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Polish Finishers from Danish Piglets: Uncontrolled Transformation of Pig Industry in Poland 来自丹麦仔猪的波兰育肥猪:波兰养猪业的失控转型
IF 0.7 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.30858/zer-166114
Jakub Olipra
Abstract Only 20 years ago, Poland was self-sufficient in pig production, being one of the key players in the Euro- pean pig market. Since then a growing specialization of Poland in pig finishing and meat processing has been observed, while the domestic production of piglets has declined. As a consequence, Poland has lost its self-sufficiency in pig production and become strongly dependent on imports of piglets, mainly from Denmark. The aim of this paper is to summarize the evolution of the Polish pig industry and specify the main determinants of the Polish imports of Danish piglets. The results of the estimates using the vector error correction model (VECM) show that the volume of the Polish imports of piglets from Denmark may be explained by a degree of specialization of Poland in pig finishing, the phase of pig cycle, and the competitiveness of Polish pork. The results may be helpful in understanding the evolution of the Polish pig industry and its growing dependence on imports of piglets.
仅在20年前,波兰在生猪生产上是自给自足的,是欧洲生猪市场的主要参与者之一。从那时起,波兰在生猪肥育和肉类加工方面的专业化程度不断提高,而国内仔猪产量却有所下降。因此,波兰已经失去了养猪生产的自给自足能力,严重依赖进口仔猪,主要来自丹麦。本文的目的是总结波兰养猪业的演变,并具体说明波兰进口丹麦仔猪的主要决定因素。使用矢量误差修正模型(VECM)的估计结果表明,波兰从丹麦进口仔猪的数量可以用波兰在生猪肥育方面的专业化程度、生猪周期阶段和波兰猪肉的竞争力来解释。该结果可能有助于了解波兰养猪业的演变及其对仔猪进口的日益依赖。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of Farmers’ Participation in the Production Insurance System 农民参与生产保险制度的决定因素
IF 0.7 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.30858/zer-166603
Grzegorz Rawa
Abstract Progressive climate change triggers off phenomena that threaten agricultural production. Crop insurance makes it possible to mitigate their effects, but only a small percentage of crops in Poland is insured. Previous research into the determinants of farmers'participation in the production insurance system has mainly used the logit regression method. This paper presents the results of a study using a structural equation model (SEM) estimated for a sample of 600 farms in the FADN observation field, which aimed to identify factors influencing farmers’ purchase of production insurance. This research approach made it possible to describe the phenomenon in a way that has been little recognized so far, complementing the decision-making model under consideration with latent variables that could not be considered by the methods used so far. Based on the literature research, three unobservable variables were identified: willingness to purchase insurance, risk aversion and risk perception, and farming intensity, and then quantified using observable variables. The results show a directly proportional relationship between willingness to purchase insurance and risk aversion and risk perception and inversely proportional relationship with farming intensity.
