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Influencing Academic Achievement and Regional Mediating Effects of General High Schools on Local Apartment Prices Based on Spatial Hedonic Price Model 基于空间享乐价格模型的普通高中学业成绩对地方公寓价格的影响及区域中介效应
Pub Date : 2023-02-28 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2023.31.1.5
Jiyoung Oh, W. Seo
This study empirically analyzed the effect on housing prices according to the academic achievement of general high schools and the regional mediating effect using the spatial hedonic model. The main empirical analysis results are as follows. First, accessibility to general high schools had a positive effect on local apartment prices regardless of the type. It was found that the preferred high school type, which had the highest college entrance rate, had a greater influence. Second, a prestigious high school was more preferred when it comes to the type of high school closest to the apartment. This result seems to be due to the recognition that consumers in the local housing market place high value on the status of local prestigious high schools, and that there are many students with excellent grades in prestigious high schools. Consequently, there may be less incidence of juvenile delinquency, creating a positive effect on the residential environment around the school. Third, it was found that in an area where the regional effect on housing price is high, the closer an apartment is to a prestigious high school, the higher the apartment price can get. Through these results, this study confirmed that the characteristics of general high school academic achievement have a clear influence on apartment prices and that these influences appear differentially by region.
本研究运用空间享乐模型实证分析了普通高中学业成绩对房价的影响及其区域中介效应。主要实证分析结果如下:首先,普通高中的可达性对当地公寓价格产生了积极影响。结果发现,升学率最高的高中类型对学生的影响更大。其次,当谈到离公寓最近的高中类型时,名牌高中更受欢迎。出现这种结果的原因可能是,当地住宅市场的消费者对当地名牌高中的地位非常重视,而且名牌高中的优秀学生也很多。因此,青少年犯罪的发生率可能会降低,对学校周围的居住环境产生积极影响。第三,在区域效应对房价影响较大的地区,公寓离名牌高中越近,公寓价格越高。通过这些结果,本研究证实了普通高中学业成绩特征对公寓价格有明显的影响,并且这种影响在不同地区表现出差异。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of the Ripple Effect Between Price Changes by Housing Type 住宅类型间价格变动的连锁效应分析
Pub Date : 2023-02-28 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2023.31.1.101
H. Jang, Byeng Kuk Kim
This study analyzed the interrelationship and lead-lag relationship between price changes by housing type with the TVP-VARX model and Wavelet Phase Difference. As a result of the empirical analysis, the price of all housing types has a strong tendency to decrease after 2020 due to rising interest rates. The interrelationship between price changes by housing type is time-varying, and the impact of increase in apartment price on the price of detached and row houses increases over time. On the other hand, the impact of increase in detached house prices on prices of other housing types increases and then decreases sharply after August 2020. The impact of increase in row house price on prices of other types of housing generally remains constant, but temporarily increases around August 2020. At this time, in the interrelationship between prices by housing type, the impact of increase in apartment price on the price of other housing types is the largest on average. Next, it is confirmed that the impact of increase in the price of detached and row houses has a large impact on other housing types. The lead-lag relationship between price changes by housing type, which is detached → row → apartment, clearly has made after 2019. However, the interrelationship, influence, and lead-lag relationship between price changes by housing type by region are different. Accordingly, this study suggests that it is necessary to discriminately select housing types and policies to be supplied for price stabilization in the housing market according to the time and region.
