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Modelling Corruption Perceptions Through Latent Class Models: Evidence from Eastern Europe and Central Asian Countries 通过潜在阶级模型对腐败认知进行建模:来自东欧和中亚国家的证据
Pub Date : 2015-03-31 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2587584
L. Pieroni, G. d’Agostino
This work proposes a multidimensional framework, based on a Latent Class model, to identify various types of corruption and their importance. A dataset of Eastern European and Central Asian countries is used to identify four groups of corrupt activities, which go beyond the usual classification of corruption into administrative and political. Estimates are validated by means of a direct administrative corruption index derived from the same dataset and comparison of corruption perception rankings published by Transparency International. The potential of the proposed approach is illustrated with an application to the relationship between firms' competitiveness and the latent classes of corruption identified.
这项工作提出了一个基于潜在阶级模型的多维框架,以识别各种类型的腐败及其重要性。一个东欧和中亚国家的数据集被用来确定四类腐败活动,这些腐败活动超出了通常的行政和政治腐败分类。这些估计是通过从同一数据集得出的直接行政腐败指数和透明国际公布的腐败感知排名的比较来验证的。通过对企业竞争力与确定的潜在腐败类别之间关系的应用,说明了所提出方法的潜力。
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引用次数: 2
Pilferage from Opaque Food Subsidy Programs: Theory and Evidence 不透明食品补贴项目的盗窃:理论与证据
Pub Date : 2014-01-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1658481
Aashish Mehta, S. Jha
Theft rates from subsidized food programs vary greatly and strongly influence program efficiency. Unfortunately, the determinants of these variations remain understudied because the agencies that run these programs seldom publicize the allocations of subsidized food to local markets. We develop a theoretical model of pilferage which predicts that: (i) pilferage from opaque programs is likely to rise more than proportionately with per capita food allocations; (ii) pilferage of inferior goods may be lower in poorer communities; (iii) pilferage rates need not rise as price subsidies are increased; and (iv) pilferage may rise as the relative quality of subsidized food is reduced. A comprehensive literature review and new estimates of pilferage across regions of the Philippines validates these predictions. Our finding, that around 48% of the subsidized rice went missing, is robust to new tests for sampling and recall error. Our policy discussion encourages geographic over administrative targeting, greater transparency in food allocations, and the use of realistic quotas.
补贴食品项目的盗窃率差别很大,而且严重影响项目的效率。不幸的是,这些差异的决定因素仍然没有得到充分的研究,因为运行这些项目的机构很少公布补贴食品在当地市场的分配情况。我们开发了一个偷窃理论模型,该模型预测:(i)不透明计划的偷窃行为可能会与人均粮食分配成比例地增加;(ii)在较贫穷的社区,盗窃劣质商品的情况可能较低;(三)盗窃率不必随着价格补贴的增加而上升;第四,随着补贴食品的相对质量下降,盗窃行为可能会上升。一项全面的文献综述和对菲律宾各地区盗窃的新估计证实了这些预测。我们的发现,大约48%的补贴大米丢失了,对于抽样和召回误差的新测试是可靠的。我们的政策讨论鼓励以地域为目标,而不是以行政为目标,提高粮食分配的透明度,以及使用切合实际的配额。
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引用次数: 14
Short-Termism at Its Worst: How Short-Termism Invites Corruption… and What to Do About It 最糟糕的短期主义:短期主义如何引发腐败……以及如何应对
Pub Date : 2013-04-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2247545
Malcolm S. Salter
Researchers and business leaders have long decried short-termism: the excessive focus of executives of publicly traded companies — along with fund managers and other investors — on short-term results. The central concern is that short-termism discourages long-term investments, threatening the performance of both individual firms and the U.S. economy.I argue in this paper that short-termism also invites institutional corruption. Institutional corruption in the present context refers to institutionally supported behavior that, while not necessarily unlawful, erodes public trust and undermines a company’s legitimate processes, core values, and capacity to achieve espoused goals. Institutional corruption in business typically entails gaming society’s laws and regulations, tolerating conflicts of interest, and persistently violating accepted norms of fairness, among other things.Section 1 introduces the twin problems of short-termism and institutional corruption and shows how the latter has led to a diminution of public trust in many of our leading firms and industries. Section 2 presents an illuminating example — just one of many possibilities — of short-termism and institutional corruption, namely the gaming of Securities and Exchange Commission rules by Citigroup’s mortgage-banking desk in 2007. Section 3, building on the Citigroup example, identifies the principal types of gaming and demonstrates just how pervasive gaming of society’s rules has become in recent decades. Section 4 explains how short-termism invites gaming and other forms of institutional corruption, and draws attention to seven significant sources of short-termism including: shifting beliefs about the purposes and responsibilities of the modern corporation; the concomitant rise of a new financial culture; misapplied performance metrics; perverse incentives; our vulnerability to hard-wired behavioral biases; the decreasing tenure of institutional leaders; and the bounded knowledge of corporate directors, which prevents effective board oversight. Section 5 addresses what is to be done about short-termism and the institutional corruption it invites. Recommendations and suggested reforms relate to the improvement of board oversight; the adoption of compensation principles and practices that can help mitigate the destructive effects of inappropriate metrics, perverse incentives, and hard-wired preferences for immediate satisfactions; the termination of quarterly earnings guidance; and the elimination of the built-in, short-term bias embedded in our current capital gains tax regime.
