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Black Carbon and Other Short-Lived Climate Pollutants (SLCPs): How SLCPs are Altering Our Understanding of the Global Climate System - And How This Will Require the Abandonment of the Standard Climate Metric CO2e 黑碳和其他短期气候污染物(SLCPs): SLCPs如何改变我们对全球气候系统的理解-以及这将如何要求放弃标准气候度量co2 2e
Pub Date : 2018-06-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3202394
R. Nelson, Patrick O’Rourke
Since the Kyoto Protocol, black carbon and other non-gaseous short lived climate pollutants (SLCPs) have played little role in global climate policy making. Over the past ten years, however, there has been an increasing recognition in the climate science literature of their importance for the global climate. Nevertheless, international climate policy making in practice continues to ignore the critical scientific and policy importance of the short lifetimes of these climate pollutants. This includes not only the physical particles but also the gas methane which - with its atmospheric lifetime of 12 years - is also a SLCP. The eventual necessary inclusion of SLCPs will require some major changes in the architecture of global climate policy making. The recent scientific literature, for example, concludes that the standard climate metric of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e) cannot validly be calculated for SLCPs (including methane). If the incorporation of SLCPs therefore means that there can be no valid CO2e for key climate pollutants, this will require some basic changes in the methods of formulating and implementing global climate policy.
自《京都议定书》签订以来,黑碳和其他非气态短寿命气候污染物(SLCPs)在全球气候政策制定中几乎没有发挥作用。然而,在过去的十年中,气候科学文献越来越认识到它们对全球气候的重要性。然而,在实践中,国际气候政策的制定继续忽视这些气候污染物的短寿命的关键科学和政策的重要性。这不仅包括物理粒子,还包括气体甲烷,它在大气中的寿命为12年,也是一种SLCP。最终必要的slcp纳入将需要全球气候政策制定架构的一些重大变化。例如,最近的科学文献得出结论,二氧化碳当量(CO2e)的标准气候度量不能有效地计算slcp(包括甲烷)。因此,如果slcp的加入意味着对主要气候污染物不存在有效的二氧化碳当量,这就需要在制定和实施全球气候政策的方法上进行一些基本的改变。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Anthropogenic Intervention on the Walauwewaththa Wathurana Fresh Water Swamp Forest in Sri Lanka 人为干预对斯里兰卡Walauwewaththa Wathurana淡水沼泽森林的影响
Pub Date : 2018-06-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3450030
S. Siriwardana, P. Sangasumana
Swamp forests are considered as the late succession stage of a freshwater marsh ecosystem and it is the rarest wetland type in Sri Lanka, rich in biodiversity thus providing a number of ecosystem services. The Walauwewatta Wathurana has been identified as the most dynamic fresh water ecosystem in Sri Lanka. These rare forest ecosystems have been subjected to degradation over the past decades due to various reasons especially anthropogenic activities. A study was conducted to explore the magnitude of these impacts caused by anthropogenic activities. A household survey was conducted using a structured questioner and Participatory Rural Appraisals (PRA) and discussions were made to gather information from the people living close by the swamp. Data analysis based on both quantitative and qualitative techniques. It was revealed that, a large number of activities carried out in the surrounding area of the forest by the neighboring communities directly or indirectly were related to their livelihoods as well as for their daily household needs. The richness of the species and the abundance have decreased over the past two decades due to the unsustainable fishing activities, contamination of agro-chemicals as well as chemical effluents of rubber based industries, sand mining, bamboo and rattan industries located around the forest area. Therefore the Wathurana fresh water swamp forest has been subjected to degradation due to anthropogenic activities. Conservation strategies should be implemented to strengthen the sustainability of the ecosystem services provided by this freshwater swamp forest.  KEYWORDS: Anthropogenic Activities, Degradation, Ecosystem, Fresh Water Swamp Forest, Impact
