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Ensuring the Safety of an Extraction Well from an Upgradient Point Source of Pollution in a Computationally Constrained Setting 在计算受限的情况下确保上行点污染源抽水井的安全
IF 3.4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.3390/w16182645
Christopher Nenninger, James R. Mihelcic, Jeffrey A. Cunningham
Shallow groundwater is an important resource, especially in low- and middle-income countries; however, shallow groundwater is particularly vulnerable to point sources of pollution such as latrines or unlined waste disposal ponds. The objective of this paper is to derive a quantitative criterion for siting an extraction well and an upgradient point source of pollution to ensure that they are hydraulically disconnected, i.e., that no water flows from the point source to the well. To achieve this objective, we modeled the flow of shallow groundwater considering uniform regional flow, a single point source of pollution, and a single extraction well. For any set of flow rates and upgradient point source distance, we sought the minimum “off-center distance” ymin (i.e., the distance in the direction perpendicular to regional flow) that ensures the well and the point source are hydraulically disconnected. For constituencies with access to computing resources and coding expertise, we used a computer-based method for determining ymin that is exact to within the accuracy of a root-finding algorithm; this approach is recommended when computer access is available. For constituencies lacking these resources, we determined a simple, closed-form, approximate solution for ymin that has an average error of less than 3% for the conditions we tested. For a subset of scenarios in which the point source is sufficiently far upgradient of the well (n = 77), the root mean square relative error of the approximate solution is only 0.52%. We found that ymin depends on a length parameter (Qw + Qps)/QR, where Qw is the extraction rate of the well, Qps is the injection rate of the point source, and QR is the regional groundwater flow rate per unit of perpendicular length. Either the exact solution or the closed-form approximation can help to site wells near point sources of pollution, or to site point sources near wells, in a manner that protects the health of the well user. The approximate solution is valuable because many constituencies that rely on shallow wells for water supply and latrines for sanitation also lack access to the computer resources necessary to apply the exact solution.
浅层地下水是一种重要资源,尤其是在中低收入国家;然而,浅层地下水特别容易受到点污染源(如厕所或无衬砌的废物处理池)的影响。本文的目的是推导出一个定量标准,用于确定开采井和上游污染点源的位置,以确保它们在水力上断开,即没有水从污染点源流向开采井。为实现这一目标,我们对浅层地下水流进行了建模,考虑了均匀的区域流、单一污染点源和单一开采井。对于任何一组流量和上游点源距离,我们都在寻找最小的 "偏离中心距离 "ymin(即垂直于区域流方向的距离),以确保水井和点源在水力上断开。对于有计算机资源和编码专业知识的选区,我们使用基于计算机的方法来确定 ymin,该方法的精确度在寻根算法的范围内;建议在有计算机资源的情况下使用这种方法。对于缺乏这些资源的选区,我们为 ymin 确定了一个简单的、闭合形式的近似解,在我们测试的条件下,其平均误差小于 3%。对于点源距离水井上游足够远的子集方案(n = 77),近似解的均方根相对误差仅为 0.52%。我们发现,ymin 取决于长度参数 (Qw+Qps)/QR,其中 Qw 是水井的开采率,Qps 是点源的注入率,QR 是单位垂直长度的区域地下水流速。无论是精确解法还是闭式近似解法,都有助于将水井选址在点污染源附近,或将点污染源选址在水井附近,以保护水井使用者的健康。近似解法很有价值,因为许多依靠浅井供水和厕所卫生的地区也缺乏应用精确解法所需的计算机资源。
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引用次数: 0
What Is Relatively Permanent? Flow Regimes of Arizona Streams within the Context of the 2023 Conforming Rule on the Revised Definition of “Waters of the United States” 什么是相对永久?2023 年关于 "美国水域 "修订定义的合规规则背景下亚利桑那州溪流的水流状态
IF 3.4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.3390/w16182641
Jason P. Julian, Courtney Stuhldreher, Madeline T. Wade
