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Korean Association for Housing Policy Studies最新文献

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A Simulation Analysis of Financing Public Housing Provision 公共住房融资的模拟分析
Pub Date : 2022-05-31 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2022.30.2.107
J. Park, I. Pong
This study aims to examine the feasibility of financing the provision of public housing with National Housing and Urban Fund in Korea, in order to increase the ratio of public rental housing to the level of 9% of the total housing stock which is the EU average. Total 27 scenarios from 1) three proportions of investment and loan of 20% and 40%, 20% and 60%, and 20% and 75%, 2) three rates of reduction of the fund to support to the projects other than public housing in the fund, and 3) three additional transfers of capital gain tax to the fund are used in simulation analyses. In the analyses to provide total 1.11 million housing units from 2022 to 2028, it was found that the fund can cover the total cost of the plan in the case of 20% and 40% proportion of investment and loan from the fund. In case of 20% and 60% proportion of investment and loan from the fund, the fund also can cover the total cost when the reduction rate is 5 or 10%. In other cases, a transfer of 2~34% of capital gain tax property pro rata to the fund makes the plan feasible. Despite various assumptions and operational scenarios this attempt can provide useful information about the financing of public housing that is the most critical issue in increasing them.
本研究旨在探讨韩国利用国家住房和城市基金为公共住房提供融资的可行性,以便将公共租赁住房的比例提高到占总住房存量9%的水平,这是欧盟的平均水平。模拟分析采用1)投资和贷款比例分别为20%和40%、20%和60%、20%和75%的三种情况,2)基金中支持公共住房以外项目的三种减少率,以及3)资本利得税额外向基金转移的三种情况共27种情况。在对2022 ~ 2028年共提供111万套住房的分析中发现,在基金投资和贷款比例分别为20%和40%的情况下,基金可以支付该计划的总成本。在基金投资和贷款比例分别为20%和60%的情况下,在减少率为5%或10%的情况下,基金也可以覆盖总成本。在其他情况下,将2~34%的资本利得税财产按比例转移到该基金,使该计划可行。尽管有各种假设和操作方案,但这一尝试可以提供有关公共住房融资的有用信息,这是增加公共住房的最关键问题。
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引用次数: 0
A Study on the Impact of Inheritance and Gift on the Housing Tenure Choice of Tenant Households 继承与赠与对租户家庭住房使用权选择的影响研究
Pub Date : 2022-05-31 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2022.30.2.85
J. Jung, Seungwoo Shin
In this study, the probit model explains the effect of inheritance and gift amounts on renters’ choice in housing tenure. The data is from the Korea National Survey of Tax and Benefit (NaSTaB). After left-censoring the renters as of 2010, we estimate the panel probit model to explore the effect of the amount of inheritance and gifts on people's tenure choices. As a result of the estimation, inheritance and gift amount variables have a statistically significant positive effect on the home buying behavior of rental households. When comparing their marginal effects, we find that the amount of inheritance has a more substantial effect when the total sample is used. In contrast, the gift amount variable has a more considerable effect when using the sub-sample that consists of either inheritance or gift or both. In the case of the renters’ home purchase decision, the financial support of parents and third parties may serve as an equity down payment. We present the policy recommendations to encourage behaviors related to inheritance and gifts that affect the redistribution of assets between generations.
