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Laboratory-Confirmed Influenza Hospitalizations During Pregnancy or the Early Postpartum Period - Suzhou City, Jiangsu Province, China, 2018-2023. 2018-2023年中国江苏省苏州市妊娠期或产后早期经实验室确诊的流感住院病例。
IF 25.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-10-31 DOI: 10.15585/mmwr.mm7343a1
Jinghui Sun, Yuanyuan Zhang, Suizan Zhou, Ying Song, Suping Zhang, Jie Zhu, Zhiyuan Zhu, Rui Wang, Hong Chen, Liling Chen, Haibing Yang, Jun Zhang, Eduardo Azziz-Baumgartner, W William Schluter

Pregnancy is associated with increased risk for severe illness and complications associated with influenza infection. Insufficient knowledge about the risk for influenza among pregnant women and their health care providers in China is an important barrier to increasing influenza vaccination coverage and treating influenza and its complications among pregnant women. Improved influenza incidence estimates might promote wider vaccine acceptance and higher vaccination coverage. In Suzhou, active population-based surveillance during October 2018-September 2023 estimated that the annual rate of hospitalization for acute respiratory or febrile illness (ARFI) among women who were pregnant or <2 weeks postpartum was 11.1 per 1,000 live births; the annual rate of laboratory-confirmed influenza-associated ARFI (influenza ARFI) hospitalization in this group was 2.1 per 1,000 live births. A majority of hospitalized pregnant or early postpartum patients with ARFI (82.6%; 2,588 of 3,133) or influenza ARFI (85.5%; 423 of 495) were admitted to obstetrics wards rather than respiratory medicine wards. Only one (0.03%) pregnant or postpartum ARFI patient had received influenza vaccination, and 31.3% of pregnant or postpartum women hospitalized for influenza ARFI received antiviral treatment; the lowest percentage of hospitalized women with influenza ARFI who received antiviral treatment was among women admitted to obstetrics and gynecology wards (29.6% and 23.1%, respectively), compared with 54.1% of those admitted to a respiratory medicine ward. These findings highlight the risk for influenza and its associated complications among pregnant and postpartum women, the low rates of influenza vaccination among pregnant women, and of antiviral treatment of women with ARFI admitted to obstetrics and gynecology wards. Increasing awareness of the prevalence of influenza ARFI among pregnant women, the use of empiric antiviral treatment for ARFI, and the infection control in obstetrics wards during influenza seasons might help reduce influenza-associated morbidity among pregnant and postpartum women.

妊娠与流感感染相关的重症和并发症风险增加有关。中国孕妇及其医疗服务提供者对流感风险的认识不足,是提高孕妇流感疫苗接种率、治疗流感及其并发症的重要障碍。提高对流感发病率的估计可能会促进更广泛的疫苗接受度和更高的疫苗接种率。在苏州,根据2018年10月至2023年9月期间基于人群的主动监测估计,每年因急性呼吸道或发热性疾病(ARFI)住院的孕妇或
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引用次数: 0
QuickStats: Percentage* of Adults Aged ≥18 Years Who Were in Families Having Problems Paying Medical Bills in the Past 12 Months, by Disability Status§ and Age Group - United States, 2023. QuickStats:按残疾状况§和年龄组分列的在过去 12 个月中有医疗费用支付问题的家庭中年龄≥18 岁的成年人的百分比*† - 美国,2023 年。
IF 25.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-10-31 DOI: 10.15585/mmwr.mm7343a6
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引用次数: 0
Notes from the Field: Trichophyton mentagrophytes Genotype VII - New York City, April-July 2024. 现场笔记:毛癣菌基因型 VII - 纽约市,2024 年 4 月至 7 月。
IF 25.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-10-31 DOI: 10.15585/mmwr.mm7343a5
Jason Zucker, Avrom S Caplan, Shauna H Gunaratne, Stephanie M Gallitano, John G Zampella, Caitlin Otto, Rachel Sally, Sudha Chaturvedi, Brittany O'Brien, Gabrielle C Todd, Priyanka Anand, Laura A S Quilter, Dallas J Smith, Tom Chiller, Shawn R Lockhart, Meghan Lyman, Preeti Pathela, Jeremy A W Gold
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引用次数: 0
Routine Vaccination Coverage - Worldwide, 2023. 2023 年全球常规疫苗接种覆盖率。
IF 25.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-10-31 DOI: 10.15585/mmwr.mm7343a4
Camille E Jones, M Carolina Danovaro-Holliday, George Mwinnyaa, Marta Gacic-Dobo, Lauren Francis, Jan Grevendonk, Yoann Nedelec, Aaron Wallace, Samir V Sodha, Ciara Sugerman

