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Trying to Be All Things to All People: Alternative Development in Afghanistan 试图为所有人提供一切:阿富汗的另一种发展
Pub Date : 2020-08-27 DOI: 10.4000/poldev.3751
D. Mansfield
Alternative development has had little success in Afghanistan. Understood and implemented as geographically bounded interventions designed to reduce drug crop cultivation, these projects failed to achieve their objectives throughout the 1990s. Since 2001, following the fall of the Taliban, unprecedented rises in levels of opium production, and an inflow of substantial amounts of aid, alternative development came to mean different things to different people in Afghanistan. To some, alternative development continued as short-term interventions designed to extract agreements from communities to reduce opium production, or reward those that had already done so. To others, it could be any development programme implemented in a poppy growing, or potential poppy growing, area often without any consideration of the causes of cultivation and how they differed by location, gender or socio-economic group. This chapter argues that a lack of consistency and clarity in approach—and in particular the failure to articulate and implement a strategy to support farmers transitioning to licit livelihoods within a changing framework of development assistance—confined alternative development and efforts to reduce poppy cultivation though rural development to the margins in Afghanistan. To quote Corinthians, in trying ‘to be all things to all people’, alternative development saved no one.
替代发展在阿富汗几乎没有成功。这些项目被理解为旨在减少药物作物种植的地理上有限的干预措施,并在整个1990年代未能实现其目标。自2001年以来,随着塔利班的倒台,鸦片产量空前上升,以及大量援助的流入,替代发展对阿富汗不同的人来说意味着不同的东西。对一些人来说,替代发展继续作为短期干预措施,旨在促使社区同意减少鸦片生产,或奖励那些已经这样做的人。对其他人来说,它可能是在罂粟种植或潜在罂粟种植地区实施的任何发展方案,通常不考虑种植的原因以及它们如何因地点、性别或社会经济群体而不同。本章认为,方法缺乏一致性和明确性,特别是未能阐明和实施一项战略,以支持农民在不断变化的发展援助框架内过渡到合法生计,这限制了阿富汗的替代发展和通过农村发展减少罂粟种植的努力。引用科林蒂安的话说,在试图“为所有人做所有的事情”时,替代发展没有拯救任何人。
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引用次数: 1
The Neo-Patrimonial ‘Use’ of Drug Policy in Electoral Processes 毒品政策在选举过程中的新“使用”
Pub Date : 2020-08-27 DOI: 10.4000/poldev.3842
Khalid Tinasti
The prohibition of illegal drug production, use and trafficking has resulted in several shortcomings and negative consequences for other global development objectives. According to available evidence, current drug control policies undermine the international community’s commitments to public health, criminal justice, sustainable development, women rights, human rights, poverty alleviation and the reduction of inequalities. This policy comment focuses on the impact of repressive drug policies on state institutions and politics. In a unique conjunction of interests, prohibition allows transnational criminal organisations to weaken state institutions, corrupt civil and military officials and influence control policies because of the entrenched neo-patrimonialism in political life. Therefore, prohibition allows populist and political contenders to stigmatise a minority population—people who use drugs, in opposition to the desires of the majority rule. The use of political emotions, based on fear or promise of change, undermines effective responses to drugs, erodes the rule of law and trust between authorities and populations, and weakens state institutions and democratic governance. This policy comment provides examples from low- and middle-income countries, as well as cases from high-income countries, of the impact of drug prohibition and its illegal proceeds on governance through neo-patrimonialism, clientelism and the weakening of institutions.
