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Fraud on a Noisy Market 喧嚣市场中的欺诈行为
Pub Date : 2005-09-16 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.803064
Larry E. Ribstein
Behavioral finance raises questions about market efficiency, suggesting that noise, and not just information, moves securities prices. This creates a conundrum for the fraud on the market theory. While some fraud remedy is arguably necessary to ensure adequate disclosure, behavioral finance raises doubt about the efficiency of fraud remedies in noisy markets. These issues are particularly important in the wake of the Supreme Court's opinion in Dura v. Broudo Pharmaceuticals, Inc., which tightens proof of loss causation in fraud on the market cases and creates uncertainty about the future of the fraud on the market theory. This paper argues for interpreting Dura to sharply constrain the fraud on the market theory. It also proposes dealing with the need to deter fraud by allowing state courts and legislatures to supplement federal liability. More broadly, this paper suggests that, contrary to the assertions of many of its proponents, the indeterminacy of behavioral economics generally, and behavioral finance in particular, may support reducing rather than increasing legal paternalism.
行为金融学提出了有关市场效率的问题,认为影响证券价格的是噪音,而不仅仅是信息。这就给市场欺诈理论制造了一个难题。虽然某些欺诈补救措施对于确保充分披露是必要的,但行为金融学对嘈杂市场中欺诈补救措施的效率提出了质疑。这些问题在最高法院对Dura v. brodo Pharmaceuticals, Inc.的判决之后显得尤为重要,该判决收紧了市场欺诈案件中损失因果关系的证明,并对市场欺诈理论的未来产生了不确定性。本文主张通过对Dura的解释,对市场上的欺诈行为进行尖锐的约束。它还建议通过允许州法院和立法机构补充联邦责任来解决防止欺诈的需要。更广泛地说,这篇论文表明,与许多支持者的断言相反,行为经济学的不确定性,尤其是行为金融学,可能会支持减少而不是增加法律上的家长式作风。
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引用次数: 9
Why Current Profitability Measures Destroy Billions in the Industry 为什么当前的盈利指标在行业中摧毁了数十亿美元
Pub Date : 2005-08-29 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.794570
F. Weissenrieder
I have worked for many years as senior consultant and advisor for the majority of European Pulp&Paper companies, the majority of Nordic Packaging and Nuclear companies and other industries, and have found that values corresponding to billions of dollars are destroyed in the industry. Not because market assumptions etc are incorrect - that is one item that always will be uncertain - but because the industry's view on financial performance has consequences that are extremely costly to the shareholders. Examples of costly consequences are: 1. It is difficult to identify where the company should be expanding and where it should improve the current business. The company does not grasp the expansion opportunities it has. 2. The renewal of the business is too slow, low propensity for renewal. 3. Low performance is cemented The reason for this money-wasting is profitability information based on accounting.
作为资深顾问和顾问,我为大多数欧洲纸浆和造纸公司、北欧包装和核能公司以及其他行业工作了多年,我发现该行业有数十亿美元的价值被摧毁。这不是因为市场假设等是不正确的——这是一个永远不确定的因素——而是因为该行业对财务表现的看法对股东造成了极其昂贵的后果。代价高昂的后果有:很难确定公司应该在哪里扩张,应该在哪里改善当前的业务。公司没有抓住它所拥有的扩张机会。2. 企业更新太慢,更新倾向低。3.这种浪费资金的原因是基于会计的盈利信息。
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引用次数: 1
Are All Individual Investors Created Equal? Evidence from Individual Investor Trading Around Securities Litigation Events 所有个人投资者都是平等的吗?围绕证券诉讼事件的个人投资者交易证据
Pub Date : 2005-06-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.740485
P. Griffin, Ning Zhu
This study examines the trading behavior of a large sample of individual (retail) investors around securities litigation events. We test the hypothesis that the response of these investors around the end of the litigation class period (at the time of a corrective disclosure) and the start of the class period (at the time of disclosure of allegedly false positive information) differs on the basis of the informedness of the investors. Our tests reject the hypothesis that more informed investors exhibit the same trading behavior as less informed investors. These results contribute to the literature by documenting differences in individual investor trading around events that reveal the start and end of an alleged financial fraud. These events can be relatively difficult to interpret and, so, it is not unreasonable that we should observe differences on the basis of informedness. We also examine individual investor trading within the class period and adduce that trading intensity is higher earlier in the class period, and higher overall relative to a control period. These findings are inconsistent with the often-applied proportional trading model for the calculation of class action damages, which assumes all shares trade with equal probability.
