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International law and transboundary dams: lessons learned from the Binational Entity ITAIPU (Brazil and Paraguay) 国际法和跨界水坝:从两国实体ITAIPU(巴西和巴拉圭)吸取的经验教训
Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-11-13 DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2023.1272254
Maria A. Gwynn
The international river Paraná flows through Brazil, Paraguay and Argentina, and holds two major binational dams: the upstream ITAIPU dam (Brazil-Paraguay) and the downstream Yacyreta dam (Argentina-Paraguay). In the past years, the South American region was strongly affected by adverse environmental challenges exacerbated by climate change, like wildfires and severe droughts, which in turn drastically affected the water flow of the Paraná river, a river used for multiple purposes, inter alia the production of energy. The hydropower obtained from ITAIPU is one of the main sources of energy for Paraguay and the Southern part of Brazil. At the same time, the downstream parts of the river is used for navigation purposes, which is crucial for land-locked Paraguay to export its agricultural products, and for water consumption, as is the case for Argentina. The present case study will show how in spite of these challenges, South America has been an successful example of transboundary water cooperation, especially by using the international water law guidelines aimed at achieving reasonable and equitable utilization of an international river.
国际河流帕拉马流经巴西、巴拉圭和阿根廷,并拥有两个主要的双边水坝:上游的ITAIPU水坝(巴西-巴拉圭)和下游的Yacyreta水坝(阿根廷-巴拉圭)。在过去几年中,南美洲地区受到气候变化加剧的不利环境挑战的强烈影响,如野火和严重干旱,这反过来又严重影响了帕拉纳河的水流,这条河有多种用途,特别是用于生产能源。从ITAIPU获得的水力发电是巴拉圭和巴西南部的主要能源来源之一。与此同时,河流的下游部分被用于航运目的,这对内陆国家巴拉圭出口其农产品至关重要,对阿根廷也是如此。本案例研究将表明,尽管面临这些挑战,南美洲如何成为跨界水合作的成功范例,特别是通过使用旨在实现合理和公平利用国际河流的国际水法准则。
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引用次数: 0
Editorial: Nature-based solutions, climate mitigation, biodiversity conservation 社论:基于自然的解决方案、气候减缓、生物多样性保护
Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-10-30 DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2023.1308032
Nathalie Hilmi, Ralph Chami, C. Fullenkamp, Mostafa Jafari, U. R. Sumaila
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引用次数: 0
The development of a farmer decision-making mind map to inform climate services in Central America 开发农民决策思维导图,为中美洲的气候服务提供信息
Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-10-27 DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2023.1235601
Diana Giraldo, Graham Clarkson, Peter Dorward, Diego Obando, Julian Ramirez-Villegas
The growing complexity of the relationship between climate information and agricultural decision-making necessitates the development of relevant and timely climate services for farmers. These services can effectively support risk management strategies in agriculture by fostering a comprehensive understanding of the intricacies involved in farmer decision-making dynamics. This paper addresses this critical gap by analyzing the drivers influencing decision-making processes that shape adaptation strategies for staple grain and coffee farming systems in Central America. The study answers the following research questions: (i) Does the mind map tool effectively provide a holistic understanding of farmers' decision-making processes? (ii) How do Central American farmers make decisions within their farm systems at multiple timescales? (iii) Which climate factors trigger these decisions? Employing a combination of systematic literature review and a case study in Honduras, the study identifies 13 critical decisions farmers make throughout their crop cycle and their respective triggers. These decisions were grouped into three clusters (production, household, and environmental) and classified into lead-time categories (operational, tactical, and strategic). Findings reveal that farmers base their decisions regarding future climate expectations on their traditional knowledge, religious dates, and memories of recent past seasons' rainfall patterns, and that one of the most significant factors influencing farmers' decisions is food security shortages resulting from extreme events. For example, recent mid-summer droughts have led farmers to prioritize sowing beans over maize in the Primera season, while during the Postrera season, they face challenges due to excess rainfall and the hurricane season. We conclude that the mind map tool developed in this paper provides an effective and appropriate method and that the variation in farmers' decision-making complexity across systems and landscapes presents a significant opportunity to design mind maps that span multiple timescales, facilitating the exploration of decision spaces. Farmers actively seek tailored weather and climate information while still valuing their existing experience and local knowledge, emphasizing the importance of integrating these elements into the development of climate services.