禁止非法药物生产、使用和贩运造成了一些缺陷,并对其他全球发展目标产生了负面影响。根据现有证据,目前的药物管制政策破坏了国际社会对公共卫生、刑事司法、可持续发展、妇女权利、人权、减贫和减少不平等的承诺。这篇政策评论的重点是镇压性毒品政策对国家机构和政治的影响。在一种独特的利益结合中,由于政治生活中根深蒂固的新世袭主义,禁令允许跨国犯罪组织削弱国家机构,腐败文职和军事官员,并影响控制政策。因此,禁令允许民粹主义者和政治竞争者污名化少数群体——那些使用毒品的人,反对多数人统治的愿望。基于对变革的恐惧或承诺而使用政治情绪,破坏了对毒品的有效反应,侵蚀了法治以及当局和民众之间的信任,削弱了国家机构和民主治理。这项政策评论提供了低收入和中等收入国家以及高收入国家的例子,说明禁毒及其非法收益通过新继承主义、庇护主义和削弱体制对治理的影响。
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引用次数: 1
Cannabis Regulation and Development: Fair(er) Trade Options for Emerging Legal Markets 大麻监管与发展:新兴法律市场的公平贸易选择
Pub Date : 2020-08-27 DOI: 10.4000/poldev.3758
D. Bewley-Taylor, M. Jelsma, Sylvia Kay
Significant policy shifts have led to an unprecedented boom in medical cannabis markets, while a growing number of countries are moving towards the legal regulation of adult non-medical use. This trend is likely to bring a range of benefits. Yet there are growing concerns over the many for-profit cannabis companies from the global North that are aggressively competing to capture the licit spaces now opening in the multibillion-dollar global cannabis market. This threatens to push small-scale traditional farmers from the global South out of the emerging legal markets. Those trying to transition out of illegality face huge difficulties due to a combination of the legacy of criminalisation and administrative barriers to entry. Conquering and protecting spaces for small-scale farmers within the current overheated and corporate-driven market will require affirmative action, regulation of foreign investment, and well-designed legislative and market strategies. This policy comment explores the unfolding market dynamics from a development perspective and offers a set of guiding principles and policy proposals upon which a more equitable, fair(er) trade cannabis regulation model can be built.
重大的政策转变导致医用大麻市场空前繁荣,同时越来越多的国家正朝着对成人非医疗用途进行法律管制的方向发展。这一趋势可能会带来一系列的好处。然而,越来越多的人担心,来自全球北方的许多营利性大麻公司正在激烈竞争,以抢占数十亿美元的全球大麻市场上正在开放的合法空间。这有可能将来自全球南方的小规模传统农民赶出新兴的合法市场。由于刑事定罪的遗留问题和进入的行政障碍,那些试图摆脱非法状态的人面临着巨大的困难。在当前过热的企业驱动的市场中,要征服和保护小农的空间,需要采取平权行动,对外国投资进行监管,以及精心设计的立法和市场战略。本政策评论从发展的角度探讨了不断变化的市场动态,并提出了一套指导原则和政策建议,在此基础上可以建立一个更公平、更公平的大麻贸易监管模式。
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引用次数: 5
More Harm Than Public Health in Drug Policy? A Comment 毒品政策危害大于公共健康?一个评论
Pub Date : 2020-08-27 DOI: 10.4000/poldev.3988
J. Csete
Well-conceived drug-control policies could contribute importantly to economic and social development and public health.  Unfortunately, the reality of drug policies in most countries is rather that they undermine public health by failing to protect people who use drugs from infectious disease and the risk of drug overdose. Drug laws and policies that mandate incarceration for minor, non-violent drug offences have profound health costs as the risk of infectious disease in prison is high, and too few prisons offer appropriate health services for people who use drugs.  Overly zealous drug-control policies, moreover, have led to enormous human suffering, as many countries have restricted the use of opioids for the relief of pain associated with cancer and other conditions.  Protection of the health of communities involved with the production of drug crops such as coca leaf and opium poppy has rarely figured in ‘alternative development’ programmes for these populations.  A few countries have shown that intentionally health-focused drug-control policies can lessen some of these harms.