沼泽森林被认为是淡水沼泽生态系统的后期演替阶段,是斯里兰卡最稀有的湿地类型,具有丰富的生物多样性,从而提供了许多生态系统服务。Walauwewatta Wathurana被认为是斯里兰卡最具活力的淡水生态系统。在过去的几十年里,由于各种原因,特别是人为活动,这些稀有的森林生态系统遭受了退化。我们进行了一项研究,以探讨人为活动造成的这些影响的程度。使用结构化提问和参与式农村评估(PRA)进行了家庭调查,并进行了讨论,以收集沼泽附近居民的信息。基于定量和定性技术的数据分析。据了解,邻近社区在森林周围地区进行的大量活动直接或间接地关系到他们的生计和日常家庭需要。在过去二十年中,由于不可持续的捕鱼活动、农用化学品的污染以及森林周围橡胶工业、采砂、竹藤工业的化学废水,物种的丰富度和丰度有所下降。因此,由于人为活动,瓦图拉纳淡水沼泽森林遭受了退化。应实施保护战略,以加强淡水沼泽森林提供的生态系统服务的可持续性。关键词:人为活动,退化,生态系统,淡水沼泽林,影响
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引用次数: 1
Genetic Engineered Ideonella Sakaiensis Bacteria: A Solution of the Legendary Plastic Waste Problem 基因工程酒井Ideonella Sakaiensis细菌:解决传说中的塑料垃圾问题
Pub Date : 2018-05-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3194556
Galuh Widyastuti
Plastic waste has been known as the most unsolved environmental problem in this world. Instead of what have been expected, the amount of plastic waste is increasing significantly in years. Nowadays, 6.3 billion metric tons of plastic waste is produced and if present trends continue, there will be 12 billion metric tons of plastic in landfills by 2050. Due to the fact, an effective and environmental friendly solution is urgently needed. The ability of Ideonella sakaiensis bacteria to consume polyethylene terephthalate (PET), the main material of plastic, in only 6 weeks becomes a great potential to solve this problem. These bacteria need to consume PET for their metabolism and they can produce safety secretes from it as well. Nevertheless, the habitat of these bacteria is very limited. With technology of genetic engineering, the genes of Ideonella sakaiensis can be modified with Azotobacter sp.’s genes that make them survive in areas that usually have much plastic waste, such as soil and water. This combination is expected to optimize the ability of Ideonella sakaiensis as it breaks down the limitation of where the bacteria can survive. As a result, the problem of plastic waste can be solved effectively without damaging the environment and automatically form a sustainability in nature and life.
塑料垃圾被认为是世界上最未解决的环境问题。与预期的相反,塑料垃圾的数量近年来正在显著增加。如今,产生了63亿吨塑料垃圾,如果目前的趋势继续下去,到2050年,垃圾填埋场将有120亿吨塑料。因此,迫切需要一种有效且环保的解决方案。酒井Ideonella sakaiensis细菌在短短6周内消耗塑料主要材料PET的能力成为解决这一问题的巨大潜力。这些细菌需要消耗PET来进行新陈代谢,它们也可以从中产生安全的分泌物。然而,这些细菌的栖息地是非常有限的。利用基因工程技术,可以用固氮杆菌的基因修饰酒井Ideonella sakaiensis的基因,使其在通常有大量塑料废物的地区,如土壤和水中生存。这种组合有望优化酒井Ideonella sakaiensis的能力,因为它打破了细菌生存的限制。因此,塑料垃圾的问题可以在不破坏环境的情况下得到有效解决,并在自然和生活中自动形成可持续性。
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引用次数: 4
Causal Paths and Exogeneity Tests in Generalcorr Package for Air Pollution and Monetary Policy 空气污染与货币政策的因果路径与外生性检验
Pub Date : 2017-06-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2982128
H. Vinod
Since causal paths are important for all sciences, my package 'generalCorr' provides sophisticated R functions using four orders of stochastic dominance and generalized partial correlation coefficients. A new test (in Version 1.0.3) replaces Hausman-Wu medieval-style diagnosis of endogeneity relying on showing that a dubious cure (instrumental variables) works. An updated weighted index summarizes causal path results from three criteria: (Cr1) lower absolute gradients, (Cr2) lower absolute residuals, both quantified by stochastic dominance of four orders, and (Cr3) from goodness of fit. We illustrate with air-pollution data and causal strength of six variables driving 'excess bond premium,' a good predictor of US recessions.
