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The Secret of Political Leaders’ Personal Appeal: (How) Do Personality Traits Matter? 政治领袖个人魅力的秘密:人格特质如何起作用?
Pub Date : 2014-01-01 DOI: 10.15388/BJPS.2014.3.4867
Jūratė Kavaliauskaitė
Literature on personalization of politics emphasizes growing salience of individuals and private issues when party democracy is in decline. These trends are believed to strengthen personal appeal of politicians. However, what is the secret of party-leader’s personal appeal? Are politician’s personal traits the major key to popular sympathies? The article examines the impact of voter’s perception of party-leader’s personality along Big Five and personal charm on voter’s affinity for the leader. Analysis of the Lithuanian pre-election survey data (2012) on national party-leaders’ popular appeal, measured with “feeling thermometer”, and popular perception of leaders’ personality traits, measured with a set of semantic differentials, reveals that the significance of personality differs both across personality dimensions and between politicians under consideration. Agreeableness is the most important and universally desirable dimension of a political leader’s personality, followed by conscientiousness, with classic predictors of electoral choice under control. The significance of other personality dimensions of Big Five is much smaller if any, and personal charm seems to be inwrought with the five personality dimensions. The results prove that popular yearning for moral leadership, complemented with high performance, persists regardless of changes in political communication and (post)modern citizenship.
政治人格化的文献强调,当政党民主衰落时,个人和私人问题日益突出。人们认为,这些趋势会增强政治家的个人吸引力。然而,党魁个人魅力的秘密是什么呢?政治家的个人特质是大众同情的主要关键吗?本文考察了选民对党魁人格五大特征的认知和个人魅力对选民对党魁亲和力的影响。通过对立陶宛2012年大选前政党领导人的民意调查数据(用“感觉温度计”测量)和民众对领导人人格特质的认知(用一组语义差异测量)的分析,发现人格的重要性在不同的人格维度和不同的政治家之间都是不同的。平易近人是政治领导人性格中最重要、也是最受欢迎的方面,其次是尽责性,这是选举选择的经典预测因素。大五人格的其他维度的重要性要小得多,如果有的话,个人魅力似乎与五个人格维度交织在一起。结果证明,无论政治沟通和(后)现代公民身份的变化如何,大众对道德领导和高绩效的渴望仍然存在。
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引用次数: 3
Danish Support for the Baltic Struggle for Independence 1988-1991: A Hawk-Dove Domestic Confrontation 丹麦对波罗的海独立斗争的支持(1988-1991):鹰派-鸽派的国内对抗
Pub Date : 2014-01-01 DOI: 10.15388/bjps.2014.3.4869
Mikkel Runge Olesen
Abstract When the Baltic States regained their independence in 1991, Denmark had been one of their very strongest supporters, at a time when many European countries looked at the Baltic aspirations with caution. It was one of the first examples of the new post-Cold War “activist” Danish foreign policy strategy. It was not, however, without difficulties. Thus, the article argues that the Danish Social Democratic centre-left and Conservative-Liberal centre-right disagreed on how to support the Balts in practice and at what price. The difference was rooted in a hawk-dove disagreement over détente and the Soviet Union. Government party colour, the article argues, is therefore likely to have been crucial for the Danish policy. Had the relatively hawkish centre-right government not been in power, it is very doubtful that we would have seen the kind of aggressive diplomatic support for Baltic independence as we saw from Denmark leading up to 1991.
