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Diplomacy of force and special military operation of the Russian Armed Forces in Ukraine: general and special 俄罗斯武装部队在乌克兰的武力外交和特殊军事行动:一般和特殊
Pub Date : 2022-06-07 DOI: 10.33920/vne-01-2203-05
V. Vinokurov
Russia's conduct of a special military operation in Ukraine has brought back to the agenda a long-known discussion among experts in the fi eld of foreign policy and diplomacy about the role of force in international relations. Claims about the possibility of using force in our time arose as a result of the appearance of nuclear weapons. Today, US politicians continue to assert that war will remain an acceptable instrument of national policy of states at the level of international subsystems, that is, in various regions. In their opinion, the power of a major power is capable of exerting an effective psychological influence on how often such conflicts will arise and what their outcome will be. At one time, Russia clearly outlined the "red line" in connection with attempts to integrate Ukraine into NATO and repeatedly and unequivocally warned that it would take active actions in response to this, i. e. use "hard force". In response to this, the United States and NATO have been fueling anti-Russian sentiments in Ukraine for a long time, considering it as a tool to deter Moscow and turning it into antiRussia. One of the components of this policy was the reckless expansion of NATO to the east, despite the obligations of non-expansion of the alliance. All this forced Russia to announce the conduct of a special military operation in Ukraine, the purpose of which is the de–Nazification and demilitarization of the neighboring state.
俄罗斯在乌克兰进行的特别军事行动,使外交政策和外交领域的专家们就武力在国际关系中的作用进行的一场众所周知的讨论重新提上了议程。关于在我们这个时代可能使用武力的主张是由于核武器的出现而出现的。今天,美国政客们继续断言,在国际子系统层面,即在各个地区,战争仍将是各国国家政策的一种可接受的工具。在他们看来,大国的力量能够对这种冲突发生的频率和结果产生有效的心理影响。俄罗斯一度明确划定了与企图将乌克兰纳入北约有关的“红线”,并一再明确警告说,它将对此采取积极行动,即使用“硬武力”。对此,美国和北约长期以来一直在助长乌克兰的反俄情绪,将其视为威慑莫斯科的工具,并将其转化为反俄。这一政策的一个组成部分是北约不计后果地向东扩张,尽管北约有不扩张的义务。所有这些都迫使俄罗斯宣布在乌克兰进行特别军事行动,其目的是使邻国去纳粹化和非军事化。
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引用次数: 0
The role of information and psychological operations in the escalation of the Ukrainian crisis 情报和心理战在乌克兰危机升级中的作用
Pub Date : 2022-06-07 DOI: 10.33920/vne-01-2203-04
I. Surma
The article shows the importance and increasing role of the information and psychological warfare factor as the Ukrainian crisis escalates. The role of the Special Operations Forces of Ukraine in the informational and psychological confrontation is noted. The structure and functionality of the 16th, 72nd, 74th and 83rd centers of information and psychological operations of the Special operations Forces of Ukraine are considered. The main functions of these centers are shown, such as intelligence and subversive activities, identification of internal opponents, disinformation of the population, information terrorism, demoralization of citizens of Donbass, etc. The tools used by the centers of information and psychological operations in their activities are considered, in addition to the official media, several thousand Internet resources, information and news sites, coordinated groups of users of social networks and individual "platforms" in social networks are used. The role of the NATO Coordination Center for Responding to Computer Incidents (NCIRC — NATO Computer Incident Response Capability), the NATO Center of Excellence for Joint Cyber Defense (NATO CCD COE — NATO Cooperative Cyber Defense Center of Excellence — Tallinn) and the cyber operations center in Mons (Belgium) is noted.
