首页 > 最新文献

Jurnal Riset Pendidikan Matematika最新文献

英文 中文
Kesulitan siswa SMA dalam menyelesaikan soal matematika pada materi peluang 高中生在概率问题上解决数学问题的困难
Pub Date : 2021-09-30 DOI: 10.21831/JRPM.V8I1.17004
Annisa Fitri, Agus Maman Abadi
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mendeskripsikan jenis kesulitan siswa SMA dalam menyelesaikan soal matematika pada materi peluang di Kabupaten Indragiri Hilir. Penelitian ini termasuk penelitian survei dengan pendekatan kuantitatif dan kualitatif. Sampel penelitian sebanyak 284 siswa SMA kelas XI Program IPA di Kabupaten Indragiri Hilir, Indonesia, yang berasal dari sepuluh sekolah dengan kategori tinggi, sedang, dan rendah. Sampel penelitian ditentukan menggunakan teknik stratified propotional random sampling. Instrumen yang digunakan berupa tes yang telah divalidasi oleh ahli (expert judgement). Kesalahan siswa dijustifikasi berdasarkan Newman’s errors categories. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa jenis kesulitan siswa dalam menyelesaikan soal matematika pada materi peluang yaitu kesulitan memahami masalah (comprehension errors) sebanyak 64,1%; kesulitan melakukan transformasi (transformations errors) sebanyak 71,1%; kesulitan keterampilan proses (processing skill errors) sebanyak 89,4%; dan kesulitan menarik kesimpulan (encoding errors) sebanyak 94%. AbstractThis study aimed to describe the types of difficulties high school students in solving mathematics problems on probability material in Indragiri Hilir Regency. This study includes a survey with quantitative and qualitative approaches. The research sample was 284 eleventh-grade high school students in the science program on Indragiri Hilir Regency, Indonesia, from ten schools with high, medium, and low categories. The research sample was determined using a stratified proportional random sampling technique. The instrument used was a test that has been validated by an expert. Students’ errors were justified based on Newman’s errors categories. The results showed that the types of students’ difficulties in solving mathematics problems on the probability material, namely: difficulty in understanding the problem (comprehension errors) as many as 64.1%; difficulty in making transformations (transformation errors) as many as 71.1%; difficulty in process skill (processing skill errors) as many as 89.4%; and difficulty in concluding (encoding errors) as many as 94%.
本研究旨在描述高中生在下游因德拉吉里区数学上的困难。该研究包括定量和定性方法的调查研究。印度尼西亚Indragiri county高中二年级IPA项目的样本研究,该项目来自10所中级、中级和低级别的学校。研究样本是使用分级技术确定的。专家验证使用的测试工具。学生的错误以纽曼的错误类别为特征。研究结果表明,学生在机会材料上解决数学问题的困难大约是64.1%;"难以用" 71.1%的"工艺技能困难(处理技能errors)共89.4%;很难得出94%的结论。根据这个研究,描述了解决下游潜在材料中可能存在的复杂高中学生的特征。这个研究包括一个量与量和资格的调查。这项研究的样本是印度尼西亚摄取下游摄取项目中284级的高中学生,来自10所高中,中位数,低类别。研究样本采用了一种分级分级技术来确定。使用的工具是一个专家验证过的测试。基于纽曼的错误类别,学生被视为公正的。最近的结果表明,学生在解决可再生物质问题方面的困难有64.1%;和71.1%;技能处理困难如89.4%;定罪的困难有很多,只有94%。
{"title":"Kesulitan siswa SMA dalam menyelesaikan soal matematika pada materi peluang","authors":"Annisa Fitri, Agus Maman Abadi","doi":"10.21831/JRPM.V8I1.17004","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21831/JRPM.V8I1.17004","url":null,"abstract":"Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mendeskripsikan jenis kesulitan siswa SMA dalam menyelesaikan soal matematika pada materi peluang di Kabupaten Indragiri Hilir. Penelitian ini termasuk penelitian survei dengan pendekatan kuantitatif dan kualitatif. Sampel penelitian sebanyak 284 siswa SMA kelas XI Program IPA di Kabupaten Indragiri Hilir, Indonesia, yang berasal dari sepuluh sekolah dengan kategori tinggi, sedang, dan rendah. Sampel penelitian ditentukan menggunakan teknik stratified propotional random sampling. Instrumen yang digunakan berupa tes yang telah divalidasi oleh ahli (expert judgement). Kesalahan siswa dijustifikasi berdasarkan Newman’s errors categories. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa jenis kesulitan siswa dalam menyelesaikan soal matematika pada materi peluang yaitu kesulitan memahami masalah (comprehension errors) sebanyak 64,1%; kesulitan melakukan transformasi (transformations errors) sebanyak 71,1%; kesulitan keterampilan proses (processing skill errors) sebanyak 89,4%; dan kesulitan menarik kesimpulan (encoding errors) sebanyak 94%. AbstractThis study aimed to describe the types of difficulties high school students in solving mathematics problems on probability material in Indragiri Hilir Regency. This study includes a survey with quantitative and qualitative approaches. The research sample was 284 eleventh-grade high school students in the science program on Indragiri Hilir Regency, Indonesia, from ten schools with high, medium, and low categories. The research sample was determined using a stratified proportional random sampling technique. The instrument used was a test that has been validated by an expert. Students’ errors were justified based on Newman’s errors categories. The results showed that the types of students’ difficulties in solving mathematics problems on the probability material, namely: difficulty in understanding the problem (comprehension errors) as many as 64.1%; difficulty in making transformations (transformation errors) as many as 71.1%; difficulty in process skill (processing skill errors) as many as 89.4%; and difficulty in concluding (encoding errors) as many as 94%.","PeriodicalId":31272,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Riset Pendidikan Matematika","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48243379","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Kesalahan siswa dalam menyelesaikan soal operasi bilangan model ujian negara tingkat SMP 学生完成问题操作模型初中水平考试的错误
Pub Date : 2021-09-30 DOI: 10.21831/JRPM.V8I1.16447
Alfha Vionita, H. Hartono
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mendeskripsikan jenis kesalahan siswa dalam menyelesaikan soal operasi bilangan model Ujian Negara (UN) untuk tingkat SMP. Penelitian ini termasuk penelitian survei dengan pendekatan kuantitatif. Survei dilaksanakan pada siswa SMP kelas IX se-Kabupaten Dharmasraya, Indonesia. Sampel penelitian sebanyak 104 siswa dipilih menggunakan teknik stratified propotional random sampling. Instrumen penelitian menggunakan tes diagnostik berupa soal uraian yang dimodifikasi dari soal pilihan ganda pada UN tingkat SMP. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa jenis kesalahan siswa dalam menyelesaikan soal operasi bilangan model UN untuk tingkat SMP yaitu kesalahan membaca (reading erorrs) sebanyak 30%; kesalahan pemahaman (comprehension errors) sebanyak 40%; kesalahan transformasi (transformations errors) sebanyak 83%; kesalahan keterampilan proses (processing skill errors) sebanyak 85%; dan kesalahan menarik kesimpulan (encoding errors) sebanyak 85%. AbstractThis study aimed to describe the types of students’ errors in solving the number operation problem of the state examination (Ujian Negara or UN) model for the junior high school level. This study was a survey with a quantitative approach. The survey was conducted on ninth-grade junior high school stu­dents in Dharmasraya Regency, Indonesia. The number of study samples was 104 students who were selected using the stratified proportional random sam­pling technique. The instrument used was a diagnostic test in the form of an essay problem which was modified from the multiple-choice national exami­nation test at the junior high school level. The results showed that the types of students’ errors in solving the UN model problem on the topic of number ope­rations were: reading errors (30%); comprehension error (40%); transforma­tions errors (83%); processing skill errors (85%); and encoding errors (85%).
