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STRATIGRAPHIC DEVELOPMENT OF THE DEVONIAN-CARBONIFEROUS COMPLEX OF THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE CASPIAN DEEP 里海深处南侧泥盆纪-石炭系杂岩的地层发育
Pub Date : 2022-10-30 DOI: 10.37878/2708-0080/2022-5.05
D. Urmanova, D. D. Humphrey
This article presents a study of the stratigraphic development of the Devonian-carboniferous complex of the southern side of the Caspian basin, in which a comprehensive study of sedimentary formations of the subsalt complex and the creation of a stratigraphic model of the Late Paleozoic stage of evolution of the southern Caspian sedimentary basin was carried out based on a refined correlation scheme by Abilkhasimov (2015), with the inclusion of generalized data on the structures of Ansagan and Maksat. The basis for the development of a stratigraphic model in the Late Paleozoic of the Coastal zone of carbonate structures in the south of the Caspian sedimentary basin is the classical structural and formation analysis, which reflects the main features: stratigraphy, tectonics, lithological composition, sedimentation conditions, sediment thickness.
本文以里海盆地南侧泥盆纪-石炭系杂岩的地层发育为研究对象,基于Abilkhasimov(2015)的精细对比方案,对里海盆地南部盐下杂岩的沉积地层进行了全面研究,建立了里海盆地南部晚古生代演化的地层模型。包含了Ansagan和Maksat结构的广义数据。里海沉积盆地南部碳酸盐岩构造带晚古生代地层模式的建立以经典的构造与地层分析为基础,主要反映了里海沉积盆地南部晚古生代碳酸盐岩构造带的地层、构造、岩性、沉积条件、沉积厚度等特征。
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引用次数: 0
DEVELOPMENT OF OPTIMAL COMPOSITION OF DRILLING FLUID FILLER FOR OPEN HOLE WELL COMPLETION 裸眼完井钻井液填料的优化配方研究
Pub Date : 2022-10-30 DOI: 10.37878/2708-0080/2022-5.08
N. Suleimenov
Experimental studies were carried out to determine the effect of inert fillers on the filtration properties of clay cakes during their formation. The sequence of experiments corresponds to the sequence of stages: formation of the main structure of the filter cake (simulation of the opening process by drilling), treatment of the bottomhole zone to restore the initial permeability (for example, during chemical destruction of the filter cakes) and washing out of process fluid filtrates from the bottomhole zone into the well. The solid phase in the drilling fluid can be represented by both structure-forming clay particles and fillers (barite, crushed cuttings, bridging agents, etc.). Moreover, fillers can have individual particles of a size of a colloidal degree of dispersion and significantly affect the filtration performance of drilling suspensions. It is especially important to evaluate the influence of the composition of the solid phase of the clay suspension on the filtration properties at the stage of formation of the main structure of the filter cake. This stage is characterized by a non-stationary filtration process. In essence, the bulk of the studies of filtration processes is carried out in this mode. In our case, it is necessary to determine the dependence of the filtration index of solutions Пр on the composition of the solid phase. In the course of experimental studies, it was confirmed that subsequent filtration through the cakes formed at stage 1 equally depends on the magnitude and nature of the drawdown application, as in stage 1, as well as on the permeability of the filter cake and the clogging zone. Therefore, the research methodology at stage 2 required supplementing experiments with the formation and modification of filter cakes during filtration through permeable sand packs.
