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TOURIST VISITS FORECASTING AND CARRYING CAPACITY OF BEE JAY BAKAU RESORT PROBOLINGGO 碧桂巴考度假村游客量预测与承载力研究
Pub Date : 2020-11-25 DOI: 10.20886/jakk.2020.17.2.153-163
M. Fattah, T. Utami, D. Sofiati
City of Probolinggo offers nine main tourist attractions, such as Environmental Study Park (TWSL), Probolinggo Museum, Dr. Moh. Saleh Museum, Red Church, Tri Dharma Temple, Coastal Fishing Port, Bayuangga Swimming Pool, Olimpic Swimming Pool, and Bee Jay Bakau Resort (BJBR). One of the main destinations with ecotourism concept in Probolinggo city is BJBR. It is important to handle a research about forecasting the tourism visits and carrying capacity to support decision making in BJBR management. The purpose of this study is to analyze the forecasting of the foreign and domestic tourists visits at BJBR and analyze the carrying capacity. Quantitative methods using ARIMA and Winter are used in this study. This study also uses carrying capacity area analysis to analyze the carrying capacity of BJBR. The result shows that BJBR Probolinggo provides varied tourist attractions that affect the number of visits. The best forecasting is Winter method because the forecasting error is smaller than ARIMA method, which is, the average on visiting are 14,866tourist/month or 496 tourists/day. Meanwhile, the carrying capacity of the BJBR is 1,110 tourists/day. The management should consider tourist visit forecasting and the carrying capacity.
普罗布林哥市有九个主要的旅游景点,如环境研究公园(TWSL)、普罗布林戈博物馆、莫博士。萨利赫博物馆、红教堂、三法寺、滨海渔港、巴扬加游泳池、奥林匹克游泳池和Bee Jay Bakau度假村(BJBR)。在普罗布林戈市,具有生态旅游理念的主要目的地之一是BJBR。开展旅游访问量和承载力预测研究,对BJBR管理决策具有重要意义。本研究的目的是分析BJBR的国内外游客访问量预测,并分析其承载能力。本研究使用了ARIMA和Winter的定量方法。本研究还采用承载力面积分析法对BJBR的承载力进行了分析。结果表明,BJBR Probolinggo提供了影响游客数量的各种旅游景点。最好的预测方法是Winter方法,因为预测误差小于ARIMA方法,即平均访问量为14866人次/月或496人次/天。同时,BJBR的承载能力为1110名游客/天。管理层应考虑游客访问预测和承载能力。
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引用次数: 0
CAN GOVERNMENT SPENDING CONTROL DEFORESTATION IN PROTECTED AREAS? 政府支出能控制保护区的森林砍伐吗?
Pub Date : 2020-11-25 DOI: 10.20886/jakk.2020.17.2.93-107
resi diniyanti, A. Halimatussadiah
One of the main objectives of the establishment of a conservation area is to preserve the ecosystem and biodiversity. Even in many countries around the world, including Indonesia, the establishment of conservation areas has become the government's alternative strategy for protecting and maintaining biodiversity resources. The government allocates budget for conservation areas, but in some locations degradation and deforestation still persist. It is therefore important to evaluate the commitment of the government to the protection of biodiversity, one of which is the rate of deforestation. This study aims to examine whether government spending has impact to control deforestation in conservation areas in Indonesia. Utilizing a dynamic panel model with a Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) estimation, this study uses the forest cover data in 43 national parks that lies in 114 districts/cities during 2013-2017. The results show that the government spending for forest protection activities and forest ranger has an effect on controlling the deforestation rate in conservation area. However, there is no evidence showing correlation between the spending for community empowerment to deforestation control. This indicates that the government should consider budget allocation to make deforestation control more effective.
