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Political Behavior: Cognition最新文献

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Great Games and Competing Interests of Regional and Extra-regional Players Competing Interests of Regional and Extra-regional Players 大博弈与区域外玩家的利益竞争区域外玩家的利益竞争
Pub Date : 2020-01-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3668557
Sajid Ali, Muhammad Naeem, Muhammad Fahim Khan
This paper is aimed to explore the question of how the Great Games poses different socio economic, political and security challenges to regional countries especially Central Asia, Afghanistan and Pakistan. As Afghanistan is bordered with Central Asia which is the chessboard of big power since 19 th century due to its position of huge amount of natural resources and strategic location. Different proxy wars in region especially in Afghanistan by regional and extra regional countries to project their strategic interests, which changed the dynamics of the social, economic and political stability of regional countries. This power politics in the region created a lot of internal and external challenges for Today's financial stalemate of the region, political instability, ethnic diversification, disunity, religious extremism, terrorism, worst law and order situation and lack of power sharing are the results of great games and competing interests of regional and extra regional powers in the region. The involvement of US, NATO and ISAF and their influx of billions of dollars in the form of aid has significantly improved Afghanistan's economic circumstances but the social, political and security situation remain the same.
本文旨在探讨大运动会如何给地区国家,特别是中亚、阿富汗和巴基斯坦带来不同的社会、经济、政治和安全挑战。由于阿富汗毗邻中亚,自19世纪以来,由于其丰富的自然资源和战略位置,中亚一直是大国的棋盘。本地区和域外国家为实现其战略利益而在本地区特别是阿富汗发动的各种代理人战争,改变了本地区国家社会、经济和政治稳定的动态。这一地区的强权政治给今天的地区金融僵局、政治不稳定、民族多元化、分裂、宗教极端主义、恐怖主义、最糟糕的法律和秩序状况以及缺乏权力分享造成了许多内部和外部的挑战,这些都是区域和区域外大国在该地区的巨大博弈和利益竞争的结果。美国、北约和国际安全援助部队的参与及其以援助形式流入的数十亿美元大大改善了阿富汗的经济状况,但社会、政治和安全局势仍未改变。
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引用次数: 0
La CSS al desarrollo transfronterizo: El caso del programa escuelas Bilingües de Frontera (SSC to Cross-Border Development: The Case of ‘Programa Escuelas Bilingües De Frontera’) CSS到跨境发展:以“边境双语学校项目”为例
Pub Date : 2019-11-12 DOI: 10.18601/16577558.n31.07
Debora Fagaburu
Este artículo propone un marco analítico/metodológico para orientar el estudio de la Cooperación Sur-Sur al Desarrollo (CSSD) en zonas de frontera y su vinculación con la modalidad descentralizada. Particularmente en América Latina, la CSSD se caracteriza por ser técnica e intergubernamental, la cual busca generar y fortalecer las capacidades nacionales. Su fin último es apoyar el proceso de desa­rrollo socio-económico, pero este “camino” puede verse obstaculizado ante la inexistencia de una participación activa de las unidades sub-nacionales de gobierno y de otros actores locales, como la sociedad civil del territorio. A partir del Programa Escuelas Bilingües de Frontera, implementado inicialmente por Argentina y Brasil, se demuestra que una expe­riencia de CSSD transfronteriza también puede ser descentralizada, se puede ampliar al ámbito multilateral y arrojar beneficios compartidos sostenibles, con un rol protagónico de los ac­tores locales.
本文提出了一个分析/方法框架,以指导边界地区南南发展合作(CSSD)的研究及其与分散模式的联系。特别是在拉丁美洲,CSSD的特点是技术和政府间的,旨在建立和加强国家能力。它的最终目标是支持社会经济发展进程,但由于地方政府单位和其他地方行动者(如领土内的民间社会)缺乏积极参与,这一“道路”可能受到阻碍。在阿根廷和巴西最初实施的边境双语学校项目中,它证明了跨界CSSD的经验也可以分散,可以扩展到多边层面,并在当地行动者的领导下产生可持续的利益分享。
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引用次数: 1
El Brexit y el Futuro de Europa (Brexit and the Future of Europe) 英国脱欧与欧洲的未来
Pub Date : 2019-11-12 DOI: 10.18601/16577558.n31.09
Pedro Manuel Rodríguez Suárez
Este artículo analiza las relaciones entre el Reino Unido y la Unión Europea (UE), desde la ardua incorporación británica en la enton­ces Comunidad Europea hasta el fenómeno del Brexit. En este orden de ideas, este ensayo posee tres objetivos cardinales. El primero, evalúa las variables que han estado presentes a través de la historia en relación con el histórico distanciamiento británico vis-á-vis el proceso de integración del viejo continente. El segun­do, analiza desde una perspectiva histórica las administraciones de los ex primeros ministros británicos y sus intereses en relación con la membresía del Reino Unido en la UE. El tercer y último objetivo, crea un escenario hipotético inherente a las consecuencias que eventual­mente podrían presentarse para el Reino Uni­do y la UE en relación con el eventual fin de la membresía británica de la UE.