In 2020, the World Health Assembly endorsed the Immunization Agenda 2030 (IA2030), a 10-year strategy to reduce vaccine-preventable disease (VPD)-associated morbidity and mortality. IA2030 goals include improving equitable vaccination coverage, halving the number of unimmunized (zero-dose) children, and increasing the introduction of new and underutilized vaccines. The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted health systems worldwide, hindering years of childhood vaccination achievements and putting global public health goals at risk. This report presents trends in World Health Organization (WHO) and UNICEF routine vaccination coverage estimates through 2023 across the 194 WHO member countries. During 2022-2023, global coverage with the first and third doses of diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis-containing vaccine (DTPcv) (89% and 84%, respectively) and the first dose of measles-containing vaccine (83%) stagnated and remained lower than prepandemic levels. The 31 WHO member countries with fragile, conflict-affected, and vulnerable (FCV) settings include approximately one half of the world's 14.5 million children who did not receive the first DTPcv dose. The introduction of new and underutilized vaccines, such as a second MCV dose in the African Region, has improved countries' overall protection against VPDs. Accelerating country-specific routine immunization and catch-up vaccination programs to reach unvaccinated and incompletely vaccinated children, especially those living in FCV settings, is critical to reducing morbidity and mortality associated with VPDs.

2020 年,世界卫生大会批准了《2030 年免疫议程》(IA2030),这是一项旨在降低与疫苗可预防疾病(VPD)相关的发病率和死亡率的 10 年战略。IA2030 的目标包括提高疫苗接种的公平覆盖率,将未接种(零剂量)儿童的人数减半,以及更多引进新疫苗和未充分利用的疫苗。COVID-19 大流行扰乱了全球的卫生系统,阻碍了多年来儿童疫苗接种的成就,并使全球公共卫生目标面临风险。本报告介绍了世界卫生组织(WHO)和联合国儿童基金会对194个WHO成员国到2023年常规疫苗接种覆盖率的估计趋势。2022-2023 年期间,全球含白喉-破伤风-百日咳疫苗 (DTPcv) 第一剂和第三剂接种率(分别为 89% 和 84%)以及含麻疹疫苗第一剂接种率(83%)停滞不前,仍低于流行前水平。世卫组织 31 个脆弱、受冲突影响和易受感染 (FCV) 的成员国包括了全球 1450 万未接种第一剂 DTPcv 的儿童中的大约一半。引入新疫苗和未充分利用的疫苗(如非洲地区的第二剂 MCV)提高了各国对 VPD 的整体防护水平。加快针对具体国家的常规免疫接种和补种计划,以覆盖未接种疫苗和未完全接种疫苗的儿童,尤其是生活在家庭、社区和学校环境中的儿童,这对于降低与VPD相关的发病率和死亡率至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Statewide Outbreak of Neisseria meningitidis Serogroup Y, Sequence Type 1466 - Virginia, 2022-2024. 全州范围内爆发脑膜炎奈瑟菌 Y 血清群 1466 型序列 - 弗吉尼亚州,2022-2024 年。
IF 25.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-10-31 DOI: 10.15585/mmwr.mm7343a3
Meredith Robinson, Jenny Crain, Brittany Kendall, Victoria Alexander, Elena Diskin, Dawn Saady, Corryn Hicks, Angela Myrick-West, Paige Bordwine, Denise Sockwell, Emily Craig, Amy Rubis, Lucy McNamara, Shalabh Sharma, Rebecca Howie, Daya Marasini, Henju Marjuki, Ana Colón

Invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) is a severe illness that can have devastating effects; outbreaks are uncommon in the United States. Vaccination is the preferred control measure for IMD outbreaks when a defined population at risk (e.g., college students or persons experiencing homelessness) can be identified. In August 2022, the Virginia Department of Health (VDH) began investigating an IMD outbreak in Virginia's Eastern Health Planning Region, prompted by the detection of four confirmed cases within 8 weeks. Clinical isolates available from three cases were characterized as Neisseria meningitidis serogroup Y, sequence type 1466. A subsequent statewide investigation identified 36 genetically related cases, including seven deaths (case fatality rate = 19.4%) as of March 1, 2024. A majority of patients (63.9%) were in an age group (30-60 years) not generally considered at increased risk for IMD; 78.0% were non-Hispanic Black or African American. No common exposures, affiliations, or risk factors were identified, and a defined population could not be identified for vaccination. VDH recommended quadrivalent (serogroups A, C, W, and Y) meningococcal conjugate vaccination of a subset of close contacts of patients based on IMD risk factors and age range similar to that of patients with identified cases. IMD outbreaks might affect populations without established IMD risk factors. Lack of a well-defined population at risk might prompt exploration of novel control strategies, such as selective vaccination of close contacts.

