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Is Policy Greasing the Wheels of Global Palm Oil Trade? 政策是否在推动全球棕榈油贸易?
Pub Date : 2023-06-19 DOI: 10.36956/rwae.v4i2.859
Shweta Adhikari, Dikshit Poudel, M. Gopinath
Oil palm is the major source of edible oil and feedstock consumed in the world. This study examined the determinants of global palm oil trade with attention to the effects of trade policies using a gravity model, PPML estimator, and the data from 1988-2020. Palm oil’s dramatic trade growth in recent years can be attributed to the economic growth of large countries, the proximity of partners and policies. Trade agreements increased crude and refined palm oil trade by up to 8 and 4 percent of the global import value, respectively. Further, the effects of policy changes due to COVID-19 and the recent export ban in Indonesia are also quantified.
油棕是世界上食用油脂和原料的主要来源。本研究使用重力模型、PPML估计器和1988-2020年的数据,考察了全球棕榈油贸易的决定因素,并关注了贸易政策的影响。近年来棕榈油贸易的急剧增长可归因于大国的经济增长、合作伙伴的接近和政策。贸易协议使原油和精炼棕榈油贸易分别增加了全球进口额的8%和4%。此外,还量化了因COVID-19导致的政策变化和印度尼西亚最近的出口禁令的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the Adoption and Impact of Conservation Agriculture among Smallholder Farmers in Semi-Arid Areas: Evidence from Chamwino District, Tanzania 探讨半干旱地区小农对保护性农业的采用及其影响:来自坦桑尼亚Chamwino地区的证据
Pub Date : 2023-06-09 DOI: 10.36956/rwae.v4i2.801
Noel Yared Selya, Provident Dimoso, Yohana James Mgale
The adoption of Conservation Agriculture (CA) technologies by smallholder farmers is expected to affect agricultural productivity and ultimately improve food security and farm incomes. However, there is still limited empirical evidence on the adoption and effects of CA technologies among smallholder farmers in the semi-arid areas of Tanzania. This study was designed to assess the adoption of CA by smallholder farmers in semi-arid areas. The study used a cross-sectional survey design in four villages in Chamwino districts where CA projects are promoted. A random sample of 260 households was interviewed in this study, including 134 CA adopters and 126 non-CA adopters. Data were collected and analyzed using KoBo and SPSS statistics respectively. Descriptive statistics were used to examine extension approaches applied and analyze the extent of CA adoptions. A logistic regression model explored the determinants influencing farmers’ decisions to adopt CA. In addition, two independent samples t-tests were used to calculate the effect of CA adoption on crop yields and farm incomes. The results show that robust extension services led to a better quality of CA practices on CA farms. Gender, access to extension services, access to agricultural inputs, participation in farmer groups, and access to credit for agriculture significantly influence the adoption of CA. CA adopters achieved better average crop yields and higher farm income per unit area than those who did not adopt CA. Thus, the study recommends that the government and other development actors devote more resources to agricultural extension services and mechanization to support and increase the scaling up of CA technologies. There is also a need to establish and strengthen monitoring and evaluation systems to ensure coherence, impact and sustainability of CF programs in semi-arid areas of Tanzania.
小农采用保护性农业(CA)技术预计将影响农业生产力,并最终改善粮食安全和农业收入。然而,关于在坦桑尼亚半干旱地区的小农中采用CA技术及其效果的经验证据仍然有限。本研究旨在评估半干旱地区小农对CA的采用情况。该研究在Chamwino地区推广CA项目的四个村庄采用了横断面调查设计。本研究随机抽取260户家庭进行访谈,其中134户采用CA, 126户不采用CA。数据收集和分析分别采用KoBo和SPSS统计软件。描述性统计用于检查应用的扩展方法并分析CA采用的程度。逻辑回归模型探讨了影响农民采用CA决策的决定因素。此外,使用两个独立样本t检验来计算CA采用对作物产量和农场收入的影响。结果表明,健壮的扩展服务可以提高CA农场CA实践的质量。性别、获得推广服务的机会、获得农业投入物的机会、参加农民团体以及获得农业信贷的机会对采用农业信用制度有重大影响。采用农业信用制度的人比未采用农业信用制度的人实现了更高的平均作物产量和单位面积农业收入。该研究建议政府和其他发展行为体在农业推广服务和机械化方面投入更多资源,以支持和扩大农作技术的推广。还需要建立和加强监测和评估系统,以确保CF项目在坦桑尼亚半干旱地区的一致性、影响力和可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
Development Trends of the Market of Agricultural Lending to Households in Ukraine: Analysis of Consumer and Mortgage Loans 乌克兰农户农业贷款市场的发展趋势:消费贷款和抵押贷款分析
Pub Date : 2023-06-06 DOI: 10.36956/rwae.v4i2.846
S. Andros, V. Gerasymchuk
