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2018 3rd IEEE International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Engineering (ICITE)最新文献

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引用次数: 0
Prediction for Track Vertical Profile Irregularity Index Structure of Shenmu-Shuozhou Railway 神朔铁路轨道纵廓线不规则度指标结构预测
Ning Zhang, Rengkui Liu, Futian Wang, Shiyi Li
The research on the variation law of track vertical profile irregularity index structure plays a guiding role in the rational compilation of the tamping operation plan and the scientific evaluation of tamping operation quality. This paper presented a modeling method for predicting the variation law of track vertical profile irregularity index structure based on the grey compositional data modeling theory. In order to verify the effectiveness and reliability of the modeling method, a total of 7 times track inspection car historical data concerning four consecutive track segments (K58+600 to K59+200) of Shenmu-Shuozhou railway up line between two tamping operations were used, and the results showed that these models had good fitting and predicting effects on the track vertical profile irregularity index structure.
研究轨道垂直廓线不平顺度指标结构的变化规律,对合理编制夯实作业方案和科学评价夯实作业质量具有指导作用。提出了一种基于灰色成分数据建模理论的轨道垂直廓线不规则度指标结构变化规律预测建模方法。为了验证建模方法的有效性和可靠性,利用神朔线两次捣固之间4个连续轨道段(K58+600 ~ K59+200)共7次验轨车历史数据,结果表明,该模型对轨道垂直剖面不规则性指标结构具有较好的拟合和预测效果。
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引用次数: 2
A Novel Method for Reconstruct Ship Trajectory Using Raw AIS Data 一种利用AIS原始数据重建船舶轨迹的新方法
Xiaohan Zhang, Yixiong He, Ruhong Tang, J. Mou, Shuai Gong
Viewed from AIS (Automatic Identification System) data, ship trajectories comprise a non-continuous series of spatiotemporal positions. Subject to the quality of the raw data, e.g. error, anomaly, it is challenging to reconstruct an original and continuous trajectory for further safety and efficiency analysis. This paper presents a novel method to detect data anomaly, identify line type, and restore ship trajectory based on vector analysis. Ship trajectory is segmented into underway and mooring sub-trajectories by analyzing characteristics of AIS data. A base vector, which represents the trend of the trajectory, is established on the basis of position vectors. With comparison of the vectors, Anomaly data is detected and filtered. A sparse sampling technique is employed to identify the linetsype of the rest sub-trajectory. Linear interpolation and cubic spline interpolation are finally applied for straight and curve sub-trajectories respectively to reconstruct a new smooth trajectory. A case study is performed and the results indicate that the reconstructed trajectory meets the layout of fairway well, with mean errors of 2.86×10−4 degrees in longitude, 2.30×10−4 degrees latitude and 2.35×10−2 nautical miles distance. This algorithm can effectively detect abnormal data points, and approximate the original movement of the ship.
从AIS(自动识别系统)数据来看,船舶轨迹由一系列非连续的时空位置组成。由于原始数据的质量,例如误差、异常,重建原始的连续轨迹以进一步进行安全性和效率分析是具有挑战性的。提出了一种基于矢量分析的数据异常检测、线型识别和船舶轨迹恢复的新方法。通过分析AIS数据的特点,将船舶轨迹分割为航行子轨迹和系泊子轨迹。在位置向量的基础上,建立了表示轨迹趋势的基向量。通过向量的比较,检测和过滤异常数据。采用稀疏采样技术识别剩余子轨迹的线型。最后分别对直线子轨迹和曲线子轨迹进行线性插值和三次样条插值,重建新的光滑轨迹。算例结果表明,重建轨迹符合航道布置要求,平均经度误差为2.86×10−4度,纬度误差为2.30×10−4度,距离误差为2.35×10−2海里。该算法能有效地检测出异常数据点,逼近船舶的原始运动轨迹。
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引用次数: 11
Decision Support Based on Optimal Collision Avoidance Path and Collision Risk 基于最优避碰路径和碰撞风险的决策支持
Dongdong Liu, Guoyou Shi, Weifeng Li
In order to solve the problem of collision avoidance decision-making by using the ship domain that only can be applied to certain waters, and if's connected parameters cannot match the evaluation parameters of collision risk (CR), the optimal collision risk model based on Fuzzy Quaternion Ship Domains (FQSD) was been proposed. In order to solve the problem when making decision to avoid collision by using the shortest distance that does not consider cross track error (XTE) and time deviation (TDEV), and it also cannot let the overall voyage(OV) to be the shortest throughout the voyage, the objective function combines with XTE, TDEV and OV was been proposed. Considering with the ship domain, The International Regulations for Preventing Collisions at Sea 1972 (COLREGS) (IMO 1972) and the watch officer's subjective consciousness, the optimal collision avoidance path was been obtained by using the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm. The simulation results show that the above optimal method can quickly obtain the optimal collision avoidance path and improve the safety and energy efficiency of transportation.
