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Perspectives 视角
Pub Date : 2018-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/09733159.2018.1532486
S. S. Parmar
It is an exceptional delight to be present on an occasion where one receives multiple perspectives of the opportunities and challenges of the Indo-Pacific from a multiplicity of eminent personalities, who are either holding or have held public office, and, more importantly, steered national policies to positive logical conclusions. The inaugural Indo-Pacific Regional Dialogue 2018, held in New Delhi, on 21 and 22 February 2018, was one such event where views from India, Sri Lanka and the United Kingdom (UK) were aired in the opening session and set the stage for the dialogue. The speakers included Admiral RK Dhowan (Retd), Chairman National Maritime Foundation (NMF); Admiral Sunil Lanba, Chief of the Naval Staff, India; Admiral RC Wijegunaratne, Chief of Defence Staff, Sri Lanka; Stephen Lovegrove, Permanent Secretary of Defence, United Kingdom; Nirmala Sitharaman, Hon’ble Defence Minister, India; and Nitin Gadkari, Hon’ble Minister for Road Transport & Highways, Shipping and Water Resources, River Development & Ganga Rejuvenation, India.
我非常高兴能出席这样一个场合,从众多正在或曾经担任公职的知名人士那里,从多个角度看待印太地区的机遇和挑战,更重要的是,他们引导国家政策朝着积极的逻辑结论发展。2018年2月21日至22日在新德里举行的首届印度-太平洋区域对话就是这样一场活动,印度、斯里兰卡和英国在开幕式上发表了各自的观点,为对话奠定了基础。演讲者包括海军上将RK Dhowan(退休),国家海事基金会(NMF)主席;印度海军参谋长苏尼尔·兰巴上将;斯里兰卡国防参谋长RC Wijegunaratne上将;史蒂芬·洛夫格罗夫,英国国防常务秘书;印度国防部长尼尔马拉·西塔拉曼;以及印度道路运输和高速公路、航运和水资源、河流开发和恒河复兴部长尼廷·加德卡里。
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引用次数: 0
Maritime trade-dependence of Bangladesh, Myanmar and Sri Lanka: Implications and way forward 孟加拉国、缅甸和斯里兰卡的海上贸易依赖:影响和前进方向
Pub Date : 2018-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/09733159.2018.1509686
Jayanath Colombage, Prof(Dr) Lalith Edirisinghe
ABSTRACT Maritime trade is a key contributor to economy in many countries particularly those that are bordering on oceans. Sri Lanka is geographically located in proximity to the main East-West sea route creating multiple logistics advantages to the adjunct countries. This paper considers the maritime trade dependence between Bangladesh, Myanmar and Sri Lanka that focuses on potential implications and a futuristic view. The paper primarily provides an appraisal of maritime trade about Bangladesh, Myanmar, and Sri Lanka. Thereafter, it identifies the historical connections between these countries and discusses the related developments and implications in the maritime industry. It consists of a review and comparison of shipping performance of the countries and an appraisal of Logistics Performance. In addition, it provides an indication of the global perception about other key factors pertaining to logistics and transport. Port project developments, One Belt One Road Initiative, maritime security, risk of Cyber-attacks, a rule based maritime order, trade and investment, transport, energy, and tourism are other factors that are highlighted in this paper.
