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A Deep Learning Approach to Analyzing Continuous-Time Cognitive Processes 分析连续时间认知过程的深度学习方法
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.1162/opmi_a_00126
Cory Shain, William Schuler
Abstract The dynamics of the mind are complex. Mental processes unfold continuously in time and may be sensitive to a myriad of interacting variables, especially in naturalistic settings. But statistical models used to analyze data from cognitive experiments often assume simplistic dynamics. Recent advances in deep learning have yielded startling improvements to simulations of dynamical cognitive processes, including speech comprehension, visual perception, and goal-directed behavior. But due to poor interpretability, deep learning is generally not used for scientific analysis. Here, we bridge this gap by showing that deep learning can be used, not just to imitate, but to analyze complex processes, providing flexible function approximation while preserving interpretability. To do so, we define and implement a nonlinear regression model in which the probability distribution over the response variable is parameterized by convolving the history of predictors over time using an artificial neural network, thereby allowing the shape and continuous temporal extent of effects to be inferred directly from time series data. Our approach relaxes standard simplifying assumptions (e.g., linearity, stationarity, and homoscedasticity) that are implausible for many cognitive processes and may critically affect the interpretation of data. We demonstrate substantial improvements on behavioral and neuroimaging data from the language processing domain, and we show that our model enables discovery of novel patterns in exploratory analyses, controls for diverse confounds in confirmatory analyses, and opens up research questions in cognitive (neuro)science that are otherwise hard to study.
摘要 心理动态是复杂的。心理过程在时间中不断展开,可能对无数相互作用的变量非常敏感,尤其是在自然环境中。但是,用于分析认知实验数据的统计模型往往假设了简单的动力学。深度学习的最新进展使动态认知过程的模拟有了惊人的改进,包括语音理解、视觉感知和目标导向行为。但由于可解释性较差,深度学习一般不用于科学分析。在这里,我们通过证明深度学习不仅可以用于模仿,还可以用于分析复杂过程,在保持可解释性的同时提供灵活的函数逼近,从而弥补了这一差距。为此,我们定义并实现了一个非线性回归模型,在该模型中,通过使用人工神经网络对预测因子随时间变化的历史进行卷积,对响应变量的概率分布进行参数化,从而可以直接从时间序列数据中推断出影响的形状和连续的时间范围。我们的方法放宽了标准简化假设(如线性、平稳性和同方差),这些假设对于许多认知过程来说都是不可信的,可能会严重影响数据的解释。我们对语言处理领域的行为和神经影像数据进行了大量的改进,并证明我们的模型能够在探索性分析中发现新的模式,在确认性分析中控制各种混杂因素,并为认知(神经)科学的研究开辟了新的研究课题,而这些问题在其他情况下是很难研究的。
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引用次数: 1
The Accuracy and Precision of Memory for Natural Scenes: A Walk in the Park. 自然景观记忆的准确性和精确性:公园漫步
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1162/opmi_a_00122
Leo Westebbe, Yibiao Liang, Erik Blaser

It is challenging to quantify the accuracy and precision of scene memory because it is unclear what 'space' scenes occupy (how can we quantify error when misremembering a natural scene?). To address this, we exploited the ecologically valid, metric space in which scenes occur and are represented: routes. In a delayed estimation task, participants briefly saw a target scene drawn from a video of an outdoor 'route loop', then used a continuous report wheel of the route to pinpoint the scene. Accuracy was high and unbiased, indicating there was no net boundary extension/contraction. Interestingly, precision was higher for routes that were more self-similar (as characterized by the half-life, in meters, of a route's Multiscale Structural Similarity index), consistent with previous work finding a 'similarity advantage' where memory precision is regulated according to task demands. Overall, scenes were remembered to within a few meters of their actual location.

量化场景记忆的准确性和精确度是一项挑战,因为我们还不清楚场景所占据的 "空间 "是什么(我们如何量化误记自然场景时的误差?)为了解决这个问题,我们利用了生态学上有效的、场景出现和表现的度量空间:路线。在一项延迟估计任务中,参与者先是短暂地看到一个从室外 "环形路线 "视频中提取的目标场景,然后使用路线的连续报告轮来精确定位场景。准确率很高,而且没有偏差,表明没有净边界扩展/收缩。有趣的是,自相似性较高的路线精确度更高(以米为单位的路线多尺度结构相似性指数的半衰期),这与之前发现的 "相似性优势 "一致,即记忆精确度根据任务需求进行调节。总的来说,人们对场景的记忆都在其实际位置的几米之内。
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引用次数: 0
Davinci the Dualist: The Mind-Body Divide in Large Language Models and in Human Learners. 二元论者达文西:大型语言模型和人类学习者的身心分裂。
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1162/opmi_a_00120
Iris Berent, Alexzander Sansiveri