本文运用小波相位差和TVP-VARX模型分析了住房类型价格变化的相互关系和前滞后关系。实证分析结果表明,2020年以后,受利率上升的影响,各类住房价格都有较强的下降趋势。住宅类型价格变化的相互关系是时变的,公寓价格上涨对独立住宅和联排住宅价格的影响随着时间的推移而增加。另一方面,独立住宅价格上涨对其他住宅类型价格的影响在2020年8月之后先上升后急剧下降。排屋价格上涨对其他类型住房价格的影响总体保持不变,但在2020年8月左右暂时增加。此时,在按住房类型的价格相互关系中,公寓价格上涨对其他住房类型价格的平均影响最大。接下来,确认独立式和排屋价格上涨的影响对其他住房类型的影响较大。独立屋→排屋→公寓等住宅类型的价格变化之间的领先滞后关系在2019年之后明显形成。但是,不同地区不同住宅类型价格变动之间的相互关系、影响关系和前瞻滞后关系是不同的。因此,本研究建议有必要根据时间和地区,有区别地选择住房类型和住房市场价格稳定的政策。
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引用次数: 0
A Study on the Clustering of Household Characteristics for Sustainable Public Rental Housing 可持续公共租赁住房住户特征聚类研究
Pub Date : 2023-02-28 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2023.31.1.25
Youn-Kyung Oh, S. Yoo
Public rental housing types have been integrated recently and housing benefit support has been expanded as part of a housing stabilization support policy. Against this background, it is necessary to reinterpret the number and type of households living in public rental housing for sustainable public rental housing. This study focused on household type and used the 2016-2019 public rental housing panel data of the SH Urban Research&Insight. Based on the result of clustering according to household characteristics using the Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) and analyzing the cluster type predictive factors using multinomial logistic regression, the characteristics of each cluster, which were categorized into four clusters, showed differences in the income type of the householder. Each cluster was named ‘earned income households’, ‘government transfer income households’, ‘social insurance income households’, and ‘general public households’. A study on the clustering according to household characteristics concluded that appropriate support should be provided for households that need customized benefit support. There is also a need for a rental type that allows elderly households with no income to live stably for a long time without the burden of monthly rent. In addition, it was derived that financial support measures should be prepared for practical housing stability specifically for those considered financially vulnerable.
最近,公共租赁住房类型已经整合,住房福利支持已经扩大,作为住房稳定支持政策的一部分。在此背景下,有必要重新解释居住在公共租赁住房的住户数量和类型,以实现可持续的公共租赁住房。本研究以家庭类型为研究对象,采用上海城市研究与洞察2016-2019年公租房面板数据。根据高斯混合模型(Gaussian Mixture Model, GMM)对住户特征进行聚类,并利用多项逻辑回归对聚类类型预测因素进行分析,将每个聚类特征划分为4个聚类,反映了住户收入类型的差异。每一组被命名为“劳动收入家庭”、“政府转移收入家庭”、“社会保险收入家庭”和“一般公共家庭”。通过对家庭特征的聚类研究,得出了对需要定制化福利支持的家庭应给予适当支持的结论。此外,还需要一种租赁形式,使没有收入的老年家庭能够长期稳定地生活,而不用承担月租的负担。此外,得出的结论是,应制定财政支助措施,特别是为那些被认为经济上脆弱的人提供实际住房稳定。
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引用次数: 0
Is the Gangnam Housing Market a Stopover or the Final Destination?: A Decision on Residential Mobility Among Elderly Homeowners 江南房地产市场是中转站还是终点?:老年人住房流动性的决定
Pub Date : 2023-02-28 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2023.31.1.51
Hee-Jung Kim, Jun-hyung Kim
The rising cost of housing in Gangnam has been the main focus of housing policy in Korea. The concentration of local housing demand is attributed to this increase, which is believed to be driven by better educational infrastructure and job accessibility. This suggests that elderly households, who do not require quality education for their grown-up children or accessible jobs due to their retirement, can provide crucial insights into the market—whether Gangnam is a ‘stopover’ during the growing period or the ‘final destination’ for the entire housing career. The in-depth interviews with middle-aged or elderly households who own apartments in Gangnam and have grown-up children reveal that Gangnam housing is the final destination, not a stopover. The primary reason is their high level of residential satisfaction, which is largely attributed to the quality infrastructure. The satisfaction stems from the presence of high-income and highly educated residents in Gangnam. The fact that it is difficult to build affluent neighborhoods in Korea has strengthened their belief in future price appreciation. Additionally, their strong desire to transfer their convenient lifestyle, the perception of higher social standing, and the potential for capital gain to their children is also a significant factor.