侵袭性脑膜炎球菌病(IMD)是一种可造成破坏性影响的严重疾病,在美国并不常见。在确定高危人群(如大学生或无家可归者)时,接种疫苗是控制侵袭性脑膜炎球菌病爆发的首选措施。2022 年 8 月,弗吉尼亚州卫生部(VDH)开始调查弗吉尼亚州东部卫生规划区的 IMD 疫情,原因是在 8 周内发现了 4 例确诊病例。从三例病例中获得的临床分离物被定性为脑膜炎奈瑟菌 Y 血清群序列 1466 型。随后在全州范围内进行的调查发现,截至 2024 年 3 月 1 日,共有 36 例基因相关病例,其中 7 例死亡(病死率 = 19.4%)。大多数患者(63.9%)的年龄组(30-60 岁)一般不被认为是 IMD 的高危人群;78.0% 为非西班牙裔黑人或非裔美国人。没有发现共同的接触、隶属关系或风险因素,因此无法确定接种疫苗的特定人群。根据 IMD 的风险因素以及与已发现病例的患者相似的年龄范围,VDH 建议为患者的密切接触者接种四价(A、C、W 和 Y 血清群)脑膜炎球菌结合疫苗。IMD 爆发可能会影响没有确定 IMD 风险因素的人群。缺乏明确界定的高危人群可能会促使人们探索新的控制策略,例如有选择地为密切接触者接种疫苗。
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引用次数: 0
Workplace mortality risk and social determinants among migrant workers: a systematic review and meta-analysis 外来务工人员的工作场所死亡风险和社会决定因素:系统回顾和荟萃分析
IF 5 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-10-30 DOI: 10.1016/s2468-2667(24)00226-3
Karen Lau, Robert Aldridge, Marie Norredam, George Frederick Mkoma, Mathura Kugan, Rosita Chia-Yin Lin, Ligia Kiss, Cathy Zimmerman, Sally Hargreaves
<h3>Background</h3>Migrant workers, a population of 170 million, often work in dangerous or unhealthy working environments and are likely to suffer workplace injuries and labour abuses. However, the risk of mortality in migrant workers compared with local workers is unknown. We aim to synthesise global evidence on migrant worker mortality risk and identify social determinants to inform health and safety protections for migrant workers.<h3>Methods</h3>We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of peer-reviewed literature to examine mortality outcomes among migrant workers and associated risk factors. We searched MEDLINE, Embase, PsycINFO, and Ovid Global Health for studies published between Jan 1, 2000, and Jan 17, 2023, reporting quantitative primary research in English. A broad definition of migrant worker was used, including any worker who is foreign-born (ie, international first-generation migrant workers), either in paid employment or self-employment. Internal migrants, second-generation migrants, and foreign health-care workers were excluded. The primary outcome was any reported mortality, including all-cause mortality, cause-specific mortality, suicide, homicide, and fatal occupational injury. We used meta-analysis to compare outcomes between migrant worker and local worker populations, and a random-effects model to calculate pooled estimates. We used narrative synthesis to develop a data-driven conceptual framework capturing the intersectional social determinants of mortality in migrant workers. The study protocol is registered on PROSPERO, CRD42023372893.<h3>Findings</h3>Of 11 495 identified records, 44 were included in the systematic review, of which 11 studies were pooled in meta-analyses. Data were from 16 countries, most of which were high-income countries, and included 44 338 migrant worker deaths, including migrants from the agriculture, construction, mining, and service industries. Compared with local workers, migrant workers had a higher risk of fatal occupational injury (pooled relative risk 1·71, 95% CI 1·22–2·38; eight studies; <em>I</em><sup>2</sup>=99·4%), and a lower risk of all-cause mortality (0·94, 0·88–0·99; three studies, <em>I</em><sup>2</sup>=90·7%). Migrant workers were more likely to die from external causes of death (such as falls or assaults) than internal causes of death (such as respiratory or digestive diseases) compared with local workers, with migrant workers also more likely to die from work-related homicides, especially in the retail and sex industries, with some evidence of higher suicide rates among female migrant workers compared with female local workers. Influential social determinants for poor fatality outcomes include migration-related factors (such as lower language proficiency, undocumented status, and long duration of stay) and labour-related factors (such as precarious employment, labour migration policies, and economic deregulation policies).<h3>Interpretation</h3>Migrant workers have a