The classification of stream flow regimes has been a subject of study for over a half century in the fields of hydrology, geomorphology, ecology, and water resources management. But with the most recent Supreme Court decision on jurisdictional Waters of the United States (WOTUS) and the 2023 Conforming Rule, the answer to the question of which waters are relatively permanent has increased in importance and urgency. One state where this question is salient is Arizona, where approximately 95% of its streams are nonperennial. In this study, we use long-term (> 30 years) daily discharge records from Arizona to assess semi-natural flow regimes of arid streams within the context of the 2023 Conforming Rule. Using flow percentile distributions, we distinguished flow permanency—ephemeral vs. intermittent vs. perennial—for 70 stream reaches distributed throughout the state. Ephemeral streams had a median flow of 0 cms and a 75th percentile flow permanence less than 25% (i.e., less than 3 months of flow for every 7.5 out of 10 years). On the other end of the spectrum, perennial streams had a 90th percentile flow permanence of 100%. In the middle, intermittent streams had a 75th percentile flow permanence greater than 25% and a 90th percentile flow permanence less than 100%. We also assessed the effect of the recent megadrought (since 1994) on flow permanency. As a result of the megadrought, four perennial streams transitioned to intermittent, four intermittent streams transitioned to ephemeral, and one perennial stream became ephemeral. The flow classification we present here is specific to Arizona streams but could be useful to other arid regions seeking to answer the question of which streams are relatively permanent in a typical year.
半个多世纪以来,水文学、地貌学、生态学和水资源管理领域一直在研究溪流流态的分类问题。但是,随着最高法院最近对美国水域(WOTUS)管辖权的裁决以及 2023 年 "符合规则 "的出台,回答哪些水域是相对永久性水域的问题变得更加重要和紧迫。亚利桑那州是这一问题突出的一个州,该州约 95% 的溪流都是非永久性的。在本研究中,我们利用亚利桑那州的长期(大于 30 年)日排水记录,在 2023 年 "符合规则 "的背景下评估了干旱溪流的半自然流态。利用流量百分位数分布,我们对分布在全州 70 个溪流河段的流量永久性进行了区分--短暂性溪流与间歇性溪流与常年性溪流。短暂性溪流的流量中位数为 0 厘 米,流量永久性的第 75 百分位数小于 25%(即 10 年中每 7.5 年的流量少于 3 个月)。在另一端,常年溪流的第 90 百分位数流量永久性为 100%。在中间,间歇性溪流的第 75 百分位数流量永久性大于 25%,第 90 百分位数流量永久性小于 100%。我们还评估了近期大旱(自 1994 年以来)对流量永久性的影响。由于特大干旱,四条常年溪流转为间歇性溪流,四条间歇性溪流转为短暂性溪流,一条常年溪流转为短暂性溪流。我们在此提出的水流分类方法是针对亚利桑那州溪流的,但对于其他干旱地区回答哪些溪流在典型年份相对永久的问题也很有用。
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引用次数: 0
Winter Season Outdoor Cultivation of an Autochthonous Chlorella-Strain in a Pilot-Scale Prototype for Urban Wastewater Treatment 冬季室外培养自生小球藻菌株用于城市污水处理的中试原型
IF 3.4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.3390/w16182635
Elisa Benà, Pierluigi Giacò, Sara Demaria, Roberta Marchesini, Michele Melis, Giulia Zanotti, Costanza Baldisserotto, Simonetta Pancaldi
The global population increase during the last century has significantly amplified freshwater demand, leading to higher wastewater (WW) production. European regulations necessitate treating WW before environmental. Microalgae have gained attention for wastewater treatment (WWT) due to their efficiency in remediating nutrients and pollutants, alongside producing valuable biomass. This study investigates the phycoremediation potential of a Chlorella-like strain isolated from urban WW in a 600L-scale system under winter conditions. Experiments in December 2021 and February 2022 tested the strain’s adaptability to varying environmental conditions, particularly temperatures (min-max temperature range: from −3.69 to 10.61 °C in December and −3.96 to 17.61 °C in February), and its ability to meet legal discharge limits. In December, low temperatures algal growth. Nitrates showed an RE of about 92%, while ammonia slightly decreased (RE, about 32%), and phosphorous remained unchanged. In February, mild temperatures increased algal density (33.3 × 106 cell mL−1) and, at the end of experiment, all nutrients were below legal limits with very high RE % (NH4+, 91.43; PO43− 97.32). Both trials showed an E. coli RE, % = 99%. The study highlights the potential of microalgae for WWT and the importance of considering seasonal variations when implementing these systems.