文章指出,随着乌克兰危机的不断升级,信息和心理战因素的重要性和作用越来越大。委员会注意到乌克兰特别行动部队在信息和心理对抗中的作用。审议了乌克兰特种作战部队第16、72、74和83情报和心理战中心的结构和功能。展示了这些中心的主要功能,例如情报和颠覆活动,识别内部对手,虚假信息,信息恐怖主义,顿巴斯公民的士气低落等。除了官方媒体外,还考虑了信息和心理操作中心在其活动中使用的工具,数千个互联网资源,信息和新闻网站,社交网络用户的协调群体和社交网络中的个人“平台”。北约计算机事件响应协调中心(NCIRC -北约计算机事件响应能力)、北约联合网络防御卓越中心(北约CCD COE -北约合作网络防御卓越中心-塔林)和蒙斯(比利时)网络作战中心的作用得到了注意。
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引用次数: 0
India at the Geopolitical Crossroads 印度处在地缘政治的十字路口
Pub Date : 2022-06-07 DOI: 10.33920/vne-01-2203-02
S. Velichkin
The article refutes the widely circulated claim that India has made its geopolitical choice in favor of the USA through joining it in confront-ing China by participating in the QUAD dialogue format. While considering the factors of substantial advance in US-Indian relationship, the author points out that it was rather the geopolitical choice of the USA itself, that the Obama Administration’s “pivot” went to consolidate after quite a prolonged period of ultimately futile attempts by Washington to incorporate Beijing into its “uni-polar moment.” With China-India rivalry having definitely increased, their mechanism of regular meetings on the border problem has enabled them to put the issue outside the general context of their relationship. It facilitated the creation of possibilities for a substantial advance of relations between the two countries in trade and investment spheres, setting up the political dialogue, including at the summit level, and interaction within a number of multilateral formats. Analysis of the geopolitical concept of India’s present Foreign Minister shows, that it is based on a design to take advantage from the interest taken in obtaining India’s support by the opponents of the establishment in the Indo-Pacific region of “China’s hegemony” while avoiding “excessively antagonizing” the latter. This is confirmed by India’s care to avoid giving the QUAD the shape of a military bloc, which has been taken into account by its partners within “the four” at the current stage. Highlighted is the importance attached by India to promoting its continental geopolitical interests by enhancing its relations with Russia and participating in the SCO and the RIC, especially taking into account the disorderly withdrawal of the US forces from Afghanistan. The Indians attaching lately a place of importance in their Indo-Pacific doctrine to Russia has been taken note of. The article comes to a conclusion that India continues its geopolitical maneuvering, which remains an important part of the real picture of world politics with a potential to be used for the benefit of its positive evolution.
这篇文章驳斥了一种广为流传的说法,即印度通过参加四方对话形式与美国一起对抗中国,做出了有利于美国的地缘政治选择。在考虑到美印关系取得实质性进展的因素时,作者指出,在华盛顿将北京纳入其“单极时刻”的漫长尝试最终徒然之后,奥巴马政府的“转向”得以巩固,这是美国自身的地缘政治选择。随着中印竞争的加剧,他们关于边界问题的定期会晤机制使他们能够将这个问题置于两国关系的大背景之外。它促进了为两国在贸易和投资领域的关系取得实质性进展创造可能性,建立了政治对话,包括在首脑会议一级,以及在若干多边形式内的相互作用。分析印度现任外交部长的地缘政治理念,可以看出,其目的是利用反对在印太地区建立“中国霸权”的人对获得印度支持的兴趣,同时避免“过度对抗”后者。印度小心翼翼地避免让四国联盟形成军事集团,这一点得到了证实。在目前阶段,“四国”中的伙伴国已经考虑到了这一点。会议强调,印度重视通过加强与俄罗斯的关系、加入上合组织和金砖国家组织,特别是考虑到美军从阿富汗无序撤军,来促进其大陆地缘政治利益。印度人最近在他们的印太学说中把俄罗斯放在了一个重要的位置,这已经引起了人们的注意。文章得出的结论是,印度继续其地缘政治策略,这仍然是世界政治真实图景的重要组成部分,有可能被用于其积极发展的利益。
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引用次数: 0
Systemic Nationalism — the Baltics states on the way from pseudo-democracy to a new fascism 系统性民族主义——波罗的海国家正在从伪民主走向新法西斯主义
Pub Date : 2022-06-07 DOI: 10.33920/vne-01-2203-03
Ludmila Nikolaevna Zhilina
The article shows that today all the Baltic countries are united in their views on the outcome of the Second World War and relations with Russia. Official propaganda, the elite and the ruling circles of the Baltic States constantly position Russia as the main threat to stability in the region and the world and constantly replicate the thesis of the USSR's fault in the current problems of the development of their state. It is emphasized that Latvia, like Lithuania and Estonia, evokes associations of a consistent anti-Russian irritant in the domestic and international public consciousness. The author shows that in the Baltic countries the phenomenon of collaboration during the Second World War had a specific national peculiarity and was associated with the hope of local elites that the military presence of Germany would allow them to recreate the nation-states in the former, pre-war format. The author notes that attempts to compensate for the inability to conduct a creative policy with Russophobia and revanchism will end, unfortunately, not tomorrow. The author examines the main reasons why the authorities of the Baltic countries are so tolerant of neo-Nazis. However, at the same time, Russia stands for balancing and leveling relations with the Baltic States and maintaining them at a level that allows for a fairly effective political dialogue and developing economic ties. Moreover, as the author notes, the situation can change quite quickly and radically with the appearance of real independent personalities in this political environment who are able to resolutely defend the truly national interests of the population of their countries, which, ultimately, will restore the regional and international authority of the Baltic countries and increase their attractiveness both politically and economically.