背景农民工有 1.7 亿人,他们经常在危险或不健康的工作环境中工作,很可能遭受工伤和劳动侵害。然而,与本地工人相比,外来务工人员的死亡风险尚不清楚。我们旨在综合有关外来务工人员死亡风险的全球证据,并确定社会决定因素,为外来务工人员的健康和安全保护提供依据。方法我们对同行评议的文献进行了系统回顾和荟萃分析,以研究外来务工人员的死亡结果及相关风险因素。我们检索了 MEDLINE、Embase、PsycINFO 和 Ovid Global Health 中发表于 2000 年 1 月 1 日至 2023 年 1 月 17 日之间、用英语报告定量初步研究的研究。对移民工人采用了广义的定义,包括任何在国外出生的工人(即国际第一代移民工人),无论是从事有偿工作还是自营职业。国内移民、第二代移民和外国医护人员不包括在内。主要结果是任何报告的死亡率,包括全因死亡率、特定原因死亡率、自杀、他杀和致命工伤。我们使用荟萃分析来比较外来务工人员和本地务工人员的结果,并使用随机效应模型来计算汇总估计值。我们使用叙事综合法建立了一个数据驱动的概念框架,该框架捕捉了外来务工人员死亡率的交叉性社会决定因素。研究方案已在 PROSPERO 上注册,注册号为 CRD42023372893。研究结果在 11 495 项已识别记录中,44 项被纳入系统综述,其中 11 项研究被汇总到荟萃分析中。数据来自 16 个国家,其中大部分是高收入国家,包括 44 338 例移徙工人死亡病例,其中包括来自农业、建筑业、采矿业和服务业的移徙工人。与本地工人相比,外来务工人员发生致命工伤的风险较高(汇总相对风险为1-71,95% CI为1-22-2-38;8项研究;I2=99-4%),而全因死亡的风险较低(0-94,0-88-0-99;3项研究,I2=90-7%)。与本地工人相比,外来务工人员更有可能死于外部死因(如跌倒或袭击),而非内部死因(如呼吸系统或消化系统疾病),外来务工人员也更有可能死于与工作有关的凶杀,尤其是在零售业和性行业,有证据表明,与本地女工相比,外来女工的自杀率更高。造成不良死亡结果的影响性社会决定因素包括与移民相关的因素(如较低的语言能力、无证身份和较长的逗留时间)和与劳工相关的因素(如不稳定的就业、劳工移民政策和放松经济管制政策)。这种健康方面的不公平现象亟需通过未来的干预措施加以解决,这些干预措施应在结构层面上考虑到与移民和劳动力相关的健康社会决定因素,如将劳动保护法扩展至移民工人,并改善这一重要且不断增长的劳动力的职业健康、安全和工作场所条件。
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引用次数: 0
Mandatory salt targets: a key policy tool for global salt reduction efforts 强制性食盐目标:全球减盐工作的关键政策工具
IF 5 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-10-30 DOI: 10.1016/s2468-2667(24)00227-5
Monique Tan
Salt is consumed in excess in most countries, with global salt intake averaging at more than double the recommended maximum limit of 5 g per day. By raising blood pressure, excess salt intake is a major risk factor for cardiovascular disease, the leading cause of premature death and ill health worldwide. In 2013, all WHO Member States committed to a 30% reduction in average salt intake by 2025. However, as of 2023, none were on track to achieve it.1
大多数国家的食盐摄入量过高,全球平均食盐摄入量是建议最高摄入量(每天 5 克)的两倍多。盐摄入过量会使血压升高,是心血管疾病的主要风险因素,而心血管疾病是导致全球过早死亡和健康不良的主要原因。2013 年,世卫组织所有成员国承诺到 2025 年将平均盐摄入量减少 30%。然而,截至 2023 年,没有一个国家能够如期实现这一目标。
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引用次数: 0
City mobility patterns during the COVID-19 pandemic: analysis of a global natural experiment COVID-19 大流行期间的城市流动模式:全球自然实验分析
IF 5 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-10-30 DOI: 10.1016/s2468-2667(24)00222-6
Ruth F Hunter, Selin Akaraci, Ruoyu Wang, Rodrigo Reis, Pedro C Hallal, Sandy Pentland, Christopher Millett, Leandro Garcia, Jason Thompson, Kerry Nice, Belen Zapata-Diomedi, Esteban Moro
<h3>Background</h3>During the COVID-19 pandemic, changes were seen in city mobility patterns around the world, including in active transportation (walking, cycling, micromobility, and public transit use), creating a unique opportunity for global public health lessons and action. We aimed to analyse a global natural experiment exploring city mobility patterns during the pandemic and how they related to the implementation of COVID-19-related policies.