长期以来,研究人员和商界领袖一直在谴责短期主义:即上市公司高管——以及基金经理和其他投资者——过度关注短期业绩。最主要的担忧是,短期主义会阻碍长期投资,威胁到个别公司和美国经济的表现。我在本文中认为,短期主义也会导致制度腐败。在当前背景下,制度性腐败指的是制度性支持的行为,这种行为虽然不一定是非法的,但会侵蚀公众信任,破坏公司的合法流程、核心价值观和实现所支持目标的能力。商业中的制度性腐败通常涉及游戏社会的法律法规,容忍利益冲突,以及持续违反公认的公平准则等。第1节介绍了短期主义和制度腐败的双重问题,并展示了后者如何导致公众对我们许多主要公司和行业的信任减少。第二节给出了一个具有启发性的例子——这只是众多可能性中的一个——短期主义和机构腐败,即2007年花旗集团抵押贷款部门对美国证券交易委员会规则的玩弄。第三部分以花旗集团为例,指出了博弈的主要类型,并展示了近几十年来社会规则博弈的普遍程度。第四节解释了短期主义如何引发博弈和其他形式的制度腐败,并将注意力集中在短期主义的七个重要来源,包括:对现代公司的目的和责任的信念转变;伴随而来的新金融文化的兴起;误用性能指标;不正当的动机;我们对固有行为偏见的脆弱性;机构领导任期缩短;公司董事的知识有限,阻碍了董事会的有效监督。第5节讨论了如何应对短期主义及其引发的制度性腐败。有关改进联委会监督的建议和建议的改革;采用补偿原则和做法,以帮助减轻不适当的指标、不正当的激励和对即时满足的固有偏好所带来的破坏性影响;终止季度盈利指引;消除我们当前资本利得税制度中固有的短期偏见。
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引用次数: 7
Targeting, Accountability and Capture in Development Projects 发展项目中的目标、责任和捕获
Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1643381
Matthew S. Winters
If development projects are to be effective, a minimum requirement is that the funding reaches its intended destination. Yet the history of international development is replete with examples of this not happening. I argue that there will be fewer problems with corruption or other diversions of funding—which I jointly label capture—in more precisely targeted projects. More well-defined targeting results in superior accountability relationships because there is greater clarity of responsibility, clearer information about outcomes, and improved identifiability of stakeholders. I use an original cross-country, cross-project data set on the incidence of capture in World Bank-funded investment projects to test the theory. The data show a negative relationship between targeting and capture, and I demonstrate that this relationship is robust to a variety of specifications. In addition, I find that there is a higher baseline likelihood of project capture in countries perceived as more corrupt according to commonly used survey-based measures from Transparency International and the Worldwide Governance Indicators, cross-validating those measures and my own.
如果发展项目是有效的,一个最低要求是资金到达预定的目的地。然而,国际发展的历史充满了这种情况没有发生的例子。我认为,在更精确的目标项目中,腐败或其他挪用资金的问题将会更少。更明确的目标会产生更好的问责关系,因为责任更清晰,关于结果的信息更清晰,利益相关者的可识别性也得到改善。我使用了世界银行资助的投资项目中捕获发生率的原始跨国、跨项目数据集来检验这一理论。数据显示了目标和捕获之间的负相关关系,并且我证明了这种关系对于各种规格都是稳健的。此外,我发现,根据透明国际和全球治理指标常用的基于调查的衡量标准,交叉验证这些衡量标准和我自己的衡量标准,在被认为更腐败的国家,项目捕获的基线可能性更高。
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引用次数: 48
Patronage and Decentralization: The Politics of Poverty in India 赞助与权力下放:印度的贫困政治
Pub Date : 2012-01-12 DOI: 10.5129/001041512798837996
Anoop Sadanandan
Decentralization advances patronage politics in distinct ways. First, in decentralized states both central and local politicians distribute patronage to enhance their political support. Second, local elections reveal information to central leaders about the geographic distribution of electorally salient voters. Central leaders can use this information to target particularistic benefits to these voters. Third, elected local politicians have individual strategies to distribute patronage, in spite of or in addition to the clientelistic strategies of the political parties they represent. Evidence from India indicates that decentralization has contributed to more extensive distribution of patronage in decentralized states. Data from Indian states and villages illustrate the incentives at the state and local levels that shape the distribution of patronage.