通过实验研究,确定了惰性填料对泥饼形成过程中过滤性能的影响。实验顺序与阶段顺序相对应:形成滤饼的主要结构(通过钻井模拟开孔过程),处理井底区域以恢复初始渗透率(例如,在化学破坏滤饼期间),将井底区域的工艺流体滤液冲洗到井中。钻井液中的固相可以由形成结构的粘土颗粒和填料(重晶石、破碎岩屑、桥接剂等)来表示。此外,填料可以具有胶体分散程度大小的单个颗粒,并显著影响钻井悬浮液的过滤性能。在滤饼主体结构形成阶段,评价粘土悬浮液固相组成对滤饼过滤性能的影响尤为重要。这一阶段的特点是不稳定的过滤过程。实质上,过滤过程的大部分研究都是在这种模式下进行的。在我们的情况下,有必要确定溶液的过滤指数Пр与固相组成的关系。在实验研究过程中,证实了在第1阶段形成的滤饼的后续过滤同样取决于压降应用的大小和性质(如在第1阶段),以及滤饼和堵塞区的渗透率。因此,第二阶段的研究方法需要在渗透性砂包过滤过程中对滤饼的形成和改性进行实验补充。
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引用次数: 0
PROSPECTS OF OIL AND GAS POTENTIAL OF THE JUNCTION ZONE OF THE NORTH-EAST OF THE PRECASPIAN BASIN AND THE SOUTHERN SEGMENT OF THE URAL FOLD SYSTEM (AKTOBE URALIAN FOREDEEP) 里海盆地东北部与乌拉尔褶皱系南段(阿克托贝乌拉尔前深)结合带油气远景
Pub Date : 2022-10-30 DOI: 10.37878/2708-0080/2022-5.02
A. Zhanserkeyeva
The identification of promising areas of exploration to develop the resource base of the Aktobe region is an urgent issue due to the gradual depletion of proven hydrocarbon reserves. The subsalt complex of the Aktobe Uralian Foreland is a prospective object, where prospecting and exploration work was carried out unevenly in the 1950s and 1980s, and most of the seismic survey data of 2004-2008 are low-informative. The subsalt complex of the studied area has been poorly studied by high resolution seismic studies and deep exploration drilling and previously belonged to the territories with low hydrocarbon potential. On the basis of the conducted research, data on the structural and tectonic zoning of the junction zone of the Precaspian basin and the southern segment of the Urals Foredeep are summarized, the geological structure of the Aktobe Uralian Foreland area is substantiated, favorable geochemical criteria of oil and gas potential are revealed.
由于已探明的碳氢化合物储量逐渐枯竭,确定有希望的勘探区域以开发Aktobe地区的资源基础是一个紧迫的问题。乌拉里安前陆Aktobe盐下杂岩是一个很有前景的勘探对象,在20世纪50年代和80年代,该地区的勘探工作不均衡,2004-2008年大部分地震调查数据信息量较低。研究区盐下杂岩在高分辨率地震研究和深部勘探钻井中研究较少,以前属于低油气潜力区域。在此基础上,总结了里海盆地与乌拉尔前深南段结合带的构造和构造分带资料,证实了阿克托别乌拉尔前陆地区的地质构造,揭示了有利的油气潜力地球化学标志。
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引用次数: 0
INVESTIGATION OF THE SALT FORMATION ISSUE IN THE OIL FIELD OF THE PRECASPIAN REGION 里海沿岸油田成盐问题调查
Pub Date : 2022-10-30 DOI: 10.37878/2708-0080/2022-5.03
B. Durmagambetov, D. Urmanova
This article analyzes complex laboratory and simulation studies of salt deposition during oil production in conditions of low permeability with falling reservoir pressure. The object of research is Jurassic deposits of horizons with a depth of up to 3000 m. The study of salt formation problems pursues the following objectives: to determine the type of salts (within and using the resources available for research), to conduct modeling to understand longterm trends in salt formation (during water injection projects) or short-term trends (during hydraulic fracturing or cattle), as well as to make recommendations based on tests and the Schlumberger database. The formation waters of the Jurassic deposition of the field have similar hydrochemical parameters along the horizons and are chlorocalcium brines, the total mineralization of which ranges from 147.1 g/l to 186.6 g/l. According to the available data, there is no clear dependence of mineralization on the depth of occurrence. The density in surface conditions is 1097-1131 kg/m3. In terms of concentration, chlorides predominate over alkali metals (sodium, potassium), and the waters are also noticeably enriched with calcium, the content of which significantly prevails over magnesium. A characteristic feature is the low content of sulfate and bicarbonate ions. The research and scientific nature of this work is confirmed by the fact that a new scientific software for the analysis of salt deposition was used for the Kazakhstani industry of intensification of hydrocarbon production. Modeling of critical thermobaric points covers the range of predicted parameters of reservoir pressure and temperature, as well as the resulting temperature in the bottomhole zone, taking into account the operation of the installation of an electric centrifugal pump. The sensitivity analysis was carried out taking into account the percentage ratio of injected and reservoir water, the parameters of the water used during hydraulic fracturing were calculated separately. The result of the study is a quantitative assessment of the permeability from salt deposition and preventive measures to preserve the productivity coefficient of wells.
