is built around the formulation and approximate solution of a Markov decision process that provides a systematic method for identifying scholarship assignment policies which make efficient use of the annual scholarship budget. The benefits of the approach are analysed in a case study involving a scholarship offered annually in Chile that compares via simulation the solutions generated by various alternative assignment procedures with those of the proposed model. The results suggest that under the latter, 7% to 9% more students would be awarded scholarships each year without increasing the yearly budget.
针对预算限制和以前颁发的奖学金期限不确定的情况下分配奖学金的问题,提出了一种解决办法。问题的目标是最大限度地提高被录取申请人的分数总和,但有两个条件:(1)在分配给所有分数较高的申请人之前,没有申请人可以获得奖学金;(2)年度预算分配必须首先涵盖以往奖项的所有续期。该方法建立在马尔可夫决策过程的公式和近似解的基础上,该决策过程提供了一种系统的方法来确定有效利用年度奖学金预算的奖学金分配政策。在一个涉及智利每年提供的奖学金的案例研究中,分析了该方法的好处,该研究通过模拟比较了由各种替代分配程序产生的解决方案与拟议模型的解决方案。结果表明,在后者下,每年将有7%至9%的学生获得奖学金,而不会增加年度预算。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the effectiveness of recent pension reforms: The French experiment 评估近期养老金改革的有效性:法国的实验
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2025.102335
Jorge Miguel Bravo , Mercedes Ayuso , Najat El Mekkaoui
Reforming public and private pension systems to address the challenges posed by population ageing and a range of economic, labour market, social, political, geopolitical, technological, legal, and regulatory shocks remains a major policy priority for many countries. A widely supported response has been to raise minimum and statutory retirement ages and restrict early exit pathways. These measures aim to boost labour force participation and employment among older individuals, stimulate potential GDP growth and consumption, ease pressure on social security systems, and improve public finances. However, it remains uncertain whether pension reforms alone can prevent a decline in the relative size of the labour force or ensure intergenerational fairness. This paper assesses the effectiveness of recent retirement age reforms in France in stabilising the old-age dependency ratio and securing long-term financial sustainability. It also examines whether these reforms promote intergenerational equity. The findings suggest that the reforms fall short of offsetting the projected decline in the labour force, achieving fairness across generations, and maintaining fiscal balance. The results underscore the need for a holistic and dynamic approach to retirement age policy design.
改革公共和私营养老金制度,以应对人口老龄化和一系列经济、劳动力市场、社会、政治、地缘政治、技术、法律和监管冲击带来的挑战,仍然是许多国家的主要政策重点。一个得到广泛支持的回应是提高最低退休年龄和法定退休年龄,并限制提前退出途径。这些措施旨在提高劳动力参与率和老年人就业率,刺激潜在的GDP增长和消费,缓解社会保障体系的压力,改善公共财政。然而,尚不确定仅靠养老金改革能否阻止劳动力相对规模的下降,或能否确保代际公平。本文评估了法国最近退休年龄改革在稳定老年抚养比和确保长期财务可持续性方面的有效性。它还考察了这些改革是否促进了代际公平。研究结果表明,这些改革无法抵消预计的劳动力减少、实现代际公平以及维持财政平衡。研究结果强调了对退休年龄政策设计采取全面和动态方法的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Institutional variables and power firms’ productivity: Micro panel estimation with time-invariant variables 制度变量与电力企业生产率:含时不变变量的微观面板估计
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2025.102323
Simona Bigerna, Maria Chiara D’Errico, Paolo Polinori
Enhancing the productivity of power firms is essential for reducing energy resource consumption while improving sectoral performance. This objective aligns with circular economy (CE) principles, which emphasize not only reducing raw material use and minimizing waste, but also promoting systemic efficiency through infrastructure sharing, resource recovery, and cross-sectoral integration, particularly crucial in network-based sectors like electricity. Nonetheless, the productivity of electricity firms is influenced by multiple factors, some of which fall beyond their direct control. Among these, institutional frameworks play a significant role. Indeed, internal and external institutions define the environment in which companies operate, conditioning firms’ decision-making processes and productivity. This study investigates the role of institutional determinants in driving productivity changes in electricity companies across 15 European countries between 2010 and 2016, with a particular focus on environmental and market regulatory policies. In sectors like electricity, where long asset lifecycles, infrastructure interdependencies, and resource intensity prevail, CE goals cannot be achieved without institutional conditions that enable long-term investment, coordination, and adaptive capacity. Using the firm-level ORBIS dataset, we estimate productivity changes over time using the bootstrap Malmquist index, then a dynamic panel linear model is applied to investigate how internal and external institutional variables affect the dynamics of the Malmquist index. The internal institutional variables are time-invariant; therefore, we employ the procedure proposed by Kripfganz and Schwarz (2019) to consistently identify the effects of time-invariant variables. This novel approach provides valuable robustness to false assumptions about the exogeneity of instruments. Interaction variables capture the interplay between external and internal institutional variables. The results highlight the importance of matching environmental regulations with firm-specific internal characteristics in order to avoid detrimental effects on firm performance in the power generation sector.