渐进式气候变化引发了威胁农业生产的现象。作物保险使减轻灾害影响成为可能,但波兰只有一小部分作物投保。以往对农民参与生产保险制度的影响因素的研究主要采用logit回归方法。本文采用结构方程模型(SEM)对FADN观察区600个农场样本进行了估计,旨在找出影响农民购买生产保险的因素。这种研究方法可以用一种迄今为止很少被认识到的方式来描述这一现象,用迄今为止使用的方法无法考虑的潜在变量来补充所考虑的决策模型。在文献研究的基础上,确定了三个不可观测变量:购买保险意愿、风险厌恶和风险感知、耕作强度,并使用可观测变量进行量化。结果表明,农户的保险购买意愿与风险厌恶、风险感知成正比关系,与经营强度成反比关系。
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引用次数: 0
Farms and their Holders Implementing Agri-Environment-Climate Measures 实施农业-环境-气候措施的农场及其所有者
IF 0.7 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.30858/zer-168687
W. Józwiak, Z. Mirkowska, Jolanta Sobierajewska, W. Ziętara
Abstract The article contains characteristics of farms implementing agri-environment-climate measures in diverse natural conditions defined by the valorization index of agricultural production area. Considering the farm size, three types of the conditions were distinguished: difficult, average, and favorable. Attention was focused on the production potential of farms, their human capital, and economic situation. The subject of the research was a group of 1,175 individual farms covered by the Polish FADN, which implemented agri-environment-climate measures under the 2014–2020 common agricultural policy between 2018 and 2020. It was not a representative sample for the entire population of farms implementing the above-mentioned measures. Farms operating in difficult habitat conditions had a lower production potential (agricultural area, economic size, capital, and capital–labor ratio). The share of farmers with agricultural education was also lower in the group. As a result, income from such farms was lower, the fixed assets replacement rate was lower and the farm was incapable of competing on the domestic market. The ability was demonstrated only by farms functioning in favorable habitat conditions. The share of payments in the income of the analyzed farms was also higher, on average, by 21.7 p.p., as compared to the average share of payments in the income of other farms with a similar agricultural area. The study shows that there is a very large share of subsidies in the income of the groups of farms implemetnting agri-environment-climate measures and a clear positive connection between longer working hours (at least 2120 hours per year) of the farm manager with the economic situation of the farm.
摘要本文以农业生产区价值指数界定的不同自然条件下农场实施农业环境-气候措施的特点。考虑到农场的规模,有三种不同的条件:困难、一般和有利。重点是农场的生产潜力、人力资本和经济状况。该研究的对象是波兰FADN覆盖的1175个个体农场,这些农场在2018年至2020年期间根据2014-2020年共同农业政策实施了农业-环境-气候措施。这不是执行上述措施的所有农场人口的代表性样本。在困难生境条件下经营的农场具有较低的生产潜力(农业面积、经济规模、资本和资本劳动比)。接受过农业教育的农民比例也较低。因此,这些农场的收入较低,固定资产重置率较低,农场无法在国内市场上竞争。只有在有利的生境条件下运作的农场才能证明这种能力。与农业面积相似的其他农场相比,被分析农场的支付占收入的比例平均也高21.7个百分点。研究表明,在实施农业-环境-气候措施的农场群体的收入中,补贴所占的比例非常大,农场管理者较长的工作时间(每年至少2120小时)与农场的经济状况之间存在明显的正相关关系。
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引用次数: 0
Economic Effects of Changes in the Excise Tax on Tobacco Products in Poland 波兰烟草产品消费税变化的经济影响
IF 0.7 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.30858/zer-167032
K. Hryszko, P. Szajner
Abstract The aim of the article is to assess the impact of changes in excise duty rates on prices, consumption, and tax revenue to the state budget on the development of the domestic tobacco industry. The study was conducted, among other things, using methods of statistical comparative analysis, dynamics of the main elements of the market, exponential regression analysis, and analysis of selected financial ratios. The research shows that between 2010 and 2021 the tobacco industry in Poland developed very dynamically due to foreign direct investments and competitiveness on the EU market. Fiscal policy determined prices of tobacco products, as indirect taxes dominated the structure of retail prices. The increasing rates of excise duty resulted in a decrease in cigarette consumption, which was compensated by an increase in the consumption of innovative products. The effectiveness of fiscal policy is also confirmed by the growing budget revenues and reducing the shadow economy in the internal market. In recent years, however, consumer income has been growing faster than the prices of tobacco products, which has resulted in their better affordability. In conclusion, between 2022 and 2027, excise tax rates will gradually increase due to the harmonization of the national tax law with the regulations in force in the European Union. The increase in excise duty rates will determine the production and sale of tobacco products, which will adapt to demand conditions. Higher rates of excise tax will result in an increase in the prices of tobacco products and state budget revenues from indirect taxes.