本研究旨在描述学生在解决中级国家考试模型操作问题方面的错误类型。该研究包括定量方法的调查研究。调查对象是印度尼西亚达摩苏尔市九年级的学生。多达104名学生采用分层技术选择的研究样本。这项研究的工具使用的是一种诊断测试,即初中阶段的多项选择题的修正描述。研究结果表明,学生在完成中学水平的联合国模型操作问题时所犯的错误为阅读错误(重读erorrs)增加了30%;理解错误(errors)多达40%;共83%的转型错误;工艺技能缺陷(处理技能errors)高达85%;85%的结论都是错误的。根据这项研究,描述学生在解决高中考试问题的严重问题时所表现出来的错误。这个研究是一个量量的调查。调查对象是印度尼西亚达玛拉尔摄行的九年级高中生。研究报告的编号是104名学生,他们选择使用分级分级技术进行评估。过去的仪器是一篇来自初中高年级全国多项选择民族测试的诊断测试。最近的研究表明,在关于数字问题的话题上,学生们错误地解决了联合国的问题:重读错误(30%);复写错误(40%);变压器错误(83%);技能改进(85%);并编码errors(85%)。
{"title":"Kesalahan siswa dalam menyelesaikan soal operasi bilangan model ujian negara tingkat SMP","authors":"Alfha Vionita, H. Hartono","doi":"10.21831/JRPM.V8I1.16447","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21831/JRPM.V8I1.16447","url":null,"abstract":"Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mendeskripsikan jenis kesalahan siswa dalam menyelesaikan soal operasi bilangan model Ujian Negara (UN) untuk tingkat SMP. Penelitian ini termasuk penelitian survei dengan pendekatan kuantitatif. Survei dilaksanakan pada siswa SMP kelas IX se-Kabupaten Dharmasraya, Indonesia. Sampel penelitian sebanyak 104 siswa dipilih menggunakan teknik stratified propotional random sampling. Instrumen penelitian menggunakan tes diagnostik berupa soal uraian yang dimodifikasi dari soal pilihan ganda pada UN tingkat SMP. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa jenis kesalahan siswa dalam menyelesaikan soal operasi bilangan model UN untuk tingkat SMP yaitu kesalahan membaca (reading erorrs) sebanyak 30%; kesalahan pemahaman (comprehension errors) sebanyak 40%; kesalahan transformasi (transformations errors) sebanyak 83%; kesalahan keterampilan proses (processing skill errors) sebanyak 85%; dan kesalahan menarik kesimpulan (encoding errors) sebanyak 85%. AbstractThis study aimed to describe the types of students’ errors in solving the number operation problem of the state examination (Ujian Negara or UN) model for the junior high school level. This study was a survey with a quantitative approach. The survey was conducted on ninth-grade junior high school stu­dents in Dharmasraya Regency, Indonesia. The number of study samples was 104 students who were selected using the stratified proportional random sam­pling technique. The instrument used was a diagnostic test in the form of an essay problem which was modified from the multiple-choice national exami­nation test at the junior high school level. The results showed that the types of students’ errors in solving the UN model problem on the topic of number ope­rations were: reading errors (30%); comprehension error (40%); transforma­tions errors (83%); processing skill errors (85%); and encoding errors (85%).","PeriodicalId":31272,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Riset Pendidikan Matematika","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48408450","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Kemampuan siswa SMP dalam menyelesaikan soal matematika berbasis HOTS 中学生在解决基于HOTS的数学问题方面的能力
Pub Date : 2021-09-30 DOI: 10.21831/JRPM.V8I1.16533
Myelnawan Myelnawan, Wahyu Setyaningrum
Penelitian deskriptif kualitatif ini bertujuan untuk mendeskripsikan kemampuan siswa SMP di Kabupaten Mamuju dalam menyelesaikan soal matematika berbasis Higher Order Thinking Skills (HOTS). Kemampuan siswa dilihat berdasarkan indikator menganalisis, mengevaluasi, dan mencipta. Subjek penelitian adalah 98 siswa SMP di Kabupaten Mamuju, Indonesia, yang berasal dari empat sekolah dengan kategori tinggi. Pengumpulan data menggunakan tes pilihan ganda, tes uraian, dan wawancara untuk menggali informasi lebih mendalam dari siswa. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa secara umum kemampuan siswa SMP di Kabupaten Mamuju dalam menyelesaikan soal matematika berbasis HOTS berada pada kriteria rendah. Persentase siswa yang mampu menjawab soal untuk indikator menganalisis termasuk pada kriteria sedang. Sedangkan, persentase siswa yang mampu menjawab soal untuk indikator mengevaluasi dan mencipta termasuk pada kriteria sangat rendah.AbstractThis qualitative descriptive study aims to describe the ability of junior high school students in Mamuju Regency to solve mathematics problems based on Higher Order Thinking Skills (HOTS). Students’ abilities were seen based on indicators of analyzing, evaluating, and creating. The research subjects were 98 junior high school students from four high-performance schools in Mamuju Regency, Indonesia. Data collection used multiple-choice tests, essay tests, and interviews to dig deeper information from students. The study results revealed that the overall ability of junior high school students in Mamuju Regency in solving mathematics problems based on HOTS was in the low criteria. The percentage of students who could answer questions for analyzing indicators was included in the medium criteria. Meanwhile, the percentage of students who were able to answer questions for indicators of evaluating and creating was included in the very low criteria.
这项定性描述性研究旨在描述马穆朱章节中SMP学生基于高阶思维技能(HOTS)解决数学问题的能力。学生的技能是基于指标分析、评估和创造的。研究对象是来自印度尼西亚马穆朱四所高级学校的98名高中生。数据收集使用双重选择测试、筛选测试和访谈来挖掘比学生更深入的信息。研究表明,马穆朱章节中SMP学生基于HOTS解决数学问题的能力总体上处于低标准。能够回答当前标准中所列分析指标问题的学生百分比。然而,能够回答指标评估和创建问题的学生比例包括非常低的标准。摘要本研究旨在描述马穆朱县初中生基于高阶思维技能(HOTS)解决数学问题的能力。学生的能力是以分析、评估和创造的指标为基础的。研究对象是来自印度尼西亚马穆朱县四所高绩效学校的98名初中生。数据收集使用多项选择题测试、论文测试和访谈来从学生身上挖掘更深层次的信息。研究结果表明,马木居县初中生基于HOTS解决数学问题的整体能力处于较低水平。能够回答指标分析问题的学生比例被纳入中等标准。同时,能够回答评估和创造指标问题的学生比例被纳入了非常低的标准。
{"title":"Kemampuan siswa SMP dalam menyelesaikan soal matematika berbasis HOTS","authors":"Myelnawan Myelnawan, Wahyu Setyaningrum","doi":"10.21831/JRPM.V8I1.16533","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21831/JRPM.V8I1.16533","url":null,"abstract":"Penelitian deskriptif kualitatif ini bertujuan untuk mendeskripsikan kemampuan siswa SMP di Kabupaten Mamuju dalam menyelesaikan soal matematika berbasis Higher Order Thinking Skills (HOTS). Kemampuan siswa dilihat berdasarkan indikator menganalisis, mengevaluasi, dan mencipta. Subjek penelitian adalah 98 siswa SMP di Kabupaten Mamuju, Indonesia, yang berasal dari empat sekolah dengan kategori tinggi. Pengumpulan data menggunakan tes pilihan ganda, tes uraian, dan wawancara untuk menggali informasi lebih mendalam dari siswa. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa secara umum kemampuan siswa SMP di Kabupaten Mamuju dalam menyelesaikan soal matematika berbasis HOTS berada pada kriteria rendah. Persentase siswa yang mampu menjawab soal untuk indikator menganalisis termasuk pada kriteria sedang. Sedangkan, persentase siswa yang mampu menjawab soal untuk indikator mengevaluasi dan mencipta termasuk pada kriteria sangat rendah.AbstractThis qualitative descriptive study aims to describe the ability of junior high school students in Mamuju Regency to solve mathematics problems based on Higher Order Thinking Skills (HOTS). Students’ abilities were seen based on indicators of analyzing, evaluating, and creating. The research subjects were 98 junior high school students from four high-performance schools in Mamuju Regency, Indonesia. Data collection used multiple-choice tests, essay tests, and interviews to dig deeper information from students. The study results revealed that the overall ability of junior high school students in Mamuju Regency in solving mathematics problems based on HOTS was in the low criteria. The percentage of students who could answer questions for analyzing indicators was included in the medium criteria. Meanwhile, the percentage of students who were able to answer questions for indicators of evaluating and creating was included in the very low criteria.","PeriodicalId":31272,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Riset Pendidikan Matematika","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42604605","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Enhancing primary school students' competencies in step by step controllable argumentation using a new learning environment 利用新的学习环境循序渐进地提高小学生的能力
Pub Date : 2021-09-16 DOI: 10.21831/JRPM.V8I1.35322
D. Ate
For the goal of raising the mathematical performance of students, the quality of teaching has to be improved in the direction that critical thinking and a step-by-step controllable argumentation have to be established. Metacognitive activities of teachers and students can support this. The goal of the design research presented in this paper is to show how metacognitive activities in classroom discussions can be fostered and the mechanisms can be uncovered. For this purpose, on the one hand, a new learning environment - designed for learning addition and subtraction of integers in grade four – has been created. On the other hand, the teacher and the students have been consequently educated to practice new behavior during the lessons. This pilot study is carried out in Sumba, in a regular class, grade four, consisting of 28 students. The lessons had been video graphed; selected pieces of the public discussions have been transcribed. Teacher’s and learners’ utterances and their interplay have been classified using a particular coding system developed for those purposes. The pattern of classifications has been the basis for interpreting the metacognitive-discursive learning culture. One result of the study is that students even in grade four accept such a learning environment; they practice inventing and analyzing strategies in this field of algebra as it would be a game with step-by-step controllable argumentations. After that, an astonishingly short time of educating students to practice metacognitive activities, both in oral discussions as well as in written answers to relevant formulated questions.