本文分析了低渗透储层压力下降条件下采油过程中盐沉积的复杂实验室和模拟研究。研究对象是深度达3000米的侏罗系地层。盐层问题的研究追求以下目标:确定盐的类型(在现有资源范围内并利用现有资源进行研究),进行建模以了解盐层的长期趋势(在注水项目期间)或短期趋势(在水力压裂或放牧期间),以及根据测试和斯伦贝谢数据库提出建议。油田侏罗系沉积地层水沿层位具有相似的水化学参数,均为氯钙卤水,总矿化量为147.1 ~ 186.6 g/l。根据现有资料,矿化对产状深度没有明显的依赖性。地表条件下的密度为1097 ~ 1131 kg/m3。就浓度而言,氯化物的含量高于碱金属(钠、钾),水中也明显富含钙,钙的含量明显高于镁。其特点是硫酸盐和碳酸氢盐离子含量低。这项工作的研究和科学性质得到了以下事实的证实:哈萨克斯坦强化碳氢化合物生产工业使用了一种新的科学软件来分析盐沉积。临界温压点的建模涵盖了油藏压力和温度的预测参数范围,以及由此产生的井底区温度,同时考虑了安装电动离心泵的运行情况。考虑注入水与储层水的百分比比,进行敏感性分析,分别计算水力压裂用水参数。研究结果是对盐沉积的渗透率进行了定量评价,并提出了保持油井产能系数的预防措施。
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引用次数: 0
ANALYSIS OF THE PROSPECTS FOR ADDITIONAL EXPLORATION OF INTERCUT ZONES TO THE BURIED LIFTING OF THE M-II-4 HORIZON FOUNDATION OF NURALY DEPOSIT 天然矿床m - 2 -4层基础隐伏抬升切间带进一步勘探前景分析
Pub Date : 2022-08-15 DOI: 10.37878/2708-0080/2022-4.02
D. Akhmetov, К.М. Gizemann, М. Koldey, Liu Zhanli, Zhandos K. Sharipov
Due to the high depletion of oil reserves in the South Turgai oil and gas basin, there is a need for additional exploration of additional promising and economically attractive oil and gas objects that have not been covered by drilling through a comprehensive analysis of geological and geophysical data. Thus, in 2019, high-resolution seismic surveys were carried out at the fields of JV KazGerMunai LLP (from now on, referred to as KGM). Old 3D data were reprocessed at the Nuraly field, based on the results of which a structural and dynamic interpretation was performed, which made it possible to detail the structural and lithological characteristics of the sections and clarify reservoir properties of reservoirs and forecast bright objects. At Naturally field, based on the results of the reinterpretation, the conceptual model of sedimentation conditions, lateral and vertical facies variability of deposits was updated, which contributed to the identification of potentially promising zones and objects for the presence of oil and gas reserves, including previously unmapped ones. An analysis of the prospects of deposits in the zone of wedging out to the buried ledge of the basement and further specific activities for additional exploration will not only increase reserves in a separate field but also have a beneficial effect on the company's economy and suggest new directions for additional exploration at other fields in the region.