摘要本文的目的是评估消费税税率对价格、消费和国家预算税收收入的变化对国内烟草行业发展的影响。除其他外,该研究还使用了统计比较分析、市场主要要素动态、指数回归分析和选定财务比率分析等方法。研究表明,2010年至2021年期间,由于外国直接投资和欧盟市场上的竞争力,波兰的烟草业发展非常活跃。财政政策决定了烟草产品的价格,因为间接税主导了零售价格的结构。消费税的提高导致香烟消费的减少,而创新产品消费的增加则弥补了这一点。财政政策的有效性还体现在预算收入的增加和内部市场影子经济的减少上。然而,近年来,消费者收入的增长速度超过了烟草产品价格的增长速度,这使得他们更容易负担烟草产品。总之,在2022年至2027年之间,由于国家税法与欧盟现行法规的协调,消费税税率将逐步提高。消费税的提高将决定烟草产品的生产和销售,这将适应需求情况。更高的消费税税率将导致烟草产品价格和国家间接税预算收入的增加。
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引用次数: 0
Unlocking the Potential of the European Union Quality Schemes for Polish Regional and Traditional Food Products 释放欧盟波兰地区和传统食品质量计划的潜力
IF 0.7 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.30858/zer-168871
A. Malak-Rawlikowska, E. Majewski, Izabella Kamińska
Abstract The main aim of the study was to identify current problems encountered by the Polish producers of products registered under the PDO, PGI, and TSG labels and develop a set of recommendations that may support the development of the market of FQS products in Poland. The study findings showed that many factors are disrupting the functioning of the Polish market of FQS products and are related to product specificities, market relevance, supply chain governance, legitimacy, and law enforcement. The majority of products is characterized by a low value added, which makes it difficult to distinguish them on the market and therefore protect against counterfeit. There are also products with greater value added, but the lack of farmers’ collective action reduces the potential effect that could result from the economy of scale. Furthermore, a limited number of certified producers and small cultivation areas constraint the use of effective marketing strategies, hindering producers’ ability to gain more visibility for their produce. Consequently, Polish FQS producers cannot create more profitable market niches, often selling their certified products at regular market prices without the expected price premium. Moreover, FQS labels are also not recognized well by consumers, which indicates a serious problem of information asymmetry in the value chain. In order to improve the FQS sales in Poland, a joint commitment of the public administration agencies and producers is necessary in terms of providing support to producers in the process of developing applications, introducing the system for monitoring FQS distribution and reporting counterfeits, creating an umbrella association of certified producers acting on behalf of all the participants of the system. Moreover, producers are encouraged to increase the scale of production, introduce common packaging and joint promotional activities, as well as joint sales and distribution in order to avoid producer–producer competition and to strengthen producers bargaining position in the food supply chain.
该研究的主要目的是确定目前在PDO、PGI和TSG标签下注册的波兰产品生产商遇到的问题,并制定一套建议,以支持波兰FQS产品市场的发展。研究结果表明,许多因素正在破坏FQS产品在波兰市场的运作,这些因素与产品特性、市场相关性、供应链治理、合法性和执法有关。大多数产品的特点是低附加值,这使得很难在市场上区分它们,从而防止假冒。也有附加值更高的产品,但农民集体行动的缺乏降低了规模经济可能产生的潜在效应。此外,经过认证的生产者数量有限,种植面积小,限制了有效营销战略的使用,阻碍了生产者提高其产品知名度的能力。因此,波兰FQS生产商无法创造更有利可图的市场利基,通常以正常的市场价格销售其认证产品,而没有预期的价格溢价。此外,消费者对FQS标签的认可度也不高,这表明价值链中存在严重的信息不对称问题。为了改善FQS在波兰的销售,公共行政机构和生产商的共同承诺是必要的,包括在开发应用程序的过程中为生产商提供支持,引入监测FQS分销和报告假冒产品的系统,创建一个代表该系统所有参与者的认证生产商的总协会。此外,鼓励生产者扩大生产规模,采用共同包装和联合促销活动,以及联合销售和分销,以避免生产者与生产者之间的竞争,加强生产者在食品供应链中的议价地位。