为了提高学生的数学成绩,必须朝着建立批判性思维和循序渐进的可控论证的方向提高教学质量。教师和学生的元认知活动可以支持这一点。本文提出的设计研究的目的是展示如何在课堂讨论中培养元认知活动,并揭示其机制。为此,一方面,为四年级学习整数加减法创造了一个新的学习环境。另一方面,教师和学生因此受到教育,在课堂上练习新的行为。这项试点研究在Sumba四年级的一个普通班进行,共有28名学生。课程已经被录像下来;选定的公开讨论内容已被转录。教师和学习者的话语及其相互作用已经使用为这些目的开发的特定编码系统进行了分类。分类模式是解释元认知话语学习文化的基础。研究的一个结果是,即使是四年级的学生也接受这样的学习环境;他们在代数领域练习发明和分析策略,因为这将是一场循序渐进、可控的辩论游戏。在那之后,无论是在口头讨论中还是在对相关问题的书面回答中,教育学生练习元认知活动的时间都短得惊人。
{"title":"Enhancing primary school students' competencies in step by step controllable argumentation using a new learning environment","authors":"D. Ate","doi":"10.21831/JRPM.V8I1.35322","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21831/JRPM.V8I1.35322","url":null,"abstract":"For the goal of raising the mathematical performance of students, the quality of teaching has to be improved in the direction that critical thinking and a step-by-step controllable argumentation have to be established. Metacognitive activities of teachers and students can support this. The goal of the design research presented in this paper is to show how metacognitive activities in classroom discussions can be fostered and the mechanisms can be uncovered. For this purpose, on the one hand, a new learning environment - designed for learning addition and subtraction of integers in grade four – has been created. On the other hand, the teacher and the students have been consequently educated to practice new behavior during the lessons. This pilot study is carried out in Sumba, in a regular class, grade four, consisting of 28 students. The lessons had been video graphed; selected pieces of the public discussions have been transcribed. Teacher’s and learners’ utterances and their interplay have been classified using a particular coding system developed for those purposes. The pattern of classifications has been the basis for interpreting the metacognitive-discursive learning culture. One result of the study is that students even in grade four accept such a learning environment; they practice inventing and analyzing strategies in this field of algebra as it would be a game with step-by-step controllable argumentations. After that, an astonishingly short time of educating students to practice metacognitive activities, both in oral discussions as well as in written answers to relevant formulated questions.","PeriodicalId":31272,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Riset Pendidikan Matematika","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49500783","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prediksi Curah Hujan di Kota Bandung Menggunakan Model Logika Fuzzy Time Series 万隆降雨预测使用模糊时代逻辑系列模型
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.29313/.V0I0.30832
Dinda Salsabilla Nur Aliana
Rainfall prediction is useful for life activities, such as public safety, agricultural prodaction, animal husbandry, fisheries, aviation, etc. This study aims to determine the prediction of rainfall in Bandung using the Fuzzy Time Series Logic model and its level of accuracy using Mean Absolute Error (MAE). The rainfall data in January 2010-December 2019 from BMKG was used to build the model and predict the rainfall in January 2020. Based on the results, the predicted rainfall in January 2020 is 225mm or moderate rainfall. The error using MAE is 3.848583 mm. The error shows that the prediction value using Fuzzy Time Series Logic is less accurate which may be caused by several factors, such as the raw data have error and missing values so that the data is not normally distributed, also the occurrence of El Nino and La Nina in 2015, 2016 and 2019. Informasi prediksi curah hujan diperlukan bagi berbagai macam aktivitas kehidupan, seperti keselamatan masyarakat, produksi pertanian, peternakan, perikanan, penerbangan dan lain sebagainya. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui proses penerapan dalam memprediksi curah hujan di Kota Bandung dan tingkat akurasi model Logika Fuzzy Time Series dalam memprediksi curah hujan di Kota Bandung menggunakan Mean Absolute Error (MAE).  Data yang digunakan adalah data curah hujan Januari 2010-Desember 2019 yang berasal dari BMKG. Berdasarkan hasil analisis prediksi curah hujan Kota Bandung menggunakan Logika Fuzzy Time Series, nilai prediksi curah hujan Januari 2020 sebesar 225mm atau akan terjadi hujan menengah (sedang) nilai error menggunakan MAE sebesar MAE = 3,848583. Nilai error yang dihasilkan menunjukkan bahwa nilai prediksi menggunakan Logika Fuzzy Time Series kurang akurat dikarenakan terdapat beberapa faktor yang mempengaruhi seperti banyaknya data yang bernilai error dan tidak tercatat sehingga data tidak berdistribusi normal, peristiwa El Nino dan La Nina pada tahun 2015, 2016 dan 2019
降雨预报对公共安全、农业生产、畜牧业、渔业、航空等生活活动都很有用。本研究旨在利用模糊时间序列逻辑模型预测万隆市降雨,并利用平均绝对误差(MAE)确定其精度水平。利用BMKG 2010年1月至2019年12月的降水数据建立模型,对2020年1月的降水进行预测。据此预测,2020年1月降水量为225毫米或中等。使用MAE的误差为3.848583 mm。误差表明模糊时间序列逻辑的预测值精度较低,这可能是由于原始数据存在误差和缺失值导致数据非正态分布,以及2015年、2016年和2019年发生了El Nino和La Nina等因素造成的。Informasi prediksi curah hujan diperlukan bagi berbagai macam aktivitas kehidupan, seperti keselamatan masyarakat, produksi pertanian, peternakan, perikanan, penerbangan dan lain sebagainya。loggika模糊时间序列dalam memprediksi curah hujan di Kota Bandung menggunakan平均绝对误差(MAE)。数据yang digunakan adalah数据curah hujan 2010年1月- 2019年12月yang berasal dari BMKG。Berdasarkan hasil分析prediksi curah hujan Kota万龙蒙古纳坎Logika模糊时间序列,nilai prediksi curah hujan jan jan 1月2020 sebesar 225mm atau akan terjadi hujan menengah (sedang) nilai误差蒙古纳坎MAE sebesar MAE = 3,848583。Nilai误差yang dihasilkan menunjukkan bahwa Nilai prediksi menggunakan Logika模糊时间序列kurang akurat dikarenakan terdapat beberapa faktor yang mempengaruhi seperti banyaknya数据yang bernilai误差dan tidak tercatat sehinga数据tidak分布业务正态,预测2015年、2016年和2019年厄尔尼诺和拉尼娜现象