海上贸易是许多国家经济的重要贡献者,特别是那些濒临海洋的国家。斯里兰卡在地理位置上靠近主要的东西海上航线,为附属国家创造了多重物流优势。本文考虑了孟加拉国、缅甸和斯里兰卡之间的海上贸易依赖,重点是潜在的影响和未来的观点。本文主要对孟加拉国、缅甸和斯里兰卡的海上贸易进行了评估。然后,它确定了这些国家之间的历史联系,并讨论了海事工业的相关发展和影响。它包括对各国航运绩效的审查和比较以及对物流绩效的评估。此外,它还显示了全球对与物流和运输有关的其他关键因素的看法。港口项目发展、“一带一路”倡议、海上安全、网络攻击风险、基于规则的海上秩序、贸易和投资、交通、能源和旅游是本文强调的其他因素。
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引用次数: 1
Implications of maritime trade-dependence of India, China and Japan 印度、中国和日本海上贸易依赖的影响
Pub Date : 2018-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/09733159.2018.1506278
Zeng Xiangyu, Li Jiawei
ABSTRACT India, China and Japan, the economic big three in Asia, is heavily dependent on maritime trade in terms of importation of energy and other natural resources in addition to import/export of manufactured products. Major economic, political and security impact has been resulted from such a dependence, as the sea-lines of communication for maritime trade across the Indian Ocean and West Pacific is vulnerable to heavy conventional/unconventional threat. Policy measures have been taken in order to mitigate the vulnerabilities. Accelerated development of maritime powers, bilateralism/multilateralism, enhanced engagement with regional players and diversification policies are among such effort. The unconventional challenges are on the decline, partly thanks to effective counter-measures, while the conventional challenges is on the rise, also partly due to the mis-match of policies from major stakeholders. The Rise of Indo-Pacific Concept and the Emerging Maritime Regionalism can be a double-edge sword. Clarification of strategic intention and effective policy dialogue is needed for a more harmonious maritime engagement among the three. Strategic vision and smart policies are needed to ensure a cooperation for the benefit of all stakeholder inclusive of the three countries in particular.
印度、中国和日本是亚洲经济三巨头,除了制成品进出口外,在能源和其他自然资源进口方面都严重依赖海上贸易。这种依赖造成了重大的经济、政治和安全影响,因为跨越印度洋和西太平洋的海上贸易交通线容易受到严重的常规/非常规威胁。已采取政策措施以减轻这些脆弱性。这些努力包括加快海洋大国发展、双边主义/多边主义、加强与地区参与者的接触和多样化政策。非常规挑战正在减少,部分原因是有效的应对措施,而传统挑战正在增加,部分原因是主要利益相关者的政策不匹配。印太概念的兴起和海洋区域主义的兴起是一把双刃剑。三国之间需要澄清战略意图并进行有效的政策对话,以实现更和谐的海上接触。需要战略眼光和明智政策,确保合作惠及包括三国在内的所有利益攸关方。
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引用次数: 2
From the Chairman’s desk 从主席的桌子上
Pub Date : 2018-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/09733159.2018.1522778
Admiral RK Dhowan
The term ‘Indo-Pacific’ has, in recent years, moved quite decisively from its origins within the discipline of ‘biogeography’ to the realms of ‘geopolitics’, and today the Indo-Pacific Region has emerged as the world’s centre of gravity in the maritime domain. In spatial terms, the Indo-Pacific Region refers to a predominantly maritime space which, insofar as India is concerned, incorporates all littoral states of West Asia and Africa; goes right across the Indian Ocean in its entirety, envelops SE Asia (ASEAN), stretches into the Western Pacific to include the littorals of East and Northeast Asia (including North and South Korea, Japan and China), and even reaches across Australia and New Zealand into the sprawl of Southern Pacific Island nations. The vastness of the Indo-Pacific Region is explicit in the connection it provides three continents and a multitude of nations, all with differing perspectives and expectations from the region. Given the diversity and the maritime turmoil the Indo-Pacific Region is witnessing, we, at the National Maritime Foundation, decided to rebrand our Flagship conference. Accordingly, this year the Annual Maritime Power Conference was renamed as the Indo-Pacific Regional Dialogue, referred to as the IPRD. The dialogue, first in a series of the Indian Navy’s apex level conference on the Indo-Pacific was conducted in seamless partnership with the National Maritime Foundation as the knowledge