The purpose of the article is to assess the conditions and identify the features of the market for consumer and mortgage lending to households based on the economic and statistical analysis of the data panel. The instrumental and methodological apparatus of the article compiled general scientific principles and approaches to economic analysis: Scientific abstraction, analysis and synthesis, grouping, typology, comparison, qualitative and quantitative expert assessments; logical and contextual methods of processing theoretical material, as well as the method of economic and statistical comparisons. The article analyzes the dynamics of consumer and mortgage loans for households in Ukraine from 2007 to 2023, and highlights their socio-economic significance. The main problems in the field of consumer lending are formulated, the resolution of which is necessary for the intensive agricultural activity of households. It has been established that, despite the accumulation of certain experiences in the banking sector, the mortgage lending market has not become massive today. It is concluded that the reasons for this situation are the difficulty in the practical application of legislative regulations aimed at protecting the interests of creditors; high level of interest rates; low level of real income of households and, consequently, low effective demand for mortgage loans; the impossibility of mass provision of long-term mortgage loans due to high risk (interest, credit, legislative); almost complete exclusion of the state from participation in the formation of a civilized market for housing mortgage lending. The prerequisites for the further development of consumer and mortgage lending to households in Ukraine are formulated. The prospects for development and the main directions for improving consumer and mortgage lending to households are determined.
本文的目的是根据数据面板的经济和统计分析,评估条件并确定消费者和家庭抵押贷款市场的特征。本文的工具和方法编制了经济分析的一般科学原理和方法:科学抽象、分析和综合、分组、类型学、比较、定性和定量专家评估;处理理论材料的逻辑和上下文方法,以及经济和统计比较的方法。本文分析了2007年至2023年乌克兰家庭消费和抵押贷款的动态,并强调了其社会经济意义。提出了消费贷款领域的主要问题,解决这些问题对于家庭的集约化农业活动是必要的。已经确定的是,尽管银行业积累了一定的经验,但抵押贷款市场今天并没有变得庞大。得出的结论是,造成这种情况的原因是,旨在保护债权人利益的立法规定在实际应用中存在困难;高利率;家庭实际收入水平低,导致抵押贷款有效需求低;由于高风险(利息、信用、立法),不可能大规模提供长期抵押贷款;几乎完全排除国家参与,形成了一个文明的住房抵押贷款市场。制定了进一步发展乌克兰家庭消费和抵押贷款的先决条件。确定了发展前景和改善家庭消费和抵押贷款的主要方向。
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引用次数: 0
Agricultural Research in Colombia: Counterpoint with the Brazilian System 哥伦比亚的农业研究:与巴西体系的对比
Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.36956/rwae.v4i2.848
Heiber Andres Trujillo, C. Bacha
This paper analyzes the evolution and structure of Colombia's agricultural research network, paying special attention to the role of government expenditures in modeling this system. The authors also compare the Colombian agricultural network with the path followed by the Brazilian agricultural sector, which has been considered a pattern in South America. For this purpose, a bibliographic review and historical and institutional data are presented. Although agricultural research in Colombia began in the early 20th century, it has evolved more recently with the creation of different public and private institutions linked to the National Science and Technology System. However, agriculture and its research sector have faced major challenges related to government endowments that are needed to fund infrastructure and demand for researchers, as well as lower competitiveness compared to their Brazilian counterparts determined by social profit.
本文分析了哥伦比亚农业研究网络的演变和结构,特别关注政府支出在该系统建模中的作用。这组作者还将哥伦比亚的农业网络与巴西农业部门所遵循的路径进行了比较,后者被认为是南美洲的一种模式。为此目的,提出了书目审查和历史和机构数据。尽管哥伦比亚的农业研究始于20世纪初,但随着与国家科学技术系统有联系的不同公共和私人机构的建立,它最近才得到发展。然而,农业及其研究部门面临着与政府捐赠有关的重大挑战,这些捐赠需要用于资助基础设施和对研究人员的需求,以及与由社会利润决定的巴西同行相比较低的竞争力。
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引用次数: 0
Navigating the Path to Sustainable Oil Palm Cultivation: Addressing Nexus Challenges and Solutions 导航可持续油棕种植之路:解决Nexus的挑战和解决方案
Pub Date : 2023-05-22 DOI: 10.36956/rwae.v4i2.835
G. Pulighe
Global palm oil demand for energy, food, and chemical uses has led to a rapid expansion of tree plantations in Southeast Asia, Central Africa, Latin America and the Caribbean. This oil tree is the world’s most productive, highly profitable and traded vegetable oil crop, and the demand is expected to increase further in the near future. Nevertheless, oil palm expansion involves risks and nexus challenges. This work supports the idea that disruptive farming intensification, instead of land expansion, could scale up productivity, reducing the anthropogenic pressure on tropical forests and biodiversity losses. Findings from recent studies suggest that there is considerable scope for further yield improvements per hectare of palm oil with sustainable agronomic practices and farming intensification. Smallholder producers, agribusiness investors, civil society actors, NGOs, governments, researchers, and industry should make coordinated efforts with regulatory and support schemes and landscape design to increase yield and productivity with sustainable management practices and to achieve zero deforestation by protecting ecosystems.