A large literature suggests that people are intuitive Dualists-they consider the mind ethereal, distinct from the body. Furthermore, Dualism emerges, in part, via learning (e.g., Barlev & Shtulman, 2021). Human learners, however, are also endowed with innate systems of core knowledge, and recent results suggest that core knowledge begets Dualism (Berent, 2023a; Berent et al., 2022). The resulting question, then, is whether the acquisition of Dualism requires core knowledge, or whether Dualism is learnable from experience alone, via domain-general mechanism. Since human learners are equipped with both systems, the evidence from humans cannot decide this question. Accordingly, here, we probe for a mind-body divide in Davinci-a large language model (LLM) that is devoid of core knowledge. We show that Davinci still leans towards Dualism, and that this bias increases systematically with the learner's inductive potential. Thus, davinci (which forms part of the GPT-3 suite) exhibits mild Dualist tendencies, whereas its descendent, text-davinci-003 (a GPT-3.5 model), shows a stronger bias. It selectively considers thoughts (epistemic states) as disembodied-as unlikely to show up in the body (in the brain). Unlike humans, GPT 3.5 categorically rejected the persistence of the psyche after death. Still, when probed about life, GPT 3.5 showed robust Dualist tendencies. These results demonstrate that the mind-body divide is partly learnable from experience. While results from LLMs cannot fully determine how humans acquire Dualism, they do place a higher burden of proof on nativist theories that trace Dualism to innate core cognition (Berent, 2023a; Berent et al., 2022).

大量文献表明,人们是直觉二元论者--他们认为心灵是虚无缥缈的,与身体截然不同。此外,二元论部分是通过学习产生的(例如,Barlev & Shtulman, 2021)。然而,人类学习者也拥有与生俱来的核心知识体系,最近的研究结果表明,核心知识孕育了二元论(Berent,2023a;Berent 等人,2022)。那么,由此产生的问题是,二元论的习得是否需要核心知识,或者二元论是否可以通过领域一般机制,仅从经验中习得。由于人类学习者同时具备这两种系统,因此来自人类的证据无法决定这个问题。因此,我们在这里探究了达文西--一个缺乏核心知识的大型语言模型(LLM)中的身心分裂问题。我们的研究表明,Davinci 仍然倾向于二元论,而且这种偏向会随着学习者归纳潜力的提高而系统地增加。因此,davinci(构成 GPT-3 套件的一部分)表现出轻微的二元论倾向,而它的后代 text-davinci-003(GPT-3.5 模型)则表现出更强的倾向性。它选择性地认为思想(认识状态)是非实体的--不可能出现在身体(大脑)中。与人类不同的是,GPT 3.5 断然拒绝了人死后心灵的存在。尽管如此,当被问及生命时,GPT 3.5 仍然表现出强烈的二元论倾向。这些结果表明,身心分裂在一定程度上是可以从经验中学习的。虽然LLMs的结果不能完全确定人类是如何获得二元论的,但它们确实为将二元论追溯到先天核心认知的本位主义理论提出了更高的举证责任(Berent,2023a;Berent等人,2022)。
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引用次数: 0
Quantifying Bias in Hierarchical Category Systems. 量化分级分类系统中的偏差。
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1162/opmi_a_00121
Katie Warburton, Charles Kemp, Yang Xu, Lea Frermann

Categorization is ubiquitous in human cognition and society, and shapes how we perceive and understand the world. Because categories reflect the needs and perspectives of their creators, no category system is entirely objective, and inbuilt biases can have harmful social consequences. Here we propose methods for measuring biases in hierarchical systems of categories, a common form of category organization with multiple levels of abstraction. We illustrate these methods by quantifying the extent to which library classification systems are biased in favour of western concepts and male authors. We analyze a large library data set including more than 3 million books organized into thousands of categories, and find that categories related to religion show greater western bias than do categories related to literature or history, and that books written by men are distributed more broadly across library classification systems than are books written by women. We also find that the Dewey Decimal Classification shows a greater level of bias than does the Library of Congress Classification. Although we focus on library classification as a case study, our methods are general, and can be used to measure biases in both natural and institutional category systems across a range of domains.