partner, and the Indian Navy as the lead state agency. This change, personified in the quip, What’s in a Name, took us down a path which ended in amazing results. The host of questions to be answered were never ending. Some of the central questions included; What are the central nodes that might define the security dynamics of the Indo Pacific from India’s perspective and the perspectives of its maritime neighbours? What are the more significant maritime challenges in this region and what ought to be India’s strategies for risk-mitigation? Perhaps even more importantly, since every challenge is simultaneously an opportunity, what are the opportunities that present themselves before India’s maritime policy-shapers, policy-makers, and, the practitioners of these policies? How could other regional players react to the geopolitical game-moves by India and other major players within the Indo-Pacific? These questions and a host of other issues were deliberated during the two day conference under four themes. Firstly, the growth and vulnerabilities of maritime merchandise trade, whose environmentally-sensitive development is an important constituent of the Blue Economy. Secondly, regional connectivity-models such as the Belt and Road Initiative, the International North-South Transit Corridor, the Asia-Africa Growth Corridor, Project MAUSAM, and the Honourable Prime Minister’s concept of SAGAR. The theme also encompassed the examination of regional maritime structures such as the IONS, IORA and WPNS for enhancing maritime cooperation. Th
近年来,“印度-太平洋”一词已经从其起源的“生物地理学”领域转向了“地缘政治学”领域,如今,印度-太平洋地区已经成为世界海洋领域的重心。在空间上,印太地区是指一个以海洋为主的空间,就印度而言,包括西亚和非洲的所有沿海国家;它横跨整个印度洋,包围东南亚(东盟),延伸到西太平洋,包括东亚和东北亚的沿海地区(包括朝鲜和韩国,日本和中国),甚至越过澳大利亚和新西兰,进入南太平洋岛国的蔓延。印太地区的广阔,体现在它将三大洲和众多国家联系在一起,这些国家对该地区有着不同的看法和期望。鉴于印度太平洋地区的多样性和海上动荡,我们国家海事基金会决定重新命名我们的旗舰会议。因此,今年的年度海上力量会议更名为印度-太平洋地区对话,简称IPRD。这次对话是印度海军在印度-太平洋地区举行的一系列最高级会议中的第一次,是在国家海事基金会作为知识合作伙伴和印度海军作为牵头国家机构的无缝伙伴关系下进行的。这种变化,在“名字里有什么”这句俏皮话中体现了出来,它把我们带到了一条以惊人的结果结束的道路上。要回答的问题一大堆,没完没了。一些核心问题包括;从印度及其海上邻国的角度来看,可能定义印度太平洋安全动态的中心节点是什么?该地区更重大的海上挑战是什么?印度应该采取什么战略来降低风险?也许更重要的是,既然每一个挑战同时也是一个机会,那么摆在印度海事政策制定者、政策制定者和这些政策实践者面前的机会是什么呢?其他地区国家如何应对印度和印太地区其他主要国家的地缘政治博弈?为期两天的会议在四个主题下审议了这些问题和许多其他问题。首先,海洋货物贸易的增长和脆弱性,其环境敏感的发展是蓝色经济的重要组成部分。二是“一带一路”倡议、国际南北运输走廊、亚非增长走廊、MAUSAM项目、总理阁下提出的SAGAR等区域互联互通模式。该主题还包括审查区域海事结构,例如国际海事组织、国际海事组织和世界海事系统,以加强海事合作。第三,海洋空间全面数字化和海洋领域网络恶意的挑战。此外,还就印太地区整体海洋环境的泛区域变化和挑战进行了讨论。第四,海运业在加强整体海上安全方面的作用,以及私营和公共部门之间建立合资伙伴关系的途径
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引用次数: 0
Bay of Bengal maritime delimitation cases: Upholding the Rule of law in international relations 孟加拉湾海域划界案:在国际关系中坚持法治
Pub Date : 2018-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/09733159.2018.1478432
Aniruddha Rajput
ABSTRACT At a time when there are instances of lack of participation in binding dispute resolution mechanisms under the UNCLOS, the Bay of Bengal Arbitrations provide a ray of hope and adherence to the rule of law. The three Bay of Bengal States: Bangladesh, India and Myanmar settled their long standing disputed claims over the maritime zones in the Bay of Bengal in a peaceful manner. These cases represent that States relatively stronger on the political level as compared to others are willing to compromise their positions and adhere to the outcome of dispute resolution proceedings under the UNCLOS. These cases involved sensitive issues such as the determination of the land boundary terminus, based upon the reports and other proceedings relating to the partition of India. There were other controversial claims over certain islands, which too were presented for adjudication and the decision was thereafter complied with all the parties to the dispute. These cases thus constitute a prime example of the importance of adherence to a rule based system for maritime claims.