{"title":"Prediksi Curah Hujan di Kota Bandung Menggunakan Model Logika Fuzzy Time Series","authors":"Dinda Salsabilla Nur Aliana","doi":"10.29313/.V0I0.30832","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.29313/.V0I0.30832","url":null,"abstract":"Rainfall prediction is useful for life activities, such as public safety, agricultural prodaction, animal husbandry, fisheries, aviation, etc. This study aims to determine the prediction of rainfall in Bandung using the Fuzzy Time Series Logic model and its level of accuracy using Mean Absolute Error (MAE). The rainfall data in January 2010-December 2019 from BMKG was used to build the model and predict the rainfall in January 2020. Based on the results, the predicted rainfall in January 2020 is 225mm or moderate rainfall. The error using MAE is 3.848583 mm. The error shows that the prediction value using Fuzzy Time Series Logic is less accurate which may be caused by several factors, such as the raw data have error and missing values so that the data is not normally distributed, also the occurrence of El Nino and La Nina in 2015, 2016 and 2019. \u0000Informasi prediksi curah hujan diperlukan bagi berbagai macam aktivitas kehidupan, seperti keselamatan masyarakat, produksi pertanian, peternakan, perikanan, penerbangan dan lain sebagainya. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui proses penerapan dalam memprediksi curah hujan di Kota Bandung dan tingkat akurasi model Logika Fuzzy Time Series dalam memprediksi curah hujan di Kota Bandung menggunakan Mean Absolute Error (MAE).  Data yang digunakan adalah data curah hujan Januari 2010-Desember 2019 yang berasal dari BMKG. Berdasarkan hasil analisis prediksi curah hujan Kota Bandung menggunakan Logika Fuzzy Time Series, nilai prediksi curah hujan Januari 2020 sebesar 225mm atau akan terjadi hujan menengah (sedang) nilai error menggunakan MAE sebesar MAE = 3,848583. Nilai error yang dihasilkan menunjukkan bahwa nilai prediksi menggunakan Logika Fuzzy Time Series kurang akurat dikarenakan terdapat beberapa faktor yang mempengaruhi seperti banyaknya data yang bernilai error dan tidak tercatat sehingga data tidak berdistribusi normal, peristiwa El Nino dan La Nina pada tahun 2015, 2016 dan 2019","PeriodicalId":31272,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Riset Pendidikan Matematika","volume":"70 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-08-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"86120798","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Pemodelan Box-Jenkins dan Exponential Smoothing untuk Prediksi Pengunjung Daerah Wisata Sayang Ka’ak Ciamis 博克斯-詹金斯的建模和exponal平滑的东西,对于亲爱的卡克恰米斯游客的预测
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.29313/.V0I0.30688
Devilia Rahmawati
Abstract. Tourism is an inseparable part of human life. Various potential tourism objects that have been developed are natural tourism potentials, which are mostly owned by developing countries, including Indonesia. Forecasting foreign tourist arrivals is very important for the government and industry, because forecasting is the basis for effective policy planning, just as a tourist attraction called Wana Wisata Grand Sayang Kaak Ciamis needs an important tool in planning in order to take the right action. This article discusses the formation of models and forecasting the number of tourist visits at Wana Wisata Grand Sayang Ka'ak Ciamis, using the Box Jenkins method and the Double Exponential Smoothing method. The data of visitors to dear ka'ak ciamis tourism area has non-stationary characteristics. The results of the modeling of the two methods show that the Exponential Smoothing method is better (with an error of 7.77%) than the Box-Jenkins (with an error of 9.90%). Forecasting results using the Double Exponential Smoothing method in the 15th to 19th week as many as 192.172, 152, 131, 111 visitors. Abstrak. Pariwisata merupakan bagian yang tidak terpisahkan dari kehidupan manusia. Berbagai potensi objek wisata yang dikembangakan adalah potensi wisata alam yang sebagian besar dimiliki oleh negara-negara berkembang termasuk Indonesia. Peramalan kunjungan wisatawan mancanegara sangat penting bagi pemerintah dan industri, karena peramalan menjadi dasar dalam perencanaan kebijakan yang efektif, Seperti halnya objek wisata yang bernama Wana Wisata Grand Sayang Kaak Ciamis membutuhkan alat bantu yang penting dalam suatu perencanaan agar dapat mengambil suatu tindakan yang tepat. Artikel ini membahas tentang pembentukan model dan peramalan jumlah kunjungan wisata pada Wana Wisata Grand Sayang Ka’ak Ciamis, dengan menggunakan metode Box Jenkins dan metode Double Exponential Smoothing. Data pengunjung wana wisata sayang ka’ak ciamis memiliki karakteristik yang non stasioner. Hasil pemodelan kedua metode menunjukan bahwa metode Exponential Smoothing lebih baik (dengan error 7,77%) daripada Box-Jenkins (dengan error 9,90%). Hasil peramalan dengan metode Double Exponential Smoothing pada minggu ke 15 sampai dengan ke 19 sebanyak 192,172, 152, 131, 111 pengunjung.