全球棕榈油对能源、食品和化学用途的需求导致东南亚、中非、拉丁美洲和加勒比地区的人工林迅速扩张。这种油树是世界上产量最高、利润最高、贸易量最大的植物油作物,预计在不久的将来需求将进一步增加。然而,油棕扩张涉及风险和关系挑战。这项工作支持这样一种观点,即破坏性的农业集约化,而不是土地扩张,可以提高生产力,减少热带森林的人为压力和生物多样性的丧失。最近的研究结果表明,通过可持续的农艺做法和农业集约化,每公顷棕榈油的产量还有很大的提高空间。小农生产者、农业综合企业投资者、民间社会行为者、非政府组织、政府、研究人员和产业界应通过监管和支持计划以及景观设计作出协调一致的努力,通过可持续的管理实践提高产量和生产力,并通过保护生态系统实现零毁林。
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引用次数: 0
Screening of Elite Mungbean Genotypes (Vigna radiata (L.) Wilczek) through Multivariate Analysis for Food and Nutritional Security 绿豆优良基因型(Vigna radiata, L.)的筛选Wilczek)通过食品和营养安全的多变量分析
Pub Date : 2023-05-10 DOI: 10.36956/rwae.v4i2.814
Sanhita Ghosh, Anindita Roy, S. Kundagrami
The ever-increasing urbanization to accommodate the growing population reduces substantially the agricultural land but poses a threat to meeting the requirement of proper nutrition for human health. Mungbean [Vigna radiata (L.) Wilczek] is a unique gift bestowed by nature to mankind, which has the potency to make up the gap of protein shortage with an inexpensive cost, but due to its low level of production as well as productivity, which in a roundabout way influences the nutritional status of people resulting in malnutrition. Therefore, enhancement of the total area under mungbean cultivation is not permissible, and an increase in the total productivity per unit area is necessary. In this manner, screening and evaluation of improved genotypes for high yield are necessary to ensure food security. But at the same time seed yield being a complex character governed by several other contributing traits, selection for the characters proves to be quite challenging. As a prerequisite for any breeding program aimed at yield enhancement presence of significant genetic diversity in a given population is highly important. In the present investigation principal component analysis was performed and the results revealed two principal components contributing to the total variance in the population. While the PC1 was predominated by yield and its attributing traits, the PC2 was mainly comprised of growth-related traits. The hierarchical (UPGMA) cluster analysis using standardized data classified the fifty-two mungbean genotypes into 4 clusters, which showed 2 major, 1 minor and one outlier. Among them, cluster II is the most fascinating, as its individual had high seed yield plant–1 and related traits. The present work concluded that the identification of promising high-yielding mungbean genotypes through multivariate analysis has a good promise for future breeding programs with a view of food and nutritional security.