考虑周全的药物管制政策可对经济和社会发展以及公共卫生作出重要贡献。不幸的是,大多数国家的药物政策的现实情况是,它们未能保护吸毒者免受传染病和药物过量的风险,从而损害了公众健康。规定对轻微非暴力毒品犯罪进行监禁的毒品法律和政策造成了严重的健康成本,因为监狱中传染病的风险很高,而且为吸毒者提供适当保健服务的监狱太少。此外,由于许多国家限制使用阿片类药物来缓解与癌症和其他疾病有关的疼痛,过度热心的药物管制政策导致了巨大的人类痛苦。保护生产古柯叶和罂粟等毒品作物的社区的健康,很少被纳入针对这些人口的“替代发展”方案。一些国家已经表明,有意以健康为重点的药物管制政策可以减轻其中一些危害。
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引用次数: 1
The World Drug Policy Problem. An Interview with José Ramos-Horta 世界毒品政策问题。采访josore Ramos-Horta
Pub Date : 2020-08-27 DOI: 10.4000/poldev.3871
J. Ramos-Horta, Khalid Tinasti
Jose Ramos-Horta is a former president of Timor-Leste, a Nobel Peace Prize laureate and a current member of the Global Commission on Drug Policy (GCDP). Khalid Tinasti, one of the guest editors of this Thematic Issue, interviewed Jose Ramos-Horta to gain insight into his views and analyses of drug control policy. They discuss his experience as one of the drafters of the Constitution and criminal justice responses in Timor-Leste, and his role as the UN Secretary-General’s Special Representative and head of the United Nations Integrated Peacebuilding Office in Guinea-Bissau (UNIOGBIS) at a time when the country was labelled a ‘narco-state’. Khalid Tinasti also asked him about his views on the future of the drug market in the context of a growing drug policy divide between countries that enforce a punitive approach to drug use and those now legalising cannabis and other substances for recreational purposes.
Jose Ramos Horta是东帝汶前总统、诺贝尔和平奖获得者,也是全球毒品政策委员会(GCDP)的现任成员。本期专题的客座编辑之一Khalid Tinasti采访了Jose Ramos Horta,以深入了解他对药物管制政策的看法和分析。他们讨论了他作为东帝汶宪法和刑事司法对策起草者之一的经历,以及他在该国被称为“毒品国家”时担任联合国秘书长特别代表和联合国几内亚比绍建设和平综合办事处(联几建和办)主任的角色。Khalid Tinasti还询问了他对毒品市场未来的看法,因为对毒品使用采取惩罚性措施的国家和现在将大麻和其他物质合法化用于娱乐目的的国家之间的毒品政策分歧越来越大。
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引用次数: 0
Évaluation de l'impact économique de la COVID-19 en Afrique subsaharienne : perspectives à partir d'un modèle d'équilibre général calculable (EGC) 评估COVID-19对撒哈拉以南非洲的经济影响:可计算一般均衡(EGC)模型的前景
Pub Date : 2020-08-03 DOI: 10.4000/poldev.3546
Calvin Djiofack Zebaze, Hasan Dudu, Albert G. Zeufack
Dans ce chapitre, nous utilisons un modele d'equilibre general calculable afin d’analyser l'impact economique probable de la pandemie de COVID-19 en Afrique subsaharienne. Nous envisageons trois scenarios : (1) une reponse politique rapide et efficace en Afrique subsaharienne permettant de contenir la propagation de la COVID-19 d’ici a debut juillet 2020 ; (2) une reponse politique lente et inefficace qui prolonge la pandemie jusqu'en 2021 ; (3) un scenario catastrophe combinant le scenario 2 et la fermeture des frontieres dans la region. La baisse du PIB regional en 2020 par rapport a un scenario de reference (dans lequel la pandemie ne survient pas) va de 5,7 % dans le scenario relativement optimiste a 7,65 dans le scenario pessimiste. La pandemie entrainerait une baisse des recettes des taxes et redevances tout en augmentant les depenses, conduisant a une deterioration significative du deficit budgetaire. Les revenus des menages s'effondreraient en raison de la baisse du taux de participation au marche du travail. Les pauvres seraient touches de maniere disproportionnee, car nombre d'entre eux travaillent dans l'agriculture et les services de premiere necessite, des secteurs dans lesquels la production chuterait fortement.