为了解决船舶域仅适用于特定水域的避碰决策问题,以及船舶域的连接参数不能匹配碰撞风险评价参数(CR)的问题,提出了基于模糊四元数船舶域的最优碰撞风险模型。为了解决在不考虑航迹交叉误差(XTE)和时间偏差(TDEV)的情况下,利用最短距离进行避碰决策时,又不能让总航次(OV)在整个航次中最短的问题,提出了结合XTE、TDEV和OV的目标函数。考虑船舶领域、《1972年国际海上避碰规则》(IMO 1972)和值班人员的主观意识,采用粒子群优化(PSO)算法获得了最优避碰路径。仿真结果表明,该优化方法能快速获得最优避碰路径,提高交通运输的安全性和能效。
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引用次数: 3
Quantitative Modeling and Comprehensive Evaluation of Urban Rail Transit Network Dynamic Accessibility 城市轨道交通网络动态可达性定量建模与综合评价
Wei Li, Q. Luo, Jingnan Zhou, Xiongfei Zhang
Urban rail transit network is composed of static network physical structure and dynamic train working diagram, whose accessibility evaluation should include both spatial and temporal characteristics. This paper proposed a comprehensive dynamic accessibility evaluation model of urban rail transit network. Its spatial characteristics were determined by station passenger flow, path impedance etc., while its temporal characteristics were defined by train departure intervals, train carrying passenger flow etc. And the dynamic accessibility index can be calculated through these factors, OD path accessible set and passenger route preference. Finally, Shanghai metro network was used as a case study to show the calculation process and analysis result of the proposed model. Result showed that the model could remedy the shortcoming that some traditional accessibility index models did not take into account temporal characteristics (metro service frequency, service level et al), and it could also give a reasonable allocation for urban rail transport capacity by analyzing the whole day dynamic accessibility index.
城市轨道交通网络由静态网络物理结构和动态列车运行图组成,其可达性评价应兼顾时空特征。提出了城市轨道交通网络可达性动态综合评价模型。其空间特征由车站客流、路径阻抗等决定,时间特征由列车发车间隔、列车载客流等决定。通过这些因素、OD路径可达性集和乘客路线偏好来计算动态可达性指数。最后,以上海地铁网络为例,展示了该模型的计算过程和分析结果。结果表明,该模型能够弥补传统可达性指标模型不考虑时间特征(地铁服务频次、服务水平等)的不足,并通过分析城市轨道交通全天动态可达性指标,对城市轨道交通运力进行合理分配。
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引用次数: 2
Model Predictive Control of a Shared Autonomous Electric Vehicles System with Charge Scheduling and Electricity Price Response 具有充电计划和电价响应的共享自动驾驶电动汽车系统模型预测控制
Riccardo Iacobucci, B. McLellan, T. Tezuka
Shared autonomous electric vehicles (SAEV s), also known as autonomous mobility on demand systems, are expected to soon be commercially available. This work proposes a methodology for the optimization of SAEV charging taking into account optimized vehicles routing and rebalancing. The methodology presented is based on previous work expanded to include charge scheduling optimization. Our model deals with the different time frames at which transport service and charging have to be optimized with a model-predictive control optimization routine which is run in parallel at two different time scales. Vehicle charging is optimized over longer time scales to minimize waiting times for passengers and electricity costs. Routing and rebalancing is optimized at shorter time-scales to minimize waiting times for passengers, taking as charging constraints the results of the long-time-scale optimization. This approach allows the efficient optimization of both aspects of SAEV operation. The problem is solved as a mixed-integer linear program. A case study using real transport data for Tokyo is used to test the model, showing that the system can substantially cut charging costs while keeping passenger wait times low.
共享自动驾驶电动汽车(SAEV),也被称为自动移动按需系统,预计很快就会商业化。本文提出了一种考虑优化车辆路线和再平衡的电动汽车充电优化方法。所提出的方法是基于先前的工作扩展到包括收费调度优化。我们的模型处理不同的时间框架,运输服务和收费必须通过模型预测控制优化程序在两个不同的时间尺度上并行运行来优化。车辆充电在更长的时间尺度上进行了优化,以最大限度地减少乘客的等待时间和电力成本。将长时间优化的结果作为收费约束,在较短的时间尺度上优化路线和再平衡,以最大限度地减少乘客的等待时间。这种方法可以有效地优化SAEV操作的两个方面。该问题求解为一个混合整数线性规划。一个使用东京真实交通数据的案例研究被用来测试该模型,结果表明该系统可以大幅降低收费成本,同时降低乘客的等待时间。
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引用次数: 5
Traffic Accidents Classification and Injury Severity Prediction 交通事故分类与伤害严重程度预测
Laura Garcia Cuenca, Enrique Puertas, N. Aliane, Javier Fernández Andres
Traffic accidents constitutes the first cause of death and injury in many developed countries. However, traffic accidents information and data provided by public organisms can be exploited to classify these accidents according to their type and severity, and consequently try to build predictive model. Detecting and identifying injury severity in traffic accidents in real time is primordial for speeding post-accidents protocols as well as developing general road safety policies. This article presents a case study of traffic accidents classification and severity prediction in Spain. Raw data are from Spanish traffic agency covering a period of six years ranging from 2011 to 2015. To this end, are compared three different machine learning classification techniques, such as Gradient Boosting Trees, Deep Learning and Naïve Bayes.