分类在人类认知和社会中无处不在,它塑造了我们感知和理解世界的方式。由于类别反映了其创建者的需求和观点,因此没有一个类别系统是完全客观的,而固有的偏见可能会产生有害的社会后果。在这里,我们提出了测量分层类别系统中偏见的方法,这是一种常见的多层次抽象类别组织形式。我们通过量化图书馆分类系统偏向西方概念和男性作者的程度来说明这些方法。我们分析了一个大型图书馆数据集,其中包括按数千个类别编排的 300 多万册图书,发现与文学或历史相关的类别相比,与宗教相关的类别表现出更大的西方偏见,而且男性撰写的图书在图书馆分类系统中的分布比女性撰写的图书更广泛。我们还发现,杜威十进分类法比美国国会图书馆分类法显示出更大程度的偏见。尽管我们将图书馆分类法作为一个案例进行研究,但我们的方法是通用的,可用于测量自然分类系统和机构分类系统在一系列领域中的偏差。
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引用次数: 0
Better Together: 14-Month-Old Infants Expect Agents to Cooperate. 更好地合作:14 个月大的婴儿期待代理合作。
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-02-01 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1162/opmi_a_00115
Liza Vizmathy, Katarina Begus, Gunther Knoblich, György Gergely, Arianna Curioni

Humans engage in cooperative activities from early on and the breadth of human cooperation is unparalleled. Human preference for cooperation might reflect cognitive and motivational mechanisms that drive engagement in cooperative activities. Here we investigate early indices of humans' cooperative abilities and test whether 14-month-old infants expect agents to prefer cooperative over individual goal achievement. Three groups of infants saw videos of agents facing a choice between two actions that led to identical rewards but differed in the individual costs. Our results show that, in line with prior research, infants expect agents to make instrumentally rational choices and prefer the less costly of two individual action alternatives. In contrast, when one of the action alternatives is cooperative, infants expect agents to choose cooperation over individual action, even though the cooperative action demands more effort from each agent to achieve the same outcome. Finally, we do not find evidence that infants expect agents to choose the less costly alternative when both options entail cooperative action. Combined, these results indicate an ontogenetically early expectation of cooperation, and raise interesting implications and questions regarding the nature of infants' representations of cooperative actions and their utility.

人类很早就开始参与合作活动,人类合作的广度是无与伦比的。人类对合作的偏好可能反映了推动参与合作活动的认知和动机机制。在此,我们研究了人类合作能力的早期指数,并测试了 14 个月大的婴儿是否期望代理人更倾向于合作而不是实现个人目标。三组婴儿观看了代理人在两个行动之间做出选择的视频,这两个行动的奖励相同,但个人成本不同。我们的研究结果表明,与之前的研究结果一致,婴儿预期代理人会做出工具理性选择,并更倾向于选择两个单独行动中成本较低的一个。相反,当其中一个行动方案是合作行动时,婴儿会选择合作而不是个人行动,即使合作行动需要每个人付出更多努力才能达到同样的结果。最后,我们没有发现证据表明,当两个选项都需要合作行动时,婴儿希望代理人选择成本较低的选项。综上所述,这些结果表明,婴儿在本体发育过程中很早就对合作产生了预期,并就婴儿对合作行动及其效用的表征的性质提出了有趣的影响和问题。
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引用次数: 0
"Now I Get It!": Eureka Experiences During the Acquisition of Mathematical Concepts. "现在我明白了!":数学概念习得过程中的尤里卡经历。
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-02-01 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1162/opmi_a_00116
Charlotte Barot, Louise Chevalier, Lucie Martin, Véronique Izard

Many famous scientists have reported anecdotes where a new understanding occurred to them suddenly, in an unexpected flash. Do people generally experience such "Eureka" moments when learning science concepts? And if so, do these episodes truly vehicle sudden insights, or is this impression illusory? To address these questions, we developed a paradigm where participants were taught the mathematical concept of geodesic, which generalizes the common notion of straight line to straight trajectories drawn on curved surfaces. After studying lessons introducing this concept on the sphere, participants (N = 56) were tested on their understanding of geodesics on the sphere and on other surfaces. Our findings indicate that Eureka experiences are common when learning mathematics, with reports by 34 (61%) participants. Moreover, Eureka experiences proved an accurate description of participants' learning, in two respects. First, Eureka experiences were associated with learning and generalization: the participants who reported experiencing Eurekas performed better at identifying counterintuitive geodesics on new surfaces. Second, and in line with the firstperson experience of a sudden insight, our findings suggest that the learning mechanisms responsible for Eureka experiences are inaccessible to reflective introspection. Specifically, reports of Eureka experiences and of participants' confidence in their own understanding were associated with different profiles of performance, indicating that the mechanisms bringing about Eureka experiences and those informing reflective confidence were at least partially dissociated. Learning mathematical concepts thus appears to involve mechanisms that operate unconsciously, except when a key computational step is reached and a sudden insight breaks into consciousness.