建立保护区的主要目的之一是保护生态系统和生物多样性。甚至在包括印度尼西亚在内的世界许多国家,建立保护区已经成为政府保护和维持生物多样性资源的替代战略。政府为保护区分配了预算,但在一些地方,退化和森林砍伐仍然存在。因此,评估政府对保护生物多样性的承诺是很重要的,其中之一就是森林砍伐的速度。本研究旨在检验政府支出是否对控制印尼保护区的森林砍伐有影响。基于广义矩量法(GMM)估算的动态面板模型,研究了2013-2017年114个区市43个国家公园的森林覆盖数据。结果表明,政府对森林保护活动和护林员的投入对控制保护区的毁林率有一定的作用。然而,没有证据表明用于社区授权的支出与森林砍伐控制之间存在关联。这表明政府应该考虑预算分配,使森林砍伐控制更有效。
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引用次数: 0
ANALYSIS OF SUSTAINABILITY STATUS OF ECOTOURISM IN MOUNT RINJANI NATIONAL PARK 仁贾尼山国家公园生态旅游可持续性现状分析
Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.20886/jakk.2020.17.1.33-51
P. N. Sadikin, S. Mulatsih, H. Arifin, B. P. Noorachmat
Ecotourism in Mount Rinjani National Park (MRNP) faces various environmental problems that lead to conflicts. Therefore, an analysis of sustainability status of MRNP ecotourism management is carried out. The method for evaluating the sustainability status of MRNP ecotourism management is MDS (multi-dimensional scaling) with Rap-fish or Rapid Appraisal Index modified to Rap-ecotourism. The index value to determine the sustainability status is obtained from scoring value of dimensions’ attributes studied. Then, a leverage analysis is performed to observe the leverage's attributes and fall into the sensitive category as a driver for determining the sustainability of a dimension. These attributes need to be intervened by developing policies so that the index value goes into a sustainable level. The results show that the economic dimension (58.49%) is in quite sustainable level, while the ecological dimension (35.94%), social dimension (45.81%), ecotourism service dimension (39.58%), and technology and infrastructure dimension (35.29%) are in less sustainable stage. While institutional and policy dimension (23.76%) is in not sustainable status. On institutional and policy dimensions, the main lever attributes are (1) local institutions (5.53%), (2) partnerships and collaborations (5.53%), and (3) MRNP ecotourism management and control regulations (5.36%).
林贾尼山国家公园(MRNP)的生态旅游面临着各种导致冲突的环境问题。因此,本文对MRNP生态旅游管理的可持续性现状进行了分析。MRNP生态旅游管理可持续性状况的评价方法是多维尺度评价法(MDS)和rapp -fish或rapp -ecotourism的快速评价指数。根据所研究的维度属性的得分值,得到确定可持续发展状况的指标值。然后,执行杠杆分析以观察杠杆的属性,并作为确定维度可持续性的驱动因素落入敏感类别。需要通过制定政策对这些属性进行干预,以使指数值达到可持续的水平。结果表明:经济维度(58.49%)处于较可持续阶段,生态维度(35.94%)、社会维度(45.81%)、生态旅游服务维度(39.58%)和技术与基础设施维度(35.29%)处于较不可持续阶段;而制度和政策维度(23.76%)处于不可持续状态。在制度和政策维度上,主要的杠杆属性是(1)地方机构(5.53%),(2)伙伴关系和合作(5.53%),(3)MRNP生态旅游管理和控制法规(5.36%)。
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引用次数: 1
THE EFFECTIVENESS OF FINANCING POLICY FOR THE DEVELOPING COMMUNITY FOREST PLANTATION 发展社区林业融资政策的有效性
Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.20886/jakk.2020.17.1.53-73
I. Alviya, F. Salaka, M. Z. Muttaqin, F. Nurfatriani, E. Y. Suryandari
Community Plantation Forest, known as Hutan Tanaman Rakyat or HTR, is one of social forestry programs aiming at reducing economic inequality at rural community level. However, there is no evidence that HTR has  improved the community welfare at the local level due to some problems particularly funding availability. This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of financing policy in developing HTR carried out by the Public Service Agency of the Ministry of Environment and Forestry (BLU-KLHK) and to look for alternative sources of funding that might support the ongoing funding mechanism. Survey and focus group discussion (FGD) are methods used to collect the data. Qualitative descriptive, content analysis and Grindle theory approaches are implemented to analyze data. The results show that, based on the content of the policy, HTR financing mechanism managed by BLU-KLHK is efficient, comprehensive and prudent in regulating and facilitating the financial support to develop HTR. However, this funding policy has not been effective to support HTR business development at the implementation stages. Some other funding schemes that might be potential to support the development of HTR include LPDB, SBSN, Rural Area Development Program, and Village Fund.