在许多发达国家,交通事故是造成伤亡的首要原因。然而,可以利用公共组织提供的交通事故信息和数据,根据事故的类型和严重程度对事故进行分类,从而尝试建立预测模型。实时检测和识别交通事故中的伤害严重程度对于加快事故后协议以及制定一般道路安全政策至关重要。本文介绍了西班牙交通事故分类和严重程度预测的案例研究。原始数据来自西班牙交通机构,涵盖了从2011年到2015年的六年时间。为此,我们比较了三种不同的机器学习分类技术,如梯度增强树、深度学习和Naïve贝叶斯。
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引用次数: 20
Spatial Inequality Analysis of Urban Road Network based on Internet Traffic Data 基于互联网交通数据的城市道路网络空间不平等分析
J. Hua, Ren Zhang, D. Liu, Yun-xia Wang, Chen Qian
To evaluate and analyze the spatial dimension feature of transportation network, Travel Time Ratio Inequality Index is proposed in this paper. The proposed index utilizes the Lorenz Curve to evaluate the traffic load variations among road regions of transportation network, and the inputs of Lorenz Curve is redefined to match the needs of spatial analysis. Based on Internet traffic data, the mathematical model of Travel Time Ratio Inequality Index is deducted, following with the solution method. The numerical results from comparing the index performance of ten large-scale cities justify the validness and usefulness of the proposed index and the related mathematical model.
为了评价和分析交通网络的空间维度特征,本文提出了出行时间比不平等指数。该指标利用洛伦兹曲线来评价交通网络道路区域间的交通负荷变化,并重新定义洛伦兹曲线的输入以适应空间分析的需要。基于互联网流量数据,推导了出行时间比不平等指数的数学模型,并给出了求解方法。通过对10个大型城市的指数绩效比较,数值结果验证了所提出的指数和相关数学模型的有效性和实用性。
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引用次数: 1
Improved Model Structure for Ship Motion Identification Based on Reference Model and Bayesian Regularization Network 基于参考模型和贝叶斯正则化网络的船舶运动识别改进模型结构
Mei Bin, S. Licheng, Shi Guoyou, Zhang Yuanqiang
Previous artificial intelligence methods to system identification modeling for ship motion requires a mass of training data, modeling workload is vast. Aiming at these defects, an identification modeling method based on the reference model structure and Bayesian regularization network is proposed. For a start, an existed and public model is selected as the reference model. Secondly, With BR network, the reference model improves the generalization ability and reduces the training data. Finally, the method is verified with benchmark called KVLCC2. The illustrative example demonstrates the effectiveness and generalization ability of the proposed method.
以往的人工智能方法对船舶运动进行系统识别建模需要大量的训练数据,建模工作量巨大。针对这些缺陷,提出了一种基于参考模型结构和贝叶斯正则化网络的识别建模方法。首先,选择一个已存在的公共模型作为参考模型。其次,利用BR网络,参考模型提高了泛化能力,减少了训练数据。最后,用KVLCC2基准测试对该方法进行了验证。算例验证了该方法的有效性和泛化能力。
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引用次数: 1
Modified Metropolis-Hastings Algorithm for Efficient Sampling from Discrete Probability Distributions (MMH-DPD) Applied to Field Operational Tests database (SPMD) 基于离散概率分布的改进Metropolis-Hastings算法(MMH-DPD)在野战试验数据库(SPMD)中的应用
N. E. Chelbi, D. Gingras, Claude Sauvageau
Metropolis-Hastings algorithm (MH) is the most popular Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method. Essentially, the MH algorithm generates a sample, accepts or rejects the sample based on an acceptance probability that is related to the continuous target probability distribution. In this work, we propose a modified Metropolis-Hastings algorithm (MMH-DPD) that can draw samples from discrete probability distributions. For starters, the discrete probability distribution is replaced with a multimodal distribution and a new step after the rejection and acceptation step is added to the original algorithm. To reduce the error caused by the tail of the multimodal distribution, we used a mixture of Generalized Gaussians instead. Numerical results and a generalization of the proposed algorithm are provided. Our simulations show that the proposed sampler reliably creates a Markov chain that generates a sequence of values, in such a way that as the number of samples goes to infinity, we can guarantee that they reflect samples from the target discrete distribution.
Metropolis-Hastings算法(MH)是目前最流行的马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗算法(MCMC)。本质上,MH算法生成一个样本,根据与连续目标概率分布相关的接受概率接受或拒绝样本。在这项工作中,我们提出了一种改进的Metropolis-Hastings算法(MMH-DPD),可以从离散概率分布中提取样本。首先,将离散概率分布替换为多模态分布,并在原算法中增加拒绝和接受步骤后的新步骤。为了减少由多模态分布尾部引起的误差,我们使用了混合广义高斯分布代替。给出了数值结果和该算法的推广。我们的模拟表明,所提出的采样器可靠地创建了一个马尔可夫链,该链生成一系列值,这样当样本数量趋于无穷大时,我们可以保证它们反映目标离散分布的样本。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
2018 3rd IEEE International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Engineering (ICITE)
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