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Ethiopian Renaissance Dam "A Study of Conflicts and Challenges 埃塞俄比亚复兴大坝:冲突与挑战的研究
Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.25130/tjfps.v3i29.158
Ismail Thyab Khaleel
The issue of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam is one of the important international issues that topped the international political scene for the second decade of the twenty-first century because of its political, economic and environmental repercussions on the two downstream countries, especially Egypt, which has become a challenge to its water and food security and increases its economic burdens, and it has taken place since the year 2011, several negotiating rounds between Ethiopia on the one hand and the downstream countries (Egypt and Sudan) on the other hand to settle the crisis of establishing the Renaissance Dam, but they did not reach any results or compromise solutions. As a result of the policy of procrastination and procrastination that Ethiopia adopted in its negotiations with Egypt and Sudan in order to gain time to complete the Renaissance Dam project and without committing itself to any agreement, as it considers the project to build the dam a national demand with political, economic and security dimensions, and what has worsened the situation is foreign interventions in supporting The Ethiopian position against Egypt, which weakened the latter's negotiating position to settle the crisis.
大埃塞俄比亚复兴大坝问题是21世纪第二个十年国际政治舞台上最重要的国际问题之一,因为它对两个下游国家,特别是埃及的政治、经济和环境影响,已经成为对其水和粮食安全的挑战,并增加了其经济负担,它从2011年开始发生。埃塞俄比亚与下游国家(埃及和苏丹)进行了几轮谈判,以解决建设复兴大坝的危机,但没有达成任何结果或妥协的解决方案。由于埃塞俄比亚在与埃及和苏丹的谈判中采取拖延和拖延的政策,以便争取时间完成复兴大坝项目,而不承诺任何协议,因为它认为建设大坝项目是一项具有政治、经济和安全方面的国家需求,而使局势恶化的是外国干预支持埃塞俄比亚反对埃及的立场,这削弱了后者解决危机的谈判地位。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing competitive opportunities for the active forces in the international system: A study of the impact of economic and military variables 加强国际体系中积极力量的竞争机会:研究经济和军事变数的影响
Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.25130/tjfps.v3i29.152
Ahmed Abdulameer Alanbary
The active forces in the international system compete with the aim of preserving the international system and its position in it, as it achieves for them the interests, power and influence that they consider convincing and satisfactory for some of them. On the other hand, some of them are competing with the aim of modifying the international system, improving their international standing, and expanding their interests and influence. However, the ability of these forces to compete varies from one force to another, and this variation depends on what each of them has on the elements of strength and their ability to employ them to achieve their goals. Among the power factors are the economic factor and the military factor, which are the subject of our research
国际体系中的活跃力量竞争的目的是维护国际体系及其在其中的地位,因为国际体系为它们带来了它们认为令人信服和令人满意的利益、权力和影响。另一方面,一些国家竞争的目的是改变国际体系,提高国际地位,扩大自己的利益和影响。然而,这些力量的竞争能力因力量而异,而这种差异取决于它们各自拥有的力量元素以及它们利用这些元素实现目标的能力。在这些动力因素中,经济因素和军事因素是我们研究的主题
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引用次数: 0
" The origins of the neo-conservative political thought between Straussie and Trotskyism and its implications for the Arab region" 施特劳斯和托洛茨基主义之间的新保守主义政治思想的起源及其对阿拉伯地区的影响
Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.25130/tjfps.v3i29.155
Husam kassyai Hussein
The origins of the political thought of the neo-conservative movement stem from non-American European references, and non-Christian Jewish theological beliefs, especially the ideas of Leo Strauss, the German Jewish thinker, and Leo Trotsky, the Russian Jewish thinker who formulated the idea of ​​the neo-conservative movement with this conclusion that drew its horizons to the world, especially the Middle East from In order to achieve the greatness of the American Empire, its hegemony and its sovereignty over the whole world, and because the theological references of the movement are of Jewish