在本章中,我们使用可计算的一般均衡模型来分析新冠大流行对撒哈拉以南非洲可能产生的经济影响。我们设想了三种情况:(1)撒哈拉以南非洲迅速有效的政策应对措施,以在2020年7月初遏制新冠肺炎的传播;(2)缓慢而无效的政策应对将大流行延长至2021年;(3)结合场景2和该地区边境关闭的灾难场景。与基线情景(大流行不会发生)相比,2020年地区GDP的下降幅度从相对乐观情景下的5.7%到悲观情景下的7.65%不等。大流行将导致税收和特许权使用费收入减少,同时增加支出,导致预算赤字严重恶化。由于劳动力参与率下降,家庭收入将下降。穷人将受到不成比例的影响,因为他们中的许多人从事农业和基本服务业,而这些部门的产出将大幅下降。
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引用次数: 2
COVID-19 et pauvreté mondiale : Une évaluation préliminaire COVID-19与全球贫困:初步评估
Pub Date : 2020-08-03 DOI: 10.4000/poldev.3573
Giovanni Valensisi
Cet article presente une evaluation preliminaire de l'impact de la COVID-19 sur la pauvrete mondiale, en accord avec les previsions de croissance du FMI d'avril 2020. L'analyse montre que les retombees de la pandemie auront des consequences dramatiques, compromettant une grande partie des gains enregistres ces dernieres annees en termes de reduction de la pauvrete. Notre scenario de reference suggere que le nombre de personnes vivant en dessous du seuil de pauvrete de 1,90 dollar par jour pourrait augmenter d'au moins 68 millions en 2020. Les retombees de la pandemie vont egalement accentuer la concentration geographique de la pauvrete. Cela represente un recul important et, en l'absence d'un soutien efficace et d'une cooperation internationale, cela met en peril la realisation de l’agenda 2030 des Nations unies pour le developpement durable.
本文根据国际货币基金组织2020年4月的增长预测,初步评估了COVID-19对全球贫困的影响。分析表明,这一流行病的复发将产生巨大后果,危及近年来在减少贫困方面取得的许多成果。我们的基线情景表明,到2020年,生活在每天1.9美元贫困线以下的人数可能增加至少6800万人。这一流行病的复发也将使贫困在地理上更加集中。这是一个重大挫折,在缺乏有效支持和国际合作的情况下,危及联合国2030年可持续发展议程的实现。
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引用次数: 3
COVID-19 en Latinoamérica: Diferencias respecto a las economías desarrolladas 拉丁美洲的COVID-19:与发达经济体的差异
Pub Date : 2020-08-03 DOI: 10.4000/poldev.3532
Eduardo Levy Yeyati, Rodrigo Valdés
La mayoria de analisis del impacto socioeconomico del COVID-19 se basan en los datos procedentes de las economias avanzadas y del este asiatico, y hay buenos motivos para que sea asi, pues estos paises fueron los primeros en verse afectados por la pandemia. Este debate contrasta con las realidades en los paises latinoamericanos, no solamente debido a las restricciones economicas, sino tambien porque en varios paises ha sido sorprendentemente dificil controlar las dinamicas de la pandemia. Algunos paises que eludieron la aplicacion de cuarentenas estrictas encabezan el ranking de casos diarios, pero en otros, donde se adoptaron antes medidas estrictas y prolongadas, el numero de casos continua creciendo. En este capitulo analizamos de que modo la combinacion de un margen financiero y fiscal limitado y un mercado laboral precario, contra el telon de fondo de un delicado panorama politico, impone duros retos a la intensidad y a la gestion socioeconomica de la respuesta politica a la pandemia en la region.