由于South Turgai油气盆地的石油储量枯竭,需要通过地质和地球物理数据的综合分析,对钻探尚未覆盖的其他有前景和经济上有吸引力的油气目标进行额外的勘探。因此,在2019年,在JV KazGerMunai LLP(从现在起,称为KGM)的油田进行了高分辨率地震调查。在Nuraly油田对旧的3D数据进行了重新处理,并在此基础上进行了结构和动态解释,从而可以详细描述剖面的结构和岩性特征,澄清储层的储层性质,并预测明亮物体。在natural field,根据重新解释的结果,沉积条件、沉积的横向和垂直相变化的概念模型得到了更新,这有助于确定可能存在石油和天然气储量的有潜力的区域和目标,包括以前未绘制的区域。对基底斜出带的矿床前景进行分析,并进一步开展具体的勘探活动,不仅可以增加单独油田的储量,还可以对公司的经济产生有益的影响,并为该地区其他油田的额外勘探提供新的方向。
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引用次数: 0
THE ROLE OF INVESTMENT ATTRACTIVENESS OF THE GEOLOGICAL EXPLORATION INDUSTRY IN ACHIEVING SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF THE STATE 地质勘查产业投资吸引力在实现国家可持续发展中的作用
Pub Date : 2022-08-15 DOI: 10.37878/2708-0080/2022-4.10
G. Aubakirova, F. Isatayeva
To achieve sustainable development and to form an export-oriented model of economic growth, Kazakhstan is making a transition to low-carbon development. The transformation of the economy has improved the investment climate in the country making Kazakhstan one of the key recipients of foreign direct investment in Central Asia. In view of the above, the need to increase the scientific validity of measures taken by the state for increasing the investment attractiveness of the geological exploration industry, on the progress of which changing the resource-export model of development largely depends and building up the energy security of Kazakhstan, is updated. The article identifies the key factors constraining the strengthening of the market positions of the geological industry in Kazakhstan and negatively affecting its investment attractiveness. It has been substantiated that the sectoral problems accumulated over the entire post-Soviet period hinder the further advancement of all the extractive industries and require the activation of new measures of state support. The author analyzes the actions planned by the state to reduce socio-economic tension in single-industry towns caused by the depletion of the mineral resource base near their location. The analysis of the state regulation mechanisms of the subsoil use and the mining and metallurgical industry that are especially attractive for investors, leads to the conclusion that it is necessary to reform the Kazakhstan model of financing geological exploration using the principles of public-private partnership. An example of adaptation by Kazakhstan of the leading countriesexperience in attracting junior companies to geological exploration is considered. The difficulties that hinder the advancement of juniors in the Kazakhstan market, the opportunities for overcoming and opening up prospects have been identified. It has been substantiated that in the medium term one of the new investment policy guidelines in the geological exploration industry should be an innovative and technological course towards digital transformation of production and management processes. At the same time, Kazakhstan, like other countries with the transit economy, will have to overcome the risks and challenges that have emerged as a result of global digitalization. The article shows that to stimulate digitalization of geological exploration, significant investments are needed, which will require, alongside with government regulation, searching for new forms and mechanisms of publicprivate partnership.
为实现可持续发展,形成以出口为导向的经济增长模式,哈萨克斯坦正在向低碳发展转型。经济转型改善了该国的投资环境,使哈萨克斯坦成为中亚外国直接投资的主要接受国之一。鉴于此,需要提高国家为提高地质勘探产业投资吸引力所采取措施的科学有效性,这在很大程度上取决于改变资源出口发展模式的进展和建立哈萨克斯坦的能源安全。本文明确了制约哈萨克斯坦地质产业市场地位增强和对其投资吸引力产生负面影响的关键因素。事实证明,整个后苏联时期积累的部门性问题阻碍了所有采掘工业的进一步发展,需要采取新的国家支助措施。作者分析了国家计划采取的行动,以缓解因附近矿产资源基地枯竭而导致的单一工业城镇的社会经济紧张局势。分析了对投资者特别有吸引力的地下利用和采矿和冶金行业的国家监管机制,得出结论认为,有必要利用公私伙伴关系的原则改革哈萨克斯坦的地质勘探融资模式。审议了哈萨克斯坦在吸引初级公司从事地质勘探方面借鉴主要国家经验的一个例子。已经确定了阻碍青少年进入哈萨克斯坦市场的困难、克服困难和开辟前景的机会。有证据表明,在中期,地质勘探行业的新投资政策指导方针之一应该是朝着生产和管理过程的数字化转型的创新和技术进程。与此同时,哈萨克斯坦与其他过境经济国家一样,必须克服全球数字化带来的风险和挑战。文章表明,为了促进地质勘探的数字化,需要大量的投资,这将需要在政府监管的同时,寻求公私合作的新形式和机制。
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引用次数: 0
SEDIMENTATION MODEL OF CARBONATE UPLIFTS OF THE COASTAL ZONE OF THE SOUTH OF THE CASPIAN SEDIMENTARY BASIN IN THE LATE DEVONIAN-EARLY VISEAN TIME 里海沉积盆地南部沿海带晚泥盆世—早海世碳酸盐隆升的沉积模式
Pub Date : 2022-08-15 DOI: 10.37878/2708-0080/2022-4.01
H. Abilkhasimov
The results of lithological studies and paleogeographic reconstructions of the Late DevonianEarly Visean stage of development and features of the formation of the sedimentary complex of the Primorsky zone of uplifts in the south of the Caspian sedimentary basin are presented. The complex geological structure of the region is mainly due to the influence of tectonic, volcanic, and denudation processes on sedimentation. The results of drilling deep wells in recent years have made it possible to refine the internal structure, substantiate new objects in the Late Devonian complex, and reassess the prospects for oil and gas potential and predicted oil and gas resources in the south of the Caspian basin.