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引用次数: 0
Expected Utility and Prospect Theories Versus Agricultural Insurance 期望效用与前景理论与农业保险
IF 0.7 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.30858/zer/161811
J. Kulawik
Abstract The expected utility theory/hypothesis (EUT/ET) by von Neumann and Morgenstern has become the subject of criticism and efforts to improve it already at the moment of presenting its complete axiomatic form (1953). The broadest analysis was carried out by Kahneman and Tversky using the prospect theory (PT). However, it was not carefully prepared. The above two were helped in 1982 by Quiggin with his extension of the EUT in the form of the rank-dependent expected utility (RDEU). This was followed by Kahneman and Tversky in 1992 boasted the second version of the prospect theory, i.e., the cumulative prospect theory (CPT). It became the most competitive proposal to the EUT, although later other researchers added new elements to it. In this way, the subsequent generations of the PT were created. Today there are five in total. It soon became apparent that the PT also did not satisfactorily explain various cases of decision-making under conditions of risk and uncertainty. Upon closer analysis, however, it turned out that the PT was in fact a generalization of the EUT. Both theories are tools for modeling insurance decisions, including agriculture. In this context, the main aim of the article is to present the principles and the results of applying them in agricultural insurance. The analysis shows that the pragmatic solution at present is the combined use of both theories, with the EUT usually being the reference point.
冯·诺伊曼和摩根斯坦的期望效用理论/假设(EUT/ET)在提出其完整的公理化形式(1953)的那一刻就已经成为批评和努力改进的对象。卡尼曼和特沃斯基运用前景理论(PT)进行了最广泛的分析。然而,它并不是精心准备的。1982年,Quiggin以秩相关期望效用(RDEU)的形式对EUT进行了扩展,从而帮助了上述两个问题。随后,卡尼曼和特沃斯基在1992年提出了第二个版本的前景理论,即累积前景理论(CPT)。虽然后来其他研究人员给它添加了新的元素,但它成为了最具竞争力的EUT提案。以这种方式,创建了PT的后续几代。今天总共有5个。很快就发现,PT也不能令人满意地解释在风险和不确定条件下的各种决策案例。然而,经过更仔细的分析,发现PT实际上是EUT的推广。这两种理论都是为保险决策建模的工具,包括农业保险。在此背景下,本文的主要目的是介绍这些原则及其在农业保险中的应用效果。分析表明,目前的语用解决方案是两种理论的结合,通常以英文翻译为参考点。
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引用次数: 0
Conditions for the Competitiveness of the Agricultural Sector in the EU, Japan, Canada, Vietnam, and Mercosur Countries 欧盟、日本、加拿大、越南和南方共同市场国家农业部门竞争力的条件
IF 0.7 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.30858/zer/162031
Dawid Jabkowski
Abstract The main purpose of this paper was to identify the resource conditions for the competitiveness of the agricultural sector in the European Union (EU), Japan, Canada, Vietnam, and Mercosur countries. The study proved that these countries demonstrate a strong competitive potential. The largest labor resources are found in the Vietnamese agriculture, even though it has witnessed an outflow of 40% of its workforce over the recent years. The EU exhibits high levels of gross fixed capital formation in the agricultural sector. Conversely, the Vietnamese agriculture recorded the fastest growth in capital expenditure. Canada and Mercosur countries have a considerable area of agricultural land and a concentrated agrarian structure, and thus can benefit from economies of scale which, in turn, determine their global competitiveness. It is the opposite in Japan and Vietnam, with over 90% of farms having an area up to 5 ha.
