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Validation of a time-of-supply inventory policy through simulation 通过模拟验证供货时间库存策略
Pub Date : 2005-12-04 DOI: 10.5555/1162708.1163233
Benjamin Martin, James Francis
A popular safety-inventory policy utilized in the apparel industry is time-of-supply. Time-of-supply specifies inventory held to protect against forecast error and supply disruptions in terms of safety-time rather than safety-stock. Determining the proper safety-time is critical to ensure customer service. This case study presents a method for determining safety-time for raw materials in an apparel manufacturing operation. Additionally, the results of a simulation study that validated the time-of-supply inventory policy are presented.
在服装行业中使用的一种流行的安全库存策略是供应时间。供应时间(Time-of-supply)以安全时间(而非安全库存)来指定库存,以防止预测错误和供应中断。确定适当的安全时间对确保客户服务至关重要。本案例研究提出了一种确定服装生产操作中原材料安全时间的方法。此外,还给出了验证供货时间库存策略的仿真研究结果。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling overloaded VoIP systems 模拟超负荷的网络电话系统
Pub Date : 2005-12-04 DOI: 10.5555/1162708.1163243
M. J. Fischer, D. Masi
Since 9/11 many telecommunications systems have seen the need to deal with overloading during high traffic conditions. As the use of VoIP increases an important question that needs to be answered is: "Can the voice packets be delivered in a timely fashion when the there has been a significant increase in traffic?" In this paper we considered the problem of modeling VoIP systems in an overloaded condition. We look at the problem from a simulation and analytic point of view. We present analytic models for the packet latency and jitter and loss probability for the three prevelant disciplines being used for VoIP today: First Come First Served, Priority Queue and Weighted Fair Queueing Systems. In addition, we investigate how simulation languages like GPSS/H compare with respect to runtime with simulation models developed using Visual Basic for Applications and if their runtimes are acceptable for practical use.
自 9/11 事件以来,许多电信系统都需要应对高流量条件下的过载问题。随着 VoIP 使用的增加,需要回答的一个重要问题是:"当流量大幅增加时,能否及时传送语音数据包?在本文中,我们考虑了在过载情况下的 VoIP 系统建模问题。我们从模拟和分析的角度来研究这个问题。我们提出了目前 VoIP 使用的三种普遍规则的数据包延迟、抖动和丢失概率的分析模型:先到先得、优先队列和加权公平队列系统。此外,我们还研究了 GPSS/H 等仿真语言与使用 Visual Basic for Applications 开发的仿真模型在运行时间方面的比较,以及它们的运行时间在实际使用中是否可以接受。
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引用次数: 3
A real-time knowledge-based decission support system for health care quality improvement using discrete event simulation techniques 基于离散事件模拟技术的实时基于知识的医疗质量改进决策支持系统
Pub Date : 2005-12-04 DOI: 10.5555/1162708.1163140
A. Komashie, A. Mousavi, M. Özbayrak
The quality of health care is increasingly receiving more and more emphases in almost all developed countries. Traditional health care Quality Assurance (QA) models have always been implemented in retrospect depending heavily on surveys. The objective of this research is to develop a novel and more reliable approach to the monitoring and improvement of health care quality. This approach is based on a real-time simulation system that monitors a Health Care Quality Index (HCQI). This system will map the HCQI which is a function of process factors (e.g. waiting time), against the patients' expectations and hence give health care managers the 'local' information needed to continuously adjust performance without waiting for an annual survey. Being a real-time system, managers will have the ability to run fast-forward simulation to help predict future demands and make decisions accordingly. This will be a key to Continuous Quality Improvement (CQI) in health care.