权力下放以不同的方式推进了庇护政治。首先,在权力下放的州,中央和地方政客都分配赞助,以增强他们的政治支持。其次,地方选举向中央领导人揭示了选举中重要选民的地理分布信息。中央领导人可以利用这些信息为这些选民提供特殊利益。第三,当选的地方政客有个人的策略来分配赞助,尽管或除了他们所代表的政党的庇护策略之外。来自印度的证据表明,权力下放有助于在权力下放的邦更广泛地分配惠顾。来自印度各邦和各村的数据表明,邦和地方各级的激励机制决定了赞助的分配。
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引用次数: 35
Illicit Financial Flows from the Least Developed Countries: 1990-2008 最不发达国家的非法资金流动:1990-2008
Pub Date : 2011-05-02 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2335018
D. Kar
This paper explores the scale and composition of illicit financial flows from the 48 Least Developed Countries (LDCs). Illicit financial flows involve the cross-border transfer of the proceeds of corruption, trade in contraband goods, criminal activities and tax evasion. In recent years, considerable interest has arisen over the extent to which such flows may have a detrimental impact on development and governance in both developed and developing countries alike.This issue has been recognized by the UN as important for development and achievement of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). Illicit capital flight, where it occurs, is a major hindrance to the mobilization of domestic resources for development. In many cases, it significantly reduces the volume of resources available for investment in the MDGs and productive capacities. Through theUnited Nations, the international community has committed to strengthen national and multilateral efforts to address it. As the deadline for achievement of the MDGs draws closer, it is vital understand more about the nature of this problem and to explore possible policy solutions, especially for those countries furthest off-track towards the MDGs.The study’s indicative results find that illicit financial flows from the LDCs have increased from US $9.7 billion in 1990 to US $26.3 billion in 2008 implying an inflation-adjusted rate of increase of 6.2 percent per annum. Conservative (lower-bound) estimates indicate that illicit flows have increased from US $7.9 billion in 1990 to US $20.2 billion in 2008. The top ten exporters of illicit capital account for 63 percent of total outflows from the LDCs while the top 20 account for nearly 83 percent. Trade mispricing accounts for the bulk (65-70 percent) of illicit outflows from the LDCs, and the propensity for mispricing has increased along with increasing external trade. Empirical research on illicit flows indicates that there are three types of factors driving illicit flows — macroeconomic, structural, and governance-related.The ratio of illicit outflows to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) averages about 4.8 percent but there is wide variation among LDCs. Of the top 10 countries with the highest illicit flows to GDP ratio, four are small island countries, two are landlocked, and four are neither. In some LDCs, losses through illicit capital flows outpace monies received in official development assistance (ODA).