本研究考察了一个大样本的个人(零售)投资者围绕证券诉讼事件的交易行为。我们检验了这样一个假设,即这些投资者在诉讼集体期结束时(在纠正性披露的时候)和集体期开始时(在披露涉嫌虚假正面信息的时候)的反应在投资者知情程度的基础上有所不同。我们的测试拒绝了消息灵通的投资者与消息不灵通的投资者表现出相同交易行为的假设。这些结果通过记录个人投资者在揭示涉嫌金融欺诈的开始和结束的事件周围的交易差异,为文献做出了贡献。这些事件可能相对难以解释,因此,我们应该在信息的基础上观察差异并不是不合理的。我们还研究了个人投资者在类别期间的交易,并得出结论,交易强度在类别期间的早期更高,总体上相对于控制期更高。这些发现与通常用于计算集体诉讼损害赔偿的比例交易模型不一致,该模型假设所有股票的交易概率相等。
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引用次数: 11
Mandated Disclosure, Stock Returns, and the 1964 Securities Acts Amendments 强制性披露、股票回报和1964年证券法修正案
Pub Date : 2005-06-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.597142
M. Greenstone, Annette Vissing-Jorgensen, Paul D. Oyer
Author(s): Greenstone, Michael; Oyer, Paul E; Vissing-Jorgensen, Annette | Abstract: The 1964 Securities Acts Amendments extended the mandatory disclosure requirements that had applied to listed firms since 1934 to large firms traded Over-the-Counter (OTC). We find several pieces of evidence indicating that investors valued these disclosure requirements, two of which are particularly striking. First, a firm-level event study reveals that the OTC firms most affected by the 1964 Amendments had abnormal excess returns of about 3.5 percent in the weeks immediately surrounding the announcement that they had begun to comply with the new requirements. Second, we estimate that the most affected OTC firms had abnormal excess returns ranging between 11.5 and 22.1 percent in the period between when the legislation was initially proposed and when it went into force. These returns are adjusted for the standard four factors and are relative to NYSE/AMEX firms, matched on size and book-to-market equity, that were unaffected by the legislation. While we cannot determine how much of shareholders' gains were a transfer from insiders of these same companies, our results suggest that mandatory disclosure causes managers to focus more narrowly on maximizing shareholder value.
作者:Greenstone, Michael;保罗·E;摘要:1964年《证券法修正案》将1934年以来适用于上市公司的强制性披露要求扩展到场外交易的大型公司。我们发现了几项证据,表明投资者重视这些披露要求,其中两项尤其引人注目。首先,一项公司层面的事件研究表明,受1964年修正案影响最大的场外交易公司在宣布开始遵守新要求后的几周内,其异常超额回报率约为3.5%。其次,我们估计受影响最大的场外交易公司在立法最初提出和生效期间的异常超额回报率在11.1%至22.1%之间。这些回报率根据标准的四个因素进行了调整,并相对于纽交所/美国运通公司,在规模和账面市值比方面匹配,不受立法影响。虽然我们无法确定股东收益中有多少来自这些公司的内部人士,但我们的研究结果表明,强制披露导致管理者更狭隘地关注股东价值最大化。
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引用次数: 326
Using Basel Ii to Facilitate Access to Finance: The Disclosure of Internal Credit Ratings 利用巴塞尔协议Ii促进融资:内部信用评级的披露
Pub Date : 2005-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.698762
G. Hertig
The advancement of their risk management activities makes it profitable for major banks to rely on internal credit ratings to calculate Basel II capital requirements (IRB approach). Firms and, more generally, market participants would benefit from the disclosure of these ratings, as it would reduce their cost of capital and facilitate investment diversification. Banks, however, have no interest in making their data publicly available. This paper proposes a regulatory framework to efficiently solve this incentive issue. It first shows that there are net benefits in requiring the disclosure of internal ratings. The paper then sketches regulatory requirements that would minimize disclosure costs and interest group opposition. Banks opting for the IRB approach would have to provide their internal ratings to one of several regional entities. The latter would consolidate the data collected and giver each borrower a rating equal to the average of the ratings it gets from its lenders. The average rating would be disclosed to the public unless the borrower has opted for non-disclosure. Relying upon multiple regional entities may cause some uncertainty (a given firm may get diverging average ratings), but it would also reduce moral hazard effects and foster competition in the rating industry.