几乎所有发达国家都越来越重视卫生保健的质量。传统的卫生保健质量保证(QA)模型的实施总是在很大程度上依赖于调查。本研究的目的是开发一种新的、更可靠的方法来监测和改善卫生保健质量。该方法基于实时模拟系统,该系统监测医疗保健质量指数(HCQI)。该系统将根据患者的期望绘制HCQI图,HCQI是一个过程因素(例如等待时间)的函数,因此为卫生保健管理人员提供持续调整绩效所需的“本地”信息,而无需等待年度调查。作为一个实时系统,管理人员将有能力运行快进模拟,以帮助预测未来的需求并做出相应的决策。这将是医疗保健领域持续质量改进(CQI)的关键。
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引用次数: 0
Driving large call center simulations using OLAP data cubes 使用OLAP数据集驱动大型呼叫中心模拟
Pub Date : 2005-12-04 DOI: 10.5555/1162708.1163224
P. L. Markt
Simulating large call centers can require weeks or months. Additional time is spent on detailed analysis of input data to drive the models. Once a model is complete, the input data can be obsolete, requiring additional analysis and re-validation. This hinders the ability to provide accurate, timely models. This process is greatly improved by the use of OLAP data cubes to provide input data. Most simulation software packages have the functionality to read data from Excel workbooks. Data cubes provide data in a standard Excel pivot table format that can be easily updated to current data. Using OLAP cubes can significantly reduce the time to bring a simulation model to market, by streamlining the access to input data. Cubes also provide a quick, easy method to update data to the most current information. This ultimately provides a simulation analyst with a means to produce accurate, relevant and timely simulation solutions.
模拟大型呼叫中心可能需要数周或数月的时间。额外的时间花在详细分析输入数据以驱动模型上。一旦模型完成,输入数据可能会过时,需要额外的分析和重新验证。这妨碍了提供准确、及时的模型的能力。通过使用OLAP数据集提供输入数据,这个过程得到了极大的改进。大多数仿真软件包都具有从Excel工作簿中读取数据的功能。多维数据集以标准的Excel数据透视表格式提供数据,可以很容易地将其更新为当前数据。通过简化对输入数据的访问,使用OLAP多维数据集可以显著减少将仿真模型推向市场的时间。多维数据集还提供了一种快速、简单的方法来将数据更新为最新的信息。这最终为仿真分析人员提供了一种产生准确、相关和及时的仿真解决方案的方法。
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引用次数: 1
Validation of the re-design of a manufacturing work cell using simulation 利用仿真验证制造工作单元的重新设计
Pub Date : 2005-12-04 DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2005.1574402
C. Grimard, Jon H. Marvel, C. Standridge
Simulation can be used to validate the design or redesign of any complex system before it is implemented. Validation evidence is obtained if the simulation demonstrates that the system operation corresponds to its design. This evidence includes comparing both detailed system behavior and performance measure values to those stated in the design. The application of simulation to validating the redesign of an injector assembly and calibration production area is discussed. Simulation is necessary to validate the initial estimate of cell throughput since a single worker must perform multiple operations at multiple workstations. The feasibility of the pattern of movement by this worker between stations must be demonstrated and alternative patterns assessed. Controls on the amount of work in process inventory in the cell must be validated. Modeling challenges unique to part movement using one-piece flow, work in process inventory control, and the movement of both workers and parts are discussed.
仿真可以用于验证任何复杂系统的设计或重新设计,然后再实施。如果仿真表明系统运行符合其设计,则获得验证证据。该证据包括将详细的系统行为和性能测量值与设计中所述的值进行比较。讨论了仿真在验证喷油器组件重新设计和标定生产区域中的应用。仿真对于验证单元吞吐量的初始估计是必要的,因为单个工作人员必须在多个工作站上执行多个操作。必须证明该工人在工位之间移动模式的可行性,并评估其他模式。必须对单元中过程清单中工作量的控制进行验证。建模挑战独特的部分运动使用单件流,工作过程库存控制,以及工人和零件的运动进行了讨论。
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引用次数: 23
Kriging metamodeling in discrete-event simulation: an overview 离散事件仿真中的Kriging元建模:概述
Pub Date : 2005-12-04 DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2005.1574252
W. V. Beers
Many simulation experiments require considerable computer time, so interpolation is needed for sensitivity analysis and optimization. The interpolating functions are 'metamodels' (or 'response surfaces') of the underlying simulation models. For sensitivity analysis and optimization, simulationists use different interpolation techniques (e.g. low-order polynomial regression or neural nets). This paper, however, focuses on Kriging interpolation. In the 1950's, D. G. Krige developed this technique for the mining industry. Currently, Kriging interpolation is frequently applied in Computer Aided Engineering. In discrete-event simulation, however, Kriging has just started. This paper discusses Kriging for sensitivity analysis in simulation, including methods to select an experimental design for Kriging interpolation.