气候信息与农业决策之间的关系日益复杂,因此有必要为农民开发相关和及时的气候服务。这些服务可以通过促进对农民决策动态所涉及的复杂性的全面理解,有效地支持农业风险管理战略。本文通过分析影响中美洲主粮和咖啡种植系统适应战略的决策过程的驱动因素,解决了这一关键差距。该研究回答了以下研究问题:(i)思维导图工具是否有效地提供了对农民决策过程的整体理解?(ii)中美洲农民如何在多个时间尺度下在其农业系统内做出决策?(iii)哪些气候因素引发这些决定?该研究结合了系统的文献综述和洪都拉斯的案例研究,确定了农民在整个作物周期中做出的13个关键决定及其各自的触发因素。这些决策被分成三组(生产、家庭和环境),并被划分为交货时间类别(操作、战术和战略)。研究结果表明,农民对未来气候预期的决策是基于他们的传统知识、宗教日期和对最近过去季节降雨模式的记忆,而影响农民决策的最重要因素之一是极端事件导致的粮食安全短缺。例如,最近的仲夏干旱导致农民在春播季优先播种豆类而不是玉米,而在春播季,他们面临着降雨过多和飓风季节的挑战。我们的结论是,本文开发的思维导图工具提供了一种有效和适当的方法,并且农民决策复杂性在不同系统和景观中的变化为设计跨多个时间尺度的思维导图提供了重要机会,从而促进了决策空间的探索。农民积极寻求量身定制的天气和气候信息,同时仍然重视他们现有的经验和当地知识,强调将这些因素纳入气候服务发展的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Training community engaged climate adaptation leaders using multiple case study analysis: insights from cognitive learning sciences 培训社区参与的气候适应领导者,使用多个案例研究分析:来自认知学习科学的见解
Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-10-26 DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2023.1196467
Sara Abercrombie, Diana Lynne Stuart, Clare Ellsworth Aslan, Sara Souther, Brian Craig Petersen
Training community engaged climate adaptation leaders requires developing learners' thinking skills so they can flexibly approach adaptation planning and problem solving in novel socio-ecological contexts. In this text, we describe how multiple case study analysis helps adult learners in both formal and community education settings develop the thinking skills necessary for adaptation work, including analogical reasoning and knowledge transfer; and we illustrate how to organize multiple case analysis on shared critical competencies aligned to community needs. The article concludes with a discussion of three instructional best practices for employing multiple case analysis in educational settings and a discussion of how this educational approach can guide training programs and funding priorities.