当波罗的海国家于1991年重新获得独立时,丹麦是它们最坚定的支持者之一,当时许多欧洲国家都谨慎地看待波罗的海的愿望。这是冷战后丹麦新“激进主义”外交政策战略的首批例子之一。然而,这并非没有困难。因此,本文认为,丹麦社会民主党的中左翼和保守自由党的中右翼在如何支持波罗的海国家以及以何种代价支持波罗的海国家的问题上存在分歧。这一分歧的根源在于鹰派和鸽派在伊朗和苏联问题上的分歧。因此,这篇文章认为,政府的党派色彩很可能对丹麦的政策至关重要。如果相对强硬的中右翼政府没有执政,我们就很难看到像1991年前丹麦对波罗的海独立所给予的那种积极的外交支持。
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引用次数: 2
Report: Welfare State Model – Nordic Experiences and Perspectives in Lithuania 报告:福利国家模式——北欧在立陶宛的经验和观点
Pub Date : 2014-01-01 DOI: 10.15388/bjps.2014.3.4866
Romualdas Bakutis
Abstract The aim of this article is to review the ideas presented by the Nordic scholars of the “Welfare State Model – Nordic Experiences and Perspectives in Lithuania” project and to discuss the applicability of these ideas to the Lithuanian context. During the program, held in Lithuania, in 2013–2014, Nordic scholars and their Lithuanian colleagues debated Nordic welfare model features such as active labour market policies, family policies, digital welfare innovations, the role of culture, and social trust. They also discussed contemporary challenges to Nordic success. The project intended to: promote the Nordic countries’ experiences of becoming welfare states, increase knowledge of the Nordic welfare model among Lithuanians, and initiate a debate on the potential for this model to function in Lithuania.
摘要本文旨在回顾北欧学者在“福利国家模式——北欧在立陶宛的经验和观点”项目中提出的观点,并讨论这些观点在立陶宛背景下的适用性。在2013-2014年在立陶宛举行的项目中,北欧学者和他们的立陶宛同事讨论了北欧福利模式的特征,如积极的劳动力市场政策、家庭政策、数字福利创新、文化的作用和社会信任。他们还讨论了北欧成功面临的当代挑战。该项目旨在:推广北欧国家成为福利国家的经验,增加立陶宛人对北欧福利模式的了解,并就该模式在立陶宛发挥作用的潜力展开辩论。
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引用次数: 0
Towards Pronatalism – Baltic Family Policy in European Comparison in 2002 and 2010 走向亲民主义——2002年和2010年欧洲的波罗的海家庭政策比较
Pub Date : 2014-01-01 DOI: 10.15388/bjps.2014.3.4870
M. Ainsaar, Helina Riisalu
Abstract The majority of comparative analyses of family policy have been oriented towards western European countries and only very few have included Baltic and eastern European countries. The aim of this paper is to analyse family policy in Baltic countries in European comparison about ten years after regaining independence, in 2002, and in 2010. Family policy is divided into two categories for analysis: 1) support for families from around the birth of a child until the first birthday of the child, pronatalist policies; and 2) child well-being policies, support for the family when the child is older. All policy data are standardised according to the relative wealth in the particular country. Results demonstrate that after ten years of country specific family policy processes, Lithuania developed a very specific pronatalist family policy type compared with Estonia and Latvia. In 2010, Estonia and Latvia also obtained a more pronatalist approach, but the Baltic countries did not belong to any one particular crystallised family policy group.
大多数关于家庭政策的比较分析都是针对西欧国家的,只有极少数的比较分析包括波罗的海和东欧国家。本文的目的是分析波罗的海国家在恢复独立后大约十年,2002年和2010年的欧洲比较中的家庭政策。家庭政策分为两类进行分析:1)对家庭从孩子出生前后到孩子一岁生日的支持,即生育政策;2)儿童福利政策,当孩子长大后对家庭的支持。所有政策数据都是根据特定国家的相对财富进行标准化的。结果表明,与爱沙尼亚和拉脱维亚相比,经过十年的国别家庭政策进程,立陶宛制定了一种非常具体的生育主义家庭政策类型。2010年,爱沙尼亚和拉脱维亚也获得了更为亲民的政策,但波罗的海国家并不属于任何一个特定的明确的家庭政策集团。
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引用次数: 1
The Impact of the EU on Agencification and Depoliticisation in Lithuania 欧盟对立陶宛机构化和非政治化的影响
Pub Date : 2014-01-01 DOI: 10.15388/bjps.2014.3.4873
V. Nakrošis, Sabina Bankauskaitė-Grigaliūnienė
Abstract This article compares the actual patterns of agencification and depoliticisation in Lithuania and explains the extent to which the EU influenced these changes. Our research employs (descriptive and inferential) statistical analysis of data on the organisational changes of Lithuanian agencies and the political participation of their managers in the 1990-2012 period. The article found that the EU made a significant contribution to the establishment of new agencies but changes in the scope of politicisation can be explained by a combination of evolution in the political conditionality of EU membership and wholesale government changes. The differentiated impact of the EU on public administration changes was observed with the management of the Europeanised agencies becoming increasingly professional over time. Overall, the results of our research confirm the stronger and more enduring impact of specific acquis rules in the policy domain compared to the much weaker influence of the EU’s political conditionality.