提高电力公司的生产力对于减少能源消耗和改善行业表现至关重要。这一目标与循环经济(CE)原则相一致,循环经济原则不仅强调减少原材料使用和最大限度地减少浪费,还强调通过基础设施共享、资源回收和跨部门整合提高系统效率,这在电力等基于网络的行业尤为重要。然而,电力公司的生产率受到多种因素的影响,其中一些因素超出了它们的直接控制范围。其中,制度框架发挥着重要作用。事实上,内部和外部制度决定了公司的运营环境,制约了公司的决策过程和生产力。本研究调查了2010年至2016年期间15个欧洲国家电力公司的制度决定因素在推动生产力变化中的作用,特别关注环境和市场监管政策。在电力等行业,资产生命周期长、基础设施相互依赖、资源强度大,如果没有能够实现长期投资、协调和适应能力的制度条件,就无法实现节能减排目标。本文利用企业层面的ORBIS数据集,利用自提马尔姆奎斯特指数(bootstrap Malmquist index)估计生产率随时间的变化,然后采用动态面板线性模型研究内部和外部制度变量对马尔姆奎斯特指数动态的影响。内部制度变量是时不变的;因此,我们采用Kripfganz和Schwarz(2019)提出的程序来一致地识别时不变变量的影响。这种新颖的方法为关于工具外生性的错误假设提供了有价值的鲁棒性。相互作用变量捕捉外部和内部制度变量之间的相互作用。结果强调了将环境法规与企业特定的内部特征相匹配的重要性,以避免对发电部门的企业绩效产生不利影响。
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引用次数: 0
Prepositioning of relief supplies jointly by a risk-averse humanitarian organisation and risk-neutral suppliers through an option contract 由规避风险的人道主义组织和风险中立的供应商通过期权合同共同预先部署救济物资
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2025.102348
T Devi Prasad Patra, J.K. Jha
Humanitarian organisations (HOs) depend heavily on option contracts (OCs) to manage the risks involved with relief supply prepositioning. In OCs, HOs often use expected payoffs to make risk-neutral decisions. The risk-neutral approach works best when the uncertain environment lacks catastrophic occurrences or the decision is frequently made under a similar environment. However, this approach may not be appropriate for prepositioning decisions in uncertain environments with catastrophic occurrences, which can have far-reaching effects. As such, this study examines a risk-averse HO teaming with various risk-neutral suppliers through OC to preposition relief supplies collectively to determine its optimal decision. The decisions follow a Stackelberg game between the HO and suppliers. We use the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) measure and the expected profit to determine the prepositioning decisions of the HO and suppliers, respectively. We also assess the condition to coordinate the supply chain and analyse how the degree of HO's risk aversion affects stocking decisions. Furthermore, we compare the prepositioning quantity under OCs with that of a baseline model to identify the conditions under which OC is beneficial.
人道主义组织(HOs)在很大程度上依赖于期权合同(OCs)来管理救济物资预先部署所涉及的风险。在OCs中,HOs通常使用预期收益来做出风险中立的决策。当不确定的环境缺乏灾难性事件或决策经常在类似的环境下做出时,风险中性方法效果最好。然而,这种方法可能不适合在具有灾难性事件的不确定环境中预先定位决策,这可能会产生深远的影响。因此,本研究考察了风险厌恶型组织与各种风险中性供应商合作,通过OC集体预置救济物资,以确定其最优决策。决策遵循HO和供应商之间的Stackelberg博弈。我们分别使用条件风险价值(CVaR)度量和预期利润来确定HO和供应商的预先定位决策。我们还评估了协调供应链的条件,并分析了HO的风险厌恶程度如何影响库存决策。此外,我们比较了OC下的预定位数量与基线模型的预定位数量,以确定OC有利的条件。
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引用次数: 0
University library performance management: Applying zero-sum gains DEA models to resource allocation 高校图书馆绩效管理:零和收益DEA模型在资源配置中的应用
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2020-02-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2020.100808
Marcella Bernardo, Matheus Alves Madeira de Souza, Ramon Sávio Moreira Lopes, Lásara Fabrícia Rodrigues
The management of university libraries faces major challenges in evaluating its performance since in many cases this assessment is performed inappropriately. One of the challenges is the lack of fair approaches to reallocate resources in university library systems. In this context, data envelopment analysis (DEA), a flexible technique that allows the use of multiple inputs and outputs to assess the performance of productive units, may prove useful. In DEA, in addition to the so-called classic models, there are the zero-sum gains (ZSG) models that, when used together, assist in resource allocation. This work aims to develop a powerful approach to help the manager to assess the performance of libraries as well as allow the reallocation of resources within an integrated library system of a university in Brazil. This two-step approach is based on the classic CCR model in the first stage and the ZSG CCR DEA (zero-sum gains data envelopment analysis CCR) model on the next stage, both oriented to inputs. The results show increases in the efficiency of libraries through the redistribution of resources. This approach is invaluable to the management of library systems since it provides an instrument for improving resource utilization.