为适应不断增长的人口而不断推进的城市化大大减少了农业用地,但对满足人类健康所需的适当营养构成了威胁。绿豆[Vigna radiata [L.]Wilczek]是大自然赐予人类的独特礼物,它具有以低廉的成本弥补蛋白质短缺缺口的潜力,但由于其生产水平和生产力较低,间接影响了人们的营养状况,导致营养不良。因此,不允许增加绿豆种植总面积,而必须提高单位面积的总生产力。因此,筛选和评价高产改良基因型对于确保粮食安全是必要的。但同时,种子产量是一个复杂的性状,受其他几个贡献性状的支配,性状的选择证明是相当具有挑战性的。作为任何旨在提高产量的育种计划的先决条件,在给定群体中存在显著的遗传多样性是非常重要的。在本调查中进行了主成分分析,结果揭示了两个主成分对总体方差的贡献。PC1以产量及其归因性状为主,而PC2则以生长相关性状为主。采用标准化数据进行UPGMA聚类分析,将52个绿豆基因型分为4个聚类,其中2个主要聚类,1个次要聚类,1个异常聚类。其中,集群II最引人注目,因为它的个体具有高产量的植物- 1和相关性状。本研究表明,通过多变量分析鉴定高产绿豆基因型对未来的育种计划具有良好的前景,从粮食和营养安全的角度考虑。
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引用次数: 0
Resilience of Grain Storage Markets to Upheaval in Futures Markets 粮食储存市场对期货市场动荡的弹性
Pub Date : 2023-04-25 DOI: 10.36956/rwae.v4i2.826
E. Hayhurst, B. Brorsen
The past two decades have had times when grain cash and futures markets did not converge during delivery. What was the economic impact of this non-convergence on storage markets? To answer this question the supply of storage is estimated for corn, soybeans, and wheat. The lack of convergence is measured using a historical basis. The econometric model shows no relationship between the supply of storage and the lack of convergence. Thus, empirical results suggest that markets were able to adapt to the lack of convergence. Overall, the research indicates the resilience of storage markets to structural change.
过去20年里,谷物现货市场和期货市场在交割过程中出现过不一致的情况。这种不融合对存储市场的经济影响是什么?为了回答这个问题,我们估计了玉米、大豆和小麦的储粮供应。缺乏收敛性是使用历史基础来衡量的。计量经济模型显示,存储供给与不收敛之间没有关系。因此,实证结果表明,市场能够适应趋同的缺乏。总体而言,研究表明储能市场对结构变化具有弹性。
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引用次数: 0
The Contribution of Work Experience on Earnings Inequality of Migrant Workers: Decompositions Based on the Quantile Regression Equation 工作经验对农民工收入不平等的影响:基于分位数回归方程的分解
Pub Date : 2023-04-07 DOI: 10.36956/rwae.v4i1.819
Jiaqi Peng, Jun Li, Ling Ma, Zhiwang Lv
This paper aims at excavating the influence factors of the earning inequality, due to the increasing contribution of earing inequality to income inequality in rural region. The authors examine the contribution of work experience on the earning inequality using a survey data. Employed the quantile regression, they estimate the Mincer equation of migrant workers' earnings, and decompose earning inequality by the regression-based decomposition. It has been found that the effects of work experience had been one of most important contributors to earnings inequality, and its contribution is close to 20%. Furthermore, the authors use the same method to examine the effects for male migrant workers, the results show that work experience had a steady contribution to earing inequality.
由于收入不平等对农村地区收入不平等的贡献越来越大,本文旨在挖掘收入不平等的影响因素。作者使用调查数据检验了工作经验对收入不平等的贡献。采用分位数回归估计农民工收入的Mincer方程,并通过基于回归的分解对收入不平等进行分解。研究发现,工作经验的影响是造成收入不平等的最重要因素之一,其贡献接近20%。此外,作者使用相同的方法考察了对男性农民工的影响,结果表明,工作经验对收入不平等有稳定的贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Cluster-based Improved Sorghum Production and Commercialization in Nyangatom Woreda of South Omo Zone, Southern Ethiopia 埃塞俄比亚南部南奥莫区Nyangatom wooreda以集群为基础的高粱改良生产和商业化
Pub Date : 2023-03-30 DOI: 10.36956/rwae.v4i1.809
Awoke Tadesse, Asmera Adicha, T. Yoseph, Anteneh Tadesse
Cluster-based improved sorghum (Melkam variety) production and commercialization was demonstrated in Nyanghtom Woreda of the South Omo Zone for one year (2021) to improve agro-pastoralists’ awareness, enhance the adaptation of full-package production technologies, and increase the economic visibility of improved sorghum cultivation. The production was started in a single kebele with a 7-hectare area of coverage. Twenty-five purposively selected direct beneficiaries and twenty-five randomly selected indirect beneficiaries from a neighbor were involved in the production. Direct beneficiaries cultivated sorghum on 0.28 hectares of land. At various stages of crop growth, monitoring, evaluation, and fieldwork were done by both beneficiaries and indirect beneficiaries. Face-to-face interviews with sorghum producers and non-producers were undertaken. Simple descriptive statistics were used to examine quantitative data, like grain yield, whereas the Likert scale was used for qualitative data such as agro-pastoralists perceptions. The result revealed that 30 quintal sorghum grain yield per hectare was obtained from improved sorghum (Melkam variety). The average return obtained from the sale of sorghum grain per hectare was 120,144 ETB. Agropastoralists’ perception result revealed that the “Melkam” variety is a higher yielder, and early matured as compared to local. Therefore, cluster-based sorghum production should be promoted for local sorghum growers in order to improve sorghum production sustainability and also seed system should take into account the provision of improved Melkam variety seed.