本文介绍了里海沉积盆地南部滨海隆起带晚泥盆世—早维斯世发育阶段的岩性研究和古地理重建成果及沉积杂岩的形成特征。该地区复杂的地质构造主要是由于构造、火山和剥蚀作用对沉积的影响。近年来深井钻探的成果,使里海盆地南部晚泥盆世杂岩内部构造的精细化、新对象的充实、油气潜力前景的重新评价和油气资源的预测成为可能。
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引用次数: 0
EVALUATION OF MELTING PROPERTIES FOR PARAFFIN PREDICTION IN THE MULTI SOLID SOLUTION (MSS) MODEL 多固溶体(mss)模型预测石蜡熔化特性的评价
Pub Date : 2022-08-15 DOI: 10.37878/2708-0080/2022-4.09
D. A. Ismailova, A. Abdukarimov, D. Delikesheva, B. Mombekov, A. Ismailov
This article presents the calculation and modification of melting properties for a certain Kazakh oil for the subsequent calculation of the Multisolid model. The bulk of crude oil in Kazakhstan contains heavy hydrocarbons that precipitate as a solid paraffin phase at low temperatures. The deposition of deposited paraffin on the pipe walls is one of the complex flow assurance problems that causes a decrease and complete blockage of oil rates due to a decrease in the flow cross-sectional area in pipelines. In addition, above ground facilities require higher power consumption and equipment failure due to paraffin plugs. Wax precipitation also increases the viscosity of the oil mixture, resulting in an increase in the energy requirement for transporting the crude oil. The main purpose of this study is to investigate melting properties and their influence on predictive wax deposition. The solution of the set goal is achieved by solving the problems of modifying and adapting existing thermodynamic models for Kazakhstani oils. At the moment, one of the main limitations of existing models is their applicability to a wide range of crude oil types. While this modified paraffin forecasting model will focus on Kazakh crude oil. As a result, modified equations have been developed to determine melting properties, namely melting point, pour point and enthalpy. The obtained results of the absolute average deviation showed the effectiveness of using the proposed correlation for measuring the pour point and melting point for Kazakhstani oils.
本文介绍了某哈萨克石油熔融特性的计算和修正,为后续多固体模型的计算提供参考。哈萨克斯坦的大部分原油含有重碳氢化合物,在低温下以固体石蜡相的形式沉淀。沉积石蜡在管壁上的沉积是复杂的流动保障问题之一,由于管道内流动截面积的减小,导致出油速率降低甚至完全堵塞。此外,地面上的设施需要更高的功耗和设备故障,因为石蜡塞。蜡的沉淀也增加了石油混合物的粘度,导致原油运输所需的能量增加。本研究的主要目的是研究熔融特性及其对预测蜡沉积的影响。通过解决修改和调整哈萨克斯坦石油现有热力学模型的问题,实现了既定目标的解决。目前,现有模型的主要限制之一是它们适用于广泛的原油类型。而这种改进的石蜡预测模型将重点关注哈萨克原油。因此,改进的方程被开发来确定熔点,即熔点,倾点和焓。获得的绝对平均偏差的结果表明,使用所提出的相关性来测量哈萨克斯坦石油的倾点和熔点是有效的。
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引用次数: 0
GAS LIFT AS A METHOD TO INCREASE OIL PRODUCTION BASED ON ENLARGING OIL DRAINAGE AREA 气举作为一种以扩大抽油面积为基础的增产方法
Pub Date : 2022-08-15 DOI: 10.37878/2708-0080/2022-4.06
J. Eyvazov
Oil production requires energy to raise fluids from the reservoir to the surface. The majority of oil wells flow naturally in the early stages of their product lifespan and are referred to as flowing wells. There is enough energy stored in the reservoir of a naturally flowing well to flow the generated fluid to the surface. Reservoir pressure and formation gas provide this energy in the flowing well. When reservoir energy is insufficient for natural flow, or when the targeted production rate is larger than the actual production rate, artificial lift is required to achieve the desired output. It is not economically viable to keep producing energy stable throughout the development of oil fields. Therefore, during the long-term operation of oil fields, the reduction of reservoir pressure and violation of the conditions of injection of wells leads to a decrease in the fluid level in the wellbore over time, making it difficult to lift the reservoir product to the surface. In this case, it is preferable to switch wells to gas lift operation. The presented article calculated the optimal parameters of the gas lift method on the reservoir-well model based on an actual well sample using the Prosper program. It determined how various parameters - the diameter of the production tubing and the skin factor - affect good production. Based on the project, it was determined that, in -2 negative skin factor and in 2.98 inches diameter of production tubing is optimum case for this well to increase the oil production rate. The purpose of the research is to determine the different trajectories of the well, the depth of gas injection into the well, and other parameters resulting from sensitivity analysis of the impact on sound production.