上世纪全球人口的增长大大增加了对淡水的需求,导致废水(WW)产量增加。欧洲法规规定,必须先对废水进行处理,然后再用于环保。由于微藻类能有效修复营养物质和污染物,同时还能产生有价值的生物量,因此在废水处理(WWT)方面备受关注。本研究调查了一种从城市污水中分离出来的类小球藻菌株在冬季条件下 600 升规模系统中的植物修复潜力。2021 年 12 月和 2022 年 2 月的实验测试了该菌株对不同环境条件的适应能力,尤其是温度(最低-最高温度范围:12 月为 -3.69 至 10.61 °C,2 月为 -3.96 至 17.61 °C),以及达到法定排放限制的能力。12 月,气温较低,藻类生长旺盛。硝酸盐的 RE 值约为 92%,而氨氮略有下降(RE 值约为 32%),磷保持不变。2 月份,温和的气温增加了藻类密度(33.3×106 个细胞 mL-1),实验结束时,所有营养物质均低于法定限值,RE % 非常高(NH4+,91.43;PO43- 97.32)。两项试验均显示大肠杆菌 RE, % = 99%。这项研究强调了微藻在 WWT 方面的潜力,以及在实施这些系统时考虑季节变化的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Urban Flood Risk Assessment and Mapping Using GIS-DEMATEL Method: Case of the Serafa River Watershed, Poland 使用 GIS-DEMATEL 方法进行城市洪水风险评估和绘图:波兰塞拉法河流域案例
IF 3.4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.3390/w16182636
Wiktoria Natkaniec, Izabela Godyń
This paper develops a method integrating Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and the Decision-Making Trials and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) for the analysis of factors influencing urban flood risk and the identification of flood-prone areas. The method is based on nine selected factors: land use/land cover (LULC: the ratio of built-up areas, the ratio of greenery areas), elevation, slope, population density, distance from the river, soil, Topographic Wetness Index (TWI), and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI). The DEMATEL method is used to determine the cause–effect relationship between selected factors, allowing for key criteria and their weights to be determined. LULC and population density were identified as the most important risk factors for urban floods. The method was applied to a case study—the Serafa River watershed (Poland), an urbanized catchment covering housing estates of cities of Kraków and Wieliczka frequently affected by flooding. GIS analysis based on publicly available data using QGIS with weights obtained from DEMATEL identified the vulnerable areas. 45% of the total catchment area was classified as areas with a very high or high level of flood risk. The results match the actual data on inundation incidents that occurred in recent years in this area. The study shows the potential and possibility of using the DEMATEL-GIS method to determine the significance of factors and to designate flood-prone areas.