许多著名科学家都曾报告过这样的轶事:他们在不经意的一瞬间突然获得了新的理解。人们在学习科学概念时通常会经历这种 "尤里卡 "时刻吗?如果有,这些经历是否真的能让人恍然大悟,或者这种印象是否是虚幻的?为了解决这些问题,我们开发了一个范例,让参与者学习数学概念 "大地"。"大地 "将常见的直线概念概括为在弯曲表面上绘制的直线轨迹。在球面上学习了介绍这一概念的课程后,我们测试了参与者(56 人)对球面和其他表面上的测地线的理解。我们的研究结果表明,"尤里卡 "经历在数学学习中很常见,有 34 名参与者(61%)报告了这一经历。此外,尤里卡经历在两个方面被证明是对参与者学习情况的准确描述。首先,尤里卡经历与学习和概括有关:报告有尤里卡经历的参与者在识别新表面上的反直觉大地线方面表现更好。其次,与第一人称的突然洞察体验相一致,我们的研究结果表明,导致尤里卡体验的学习机制是反思性内省所无法触及的。具体地说,尤里卡经历的报告和参与者对自己理解的信心与不同的表现相关联,这表明带来尤里卡经历的机制和那些为反思信心提供信息的机制至少部分是分离的。因此,数学概念的学习似乎涉及到无意识运作的机制,除非在达到关键的计算步骤时,突然的洞察力进入意识。
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引用次数: 0
The Missing VP Illusion in Spanish: Assessing the Role of Language Statistics and Working Memory 西班牙语中缺失副词的错觉:评估语言统计和工作记忆的作用
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1162/opmi_a_00118
Claudia Pañeda, S. Lago
Abstract In English, double center-embedded sentences yield a so-called “missing VP illusion”: When they are ungrammatical due to a missing verb, they are judged as equally or even more acceptable than their grammatical counterparts. The illusion is often attributed to working memory limitations. Additionally, it has been suggested that statistical differences across languages—e.g., the lower frequency of consecutive verb clusters in verb-initial languages—play a role, since languages with verb-final embedded clauses are less susceptible to the illusion than English. In two speeded acceptability experiments, we demonstrate that the illusion arises in Spanish, a verb-initial language. We also find that the strength of the illusion is modulated by the number of consecutive verbs, consistent with the involvement of language statistics. By contrast, we do not find that participants’ working memory modulates the illusion, failing to support a role of memory limitations. Our results support the generalization that cross-linguistic variation in the missing VP illusion is associated with language statistics and verb position and they demonstrate that this is the case even in languages in which word order is not a reliable processing cue.
摘要 在英语中,双中心嵌入式句子会产生所谓的 "缺失 VP 幻觉":当这些句子因缺少一个动词而不符合语法时,它们被判定为与符合语法的同类句子一样甚至更容易被接受。这种错觉通常归因于工作记忆的局限性。此外,还有人认为,不同语言之间的统计差异--例如,在动词首现的语言中,连续动词群的出现频率较低--也起到了一定的作用,因为与英语相比,动词末尾嵌入式从句的语言更不容易受到这种错觉的影响。在两个加速可接受性实验中,我们证明了这种错觉出现在西班牙语这种动词先行的语言中。我们还发现,错觉的强度受连续动词数量的调节,这与语言统计的参与是一致的。相比之下,我们没有发现参与者的工作记忆会调节错觉,因此不能证明记忆限制的作用。我们的研究结果支持这样一种概括,即缺失副词错觉的跨语言变异与语言统计和动词位置有关,而且这些结果表明,即使在词序不是可靠的加工线索的语言中,情况也是如此。
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引用次数: 0
Aesthetic Motivation Impacts Judgments of Others' Prosociality and Mental Life. 审美动机影响对他人亲社会性和精神生活的判断
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-08 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1162/opmi_a_00113
Tanushree Agrawal, Adena Schachner