社区种植林,被称为Hutan Tanaman Rakyat或HTR,是旨在减少农村社区经济不平等的社会林业项目之一。然而,没有证据表明HTR由于一些问题,特别是资金可用性,改善了地方一级的社区福利。本研究旨在评估环境和林业部公共服务机构(BLU-KLHK)在开发HTR方面的融资政策的有效性,并寻找可能支持现行融资机制的替代资金来源。调查和焦点小组讨论(FGD)是用于收集数据的方法。采用定性描述、内容分析和Grindle理论方法对数据进行分析。研究结果表明,从政策内容来看,BLU-KLHK管理的HTR融资机制在规范和促进金融支持发展HTR方面是高效、全面和谨慎的。然而,这项资助政策在实施阶段并不能有效地支持HTR业务的发展。其他一些可能支持HTR发展的资助计划包括LPDB、SBSN、农村地区发展计划和乡村基金。
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引用次数: 1
THE EFFECTIVENESS OF LOCAL INSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENT FOR COMMUNITY PLANTATION FOREST 社区人工林地方制度安排的有效性
Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.20886/jakk.2020.17.1.75-92
F. Salaka, I. Alviya, E. Y. Suryandari, F. Nurfatriani, M. Z. Muttaqin
Development of Community Plantation Forest (HTR) as one of Social Forestry (SF) Programs in Indonesia seems still not able to optimally improve people's welfare becaused of weak institutional arrangements at local level. The purpose of this study is to analyze the effectiveness of HTR institutional arrangements at local level in encouraging the development of HTR. Data are collected through field observations, in-depth interviews and focus group discussion (FGD and analysed using qualitative descriptive method. The results show that institutional managements of HTR at farm level in four HTR permit holders examined are ineffective and require capacity building program. In addition, institutions in the form of cooperatives are generally better than farmer groups (Kelompok Tani Hutan/KTH); even though, they have not been able to fully implement the rules of the game that have been prepared and agreed by all members. To strengthen local institutional arrangements, after granting permits to communities, it is necessary for governments to intensify facilitation program in the form of guidance and technical training in forest management administration and finance management, development of potential HTR products and options of market opportunity.
作为社会林业项目之一的社区人工林(HTR)在印度尼西亚的发展,由于地方层面的制度安排薄弱,似乎仍无法以最佳方式改善人民的福利。本研究的目的是分析地方一级HTR制度安排在鼓励HTR发展方面的有效性。通过实地观察、深度访谈和焦点小组讨论(FGD)收集数据,并使用定性描述方法进行分析。结果表明,4个HTR许可证持有者在农场层面HTR的制度管理是无效的,需要进行能力建设。此外,合作社形式的机构一般比农民团体要好(Kelompok Tani Hutan/KTH);尽管如此,他们还没有能够完全执行所有成员已经准备和同意的游戏规则。为加强地方体制安排,在向社区发放许可证后,各国政府有必要加强便利方案,在森林经营行政和财政管理、开发潜在的HTR产品和市场机会选择等方面提供指导和技术培训。
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引用次数: 2
LAND CAPABILITY ANALYSIS OF KPHP UNIT VIII SAROLANGUN AND DIRECTIONS OF USE KPHP八号机组SAROLANGUN地面能力分析及使用方向
Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.20886/jakk.2020.17.1.1-16
A. Ansori, D. P. T. Baskoro, O. Rusdiana
Increasing land demand has resulted land conversion, one of which is forest land conversion. The objectives of this research are to identify: the conversion patterns of forest land use, the classification of land capability, the spatial direction of agroforestry programsand the land conversion in 2025. This research implements map overlay, land capability analysis, and CA-Markov method. The results show that the pattern the conversion in 1990-2015is dynamic, the biggest change was from 1996 to 2003 covering the area of   24,487 hectares. There are five classesof Land capability: classes II, III, IV, VI, and VII with erosion as the biggest limiting factor (e4) dominant inclasses IV and VI. Management suggestions consist of   11,361 hectares of agroforestry patterns, 11,228 hectaresof reforestation,   3,013 hectares of Tanah Obyek Reformasi Agraria,   102,928 hectares of other management inaccordance with Rencana Karya Usaha Pemanfaatan Hasil Hutan Kayu and Rencana Pengelolaan Hutan JangkaPanjang. Prediction of land use change in 2025 with bussiness as ussual scenario shows 3.6% reduction of HutanSekunder with RPHJP implementation scenario, 0.5% HS is reduced; with the strategy of agroforestry scenarioshows 105.3% HS increase.