在缺乏参与《联合国海洋法公约》具有约束力的争端解决机制的情况下,孟加拉湾仲裁案为法治提供了一线希望和坚持。孟加拉、印度和缅甸这三个孟加拉湾国家以和平方式解决了它们在孟加拉湾海域长期存在的争议。这些案例表明,与其他国家相比,在政治层面上相对强大的国家愿意妥协自己的立场,坚持《联合国海洋法公约》争端解决程序的结果。这些案件涉及敏感问题,例如根据与印度分治有关的报告和其他诉讼确定陆地边界终点站。对某些岛屿还有其他有争议的要求,这些要求也提交了裁决,后来争端各方都遵守了裁决。因此,这些案件构成了遵守基于规则的海事索赔制度的重要性的主要例子。
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引用次数: 4
The Challenges of Digitisation and Data Analysis in the Maritime Domain 海事领域数字化和数据分析的挑战
Pub Date : 2018-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/09733159.2018.1478433
J. G. Kallimani
ABSTRACT The volume of collected and synthesised data available to governmental leaders assessing the maritime domain has increased rapidly over recent years. Analogue data has given way to digital data, which provides an opportunity for better storage, analysis and transfer. Data infusion and management has become the key constraint in respect of data collection. Using data to make decisions requires the appropriate tools and processes to assess and transfer data to near real-time user domains. In the maritime environment, there is a constantly growing demand for intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR) data for both national security and commercial purposes, including data sharing among partner nations. However, an increase in available data does not automatically equate to an increase in decision-ready information. Rather, the increase in data can overwhelm sensors, databases and analysts. The concept and use of “big data” exacerbate the already overwhelming flow of data in terms of the volume, variety, and velocity of the data being received. This paper will explore the digitisation of the maritime domain, and the prospect of performing data analysis in a world of rapidly growing data. Abbreviations: BAMS: Broad area maritime surveillance; DAMA-DMBOK: Data Management Association Guide to the Data Management Body of Knowledge; ECDIS: Electronic chart display and information system; EDM: Enterprise data management; ELT: Extract, load, transform; ETL: Extract, transform, load; ISR: Intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance; MDA: Maritime domain awareness; PWC: PriceWaterhouseCoopers; ROI: Return on investment; SDLC: Systems development life cycle; TCPED: Tasking, collection, processing, exploitation and dissemination; WGS: Wideband global satellite
近年来,可供政府领导人评估海洋领域的收集和综合数据量迅速增加。模拟数据已经让位于数字数据,这为更好的存储、分析和传输提供了机会。数据的注入和管理已成为制约数据采集的关键因素。使用数据做出决策需要适当的工具和流程来评估数据并将数据传输到接近实时的用户域。在海洋环境中,出于国家安全和商业目的,对情报、监视和侦察(ISR)数据的需求不断增长,包括伙伴国家之间的数据共享。然而,可用数据的增加并不自动等同于决策就绪信息的增加。相反,数据的增加会使传感器、数据库和分析师不堪重负。“大数据”的概念和使用在接收数据的数量、种类和速度方面加剧了已经势不可挡的数据流。本文将探讨海洋领域的数字化,以及在数据快速增长的世界中进行数据分析的前景。缩写:BAMS:广域海上监视;DAMA-DMBOK:数据管理协会数据管理知识体系指南;电子海图显示和信息系统;EDM:企业数据管理;ELT:提取、加载、转换;ETL:提取、转换、加载;ISR:情报、监视和侦察;MDA:海洋领域感知;普华永道:普华永道;ROI:投资回报率;SDLC:系统开发生命周期;TCPED:任务分配、收集、处理、开发和传播;WGS:宽带全球卫星
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引用次数: 0
Multilateral Structures in the Indian Ocean: Review and Way Ahead 印度洋多边结构:回顾与未来
Pub Date : 2018-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/09733159.2018.1478435
Captain (Dr) Gurpreet S Khurana