江南地区的房价上涨一直是住宅政策的焦点。当地住房需求的集中归因于这一增长,这被认为是由更好的教育基础设施和就业机会推动的。这表明,老年家庭不需要为成年子女提供高质量的教育,也不需要因退休而获得工作,因此可以为市场提供至关重要的见解——江南是成长期的“中转站”,还是整个房地产生涯的“最终目的地”。对拥有江南公寓、子女已成年的中老年家庭进行深度采访的结果显示,江南住宅是最终目的地,而不是中转站。主要原因是他们的居住满意度很高,这在很大程度上归功于优质的基础设施。这种满足感源于江南地区高收入、高学历居民的存在。在韩国很难建立富裕社区的事实,让他们更加相信未来房价会上涨。此外,他们强烈希望将自己便利的生活方式、更高的社会地位以及潜在的资本收益传递给孩子,也是一个重要因素。
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引用次数: 0
Price Effect Analysis by Improving the Qualitative Characteristics of Apartment Buildings by Period in Gangnam-gu
Pub Date : 2023-02-28 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2023.31.1.79
Song Yu, Jae Hee Kim, Y. Song, Chang-Moo Lee
In the domestic apartment market, the quality enhancement and differentiated strategies of construction companies have been implemented since the 2000s. In many ways, the quality characteristics of apartment buildings that have been improved continuously provided a variety of choices in the criteria for housing buyers to purchase. This study empirically analyzed the effect of improving the quality characteristics of apartments by period among the determinants of housing prices on apartments in Gangnam-gu, Seoul through the Hedonic price model. The analysis showed that all the variables of qualitative characteristics, which are the core variables of this study, had a positive effect on apartment prices. It was confirmed that some of the variables corresponding to the qualitative characteristic factors showed higher estimation coefficient values than other variables, which had a greater impact on apartment price formation. In addition, it can be seen that a significant portion of the price effect due to aging, which has been measured as a quadratic function in many previous studies, is the result of overlapping effects due to the improvement of the qualitative characteristics of apartments.
在国内公寓市场上,建设企业从2000年代开始实施了提高质量和差别化战略。在很多方面,不断提高的公寓楼的质量特征为购房者的购买标准提供了多种选择。本研究通过Hedonic价格模型,实证分析了首尔江南区公寓价格决定因素中,按时期改善公寓质量特征的效果。分析结果表明,作为本研究核心变量的所有定性特征变量对公寓价格均有正向影响。结果表明,定性特征因子对应的部分变量的估计系数值高于其他变量,对公寓价格形成的影响较大。此外,可以看出,在以往的许多研究中,由于老化而产生的价格效应中,有很大一部分是由于公寓质量特征的改善而产生的重叠效应。
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引用次数: 0
The Experiences of Public Rental Housing Policy of the Advanced Countries and Korea’s Policy Direction 发达国家公共租赁住房政策的经验与韩国的政策方向
Pub Date : 2022-11-30 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2022.30.4.141
Soo-Hyun Kim
Since the end of the World War II, many advanced countries have developed public rental housing not only as a residential safety net but also as an active welfare policy. However, after 30-40 years of expansion, most of the advanced countries have reduced or retreated from public rental housing policies due to the development of the private housing market and financial constraints. On the other hand, Korea started its public rental housing policy late compared to the advanced countries and is still expanding it. Korea's public rental housing policy differs from the advanced countries in that housing market instability and the mass supply of housing to resolve it are the most important policy drivers. This paper tried to consider Korea's position, characteristics, and policy tasks in light of the changes in public rental housing policy in the advanced countries. Considering the experiences of the advanced countries, it is reasonable to assume that the quantitative target of our public rental housing policy is 10% of all households, and it is necessary to maintain the Korean characteristic of diversifying the number of tenants. The relationship between housing benefits and public rental housing needs to be established urgently. In addition, pointing out that hasty expectations are reflected in the current public rental housing statistics in Korea, this paper proposed to classify Jeonse public rental as one of the rental subsidy systems.