大多数对COVID-19社会经济影响的分析都是基于来自发达经济体和东亚的数据,这是有充分理由的,因为这些国家是最先受到疫情影响的国家。这场辩论与拉丁美洲国家的现实形成了鲜明对比,不仅因为经济限制,而且因为在一些国家,控制这一流行病的动态令人惊讶地困难。一些逃避严格检疫的国家在每日病例排名中名列前位,但在此前采取了严格和长期措施的其他国家,病例数量继续增加。在这一章我们讨论财政金融优势组合模式和有限和脆弱,对劳动力市场底telon硬的微妙的政治格局,对强度和管理的挑战socioeconomica流行地区的政治反应。
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引用次数: 1
Trabajar desde casa: implicaciones para los países en desarrollo 在家工作:对发展中国家的影响
Pub Date : 2020-08-03 DOI: 10.4000/poldev.3522
Charles Gottlieb, Jan Grobovsek, Markus Poschke, Fernando Saltiel
En este articulo nos proponemos examinar la viabilidad e implicaciones del trabajo a distancia en los paises en vias de desarrollo. Dado que un numero importante de paises ha implementado politicas de distanciamiento interpersonal, la cantidad de trabajo que puede realizarse desde casa va a ser un determinante crucial de los resultados economicos durante la pandemia. En primer lugar mostramos que la proporcion de trabajo que puede realizarse a distancia varia significativamente segun la renta de los paises: en las areas urbanas de los paises pobres, esta proporcion alcanza solo a aproximadamente el 20%, comparado con cerca del 40% en los paises ricos. Este resultado se debe en gran medida al predominio de los trabajadores autonomos (autoempleo) en paises de bajos ingresos. Posteriormente mostramos que el nivel de educacion, el estatus de empleo formal, y la riqueza de los hogares guardan una relacion positiva con la posibilidad de trabajar desde casa, hecho que refleja la vulnerabilidad de varios grupos de trabajadores. Destacamos la importancia de identificar rapidamente a los trabajadores vulnerables en cada pais con el fin de disenar las politicas mas adecuadas para combatir las repercusiones negativas sobre el empleo de la pandemia del Covid-19.
在这篇文章中,我们打算审查发展中国家远程工作的可行性和影响。由于许多国家实施了人际疏远政策,在家里可以做的工作数量将是疫情期间经济业绩的关键决定因素。首先,我们表明,可以远程进行的工作比例因国家收入而异:在穷国的城市地区,这一比例仅达到约20%,而富国约为40%。这一结果在很大程度上是由于低收入国家的自营职业者占主导地位。随后,我们表明,教育水平、正式就业状况和家庭财富与在家工作的可能性呈正相关,这一事实反映了几个工人群体的脆弱性。我们强调必须迅速查明每个国家的弱势工人,以便制定最适当的政策,应对新冠疫情对就业的负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
Le travail à domicile : Quelles implications pour les pays en développement ? 在家工作:对发展中国家有什么影响?
Pub Date : 2020-08-03 DOI: 10.4000/poldev.3507
Charles Gottlieb, Jan Grobovsek, Markus Poschke, Fernando Saltiel
Cette contribution propose une analyse de la faisabilite et des implications du travail a domicile (TAD) dans les pays en developpement. En raison de la pandemie de COVID-19, de nombreux Etats ont mis en place des mesures de distanciation sociale. De fait, la part du travail qui pourra se faire au domicile jouera un role majeur dans la determination des resultats economiques constates pendant la periode. Dans cet article, nous montrerons dans un premier temps que la part de l’emploi qui peut etre realisee a distance varie enormement en fonction des revenus des pays : dans les zones urbaines des Etats pauvres, cette part represente 20 % du total, tandis qu’elle monte a 40 % dans les pays riches. Ce taux resulte largement de la prevalence des travailleurs independants dans les pays a faible revenu. Nous montrerons egalement que le niveau d’instruction, un statut formel d’emploi et le niveau de revenus du foyer sont correles positivement a la possibilite de teletravailler et que cela reflete la vulnerabilite de certains groupes sociaux. Nous notons l’importance de l’identification rapide des actifs occupes vulnerables dans les differents pays afin que des politiques adaptees puissent etre pensees pour combattre les effets negatifs de la COVID-19 sur l’emploi.
本文分析了发展中国家在家工作的可行性和影响。由于COVID-19大流行,许多州实施了社交距离措施。事实上,可以在家中完成的部分工作将在决定这一时期的经济结果方面发挥重要作用。在这篇文章中,我们将首先表明,可以远程实现的就业比例因国家收入的不同而有很大差异:在贫穷国家的城市地区,这一比例占总数的20%,而在富裕国家则上升到40%。这一比率主要是低收入国家自营职业者普遍存在的结果。我们还将表明,教育水平、正式就业状况和家庭收入水平与远程工作的可能性呈正相关,这反映了某些社会群体的脆弱性。我们注意到迅速确定不同国家的弱势资产的重要性,以便制定适当的政策来应对新冠肺炎对就业的负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
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Revue Internationale de Politique de Developpement
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