本文比较了立陶宛机构化和非政治化的实际模式,并解释了欧盟对这些变化的影响程度。我们的研究采用(描述性和推断性)统计分析立陶宛机构的组织变化数据及其管理人员在1990-2012年期间的政治参与。文章发现,欧盟对新机构的建立做出了重大贡献,但政治化范围的变化可以用欧盟成员国政治条件的演变和政府的大规模变化相结合来解释。随着时间的推移,欧洲化机构的管理变得越来越专业,可以观察到欧盟对公共行政变化的不同影响。总体而言,我们的研究结果证实,与欧盟政治条件的影响要弱得多相比,特定收购规则在政策领域的影响更强、更持久。
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引用次数: 1
Small New Member States in the EU Foreign Policy: Toward ‘Small State Smart Strategy’? 欧盟外交政策中的新小成员国:走向“小国智慧战略”?
Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.15388/bjps.2013.2.2818
G. Pastore
Abstract This article explores the small new member states at the EU ‘frontline’ in their efforts to upload their geographic preferences in the EU foreign policy. It starts by reviewing the preferences of Cyprus, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, and Slovenia. Next, it compares how they pursued these preferences in the EU. Third, it indicates their uploading success. Finally, it notes that these countries, despite their ‘double disadvantages’1, moved closer toward ‘small state smart strategy’2, including compromise-seeking behaviour, persuasive deliberation, lobbying, and using coalitions. While their uploading success has been mixed, their preference projection in the EU foreign policy has been visible.
摘要本文探讨了处于欧盟“前线”的新成员国在欧盟外交政策中上传其地理偏好的努力。本文首先回顾了塞浦路斯、爱沙尼亚、拉脱维亚、立陶宛、马耳他和斯洛文尼亚的偏好。接下来,它比较了它们在欧盟内追求这些优惠的方式。三是上传成功。最后,报告指出,尽管这些国家存在“双重劣势”1,但它们更接近于“小国智能战略”2,包括寻求妥协的行为、有说服力的审议、游说和利用联盟。虽然他们的上传成功与否喜忧参半,但他们对欧盟外交政策的偏好预测是显而易见的。
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引用次数: 20
Review: Agnia Grigas, The Politics of Energy and Memory Between the Baltic States and Russia 评论:Agnia Grigas,波罗的海国家与俄罗斯之间的能源和记忆政治
Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.15388/bjps.2013.2.2821
Sabina Karmazinaitė
Since the declarations of independence more than 20 years ago, besides others, the Baltic states are being pursued by energy dependency issues. Differently than was wishfully expected, accession to the EU and NATO for Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania did not mean suddenly improved relations with Russia, overcome domestic political weaknesses as well as fast solutions in the energy security sector. They still cause a notable predicament after accession to the EU and NATO. In the recent years, an especial focus on the energy sector could be observed in the Baltic states – energy security has become one of the main concerns for politicians and attracts a lot of attention in the Baltic media and public debates. However, when looking from the academic perspective and analysis, these issues seem not to have found their place among more serious and consistent scholarly interests, creating a strange paradoxical situation when constant daily topicalities in the media and political life were left behind a deeper academic analysis. [...]
自20多年前宣布独立以来,除其他国家外,波罗的海国家还受到能源依赖问题的困扰。与人们一厢厢愿的预期不同,爱沙尼亚、拉脱维亚和立陶宛加入欧盟和北约并不意味着与俄罗斯关系的突然改善、克服国内政治弱点以及能源安全领域的快速解决方案。在加入欧盟和北约后,它们仍然造成了显著的困境。近年来,波罗的海国家特别关注能源部门,能源安全已成为政治家关注的主要问题之一,并在波罗的海媒体和公众辩论中引起了大量关注。然而,从学术的角度和分析来看,这些问题似乎并没有在更严肃和一致的学术兴趣中找到自己的位置,造成了一种奇怪的矛盾局面,即媒体和政治生活中不断出现的日常话题被抛在更深层次的学术分析之后。[…]
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引用次数: 0
Perceptions of Populism: Analysis of Media Discourse in Latvia 民粹主义的认知:拉脱维亚媒体话语分析
Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.15388/bjps.2013.2.2819
Ilze Balcere
Abstract This article intends to analyze how the term ‘populism’ is used in the Latvian public discourse, by examining the content of the largest daily newspaper “Diena” in three different time periods. As it emerges from the analysis, populism has gained a different meaning in the daily usage in contrast with the more established understanding conveyed by the academic literature. In the media, populism is used to a refer to wide range of politicians, different parties and policy initiatives from diverse ideological spectra. Most often, however, populism is employed to describe rhetorics or communication style whose primary goal is to attract public attention.