高校图书馆管理面临着绩效评估的重大挑战,因为在许多情况下,这种评估是不恰当的。其中一个挑战是缺乏公平的方法来重新分配大学图书馆系统的资源。在这方面,数据包络分析(DEA)是一种灵活的技术,可以利用多种投入和产出来评价生产单位的业绩,可能是有用的。在DEA中,除了所谓的经典模型之外,还有零和收益(ZSG)模型,当它们一起使用时,有助于资源分配。这项工作旨在开发一种强有力的方法,帮助管理者评估图书馆的绩效,并允许在巴西一所大学的综合图书馆系统内重新分配资源。该方法基于第一阶段的经典CCR模型和第二阶段的ZSG CCR DEA(零和收益数据包络分析CCR)模型,均面向输入。结果表明,资源的再分配提高了图书馆的效率。这种方法对图书馆系统的管理是无价的,因为它提供了一种改进资源利用的工具。
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引用次数: 0
The required link for actions on green macroprudential implementations to improve circularity performance in Europe: Fresh insights from PVAR 绿色宏观审慎实施行动的必要环节,以提高欧洲的循环绩效:来自PVAR的新见解
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2025.102312
Le Thanh Ha
Green macroprudential policies are expected to be essential tools for maintaining sustainable development by striking a balance between economic growth and environmental sustainability. Our study used a Panel Vector Autoregressive (PVAR) model to examine the relationship between green macroprudential policies and circularity performance from 28 countries between 2005 and 2022. Our findings reveal that green macroprudential policies do not affect circularity in the short term but enhance its efficiency in the long term. Furthermore, while the immediate response to economic growth shocks might be challenging, the long-term benefits of these policies become evident over time. Additionally, circularity received adverse shocks from green macro-prudential volatility during the period, while the reverse relationship was strongly positive. These results underscore the complex interplay between circularity policies and economic factorsThis highlights the need for stronger, well-designed policies that make green macroprudential measures robust enough to support long-term environmental and economic objectives.
预计绿色宏观审慎政策将是通过在经济增长和环境可持续性之间取得平衡来维持可持续发展的重要工具。我们的研究使用面板向量自回归(PVAR)模型来检验2005年至2022年间28个国家的绿色宏观审慎政策与循环绩效之间的关系。研究结果表明,绿色宏观审慎政策在短期内不影响循环,但在长期内提高了循环效率。此外,虽然对经济增长冲击的即时反应可能具有挑战性,但随着时间的推移,这些政策的长期效益会变得明显。此外,循环度在此期间受到绿色宏观审慎波动的不利冲击,而反向关系为强正相关。这些结果强调了循环政策和经济因素之间复杂的相互作用。这突出了需要更强大、设计良好的政策,使绿色宏观审慎措施足够强大,以支持长期的环境和经济目标。
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引用次数: 0
The half is more than the whole: How China's economic growth target affects forest eco-efficiency 一半大于全部:中国经济增长目标如何影响森林生态效率
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2025.102324
Bohao Jin , Heming Wang
With its command economy legacy, China's economic growth target (EGT) can interfere with the health of forest eco-efficiency (FEE). From the ecosystem services perspective, which categorizes outputs into supply, cultural, and regulating services, this study measures FEE of 30 provinces in China from 2006 to 2019. On this basis, this study empirically analyzes the effect of EGT on FEE using fixed effect and threshold regression models. The relevant results are fourfold. (i) FEE initially exhibits volatility before stabilizing, with Fujian leading in average FEE and Hubei recording the peak value in 2016–2017. (ii) EGT shows inverted U-shaped causality on FEE. (iii) Regulatory, normative, and cognitive mechanisms mediate the impact of EGT on FEE, as posited by institutional force theory, and normative and cognitive forces have the 6.5 % threshold value. (iv) Forests that are under community ownership and in regions with higher marketization demonstrate reduced sensitivity to EGT. The study concludes with strategic recommendations for policymakers to bolster sustainable FEE through targeted reforms to advance promotional objectives, refine property rights structure, and enhance ecosystem service compensation.
受计划经济的影响,中国的经济增长目标(EGT)可能会干扰森林生态效率(FEE)的健康。本文从生态系统服务的角度,将产出分为供给服务、文化服务和调节服务,对2006 - 2019年中国30个省份的生态系统服务产出进行了测度。在此基础上,本文运用固定效应和阈值回归模型实证分析了EGT对FEE的影响。相关的结果有四方面。(1) FEE初期呈现波动后趋于稳定,2016-2017年福建平均FEE领先,湖北最高。(ii) EGT对FEE呈倒u型因果关系。(iii)制度力量理论认为,监管机制、规范机制和认知机制介导了EGT对FEE的影响,其中规范机制和认知机制的阈值为6.5%。社区所有的森林和在市场化程度较高的区域,对EGT的敏感性较低。该研究最后为政策制定者提出了战略建议,建议他们通过有针对性的改革来推进促进目标、完善产权结构和加强生态系统服务补偿,从而促进可持续的FEE。
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引用次数: 0
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Socio-economic Planning Sciences
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