本文探讨了48个最不发达国家(LDCs)非法资金流动的规模和构成。非法资金流动涉及腐败所得的跨境转移、违禁品贸易、犯罪活动和逃税。近年来,人们对这种流动可能在多大程度上对发达国家和发展中国家的发展和治理产生有害影响产生了相当大的兴趣。这一问题已被联合国确认为发展和实现千年发展目标的重要问题。在发生非法资本外逃的地方,是调动国内资源促进发展的主要障碍。在许多情况下,它大大减少了可用于千年发展目标和生产能力投资的资源量。国际社会已承诺通过联合国加强国家和多边努力来解决这一问题。随着实现千年发展目标的最后期限越来越近,至关重要的是要更多地了解这一问题的性质,并探讨可能的政策解决办法,特别是对那些偏离千年发展目标最远的国家。该研究的指示性结果发现,来自最不发达国家的非法资金流动从1990年的97亿美元增加到2008年的263亿美元,这意味着经通货膨胀调整后的年增长率为6.2%。保守(下限)估计表明,非法流量已从1990年的79亿美元增加到2008年的202亿美元。十大非法资本出口国占最不发达国家流出总量的63%,而前20大出口国占近83%。贸易错误定价占最不发达国家非法流出的大部分(65- 70%),而且随着对外贸易的增加,错误定价的倾向也在增加。对非法流动的实证研究表明,推动非法流动的因素有三种:宏观经济因素、结构性因素和治理相关因素。非法资金外流占国内生产总值(GDP)的比例平均约为4.8%,但最不发达国家之间差异很大。在非法资金流入与国内生产总值之比最高的前10个国家中,4个是小岛屿国家,2个是内陆国,4个两者都不是。在一些最不发达国家,非法资本流动造成的损失超过了收到的官方发展援助。
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引用次数: 67
Are Transparent Banks More Efficient? Evidence from Russia 透明的银行效率更高吗?来自俄罗斯的证据
Pub Date : 2011-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1792605
Catherine Refait-Alexandre, Etienne Farvaque, L. Weill
This study examines the relationship between bank transparency and efficiency. Using a unique data set for Russian banks, we find that transparency is important and that, among the dimensions of transparency, the transparency in board and management structure and process represents the most significant determinant. These results are controlled for size effects, the structure of liabilities, the structure of assets, and nonperforming loans. This highlights the role of transparency in improving efficiency, particularly in transition economies.
本研究探讨银行透明度与效率之间的关系。使用俄罗斯银行的独特数据集,我们发现透明度很重要,在透明度的维度中,董事会和管理结构和流程的透明度代表了最重要的决定因素。这些结果控制了规模效应、负债结构、资产结构和不良贷款。这突出了透明度在提高效率方面的作用,特别是在转型经济中。
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引用次数: 8
Lawful But Corrupt: Gaming and the Problem of Institutional Corruption in the Private Sector 合法但腐败:赌博与私营部门的制度性腐败问题
Pub Date : 2010-12-04 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1726004
Malcolm S. Salter
This paper describes how the gaming of society’s rules by corporations contributes to the problem of institutional corruption in the world of business. “Gaming” in its various forms involves the use of technically legal means to subvert the intent of society’s rules in order to gain advantage over rivals, maximize reported earnings, maintain high credit ratings, preserve access to capital on favorable terms, and reap personal rewards - just mention several possible motives. It is one of the most corrosive forms of institutional corruption in business. “Institutional corruption” refers to company-sanctioned behavior and relationships that may be lawful but either harm the public interest or weaken the capacity of the institution to achieve its primary purposes. The most salient consequence of institutional corruption is diminished public trust in the governance of the institution. In this paper, I describe the twin phenomena of gaming and institutional corruption - and how the former contributes to the latter, often with the support of professional advisors at law and auditing firms. I illustrate these phenomena with examples from Enron, which (apart from outright fraud) pursued one of the greatest gaming strategies of all time. I also point to the implementation of the Dodd-Frank Act as an excellent source of clinical data pertaining to gaming in a more contemporary setting. I then discuss how gaming and other trust-destroying behavior have been encouraged by the short-term decision-making horizons of both corporate executives and managers of large investment funds, how those time horizons are largely driven by ways in which the performance of operating executives and investment fund managers is measured and rewarded, and how the directors of these entities become complicit in the gaming of society’s rules and the spreading of institutional corruption. I end by suggesting possible remedies for curbing the ill effects of continued gaming of society’s rules and restoring much needed public trust in the offending institutions.