本文的主要目的是确定欧盟(EU)、日本、加拿大、越南和南方共同市场国家农业部门竞争力的资源条件。研究证明,这些国家表现出强大的竞争潜力。最大的劳动力资源是越南的农业,尽管近年来越南的劳动力流出了40%。欧盟农业部门的固定资本形成总额较高。相反,越南农业的资本支出增长最快。加拿大和南方共同市场国家拥有相当大的农业用地面积和集中的农业结构,因此可以受益于规模经济,而规模经济反过来又决定了它们的全球竞争力。日本和越南的情况正好相反,超过90%的农场面积超过5公顷。
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引用次数: 0
Environmentally Adjusted Analysis of Agricultural Efficiency: A Systematic Literature Review of Frontier Approaches 农业效率的环境调整分析:前沿方法的系统文献综述
IF 0.7 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.30858/zer/162644
J. Staniszewski, A. Matuszczak
Abstract The paper reviews 200 papers regarding environmentally adjusted analysis of agricultural efficiency found in the Scopus database. Based on the PRISMA method the scope of the review was limited to papers where efficiency is assessed with data envelopment analysis (DEA) or stochastic frontier analysis (SFA). The aim of this paper is to identify how efficiency analysis can be enhanced to take into account environmental aspects of agricultural production and indicate the research trends and gaps. Regarding the trends, most of the studies refer to agriculture in Europe, with a noticeable increasing trend in Asia. The production directions under research mainly include crops or milk production, usually in the farm scale. It can also be observed that a typical economic efficiency model is developed to include new environmentally detrimental inputs or undesirable outputs, such as fertilizing, climate impact, crop protection, water footprint, and energy usage. The most common determinants were farmers features, scale of production, intensification, agricultural practices, quality of the production environment, macroeconomic environment, specialization, environmental practices, and farm features. The following research gaps were identified. The case studies of Africa and North America are limited, like those at the field and local levels as well as those related to horticultural and animal production other than milk production. The SFA approaches are underdeveloped in comparison with DEA, like approaches other than additional inputs/outputs. In particular, the by-production approach seems promising. Limited attention has been paid to soil condition, biodiversity, waste generation in agriculture, and positive externalities provided by the agriculture. An interesting and less investigated area in terms of performance determinants remain farmers’ behavioral features.
摘要本文综述了Scopus数据库中200篇关于农业效率环境调整分析的论文。基于PRISMA方法,本综述的范围仅限于用数据包络分析(DEA)或随机前沿分析(SFA)评估效率的论文。本文的目的是确定如何加强效率分析,以考虑农业生产的环境因素,并指出研究趋势和差距。关于趋势,大多数研究涉及欧洲的农业,亚洲的趋势明显增加。研究的生产方向主要包括作物或牛奶生产,通常在农场规模。还可以观察到,开发了一个典型的经济效率模型,以包括新的对环境有害的投入或不希望的产出,如施肥、气候影响、作物保护、水足迹和能源使用。最常见的决定因素是农民特征、生产规模、集约化、农业实践、生产环境质量、宏观经济环境、专业化、环境实践和农场特征。确定了以下研究空白。非洲和北美的案例研究是有限的,就像实地和地方一级的案例研究以及与园艺和除牛奶生产以外的动物生产有关的案例研究一样。与DEA相比,SFA方法是不发达的,就像其他方法一样,除了额外的投入/产出。特别是,副产品方法似乎很有希望。对土壤条件、生物多样性、农业废弃物产生以及农业提供的正外部性的关注有限。就绩效决定因素而言,一个有趣但研究较少的领域仍然是农民的行为特征。
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引用次数: 0
Conditions for Coopetition of Farms in the Agri-Food Sector on the Example of the Warmińsko-Mazurskie Province 农业食品领域农场合作的条件——以Warmińsko-Mazurskie省为例
IF 0.7 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.30858/zer/162156
Z. Nasalski
Abstract The aim of the study was to identify the most important determinants of farms coopetition in the agri-food sector on the example of the Warmińsko-Mazurskie Province. Using the survey questionnaire, the research was carried out in 2021 on a research sample of 155 entities (farms, economic self-government units, trade associations, processing undertakings, and government agencies dealing with issues related to food economy and rural development had the largest share). The results show that the respondents were aware of the potential benefits of coopetition; they primarily pointed to the opportunities to increase sales, reduce costs, and gain greater bargaining power in relations with suppliers and recipients. Defining the basic barriers to the development of coopetition in the agri-food sector, the respondents indicated, above all, low awareness of part of the business environment, the reluctance of companies to cooperate with each other, and the lack of coopetition development models. In the institutional dimension, a special role in the implementation of coopetition should be attributed to advisory entities, economic self-government, trade associations, and scientific institutions. Conditions for the development of farm coopetition in the Warmińsko-Mazurskie Province include not only endogenous, but above all exogenous factors shaping the possibilities of greater involvement of the surveyed entities in strategic cooperation in the agri-food sector. It was concluded that the coopetition gap of farms can be significantly reduced by greater involvement in integration processes, e.g., in the food industry. It is also very important to inspire integration activities by regulatory institutions related to the economic development of the region.