这篇文章表明,今天所有波罗的海国家对第二次世界大战的结果和与俄罗斯的关系的看法是一致的。波罗的海国家的官方宣传、精英和统治集团不断将俄罗斯定位为该地区和世界稳定的主要威胁,并不断在其国家发展的当前问题中复制苏联的错误论点。有人强调指出,拉脱维亚同立陶宛和爱沙尼亚一样,在国内和国际公众意识中唤起了一贯的反俄情绪。作者指出,在波罗的海国家,第二次世界大战期间的合作现象具有特定的民族特点,并与当地精英的希望有关,即德国的军事存在将使他们能够以战前的形式重建民族国家。作者指出,遗憾的是,试图用恐俄和复仇主义来弥补无法实施创造性政策的努力不会在明天结束。作者分析了波罗的海国家当局对新纳粹如此宽容的主要原因。然而,与此同时,俄罗斯主张平衡和平衡与波罗的海国家的关系,并将其维持在允许进行相当有效的政治对话和发展经济关系的水平上。此外,正如作者所指出的,随着在这种政治环境中出现能够坚决捍卫其本国人民真正民族利益的真正独立人物,局势可以迅速和根本地改变,这最终将恢复波罗的海各国的区域和国际权威,并增加它们在政治和经济上的吸引力。
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引用次数: 0
Features of information and analytical work of Russian foreign institutions in the LAC countries in new conditions 新形势下俄罗斯驻拉美和加勒比国家外国机构的信息和分析工作特点
Pub Date : 2022-06-07 DOI: 10.33920/vne-01-2203-07
M. Troyansky, A. Chesnokova
Russia and Latin American states are united by a long history of mutually beneficial and multi-format cooperation. The Parties fairly share common values and the vector of fundamental principles in international politics. The inadmissibility of a unipolar world is also mutually recognized and any segregation in the world community is denied. The Latin Americas states remain reliable partners of Russia in the face of escalating Russophobia and global disinformation. Despite unilateral Western sanctions and harsh pressure from the United States, the LAC states express support and solidarity with Russia, maintaining trade and diplomatic contacts at the same level. The countries of the Latin American region are interested in increasing bilateral trade and, together with Russian partners, are looking for new ways to develop trade cooperation. Two-way dialogue channels are still permanently used for the direct transmission of information. Russian diplomatic missions are actively working to maintain a positive image of Russia in the region and are deepening all-round ties with the countries of Latin America and the Caribbean. In addition, Russian diplomatic missions efficiently cope with delivering objective and truthful information to the public in the Latin America and develop innovative response approaches in the context of information warfare. The active work of Russian diplomatic missions in social networks and messengers attracts the attention of foreigners and compatriots, creating a solid foundation for opposing discrediting in the media and the Internet space. No hostile action will outweigh the importance of the strategic relationship between Russia and the states of Latin America. Historically, the parties have opposed the sanctions strategy of putting pressure on sovereign states and hard influence on the state will.
