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PENGARUH FENOMENA SUNSPOT TERHADAP VARIASI SUHU UDARA DAN KELEMBAPAN RELATIF DI KOTA MEDAN 太阳黑子现象对棉兰城市相对温度和湿度的变化的影响
Pub Date : 2022-06-06 DOI: 10.31172/jmg.v23i2.781
Yosafat Donni Haryanto, Nelly Florida Riama, D. Purnama
The effect of solar activity on weather and climate has become a research topic after the 11-years sunspot cycle was discovered. This research is aimed to find the effect of sunspots on the variations of air temperature and relative humidity (RH) in Medan City. This research used the daily average of air temperature and RH data from 1985 – 2014 at Kualanamu Meteorological Station which was obtained from BMKG. Meanwhile, the daily sunspot number data within the same year period was obtained from the Solar Influences Data Analysis Center (SIDC) The Royal Observatory of Belgium (RWC). The method that was used in this study is a statistical method. The results of the study show that the coefficient of determination R² between the sunspot number and the parameters of air temperature and RH are 0.9 and 2.2, respectively. Meanwhile, the correlation coefficient between sunspot number and the parameters of air temperature and RH is -0.058 and 0.038, respectively. All variables showed p-value <0.05 which means statistically significant. Thus, the increase in the number of sunspots has significant effects on decreasing air temperature and increasing RH in Medan City.
11年太阳黑子周期被发现后,太阳活动对天气和气候的影响成为一个研究课题。本研究旨在了解太阳黑子对棉兰市气温和相对湿度变化的影响。本研究使用了1985 - 2014年库兰纳木气象站的日平均气温和相对湿度数据,这些数据来自BMKG。同时,从比利时皇家天文台(RWC)太阳影响数据分析中心(SIDC)获得了同一年的每日太阳黑子数数据。本研究采用的方法是统计学方法。研究结果表明,太阳黑子数与气温、相对湿度参数之间的决定系数R²分别为0.9和2.2。同时,太阳黑子数与气温、相对湿度参数的相关系数分别为-0.058和0.038。所有变量p值均<0.05,具有统计学意义。因此,太阳黑子数量的增加对棉兰市气温的降低和相对湿度的增加有显著的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Analisa sistem komunikasi data berbasis Internet of Things (IoT) menggunakan metode PIECES pada Sistem Pengamatan Cuaca Otomatis di Badan Meteorologi Klimatologi dan Geofisika (BMKG) 基于事物的在线数据通信系统分析(在气象学和地球物理局(BMKG)采用了自动天气观测系统的方法
Pub Date : 2022-06-06 DOI: 10.31172/jmg.v23i2.831
Ariffudin Ariffudin, Purnawarman Musa
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引用次数: 1
Analisis spektral data curah hujan dan kejadian curah hujan ekstrim di wilayah Kota Jayapura
Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.31172/jmg.v23i1.653
Noper Tulak, Yusuf Bungkang, Herlambang Huda
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引用次数: 0
Estimasi Suhu Udara Di Kabupaten Manokwari Melalui Pemanfaatan Citra Satelit Landsat 8
Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.31172/jmg.v23i1.753
M. Mashudi, Arif Faisol
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引用次数: 0
RELOKASI GEMPABUMI MENGGUNAKAN METODE TELESEISMIK DOUBLE DIFFERENCE DI WILAYAH JAWA
Pub Date : 2022-02-18 DOI: 10.31172/jmg.v23i1.842
T. A. P. Setiadi
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引用次数: 0
ANALYSIS OF SURFACE CONCENTRATION OF BLACK CARBON IN RIAU PROVINCE DURING THE 2019 FOREST FIRES USING MERRA-2 REANALYSIS DATA 利用merra-2再分析数据分析2019年森林火灾期间廖内省表面黑碳浓度
Pub Date : 2022-02-18 DOI: 10.31172/jmg.v23i1.800
Wilin Julian Sari, D. F. Andarini, F. 'Adany, Waluyo Eko Cahyono
Indonesia experienced forest fires almost every year, especially in the area of Riau Province, where as a result, pollutants such carbon dioxide and black carbon present in the air over Riau. Due to its size and its light absorption ability, black carbon is known to have bad impacts on the climate. This study aims to analyse the effect of forest fires that happened in Riau   province, Indonesia in September 2019 towards the production of black carbon, as well as to estimate backward air movement trajectory in order to confirm the air mass sources of the black carbon. The data of black carbon concentration used in this study is an hourly temporal data of MERRA-2 with a spatial resolution of 0.5° × 0.625°, while the trajectory calculation uses the HYSPLIT trajectory model. Linear regression of this study has an r value of 0.78 which shows that there is a positive correlation between black carbon concentration and number of hotspots. The range of BC concentrations were 2–11 × 10-9 kg.m-3 with higher concentration occurred during 9–23 September 2019 where it was affected by the south-easterly wind from Jambi and South Sumatera.