土地需求的增加导致了土地的转换,其中之一就是林地的转换。本研究的目的是确定:2025年林地利用的转换模式、土地容量的分类、农林计划的空间方向和土地转换。本研究实现了地图叠加、土地能力分析和CA马尔可夫方法。结果表明,1990-2015年的转换模式是动态的,变化最大的是1996-2003年,占地24487公顷。土地能力有五类:以侵蚀为最大限制因素的II、III、IV、VI和VII类(e4)占主导地位,包括IV和VI类。管理建议包括11361公顷农林业模式、11228公顷重新造林、3013公顷Tanah Obyek Reformasi Agraria,根据Rencana Karya Usaha Pemanfaatan Hasil Hutan Kayu和Rencana Pengelolaan Hutan JangkaPanjang的其他管理面积为102928公顷。对2025年土地利用变化的预测显示,在商业化情况下,HutanSekunder在RPHJP实施情况下减少了3.6%,HS减少了0.5%;在农林复合经营策略下,HS增长105.3%。
{"title":"LAND CAPABILITY ANALYSIS OF KPHP UNIT VIII SAROLANGUN AND DIRECTIONS OF USE","authors":"A. Ansori, D. P. T. Baskoro, O. Rusdiana","doi":"10.20886/jakk.2020.17.1.1-16","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.20886/jakk.2020.17.1.1-16","url":null,"abstract":"Increasing land demand has resulted land conversion, one of which is forest land conversion. The objectives of this research are to identify: the conversion patterns of forest land use, the classification of land capability, the spatial direction of agroforestry programsand the land conversion in 2025. This research implements map overlay, land capability analysis, and CA-Markov method. The results show that the pattern the conversion in 1990-2015is dynamic, the biggest change was from 1996 to 2003 covering the area of   24,487 hectares. There are five classesof Land capability: classes II, III, IV, VI, and VII with erosion as the biggest limiting factor (e4) dominant inclasses IV and VI. Management suggestions consist of   11,361 hectares of agroforestry patterns, 11,228 hectaresof reforestation,   3,013 hectares of Tanah Obyek Reformasi Agraria,   102,928 hectares of other management inaccordance with Rencana Karya Usaha Pemanfaatan Hasil Hutan Kayu and Rencana Pengelolaan Hutan JangkaPanjang. Prediction of land use change in 2025 with bussiness as ussual scenario shows 3.6% reduction of HutanSekunder with RPHJP implementation scenario, 0.5% HS is reduced; with the strategy of agroforestry scenarioshows 105.3% HS increase.","PeriodicalId":31802,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Analisis Kebijakan Kehutanan","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-05-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48518432","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
THE MORATORIUM POLICY OF PEATLAND UTILIZATION: POTENTIAL ECONOMIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS FOR PLANTATION FORESTS 泥炭地利用的暂停政策:人工林的潜在经济和环境效益
Pub Date : 2019-11-20 DOI: 10.20886/jakk.2019.16.2.133-143
Arif Prabawa Widiatma
Plantation forest (PF) means to increase land productivity, generate exchange, labor, and industrial materials needs. The issue of climate change and emissions reduction targets caused Government regulated peatland utilizations. It’s necessary to know the economic and environmental benefits of implementing the moratorium policy. The Environmental Accounting approach used to count the benefits, the land value and environment services are valued. As a result, peat has a potential land value IDR 8.5 million/ha, however the changes peatland to PF caused emissions worth Rp40 million/ha. While if peat saturated, peats can control potensial damaged from floods worth US$4/ha and form fire at US$1,000/ha. The economic value of peatland utilization obtained from HTI far less than the potential environmental benefits if it is maintained and saturated. The moratorium policy on limiting changes in peat land use must continue due regard the continuing business of the permit holder whose land is affected by the policy.