本文开发了一种将地理信息系统(GIS)和决策试验与评估实验室(DEMATEL)相结合的方法,用于分析影响城市洪水风险的因素和识别洪水易发区。该方法基于九个选定因素:土地利用/土地覆盖(LULC:建筑区比例、绿化区比例)、海拔、坡度、人口密度、与河流的距离、土壤、地形湿度指数(TWI)和归一化植被指数(NDVI)。DEMATEL 方法用于确定选定因素之间的因果关系,从而确定关键标准及其权重。LULC 和人口密度被确定为城市洪水最重要的风险因素。该方法被应用于一个案例研究--塞拉法河流域(波兰),这是一个城市化集水区,覆盖了克拉科夫和维利奇卡两个城市的住宅区,经常受到洪水的影响。该流域是一个城市化集水区,覆盖了克拉科夫和维利奇卡两个城市的住宅区,经常受到洪水的影响。总流域面积的 45% 被归类为洪水风险非常高或高的地区。研究结果与该地区近年来发生的淹没事件的实际数据相吻合。这项研究表明,使用 DEMATEL-GIS 方法来确定各种因素的重要性并划定洪水易发区具有潜力和可能性。
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引用次数: 0
Using a Triple Sensor Collocation Approach to Evaluate Small-Holder Irrigation Scheme Performances in Northern Ethiopia 使用三重传感器定位方法评估埃塞俄比亚北部小农灌溉计划的绩效
IF 3.4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.3390/w16182638
Amina Abdelkadir Mohammedshum, Ben H. P. Maathuis, Chris M. Mannaerts, Daniel Teka
This study uses a triple-sensor collocation approach to evaluate the performance of small-holder irrigation schemes in the Zamra catchment of Northern Ethiopia. Crop water productivity (CWP), as an integrator of biomass production and water use, was used to compare the overall efficiencies of three types of irrigation systems: traditional and modern diversions, and dam-based irrigation water supply. Farmer-reported data often rely on observations, which can introduce human estimation and measurement errors. As a result, the evaluation of irrigation scheme performance has frequently been insufficient to fully explain crop water productivity. To overcome the challenges of using one single estimation method, we used a triple-sensor collocation approach to evaluate the efficiency of three small-scale irrigation schemes, using water productivity as an indicator. It employed three independent methods: remotely sensed data, a model-based approach, and farmer in-situ estimates to assess crop yields and water consumption. To implement the triple collocation appraisal, we first applied three independent evaluation methods, i.e., remotely sensed, model-based, and farmer in-situ estimates of crop yields and water consumption, to assess the crop water productivities of the systems. Triple-sensor collocation allows for the appraisal and comparison of estimation errors of measurement sensor systems, and enables the ranking of the estimators by their quality to represent the de-facto unknown true value, in our case: crop yields, water use, and its ratio CWP, in small-holder irrigated agriculture. The study entailed four main components: (1) collecting in-situ information and data from small-holder farmers on crop yields and water use; (2) derivation of remote sensing-based CWP from the FAO WaPOR open database and time series; (3) evaluation of biomass, crop yields and water use (evapotranspiration) using the AquaCrop model, integrating climate, soil data, and irrigation management practices; (4) performing and analysis of a categorical triple collocation analysis of the independent estimator data and performance ranking of the three sensing and small-holder irrigation systems. Maize and vegetables were used as main crops during three consecutive irrigation seasons (2017/18, 2018/19, 2019/20). Civil war prevented further field surveying, in-situ research, and data collection. The results indicate that remote sensing products are performed best in the modern and dam irrigation schemes for maize. For vegetables, AquaCrop performed best in the dam irrigation scheme.
本研究采用三重传感器定位方法评估埃塞俄比亚北部扎姆拉集水区小农灌溉计划的绩效。作物水分生产率(CWP)作为生物量生产和用水的综合指标,被用来比较三种灌溉系统的总体效率:传统引水和现代引水,以及基于水坝的灌溉供水。农民报告的数据通常依赖于观测,这可能会带来人为估计和测量误差。因此,对灌溉系统性能的评估往往不足以全面解释作物水分生产率。为了克服使用单一估算方法所带来的挑战,我们采用了三重传感器定位方法,以水分生产率为指标,对三个小型灌溉计划的效率进行了评估。它采用了三种独立的方法:遥感数据、基于模型的方法和农民现场估算,以评估作物产量和耗水量。为了实施三重搭配评估,我们首先采用了三种独立的评估方法,即遥感数据、基于模型的方法和农民现场估算的作物产量和耗水量,来评估各系统的作物水分生产率。通过三传感器搭配,可以评估和比较测量传感器系统的估算误差,并根据估算值的质量对其进行排序,以反映事实上未知的真实值,在我们的案例中,即小农灌溉农业中的作物产量、用水量及其 CWP 比值。研究包括四个主要部分(1) 从小农那里收集有关作物产量和用水量的现场信息和数据;(2) 从联合国粮农组织 WaPOR 开放数据库和时间序列中推导出基于遥感的 CWP;(3) 使用 AquaCrop 模型评估生物量、作物产量和用水量(蒸散量),该模型整合了气候、土壤数据和灌溉管理方法;(4) 对独立估算数据进行分类三重搭配分析,并对三种传感系统和小农灌溉系统进行性能排名。玉米和蔬菜是连续三个灌溉季节(2017/18、2018/19、2019/20)的主要作物。内战阻碍了进一步的实地调查、现场研究和数据收集。结果表明,遥感产品在玉米的现代灌溉系统和水坝灌溉系统中表现最佳。在蔬菜方面,AquaCrop 在大坝灌溉方案中表现最佳。
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引用次数: 0
Machine Learning Algorithms for Water Quality Management Using Total Dissolved Solids (TDS) Data Analysis 利用总溶解固体 (TDS) 数据分析的水质管理机器学习算法