印度尼西亚几乎每年都发生森林火灾,特别是在廖内省地区,因此,二氧化碳和黑碳等污染物存在于廖内省上空。由于它的大小和吸收光的能力,黑碳被认为对气候有不好的影响。本研究旨在分析2019年9月发生在印度尼西亚廖内省的森林火灾对黑碳产生的影响,并估计反向空气运动轨迹,以确认黑碳的气团来源。本研究使用的黑碳浓度数据为MERRA-2逐时数据,空间分辨率为0.5°× 0.625°,轨迹计算采用HYSPLIT轨迹模型。本研究的线性回归r值为0.78,表明黑碳浓度与热点数量呈正相关。BC浓度范围为2 ~ 11 × 10 ~ 9 kg。高浓度的m-3发生于2019年9月9日至23日,受占碑和南苏门答腊的东南风影响。
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引用次数: 0
Pemodelan Bahaya Tsunami dan Evaluasi Strategi Evakuasi di Tanjung Benoa Bali untuk mendukung upaya Safe-Tourism Bali Kembali 海啸灾害建模和评估巴厘岛丹戎贝诺瓦的疏散策略,以支持巴厘岛安全旅游的努力
Pub Date : 2022-02-18 DOI: 10.31172/jmg.v23i1.837
Nuraini Rahma Hanifa, Endra Gunawan
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引用次数: 1
PARAMETER TROPOSFER DAN TROPOPAUSE DI KOTOTABANG DAN HUBUNGANNYA DENGAN PROSES PENJALARAN GELOMBANG PANJANG
Pub Date : 2022-02-18 DOI: 10.31172/jmg.v23i1.657
Ina Juaeni
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引用次数: 0
DIGITAL ELEVATION MODEL ALTERNATIVES ASSESSMENT FOR DEFORMATION ANALYSIS PURPOSES USING GNSS AND INSAR 使用GNSS和insar进行变形分析的数字高程模型替代评估
Pub Date : 2022-02-18 DOI: 10.31172/jmg.v23i1.845
D. Sarsito, B. Bramanto
Digital Elevation Model (DEM) is the starting point in the analysis performed to explain the deformation pattern changes from the Earth's surface. The estimated value of deformation based on point-wise GPS and InSAR data with a better spatial resolution must be defined in a reference frame system that reflects the phenomenon of deformation of the real physical world, e.g., orthometric height for the vertical component. Therefore, this study aims to provide alternative DEM models based on a suitable combination between the Global Geopotential Model of Earth Geopotential Model 2008 (EGM2008) and global terrain models, providing position changes with respect to the orthometric height. The alternative DEM models are (i) the global elevation model of ETOPO1 (DEM1), (ii) the modified global elevation model of SRTM30_PLUS (DEM2), and (iii) the regional elevation model of DEMNAS (DEM3). These alternative models comply with each other for the land areas with mean difference values lower than 1 meter. While for the ocean areas, we found that DEM1 and DEM2 have apparent differences due to the different types of data used. However, a similar assessment could not be performed for DEM3 as it only covers the land areas. Additionally, we compared the orthometric height from these terrain models with leveling observations for the coinciding locations. DEM3 achieves the highest accuracy with the estimated standard deviation of 11.2745 meters and is followed by DEM2 and DEM1 with the respective standard deviation of 29.4498 and 37.6872 meters. We found that these models can be used as a starting position determination for horizontal and vertical deformation analysis.