人工林(PF)意味着提高土地生产力,产生交换、劳动力和工业材料需求。气候变化和减排目标的问题导致政府管制泥炭地的利用。有必要了解实施暂停政策的经济和环境效益。环境会计方法用于计算效益、土地价值和环境服务价值。因此,泥炭具有850万印尼盾/公顷的潜在土地价值,然而,泥炭地向PF的变化造成的排放价值为4000万印尼盾/公顷。而如果泥炭饱和,泥炭可以控制每公顷4美元的洪水造成的潜在损失,并形成每公顷1000美元的火灾。泥炭地利用的经济价值远远小于维持和饱和泥炭地的潜在环境效益。限制泥炭土地用途改变的暂停政策必须继续执行,并适当顾及其土地受该政策影响的许可证持有人的持续业务。
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引用次数: 0
CARBON STOCK OF RUBBER BASED AGROFORESTRY SYSTEM 以橡胶为基础的农林复合系统碳储量
Pub Date : 2019-11-20 DOI: 10.20886/jakk.2019.16.2.105-115
S. Sahuri
Rubber tree (Hevea brasilliensis Muell. Arg) has a very big role in economy and absorption of CO2 through the implementation of rubber based agroforestry. This study aims to determine the potential for carbon sequestration in rubber based agroforestry. The experiment was conducted at Sembawa Research Station from January until April 2016 on immature rubber plantation of IRR 112 clone 1 year old, with spacing of 6 m x 3 m (550 tree/ha). The experiment implements randomized block design, three replications. The treatments applies six planting patterns i.e PT1: rubber + peneaple, PT2: rubber + sorghum, PT3: rubber + upland rice, PT4: rubber + corn, PT5: rubber + soybean, and PT6: monoculture rubber. Data are statistically analyzed using ANOVA, followed by DMRT at the level of 5%. Measurements of carbon stock consist of rubber biomass, intercrops biomass, and soil organic matter. The results show that the average of carbon stocks in rubber based agroforestry on 1 year old rubber trees is 2.15 tons C/ha significantly higher than monoculture rubber system, about 0.57 tons C/ha. This is due to the carbon enrichment from rubber intercrops about 1.57 tons C/ha/planting season.
橡胶树(巴西橡胶树)通过实施以橡胶为基础的农林业,Arg)在经济和吸收二氧化碳方面发挥了非常大的作用。本研究旨在确定以橡胶为基础的农林业的碳封存潜力。试验于2016年1月至4月在森巴瓦研究站进行,试验对象为1年生的IRR 112无性系未成熟橡胶林,间距为6 m x 3 m(550棵/公顷)。实验采用随机区组设计,重复3次。采用PT1:橡胶+菠萝、PT2:橡胶+高粱、PT3:橡胶+旱稻、PT4:橡胶+玉米、PT5:橡胶+大豆、PT6:单作橡胶6种种植模式。数据采用方差分析进行统计分析,然后在5%的水平上进行DMRT。碳储量的测量包括橡胶生物量、间作生物量和土壤有机质。结果表明:橡胶复合农林业1年生橡胶树的平均碳储量为2.15 t C/ha,显著高于单作体系的0.57 t C/ha;这是由于橡胶间作的碳富集约为1.57吨碳/公顷/种植季。
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引用次数: 2
ECONOMIC VALUATION OF MANGROVE FOREST AT APAR VILLAGE PARIAMAN CITY OF WEST SUMATRA 苏门答腊岛西部pariaman市apar村红树林经济价值评价
Pub Date : 2019-11-20 DOI: 10.20886/jakk.2019.16.2.117-132
R. Junialdi, Y. Yonariza, Ardinis Arbain
Mangrove forest in Apar village has not been maintained as a tourist spot until when the surrounding social community realises the function and benefits of the forest. Drought and exploitation for firewood cause the death of the plantation that threaten the forest sustainability. To manage and preserve the ecosystem, several efforts have been implemented, one of them is by quantifying environmental services provided by the mangrove ecosystem, commonly referred to as economic valuation. This valuation can be used as a reference in terms of strategic planning of coastal areas management to maintain the mangrove ecosystem sustainability. This study aims at (a) calculating the economic value of the mangrove forest in Apar village, Pariaman city, (b) analysing factors that influence obtained economic-benefits. The results of this study shows that the total economic value of mangrove forest in the area of 10.62 ha in Apar village is Rp950,486,837.58/year. The exsistent value has the highest value of Rp783,779,874.6/year. The direct use value is Rp89,520,000/year while the indirect economic value in the third place is Rp74,898,670.98/year and the option value is Rp2,318,292/year. The exsistence base on willingness to pay (WTP), namely income and education level, becomes the determining factors.