本文分析了英国与欧盟(eu)之间的关系,从英国艰难地加入当时的欧洲共同体到英国退欧现象。在这方面,本文有三个主要目标。首先,它评估了历史上存在的变量,这些变量与英国历史上与旧大陆一体化进程的距离有关。第二部分从历史的角度分析了英国前首相的政府以及他们在英国加入欧盟方面的利益。第三个也是最后一个目标,创造了一个假设的场景,固有的后果,英国和欧盟可能出现的与英国最终结束欧盟成员国身份有关的后果。
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引用次数: 1
Valence, Complementarities, and Political Polarization 价态、互补性和政治极化
Pub Date : 2019-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3495110
Philipp Denter
Abstract I study a model of electoral competition where two parties that care about both the spoils of office and policy compete by announcing policy platforms. Parties are characterized by their valence on the one hand and by their policy platforms on the other. Unlike in the extant literature, I assume that valence and policy are complements (instead of substitutes) from the voter's perspective. I generally characterize electoral equilibrium and show that in such a framework increasing one or both parties' valence level(s) leads to policy moderation. To the contrary, if both parties have minimal valence policy platforms are maximally polarized. The model hence uncovers valence as an important determinant of political polarization.
摘要本文研究了一个选举竞争模型,其中两个政党既关心职位利益,也关心政策利益,他们通过宣布政策纲领来竞争。政党的特点一方面是他们的价值观,另一方面是他们的政策纲领。与现有文献不同,我认为从选民的角度来看,价和政策是互补的(而不是替代的)。我一般描述选举均衡,并表明在这样的框架下,增加一个或两个政党的价格水平会导致政策温和。相反,如果两党都有最小的价值,政策平台就会最大程度地两极化。因此,该模型揭示了价格是政治两极分化的重要决定因素。
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引用次数: 3
Homophily in Social Media and News Polarization 社交媒体的同质性和新闻极化
Pub Date : 2019-09-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3468416
Luis Abreu, Doh-Shin Jeon
We consider an ad-financed media firm that chooses the ideological location of its news and targets consumers who can share the news with their followers on online social media. After studying how a targeted consumer's incentive to share the news is shaped by the network structure of her followers, we study the firm's strategy to maximize the breadth of news sharing and find that when the mean (respectively, the variance) of followers' ideological locations is a convex (respectively, concave) function of a direct consumer's location, the firm is likely to produce polarized news.
我们考虑一家广告资助的媒体公司,它选择新闻的意识形态定位,并以能够在在线社交媒体上与其追随者分享新闻的消费者为目标。在研究了目标消费者分享新闻的动机如何受到其追随者的网络结构的影响后,我们研究了公司最大化新闻分享广度的策略,并发现当追随者的意识形态位置的均值(分别为方差)是直接消费者位置的凸函数(分别为凹函数)时,公司可能会产生两极分化的新闻。
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引用次数: 6
Partisan Subconstituencies and Polarization in the U.S. 美国的党派选区和两极化
Pub Date : 2019-09-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3449455
Daniel M. Butler
I study the change in polarization in the U.S. Senate from the period 1947-1966 to 1995-2014. I use a decomposition approach to quantify how much of the increase in polarization over that period can be explained by the representation relationship with all voters versus the representation relationship with copartisans. The decomposition also identifies the portion that arose from voters changing positions and how much arose from politicians changing how responsive they are to voters. I find that the representation relationship explains a majority of the increase in polarization. Further, I find that Republicans have become more conservative because they have become more responsive to the positions of their copartisan base. Copartisan subconstituencies matter for representation and are a source of increased polarization.The data also shows Democrats have contributed to polarization because the overall electorate in their districts have become more socially liberal.
我研究了1947-1966年至1995-2014年期间美国参议院两极分化的变化。我使用一种分解方法来量化那段时间内两极分化的增加有多少可以用与所有选民的代表关系和与合作伙伴的代表关系来解释。分解还确定了选民改变立场所产生的部分,以及政治家改变对选民的反应程度所产生的部分。我发现代表关系解释了两极分化的主要原因。此外,我发现共和党人变得更加保守,因为他们对自己的合作伙伴基础的立场更加敏感。党派从属选区关系到代表权,是两极分化加剧的根源。数据还显示,民主党人造成了两极分化,因为他们所在选区的整体选民在社会上变得更加自由。
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引用次数: 0
Political Effects of the Internet and Social Media 互联网和社交媒体的政治影响
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3439957
R. Enikolopov, M. Petrova, E. Zhuravskaya
How do the Internet and social media affect political outcomes? We review empirical evidence from the recent political economy literature, focusing primarily on work that considers traits that distinguish the Internet and social media from traditional off-line media, such as low barriers to entry and reliance on user-generated content. We discuss the main results about the effects of the Internet in general, and social media in particular, on voting, street protests, attitudes toward government, political polarization, xenophobia, and politicians’ behavior. We also review evidence on the role of social media in the dissemination of fake news, and we summarize results about the strategies employed by autocratic regimes to censor the Internet and to use social media for surveillance and propaganda. We conclude by highlighting open questions about how the Internet and social media shape politics in democracies and autocracies.