IF 3.4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.3390/w16182639
Julio Garcia, Joonghyeok Heo, Cheolhong Kim
Our research project specifically focuses on evaluating groundwater quality in six West Texas counties. We aim to determine whether environmental changes have any impact on the levels of Total Dissolved Solids (TDS) in the water supplied to the public. To achieve this goal, we will be utilizing advanced machine learning algorithms to analyze TDS levels and create geospatial maps for each year between the 1990s and 2010s. To ensure the accuracy of our data, we have gathered information from two trusted sources: the Texas Water Development Board (TWDB) and the Groundwater Database (GWDB). We have analyzed the TDS and other elemental analyses from TWDB–GWDB lab reports and compared them with the quality cutoff set by the World Health Organization (WHO). Our approach involves a thorough examination of the data to identify any emerging patterns. The machine learning algorithm has been successfully trained and tested, producing highly accurate results that effectively predict water quality. Our results have been validated through extensive testing, highlighting the potential of machine learning approaches in the fields of environmental research. Overall, our findings will contribute to the development of more effective policies and regulations in predicting groundwater quality and improving water resource management in Texas. Therefore, this research provides important information for groundwater protection and the development of plans for water resource use in the future.
我们的研究项目具体侧重于评估得克萨斯州西部六个县的地下水质量。我们的目标是确定环境变化是否会对供应给公众的水中的总溶解固体 (TDS) 含量产生影响。为实现这一目标,我们将利用先进的机器学习算法分析 TDS 水平,并绘制 20 世纪 90 年代至 2010 年代期间每年的地理空间地图。为确保数据的准确性,我们从两个值得信赖的来源收集信息:德克萨斯州水资源开发委员会 (TWDB) 和地下水数据库 (GWDB)。我们分析了 TWDB-GWDB 实验室报告中的 TDS 和其他元素分析结果,并将其与世界卫生组织 (WHO) 设定的质量临界值进行了比较。我们的方法包括对数据进行彻底检查,以确定任何新出现的模式。机器学习算法已经过成功的训练和测试,结果非常准确,能够有效预测水质。我们的结果已通过大量测试得到验证,凸显了机器学习方法在环境研究领域的潜力。总之,我们的研究结果将有助于制定更有效的政策和法规,预测德克萨斯州的地下水水质,改善水资源管理。因此,这项研究为地下水保护和未来水资源利用计划的制定提供了重要信息。
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引用次数: 0
Research on Water Content Spatial Distribution Pattern of Fine—Grained Sediments in Debris Flow—Taking Beichuan Debris Flow as a Case 泥石流中细粒沉积物含水率空间分布格局研究--以北川泥石流为例
IF 3.4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.3390/w16182640
Qinjun Wang, Jingjing Xie, Jingyi Yang, Peng Liu, Wentao Xu, Boqi Yuan, Chaokang He
Due to being lightweight, fine-grained sediments easily flow with water and thus amplify the destructive effect of debris flow hazards. In such hazards, water content and shear strength are key inter-controlled factors relating to the stability of fine-grained sediments and thus control the density, scale, and danger of debris flow hazards. Although the correlation between water content and sediment stability has been studied, there are still some issues to be solved: what is the changing trend of shear strength with increasing water content? What is the water content spatial distribution pattern of fine-grained sediments in debris flow? What is the role/impact of this pattern on debris flow hazards prevention? Therefore, the objective of this research is to show the spatial distribution pattern of water content and establish a correlation between the water content and the shear strength of fine-grained sediments to provide a scientific basis for debris flow hazard prevention. Taking the Beichuan debris flow for our study, with a length of 37.6 km, and a 341 km2 study area, the results show that (1) the average water content shows an increasing trend, from 9.9% in the upstream of the river (SP01–SP05) to 21.7% in the downstream of the river (SP13–SP15). (2) When unsaturated, the correlation between the water content and shear strength is determined by combining the cohesion, normal stress, and internal friction angle; when saturated, the water content is negatively correlated with shear strength. (3) Water content and shear strength are the key inter-controlled factors relating to the stability of fine-grained sediments, and the water content distribution pattern of this research indicates the key locations that require attention: locations with high water content in the downstream river or with high curvature, which is of some significance for debris flow hazard prevention.
