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2019 Prognostics and System Health Management Conference (PHM-Qingdao)最新文献

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Failure Analysis of Coupler Knuckle Considering Truncated and Censored Lifetime Data 考虑截短和截短寿命数据的耦合器转向节失效分析
Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.1109/phm-qingdao46334.2019.8942964
Dongdong Li, Qi Li, E. Mingcheng, Zengqiang Jiang, Jing Ma
Increased axle load, heavy load, and increased speed of railway wagons need high reliability of coupler knuckle. However, the failure analysis of coupler knuckle is troublesome under incomplete lifetime data due to extensive management. In this paper, maximum likelihood estimation method is employed to with a mixture data of left truncation, interval censoring, and right censoring. The parameter estimations are done by Newton-Raphson method and bootstrap resampling. The results of case study shows that the proposed method is reasonable and could reflect the reality. These results have important application value in reality for further refinement of the maintenance strategy according to the remaining life of components, thereby reducing the maintenance cost and improving the reliability of components.
铁路货车轴重增加、载重增大、速度加快等对车钩转向节的可靠性要求较高。然而,由于管理粗大,在寿命数据不完整的情况下,对联轴器转向节进行失效分析十分困难。本文采用极大似然估计方法对左截断、区间截尾和右截尾的混合数据进行处理。参数估计采用Newton-Raphson法和自举重采样法。实例分析结果表明,所提出的方法是合理的,能够反映实际情况。这些结果对于进一步细化部件剩余寿命维护策略,从而降低部件维护成本,提高部件可靠性具有重要的现实应用价值。
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引用次数: 1
Hierarchical Health Assessment of Equipment with Uncertain Fault Diagnosis Result 故障诊断结果不确定的设备分层健康评估
Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.1109/phm-qingdao46334.2019.8942943
Shigang Zhang, Xu Luo, Lei Li, Yongmin Yang
Monitoring health status of equipment is very important for risk avoiding and maintenance decision making, especially for complex safety-critical systems. Most of existing fault diagnosis systems can only generate the state of a specific system level. Models should be developed to assess the health states of the equipment in different hierarchical levels. In this paper, a model based on Bayesian networks is proposed, where determined fault diagnosis result and the fault diagnosis result with uncertainty can all be used. The model structure, how to set uncertain diagnosis result by virtual nodes and how to represent multi-states are formulated and discussed in detail. An application example on a diesel engine combustion system is given, which shows that the method proposed in this paper can realize hierarchical health assessment, including the scenarios that the diagnosis result is uncertain.
设备的健康状态监测对于风险规避和维护决策非常重要,特别是对于复杂的安全关键系统。现有的故障诊断系统大多只能生成特定系统级别的状态。建立不同层次的设备健康状态评估模型。本文提出了一种基于贝叶斯网络的故障诊断模型,该模型既可以使用确定的故障诊断结果,也可以使用不确定的故障诊断结果。详细阐述了模型的结构、如何利用虚拟节点设置不确定诊断结果以及如何表示多状态。最后给出了柴油机燃烧系统的应用实例,结果表明该方法可以实现分级健康评估,包括诊断结果不确定的情况。
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引用次数: 0
Investigation on the Influence of Dynamic Tooth Wear on Gear Dynamic Characteristics 动齿磨损对齿轮动态特性影响的研究
Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.1109/phm-qingdao46334.2019.8942885
Li-sha Zhu, Haonan Chen, Zunling Du, Zi-Sheng Lin, Yonghui He, Hairong Han
In order to study the effect of tooth surface wear on gear dynamics, based on the Archard wear model, considering the dynamic load distribution between teeth under the geometrical normal clearance and influence of the contact point on the tooth profile points in the surrounding area, an accurate wear model of tooth surface is established and the dynamic characteristics of gear are analyzed by coupling the wear of gear surface into the gear dynamics model, and a dynamic wear calculation model of gear surface is established. The results indicate that early wear has little effect on gear dynamics, with the increase of wear cycle, the vibration of the non-resonant region is increased, while in the resonance region first invariant and then increased.