风险管理活动的进步使得主要银行依靠内部信用评级来计算巴塞尔II资本要求(IRB方法)是有利可图的。公司,更普遍地说,市场参与者将从这些评级的披露中受益,因为这将降低他们的资本成本,促进投资多样化。然而,银行没有兴趣公开他们的数据。本文提出了一个有效解决这一激励问题的监管框架。它首先表明,要求披露内部评级有净收益。然后,该报告概述了将披露成本和利益集团反对最小化的监管要求。选择内部评级委员会方法的银行将不得不向几个地区性实体之一提供其内部评级。后者将整合收集到的数据,并给予每个借款人与其从贷方获得的评级的平均值相当的评级。平均评级将向公众披露,除非借款人选择不披露。依赖多个区域实体可能会造成一些不确定性(一个给定的公司可能会得到不同的平均评级),但它也会减少道德风险效应,并促进评级行业的竞争。
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引用次数: 7
Disclosure, Investment and Regulation 信息披露、投资与监管
Pub Date : 2005-02-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.675967
P. Östberg
This paper provides a framework to analyze voluntary and mandatory disclosure. Since improved disclosure reduces the entrepreneur's ability to extract private benefits, it secures funding for new investments, but also provides existing claimholders with a windfall gain. As a result, the entrepreneur may choose to forgo investment in favor of extracting more private benefits. A mandatory disclosure standard reduces inefficient extraction and increases investment efficiency. Although the optimal standard is higher than the entrepreneur's optimal choice, it can be less than complete in order not to deter investment. The model also shows that better legal shareholder protection goes together with higher disclosure standards and that harmonization of disclosure standards may be detrimental.
本文提供了一个分析自愿披露和强制披露的框架。由于信息披露的改善降低了企业家获取私人利益的能力,它为新投资提供了资金,但也为现有的股东提供了意外之财。因此,企业家可能会选择放弃投资,以获取更多的私人利益。强制性披露标准减少了低效率的提取,提高了投资效率。虽然最优标准高于企业家的最优选择,但为了不阻碍投资,它可能不完全。该模型还表明,更好的股东法律保护伴随着更高的披露标准,而披露标准的统一可能是有害的。
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引用次数: 38
Treading Through Trade-Through: A Law and Economics Analysis of Sec Proposed Regulation Nms 穿越贸易:美国证券交易委员会拟议监管制度的法律经济学分析
Pub Date : 2005-02-14 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.666962
Xiang Cai
The Note, being the first comprehensive critique of the SEC's Reproposed Regulation NMS, tries to evaluate the core Trade-Through Rule from an interdisciplinary perspective, expose some of the problems that can arise as a consequence of the rule and expound on certain approaches which may offer better alternatives. To be sure, the newly reproposed Regulation NMS scores many strong points in making regulations more align with the evolving market realities. Even the much criticized trade-through rule reflects laudable efforts by the SEC to reconcile divergent interests of various market constituents. Nevertheless, the unbalanced competitive strengths of NYSE, which holds the largest liquidity pool and offers best opportunities for price improvement but lags behind in terms of fast execution and other dimensions of execution quality, would make SEC's balancing act of engrafting flexible exceptions on a rigid best price rule untenable to improving liquidity and price discovery, and unappealing to electronic markets competing on multiple dimensions of execution quality. In light of a new environment where investors now demand more than low execution costs and markets compete not just on the basis of price, an all encompassing standard of best execution would be better suited, to balancing multidimensional needs of investors with a necessary degree of uniformity in regulating a broker's duty to seek best price across markets. The bottom line is that a piecemeal approach within the confine of the old NMS framework and without the recognition of changing governance structures and evolving economic function of stock exchanges will never prove to be satisfactory and the time has ripened to a point where the SEC should reassess its role in market regulation before articulating a new set of guidelines for the future of U.S. securities market.