fundamentalism (Strauss and Trotsky), this opened the door of ideological affiliation to the movement in front of the Jews of America and Europe. And then, in a geopolitical way, it affected the Middle East, where securing the existence of (the Zionist entity) / “the State of Israel” required that intervention in the affairs of the countries of the Arab region as neighbors of the Zionist entity, and demanded a just solution to the Palestinian issue, and this influence is one of the most prominent pillars and foundations of the political thought of the neo-conservative movement In the USA and the world. It seems that the influence of the revolutionary Trotskyite philosophy is more evident in neo-conservative thought than the influence of Straussian philosophy, although this reference was not explicitly declared in the literature of American political thought or political thought critical of neo-conservative thought, which is what we perceive in this study as new, especially if We looked at the origins of the Zionist movement in its infancy with "Leo Pinsker", "Theodor Herzl", "Vladimir-Raif Jabotinsky" who write down the most socialist whose heirs from the Zionists benefited from the exploitation and employment of Trotsky's socialist ideas to a greater extent than Strauss, and they presented the socialist system over the liberal in formulating the idea Zionism
新保守主义运动的政治思想起源于非美国的欧洲参考,以及非基督教的犹太神学信仰,尤其是德国犹太思想家施特劳斯的思想,以及俄罗斯犹太思想家托洛茨基的思想,托洛茨基提出了新保守主义运动的思想,其结论是将其视野拉向世界,特别是中东为了实现美帝国的伟大,它对整个世界的霸权和主权,而且由于该运动的神学参考是犹太原教旨主义(施特劳斯和托洛茨基),这就在美国和欧洲的犹太人面前打开了意识形态上与该运动联系的大门。然后,在地缘政治方面,它影响了中东,在那里,确保(犹太复国主义实体)/“以色列国”的存在需要干预作为犹太复国主义实体邻国的阿拉伯地区国家的事务,并要求公正解决巴勒斯坦问题,这种影响是美国和世界新保守主义运动政治思想最突出的支柱和基础之一。似乎革命的托洛茨基哲学的影响在新保守主义思想中比施特劳斯哲学的影响更明显,尽管这种参考在美国政治思想或新保守主义思想的政治思想批判文献中没有明确声明,这是我们在本研究中认为是新的,特别是如果我们看看犹太复国主义运动的起源,如利奥·平斯克,西奥多·赫茨尔,“Vladimir-Raif Jabotinsky”写下了最社会主义的人,他们的犹太复国主义者的继承人比施特劳斯更大程度上受益于托洛茨基的社会主义思想,他们在制定犹太复国主义思想时提出了社会主义制度,而不是自由主义制度
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引用次数: 0
" Federalism in contemporary political thought" 当代政治思想中的联邦制
Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.25130/tjfps.v3i29.160
Abbas Latif Karim
The civilized world, especially after the Second World War, tended to expand the base of democracy in most regimes and to introduce decentralized administration, or rather to federalism in the exercise of governance over its people.   The hallmark of the era is democracy, the rule of law, equality in rights and duties, and totalitarian rule has become shunned by peoples regardless of the justifications, especially in pluralistic societies, where several solutions have been proposed to the crisis of coexistence and protection of minorities, some of which were based on international guarantees and others on internal guarantees stemming from the adoption of federalism The structure of the state, and the adoption of the federal system has received increasing attention around the world during the second half of the last century, as there are now more than (24) countries in which the basic features of the federation are clear, and the distinguishing feature of this popularity that federalism is witnessing in the world at the present time , is that the application of federalism has taken very diverse patterns and new and innovative forms have emerged with it, and the political reasons for the existence of the federal system lie in the reconciliation achieved by this system between two contradictory tendencies: unity and difference or diversity, by ensuring coexistence between two types of interests: public interests For the group of the united group, and the special interests of the constituent elements of this group, because it is a system that aims to satisfy the general needs of the whole united group, and is entrusted with it This task is left to the federal authorities, but at the same time he leaves it to his regional units to satisfy the needs that may differ from one unit to another.