自第二次世界大战结束以来,许多发达国家发展公共租赁住房不仅是作为一种居住安全网,而且是一种积极的福利政策。然而,经过30-40年的扩张,大多数发达国家由于私人住房市场的发展和财政约束,都减少或退出了公租房政策。相反,与发达国家相比,韩国的公共租赁住宅政策起步较晚,而且还在不断扩大。韩国的公共租赁住宅政策与发达国家的不同之处在于,住宅市场的不稳定和为解决这一问题而大量供应住宅是最重要的政策动力。本文试图结合发达国家公共租赁住房政策的变化来思考韩国的地位、特点和政策任务。考虑到发达国家的经验,我们的公共租赁住宅政策的数量目标是所有家庭的10%,这是合理的,而且有必要保持住户数量多样化的韩国特色。住房福利与公共租赁住房的关系亟待建立。此外,该论文还指出,目前韩国的公共租赁住宅统计中反映出草率的预期,并建议将全租公共租赁划为租赁补贴制度之一。
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引用次数: 0
A Study on the Effect of Resale Characteristics of Apartment Presale Rights on Apartment Sales Price 公寓预售权的转售特征对公寓销售价格的影响研究
Pub Date : 2022-11-30 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2022.30.4.113
J. Park, J. Sung
The government implemented a real estate policy regulating Finsens in units of each region by designating overheated speculation districts and areas to be adjusted according to the rise in housing prices. These regulated areas include consumer restraint policies. The purpose of this study was to examine the real estate policies related to the characteristics of pre-sale of apartments over a period of 6 years from January 2016 to December 2021, and to examine how these policies affected apartment sale prices by region. For the research method, the Hausmann fixed effect was used to examine the factors that have influence as well the changes according to the characteristics of real estate, macroeconomic characteristics, policy characteristics, and resale characteristics of real estate based on on nationwide and metropolitan area models, specifically the Daegu/Gyeongbuk, Booulgyeong, Chungcheong/Daejeon, and Gwangju/Jeonla models. For the statistical analysis, the model was assessed using the STATA17 version. Results showed it was possible to examine the policies affecting housing price stabilization among various government real estate policies, and to further examine the policies that manifested different results by region. These results should consider detailed customized policies for regions where the real estate market is overheated or where speculation is a concern.
政府将投机过热地区和房价上涨调整地区划分为各地区单位,实施了房地产调控政策。这些监管领域包括消费者约束政策。本研究的目的是研究2016年1月至2021年12月6年间与公寓预售特征相关的房地产政策,并研究这些政策如何按地区影响公寓销售价格。研究方法是,以大邱庆北、保庆、忠清大田、光州全罗等全国和首都圈模型为基础,根据房地产的特点、宏观经济特点、政策特点、再交易特点,分析影响房地产价格变化的因素。对于统计分析,使用STATA17版本对模型进行评估。结果表明,可以从政府的各种房地产政策中考察影响房价稳定的政策,并进一步考察各地区表现出不同效果的政策。这些结果应该考虑到房地产市场过热或投机行为严重的地区的具体定制政策。
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引用次数: 0
Student Loans and Housing Behaviors: Focused on Korean Millennials 学生贷款和住房行为:关注韩国千禧一代
Pub Date : 2022-11-30 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2022.30.4.5
Jiny Y. Kim
This study examines how student loans affect housing behaviors of millennials. Using the 2014-2020 Youth Panel data provided by the Korea Employment Information Service, regression analysis reveals that the experience of student loans and the loan amount itself do not have significant effects on independence from parents, but loan repayment burden and delay seem to have negative effects on independence from parents. As the amount of student loans increases, millennials tend to choose cheonsei and monthly rent, instead of homeownership when they leave from their parents. This trend was more pronounced when experiencing the burden of loan repayment. Also, as the amount of student loans increases, millennials tend to choose row houses, villas, and multi-family homes, instead of single family housing or apartment. This trend was more evident when experiencing the burden of repaying loans. In conclusion, it was found that millennials have difficulties in leaving from their parents and achieving homeownership when experiencing the financial burden for student loans. This study presents policy implications for the housing issue of millennials.
这项研究考察了学生贷款如何影响千禧一代的住房行为。利用韩国就业信息院提供的2014-2020年青年面板数据进行回归分析发现,学生贷款经历和贷款金额本身对父母自立没有显著影响,但贷款偿还负担和延迟似乎对父母自立有负向影响。随着学生贷款的增加,千禧一代在离开父母时倾向于选择租房和月租,而不是买房。当面临偿还贷款的负担时,这种趋势更为明显。此外,随着学生贷款的增加,千禧一代倾向于选择排屋、别墅和多户住宅,而不是单户住宅或公寓。在经历偿还贷款的负担时,这种趋势更为明显。综上所述,我们发现千禧一代在经历学生贷款的经济负担时,很难离开父母并获得住房所有权。这项研究提出了千禧一代住房问题的政策含义。
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引用次数: 0
A Study on the Determinant of Household Overdue rate in Non-Banking Financial Companies: Focus on the comparison with banking Financial Companies 非银行金融公司家庭逾期率的决定因素研究——以与银行金融公司的比较为重点
Pub Date : 2022-11-30 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2022.30.4.57
Ho-il Lee, Seunghan Ro
The purpose of this study is to analyze the dynamic interrelationship between household overdue rate of the banking and the non-banking financial companies, the factors of the household’s ability to pay, and the factors of household’s equity capital. We set up the model based on the solvency hypothesis and the equity capital hypothesis to analyze the effect of household overdue rate in banking and non-banking sectors. We identified the dynamic effects between related variables through impulse response analysis and variance decomposition analysis using the VAR model. The result of the analysis is as following. First, the household overdue rate in the banking sector was affected only by the previous one. Because the rate remains very low, the household default risk in the banking sector is very low. Second, the household overdue rate in the non-banking sector was more affected by household consumption than household income. Third, the household overdue rate in the non-banking sector was more affected by changes in house prices in metropolitan area than non-metropolitan area. Forth, the household overdue rate in the non-banking sector was more affected by changes in house prices in single-family house than apartment and multi-units house. According to these research results, it is necessary to stabilize the price control and reduce the burden of the financially vulnerable in terms of managing the risk of household overdue rate of non-banking companies. Furthermore, the government should strengthen integrative financial regulations of non-banking financial companies to manage potential household default risks.