由于重量轻,细粒沉积物很容易随水流动,从而扩大了泥石流灾害的破坏力。在此类灾害中,含水量和剪切强度是与细粒沉积物稳定性相关的关键互控因素,从而控制着泥石流灾害的密度、规模和危险性。虽然含水率与沉积物稳定性之间的相关性已得到研究,但仍有一些问题有待解决:随着含水率的增加,剪切强度的变化趋势如何?泥石流中细粒沉积物的含水率空间分布模式是怎样的?这种格局对泥石流灾害预防的作用/影响是什么?因此,本研究的目的是揭示含水率的空间分布规律,并建立细粒沉积物含水率与剪切强度之间的相关性,为泥石流灾害防治提供科学依据。以北川泥石流为研究对象,全长 37.6 km,研究面积 341 km2,结果表明:(1)平均含水率呈上升趋势,从河流上游(SP01-SP05)的 9.9%上升到河流下游(SP13-SP15)的 21.7%。(2)非饱和时,含水量与剪切强度的相关性由内聚力、法向应力和内摩擦角共同决定;饱和时,含水量与剪切强度呈负相关。(3)含水率和抗剪强度是细粒沉积物稳定性的关键互控因素,本研究的含水率分布模式指出了需要关注的关键位置:下游河道含水率高或弯曲度高的位置,这对泥石流危害的预防具有一定意义。
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引用次数: 0
Time Series Analysis to Estimate the Volume of Drinking Water Consumption in the City of Meoqui, Chihuahua, Mexico 通过时间序列分析估算墨西哥奇瓦瓦州梅奥基市的饮用水消耗量
IF 3.4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.3390/w16182634
Martín Alfredo Legarreta-González, César A. Meza-Herrera, Rafael Rodríguez-Martínez, Carlos Servando Chávez-Tiznado, Francisco Gerardo Véliz-Deras
Water is a vital resource for sustaining life and for numerous processes within the transformation industry. It is a finite resource, albeit one that can be renewed, and thus sustainable management is imperative. To achieve this objective, it is necessary to have the appropriate tools to assist with the planning policies for its management. This paper presents a time series analysis approach to measure and predict the pattern of water consumption by humans throughout subsectors (domestic, commercial, public sector, education, industry, and raw water) and total water consumption in Meoqui, Chihuahua, Mexico with data from 2011 to 2023, applying calibration model techniques to measure uncertainty in the forecasting. The municipality of Meoqui encompasses an area of 342 km2. The climate is semi-arid, with an average annual rainfall of 272 mm and average temperatures of 26.4 °C in summer and 9.7 °C in winter. The municipal seat, which has a population of 23,140, is supplied with water from ten wells, with an average consumption of 20 ± 579 m3 per user. The consumption of the general population indicates the existence of a seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) (0,1,2)(0,0,2)12 model. (Sen’s Slope = 682.7, p < 0.001). The domestic sector exhibited the highest overall consumption, with a total volume of 17,169,009 m3 (13 ± 93). A SARIMA (2,1,0)(2,0,0)12 model was estimated, with a Sen’s slope of 221.65 and a p-value of less than 0.001. The second-largest consumer of total water was the “raw water” sector, which consumed 5,124,795 (30,146 ± 35,841) m3 and exhibited an SARIMA (0,1,1)(2,0,0)12 model with no statistically significant trend. The resulting models will facilitate the company’s ability to define water resource management strategies in a sustainable manner, in alignment with projected consumption trends.