为研究齿面磨损对齿轮动力学的影响,在Archard磨损模型的基础上,考虑齿面在几何法向间隙下的动载荷分布以及齿面接触点对周边齿形点的影响,建立了齿面精确磨损模型,并将齿面磨损耦合到齿轮动力学模型中,分析了齿轮的动态特性。并建立了齿轮表面动态磨损计算模型。结果表明:早期磨损对齿轮动力学影响不大,随着磨损周期的增加,非共振区振动增大,而共振区振动先不变后增大;
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引用次数: 1
A New Bearing Fault Diagnosis Framework With Deep Adaptation Networks For Industrial Application 基于深度自适应网络的轴承故障诊断框架
Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.1109/phm-qingdao46334.2019.8943033
Juan Wen, Bosong Pan, Luping Luo, Kewen Zhang, Quanhui Wu
In the past decades, a host of fault diagnosis methodologies have been designed and successfully used for bearings. However, most of them still have two deficiencies. (1) Traditional methods extract and select features manually according to a specific issue, but these features may be not appropriate for other tasks, leading to performance degradation of fault diagnosis. (2) Many studies assume that the dataset for model learning obey the uniform distribution as the testing dataset do, which seldom accords with the practice. To remedy these problems, we devise a novel framework for bearing fault diagnosis. First, the raw condition monitoring data are converted to 2D images with continuous wavelet transform. Then the classification model is learned with these 2D images, during which the transfer learning scheme, deep adaptation networks, is introduced for adapting the deep model trained with source data for use in new but related target domain. The presented approach is demonstrated with bearing condition monitoring information, and the results indicate it can identify bearing faults effectively under different operational conditions and has a higher accuracy than conventional approaches.
在过去的几十年里,已经设计了许多故障诊断方法并成功地用于轴承。然而,它们中的大多数仍然有两个不足之处。(1)传统方法根据具体问题手动提取和选择特征,但这些特征可能不适用于其他任务,导致故障诊断性能下降。(2)许多研究假设模型学习的数据集和测试数据集一样服从均匀分布,这很少符合实际。为了解决这些问题,我们设计了一种新的轴承故障诊断框架。首先,用连续小波变换将原始状态监测数据转换成二维图像;然后利用这些二维图像学习分类模型,在此过程中引入迁移学习方案——深度适应网络,将源数据训练的深度模型适应于新的相关目标领域。结合轴承状态监测信息对该方法进行了验证,结果表明,该方法能有效识别不同工况下的轴承故障,具有较高的识别精度。
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引用次数: 1
Extented Intelligent Recognition of Rolling Bearing Early Faults Using Multiscale Permutation Entropy 基于多尺度置换熵的滚动轴承早期故障扩展智能识别
Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.1109/phm-qingdao46334.2019.8942825
Wang Chaobing, Wu Rongzhen, Zhang Long, Cai Binghuan, Yan Lewei, Yin Wenhao
Considering the diversity, complexity and uncertainty existing in bearing vibrations, an extended intelligent identification paradigm for bearing faults was proposed based on multiscale permutation entropy (MPE) and extension theory. MPE can reflect the random degree and detect the dynamic mutation of time series over subsequent scales, while extension theory provides an approach to address the extensibility and regularity of complicated problems. In the present paradigm, MPE was employed to compute the entropies over multiple scales as an original feature vector to represent bearing vibrations, which were then graded using Fisher ratio to choose the most informative features. The chosen features were exploited to determine the classical domain and joint domain of matter elements associated with various bearing health conditions. Bearing fault pattern was assigned to the one with maximum dependence degree among the afore-constructed matter elements. An experiment was conducted on an electrical motor involving four bearing conditions including normal, inner race, outer race and rolling element faults. The test was repeated 100 times with an averaged rate of 92.2% by the proposed method which outperforms the method using multiscale sample entropy and extension theory.