数字高程模型(DEM)是解释地球表面变形模式变化分析的起点。基于点向GPS和InSAR数据的更好空间分辨率的变形估计值必须在反映真实物理世界的变形现象的参考系系统中定义,例如垂直分量的正交高度。因此,本研究旨在提供基于Global gepotential Model of Earth gepotential Model 2008 (EGM2008)和全球地形模型之间的合适组合的替代DEM模型,提供相对于正测高度的位置变化。可供选择的DEM模型有:(i) ETOPO1的全球高程模型(DEM1), (ii) SRTM30_PLUS的修正全球高程模型(DEM2), (iii) DEMNAS的区域高程模型(DEM3)。对于平均差值小于1 m的陆地区域,这些备选模型相互符合。而对于海洋区域,由于使用的数据类型不同,我们发现DEM1和DEM2有明显的差异。但是,DEM3无法进行类似的评估,因为它只涵盖陆地区域。此外,我们将这些地形模型的正交高度与重合地点的水准观测结果进行了比较。DEM3精度最高,估计标准差为11.2745 m,其次是DEM2和DEM1,标准差分别为29.4498和37.6872 m。我们发现这些模型可以作为水平和垂直变形分析的起始位置确定。
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引用次数: 0
STUDI FREKUENSI KRITIS (foF2) PADA LAPISAN IONOSFER YANG BERHUBUNGAN DENGAN KEJADIAN GEMPA BUMI DI SEGMEN MENTAWAI TAHUN 2010-2015
Pub Date : 2021-12-30 DOI: 10.31172/jmg.v22i2.717
A. Lubis, M. Mawaddah, Afrizal B., Halauddin Halauddin, Zainal Abidin
Telah dilakukan kajian frekuensi kritis (foF2) lapisan F ionosfer untuk mencari apakah perubahan/anomali foF2 pada lapisan ini berhubungan dengan kejadian gempa bumi di segment Mentawai Sumatera Barat sehingga dapat digunakan sebagai prekusor gempa bumi dalam order harian. Untuk itu data ionogram pada waktu 2005-2015 yang merupakan hasil pengamatan ionosonda tipe Frequency Modulation Continous Wave (FMCW) di stasiun Kototabang, Kabupaten Agam, Sumatra barat, kemudian data aktivitas geomagnetik melalui indeks Disturbance Storm Time Index (DST) dan data aktivitas matahari (sunspot number) telah digunakan. Sementara itu sebanyak 37 kejadian data gempa bumi (Mw > 5,5) di wilayah Mentawai yang berasal dari USGS digunakan untuk mengkaji anomali foF2 terhadap kejadian gempa bumi selama 14 hari sebelum gempa bumi terjadi. Hasil pengamatan secara umum memperlihatkan terdapat anomali foF2 pada selang 14 hari sebelum terjadinya gempa bumi. Kemunculan foF2 tersebut dapat diduga sebagai indikasi sebagai aktivitas pre-seismic dalam kulit bumi pada 37 kejadian gempa bumi di wilayah Mentawai, meskipun kadang-kadang aktivitas geomagnet dan aktivitas matahari terlihat berpengaruh anomali foF2. Oleh karena itu diperlukan kajian lanjutan untuk menguji korelasi antara anomali foF2 dan kejadian gempa bumi secara statistik.
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引用次数: 0
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Jurnal Meteorologi dan Geofisika
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