俄罗斯和拉美国家有着悠久的互利合作和多种形式的合作历史。各方在国际政治中具有相当共同的价值观和基本原则。各国还相互承认不容单极世界的存在,并否认国际社会中的任何隔离。面对不断升级的对俄恐惧症和全球虚假信息,拉丁美洲国家仍然是俄罗斯的可靠伙伴。尽管受到西方的单边制裁和美国的严厉压力,拉美和加勒比地区国家对俄罗斯表示支持和声援,并在同一级别上保持贸易和外交联系。拉丁美洲区域各国有兴趣增加双边贸易,并与俄罗斯伙伴一道寻求发展贸易合作的新途径。双向对话渠道仍然永久用于直接传递信息。俄罗斯外交机构积极维护俄罗斯在本地区的积极形象,全面深化与拉美和加勒比国家的关系。此外,俄罗斯外交使团有效地应对向拉丁美洲公众提供客观和真实的信息,并在信息战背景下开发创新的反应方法。俄罗斯外交使团在社交网络和信使上的积极工作吸引了外国人和同胞的注意,为反对媒体和网络空间的诋毁奠定了坚实的基础。任何敌对行动都不会超过俄罗斯与拉美国家之间战略关系的重要性。历史上,各方都反对对主权国家施加压力、对国家意志施加硬影响的制裁战略。
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引用次数: 1
Some Aspects of Economic Diplomacy of Latin American countries in the XIX century 十九世纪拉美国家经济外交的几个方面
Pub Date : 2022-06-07 DOI: 10.33920/vne-01-2203-06
Y. M. Lezginсev
This brief survey of 19th century Latin America countries economy offered for reader’s attention represents the second article within a series of papers thought by the author in order to follow historical genesis of economical complex of regional states. The indicated period is to be of special interest due to the fact that within it happened development of its specialization accompanied by fundamental processes in commodity production based on destructing of communal Indian land ownership, abolition of slavery and stimulating of European immigration. The experience obtained during application of liberal conceptions in Latin America’s states at the beginning of capitalist economy clearly showed senselessness to borrow alien ideology without taking into consideration local specifics, because this fact frequently contradicted the needs of authentic development in the receiving countries. As a rule these conceptions represented requirements of foreign agents as well as interests of small part of local society aimed at intensification in exploitation of labour and natural resources. Moreover, its implementation led to strengthening of financial and political dependence, imposing rapid economic transformation and converting young creole republics into pseudo-state political formations («banana republics» in Central America, Puerto Rico, Cuba). Submitting more advanced South American areas (La Plata, Brazil, Peru) neocolonial methods have been tested: ruinous foreign loans, direct and indirect control of local industries and change of its structure in the interests of overseas investors. Here could be mentioned artificial boom of raw material export, control and destruction of local processing works. The said economic paradigm conditioned convulsive forms of social life: appearance of caudillos, dictatorships and authoritarian regimes as well as interregional conflicts (Pacific «Salitre» War between Chile, Peru and Bolivia, intervention of Triple Alliance in Paraguay, separation of Panama for constructing of interocean channel etc.). In particular, dynamics and correlation of these events in context of struggle for real national emancipation laid foundations for contemporary state of economic situation in each country including its alliances and determined its peripheral position in international division of labour. This phenomenon should be considered for building effective cooperation with the most of regional partners.
这篇供读者注意的19世纪拉丁美洲国家经济概览是作者为追踪区域国家经济综合体的历史起源而思考的系列论文中的第二篇。这一时期之所以具有特殊意义,是因为在这一时期内,专业化的发展伴随着商品生产的基本进程,其基础是破坏印第安人的土地公有,废除奴隶制和刺激欧洲移民。在资本主义经济初期,自由主义概念在拉丁美洲国家的应用经验清楚地表明,不考虑当地具体情况而借用外来意识形态是毫无意义的,因为这一事实往往与接受国真正发展的需要相矛盾。通常,这些概念代表了外国代理人的要求以及当地社会一小部分人的利益,目的是加强对劳动力和自然资源的剥削。此外,它的实施导致了金融和政治依赖的加强,强加了快速的经济转型,并将年轻的克里奥尔共和国转变为伪国家政治形式(中美洲的“香蕉共和国”,波多黎各,古巴)。在较发达的南美地区(拉普拉塔、巴西、秘鲁),新殖民主义的方法已经得到检验:毁灭性的外国贷款、直接和间接控制当地工业以及为了海外投资者的利益而改变其结构。这里可以提到原材料出口的人为繁荣,对当地加工工厂的控制和破坏。上述经济范式制约了社会生活的动荡形式:独裁者、独裁和专制政权的出现,以及地区间冲突(智利、秘鲁和玻利维亚之间的太平洋“沙利特”战争,三国联盟对巴拉圭的干预,为建设跨洋通道而分离巴拿马等)。特别是,在争取真正民族解放的斗争背景下,这些事件的动态和相互关系为每个国家包括其联盟的当代经济状况奠定了基础,并决定了其在国际劳动分工中的外围地位。在与大多数区域伙伴建立有效合作时,应考虑到这一现象。
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引用次数: 0
China’s attitude towards the situation in Afghanistan 中方对阿富汗局势的态度