摘要旅游是人类生活不可分割的一部分。已开发的各种潜在旅游对象都是自然旅游潜力,这些潜力大多为发展中国家所拥有,包括印度尼西亚。预测外国游客人数对政府和行业来说非常重要,因为预测是有效政策规划的基础,就像一个名为Wana Wisata Grand Sayang Kaak Ciamis的旅游景点需要一个重要的规划工具,以便采取正确的行动。本文采用Box Jenkins方法和双指数平滑法,探讨了Wana Wisata Grand Sayang Ka’ak Ciamis旅游客流量模型的建立和预测。dear ka’ak火锅旅游区游客数据具有非平稳特征。两种方法的建模结果表明,指数平滑法的建模误差为7.77%,优于Box-Jenkins法的建模误差为9.90%。采用双指数平滑法预测第15 ~ 19周的访问量分别为192.172、152、131、111人次。Abstrak。Pariwisata merupakan bagian yang tidak terpisahkan dari kehidupan manusia。印度尼西亚,印度尼西亚,印度尼西亚,印度尼西亚,印度尼西亚,印度尼西亚。Peramalan kunjungan wisatawan mancanegara sangat penting bagi peremintah danindustri, karena Peramalan menjadi dasar dalam perencananan kebijakan yang efektif, perperti halnya objek wisa yang Wana Grand Sayang Kaak Ciamis membutuhkan altutu yang pencham suatu perencanan agar dapat mengambil suatu tindakan yang tepat。Artikel ini membahas tentang pembentukan模型dan peramalan jumlah kunjungan wisata pada Wana wisata Grand Sayang Ka’ak Ciamis, dengan menggunakan方法Box Jenkins dan方法双指数平滑。数据pengunjung wana wisata sayang ka 'ak ciamis memoriliki karakteristik yang non - stusier。Hasil pemodelan kedua方法menunjukan bahwa方法指数平滑lebih baik(登干误差7,77%)daripada Box-Jenkins(登干误差9,90%)。Hasil peramalan dengan方法双指数平滑pada minggu ke 15 sampai dengan ke 19 sebanyak 192,172,152,131,111 pengunjung。
{"title":"Pemodelan Box-Jenkins dan Exponential Smoothing untuk Prediksi Pengunjung Daerah Wisata Sayang Ka’ak Ciamis","authors":"Devilia Rahmawati","doi":"10.29313/.V0I0.30688","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.29313/.V0I0.30688","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Tourism is an inseparable part of human life. Various potential tourism objects that have been developed are natural tourism potentials, which are mostly owned by developing countries, including Indonesia. Forecasting foreign tourist arrivals is very important for the government and industry, because forecasting is the basis for effective policy planning, just as a tourist attraction called Wana Wisata Grand Sayang Kaak Ciamis needs an important tool in planning in order to take the right action. This article discusses the formation of models and forecasting the number of tourist visits at Wana Wisata Grand Sayang Ka'ak Ciamis, using the Box Jenkins method and the Double Exponential Smoothing method. The data of visitors to dear ka'ak ciamis tourism area has non-stationary characteristics. The results of the modeling of the two methods show that the Exponential Smoothing method is better (with an error of 7.77%) than the Box-Jenkins (with an error of 9.90%). Forecasting results using the Double Exponential Smoothing method in the 15th to 19th week as many as 192.172, 152, 131, 111 visitors. \u0000Abstrak. Pariwisata merupakan bagian yang tidak terpisahkan dari kehidupan manusia. Berbagai potensi objek wisata yang dikembangakan adalah potensi wisata alam yang sebagian besar dimiliki oleh negara-negara berkembang termasuk Indonesia. Peramalan kunjungan wisatawan mancanegara sangat penting bagi pemerintah dan industri, karena peramalan menjadi dasar dalam perencanaan kebijakan yang efektif, Seperti halnya objek wisata yang bernama Wana Wisata Grand Sayang Kaak Ciamis membutuhkan alat bantu yang penting dalam suatu perencanaan agar dapat mengambil suatu tindakan yang tepat. Artikel ini membahas tentang pembentukan model dan peramalan jumlah kunjungan wisata pada Wana Wisata Grand Sayang Ka’ak Ciamis, dengan menggunakan metode Box Jenkins dan metode Double Exponential Smoothing. Data pengunjung wana wisata sayang ka’ak ciamis memiliki karakteristik yang non stasioner. Hasil pemodelan kedua metode menunjukan bahwa metode Exponential Smoothing lebih baik (dengan error 7,77%) daripada Box-Jenkins (dengan error 9,90%). Hasil peramalan dengan metode Double Exponential Smoothing pada minggu ke 15 sampai dengan ke 19 sebanyak 192,172, 152, 131, 111 pengunjung.","PeriodicalId":31272,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Riset Pendidikan Matematika","volume":"66 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-08-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"75925174","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Analisis Regresi Data Panel Pengaruh PDRB, Indeks Pembangunan Manusia, dan Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka terhadap Jumlah Kemiskinan di Kabupaten/Kota di Jawa Barat pada Tahun 2013-2020
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.29313/.V0I0.30896
S. Fitria, Didi Suhaedi, Yurika Permanasari
Abstract. Economic development in Indonesia is currently facing the problem of poverty. One indicator of the success of the implementation of development that can be used as a benchmark at a macro level is economic growth. Regional economic growth can be reflected in changes in Gross Regional Domestic Product in a region. In this development, humans are used as the main source of wealth in a country. This makes the Human Development Index measure the achievement of human development based on a number of basic components of quality of life. Development is carried out to realize community prosperity through economic development in overcoming various development and social problems such as unemployment. Increasing economic growth means that the production of goods/services produced will increase. The best solution in solving the problem of poverty by analyzing the influence of GRDP, HDI, and TPT on the amount of poverty in the Regency/City of West Java Province in 2013-2020. The Panel Data Regression method is used as an analytical tool in the study, by selecting the Fixed Effect Model, it shows that the GRDP, HDI, and TPT variables have a positive and significant effect on the number of poverty in districts/cities in West Java Province. Abstrak. Pembangunan ekonomi di Indonesia saat ini sedang dihadapkan pada masalah kemiskinan. Salah satu indikator keberhasilan pelaksanaan pembangunan yang dapat dijadikan tolak ukur secara makro adalah pertumbuhan ekonomi. Pertumbuhan ekonomi daerah dapat dicerminkan dari perubahan Produk Domestik Regional Bruto dalam suatu wilayah. Dalam pembangunan tersebut manusia dijadikan sumber kekayaan utama dalam suatu negara. Hal ini menjadikan Indeks Pembangunan Manusia mengukur capaian pembangunan manusia berbasis sejumlah komponen dasar kualitas hidup. Pembangunan dilakukan untuk mewujudkan kemakmuran masyarakat melalui pengembangan perekonomian dalam mengatasi berbagai permasalahan pembangunan dan sosial kemasyarakatan seperti pengangguran. Pertumbuhan ekonomi yang semakin meningkat berarti produksi barang/jasa yang dihasilkan akan meningkat. Solusi terbaik dalam pemecahan masalah kemiskinan dengan menganalisis pengaruh PDRB, IPM, dan TPT terhadap jumlah kemiskinan di Kabupaten/Kota Provinsi Jawa Barat pada Tahun 2013-2020. Metode Regresi Data Panel digunakan sebagai alat analisis dalam penelitian, dengan memilih Fixed Effect Model menunjukkan variabel PDRB, IPM, dan TPT berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap jumlah kemiskinan Kabupaten/Kota di Provinsi Jawa Barat.