直到周围的社会社区意识到森林的功能和好处,Apar村的红树林才被保留为旅游景点。干旱和对木柴的开采导致种植园死亡,威胁到森林的可持续性。为了管理和保护生态系统,已经做出了几项努力,其中之一是量化红树林生态系统提供的环境服务,通常称为经济评估。该评估可作为沿海地区管理战略规划的参考,以保持红树林生态系统的可持续性。本研究旨在(a)计算Pariaman市Apar村红树林的经济价值,(b)分析影响获得经济效益的因素。研究结果表明,Apar村10.62公顷红树林的总经济价值为950486837.58卢比/年。现有价值最高,为783779874.6卢比/年,直接使用价值为8952万卢比/年;第三位的间接经济价值为74898670.98卢比/年和选择价值为2318292卢比/年。支付意愿的存在基础,即收入和教育水平,成为决定因素。
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引用次数: 2
PROGRAM INITIATIVES DEVELOPED IN REDD + IMPLEMENTATION EFFORTS IN EAST KALIMANTAN redd +在东加里曼丹的实施工作中制定的方案倡议
Pub Date : 2019-11-20 DOI: 10.20886/jakk.2019.16.2.145-160
T. Wahyuni
As a commitment to support the Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC), the provincial government of East Kalimantan through the Green Growth Compact (GGC) Declaration in 2016 has agreed to build program initiatives or prototype initiatives. This paper aims to provide information on eight program initiatives developed and the involvement process of the parties which became the umbrella of the agreement in the operationalization activities. The collection of data and information was done through desk or document study, interview and observation. Data were analyzed with content analysis techniques. The eight initiatives of the program are: (1) strengthening the acceleration of implementation and achievement of Social Forestry; (2) institutional strengthening of Forest Management Units (KPH); (3) management of the essential ecosystem for orangutan corridor in the Wehea-Kelay Landscape area;  (4) partnership development in the Mahakam Delta Area; (5) Berau Forest Carbon Program; (6) sustainable plantation development; (7) climate village and (8) garden and land fire control . The developed program initiatives aim to achieve the Green Kaltim goal by testing the impact of these activities and finding innovative solutions in addressing the challenges of developing and managing natural resources and require cross-sectoral cooperation.
作为支持国家自主贡献(NDC)的承诺,东加里曼丹省政府在2016年通过《绿色增长契约宣言》(GGC)同意建立项目倡议或原型倡议。本文旨在提供关于制定的八项方案倡议和各方参与过程的信息,这些倡议成为实施活动中协议的保护伞。数据和信息的收集是通过桌面或文件研究,访谈和观察。采用内容分析技术对数据进行分析。该方案的八项举措是:(1)加强加速社会林业的实施和成就;(2)加强森林管理单位的体制;(3)维海-克莱景观区猩猩走廊基本生态系统管理;(4)在马哈坎三角洲地区发展伙伴关系;(5)伯劳森林碳计划;(6)人工林可持续发展;(7)气候村;(8)园林和地面消防。已制定的方案倡议旨在通过测试这些活动的影响和寻找解决开发和管理自然资源挑战的创新解决方案来实现绿色卡尔蒂姆目标,并需要跨部门合作。
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引用次数: 2
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