<h3>Methods</h3>We obtained data from Apple's Mobility Trends Reports on city mobility indexes for 296 cities from Jan 13, 2020 to Feb 4, 2022. Mobility indexes represented the frequency of Apple Maps queries for driving, walking, and public transit journeys relative to a baseline value of 100 for the pre-pandemic period (defined as Jan 13, 2020). City mobility index trajectories were plotted with stratification by country income level, transportation-related city type, population density, and COVID-19 pandemic severity (SARS-CoV-2 infection rate). We also synthesised global pandemic policies and recovery actions that promoted or restricted city mobility and active transportation (walking, cycling and micromobility, and public transit) using the Shifting Streets dataset. Additionally, a natural experiment on a global scale evaluated the effects of new active transportation policies on walking and public transit use in cities around the world. We used multivariable regression with a difference-in-difference (DID) analysis to explore whether the implementation of walking or public transit promotion policies affected mobility indexes, comparing cities with and without implementation of these policies in the pre-intervention period (Jan 27 to April 12, 2020) and post-intervention period (April 13 to June 28, 2020).<h3>Findings</h3>Based on city mobility index trajectories, we observed an overall decline in mobility indexes for walking, driving, and public transit at the beginning of the pandemic, but these values began to increase in April, 2020. Cities with lower population densities generally had higher driving and walking indexes than cities with higher population density, while cities with higher population densities had higher public transit indexes. Cities with higher pandemic severity generally had higher driving and walking indexes than cities with lower pandemic severity, while cities with lower pandemic severity had higher public transit indexes than other cities. We identified 587 policies in the dataset that had known implementation dates and were relevant to active transportation, which included 305 policies on walking, 321 on cycling and micromobility, and 143 on public transit, across 230 cities within 33 countries (19 high-income, 11 middle-income, and three low-income countries). In the global natural experiment (including 39 cities), implementation of policy interventions promoting walking was significantly associated with a higher absolute value of the walking index (DID coefficient 20·6
背景在 COVID-19 大流行期间,世界各地的城市交通模式都发生了变化,包括主动交通(步行、骑自行车、微型交通和公共交通使用),这为全球公共卫生教训和行动创造了一个独特的机会。我们旨在分析一项全球自然实验,探索大流行期间的城市交通模式,以及这些模式与 COVID-19 相关政策的实施之间的关系。方法我们从苹果公司的《交通趋势报告》中获取了 2020 年 1 月 13 日至 2022 年 2 月 4 日期间 296 个城市的交通指数数据。流动性指数代表的是疫情流行前(定义为 2020 年 1 月 13 日)苹果地图对驾驶、步行和公共交通出行的查询频率,相对于基线值 100。城市交通指数轨迹按国家收入水平、交通相关城市类型、人口密度和 COVID-19 大流行严重程度(SARS-CoV-2 感染率)分层绘制。我们还利用 "移动街道 "数据集综合分析了促进或限制城市流动性和主动交通(步行、骑自行车、微型交通和公共交通)的全球大流行政策和恢复行动。此外,我们还在全球范围内进行了一次自然实验,评估了新的主动交通政策对全球城市步行和公共交通使用的影响。我们使用多变量回归和差异分析(DID)来探讨步行或公共交通推广政策的实施是否会影响流动性指数,并对干预前(2020 年 1 月 27 日至 4 月 12 日)和干预后(2020 年 4 月 13 日至 6 月 28 日)实施和未实施这些政策的城市进行了比较。研究结果根据城市流动性指数轨迹,我们观察到大流行初期步行、驾车和公共交通的流动性指数整体下降,但这些数值在 2020 年 4 月开始上升。与人口密度较高的城市相比,人口密度较低的城市的驾驶和步行指数普遍较高,而人口密度较高的城市的公共交通指数较高。流行病严重程度较高的城市的驾驶和步行指数通常高于流行病严重程度较低的城市,而流行病严重程度较低的城市的公共交通指数高于其他城市。我们在 33 个国家(19 个高收入国家、11 个中等收入国家和 3 个低收入国家)的 230 个城市的数据集中确定了 587 项已知实施日期且与主动交通相关的政策,其中包括 305 项关于步行的政策、321 项关于自行车和微型交通的政策以及 143 项关于公共交通的政策。在全球自然实验中(包括 39 个城市),促进步行的政策干预措施的实施与步行指数绝对值的提高显著相关(DID 系数 20-675 [95% CI 8-778-32-572]),而促进公共交通的政策则没有这种影响(0-600 [-13-293 到 14-494])。鉴于积极交通的已知益处,此类政策可以在大流行后得到维持、扩展和评估。不同收入国家之间干预措施的差异突出表明,改变基础设施,优先考虑安全步行、骑自行车和方便地使用公共交通,有助于低收入和中等收入国家的城市面向未来。
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引用次数: 0
Estimated health benefits, costs, and cost-effectiveness of implementing WHO's sodium benchmarks for packaged foods in India: a modelling study 在印度实施世界卫生组织包装食品钠含量基准的估计健康效益、成本和成本效益:一项模拟研究
IF 5 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-10-30 DOI: 10.1016/s2468-2667(24)00221-4
Kathy Trieu, Liping Huang, Leopold N Aminde, Linda Cobiac, Daisy H Coyle, Mary Njeri Wanjau, Sudhir Raj Thout, Bruce Neal, Jason H Y Wu, Lennert Veerman, Matti Marklund, Rachita Gupta