摘要。印尼的经济发展目前面临着贫困问题。经济增长是成功执行发展的一个指标,可以作为宏观一级的基准。区域经济增长可以反映在区域国内生产总值的变化上。在这种发展中,人类被用作一个国家财富的主要来源。这使得人类发展指数根据生活质量的若干基本组成部分来衡量人类发展的成就。发展是在克服失业等各种发展和社会问题中,通过经济发展实现社区繁荣。经济增长的增加意味着所生产的商品/服务将会增加。通过分析2013-2020年西爪哇省GRDP、HDI和TPT对贫困量的影响,找到解决贫困问题的最佳方案。本研究采用面板数据回归方法作为分析工具,通过选择固定效应模型,发现GRDP、HDI和TPT变量对西爪哇省各区(市)贫困人口数量有显著的正向影响。Abstrak。Pembangunan economi di Indonesia saat ini sedang dihadapkan padmasalah kemiskinan。萨拉赫图指标keberhasilan pelaksanaan pembangunan yang dapat dijadikan tolak ukur secara makro adala马来西亚经济。Pertumbuhan的翻译是:Pertumbuhan的翻译是:Pertumbuhan的翻译是:Pertumbuhan的翻译是:Pertumbuhan的翻译是:我是说,我是说,我是说,我是说,我是说,我是说,我是说,我是说,我是说,我是说,我是说。哈尔尼·曼加迪坎(Hal ini menjadikan Indeks),彭邦古南·曼加库尔(penbangunan),彭邦古南·曼加库尔(penbangunan),彭邦古南·曼加库尔(sejumlah komponen dasar kualitas hidup)。彭邦邦南是一名高级经济学家,是一名高级经济学家。彭邦邦南是一名高级经济学家。Pertumbuhan经济部门yang semakin mengkat berarti producksi barang/jasa yang dihasilkan akan mengkat。2013-2020年,爪哇巴拉达省,爪哇巴拉达省,爪哇巴拉达省,爪哇巴拉达省。方法回归数据面板digunakan sebagai alat分析dalam penelitian, dengan memilie固定效应模型menunjukkan变量PDRB, IPM,和TPT berpengaru正但显著性(positive dan significance), kemiskinan Kabupaten/Kota di省爪哇巴拉。
{"title":"Analisis Regresi Data Panel Pengaruh PDRB, Indeks Pembangunan Manusia, dan Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka terhadap Jumlah Kemiskinan di Kabupaten/Kota di Jawa Barat pada Tahun 2013-2020","authors":"S. Fitria, Didi Suhaedi, Yurika Permanasari","doi":"10.29313/.V0I0.30896","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.29313/.V0I0.30896","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Economic development in Indonesia is currently facing the problem of poverty. One indicator of the success of the implementation of development that can be used as a benchmark at a macro level is economic growth. Regional economic growth can be reflected in changes in Gross Regional Domestic Product in a region. In this development, humans are used as the main source of wealth in a country. This makes the Human Development Index measure the achievement of human development based on a number of basic components of quality of life. Development is carried out to realize community prosperity through economic development in overcoming various development and social problems such as unemployment. Increasing economic growth means that the production of goods/services produced will increase. The best solution in solving the problem of poverty by analyzing the influence of GRDP, HDI, and TPT on the amount of poverty in the Regency/City of West Java Province in 2013-2020. The Panel Data Regression method is used as an analytical tool in the study, by selecting the Fixed Effect Model, it shows that the GRDP, HDI, and TPT variables have a positive and significant effect on the number of poverty in districts/cities in West Java Province. \u0000Abstrak. Pembangunan ekonomi di Indonesia saat ini sedang dihadapkan pada masalah kemiskinan. Salah satu indikator keberhasilan pelaksanaan pembangunan yang dapat dijadikan tolak ukur secara makro adalah pertumbuhan ekonomi. Pertumbuhan ekonomi daerah dapat dicerminkan dari perubahan Produk Domestik Regional Bruto dalam suatu wilayah. Dalam pembangunan tersebut manusia dijadikan sumber kekayaan utama dalam suatu negara. Hal ini menjadikan Indeks Pembangunan Manusia mengukur capaian pembangunan manusia berbasis sejumlah komponen dasar kualitas hidup. Pembangunan dilakukan untuk mewujudkan kemakmuran masyarakat melalui pengembangan perekonomian dalam mengatasi berbagai permasalahan pembangunan dan sosial kemasyarakatan seperti pengangguran. Pertumbuhan ekonomi yang semakin meningkat berarti produksi barang/jasa yang dihasilkan akan meningkat. Solusi terbaik dalam pemecahan masalah kemiskinan dengan menganalisis pengaruh PDRB, IPM, dan TPT terhadap jumlah kemiskinan di Kabupaten/Kota Provinsi Jawa Barat pada Tahun 2013-2020. Metode Regresi Data Panel digunakan sebagai alat analisis dalam penelitian, dengan memilih Fixed Effect Model menunjukkan variabel PDRB, IPM, dan TPT berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap jumlah kemiskinan Kabupaten/Kota di Provinsi Jawa Barat.","PeriodicalId":31272,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Riset Pendidikan Matematika","volume":"10 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-08-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"87842200","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Penggunaan Regresi Data Panel pada Analisis Indeks Pembangunan Manusia
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.29313/.V0I0.30666
Limah Olivia Alviani, Eti Kurniati, F. Badruzzaman
Abstract. Human development index is important component to measure the success level in effort to improve the human life quality. This index has three dimensions, they are called the dimensions of health, the dimensions of education, and the dimensions of decent living standards. The health dimension is measured by using life expectancy. The education dimension is measured by using the expected length of schooling and the average length of schooling. Meanwhile, the standard of living is measured using real per capita expenditure in rupiah. This study aims to find the cause that affects the human development index, and the best model is using panel data as a regression method. The results shown that the human development index is influenced by life expectancy, long school expectations, average length of schooling and per capita expenditure. The model used in this study is named fixed effect model with a coefficient of determination of 99.99%, which means that this model is good enough to be used. Abstrak. Indeks pembangunan manusia yaitu salah satu komponen penting untuk mengukur tingkat keberhasilan dalam upaya meningkatkan kualitas hidup manusia. Indeks pembangunan manusia dibangun dengan tiga dimensi yaitu dimensi kesehatan, dimensi pendidikan serta dimensi standar layak hidup. Dimensi kesehatan diukur menggunakan angka harapan hidup. Dimensi pendidikan diukur menggunakan harapan lama sekolah dan rata-rata lama sekolah. Sedangkan dimensi standar layak hidup diukur menggunakan pengeluaran per kapita riil dalam rupiah. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mencari faktor yang mempengaruhi indeks pembangunan manusia dan model yang terbaik menggunakan metode regresi data panel. Hasil yang diperoleh yaitu indeks pembangunan manusia dipengaruhi oleh angka harapan hidup, harapan lama sekolah, rata-rata lama sekolah dan pengeluaran per kapita. Model yang digunakan pada penelitian ini yaitu fixed effect model dengan nilai koefisien determinasinya sebesar 99,99% yang berarti model ini baik di gunakan.
摘要。人类发展指数是衡量提高人类生活质量成功程度的重要组成部分。该指数有三个维度,分别是健康维度、教育维度和体面生活水平维度。健康方面用预期寿命来衡量。教育维度是通过使用预期学习时间和平均学习时间来衡量的。同时,生活水平是用印尼盾的实际人均支出来衡量的。本研究旨在寻找影响人类发展指数的原因,最好的模型是使用面板数据作为回归方法。结果表明,人的发展指数受预期寿命、预期学龄、平均学龄和人均支出的影响。本研究中使用的模型被命名为固定效应模型,其决定系数为99.99%,这意味着该模型足够好,可以使用。Abstrak。索引:彭邦古南文献,yititsalah, yititsalah, komponen, penpenen, mengukur, tingkat, keberhasilan, dalam, upaya, menkukkan, kualitas, hidup,文献。指标:彭邦邦安、迪邦邦安、邓邦安、迪邦邦安、迪邦邦安、迪邦邦安、迪邦邦安、迪邦邦安、迪邦邦安、迪邦邦安、迪邦邦安、迪邦邦安、迪邦邦安、迪邦邦安、迪邦邦安、迪邦邦安、迪邦邦安、迪邦邦安。尺寸:尺寸:尺寸:尺寸:尺寸:尺寸:尺寸:尺寸:尺寸维度:pendidikan diukur menggunakan harapan lama sekolah dan rata-rata lama sekolah。Sedangkan尺寸标准layak hidup diukur menggunakan peneluaran人均riil dalam印尼盾。Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menari factor for yang mempengaruhi index . pembangunan manuia dan模型yang terbaik menggunakan方法回归数据面板。Hasil yang diperoleh yitu索引pembangunan manusia dipengaruhi oleh angka harapan hidup, harapan lama sekolah, rata-rata lama sekolah dan peneluaran per kapita。模型yang diunakan patada penelitian ini yitu固定效应模型dengan nilai koefisien决定性在sebesar 99,99% yang berarti模型ini baik digunakan。