石油生产需要能量将流体从储层提升到地面。大多数油井在其产品寿命的早期阶段是自然流动的,被称为流动井。有足够的能量储存在自然流动井的储层中,使生成的流体流向地面。储层压力和地层气体为流动井提供了这种能量。当储层能量不足以满足自然流动时,或者当目标产量大于实际产量时,需要人工举升才能达到预期产量。在整个油田开发过程中保持稳定的能源生产在经济上是不可行的。因此,在油田的长期运行过程中,由于油藏压力的降低和不符合注水井的条件,导致井筒内液面随着时间的推移而降低,使油藏产品难以举升到地面。在这种情况下,最好将井切换为气举作业。本文以实际井样为基础,利用Prosper软件在储井模型上计算了气举方法的最优参数。它确定了各种参数-生产油管的直径和表皮系数-如何影响良好的生产。根据工程实例,确定了该井在-2负表皮系数和2.98英寸采油管径下提高产油量的最佳方案。研究的目的是通过对产声影响的敏感性分析,确定井的不同轨迹、注气深度以及其他参数。
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引用次数: 0
MODELING OF RELIABILITY OF 6…10 KV OVERHEAD LINES FOR POWER SUPPLY OF OIL AND GAS FACILITIES 6 ~ 10kv油气设施供电架空线路可靠性建模
Pub Date : 2022-08-15 DOI: 10.37878/2708-0080/2022-4.07
N. Jumamukhambetov, V. Yashkov, D. Kulzhanov, E. U. Arstanaliev
The article considers the issues of assessing the impact of meteorological factors on the functioning of the most damaged overhead lines (OL) in the region under consideration, the modeling of which, taking into account the weather model, gives more realistic indicators, in the form of average residence time of the process in states, operating time for failure, recovery time, the number of transitions to an inoperable state. It is shown that from the point of view of the causes of damage to overhead lines leading to failure, the climatic impact is crucial: dust storms, pollution, sharp temperature fluctuations. The research methodology was based on the classical apparatus of mathematical statistics and reliability theory. To develop models of reliability of the main elements of power supply systems (PSS) - overhead lines (OL), the theory of Markov random processes and modeling of processes and systems was used. In terms of practical value, models have been developed that take into account environmental conditions and the main indicators of PSS reliability have been determined for use in design and operational practice: average time to failure, average recovery time and average number of transitions to an inoperable state. The use of Markov models describing PSS at the level of random processes makes it possible to apply in practice methods for assessing and predicting the reliability of PSS operating under the influence of the external environment.
本文考虑了评估气象因素对所考虑地区受损最严重的架空线(OL)功能的影响的问题,其建模考虑了天气模型,以过程在状态中的平均停留时间,故障运行时间,恢复时间,过渡到不可运行状态的次数的形式给出了更现实的指标。结果表明,从架空线路损坏导致故障的原因来看,气候影响是至关重要的:沙尘暴、污染、急剧的温度波动。研究方法以数理统计的经典仪器和可靠性理论为基础。为了建立供电系统主要部件—架空线路的可靠性模型,采用了马尔可夫随机过程理论和过程与系统的建模方法。在实用价值方面,已经开发了考虑环境条件的模型,并确定了用于设计和运行实践的PSS可靠性的主要指标:平均故障时间,平均恢复时间和平均过渡到不可操作状态的次数。在随机过程水平上使用马尔可夫模型来描述PSS,使得在实践中应用评估和预测PSS在外部环境影响下运行的可靠性的方法成为可能。
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