水是维持生命的重要资源,也是转型工业众多流程的重要资源。尽管它可以再生,但却是一种有限的资源,因此必须进行可持续管理。为了实现这一目标,有必要使用适当的工具来协助制定水资源管理的规划政策。本文介绍了一种时间序列分析方法,利用 2011 年至 2023 年的数据测量和预测墨西哥奇瓦瓦州梅奥基市各子行业(家庭、商业、公共部门、教育、工业和原水)的人类用水模式和总用水量,并应用校准模型技术测量预测中的不确定性。梅奥基市面积为 342 平方公里。这里属于半干旱气候,年平均降雨量为 272 毫米,夏季平均气温为 26.4 °C,冬季平均气温为 9.7 °C。该市人口为 23 140 人,由 10 口水井供水,每个用户的平均用水量为 20±579 立方米。普通居民的用水量表明存在一个季节性自回归综合移动平均(SARIMA)(0,1,2)(0,0,2)12 模型。(森氏斜率 = 682.7,p < 0.001)。国内部门的总消费量最高,为 17 169 009 立方米(13 ± 93)。估计的 SARIMA (2,1,0)(2,0,0)12 模型的森斜率为 221.65,P 值小于 0.001。总耗水量第二大的行业是 "原水 "行业,耗水量为 5,124,795 (30,146 ± 35,841) 立方米,其 SARIMA (0,1,1)(2,0,0)12 模型在统计上没有显著趋势。由此产生的模型将有助于公司根据预计的消耗趋势,以可持续的方式制定水资源管理战略。
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引用次数: 0
Microplastics’ Impact on the Environment and the Challenging Selection of Reliable Key Biomonitors 微塑料对环境的影响以及选择可靠的关键生物监测器所面临的挑战
IF 3.4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.3390/w16182637
Luigi Rosati, Federica Carraturo, Fiore Capozzi, Teresa Chianese, Alessandra La Pietra, Michela Salamone, Valeria Spagnuolo, Ida Ferrandino, Simonetta Giordano
Microplastics (MPs) persist for long periods in the environment, causing adverse effects on aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems. The accumulation of MPs in various trophic levels mostly depends on weathering phenomena, their reduced dimensions and the improved bioavailability; this ultimately causes their ingestion by organisms living in different niches. The modern concern about MPs toxicity collides with the current unavailability of standardized and reliable methodologies to assess the risks associated with the exposure of organisms from different habitats. Hence, the identification and selection of appropriate biomonitors for MPs pollution risk assessment should focus on the identification of easy-to-implement assays, rapidly interpretable results (e.g., based on the MPs bioaccumulation capabilities in their tissues) and standardizable methodologies. The present review analyzed some emerging biomonitors exploited for MPs evaluation, selected and examined according to their potential use as specific biological indicators for diverse environments. The research was focused on plants, as biological models for airborne microfibers toxicity evaluation; mussels, as key organisms for the establishment of MPs accumulation in marine environments; land snails, representing emerging organisms selected for studies of MPs’ impact on soil. Furthermore, recent findings evidenced the influence of microplastics on the composition of environmental microbiota, enhancing pathogenic biofilms formation, leading to increased water, soil, food, crops and waste contamination. Disposing of harmonized and validated methods to study MPs’ impact on the environment, integrated with promising machine learning tools, might sensibly support the risk management strategies protecting human and animal health.