培训社区参与的气候适应领导者需要培养学习者的思维能力,使他们能够在新的社会生态环境中灵活地进行适应规划和解决问题。在本文中,我们描述了多个案例研究分析如何帮助正规和社区教育环境中的成人学习者发展适应工作所需的思维技能,包括类比推理和知识转移;我们还说明了如何组织针对符合社区需求的共享关键能力的多个案例分析。文章最后讨论了在教育环境中采用多案例分析的三种教学最佳实践,并讨论了这种教育方法如何指导培训计划和资金优先事项。
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引用次数: 0
Disentangling artificial and natural benthic weathering in organic rich Baltic Sea sediments 波罗的海富有机质沉积物中人工和自然底栖生物风化的分离
Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-10-24 DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2023.1245580
Michael Fuhr, Klaus Wallmann, Andrew W. Dale, Isabel Diercks, Habeeb Thanveer Kalapurakkal, Mark Schmidt, Stefan Sommer, Stefanie Böhnke, Mirjam Perner, Sonja Geilert
Enhanced mineral dissolution in the benthic environment is currently discussed as a potential technique for ocean alkalinity enhancement (OAE) to reduce atmospheric CO 2 levels. This study explores how biogeochemical processes affect the dissolution of alkaline minerals in surface sediments during laboratory incubation experiments. These involved introducing dunite and calcite to organic-rich sediments from the Baltic Sea under controlled conditions in an oxic environment. The sediment cores were incubated with Baltic Sea bottom water. Findings reveal that the addition of calcite increased the benthic alkalinity release from 0.4 μmol cm −2 d −1 (control) to 1.4 μmol cm −2 d −1 (calcite) as well as other weathering products such as calcium. However, these enhanced fluxes returned to lower fluxes after approximately 4 weeks yet still higher than the un-amended controls. Microbial activity appeared to be the primary driver for lowering pore water pH and thus enhanced weathering. In several sediment cores, pH profiles taken at the start of the experiments indicated activity of sulfur oxidizing Beggiatoa spp, which was verified by RNA-profiling of 16S rRNA genes. The pH profiles transitioned to those commonly associated with the activity of cable bacteria as the experiments progressed. The metabolic activity of cable bacteria would explain the significantly lower pH values (~5.6) at sediment depths of 1–3 cm, which would favor substantial calcite dissolution. However, a high abundance of cable bacteria was not reflected in 16S rRNA sequence data. Total alkalinity (TA) fluxes in these cores increased by a factor of ~3, with excess TA/calcium ratios indicating that the enhanced flux originated from calcite dissolution. The dissolution of dunite or the potential formation of secondary minerals could not be identified due to the strong natural flux of silicic acid, likely due to biogenic silica dissolution. Furthermore, no accumulation of potentially harmful metals such as nickel was observed, as highlighted as a potential risk in other studies concerning OAE. Given the complexity of sediment chemistry and changes of the benthic conditions induced by the incubation, it remains challenging to distinguish between natural and enhanced mineral weathering. Further investigation, including the identification of suitable tracers for mineral dissolution, are necessary to assess the feasibility of benthic weathering as a practical approach for OAE and climate change mitigation.
在底栖环境中增强矿物溶解是目前讨论的一种潜在的海洋碱度增强(OAE)技术,以减少大气co2水平。本研究在实验室培养实验中探讨了生物地球化学过程如何影响地表沉积物中碱性矿物的溶解。这些研究包括在可控的氧化环境下,将白云石和方解石引入波罗的海富含有机物的沉积物中。沉积物岩心与波罗的海底水孵育。结果表明,方解石的加入使底栖生物碱释放量从对照的0.4 μmol cm−2 d−1增加到1.4 μmol cm−2 d−1(方解石),并增加了钙等风化产物的释放量。然而,这些增强的通量在大约4周后恢复到较低的通量,但仍高于未修正的对照组。微生物活动似乎是降低孔隙水pH值从而增强风化的主要驱动因素。在几个沉积物岩心中,实验开始时的pH谱显示了硫氧化Beggiatoa spp的活性,这一点通过16S rRNA基因的rna谱分析得到了验证。随着实验的进行,pH曲线转变为通常与电缆细菌活性相关的pH曲线。电缆细菌的代谢活性可以解释1-3 cm沉积物深度pH值显著降低(~5.6)的原因,这有利于方解石的大量溶解。然而,在16S rRNA序列数据中并没有反映出高丰度的电缆细菌。这些岩心的总碱度(TA)通量增加了约3倍,过量的TA/钙比值表明,总碱度通量的增加源于方解石的溶解。由于硅酸的强自然通量(可能是由于生物成因的二氧化硅溶解),无法确定白云石的溶解或次生矿物的潜在形成。此外,没有观察到镍等潜在有害金属的积累,这在其他有关OAE的研究中被强调为潜在风险。考虑到沉积物化学的复杂性和孵育引起的底栖生物条件的变化,区分自然风化和增强矿物风化仍然具有挑战性。为了评估底栖生物风化作为一种切实可行的OAE和减缓气候变化方法的可行性,有必要进行进一步的调查,包括确定合适的矿物溶解示踪剂。
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引用次数: 0
A co-produced national climate change risk and vulnerability assessment framework for South Africa 共同编制的南非国家气候变化风险和脆弱性评估框架
Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-10-23 DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2023.1197167
Gina Ziervogel, Anna Taylor