Background

Excess dietary sodium intake has been associated with death and disability. WHO has released global sodium benchmarks for packaged foods to support countries to reduce population sodium intake. This study aimed to assess the potential health effect, costs, and cost effectiveness of implementing these WHO sodium benchmarks in India.

Methods

We used a multiple cohort, proportional multistate, life table (Markov) model to estimate the health gains and cost effectiveness for adults if sodium content in packaged foods complied with the WHO benchmarks compared to the status quo. We used India-specific dietary surveys, food composition tables, foods sales data, and sodium content data from packaged food labels to estimate sodium intake before and after the intervention. Data on blood pressure, cardiovascular disease, and chronic kidney disease burden were obtained from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors study, and the effect of sodium reduction on blood pressure and disease risk was modelled on the basis of meta-analyses of randomised trials and cohort studies. Intervention and health-care costs were used to estimate net costs, and calculate the incremental cost per health-adjusted life-year (HALY) gained. Costs and HALYs were discounted at 3%.

Findings

In the first 10 years, compliance with the WHO sodium benchmarks was estimated to avert a mean of 0·3 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 0·2–0·5) million deaths from cardiovascular diseases and chronic kidney disease, a mean of 1·7 (95% UI 1·0–2·4) million incident cardiovascular disease events, and 0·7 (0·4–1·0) million new chronic kidney disease cases, compared with current practice. Over 10 years, the intervention was projected to be cost saving (100·0% probability), generating 1·0 (0·6 to 1·4) billion HALYs and US$0·8 (95% UI 0·3 to 1·4) million in cost savings. Over the population lifetime, the intervention could prevent 4·2 (2·4–6·0) million deaths from cardiovascular diseases and chronic kidney disease, 14·0 (8·2–20·1) million incident cardiovascular disease events, and 4·8 (2·8–6·8) new chronic kidney disease cases, with an 84·2% probability of being cost-saving and 100·0% probability of being cost-effective.

Interpretation

Our modelling data suggest a high potential for compliance with WHO sodium benchmarks for packaged food being associated with substantial health gains and cost savings, making a strong case for India to mandate the implementation of the WHO sodium benchmarks, particularly as packaged food consumption continues to rise.