摘要本文拟通过考察拉脱维亚最大的日报《Diena》在三个不同时期的内容,分析“民粹主义”一词是如何在拉脱维亚公共话语中使用的。从分析中可以看出,民粹主义在日常生活中获得了与学术文献所传达的更既定的理解不同的含义。在媒体中,民粹主义被用来指来自不同意识形态光谱的广泛的政治家、不同的政党和政策举措。然而,大多数情况下,民粹主义被用来描述主要目的是吸引公众注意力的修辞或沟通方式。
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引用次数: 1
Rainis’ Apology of the ‘Basic Class’: The World Revolution or the National Emancipation? 雷尼斯:“基本阶级”的辩解:是世界革命还是民族解放?
Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.15388/bjps.2013.2.2820
Inese Grumolte
Abstract The aim of this article is to analyze the reasons for Rainis’ appreciation of the phenomenon he labels as the ‘basic class’. The Latvian writer attributes this concept to the members of society who provide the livelihood for themselves by doing mainly the manual labour. Although thus a praise for the proletariat is voiced, the reasons are more nuanced than the common Soviet interpretation allowed to see. Rainis sees the ‘Basic class’ as a crucial agent in the struggle for Latvian national emancipation. At the same time, the article seeks an answer to the question why, according to Rainis, bourgeoisie is reluctant to fight this struggle.
本文的目的是分析雷尼斯对他称之为“基本阶级”的现象的欣赏原因。拉脱维亚作家将这一概念归因于主要靠体力劳动为生的社会成员。虽然这是对无产阶级的赞扬,但其原因比苏联的普遍解释更为微妙。Rainis认为“基本阶级”是拉脱维亚民族解放斗争的关键力量。同时,这篇文章试图回答为什么在雷尼斯看来,资产阶级不愿意进行这场斗争。
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引用次数: 0
Why and How Supranational Institutions Became Central Stakeholders in the Eurozone Debt Crisis 2008–2012? 超国家机构为何以及如何成为2008-2012年欧元区债务危机的核心利益相关者?
Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.15388/bjps.2013.2.2817
Viljar Veebel, Raul Markus
Abstract The financial crisis in the Eurozone is combining several new interdisciplinary debates. Has the financial crisis been caused by the decisions of the political actors or rather by complicated economic dilemmas? In what way have different social stakeholders acted during the years of the crisis and which of the groups have had the biggest influence in different stages of the crisis? Why and how national political elites have lost their dominant position in the crisis management, which have been the cornerstones of this power transition process and what role have the supranational institutions such as the European Commission and the European Central Bank played during the crisis? Accordingly, the main goal of the article is to define the crucial events and stakeholders in the Eurozone crisis solution process by using empirical process tracing and narrative analysis as the research methods. It will also inquire into how and why national political elites and citizens delegated their democratic competences and powers to non-electable institutions during the Eurozone crisis.
欧元区的金融危机结合了几个新的跨学科辩论。金融危机是由政治行为者的决策引起的,还是由复杂的经济困境引起的?不同的社会利益相关者在危机期间采取了什么行动?哪些群体在危机的不同阶段产生了最大的影响?作为权力转移过程基石的国家政治精英为何以及如何在危机管理中失去主导地位?欧盟委员会和欧洲央行等超国家机构在危机中发挥了什么作用?因此,本文的主要目标是通过实证过程追踪和叙事分析作为研究方法来界定欧元区危机解决过程中的关键事件和利益相关者。它还将调查在欧元区危机期间,各国政治精英和公民如何以及为何将他们的民主能力和权力委托给非选举机构。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Baltic Journal of Political Science
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