Introduction There are mounting demands to undertake climate risk and vulnerability (CRV) assessments for policy, planning, funding, insurance, and compliance reasons. In Africa, given the adaptation imperative, this is particularly important. Increasingly, it has become clear that sub-national assessments are needed to inform adaptation practice. However, there has been relatively little guidance on how to undertake these more local assessments and aggregate them making it difficult for national governments to know the extent and variability of climate vulnerability and risk across the country. Methods In South Africa, the national government, led by the Department of Forestry, Fisheries and the Environment (DFFE), undertook to establish a common framework to guide the development and review of CRV assessments. This paper presents the framework that was co-developed through a series of engagements with stakeholders active in implementing and supporting CRV assessments. Results The framework is intended to provide guidance on what to consider when undertaking CRV assessments within diverse South African contexts in order to enable alignment, comparison, and aggregation between them and work towards an effective climate adaptation response across scales. Rather than standardizing a methodology, the framework promotes the use of a standard set of concepts as the basis for each assessment and profiles a diversity of methods, tools and data sources for applying the concepts in a contextually sensitive way. This provides a flexible yet structured sequence of three interlinked steps in a risk and vulnerability assessment process, namely: (1) Planning, (2) Scoping and (3) Assessing. The framework guides users through the choice and application of three assessment depths, depending on decision-context, resourcing and extent of pre-existing data and information. It encourages the integration of participatory and indicator-based methods through an impact chain approach, profiling more than 30 freely available tools and resources. This process builds a strong evidence base and a deepening set of engagements and shared understanding between relevant stakeholders, upon which to act. Discussion This South African process can provide insight and support for actors driving the climate agenda in other countries looking to develop comparable assessments as the basis to drive equitable and transformative climate action and learning.
由于政策、规划、资金、保险和合规等原因,对气候风险和脆弱性(CRV)评估的需求日益增加。在非洲,鉴于适应的必要性,这一点尤为重要。越来越明显的是,需要次国家评估来为适应实践提供信息。然而,关于如何进行更多的地方评估和汇总评估的指导相对较少,这使得国家政府很难了解全国气候脆弱性和风险的程度和可变性。方法在南非,由林业、渔业和环境部(DFFE)领导的国家政府承诺建立一个共同框架,以指导CRV评估的制定和审查。本文介绍了通过与积极实施和支持CRV评估的利益相关者的一系列接触共同开发的框架。该框架旨在为在南非不同背景下进行CRV评估时应考虑的事项提供指导,以便在它们之间进行协调、比较和汇总,并努力实现跨尺度的有效气候适应响应。该框架不是使一种方法标准化,而是促进使用一套标准概念作为每次评估的基础,并概述了以对环境敏感的方式应用这些概念的各种方法、工具和数据源。这为风险和脆弱性评估过程提供了一个灵活而有序的三个相互关联的步骤,即:(1)规划,(2)范围界定和(3)评估。该框架指导用户根据决策上下文、资源和预先存在的数据和信息的程度,选择和应用三种评估深度。它鼓励通过影响链方法整合参与性方法和基于指标的方法,对30多种免费提供的工具和资源进行了分析。这一进程建立了强有力的证据基础,并在相关利益攸关方之间建立了一系列不断深化的参与和共同理解,并据此采取行动。南非的这一进程可以为其他国家推动气候议程的行为者提供洞察力和支持,这些国家希望制定可比较的评估,作为推动公平和变革性气候行动和学习的基础。
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引用次数: 0
Precipitation forecasting: from geophysical aspects to machine learning applications 降水预报:从地球物理方面到机器学习应用
Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-10-19 DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2023.1250201
Ewerton Cristhian Lima de Oliveira, Antonio Vasconcelos Nogueira Neto, Ana Paula Paes dos Santos, Claudia Priscila Wanzeler da Costa, Julio Cezar Gonçalves de Freitas, Pedro Walfir Martins Souza-Filho, Rafael de Lima Rocha, Ronnie Cley Alves, Vânia dos Santos Franco, Eduardo Costa de Carvalho, Renata Gonçalves Tedeschi
Intense precipitation events pose a significant threat to human life. Mathematical and computational models have been developed to simulate atmospheric dynamics to predict and understand these climates and weather events. However, recent advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms, particularly in machine learning (ML) techniques, coupled with increasing computer processing power and meteorological data availability, have enabled the development of more cost-effective and robust computational models that are capable of predicting precipitation types and aiding decision-making to mitigate damage. In this paper, we provide a comprehensive overview of the state-of-the-art in predicting precipitation events, addressing issues and foundations, physical origins of rainfall, potential use of AI as a predictive tool for forecasting, and computational challenges in this area of research. Through this review, we aim to contribute to a deeper understanding of precipitation formation and forecasting aided by ML algorithms.