Pub Date : 2022-04-15 DOI: 10.33920/vne-01-2202-01
A. Galimzyanova
The article examines the position and actions of China to resolve the situation in Afghanistan. As soon as the United States withdrew its troops from Afghanistan, other major powers, including China, began to take a number of actions in the region. For China, which borders Afghanistan’s remote Wakhan Corridor, the priority is to ensure stability in that area and strengthen border controls there to prevent separatists from Xinjiang from infiltrating. Afghanistan is currently facing a severe humanitarian crisis and economic hardship. China extended a helping hand to the Afghan population and provided Kabul with emergency humanitarian aid in the form of food and medical supplies, including a shipment of coronavirus vaccines. In addition, the Chinese Foreign Minister met with officials of the interim government of Afghanistan during his visit to Qatar and the parties discussed possible ways to stabilize the situation in the region. Countries have resumed the export of Afghan pine nuts to China. This brought Afghanistan income from external foreign exchange transactions, and also provided Afghan farmers with a livelihood. The importance of the contribution of the Chinese initiative “One Belt, One Road” to the development of the region is also noted. Promoting the export of Afghan agricultural products to China is China’s tangible action for the economic recovery of Afghanistan, and will also contribute to peace and stability in Afghanistan. The author comes to the conclusion that the restoration of stability in Afghanistan is an important task facing today not only China, but also the entire world community.
本文考察了中国为解决阿富汗局势所采取的立场和行动。美国刚从阿富汗撤军,包括中国在内的其他大国就开始在该地区采取一系列行动。阿富汗目前面临严重的人道主义危机和经济困难。中国向阿富汗人民伸出援助之手,向喀布尔提供紧急人道主义援助,包括食品和医疗物资,包括一批新冠病毒疫苗。此外,中国外交部长在访问卡塔尔期间会见了阿富汗临时政府官员,双方讨论了稳定地区局势的可能途径。各国已恢复向中国出口阿富汗松子。这使阿富汗从对外外汇交易中获得收入,也为阿富汗农民提供了生计。会议还指出了中国“一带一路”倡议对该地区发展的重要性。推动阿富汗农产品对华出口,是中方为阿富汗经济复苏采取的实际行动,也有利于阿富汗的和平与稳定。作者认为,恢复阿富汗的稳定不仅是中国面临的重要任务,也是整个国际社会面临的重要任务。
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引用次数: 1
EU relations with Afghanistan: a new reality 欧盟与阿富汗的关系:新的现实
Pub Date : 2022-04-15 DOI: 10.33920/vne-01-2202-03
K. N. Mozel
This article analyzes the EU's position after the hasty withdrawal of U. S. troops from Afghanistan. The EU was skeptical about the U. S. withdrawal, considering it a violation of its alliance with the Europeans. There is a very definite trend in the relationship between the European Union and the Taliban. The EU does not yet recognize the movement politically but is willing to cooperate with the new Afghan authorities on certain terms, taking into account the economic and financial crisis that has broken out in that country. A key influence on the relationship between the U. S., the EU and other countries with geopolitical influence will be the financial issue. They also noted that it is the lack of funds that will prevent the Taliban from strengthening control of Afghanistan. For the Taliban, the only sensible way out is to think about diplomatic ties with other countries seeking to spread influence in South Asia and, if possible, gain their loyalty. This includes, above all, Afghanistan's neighbors such as Iran, Pakistan, Turkey and India, but also major powers such as Russia and China. How active contacts with the new Afghan authorities will be, the EU will decide by observing the concrete actions of the Taliban and the new Afghan government. The chaotic withdrawal of U. S. troops from Afghanistan has had serious military and political implications for the EU and has catalyzed a debate on how to build up its military capabilities to secure its own interests. Russia, as Afghanistan's closest neighbor, is seriously interested in security and stability in the region and is in favor of maintaining civil peace and avoiding violence in the country, as well as establishing a real inter-Afghan dialogue.