在本研究中,probit模型解释了继承和赠与金额对租住人选择的影响。该数据来自韩国国家税收福利调查(NaSTaB)。在对2010年的租房者进行左审查后,我们估计了面板概率模型,以探讨继承和礼物的数量对人们的任期选择的影响。结果表明,继承和赠与金额变量对租赁家庭的购房行为有显著的正向影响。在比较它们的边际效应时,我们发现当使用总样本时,继承量的影响更为实质性。相比之下,当使用由继承或赠与或两者组成的子样本时,赠与金额变量具有更大的影响。在租房者决定买房的情况下,父母和第三方的经济支持可以作为股权首付款。我们提出了政策建议,以鼓励与继承和礼物有关的行为,这些行为会影响代与代之间的资产再分配。
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引用次数: 0
A Return Analysis on the Released Areas of the Redevelopment Projects in Seoul 首尔地区再开发项目释放面积的收益分析
Pub Date : 2022-05-31 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2022.30.2.57
Y. Song, Ji-yeon Kim, Chang-Moo Lee
Newtown and Redevelopment projects, which were popular in the 2000s have caused various conflicts among different social and economic interest groups due to the prolonged recession in the real estate market. Accordingly, the Seoul government implemented an exit strategy for the maintenance project in 2012 to release the maintenance area and implemented a new paradigm-based urban regenration policy. However, the exit strategy for the maintenance project caused other problems; since 2013, housing prices in Seoul have been on the rise, which led to the recent market pressure on the resumption of the maintenace project.The current study confirmed that the resumption of the maintenance project would be possible if an approximately 10% return was expected from the perspective of the union members in the maintenance project areas. A return rate analysis on the six areas that were released as a part of the exit strategy showed that the maintenance project for all areas could be resumed in the private sector, exceeding 10% of the preliminary required return.
21世纪初流行的新城和再开发项目,由于房地产市场的长期不景气,引发了不同社会经济利益集团之间的各种冲突。因此,首尔市于2012年实施了“维修工程退出战略”,释放了维修区域,并实施了以新范式为基础的城市再生政策。然而,维修项目的退出策略带来了其他问题;从2013年开始,首尔房价持续上涨,因此最近出现了要求恢复维修工程的市场压力。目前的研究证实,如果从维修项目地区的工会成员的角度来看,预计大约有10%的回报,那么恢复维修项目是可能的。对作为退出战略的一部分公布的六个地区的回报率分析表明,所有地区的维护项目都可以在私营部门恢复,超过初步要求回报率的10%。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Parental Economic Support and Housing Market on Young People’s Independence 父母经济支持和住房市场对青少年独立的影响
Pub Date : 2022-02-28 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2022.30.1.103
M. Noh
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引用次数: 0
Implementation Effects and Revitalization Plan of ‘Public-Private Self-Owned House Model’ “公私自有住房模式”的实施效果与振兴规划
Pub Date : 2022-02-28 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2022.30.1.177
S. Lee, Chang-heum Byeon
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引用次数: 0
How Many Rental Households Need Affordable Housing Policies? 有多少出租家庭需要经济适用房政策?
Pub Date : 2022-02-28 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2022.30.1.71
Jin-Wan Seo, Jihwan Kim, Changha Jin
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引用次数: 1
Predicting the Apartment Transaction Price by Using Machine Learning Methods and the Fixed Effects Model 基于机器学习方法和固定效应模型的公寓交易价格预测
Pub Date : 2022-02-28 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2022.30.1.43
Seunghyun Kim, Wonhyeok Kim, Yoonsoo Lee
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引用次数: 0
A Study on the Degree of Sufficiency for Old-age Living according to the Level of Old-age Income of Housing Pension Users 基于住房养老金使用者老年收入水平的老年生活自给程度研究
Pub Date : 2022-02-28 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2022.30.1.153
Jaechil Kim, Sun-Ju Kim
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of a New Subway Opening on House Prices Near Metropolitan Bus Stops in a New Town: The Case of the New Town of Gwanggyo 地铁开通对新城市公交车站附近房价的影响——以广桥新城市为例
Pub Date : 2022-02-28 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2022.30.1.131
Pilseong Choi, Dongwoo Hyun
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引用次数: 0
Cross-Regional Asymmetric Volatility Connectedness in the Korean Housing Markets 韩国房地产市场的跨区域不对称波动连通性
Pub Date : 2022-02-28 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2022.30.1.5
Woori Lee
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引用次数: 0
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Korean Association for Housing Policy Studies
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