本文描述了企业对社会规则的博弈如何导致了商业世界中的制度性腐败问题。各种形式的“赌博”包括使用技术上合法的手段来颠覆社会规则的意图,以获得对竞争对手的优势,最大化报告的收益,保持高信用评级,以优惠条件获得资本,并获得个人奖励——仅举几个可能的动机。这是商业中最具腐蚀性的制度性腐败形式之一。“制度性腐败”是指公司认可的可能合法但损害公共利益或削弱机构实现其主要目的能力的行为和关系。机构腐败最显著的后果是公众对机构治理的信任降低。在本文中,我描述了博弈和制度腐败的双重现象,以及前者如何在法律和审计事务所的专业顾问的支持下助长后者。我用安然公司(Enron)的例子来说明这些现象,安然公司(除了彻头彻尾的欺诈之外)一直奉行着最伟大的赌博策略之一。我还指出,《多德-弗兰克法案》(Dodd-Frank Act)的实施是与现代游戏相关的临床数据的绝佳来源。然后,我讨论了企业高管和大型投资基金经理的短期决策视野如何鼓励赌博和其他破坏信任的行为,这些时间视野如何在很大程度上受到衡量和奖励运营高管和投资基金经理业绩的方式的驱动,以及这些实体的董事如何成为社会规则游戏和机构腐败蔓延的同谋。最后,我提出了一些可能的补救措施,以遏制持续违反社会规则的不良影响,并恢复公众对违规机构急需的信任。
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引用次数: 22
Fraud Risk Factors and Auditing Standards: A Call for the Replication of Empirical Research in an Islamic Environment 舞弊风险因素与审计准则:对伊斯兰环境下实证研究复制的呼吁
Pub Date : 2009-11-21 DOI: 10.12785/aja/130104
Tumpal Wagner Sitorus, Don R Scott
Accounting fraud and many other forms of fraud and corruption are occurring around the globe. Alternative strategies that are based on sound research-based findings from different situations are needed if there is to be a systematic reduction in the occurrence of these forms of fraud. This research note introduces a topical research issue in the area of fraud risk factors and auditing standards in relation to different forms of fraud, and models of fraudulent behaviour, and identifies a more scientific approach that can be used to empirically examine these issues. It also calls for the future replication of this empirical research in another environment to extend the relevance of the developed model to a broader context. This research note outlines the background to this research issue, research problems and hypotheses, justification for the research, definitions, a proposed scientifically based research methodology and recommendations.
会计欺诈和许多其他形式的欺诈和腐败正在全球范围内发生。如果要有系统地减少这些形式的欺诈的发生,就需要基于来自不同情况的可靠研究结果的替代战略。本研究报告介绍了与不同形式的欺诈和欺诈行为模型相关的欺诈风险因素和审计标准领域的一个专题研究问题,并确定了一种更科学的方法,可用于实证研究这些问题。它还要求未来在另一个环境中复制这一实证研究,以将已开发模型的相关性扩展到更广泛的背景下。本研究报告概述了本研究问题的背景、研究问题和假设、研究的理由、定义、提出的基于科学的研究方法和建议。
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引用次数: 4
Corruption in Higher Education: US, Russia, UK 高等教育中的腐败:美国、俄罗斯、英国
Pub Date : 2007-11-22 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1540714
Ararat L. Osipian
Corruption in higher education is a newly emerging topic in the field of education research. Some aspects of corruption in education have been addressed in the resent works by Eckstein (2003), Hallak and Poisson (2002, 2007), Heyneman (2004, 2007, 2008), Noah & Eckstein (2001), Osipian (2007, 2008, 2009, 2010), Segal (2004), and Washburn (2005). However, the rigorous systematic research is lacking. This paper considers corruption in higher education in the media, following publications in the United States, the United Kingdom, and the Russian Federation. It addresses the differences in forms of corruption across the nations pointing to how exactly they differ and why. Major findings point to the following: some forms of corruption are region-specific while others are universal; types of corruption are connected to the characteristics of the national systems; the general trend in the media attention reflects growing concern about corruption in academia; in the US more attention is now paid to fraud, plagiarism and cheating, while in Russia to bribery in admissions. The findings help to determine which aspects of corruption in higher education should be given more consideration in the future research and which ones might be prioritized, as well as how the national systems of higher education can be improved.
高等教育中的腐败问题是教育研究领域的一个新兴课题。埃克斯坦(2003年)、哈拉克和泊松(2002年、2007年)、海涅曼(2004年、2007年、2008年)、诺亚和埃克斯坦(2001年)、奥西皮安(2007年、2008年、2009年、2010年)、西格尔(2004年)和沃什伯恩(2005年)最近的作品中讨论了教育腐败的某些方面。然而,缺乏严谨的系统研究。本文在美国、英国和俄罗斯联邦的出版物之后,考虑了媒体在高等教育中的腐败问题。它阐述了各国腐败形式的差异,指出了这些不同的具体程度和原因。主要调查结果表明:某些形式的腐败是区域特有的,而其他形式的腐败是普遍的;腐败的类型与国家制度的特点有关;媒体关注的总体趋势反映了对学术界腐败的日益关注;在美国,现在更多的关注欺诈、抄袭和作弊,而在俄罗斯,更关注招生中的贿赂。这些发现有助于确定高等教育腐败的哪些方面应该在未来的研究中得到更多的考虑,哪些方面可能是优先考虑的,以及如何改进国家高等教育系统。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
ERN: Institutions & Corruption (Topic)
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