作为对美国证券交易委员会(SEC)重新提议的监管NMS的第一个全面批评,该说明试图从跨学科的角度评估核心贸易通过规则,揭示了该规则可能产生的一些问题,并阐述了可能提供更好替代方案的某些方法。可以肯定的是,新修订的NMS法规在使法规更符合不断变化的市场现实方面取得了许多优势。即使是饱受批评的交易通则也反映了SEC为调和不同市场组成部分的不同利益所做的值得称赞的努力。然而,纽交所拥有最大的流动性池,为价格改善提供了最佳机会,但在快速执行和执行质量的其他维度上落后,其不平衡的竞争优势将使SEC在僵化的最佳价格规则上插入灵活例外的平衡行为无法改善流动性和价格发现,对在执行质量的多个维度上竞争的电子市场也没有吸引力。鉴于现在的新环境,投资者要求的不仅仅是低执行成本,市场的竞争也不仅仅是基于价格,一个全面的最佳执行标准将更适合于平衡投资者的多维需求,并在监管经纪商在市场上寻求最佳价格的责任方面保持必要的一致性。底线是,在旧的NMS框架的限制下,没有认识到不断变化的治理结构和证券交易所不断发展的经济功能,零敲碎打的方法永远不会令人满意,时机已经成熟,证交会应该重新评估其在市场监管中的作用,然后为美国证券市场的未来制定一套新的指导方针。
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引用次数: 1
An Analysis of Systemic Risk in Alternative Securities Settlement Architectures 另类证券结算架构的系统风险分析
Pub Date : 2004-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.601024
G. Iori
This paper compares securities settlement gross and netting architectures. It studies settlement risk arising from exogenous operational delays and compares settlement failures between the two architectures as functions of the length of the settlement interval under different market conditions. While settlement failures are non monotonically related to the length of settlement cycles under both architectures, there is no clear cut ranking of which architecture delivers greater stability. We show that while, on average, netting systems seem to be more stable than gross systems, rare events may lead to contagious defaults that could affect the all system. Furthermore netting system are very sensitive to the number and initial distribution of traded shares. JEL Classification: C6, D4, G20, O33
本文比较了证券结算总额和净额体系结构。研究了外生操作延迟带来的结算风险,并比较了不同市场条件下两种架构的结算失败情况,并将其作为结算间隔长度的函数。虽然沉降失败与两种架构下的沉降周期长度非单调相关,但对于哪种架构提供更大的稳定性并没有明确的排名。我们表明,虽然平均而言,净额系统似乎比总体系统更稳定,但罕见事件可能导致传染性违约,从而影响整个系统。此外,净额制度对交易股份的数量和初始分配非常敏感。JEL分类:C6, D4, G20, O33
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引用次数: 45
Corporate Governance, Monitoring and Litigation as Substitutes to Solve Agency Problem 公司治理、监督与诉讼作为解决代理问题的替代
Pub Date : 2004-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.606625
S. Mohan
A Securities Class Action lawsuit is initiated by a large class of shareholders against managers whom they suspect of wrongdoing. This paper proposes that Securities Class Action litigation is an ex post substitute for effective ex ante governance and monitoring. To elaborate this idea, I outline a model in which shareholders see a noisy signal of possible managerial fraud. Since the signal is imperfectly informative, and with costly litigation, shareholders' decision of whether to sue or not is based on the signal as well as the governance and monitoring mechanisms in place in the company. If the signal comes from a strong governed, vigilantly monitored company, shareholders are more likely to attribute it to noise. However if it comes from a company with poor controls in place, then the managers are more likely to have committed fraud and the shareholders sue with a higher probability. I test this idea using various measures of governance and monitoring, and find that firms with high total and abnormal compensation are more likely to be sued. I also find that firms with large institutional blockholders are less likely to be sued, suggesting that blockholders play a monitoring role. However my results find no evidence that outsider-dominated boards or small boards provide effective ex ante governance as a substitute to ex post litigation.