由于因果路径对所有科学都很重要,我的软件包“generalCorr”提供了使用四阶随机优势和广义偏相关系数的复杂R函数。一个新的测试(在1.0.3版本中)取代了Hausman-Wu中世纪式的内质性诊断,它依赖于显示一个可疑的治疗方法(工具变量)有效。一个更新的加权指数总结了三个标准的因果路径结果:(Cr1)较低的绝对梯度,(Cr2)较低的绝对残差,两者都通过四阶随机优势量化,(Cr3)从拟合优度。我们用空气污染数据和驱动“超额债券溢价”的六个变量的因果关系来说明,“超额债券溢价”是美国经济衰退的一个很好的预测指标。
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引用次数: 4
Optimal Growth with Resource Exhaustibility and Pollution Externality 资源枯竭和污染外部性条件下的最优增长
Pub Date : 2017-03-31 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2943858
W. Jin, A. Woodland
This paper investigates a problem of optimal growth with resource exhaustibility and pollution externality, based on a unified framework that explicitly considers augmentable man-made capital, exhaustible resource reserves, and accumulative environmental pollutants as three stock variables for optimal control analysis. Characterizations of the social optimum show that for any given man-made capital and resource reserves, resource extraction flows generated in optimal growth with both resource exhaustibility and pollution externality are smaller than those with only resource exhaustibility, and taking account of pollution externality resulting from resource extraction reduces the growth rate of consumption if man-made capital and natural resources are complements in final goods production. Existence, uniqueness and comparative statics of the steady state are analyzed. Conditions for transitional dynamics stability of optimal growth with resource exhaustibility and pollution externality are established. Expositions are made on whether allocations in a market equilibrium are consistent with the social optimum outcomes.
本文基于一个统一的框架,明确地将可扩充的人工资本、可耗尽的资源储量和累积的环境污染物作为最优控制分析的三个存量变量,研究了具有资源可耗尽性和污染外部性的最优增长问题。社会最优的特征表明,对于任何给定的人工资本和资源储备,同时具有资源可耗竭性和污染外部性的最优增长所产生的资源开采流量比仅具有资源可耗竭性的最优增长所产生的资源开采流量要小;如果在最终产品生产中人工资本和自然资源互为补充,考虑资源开采所产生的污染外部性会降低消费增长率。分析了稳态的存在性、唯一性和比较静力。建立了具有资源可耗竭性和污染外部性的最优增长过渡动态稳定性条件。论述了市场均衡中的分配是否与社会最优结果相一致。
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引用次数: 0
Smog in Our Brains: Gender Differences in the Impact of Exposure to Air Pollution on Cognitive Performance in China 我们大脑中的雾霾:中国空气污染暴露对认知表现影响的性别差异
Pub Date : 2017-03-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2940618
Xi Chen, X. Zhang, Xin Zhang
While there is a large body of literature on the negative health effects of air pollution, there is much less written about its effects on cognitive performance for the whole population. This paper studies the effects of contemporaneous and cumulative exposure to air pollution on cognitive performance based on a nationally representative survey in China. By merging a longitudinal sample at the individual level with local air-quality data according to the exact dates and counties of interviews, we find that contemporaneous and cumulative exposure to air pollution impedes both verbal and math scores of survey subjects. Interestingly, the negative effect is stronger for men than for women. Specifically, the gender difference is more salient among the old and less educated in both verbal and math tests.