摘要本研究的目的是以Warmińsko-Mazurskie省为例,确定农业食品部门农场合作的最重要决定因素。利用调查问卷,该研究于2021年对155个实体(农场、经济自治单位、行业协会、加工企业和处理粮食经济和农村发展相关问题的政府机构所占比例最大)的研究样本进行了研究。结果表明,被调查者意识到合作的潜在利益;他们主要指出了增加销售、降低成本以及在与供应商和接受者的关系中获得更大议价能力的机会。在界定农业食品部门合作发展的基本障碍时,受访者指出,首先是对部分商业环境的认识不足,公司不愿相互合作,以及缺乏合作发展模式。在体制方面,应使咨询实体、经济自治、贸易协会和科学机构在执行合作方面发挥特殊作用。Warmińsko-Mazurskie省农业合作发展的条件不仅包括内生因素,而且首先包括影响被调查实体更多地参与农业食品部门战略合作可能性的外部因素。结论是,通过更多地参与一体化进程,例如食品工业,可以大大减少农场的合作差距。与该区域经济发展有关的管理机构也必须鼓励一体化活动。
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引用次数: 0
Transformation of Family Farming in the Second Decade of the 21st Century 21世纪第二个十年的家庭农业转型
IF 0.7 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.30858/zer/161785
Józef Stanisław Zegar
Abstract The aim of the article is to determine the course of transformation of family farming in Poland in recent years in terms of the industrial model and challenges related to its sustainability. The results of the 2010 and 2020 agricultural censuses, other public statistics data, and the literature on the subject were used to achieve this goal. Apart from the general characteristics of the transformation, the focus was on changes in labor inputs, resource productivity, and household income of individual farm users. The analysis showed that the development of agriculture does not differ from the general model of industrial transformation, including the following processes: commercialization, intensification, concentration, and specialization. However, new challenges are emerging, especially the need for putting agriculture on a sustainable track and the demographic, environmental, and economic conditions that require significant adjustments in the transformation of agriculture. Significant intervention by political institutions is needed, especially in creating eco-innovations and conditions for the use of new income opportunities, which also requires intensifying the cooperation of farmers themselves. It is also advisable to extend the scope of agricultural advisory services, going beyond the sphere of using public funds and conventional economics of farms.
摘要本文的目的是确定近年来波兰家庭农业在产业模式和挑战方面的转型过程。2010年和2020年的农业普查结果、其他公共统计数据以及有关该主题的文献被用来实现这一目标。除了转型的一般特征外,重点是劳动力投入、资源生产率和个体农场用户家庭收入的变化。分析表明,农业的发展与一般的产业转型模式没有区别,包括商品化、集约化、集中化和专业化四个过程。然而,新的挑战正在出现,特别是使农业走上可持续发展轨道的需要,以及需要在农业转型中进行重大调整的人口、环境和经济条件。需要政治机构的重大干预,特别是在创造生态创新和利用新的收入机会的条件方面,这也需要加强农民本身的合作。此外,还应扩大农业咨询服务的范围,使其超越使用公共资金和农场传统经济的范围。
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引用次数: 0
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