强降水事件对人类生命构成重大威胁。数学和计算模型已被开发出来模拟大气动力学,以预测和了解这些气候和天气事件。然而,人工智能(AI)算法,特别是机器学习(ML)技术的最新进展,加上计算机处理能力和气象数据可用性的提高,使得开发更具成本效益和强大的计算模型成为可能,这些模型能够预测降水类型并帮助决策以减轻损害。在本文中,我们全面概述了预测降水事件、解决问题和基础、降雨的物理起源、人工智能作为预测工具的潜在用途,以及该研究领域的计算挑战。通过这篇综述,我们的目标是在ML算法的帮助下,对降水的形成和预测有更深的理解。
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引用次数: 0
Corrigendum: CERESMIP: a climate modeling protocol to investigate recent trends in the Earth's Energy Imbalance 勘误:CERESMIP:研究地球能量不平衡最近趋势的气候模拟协议
Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-10-17 DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2023.1298599
Gavin A. Schmidt, Timothy Andrews, Susanne E. Bauer, Paul J. Durack, Norman G. Loeb, V. Ramaswamy, Nathan P. Arnold, Michael G. Bosilovich, Jason Cole, Larry W. Horowitz, Gregory C. Johnson, John M. Lyman, Brian Medeiros, Takuro Michibata, Dirk Olonscheck, David Paynter, Shiv Priyam Raghuraman, Michael Schulz, Daisuke Takasuka, Vijay Tallapragada, Patrick C. Taylor, Tilo Ziehn
CORRECTION article Front. Clim., 17 October 2023Sec. Predictions and Projections Volume 5 - 2023 | https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2023.1298599
更正文章前面。爬。2023年10月17日预测和预测卷5 - 2023 | https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2023.1298599
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引用次数: 0
No risk, no fun…ctioning? Perceived climate risks, but not nature connectedness or self-efficacy predict climate anxiety 没有风险,就没有乐趣……演戏?感知气候风险,但不是自然联系或自我效能预测气候焦虑
Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-10-17 DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2023.1158451
Gerhard Reese, Maria Rueff, Marlis C. Wullenkord
The consequences of climate change are becoming increasingly visible. Recent research suggests that people may respond to climate change and its predicted consequences with a specific anxiety. Yet, little is known about potential antecedents of climate anxiety. The current study aimed to understand the contribution of climate risk perception to climate anxiety, along with nature-connectedness, self-efficacy, and political orientation. With a sample of 204 German adults, we assessed these constructs together with environmental policy support that may result from climate anxiety. Stronger risk perception and a left political orientation predicted climate anxiety. Self-efficacy and nature connectedness, however, were unrelated to climate anxiety. In line with previous studies, climate anxiety correlated positively with environmental policy support but did not predict environmental policy support when controlling for climate risk perception. We discuss results with regard to further developing the concept of climate anxiety and its dynamics and suggest directions for future research.