针对轴承振动存在的多样性、复杂性和不确定性,提出了一种基于多尺度置换熵(MPE)和可拓理论的轴承故障智能识别扩展范式。MPE可以反映时间序列在后续尺度上的随机程度和动态突变,而可拓理论为解决复杂问题的可扩展性和规律性提供了一种方法。在本范例中,使用MPE计算多个尺度上的熵作为原始特征向量来表示轴承振动,然后使用Fisher比率对其进行分级以选择信息量最大的特征。利用所选择的特征来确定与各种轴承健康状况相关的物质元素的经典域和联合域。将轴承故障模式赋值为上述物质元素之间依赖程度最大的那一种。对某电机进行了正常、内圈、外圈和滚动体故障四种轴承工况的实验研究。该方法重复测试100次,平均准确率为92.2%,优于采用多尺度样本熵和可拓理论的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Glucose Level Prediction Based on Data Driven Method 基于数据驱动方法的血糖水平预测
Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.1109/phm-qingdao46334.2019.8942886
Min Qian, Yan-Fu Li
Diabetes is a chronic disease affecting a large number of human population worldwide. Accurate prediction of blood glucose plays an important role for diabetic patients to control the blood glucose in the normal range. In this paper, we use four popular data driven prediction methods for multi-steps ahead prediction with only the historical glucose values as input. Moreover, experiments are carried out to gain insight of the forecast delay phenomenon in the prediction. The reasons leading to the prediction delay are investigated, with the aim to improve the practical value of blood glucose prediction.
糖尿病是一种影响全球大量人口的慢性疾病。准确预测血糖对于糖尿病患者将血糖控制在正常范围内具有重要作用。在本文中,我们使用四种流行的数据驱动预测方法,仅以历史葡萄糖值作为输入进行多步预测。此外,为了深入了解预测中的预测延迟现象,还进行了实验。探讨了导致预测延迟的原因,旨在提高血糖预测的实用价值。
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引用次数: 0
An improved method for evaluating the preventive maintenance quality of buses 客车预防性维修质量评价的改进方法
Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.1109/phm-qingdao46334.2019.8943061
Zhigao Chen, R. Jiang, Yi-Rong Teng
This paper proposes an improved method to evaluate the quality of preventive maintenance. This method evaluates the quality of preventive maintenance by comparing the pseudo-failure rate and the actual failure rate after the maintenance point. When using the weighting method to establish the power-law model to fit the failure data before the maintenance point, we focus on its prediction effect. When the normal function weight and the negative exponential function weight are used to estimate the model parameters, it is found that the model with negative exponential function weight has better predictive ability. To improve the accuracy of the prediction, the parameters of the negative exponential weight function are optimized. When using the power-law model to model the failure data after maintenance, we pay attention to the fitting effect. In the subsequent case study, we used two methods to evaluate the quality of preventive maintenance of a fleet of 26 buses, and the results show that the improved method is more reasonable.
提出了一种改进的预防性维修质量评价方法。该方法通过比较维修点后的伪故障率和实际故障率来评价预防性维修质量。在利用加权法建立幂律模型拟合维修点前的故障数据时,重点关注其预测效果。用正态函数权值和负指数函数权值对模型参数进行估计时,发现具有负指数函数权值的模型具有更好的预测能力。为了提高预测的准确性,对负指数权重函数的参数进行了优化。在使用幂律模型对维修后的故障数据进行建模时,要注意拟合效果。在后续的案例研究中,我们采用两种方法对26辆客车车队的预防性维修质量进行了评价,结果表明改进后的方法更加合理。
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引用次数: 0
A Recognition Method for Lightning Disturbance in Traction Power Supply System Based on Wavelet Energy Moment 基于小波能量矩的牵引供电系统雷电干扰识别方法
Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.1109/phm-qingdao46334.2019.8942908
Liping Zhao, Lin Long, Shangxiao Yang, Sheng Lin
Traction power supply system (TPSS) is an important part of the electric railway. Lightning is one of the important factors that endanger the safe operation of TPSS. The impact of lightning on TPSS can be divided into lightning fault and lightning disturbance. Due to lightning disturbance also generates high-frequency components, which cause the relay protection mistrip in traction substation. In this paper, wavelet energy moment is used to recognition lightning disturbance of TPSS. Firstly, in order to obtain transient signals of TPSS, simulation model of the TPSS is built and it simulates three kinds of transient signals, such as normal signals, lightning fault signals and lightning disturbance signals. Then the wavelet transform is used to extract the energy moments of each frequency band of the three types of signals. Thus, wavelet energy moment statistical graphs of three types of signals are obtained, the wavelet energy moment statistical graph is analyzed and its distribution characteristics are analyzed. Based on this, the lightning disturbance recognition criterion is proposed. Finally, the recognition criterion is verified by the simulation signals. The results show that the recognition method can effectively recognize the lightning disturbance signal of the TPSS.