虽然关于空气污染对健康的负面影响有大量的文献,但关于空气污染对整个人群认知能力的影响的文献要少得多。本文基于一项具有全国代表性的调查,研究了同时暴露于空气污染和累积暴露于空气污染对认知表现的影响。通过将个人层面的纵向样本与当地空气质量数据(根据访谈的确切日期和县)合并,我们发现,同时和累积暴露于空气污染会影响调查对象的语言和数学成绩。有趣的是,这种负面影响对男性比对女性更强烈。具体来说,在语言和数学测试中,性别差异在年龄较大和受教育程度较低的人群中更为明显。
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引用次数: 34
Petchey's (2015) Extension of Oates & Schwab's (1988) Efficiency Result Revisited Petchey(2015)对Oates & Schwab(1988)效率结果的延伸
Pub Date : 2017-02-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2921077
T. Eichner, R. Pethig
Oates and Schwab (1988) consider an economy with mobil capital and jurisdictions that suffer from local pollution. They show that welfare-maximizing jurisdictions implement the first-best, if they take prices as given and have at their disposal a capital tax and an environmental standard. Petchey (2015) claims that the efficiency result of Oates and Schwab can be extended to a large price-influencing jurisdiction. In the present note we show that the concept of Pareto efficiency cannot be applied in Petchey’s model. Next, we expand his model by a second jurisdiction and prove that Petchey’s claim is false, i.e. we show that the allocation implemented by a large price-influencing jurisdiction that sets an environmental standard and a capital tax fails to be (Pareto) efficient.
Oates和Schwab(1988)考虑了一个拥有流动资本和受到地方污染影响的司法管辖区的经济体。他们表明,如果福利最大化的司法管辖区将价格视为给定,并有资本税和环境标准可供支配,那么它们的执行效果是最好的。Petchey(2015)声称Oates和Schwab的效率结果可以推广到一个大的价格影响管辖区。在本文中,我们证明帕累托效率的概念不能应用于佩奇的模型。接下来,我们将他的模型扩展到第二个司法管辖区,并证明Petchey的说法是错误的,即我们表明,由设定环境标准和资本税的大型价格影响司法管辖区实施的分配未能达到(帕累托)效率。
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引用次数: 0
Whistleblowing, the War on Science, and the Impending Trump Administration: Methods of Assault and Defense in an Accelerating Conflict 揭秘、科学之战和即将到来的特朗普政府:加速冲突中的攻击和防御方法
Pub Date : 2017-01-21 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2903997
G. Rainey, Jane G. Rainey
A “war on science” has been extensively described in academic literature and press reports, but the descriptions tend to be historical and journalistic narratives. Using examples drawn from available literature, we develop concise classification schemes to document methods of direct and indirect suppression of science in government and of methods of resistance and counter-attack. Recent anti-science policies in Canada and the U.S. and more recent reversals of these policies are compared to identify the role that political systems and political culture may play in implementing, encouraging, or impeding “war on science” policies and practices. The comparison allows speculation as to likely policies of the newly elected Trump administration in the U.S. based on Trump’s position statements and presidential appointments. Future pathways in the development of scientific resistance are also speculatively described.