气候变化的后果正变得越来越明显。最近的研究表明,人们可能会对气候变化及其预测的后果产生一种特定的焦虑。然而,人们对气候焦虑的潜在成因知之甚少。本研究旨在了解气候风险感知对气候焦虑的贡献,以及自然联系、自我效能和政治取向。以204名德国成年人为样本,我们评估了这些结构以及气候焦虑可能导致的环境政策支持。更强的风险意识和左翼政治倾向预示着气候焦虑。然而,自我效能和自然联系与气候焦虑无关。与以往研究一致,气候焦虑与环境政策支持正相关,但在控制气候风险感知的情况下,不能预测环境政策支持。我们讨论了有关进一步发展气候焦虑概念及其动态的结果,并提出了未来研究的方向。
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引用次数: 0
Think global—act local: the challenge of producing actionable knowledge on transboundary climate risks at the sub-national level of governance 全球思考,地方行动:在次国家治理层面产生关于跨境气候风险的可操作知识的挑战
Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-10-09 DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2023.1170142
Carlo Aall, Tara Botnen Holm, Adeline Cauchy, Florence Rudolf, Katy Harris, Marta K. Jansen, Julie Gobert, Frida Lager, Blandine Arvis, Muriel Bour
A growing number of countries are putting transboundary climate risks on their national adaptation policy agenda. The designation of subnational governments as key actors in climate change adaptation policy appears to be appropriate when the risks associated with climate change are defined as “local.” In this study we have investigated whether local authorities can plausibly play an equally central role when it comes to transboundary climate risks. Three cases have been studied: Paris in France and the topic of migration and integration, Klepp in Norway and the topic of agriculture and livestock production, and the river harbors in the Upper Rhine region of France and the topic of freight transportation and river regulation. Even if the sub-national actors involved in the three cases showed strong interest in analyzing and addressing transboundary climate risks, it remains an open question whether such authorities can and should play an equally central role in addressing transboundary climate risks as they do in the case of local climate risks. On the other hand, assigning responsibility for managing transboundary climate risks exclusively to national authorities may increase the risk of conflicts between measures to reduce local climate risks (frequently developed and implemented by sub-national authorities) and transboundary climate risks. The authors of this paper therefore advocate a strong partnership between the different levels of governance, and between public and private-sector stakeholders, in adaptation to transboundary climate risk. It is therefore crucial that national governments explicitly account for transboundary climate risks in their national adaptation agendas and, as part of their process in determining “ownership” of such risks, decide on the role sub-national authorities should play. This choice will also affect the role of local authorities in managing local climate risks due to the interlinkages between them.
越来越多的国家正在将跨界气候风险列入其国家适应政策议程。当与气候变化相关的风险被定义为“地方性的”时,将地方政府指定为气候变化适应政策的关键行动者似乎是合适的。在这项研究中,我们调查了地方当局是否可以在跨境气候风险方面发挥同样重要的作用。研究了三个案例:法国的巴黎和移民与融合的主题,挪威的Klepp和农业与畜牧业生产的主题,以及法国上莱茵河地区的河港和货运与河流治理的主题。即使上述三个案例中涉及的地方行为体对分析和应对跨界气候风险表现出强烈的兴趣,但这些当局是否能够而且应该在应对跨界气候风险方面发挥与处理本地气候风险同样重要的作用,仍是一个悬而未决的问题。另一方面,将管理跨界气候风险的责任完全分配给国家主管部门,可能会增加减少地方气候风险的措施(通常由次国家主管部门制定和实施)与跨界气候风险之间冲突的风险。因此,本文作者主张在不同级别的治理之间以及公共和私营部门利益相关者之间建立强有力的伙伴关系,以适应跨界气候风险。因此,至关重要的是,各国政府必须在其国家适应议程中明确考虑跨境气候风险,并在确定此类风险“所有权”的过程中,决定地方当局应发挥的作用。这一选择还将影响地方当局在管理当地气候风险方面的作用,因为它们之间存在相互联系。
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引用次数: 0
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