Funding

WHO Country Office India.
背景膳食钠摄入过量与死亡和残疾有关。世卫组织发布了包装食品的全球钠基准,以支持各国减少居民钠摄入量。本研究旨在评估在印度实施这些世卫组织钠基准的潜在健康影响、成本和成本效益。方法我们使用了一个多队列、多州比例、生命表(马尔可夫)模型来估算如果包装食品中的钠含量符合世卫组织的基准与现状相比,成人的健康收益和成本效益。我们利用印度的特定膳食调查、食品成分表、食品销售数据和包装食品标签中的钠含量数据来估算干预前后的钠摄入量。有关血压、心血管疾病和慢性肾脏疾病负担的数据来自全球疾病、伤害和风险因素负担研究,减少钠对血压和疾病风险的影响是根据随机试验和队列研究的荟萃分析建立模型的。干预和医疗成本用于估算净成本,并计算每获得健康调整生命年 (HALY) 的增量成本。与目前的做法相比,在头 10 年中,遵守世卫组织钠基准估计可避免平均 0-3 百万人(95% 不确定区间 [UI] 0-2-0-5)死于心血管疾病和慢性肾病,平均 1-7 百万人(95% 不确定区间 [UI] 1-0-2-4)发生心血管疾病事件,以及 0-7 百万人(0-4-1-0)新增慢性肾病病例。预计在 10 年内,该干预措施可节约成本(概率为 100-0%),产生 10-0(0-6 至 1-4)亿 HALYs 和 0-8(95% UI 0-3 至 1-4)百万美元的成本节约。在整个人口生命周期中,该干预措施可预防 4-2 (2-4-6-0)百万人死于心血管疾病和慢性肾病,14-0(8-2-20-1)百万人预防心血管疾病事件,4-8(2-8-6-8)人预防新的慢性肾病病例,节约成本的概率为 84-2%,具有成本效益的概率为 100-0%。解释我们的建模数据表明,遵守世卫组织包装食品钠基准极有可能带来巨大的健康收益和成本节约,因此印度有充分理由强制实施世卫组织钠基准,特别是在包装食品消费量持续上升的情况下。
{"title":"Estimated health benefits, costs, and cost-effectiveness of implementing WHO's sodium benchmarks for packaged foods in India: a modelling study","authors":"Kathy Trieu, Liping Huang, Leopold N Aminde, Linda Cobiac, Daisy H Coyle, Mary Njeri Wanjau, Sudhir Raj Thout, Bruce Neal, Jason H Y Wu, Lennert Veerman, Matti Marklund, Rachita Gupta","doi":"10.1016/s2468-2667(24)00221-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/s2468-2667(24)00221-4","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Background</h3>Excess dietary sodium intake has been associated with death and disability. WHO has released global sodium benchmarks for packaged foods to support countries to reduce population sodium intake. This study aimed to assess the potential health effect, costs, and cost effectiveness of implementing these WHO sodium benchmarks in India.<h3>Methods</h3>We used a multiple cohort, proportional multistate, life table (Markov) model to estimate the health gains and cost effectiveness for adults if sodium content in packaged foods complied with the WHO benchmarks compared to the status quo. We used India-specific dietary surveys, food composition tables, foods sales data, and sodium content data from packaged food labels to estimate sodium intake before and after the intervention. Data on blood pressure, cardiovascular disease, and chronic kidney disease burden were obtained from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors study, and the effect of sodium reduction on blood pressure and disease risk was modelled on the basis of meta-analyses of randomised trials and cohort studies. Intervention and health-care costs were used to estimate net costs, and calculate the incremental cost per health-adjusted life-year (HALY) gained. Costs and HALYs were discounted at 3%.<h3>Findings</h3>In the first 10 years, compliance with the WHO sodium benchmarks was estimated to avert a mean of 0·3 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 0·2–0·5) million deaths from cardiovascular diseases and chronic kidney disease, a mean of 1·7 (95% UI 1·0–2·4) million incident cardiovascular disease events, and 0·7 (0·4–1·0) million new chronic kidney disease cases, compared with current practice. Over 10 years, the intervention was projected to be cost saving (100·0% probability), generating 1·0 (0·6 to 1·4) billion HALYs and US$0·8 (95% UI 0·3 to 1·4) million in cost savings. Over the population lifetime, the intervention could prevent 4·2 (2·4–6·0) million deaths from cardiovascular diseases and chronic kidney disease, 14·0 (8·2–20·1) million incident cardiovascular disease events, and 4·8 (2·8–6·8) new chronic kidney disease cases, with an 84·2% probability of being cost-saving and 100·0% probability of being cost-effective.<h3>Interpretation</h3>Our modelling data suggest a high potential for compliance with WHO sodium benchmarks for packaged food being associated with substantial health gains and cost savings, making a strong case for India to mandate the implementation of the WHO sodium benchmarks, particularly as packaged food consumption continues to rise.<h3>Funding</h3>WHO Country Office India.","PeriodicalId":25,"journal":{"name":"ACS Sustainable Chemistry & Engineering","volume":"3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":50.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142556460","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"化学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Human papillomavirus-based cervical screening and long-term cervical cancer risk: a randomised health-care policy trial in Sweden 基于人类乳头瘤病毒的宫颈筛查与长期宫颈癌风险:瑞典的随机医疗保健政策试验