本研究的目的是分析家庭银行和非银行金融公司逾期率、家庭支付能力因素和家庭权益资本因素之间的动态相互关系。在偿付能力假设和权益资本假设的基础上建立模型,分析了银行和非银行部门家庭逾期率的影响。利用VAR模型,通过脉冲响应分析和方差分解分析,确定了相关变量之间的动态影响。分析结果如下:首先,银行部门的家庭逾期率只受到前一个指标的影响。由于利率仍然很低,银行部门的家庭违约风险非常低。其次,非银行部门的家庭逾期率受家庭消费的影响大于家庭收入的影响。第三,非银行部门家庭逾期率受首都圈房价变化的影响大于非首都圈。第四,非银行部门家庭逾期率受房价变化的影响更大的是单户住宅,而不是公寓和多户住宅。根据这些研究结果,在管理非银行企业家庭逾期率风险方面,有必要稳定物价管制,减轻经济弱势群体的负担。此外,政府应加强对非银行金融公司的综合金融监管,以管理潜在的家庭违约风险。
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引用次数: 0
A Study on Factors Influencing Move-in of Youth Householders into Public Rental Housing 影响青年住户入住公租房的因素研究
Pub Date : 2022-11-30 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2022.30.4.31
Jung-Hye Lee, Heejong Kwag
This study empirically analyzed the factors affecting youth householders’ move-in into public rental housing assuming its cause of low occupancy as an imbalance between the demand and the government’s supply policies. The result shows the move-in intention into public rental housing by youth householders and household characteristics, housing by region, and public rental housing were significant. For the housing, the house size, household income, and housing expenses were significant. For the housing by region, the housing rate of houses less than 40㎡ and the comprehensive Jeonse price index were significant. The public rental houses, the size of houses, rental fees, and residence period were also significant. In particular, the characteristics of public rental houses were highly significant, which were not fully examined in the previous studies. The study's implications are as follows. First, for the policy to effectively expand income standards for young households, the quality of housing must be improved as well. Second, a preliminary inspection of the number of small private houses and the increase in Jeonse prices are needed when supplying public rental housing to each region. Third, there should be affirmative actions to improve housing policies related to housing space, residence period, and standards for conversion into rental housing. In particular, minimum housing standards should be improved, but the burden of housing fees should be alleviated. Lastly, the supply of urban houses needs to be revitalized.
本研究实证分析了影响青年户主入住公租房的因素,假设其入住率低的原因是需求与政府供给政策的不平衡。结果表明,青年户主对公租房的入住意愿、户型特征、区域住房、公租房均存在显著性差异。在住房方面,房屋面积、家庭收入和住房费用是显著的。从各地区的住宅情况看,40㎡以下住宅的入住率和综合全租价格指数都非常显著。公共租赁住宅、住宅面积、租赁费、居住时间也有显著差异。特别是公租房的特点非常显著,这在以往的研究中并没有得到充分的检验。该研究的启示如下。首先,为了有效地扩大年轻家庭的收入标准,必须提高住房质量。第二,在向各地区提供公共租赁住宅时,要对小型私人住宅的数量和全租价格的上涨情况进行初步调查。第三,为改善住宅空间、居住期限、转换为租赁住宅的标准等住房政策,应采取积极措施。特别是,要提高最低居住标准,但要减轻住房费用负担。最后,城市住房的供应需要恢复活力。
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引用次数: 0
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Korean Association for Housing Policy Studies
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