{"title":"Penggunaan Regresi Data Panel pada Analisis Indeks Pembangunan Manusia","authors":"Limah Olivia Alviani, Eti Kurniati, F. Badruzzaman","doi":"10.29313/.V0I0.30666","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.29313/.V0I0.30666","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Human development index is important component to measure the success level in effort to improve the human life quality. This index has three dimensions, they are called the dimensions of health, the dimensions of education, and the dimensions of decent living standards. The health dimension is measured by using life expectancy. The education dimension is measured by using the expected length of schooling and the average length of schooling. Meanwhile, the standard of living is measured using real per capita expenditure in rupiah. This study aims to find the cause that affects the human development index, and the best model is using panel data as a regression method. The results shown that the human development index is influenced by life expectancy, long school expectations, average length of schooling and per capita expenditure. The model used in this study is named fixed effect model with a coefficient of determination of 99.99%, which means that this model is good enough to be used. \u0000Abstrak. Indeks pembangunan manusia yaitu salah satu komponen penting untuk mengukur tingkat keberhasilan dalam upaya meningkatkan kualitas hidup manusia. Indeks pembangunan manusia dibangun dengan tiga dimensi yaitu dimensi kesehatan, dimensi pendidikan serta dimensi standar layak hidup. Dimensi kesehatan diukur menggunakan angka harapan hidup. Dimensi pendidikan diukur menggunakan harapan lama sekolah dan rata-rata lama sekolah. Sedangkan dimensi standar layak hidup diukur menggunakan pengeluaran per kapita riil dalam rupiah. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mencari faktor yang mempengaruhi indeks pembangunan manusia dan model yang terbaik menggunakan metode regresi data panel. Hasil yang diperoleh yaitu indeks pembangunan manusia dipengaruhi oleh angka harapan hidup, harapan lama sekolah, rata-rata lama sekolah dan pengeluaran per kapita. Model yang digunakan pada penelitian ini yaitu fixed effect model dengan nilai koefisien determinasinya sebesar 99,99% yang berarti model ini baik di gunakan.","PeriodicalId":31272,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Riset Pendidikan Matematika","volume":"6 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-08-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"82953871","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Optimasi Produksi Buis Beton Menggunakan Model De Novo Programming pada Sakti Beton Jaya Mandiri Buis的生产优化使用了denovo模型在自力更生的优质混凝土上的编程
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.29313/.V0I0.30617
Resqy Sellva Budianti, Y. Ramdani, R. Respitawulan
Sakti Beton Jaya Mandiri is an industry that provides various types of construction materials, one of which is the manufacture of concrete buis. There are seven types of buis concrete produced. The raw materials used in the manufacture of buis concrete are sand, cement and water. When producing concrete buis, sometimes there is an excess or residual raw material, which caused by the inaccurate calculation of the raw material requirements. The aim of this paper is to optimize the production of concrete buis according to the available resources so that there are no residues. De Novo programming model is used and then formulated into a linear programming model using the simplex method. The calculation results the optimum numbers of production are 216 buis concrete type 20, 238 buis concrete type 30, 142 buis concrete type 40, 130 buis concrete type 50, 112 buis concrete type 60, 125 buis concrete type 80, and 150 buis concrete type 100 with total production profit in March 2021 of Rp. 47,685,060.58. Sakti Beton Jaya Mandiri merupakan industri penyedia berbagai jenis material konstruksi salah satunya pembuatan buis beton. Terdapat tujuh jenis tipe buis beton yang diproduksi. Bahan baku yang digunakan dalam pembuatan buis beton yaitu pasir, semen dan air. Saat memproduksi buis beton terkadang terjadi kelebihan atau sisa bahan baku yang penyebabnya diperkirakan pada kurang tepatnya memperhitungkan kebutuhan bahan baku, sedangkan dalam pembuatan beton terdapat spesifikasi tertentu yang harus terpenuhi sehingga diupayakan agar tidak adanya sisa bahan baku saat proses produksi. Diperlukan optimasi produksi buis beton sesuai dengan sumber daya yang tersedia agar tidak terdapat sisa, digunakan model de novo programming kemudian diformulasikan ke dalam model linear programming dengan metode simpleks. Hasil perhitungan diperoleh jumlah masing-masing produk buis beton diantaranya buis beton tipe 20 sebanyak 216, buis beton tipe 30 sebanyak 238, buis beton tipe 40 sebanyak 142, buis beton tipe 50 sebanyak 130, buis beton tipe 60 sebanyak 112, buis beton tipe 80 sebanyak 125 dan buis beton tipe 100 sebanyak 150 dengan total keuntungan produksi pada bulan Maret 2021 yaitu Rp. 47.685.060,58. Penggunaan model de novo programming dapat mengoptimalkan bahan baku yang tersedia sehingga diharapkan mampu memenuhi spesifikasi produk buis beton yang telah ditetapkan dan keuntungan yang diperoleh maksimum.
Sakti Beton Jaya Mandiri是一个提供各种建筑材料的行业,其中之一是混凝土建筑的制造。生产的建筑混凝土有七种类型。用于制造建筑混凝土的原材料是沙子、水泥和水。在生产混凝土建筑物时,有时会出现原料过剩或残留,这是由于原料需求计算不准确造成的。本文的目的是根据现有资源优化混凝土建筑的生产,使其无残留物。首先采用从头规划模型,然后利用单纯形法将其转化为线性规划模型。计算结果:最佳生产数量为20型混凝土216台、30型混凝土238台、40型混凝土142台、50型混凝土130台、60型混凝土112台、80型混凝土125台、100型混凝土150台,2021年3月生产总利润47,685,060.58元。Sakti Beton Jaya Mandiri merupakan工业penyedia berbagai jenis材料konstruksi salah satunya pembuatan商业Beton。Terdapat tujuh jeni是一种类型的企业,主要是yang diduksi。Bahan baku yang digunakan dalam pembuatan bubeon yitu pasir,精液dan air。Saat memproduckksi buis - terkadang terjadi kelebihan atau - sisa bahan baku - penyebabnya - dperkirakan - dperkurang - tepatnya - perhitungkan kebutuhan bahanbaku, sedangkan dalam pembuatan - tertentu - yang harus terpenuhi sehinga - diupayakan agar tidak adanya sisa bahanbaku Saat加工产品。Diperlukan最优产品构建在sessuai dengan数daya yang中,Diperlukan模型重新规划kemudian diformulaskan模型线性规划dengan方法简单。Hasil perhitungan diperperoleh jumlah - masing-masing产品bubukk216, bubukk238, bubukk40, bubuk142, bubuk50, bubuk130, bubuk60, bubuk112, bubuk80, bubuk125, bubuk100, bubuk150等,共keuntunan产品,bubukpanan市场2021年,yitu Rp. 47.685.060,58。彭古南模型新编程设计,新编程,新编程,新编程,新编程,新编程,新编程,新编程,新编程,新编程,新编程,新编程,新编程,新编程,新编程,新编程,新编程,新编程,新编程
{"title":"Optimasi Produksi Buis Beton Menggunakan Model De Novo Programming pada Sakti Beton Jaya Mandiri","authors":"Resqy Sellva Budianti, Y. Ramdani, R. Respitawulan","doi":"10.29313/.V0I0.30617","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.29313/.V0I0.30617","url":null,"abstract":"Sakti Beton Jaya Mandiri is an industry that provides various types of construction materials, one of which is the manufacture of concrete buis. There are seven types of buis concrete produced. The raw materials used in the manufacture of buis concrete are sand, cement and water. When producing concrete buis, sometimes there is an excess or residual raw material, which caused by the inaccurate calculation of the raw material requirements. The aim of this paper is to optimize the production of concrete buis according to the available resources so that there are no residues. De Novo programming model is used and then formulated into a linear programming model using the simplex method. The calculation results the optimum numbers of production are 216 buis concrete type 20, 238 buis concrete type 30, 142 buis concrete type 40, 130 buis concrete type 50, 112 buis concrete type 60, 125 buis concrete type 80, and 150 buis concrete type 100 with total production profit in March 2021 of Rp. 47,685,060.58. \u0000Sakti Beton Jaya Mandiri merupakan industri penyedia berbagai jenis material konstruksi salah satunya pembuatan buis beton. Terdapat tujuh jenis tipe buis beton yang diproduksi. Bahan baku yang digunakan dalam pembuatan buis beton yaitu pasir, semen dan air. Saat memproduksi buis beton terkadang terjadi kelebihan atau sisa bahan baku yang penyebabnya diperkirakan pada kurang tepatnya