互联网和社交媒体如何影响政治结果?我们回顾了近期政治经济学文献中的经验证据,主要关注那些将互联网和社交媒体与传统线下媒体区分开来的特征,如低进入门槛和对用户生成内容的依赖。我们讨论了互联网,特别是社交媒体对投票、街头抗议、对政府的态度、政治两极分化、仇外心理和政治家行为的影响的主要结果。我们还审查了有关社交媒体在传播假新闻中的作用的证据,并总结了专制政权审查互联网和利用社交媒体进行监视和宣传的策略的结果。最后,我们强调了互联网和社交媒体如何塑造民主国家和专制国家的政治的开放性问题。
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引用次数: 225
Advertising and Voter Data in Asymmetric Political Contests 不对称政治竞选中的广告和选民数据
Pub Date : 2019-08-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3242301
Priyanka Sharma, Liad Wagman
Abstract We study a political contest where two candidates advertise on a platform to persuade voters to vote in their favor. Voters a priori favor one of the candidates. The extent of a candidate’s favorability can be ascertained by a data intermediary who can decide to sell this information to one, both or neither of the candidates. We contrast the intermediary’s incentives for selling information with the platform’s incentives for maximizing candidates’ advertising expenditures, and show that the two are always at conflict. Our findings suggest that tensions may exist between social-media platforms, which often generate data that an intermediary may collect, and an intermediary whose data sale choice can lower the platform’s profit from advertisements. We characterize conditions under which the intermediary can influence the outcome of the contest.
我们研究了一场政治竞赛,两名候选人在一个平台上做广告,说服选民投票给他们。选民们先验地支持其中一位候选人。候选人的受欢迎程度可以由数据中介确定,数据中介可以决定将这些信息出售给候选人中的一个、两个或两个。我们对比了中介机构出售信息的动机和平台最大化候选人广告支出的动机,并表明两者总是处于冲突状态。我们的研究结果表明,社交媒体平台之间可能存在紧张关系,社交媒体平台经常产生中介可能收集的数据,而中介的数据销售选择可能会降低平台从广告中获得的利润。我们描述了中介可以影响竞争结果的条件。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of Income Gap: Happiness, Cost and Midlife Crisis 收入差距的影响:幸福感、成本与中年危机
Pub Date : 2019-07-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3428809
Luping Wang
Personal happiness, economic and social behavior and organizational behavior are widely concerned. New concepts and tools are defined such as ability income, expected income, expected difference, and income gap. With these new tools, this paper provides an in-depth analysis of common social and economic issues: statistics on the gap between rich and poor, midlife crisis, lifelong learning, layoff, happiness-income paradox, U-shaped curve of happiness, pension systems, seniority-wage system, and so on. The happiness does not depend on the actual income, but mainly depends on expected difference. Income gap increases the cost of the organization.
个人幸福、经济社会行为和组织行为受到广泛关注。定义了能力收入、预期收入、预期差、收入差距等新概念和新工具。利用这些新工具,本文对常见的社会经济问题进行了深入分析:贫富差距统计、中年危机、终身学习、下岗、幸福-收入悖论、幸福u型曲线、养老金制度、工龄-工资制度等。幸福感不取决于实际收入,而主要取决于预期差异。收入差距增加了组织的成本。
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引用次数: 0
Bulgarian Intellectuals in the Mirror of Their Collective Public Positions (2005-2019) 保加利亚知识分子集体公共立场的镜子(2005-2019)
Pub Date : 2019-07-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3807157
Katia Mihailova
The paper presents results of content analyses of 69 public collective positions of Bulgarian intellectuals, published in the internet media in the period of 2005-2019. The research question is what the image of the Bulgarian intellectuals in the mirror of their public collective positions is. Theoretical roots of the research are in the sociology of intellectuals and sociology of interventions. It is built on the works on intellectuals and intellectual field of the classic sociologists from XX century, as well as their new millennium successors. This study poses a number of questions for further research.
本文介绍了2005-2019年期间在互联网媒体上发表的保加利亚知识分子69个公共集体立场的内容分析结果。研究的问题是保加利亚知识分子在其公共集体立场的镜子中的形象是什么。该研究的理论基础是知识分子社会学和干预社会学。它是建立在20世纪经典社会学家及其新千年后继者关于知识分子和知识领域的著作基础上的。这项研究提出了一些有待进一步研究的问题。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Political Behavior: Cognition
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