本文分析了美国从阿富汗仓促撤军后欧盟的立场。欧盟对美国的退出持怀疑态度,认为这违反了它与欧洲的联盟。欧洲联盟和塔利班之间的关系有一种非常明确的趋势。欧盟尚未在政治上承认这一运动,但愿意在某些条件下与阿富汗新当局合作,同时考虑到该国已经爆发的经济和金融危机。金融问题将对美国、欧盟和其他具有地缘政治影响力的国家之间的关系产生关键影响。他们还指出,缺乏资金将阻止塔利班加强对阿富汗的控制。对塔利班来说,唯一明智的出路是考虑与寻求在南亚扩大影响力的其他国家建立外交关系,如果可能的话,获得他们的忠诚。这首先包括阿富汗的邻国,如伊朗、巴基斯坦、土耳其和印度,也包括俄罗斯和中国等大国。欧盟将通过观察塔利班和阿富汗新政府的具体行动来决定与阿富汗新政府的接触有多积极。美军从阿富汗的混乱撤军对欧盟产生了严重的军事和政治影响,并引发了一场关于如何建立军事能力以确保自身利益的辩论。作为阿富汗最亲密的邻国,俄罗斯对该地区的安全与稳定非常感兴趣,并支持维持国内和平,避免该国的暴力,以及建立真正的阿富汗内部对话。
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引用次数: 0
On improving the methodology of interaction of the Executive Committee of the Regional Anti-Terrorist Structure of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization with the competent authorities of the member States of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization 关于改进上海合作组织地区反恐怖机构执行委员会与上海合作组织成员国主管部门相互协作的方式
Pub Date : 2022-04-15 DOI: 10.33920/vne-01-2202-05
Vitaly Viktorovich Tsarkov
According to its potential, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO, Organization) belongs to the largest regional multilateral associations of states. On June 7, 2002, in St. Petersburg, the SCO heads of State, following up on the Declaration on the Establishment of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization adopted earlier in 2001, signed an Agreement on the Regional Anti-Terrorist Structure (RATS). This Agreement fixed the tasks and functions of the RATS, as a permanent body of the Organization, in the status of a fool, to facilitate coordination and interaction of the competent authorities of the Parties in the fight against terrorism, separatism and extremism. In addition to tasks and functions, the Agreement also defined its structure — in the form of the Council of the SCO RATS, the governing body that makes binding decisions, as well as the Executive Committee of the SCO RATS, a permanent working body that carries out daily work to coordinate interaction. To date, the documents prepared by the RATS on anti-terrorist issues are regularly discussed and highly appreciated and approved by the top leadership of the countries at the Council of Heads of State and the Council of Heads of Government of the SCO member States. As a natural result of the daily, almost twenty years of work, the Regional Anti-Terrorist Structure of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, having passed a unique path of formation that has no effective analogues, began to play and occupy a special significant place in the transnational arena in the system of international regional bodies responsible for combating terrorism, separatism and extremism. At the same time, the current dynamics of the development of the situation in the world indicates the persistence of existing threats and the emergence of new security challenges. New challenges and threats, including those fueled by third-party geopolitical factors for the region, are not always obvious and obvious, and the search for tools and the development of techniques to fend them off remain labor- and resource-intensive. In these conditions, an asymmetric response is required, which will reduce the time and save energy for a response. The reserve of such optimization, in our opinion, is seen in a certain adjustment of the accepted methodology of interaction (methods of organization and construction of activities) The SCO RATS Executive Committee with the competent authorities of the Organization's member States by assigning it a number of new tasks.