许多仿真实验需要大量的计算机时间,因此需要插值进行灵敏度分析和优化。插值函数是底层仿真模型的“元模型”(或“响应面”)。对于灵敏度分析和优化,仿真者使用不同的插值技术(例如低阶多项式回归或神经网络)。然而,本文的重点是Kriging插值。在20世纪50年代,d.g.克里格为采矿业开发了这种技术。目前,克里格插值在计算机辅助工程中得到了广泛的应用。然而,在离散事件模拟领域,克里格才刚刚起步。本文讨论了克里格法在仿真灵敏度分析中的应用,包括克里格插值实验设计的选择方法。
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引用次数: 13
Information synchronization effects on the stability of collaborative supply chain 信息同步对协同供应链稳定性的影响
Pub Date : 2005-12-04 DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2005.1574437
J. Venkateswaran, Y. Son
In this paper, the dynamics of a collaborative supply chain have been analyzed using transform techniques. The general conditions for stability of the supply chains are derived and the effects of inter-player sampling intervals are analyzed. System dynamics simulation models of the different members of the supply chain are developed. Z-transform techniques are employed to derive the general stability conditions (settings of control parameters that produce stable response). The variation in the supply chain's stability in response to the information synchronization frequency is examined by relating the update frequency to the sampling interval of the underlying difference equations. Existence of instability due to improper parameter selection and improper sampling interval selection is thus confirmed, and guidance for the selection of appropriate parameters to guarantee system stability is presented. Simulations are used to confirm our analysis and help demonstrate the stable or unstable behavior of the supply chain.
本文运用变换技术分析了协同供应链的动力学特性。推导了供应链稳定的一般条件,并分析了参与者间抽样间隔的影响。建立了供应链不同成员的系统动力学仿真模型。采用z变换技术推导一般稳定性条件(产生稳定响应的控制参数的设置)。通过将更新频率与底层差分方程的采样间隔联系起来,研究了供应链稳定性随信息同步频率的变化。从而证实了系统存在因参数选择不当和采样区间选择不当而导致的不稳定性,并为选择合适的参数保证系统的稳定性提供了指导。模拟用于确认我们的分析,并帮助演示供应链的稳定或不稳定行为。
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引用次数: 15
Panel on future challenges in modeling methodology 关于建模方法未来挑战的小组讨论
Pub Date : 2004-12-05 DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2004.1371333
Simon J. E. Taylor, P. Lendermann, R. Paul, S. Reichenthal, S. Strassburger, S. Turner
This panel paper presents the views of six researchers and practitioners of simulation modeling. Collectively we attempt to address a range of key future challenges to modeling methodology. It is hoped that the views of this paper, and the presentations made by the panelists at the 2004 Winter Simulation Conference will raise awareness and stimulate further discussion on the future of modeling methodology in areas such as modeling problems in business applications, human factors and geographically dispersed networks; rapid model development and maintenance; legacy modeling approaches; markup languages; virtual interactive process design and simulation; standards; and Grid computing.