The ability to infer others' prosocial vs. antisocial behavioral tendencies from minimal information is core to social reasoning. Aesthetic motivation (the value or appreciation of aesthetic beauty) is linked with prosocial tendencies, raising the question of whether this factor is used in interpersonal reasoning and in the attribution of mental capacities. We propose and test a model of this reasoning, predicting that evidence of others' aesthetic motivations should impact judgments of others' prosocial (and antisocial) tendencies by signaling a heightened capacity for emotional experience. In a series of four pre-registered experiments (total N = 1440), participants saw pairs of characters (as photos/vignettes), and judged which in each pair showed more of a mental capacity of interest. Distractor items prevented participants from guessing the hypothesis. For one critical pair of characters, both characters performed the same activity (music listening, painting, cooking, exercising, being in nature, doing math), but one was motivated by the activities' aesthetic value, and the other by its functional value. Across all activities, participants robustly chose aesthetically-motivated characters as more likely to behave compassionately (Exp. 1; 3), less likely to behave selfishly/manipulatively (Exp. 1; 3), and as more emotionally sensitive, but not more intelligent (Exp. 2; 3; 4). Emotional sensitivity best predicted compassionate behavior judgements (Exp. 3). Aesthetically-motivated characters were not reliably chosen as more helpful; intelligence best predicted helpfulness judgements (Exp. 4). Evidence of aesthetic motivation conveys important social information about others, impacting fundamental interpersonal judgments about others' mental life and social behavior.

从最少的信息中推断他人的亲社会与反社会行为倾向的能力是社会推理的核心。审美动机(对审美的价值或欣赏)与亲社会倾向相关,这就提出了一个问题,即在人际推理和心理能力归因中是否会用到这一因素。我们提出并测试了这一推理模型,预测他人审美动机的证据应该会影响对他人亲社会(和反社会)倾向的判断,因为这意味着情感体验能力的提高。在四个预先登记的实验中(总人数 = 1440),参与者看到了一对人物(照片/小插图),并判断每对人物中哪一个表现出了更多感兴趣的心理能力。干扰项会阻止参与者猜测假设。在一对关键的人物中,两个人物都进行了相同的活动(听音乐、绘画、烹饪、锻炼、亲近大自然、做数学题),但其中一个人物的动机是活动的审美价值,而另一个人物的动机是活动的功能价值。在所有活动中,受试者都坚定地选择美学动机驱动的角色更有可能表现出同情心(实验一;实验三),更不可能表现出自私/操纵行为(实验一;实验三),情感更敏感,但不更聪明(实验二;实验三;实验四)。情感敏感性最能预测同情行为的判断(实验 3)。受审美动机驱使的角色并没有被可靠地选择为更乐于助人;智力最能预测乐于助人的判断(实验 4)。审美动机的证据传递了关于他人的重要社会信息,影响了对他人精神生活和社会行为的基本人际判断。
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引用次数: 0
Direct and Observed Joint Attention Modulate 9-Month-Old Infants' Object Encoding. 直接注意和观察到的共同注意调节 9 个月大婴儿的物体编码
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-11-27 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1162/opmi_a_00114
Maleen Thiele, Steven Kalinke, Christine Michel, Daniel B M Haun

Sharing joint visual attention to an object with another person biases infants to encode qualitatively different object properties compared to a parallel attention situation lacking interpersonal sharedness. This study investigated whether merely observing joint attention amongst others shows the same effect. In Experiment 1 (first-party replication experiment), N = 36 9-month-old German infants were presented with a violation-of-expectation task during which they saw an adult looking either in the direction of the infant (eye contact) or to the side (no eye contact) before and after looking at an object. Following an occlusion phase, infants saw one of three different outcomes: the same object reappeared at the same screen position (no change), the same object reappeared at a novel position (location change), or a novel object appeared at the same position (identity change). We found that infants looked longer at identity change outcomes (vs. no changes) in the "eye contact" condition compared to the "no eye contact" condition. In contrast, infants' response to location changes was not influenced by the presence of eye contact. In Experiment 2, we found the same result pattern in a matched third-party design, in which another sample of N = 36 9-month-old German infants saw two adults establishing eye contact (or no eye contact) before alternating their gaze between an object and their partner without ever looking at the infant. These findings indicate that infants learn similarly from interacting with others and observing others interact, suggesting that infant cultural learning extends beyond infant-directed interactions.