牵引供电系统是电气化铁路的重要组成部分。雷电是危及输电系统安全运行的重要因素之一。雷电对TPSS的影响可分为雷电故障和雷电干扰。雷电干扰还会产生高频元件,引起牵引变电站继电保护误动作。本文利用小波能量矩来识别TPSS的雷电干扰。首先,为了获得TPSS的暂态信号,建立了TPSS的仿真模型,对正常信号、雷电故障信号和雷电干扰信号三种暂态信号进行了仿真。然后利用小波变换提取三种信号各频带的能量矩。从而得到了三类信号的小波能量矩统计图,分析了小波能量矩统计图及其分布特征。在此基础上,提出了雷电干扰识别准则。最后,通过仿真信号对识别准则进行验证。结果表明,该识别方法能有效识别TPSS的雷电干扰信号。
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引用次数: 2
Clustering-based Travel Pattern Recognition in Rail Transportation System Using Automated Fare Collection Data 基于自动收费数据的轨道交通系统出行模式识别
Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.1109/phm-qingdao46334.2019.8943009
Yupeng Chen, Yang Zhao, K. Tsui
Passenger travel pattern analysis is essential for the design and development of public transport network. Nowadays, Automated Fare Collection (AFC) systems are widely exploited in the operation and management of public transportation. The data collected from AFC systems provide valuable information to analyze passenger behavior. This research aims to investigate passenger mobility patterns from both temporal and spatial perspectives. We present a hybrid topic-clustering method for extracting travel feature and grouping passengers based on their travel patterns. Our proposed method is illustrated using a real AFC dataset of the metro transportation system in Shenzhen, China. The results showed that four temporal travel patterns were well identified. Comparison of travel behavior indicated that metro travelers with different travel time selections also have different activity areas.
乘客出行模式分析是公共交通网络设计和发展的基础。目前,自动检票系统已广泛应用于公共交通的运营和管理中。从AFC系统收集的数据为分析乘客行为提供了有价值的信息。本研究旨在从时间和空间两个角度探讨乘客流动模式。提出了一种混合主题聚类方法,用于提取出行特征并根据出行模式对乘客进行分组。我们提出的方法用中国深圳地铁交通系统的真实AFC数据集进行了说明。结果表明,四种时间旅行模式得到了很好的识别。出行行为对比表明,不同出行时间选择的地铁乘客活动区域也不同。
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引用次数: 1
Condition-Based Maintenance Optimization with Safety Constraints under Imperfect Inspection 不完全检测下安全约束的状态维修优化
Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.1109/phm-qingdao46334.2019.8942853
Chiming Guo, Yongsheng Bai, R. Peng
The maintenance decision needs to consider various aspects such as cost, safety, system condition etc. This paper presents a condition-based maintenance optimization model with a risk acceptance criterion under imperfect inspection. The inspection interval can adaptively change with the system condition. In order to make the maintenance decision more reasonable, the optimization model, which minimizes the expected long-term cost rate with safety constraints, also considers the influence of imperfect inspection. The method is illustrated through the case of a feeder pipe of a nuclear power plant. The results show that the safety constraint and measurement error cannot be ignored.
维修决策需要考虑成本、安全性、系统状况等多方面因素。提出了一种基于状态的不完全检修风险接受准则的检修优化模型。检测间隔可随系统状况自适应变化。为了使维修决策更加合理,优化模型考虑了不完善检查的影响,在安全约束下使预期长期成本率最小化。以某核电站给水管为例,说明了该方法的可行性。结果表明,安全约束和测量误差不容忽视。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
2019 Prognostics and System Health Management Conference (PHM-Qingdao)
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