以集群为基础的改良高粱(Melkam品种)生产和商业化在南奥莫区Nyanghtom wooreda进行了为期一年(2021年)的示范,以提高农牧民的意识,增强对全包装生产技术的适应能力,提高改良高粱种植的经济知名度。生产开始于一个占地7公顷的kebele。有意选择的25名直接受益人和随机选择的25名邻居间接受益人参与了生产。直接受益者在0.28公顷的土地上种植高粱。在作物生长的各个阶段,受益者和间接受益者都进行了监测、评价和实地工作。对高粱生产者和非生产者进行了面对面访谈。简单的描述性统计用于检验定量数据,如粮食产量,而李克特量表用于定性数据,如农牧民的看法。结果表明,改良高粱(Melkam品种)每公顷籽粒产量可达30分之一。每公顷高粱谷物销售的平均收益为120,144 ETB。农牧民的感知结果显示,与当地品种相比,“Melkam”品种产量更高,成熟时间更早。因此,为提高高粱生产的可持续性,当地高粱种植户应推广高粱集群生产,种子制度也应考虑提供改良的Melkam品种种子。
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引用次数: 1
Economic Analysis of Locally Produced Aquaculture Feeds with Complements of Plant-based Ingredients in Kainji Lake Basin, Nigeria 尼日利亚Kainji湖盆地当地生产的水产养殖饲料中添加植物性成分的经济分析
Pub Date : 2023-03-17 DOI: 10.36956/rwae.v4i1.785
J. E. Omeje, A. Achike, G. Nwabeze, L. M. O. Ibiyo, S. Jimmy
Optimization through cost minimization is a key strategy aquaculture feed producers adopt to ensure a continuous supply of fish in the global market. In light of this consideration, the study analyzed the economics of locally produced aquaculture feeds by complementing fishmeal with plant-based sources of ingredients. Specifically, the study estimated the cost and returns, socio-economic determinants of net income, and challenges of local feed production. Using a survey design, a case study approach was used to collect data from 36 aquaculture feed producers/millers. The data were presented using descriptive statistics, budgetary techniques, and two-stage least squares regression analysis. Key findings established that the majority (78.12%) of aquaculture local feed producers were men, and 43.75% had tertiary educational qualifications with a good number of years of experience. The profitability indicators show that aquaculture local feed production is profitable with 3.24% net returns on investment. The result further indicates that the incorporation of plantbased sources of ingredients reduced the utilization of Fishmeal (Clupeids) by 50%. Also, the regression analysis shows that the years of experience and initial capital investment were statistically significant (p < 0.05) determinants of net income while the major challenges in aquaculture local feed production were lack of perfect substitute for Fishmeal ( =2.94), government regulations on the harvest of Clupeids used for Fishmeal ( =2.91), poor access to capital ( =2.88) and high cost of machine spare parts ( =2.88). Based on the findings, it is recommended that fish nutritionists should intensify research on the production of fish feeds with a sole plant source of ingredients.
通过成本最小化进行优化是水产养殖饲料生产商为确保在全球市场上持续供应鱼类而采取的关键策略。考虑到这一点,该研究分析了当地生产的水产养殖饲料的经济性,方法是用植物性原料补充鱼粉。具体而言,该研究估计了成本和回报、纯收入的社会经济决定因素以及当地饲料生产的挑战。采用调查设计,采用案例研究方法收集了36家水产养殖饲料生产商/磨坊主的数据。数据采用描述性统计、预算技术和两阶段最小二乘回归分析。主要调查结果表明,大多数(78.12%)水产养殖当地饲料生产者是男性,43.75%具有高等教育学历和多年工作经验。盈利能力指标表明,养殖地方饲料生产具有盈利能力,净投资回报率为3.24%。结果进一步表明,植物性原料的加入使鱼粉(Clupeids)的利用率降低了50%。此外,回归分析显示,经验年数和初始资本投资是决定净收入的因素,具有统计学意义(p < 0.05),而水产养殖地方饲料生产面临的主要挑战是缺乏完美的鱼粉替代品(=2.94),政府对用于鱼粉的竹荚鱼的捕捞规定(=2.91),难以获得资金(=2.88)和机器备件成本高(=2.88)。基于这一发现,建议鱼类营养学家加强对单一植物原料鱼饲料生产的研究。
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引用次数: 0
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Research on World Agricultural Economy
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