与缺乏人际共享性的平行注意情境相比,与他人共享对一个物体的共同视觉注意会使婴儿偏向于编码质量上不同的物体属性。本研究探讨了仅仅观察他人的共同注意是否会产生同样的效果。在实验 1(第一方复制实验)中,N = 36 名 9 个月大的德国婴儿接受了一项违反期望的任务,在该任务中,他们看到一名成人在看物体之前和之后朝婴儿的方向看(目光接触)或朝旁边看(无目光接触)。在闭塞阶段之后,婴儿会看到三种不同结果中的一种:同一物体再次出现在屏幕的同一位置(无变化)、同一物体再次出现在一个新的位置(位置变化)或一个新的物体出现在同一位置(身份变化)。我们发现,与 "无眼神接触 "条件相比,在 "眼神接触 "条件下,婴儿看身份变化结果(相对于无变化)的时间更长。相比之下,婴儿对位置变化的反应不受目光接触的影响。在实验 2 中,我们在一个匹配的第三方设计中发现了相同的结果模式。在这个设计中,另一个样本是 36 名 9 个月大的德国婴儿,他们看到两个成人建立了眼神接触(或没有眼神接触),然后他们的视线在一个物体和他们的伙伴之间交替,但从未看过婴儿。这些研究结果表明,婴儿从与他人的互动和观察他人的互动中学到了类似的东西,这表明婴儿的文化学习不仅仅局限于由婴儿引导的互动。
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引用次数: 0
Prediction, Explanation, and Control: The Use of Mental Models in Dynamic Environments. 预测、解释和控制:动态环境中心理模型的使用》。
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-11-27 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1162/opmi_a_00112
Roman Tikhonov, Simon DeDeo

The abilities to predict, explain, and control might arise out of operations on a common underlying representation or, conversely, from independent cognitive processes. We developed a novel experimental paradigm to explore how individuals might use probabilistic mental models in these three tasks, under varying levels of complexity and uncertainty. Participants interacted with a simple chatbot defined by a finite-state machine, and were then tested on their ability to predict, explain, and control the chatbot's responses. When full information was available, performance varied significantly across the tasks, with control proving most robust to increased complexity, and explanation being the most challenging. In the presence of hidden information, however, performance across tasks equalized, and participants demonstrated an alternative neglect bias, i.e., a tendency to ignore less likely possibilities. A second, within-subject experimental design then looked for correlations between abilities. We did not find strong correlations, but the challenges of the task for the subjects limited our statistical power. To understand these effects better, a final experiment investigated the possibility of cross-training, skill transfer, or "zero-shot" performance: how well a participant, explicitly trained on one of the three tasks, could perform on the others without additional training. Here we found strong asymmetries: participants trained to control gained generalizable abilities to both predict and explain, while training on either prediction or explanation did not lead to transfer. This cross-training experiment also revealed correlations in performance; most notably between control and prediction. Our findings highlight the complex role of mental models, in contrast to task-specific heuristics, when information is partially hidden, and suggest new avenues for research into situations where the acquisition of general purpose mental models may provide a unifying explanation for a variety of cognitive abilities.

预测、解释和控制能力可能来自于对一个共同的基础表征的操作,或者相反,来自于独立的认知过程。我们开发了一种新颖的实验范式,以探索在不同的复杂性和不确定性水平下,个体如何在这三项任务中使用概率心智模型。参与者与一个由有限状态机定义的简单聊天机器人进行互动,然后测试他们预测、解释和控制聊天机器人反应的能力。在掌握全部信息的情况下,不同任务的表现差异很大,其中控制能力对复杂性的增加最为稳健,而解释能力则最具挑战性。然而,在存在隐藏信息的情况下,各任务的表现趋于一致,参与者表现出了另一种忽视偏差,即倾向于忽视不太可能发生的可能性。然后,我们进行了第二项主体内实验设计,以寻找能力之间的相关性。我们没有发现很强的相关性,但是任务对被试的挑战限制了我们的统计能力。为了更好地理解这些效应,最后一个实验研究了交叉训练、技能转移或 "零失误 "表现的可能性:即受试者在三项任务中的一项任务上经过明确训练后,在没有额外训练的情况下,在其他任务上的表现如何。在这里,我们发现了强烈的不对称性:接受过控制训练的被试获得了预测和解释的通用能力,而接受过预测或解释训练的被试并没有获得技能迁移。这种交叉训练实验还揭示了成绩的相关性,其中最明显的是控制和预测之间的相关性。我们的研究结果凸显了在信息部分隐藏的情况下,心智模型与特定任务启发式相比所起的复杂作用,并为研究通用心智模型的获得可能为各种认知能力提供统一解释的情况提出了新的途径。
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