文明世界,特别是在第二次世界大战后,倾向于在大多数政权中扩大民主的基础,并在对其人民的治理中引入分权管理,或者更确切地说引入联邦制。这个时代的标志是民主、法治、权利和义务平等以及极权主义统治已被各国人民所回避,不论其理由如何,特别是在多元社会中,人们为共存和保护少数民族的危机提出了几种解决办法,其中一些是基于国际保障,另一些是基于采用联邦制所产生的国内保障。在上个世纪下半叶,联邦制的采用在世界范围内受到了越来越多的关注,因为现在有超过24个国家的联邦制的基本特征是明确的,联邦制目前在世界上受到欢迎的显著特征是,联邦制的应用采取了非常多样化的模式,新的和创新的形式也随之出现。联邦制存在的政治原因在于,联邦制通过确保两种利益的共存,实现了统一与差异或多样性这两种相互矛盾的倾向之间的和解;公共利益对于联合集团的集团,以及这个集团的组成要素的特殊利益,因为它是一个旨在满足整个联合集团的一般需求的系统,并被委托给它这一任务留给了联邦当局,但同时他也留给了他的地区单位来满足每个单位可能不同的需求。
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引用次数: 0
" Technological development and its impact on generations of wars in international relations " “技术发展及其对几代国际关系战争的影响”
Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.25130/tjfps.v3i29.156
Abbas Saadoun Refaat
International relations have been witnessing important developments for several decades، under the influence of an actor of technology. The foundations and principles of relations between states are undergoing transformations، including the shift in the meaning of sovereignty، the predominance of the pragmatic character، and the shift in the uses of: direct power، influence، and influence. One of the manifestations of international relations today is resorting to war، not in the form of traditional wars in which the warring parties can be known. Rather، countries، especially the major ones، have developed generations of wars، enabling them to reduce costs and have a greater impact. Less international responsibility is observed، as they are wars that are practiced in hidden ways، but the result in them is: effect and this can only be achieved through great progress in the technology that states use، in their relations with each other. The value that can be associated with this transformation relates to the fact that: whenever a technological development takes place، the more policy makers، or even violent organizations، and non-state actors find themselves in front of greater flexibility، to resort to modern periods of war، and thus influence international relations. But it doesn’t mean remove classic war.
几十年来,在一个技术行动者的影响下,国际关系取得了重要的发展。国与国之间关系的基础和原则正在发生变化,包括主权意义的转变,务实特征的主导,以及直接权力、影响和影响的使用方式的转变。当今国际关系的表现之一是诉诸战争,而不是诉诸交战各方可以知道的传统战争形式。相反,各国,特别是主要国家,已经发展了几代战争,使他们能够降低成本并产生更大的影响。观察到的国际责任较少,因为这些战争以隐蔽的方式进行,但其结果是:效果,而这只能通过各国在彼此关系中使用的技术取得巨大进步来实现。与这种转变相关的价值在于:每当技术发展发生时,更多的政策制定者,甚至暴力组织和非国家行为者发现自己面临更大的灵活性,可以诉诸现代战争时期,从而影响国际关系。但这并不意味着消除经典战争。
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引用次数: 0
" Future visions of the Syrian political system after (2019)" “(2019年)后叙利亚政治体制的未来愿景”
Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.25130/tjfps.v3i29.162
Yasir Ahmed Khalaf
In the midst of the discussion about any political system، we see adherence to the military and police nature، and this is what we are trying to study about the structure of the political system in Syria because the regime chose the path of military security، and during the Syrian crisis the political system overturned because of repression and dependence on it and as a military solution to the regional and international crisis in which the forces cannot reach Regional and international solutions to be agreed upon by the various Syrian political forces. With the means of physical coercion of the regime، political and economic capabilities، as well as international and regional powers that do not support change in Syria and see it as a negative impact on themselves، such as Russia، China، Iran and more recently the United States of America under the Trump and Biden government، this matter shows that the survival of the regime is the only and conditional solution.