上海合作组织根据其发展潜力,是最大的地区多边国家联盟之一。2002年6月7日,上海合作组织成员国元首根据2001年通过的《上海合作组织成立宣言》在圣彼得堡签署了《地区反恐怖机构协定》。本协定规定了反恐怖机构作为本组织常设机构的任务和职能,以促进缔约国主管当局在打击恐怖主义、分裂主义和极端主义方面的协调和相互作用。除任务和职能外,《协定》还确定了机构形式,即上海合作组织反恐怖机构理事会,这是作出具有约束力的决定的管理机构,以及上海合作组织反恐怖机构执行委员会,这是一个执行日常工作以协调合作的常设工作机构。目前,上海合作组织成员国元首理事会和政府首脑理事会定期讨论反恐怖机构编制的有关反恐问题的文件,并得到成员国最高领导人的高度评价和认可。经过近二十年的日常工作,上海合作组织地区反恐怖机构走过了一条独一无二的形成之路,在负责打击恐怖主义、分裂主义和极端主义的国际地区机构体系中,开始在跨国舞台上发挥作用并占有特殊的重要地位。与此同时,当前世界形势的发展动态表明,既有威胁持续存在,新的安全挑战正在出现。新的挑战和威胁,包括由该地区第三方地缘政治因素推动的挑战和威胁,并不总是显而易见的,而且寻找工具和开发技术来抵御它们仍然是劳动力和资源密集型的。在这些条件下,需要非对称响应,这将减少响应的时间并节省能量。我们认为,这种优化的保留之处在于,在一定程度上调整了上合组织反恐怖主义机构执行委员会与本组织成员国主管部门之间的合作方式(组织和组织活动的方法),赋予了该委员会一些新的任务。
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引用次数: 0
Ukrainian crisis: «Nuclear» aspect 乌克兰危机:“核”方面
Pub Date : 2022-04-15 DOI: 10.33920/vne-01-2202-02
Lidiya E. Grishaeva
In the article, the author conducts a thorough and objective analysis of the Ukrainian crisis, it would seem, from a completely obvious, but rather unexpected side. The author believes that when considering the Ukrainian problem, it is necessary to focus on its "nuclear aspect". According to the author, the acuteness of the Ukrainian crisis after the collapse of the USSR and Ukraine's independence was exacerbated, first of all, because of the desire to acquire its own "nuclear status" to "contain Russia", but to ensure which it did not have the appropriate resources. The author tells about the dramatic situation that developed during the division of the nuclear arsenal of the former USSR after its collapse. The author convincingly substantiates Russia's position regarding the confirmation of its rights to the absolute possession of nuclear weapons, since it was necessary to put them under reliable and unified control. The author rightly believes that after the collapse of the USSR and the formation of four nuclear states instead of one at once, on the territory of which nuclear arsenals were located, the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT, 1968) would be violated. The author analyzes in detail the Budapest memorandum of 1994 and proves that its main essence was to convince Ukraine to confirm its "non-nuclear status". The author reveals the role of the US and NATO in providing "guarantees" to Ukraine to confirm its "non-nuclear status". In the current situation, according to the author, it was necessary to preserve international nuclear security as a single system, which also met the interests of Russia. A special place in the article is occupied by the analysis of the "Crimean issue", which is part of the Ukrainian crisis. The author reveals the essence of "nuclear parity" and argues that the "spread" of nuclear weapons breaks the entire existing system of international nuclear security and will not be able to ensure peace. The author comes to the conclusion that the "nuclear aspect" is the main meaning of the Ukrainian crisis, which should be resolved not by unilateral, but by universal efforts.
在这篇文章中,作者对乌克兰危机进行了彻底和客观的分析,似乎是从一个完全明显的,但却出乎意料的方面。笔者认为,在考虑乌克兰问题时,有必要关注其“核方面”。发件人认为,在苏联解体和乌克兰独立后,乌克兰危机的尖锐程度加剧,首先是因为它希望获得自己的“核地位”,以“遏制俄罗斯”,但为了确保这一点,它没有适当的资源。作者讲述了前苏联解体后核武库分裂期间发生的戏剧性情况。发件人令人信服地证实了俄罗斯关于确认其绝对拥有核武器的权利的立场,因为有必要将核武器置于可靠和统一的控制之下。发件人正确地认为,在苏联解体后,在核武库所在的领土上形成了四个而不是一个核国家,《不扩散核武器条约》(不扩散条约,1968年)将受到违反。作者详细分析了1994年布达佩斯备忘录,并证明其主要实质是说服乌克兰确认其“无核地位”。作者揭示了美国和北约在向乌克兰提供“保证”以确认其“无核地位”方面的作用。作者认为,在目前的情况下,有必要将国际核安全作为一个单一的体系来维护,这也符合俄罗斯的利益。作为乌克兰危机的一部分,对“克里米亚问题”的分析占据了文章的一个特殊位置。作者揭示了“核均势”的本质,认为核武器的“扩散”打破了整个现有的国际核安全体系,并不能确保和平。作者认为,乌克兰危机的主要意义在于“核方面”,乌克兰危机的解决不应是单方面的,而应是各国共同的努力。
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Diplomaticheskaja sluzhba (Diplomatic Service)
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