这篇专题论文介绍了六位仿真建模研究人员和实践者的观点。我们共同尝试解决建模方法未来的一系列关键挑战。希望本文的观点,以及小组成员在2004年冬季模拟会议上的演讲,将提高人们对建模方法未来的认识,并激发对建模问题的进一步讨论,例如商业应用、人为因素和地理分散网络中的建模问题;快速的模型开发和维护;遗留建模方法;标记语言;虚拟交互流程设计与仿真;标准;网格计算。
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引用次数: 11
Module-based modeling of flow-type multistage manufacturing systems adopting dual-card Kanban system 采用双卡看板系统的流型多阶段制造系统基于模块的建模
Pub Date : 2004-12-05 DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2004.1371430
J. Nomura, S. Takakuwa
A systematic procedure of module-based modeling is designed and proposed to develop a simulation of any flow-type multistage manufacturing system adopting especially the dual-card Kanban system. First, functional analysis is performed to present kanban flows exactly in the same fashion in a simulation model as they are actually appeared in the real manufacturing system. One Customer module, the required number of Workstation modules, and one Supplier module make a set to develop a designated simulation. In addition, a numerical example is shown to apply the proposed procedure.
设计并提出了一种基于模块的系统建模方法,用于开发任意流型多阶段制造系统的仿真,特别是采用双卡看板系统。首先,执行功能分析,在模拟模型中以与实际制造系统中完全相同的方式呈现看板流程。一个客户模块、所需数量的工作站模块和一个供应商模块组成一组来开发指定的仿真。最后给出了应用该方法的数值算例。
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引用次数: 13
Does the future of modeling and simulation have a game face? 建模和仿真的未来会有游戏面孔吗?
Pub Date : 2004-12-05 DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2004.1371295
M. Zyda
The MOVES Institute's mission is research, application and education in the grand challenges of modeling, virtual environments and simulation (MOVES). The institute's focus is on 3D visual simulation, networked virtual environments, computer-generated autonomy, human performance engineering, immersive technologies, defense/entertainment collaboration, and combat modeling and analysis. In networked virtual environments, we are architecting the technology that allows us to build large-scale, dynamically extensible virtual environments, virtual environments that are semantically interoperable and always on. In computer-generated autonomy, we are building a scenario engine for determining the space of potential outcomes from a virtual description of an infrastructure, a set of policies, characters and cultural behaviors. In immersive technologies, we have designed a source-less tracker that is micromachinable, and have performed considerable work on the deployment of sound to enhance the feeling of immersion. In defense/entertainment collaboration, we have constructed a PC game, America's Army, that provides the experience of a potential career in the Army. America's Army has become the fastest growing online PC game in history, a game that has been the recipient of several "best game" or "runner up for best game" of the year awards. Since the release of America's Army, the number one question being asked of our institute is will the next generation of training and combat modeling systems have a game-like face? In this talk, we answer that question and discuss the potential that game technology has for the future of modeling and simulation.
MOVES研究所的使命是在建模、虚拟环境和仿真(MOVES)的重大挑战中进行研究、应用和教育。该研究所的重点是3D视觉模拟、网络虚拟环境、计算机生成的自主性、人类性能工程、沉浸式技术、国防/娱乐协作以及战斗建模和分析。在网络化的虚拟环境中,我们正在构建一种技术,使我们能够构建大规模的、动态扩展的虚拟环境,这些虚拟环境在语义上是可互操作的,并且始终处于开启状态。在计算机生成的自主性中,我们正在构建一个场景引擎,用于从基础设施、一组政策、人物和文化行为的虚拟描述中确定潜在结果的空间。在沉浸式技术方面,我们设计了一种无源跟踪器,可微加工,并在声音部署方面做了大量工作,以增强沉浸感。在防务/娱乐合作方面,我们制作了一款PC游戏《美国陆军》,它提供了一种潜在的陆军职业体验。《美国陆军》已经成为历史上发展最快的在线PC游戏,这款游戏曾多次获得年度“最佳游戏”或“最佳游戏亚军”的奖项。自从美国陆军发布以来,我们研究所被问到的头号问题是下一代训练和战斗建模系统会有游戏般的面孔吗?在这次演讲中,我们将回答这个问题,并讨论游戏技术对未来建模和模拟的潜力。
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引用次数: 5
期刊
Online World Conference on Soft Computing in Industrial Applications
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