IF 5 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-10-30 DOI: 10.1016/s2468-2667(24)00218-4
Jiangrong Wang, K Miriam Elfström, Joakim Dillner
<h3>Background</h3>Human papillomavirus (HPV)-based cervical screening is a globally recommended public health policy. Randomised clinical trials find superior performance of primary HPV-based screening compared with cytology for preventing cervical cancer. However, additional evidence from real-world public health policies is needed. In preplanned secondary analysis of a randomised health-care policy trial in Sweden we aimed to evaluate which policy provided better protection against invasive cervical cancer, after two full rounds of screening.<h3>Methods</h3>The organised cervical screening programme in the capital region of Sweden invited all women aged 30–64 years and eligible for screening to a randomised health-care policy trial of HPV-based versus cytology-based screening. During 2014–16, 395 725 eligible women were randomly assigned (non-concealed) to either policy and the invasive cervical cancer incidences over 8 years of follow-up were compared. Intention-to-screen analyses included all invited women and per-protocol analyses the women that attended baseline screening according to protocol. This trial is registered with <span><span>ClinicalTrials.gov</span><svg aria-label="Opens in new window" focusable="false" height="20" viewbox="0 0 8 8"><path d="M1.12949 2.1072V1H7V6.85795H5.89111V2.90281L0.784057 8L0 7.21635L5.11902 2.1072H1.12949Z"></path></svg></span>, <span><span>NCT01511328</span><svg aria-label="Opens in new window" focusable="false" height="20" viewbox="0 0 8 8"><path d="M1.12949 2.1072V1H7V6.85795H5.89111V2.90281L0.784057 8L0 7.21635L5.11902 2.1072H1.12949Z"></path></svg></span>.<h3>Findings</h3>Women invited to HPV-based cervical screening had a 17% lower invasive cervical cancer risk compared with women invited to cytology (hazard ratio [HR] 0·83, 95% CI 0·70–0·98). Women participating in HPV-based screening had a 28% lower invasive cervical cancer risk compared with women participating with cytology (HR 0·72, 95% CI 0·54–0·95). Adverse events were a higher number of referrals to colposcopy with biopsy in the HPV policy (15 832 [7·5%] of 212 199 in intention to screen analyses and 9968 [9·0%] of 110 176 per protocol at baseline) than in the cytology policy (12 650 [6·9%] of 183 120 in intention to screen analyses, and 7179 [7·9%] of 90 821 per protocol at baseline). Women who were HPV-negative at baseline had invasive cervical cancer risks of 1·3 (95% CI 0·6–2·4) per 100 000 person-years, whereas the risk for women with normal cytology was 9·1 (6·7–11·8) per 100 000 person-years. HPV-positive women with negative cytology triage had invasive cervical cancer risks of 79·2 per 100 000 person-years and HPV 16 or HPV 18-positive women with negative cytology triage had risks of 318·2 per 100 000 person-years.<h3>Interpretation</h3>This randomised policy trial found HPV-based screening to be superior for preventing invasive cervical cancer in the real-world setting. A single baseline HPV-negative test was associated with a very
背景基于人乳头瘤病毒(HPV)的宫颈筛查是全球推荐的公共卫生政策。随机临床试验发现,与细胞学检查相比,基于人乳头瘤病毒的初级筛查在预防宫颈癌方面效果更佳。然而,还需要更多来自真实世界公共卫生政策的证据。瑞典首都地区组织的宫颈筛查计划邀请所有符合筛查条件的 30-64 岁女性参加基于 HPV 的筛查与基于细胞学的筛查的随机医疗政策试验。2014-16 年间,395 725 名符合条件的女性被随机分配(非隐蔽)到其中一种政策中,并对 8 年随访期间的侵袭性宫颈癌发病率进行了比较。意向筛查分析包括所有受邀妇女,而按协议分析则包括根据协议参加基线筛查的妇女。该试验已在 ClinicalTrials.gov 登记,编号为 NCT01511328。研究结果与接受细胞学检查的妇女相比,受邀接受基于 HPV 的宫颈筛查的妇女患侵袭性宫颈癌的风险降低了 17%(危险比 [HR] 0-83,95% CI 0-70-0-98)。与参加细胞学检查的妇女相比,参加基于HPV的筛查的妇女患浸润性宫颈癌的风险降低了28%(危险比为0-72,95% CI为0-54-0-95)。与细胞学筛查政策相比,HPV 政策中转诊至阴道镜检查并进行活检的人数较多(意向筛查分析中,212 199 人中有 15 832 人[7-5%]转诊至阴道镜检查;基线时,110 176 人中有 9968 人[9-0%]转诊至阴道镜检查)(意向筛查分析中,183 120 人中有 12 650 人[6-9%]转诊至阴道镜检查;基线时,90 821 人中有 7179 人[7-9%]转诊至阴道镜检查)。基线时 HPV 阴性的妇女患浸润性宫颈癌的风险为每 10 万人年 1-3 例(95% CI 0-6-2-4),而细胞学检查正常的妇女患浸润性宫颈癌的风险为每 10 万人年 9-1 例(6-7-11-8)。HPV阳性、细胞学分流结果为阴性的妇女患浸润性宫颈癌的风险为每 10 万人年 79-2 例,HPV 16 或 HPV 18 阳性、细胞学分流结果为阴性的妇女患浸润性宫颈癌的风险为每 10 万人年 318-2 例。单次基线 HPV 阴性检测与 8 年后极低的浸润性宫颈癌风险相关。然而,HPV 阳性且细胞学分流结果为阴性与高侵袭性宫颈癌风险相关。
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