memperhitungkan kebutuhan bahan baku, sedangkan dalam pembuatan beton terdapat spesifikasi tertentu yang harus terpenuhi sehingga diupayakan agar tidak adanya sisa bahan baku saat proses produksi. Diperlukan optimasi produksi buis beton sesuai dengan sumber daya yang tersedia agar tidak terdapat sisa, digunakan model de novo programming kemudian diformulasikan ke dalam model linear programming dengan metode simpleks. Hasil perhitungan diperoleh jumlah masing-masing produk buis beton diantaranya buis beton tipe 20 sebanyak 216, buis beton tipe 30 sebanyak 238, buis beton tipe 40 sebanyak 142, buis beton tipe 50 sebanyak 130, buis beton tipe 60 sebanyak 112, buis beton tipe 80 sebanyak 125 dan buis beton tipe 100 sebanyak 150 dengan total keuntungan produksi pada bulan Maret 2021 yaitu Rp. 47.685.060,58. Penggunaan model de novo programming dapat mengoptimalkan bahan baku yang tersedia sehingga diharapkan mampu memenuhi spesifikasi produk buis beton yang telah ditetapkan dan keuntungan yang diperoleh maksimum.","PeriodicalId":31272,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Riset Pendidikan Matematika","volume":"420 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-08-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"76814524","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Prediksi Harga Saham Perusahaan Operator Telekomunikasi Selular pada Masa Pandemi Menggunakan Metode Binomial 用二项式对大流行数字电信运营商的股价的预测
Pub Date : 2021-07-06 DOI: 10.29313/jrm.v1i1.102
Ferliana, Y. Ramdani, Yurika Permanasari
Abstract. The corona virus causes all activities to be carried out online so that all activities require Internet access which makes mobile telecommunications operator companies one of the promising investments in this pandemic. Stock investing allows investors to get profits in a relatively short time. Investments in stocks are currently unstable, as the whole world has been in difficult times since the coronavirus. Capital market players can feel the loss, which causes share prices to tend to decline. The impact of the corona virus is to paralyze all areas, especially the economy, so that an investor must be able to predict an increase or decrease in stock prices. The binomial method helps investors to predict the possibility of a stock price that will occur and is clarified by using a binomial tree that can be predicted in the form of stock prices by having the possibility of four predictions, two predictions describing an increase in shares and two other predictions describing the possibility of a falling stock price. Abstrak. Virus korona menyebabkan semua kegiatan dilakukan melalui daring (online) sehingga semua kegiatan memerlukan akses Internet yang membuat perusahaan operator telekomunikasi seluler menjadi salah satu investasi yang menjanjikan dimasa pandemi ini Investasi ialah komitmen menempatkan sejumlah dana dalam waktu yang cukup lama untuk memperoleh keuntungan di masa datang. Investasi saham memungkinkan investor mendapatkan keuntungan  dalam waktu yang relatif singkat. Investasi dalam bentuk saham pada saat ini tidaklah stabil, karena seluruh dunia dalam masa sulit semenjak adanya virus korona. Kerugianpun dapat dirasakan oleh pelaku pasar modal yang menyebabkan harga saham cenderung menurun. Dampak virus korona adalah melumpuhkan segala bidang terutama perekonomian sehingga sebagai seorang investor harus bisa memprediksi peningkatan atau penurunan harga saham. Metode binomial membantu investor untuk memprediksi kemungkinan harga saham yang akan terjadi dan diperjelas dengan menggunakan pohon binomial hasil prediksi yang di dapat berupa harga saham dengan memiliki kemungkinan empat prediksi dua prediksi menggambarkan kenaikan saham dan dua prediksi lain menggambarkan kemungkinan harga saham turun.
摘要冠状病毒导致所有活动都在网上进行,因此所有活动都需要互联网接入,这使得移动电信运营商公司成为本次大流行中有希望的投资之一。股票投资可以让投资者在相对较短的时间内获得利润。自冠状病毒以来,整个世界都处于困难时期,目前股市投资不稳定。资本市场参与者可以感受到损失,这导致股价倾向于下跌。冠状病毒的影响是使所有领域,特别是经济瘫痪,因此投资者必须能够预测股价的上涨或下跌。二项法帮助投资者预测股票价格发生的可能性,并通过使用二项树来澄清,该二项树可以以股票价格的形式进行预测,具有四个预测的可能性,两个预测描述股票上涨的可能性,另外两个预测描述股价下跌的可能性。Abstrak。病毒korona menyebabkan semua kegiatan dilakukan melalukan(在线)seonga semua kegiatan会员lukan akakan互联网会员perusaan运营商telekomunikasi卖家menjadi salah satinvestatasyang mengijikan dimasa大流行ininvestasialkomitmen menmengikan sejumlah dana dalam waktu yang cucuup lama untuk会员keuntungan dimasa大唐。Investasi saham menungkinkan投资者mendapatkan keuntungan dalam waktu yang亲戚singkat。在此之前,我们已经对病毒进行了研究,并对病毒进行了分析。Kerugianpun dapat diasakan oleh pelaku pasar modal yang menyebabkan harga saderung menurun。丹帕克病毒korona adalah melumpuhkan segala bidang terutama perekonomian seingga sebagai seorang投资者harus bisa成员peningkatan atau penurunan harga saham。方法二项成员投资者untuk成员prediksi kemungkinan harga saham yang akan terjadi dan diperjelas dunan menggunakan pohon二项成员hasil prediksi yang di dapat berupa harga saham dungan memiliki kemungkinan empa prediksi dua prediksi mengganbarkan kenaikan saham dan prediksi lain mengganbarkan kemungkinan hargsaham turun。
{"title":"Prediksi Harga Saham Perusahaan Operator Telekomunikasi Selular pada Masa Pandemi Menggunakan Metode Binomial","authors":"Ferliana, Y. Ramdani, Yurika Permanasari","doi":"10.29313/jrm.v1i1.102","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.29313/jrm.v1i1.102","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. The corona virus causes all activities to be carried out online so that all activities require Internet access which makes mobile telecommunications operator companies one of the promising investments in this pandemic. Stock investing allows investors to get profits in a relatively short time. Investments in stocks are currently unstable, as the whole world has been in difficult times since the coronavirus. Capital market players can feel the loss, which causes share prices to tend to decline. The impact of the corona virus is to paralyze all areas, especially the economy, so that an investor must be able to predict an increase or decrease in stock prices. The binomial method helps investors to predict the possibility of a stock price that will occur and is clarified by using a binomial tree that can be predicted in the form of stock prices by having the possibility of four predictions, two predictions describing an increase in shares and two other predictions describing the possibility of a falling stock price. \u0000Abstrak. Virus korona menyebabkan semua kegiatan dilakukan melalui daring (online) sehingga semua kegiatan memerlukan akses Internet yang membuat perusahaan operator telekomunikasi seluler menjadi salah satu investasi yang menjanjikan dimasa pandemi ini Investasi ialah komitmen menempatkan sejumlah dana dalam waktu yang cukup lama untuk memperoleh keuntungan di masa datang. Investasi saham memungkinkan investor mendapatkan keuntungan  dalam waktu yang relatif singkat. Investasi dalam bentuk saham pada saat ini tidaklah stabil, karena seluruh dunia dalam masa sulit semenjak adanya virus korona. Kerugianpun dapat dirasakan oleh pelaku pasar modal yang menyebabkan harga saham cenderung menurun. Dampak virus korona adalah melumpuhkan segala bidang terutama perekonomian sehingga sebagai seorang investor harus bisa memprediksi peningkatan atau penurunan harga saham. Metode binomial membantu investor untuk memprediksi kemungkinan harga saham yang akan terjadi dan diperjelas dengan menggunakan pohon binomial hasil prediksi yang di dapat berupa harga saham dengan memiliki kemungkinan empat prediksi dua prediksi menggambarkan kenaikan saham dan dua prediksi lain menggambarkan kemungkinan harga saham turun.","PeriodicalId":31272,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Riset Pendidikan Matematika","volume":"44 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-07-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"86074157","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Jurnal Riset Pendidikan Matematika
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1