证券集体诉讼是由一大群股东对他们怀疑有不法行为的经理人提起的诉讼。本文提出证券集体诉讼是有效事前治理和监督的事后替代。为了阐述这一观点,我概述了一个模型,在这个模型中,股东看到了可能存在管理欺诈的嘈杂信号。由于信号的信息不完全准确,而且诉讼成本高昂,股东决定是否起诉取决于信号以及公司现有的治理和监督机制。如果信号来自一家管理严密、受到严密监控的公司,股东更有可能将其归因于噪音。然而,如果它来自一个控制不力的公司,那么管理者更有可能犯下欺诈行为,股东起诉的可能性也更高。我使用各种治理和监控措施来检验这一观点,发现总薪酬和异常薪酬高的公司更有可能被起诉。我还发现,拥有大型机构股东的公司不太可能被起诉,这表明股东发挥了监督作用。然而,我的研究结果没有发现任何证据表明,外部主导的董事会或小型董事会提供有效的事前治理,以替代事后诉讼。
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引用次数: 4
What Matters in Corporate Governance? 公司管治中什么最重要?
Pub Date : 2004-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.593423
L. Bebchuk, Alma Cohen, Allen Ferrell
We investigate which provisions, among a set of twenty-four governance provisions followed by the Investor Responsibility Research Center (IRRC), are correlated with firm value and stockholder returns. Based on this analysis, we put forward an entrenchment index based on six provisions - four constitutional provisions that prevent a majority of shareholders from having their way (staggered boards, limits to shareholder bylaw amendments, supermajority requirements for mergers, and supermajority requirements for charter amendments), and two takeover readiness provisions that boards put in place to be ready for a hostile takeover (poison pills and golden parachutes). We find that increases in the level of this index are monotonically associated with economically significant reductions in firm valuation, as measured by Tobin's Q. We present suggestive evidence that the entrenching provisions cause lower firm valuation. We also find that firms with higher levels of the entrenchment index were associated with large negative abnormal returns during the 1990-2003 period. Moreover, examining all sub-periods of two or more years within this period, we find that a strategy of buying low entrenchment firms and selling short high entrenchment firms out-performs the market in most such periods and does not under-perform the market even in a single sub-period. Finally, we find that the provisions in our entrenchment index fully drive the correlation, identified by prior work, that the IRRC provisions in the aggregate have with reduced firm value and lower stock returns during the 1990s; we do not find any evidence that the other eighteen IRRC provisions are negatively correlated with either firm value or stock returns during the 1990-2003 period. Data on the entrenchment index for the period 1990-2007, and a list of over seventy-five studies using our entrenchment index, is available for downloading at Lucian Bebchuk's home page.
我们调查了投资者责任研究中心(IRRC)遵循的24条治理条款中,哪些条款与公司价值和股东回报相关。基于这一分析,我们提出了一个基于六项条款的防御指数——四项宪法条款,防止多数股东的方式(交叉董事会,限制股东章程修正案,合并的绝对多数要求,章程修正案的绝对多数要求),以及两项收购准备条款,董事会为敌意收购做好准备(毒丸和黄金降落伞)。我们发现,该指数水平的增加单调地与企业估值在经济上的显著降低相关,正如托宾q所衡量的那样。我们提出了暗示性的证据,表明根深蒂固的规定导致企业估值降低。我们还发现,在1990-2003年期间,堑壕指数水平较高的公司与较大的负异常回报相关。此外,研究了这一时期内两年或两年以上的所有子时期,我们发现,在大多数这样的时期内,买入低堑壕公司并卖空高堑壕公司的策略表现优于市场,即使在单个子时期也不会表现低于市场。最后,我们发现,我们的堑壕指数中的条款完全驱动了先前工作确定的相关性,即在20世纪90年代,IRRC条款总体上降低了公司价值和股票回报;在1990-2003年期间,我们没有发现任何证据表明其他18项IRRC条款与公司价值或股票回报负相关。在Lucian Bebchuk的主页上,可以下载1990-2007年壕沟指数的数据,以及使用我们的壕沟指数的超过75项研究的列表。
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引用次数: 2955
期刊
Corporate Law: Securities Law
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