“对科学的战争”在学术文献和新闻报道中被广泛描述,但这些描述往往是历史和新闻叙事。利用从现有文献中提取的例子,我们制定了简明的分类方案,以记录政府直接和间接压制科学的方法以及抵抗和反击的方法。比较了加拿大和美国最近的反科学政策以及最近这些政策的逆转,以确定政治制度和政治文化在实施、鼓励或阻碍“对科学的战争”政策和实践中可能发挥的作用。这种对比可以根据特朗普的立场声明和总统任命,推测新当选的特朗普政府可能会采取的政策。科学耐药性发展的未来途径也进行了推测性描述。
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引用次数: 1
The Effectiveness of Incomplete and Overlapping Pollution Regulation: Evidence from Bans on Phosphate in Automatic Dishwasher Detergent 不完整和重叠污染管制的有效性:来自禁止在自动洗碗机洗涤剂中使用磷酸盐的证据
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2905906
A. Cohen, David A Keiser
Abstract This paper examines the effectiveness of command-and-control policies in the presence of incomplete and overlapping regulations. We study how recent bans on phosphate in household dishwasher detergent affect pollution loads to waterways, costs at wastewater treatment facilities, and consumer behavior. We show that the effectiveness of the bans in reducing effluent depends critically on regulations at receiving treatment facilities. As cost minimizers, facilities with an emissions standard on phosphorus face no incentive to deviate from the standard. We show that bans have weak effects on effluent, especially in the most polluted waterways. We also use an early, isolated ban in Spokane, Washington to study the effect of the bans on consumers. We find that this ban shifted approximately 40% of dishwasher detergent sales from Spokane to bordering counties until a state-wide ban was implemented. Using these estimates, we find that the welfare loss to consumers from recent bans is likely greater than the cost-savings to treatment plants.
摘要本文考察了在法规不完整和重叠的情况下指挥控制政策的有效性。我们研究了最近禁止在家用洗碗机洗涤剂中使用磷酸盐对水道污染负荷、废水处理设施成本和消费者行为的影响。我们表明,禁令在减少废水方面的有效性主要取决于接收处理设施的法规。作为成本最小化者,有磷排放标准的设施没有偏离标准的动机。我们表明,禁令对污水的影响很弱,尤其是在污染最严重的水道中。我们还利用华盛顿州斯波坎市早期的一项孤立禁令来研究禁令对消费者的影响。我们发现,这项禁令将大约40%的洗碗机洗涤剂销售从斯波坎转移到周边县,直到全州禁令实施。利用这些估计,我们发现最近的禁令给消费者带来的福利损失可能大于处理厂节省的成本。
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引用次数: 24
Batteries in Offshore Support Vessels - Pollution, Climate Impact and Economics 近海支援船的电池-污染,气候影响和经济
Pub Date : 2016-12-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2882009
H. Lindstad, G. Eskeland, A. Rialland
This paper assesses the pros and the cons of installing batteries on offshore support vessels. These vessels are specially designed to provide services to oil and gas operations, such as anchor handling, supply and subsea operations. They have multiple engines and advanced dynamic positioning systems to ensure that they can perform their duties with high reliability at nearly any sea state. Combined with high safety requirements, this has resulted in general operational patterns with vessels running multiple combustion engines even at calm water conditions. For emissions, low engine loads yield high emissions of exhaust gases such as nitrogen oxides (NOx) and aerosols such as black carbon (BC), due to less favorable combustion conditions. The high span for these vessels between low loads and high, and their great need for potential power at short notice, motivate our examination of hybrid setups with electric: the vessel segment should be more favorable than many. We find that combining batteries with combustion engines reduces local pollution and climate impact, while the economics with current battery cost and fuel prices is good enough for new vessels, but not good enough for retrofits.
本文评估了在海上支援船上安装电池的利弊。这些船是专门为油气作业提供服务而设计的,例如锚定处理、供应和海底作业。他们有多个发动机和先进的动态定位系统,以确保他们能够在几乎任何海况下高可靠性地执行任务。结合高安全要求,即使在平静的水面条件下,船舶也可以运行多个内燃机。在排放方面,由于较差的燃烧条件,低发动机负荷会产生高排放的废气,如氮氧化物(NOx)和气溶胶,如黑碳(BC)。这些船只在低负载和高负载之间的大跨度,以及它们在短时间内对潜在电力的巨大需求,促使我们对电动混合动力装置进行研究:船舶部分应该比许多船只更有利。我们发现,将电池与内燃机相结合可以减少当地的污染和对气候的影响,而当前电池成本和燃料价格的经济性对于新船来说已经足够好了,但对于改造来说还不够好。
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引用次数: 34
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