微塑料(MPs)长期存在于环境中,对水生和陆地生态系统造成不利影响。微塑料在不同营养级中的积累主要取决于风化现象、微塑料尺寸的缩小以及生物利用率的提高;这最终导致生活在不同生态位中的生物摄入微塑料。现代人对 MPs 毒性的关注与目前缺乏标准化的可靠方法来评估不同栖息地生物接触 MPs 所带来的风险不谋而合。因此,在确定和选择用于 MPs 污染风险评估的适当生物监测器时,应侧重于确定易于实施的检测方法、可快速解释的结果(例如,基于 MPs 在其组织中的生物累积能力)和可标准化的方法。本综述分析了用于 MPs 评估的一些新兴生物监测物,并根据其作为不同环境中特定生物指标的潜在用途对其进行了选择和研究。研究重点包括:植物,作为空气传播的微纤维毒性评估的生物模型;贻贝,作为确定海洋环境中 MPs 累积的关键生物;陆地蜗牛,作为研究 MPs 对土壤影响的新兴生物。此外,最近的研究结果表明,微塑料会影响环境微生物群的组成,促进病原体生物膜的形成,导致水、土壤、食物、农作物和废物污染加剧。采用统一、有效的方法研究微塑料对环境的影响,并与前景广阔的机器学习工具相结合,可以为保护人类和动物健康的风险管理战略提供合理的支持。
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引用次数: 0
Seasonal Variability and Hydrological Patterns Influence the Long-Term Trends of Nutrient Loads in the River Po 季节变化和水文格局影响波河营养负荷的长期趋势
IF 3.4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.3390/w16182628
Edoardo Cavallini, Pierluigi Viaroli, Mariachiara Naldi, Mattia Saccò, Alessandro Scibona, Elena Barbieri, Silvia Franceschini, Daniele Nizzoli
This study investigates the long-term trends (1992–2022) of nitrogen and phosphorus loadings exported by the River Po to the Adriatic Sea, to better analyse how changes in hydrology are affecting the timing and magnitude of river nutrient loads. We used 30 years of monitoring data in order to (a) identify the main temporal patterns and their interactions at a decadal, annual and seasonal scale, (b) estimate precipitation effects on load formation and evaluate whether and to which extent the hydrological regime affects nutrient export across the years and (c) analyse the nutrient export regime at a monthly scale and the main transport dynamic of N and P chemical species (hydrological vs. biogeochemical control). The long-term analysis shows a general decrease of both P and N loadings, but the trends are different between the elements and their chemical species, as well as undergoing different seasonal variations. We found a statistically significant relationships between precipitation and loads, which demonstrates that precipitation patterns drive the exported load at the intra- and interannual time scales considered in this study. Precipitation-induced load trends trigger seasonal changes in nutrient deliveries to the sea, peaking in spring and autumn. The nitrogen decrease is mainly concentrated in the summer dry period, while total phosphorus diminishes mainly in spring and autumn. This mismatch of N and P results in variable molar N:P ratios within the year. The effects of extreme drought and flood events, along with the progressive decrease in the snowmelt contribution to water fluxes, are expected to exacerbate the variability in the N and P loadings, which in turn is expected to perturbate the biodiversity, food webs and trophic state of the Northern Adriatic Sea.
本研究调查了波河向亚得里亚海输出的氮和磷负荷的长期趋势(1992-2022 年),以更好地分析水文变化如何影响河流营养负荷的时间和规模。我们使用了 30 年的监测数据,以便:(a) 确定十年、年度和季节尺度上的主要时间模式及其相互作用;(b) 估算降水对负荷形成的影响,评估水文机制是否以及在多大程度上影响各年的营养物输出;(c) 分析月尺度上的营养物输出机制以及氮和磷化学物种的主要迁移动态(水文控制与生物地球化学控制)。长期分析表明,磷和氮的负荷量普遍下降,但不同元素及其化学物质的变化趋势不同,而且经历了不同的季节变化。我们发现降水量与负荷之间存在显著的统计学关系,这表明降水模式在本研究考虑的年内和年际时间尺度上驱动着输出负荷。降水引起的负荷趋势引发了向海洋输送营养物质的季节性变化,在春季和秋季达到高峰。氮的减少主要集中在夏季干旱期,而总磷的减少主要集中在春季和秋季。氮和磷的这种不匹配导致一年中的摩尔氮磷比各不相同。极端干旱和洪水事件的影响,以及融雪对水流量贡献的逐渐减少,预计将加剧氮和磷负荷的变化,进而扰乱北亚得里亚海的生物多样性、食物网和营养状态。
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