任何政治系统中讨论،我们看到坚持军队和警察自然،这就是我们要研究的结构在叙利亚的政治体制,因为政权的道路选择军事安全،和叙利亚危机期间镇压和依赖的政治制度被推翻,因为它作为一个军事解决国际和地区危机的力量无法达到国际和地区叙利亚各政治力量达成一致的解决方案。鉴于叙利亚政权、政治和经济实力以及不支持叙利亚变革并将其视为对自己的负面影响的国际和地区大国(如俄罗斯、中国、伊朗以及最近特朗普和拜登政府领导下的美国)的物理胁迫手段,这一问题表明,该政权的生存是唯一有条件的解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
The challenges of rail linkage between Iraq and Kuwait and the opportunities for national alternatives (the port of Faw، the dry canal، and the link with the Belt and Road project as a model)" 伊拉克和科威特之间铁路连接的挑战以及国家替代方案的机会(fawal港,干运河,以及与一带一路项目的连接作为典范)。”
Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.25130/tjfps.v3i29.154
SAAD OBAID ALWAN AL SAEEDI
Decision-makers in each country work to define a list of internal and external interests، goals and threats to their countries according to the nature of their awareness of these interests، goals and threats.    Hence، Iraq is not an exception to this rule، and the process of evaluating its interests and the objectives of its foreign policy is subject to the pattern of awareness of decision-makers and the influencing forces in defining its basic interests، which often witness some kind of difference in defining them، evaluating their importance and determining the size of the threats they face. And among these interests and threats that have witnessed a difference in the assessment of their importance or danger is the railway connection with Kuwait or other countries، including Iran، At a time when some political forces and some personalities see the importance of the railway connection to Iraq، others، and with them the majority of the Iraqi people، see the danger of this connection to the interests of Iraq. In particular، its negative impact on the completion of the construction of the Grand Port of Faw and the dry canal، which are considered major national projects on which they are relied upon in creating a major development leap that mitigates the impact of the rentier impact of the economy and contributes to diversifying the national economy Especially when it is successful in linking with international trade projects، including the Chinese Belt and Road project، which will give Iraq an important economic-strategic advantage.
每个国家的决策者根据他们对这些利益、目标和威胁的认识的性质,努力确定其国家的内部和外部利益、目标和威胁的清单。因此,伊拉克不是这一规则的例外,评价其利益及其外交政策目标的过程取决于决策者的认识模式和确定其基本利益的影响力量,这些力量在确定其基本利益、评价其重要性和确定其所面临威胁的大小方面往往存在某种差异。在这些利益和威胁中,对其重要性或危险的评估有所不同的是与科威特或其他国家,包括伊朗的铁路联系,在一些政治力量和一些人物看到与伊拉克的铁路联系的重要性时,其他人,以及他们的大多数伊拉克人民,看到这种联系对伊拉克利益的危险。特别是,它对一汽大港和干运河建设的完成产生负面影响,这些项目被认为是国家重大项目,它们所依赖的是创造一个重大的发展飞跃,减轻经济的食利者影响,并有助于国民经济多样化,特别是当它成功地与国际贸易项目联系起来时,包括中国的“一带一路”项目,这将给伊拉克带来新的经济增长点重要的经济战略优势。
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引用次数: 0
The political role of the Brotherhood in Sudan of the popular uprising 2018 sample 2018年苏丹民众起义样本中兄弟会的政治角色
Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.25130/tjfps.v3i29.157
MUNTAHA HASSAN ALWAN
In 2018, following the multiple crises that hit the country, which cast a shadow over the Muslim Brotherhood, and as a result of the conflicts that emerged between the Islamists and the fragmentation of the     movement for several wings, a popular uprising was launched After that, the army announced that it was standing by the popular   movement and was able to remove Bashir from power The Muslim Brotherhood has exercised multiple roles to perpetuate their survival in power, and this was by inserting their elements into the transitional period, but the civil forces struggled and demanded the exclusion of all symbols and elements of the Brotherhood                                    Being the main cause of the country's state of affairs, on the    other hand, the Brotherhood sought to block the arrangements contained in the constitutional document The Islamic Movement has continued to mobilize its supporters and create the right ground to start political work, which has long been known for its long history of reproducing itself again .
2018年,在袭击该国的多重危机给穆斯林兄弟会蒙上了阴影之后,由于伊斯兰主义者之间的冲突和运动中几个派别的分裂,一场民众起义爆发了。在那之后,军方宣布支持民众运动,并能够将巴希尔赶下了台。这是通过将他们的成员插入过渡时期,但民间力量进行斗争,要求排除兄弟会的所有标志和成员。另一方面,兄弟会作为国家事态的主要原因,试图阻止宪法文件中所载的安排。伊斯兰运动继续动员其支持者,并创造开始政治工作的正确基础。它一直以其长期的自我复制历史而闻名。
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引用次数: 0
" Crises of political Development in Iraq and ways of treatment after 2003" “2003年后伊拉克政治发展危机及处理方法”
Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.25130/tjfps.v3i29.153
Murtadha Ahmed Khudhir, BILAL MOHAMMED SABER
Although there are elements for political development in Iraq ,The aggravation of the situation and the failure to implement foundations, which led to problems and obstacles to achieving political development. There are ways to solve these obstacles, including: applying consensual democracy, abolishing the principle of quotas, expanding political participation, implementing transitional justice, eliminating corruption in all its forms, achieving national unity, activating the national reconciliation project, strengthening the role of civil society institutions, achieving national integration and reducing poverty, and eliminating justice on unemployment.
伊拉克虽然有政治发展的因素,但局势的恶化和未能落实的基础,导致了实现政治发展的问题和障碍。有办法解决这些障碍,包括:实行协商一致的民主、废除配额原则、扩大政治参与、实施过渡时期司法、消除一切形式的腐败、实现民族团结、启动民族和解项目、加强民间社会机构的作用、实现民族一体化和减少贫困、消除失业司法。
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引用次数: 0
US Foreign Policy towards Iran During Joe Biden Administration 拜登政府时期美国对伊朗的外交政策
Pub Date : 2022-06-30 DOI: 10.25130/tjfps.v2i28.177
Zinah Abdul-Amir Abdul-Hassan Ibrahim
US foreign policy is the important driver of many events and policies at the regional and international levels. Perhaps the importance of US foreign policy towards Iran comes from the great importance of both countries. Many other regional and international policies, as well as Iran, which is an important and influential player in a large number of issues, especially at the regional level, in addition to the most prominent issue through which it interacts with a large number of major powers, led by the United States of America, as is the case with the Iranian nuclear program. And the US foreign policy towards Iran came with the assumption of (Joe Biden) government different from that of his predecessor (Donald Trump). From toughness and imposing more sanctions and tightening the noose politically and economically on Iran to a new policy with a completely different view and awareness (which from the point of view of the new administration did not bring any real results about stopping the Iranian nuclear program and thus achieve the American interest), among the new directions that it adopted (Joe Biden) that more sanctions and tension in relations with Iran have not worked, or at least do not serve the American interest, as the existence of hostile or tense relations with Iran with all the elements that Iran possesses of geopolitical and political power and important natural resources may push it to be Companies and cooperation with other parties that represent a threat to American exclusivity, as is the case with Russia and China.
美国外交政策是许多地区和国际事件和政策的重要推动力。也许美国对伊朗外交政策的重要性来自于两国的重要性。许多其他区域和国际政策,以及伊朗,伊朗在许多问题上,特别是在区域一级,是一个重要和有影响力的参与者,除了它与以美利坚合众国为首的许多大国相互作用的最突出问题,如伊朗核计划。美国对伊朗的外交政策是在(乔·拜登)政府与其前任(唐纳德·特朗普)政府不同的前提下出台的。从强硬,对伊朗施加更多制裁,在政治和经济上收紧绞索,到一种完全不同的观点和意识的新政策(从新政府的角度来看,这并没有带来任何真正的结果,阻止伊朗的核计划,从而实现美国的利益),在它采取的新方向中(乔拜登),更多的制裁和与伊朗的紧张关系没有奏效,或者至少不符合美国的利益,因为与伊朗的敌对或紧张关系的存在,以及伊朗拥有的地缘政治和政治力量以及重要的自然资源的所有因素,可能会迫使它成为对美国排他性构成威胁的其他方面的公司和合作,就像俄罗斯和中国的情况一样。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Tikrit Journal For Political Science
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