ABSTRACT This paper reviews the existing multilateral structures in the Indian Ocean Region (IOR) – notably the Indian Ocean Rim Association (IORA) – in the context of various geopolitical facets, ranging from geoeconomics to regional security and good order. It examines and recommends options to bolster economic multilateralism in the IOR though a comprehensive two-fold approach. The first one seeks to enhance intraregional trade, maritime–economic connectivity, and technology sharing, delving into issues relating to a region-wide free trade agreement (FTA), the amalgamation of economic corridors within IORA, and the “Make in India” initiative. The second is founded upon the indispensability of a secure and conducive maritime environment for economic development, and addresses maritime safety and security (MSS), as also “good order” in the IOR. It suggests measures to bolster the IORA’s nascent MSS architecture with a web of bilateral, trilateral and subregional mechanisms, emphasising the Indian Ocean Naval Symposium (IONS) as the key functional enabler of IORA’s MSS agenda. It also examines the imminent challenges relating to freedom of navigation (FoN), and undertakes an appraisal of Sri Lanka’s draft Code of Conduct (CoC) for the Indian Ocean. The arguments presented hinge upon the suggestion that the collective approach of the IOR countries should ideally be in consonance with India’s prime-ministerial enunciation of the concept of SAGAR – security and growth for all in the region. If each Indian Ocean country’s economy is a “boat”, the Indian “boat” cannot rise unless all “boats” rise with a rising economic tide.
本文从地缘政治的角度,从地缘经济到区域安全和良好秩序,回顾了印度洋地区现有的多边结构——尤其是环印度洋联盟(IORA)。它通过全面的双重方法,审查并建议加强印度洋地区经济多边主义的各种选择。第一个目标是加强区域内贸易、海上经济互联互通和技术共享,深入研究与区域自由贸易协定、IORA内经济走廊合并以及“印度制造”倡议有关的问题。第二,建立在经济发展离不开安全和有利的海洋环境的基础上,并将海上安全与保障(MSS)作为印度洋的“良好秩序”。报告建议采取措施,通过双边、三边和次区域机制网络加强IORA新兴的MSS架构,强调印度洋海军研讨会(IONS)是IORA MSS议程的关键功能推动因素。它还审查了与航行自由(FoN)有关的迫在眉睫的挑战,并对斯里兰卡的印度洋行为准则草案进行了评估。所提出的论点取决于下述建议,即IOR国家的集体做法最好应与印度总理所阐述的SAGAR概念- -该区域所有国家的安全和增长- -相一致。如果每个印度洋国家的经济都是一条“船”,那么除非所有的“船”都随着经济的上升而上升,否则印度的“船”就不可能上升。
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引用次数: 2
China, Japan and the East China Sea Imbroglio 中国、日本和东海纠葛
Pub Date : 2017-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/09733159.2017.1410934
Amrita Jash
ABSTRACT The East China Sea dispute has become a characteristic feature in the defined “hot economics, cold politics” relations between China and Japan. The maritime sphere has gained precedence in the larger realm of diplomacy, thus making the contested waters a primary hotspot of power politics between the two Asian countries. With the growing tensions, in all likelihood the maritime dispute will be high on the political and security agenda of China and Japan. What makes this worrisome is that the dispute does not just make the bilateral relations unstable but holds significant implications for East Asia’s regional stability. In this regard, given the phenomenon of constant testing of each other’s resolve, the possibility of an all-out confrontation in the East China Sea remains a vital concern. What has further added to the power struggle is the US involvement, thus making the dispute a difficult case to resolve. The crux of the paper lies in understanding the volatility of the East China Sea dispute between China and Japan. In doing so, the paper examines the determinants of the dispute, the actors involved and their responses.
东海争端已成为中日“经济热、政治冷”关系的一个特征。海洋领域在更大的外交领域中占据了优先地位,从而使有争议的水域成为这两个亚洲国家之间强权政治的主要热点。随着紧张局势的加剧,海上争端很可能成为中日两国政治和安全议程上的重要议题。令人担忧的是,这一争端不仅会使双边关系不稳定,而且会对东亚地区的稳定产生重大影响。在这方面,鉴于不断考验彼此决心的现象,在东中国海发生全面对抗的可能性仍然是一个至关重要的问题。美国的介入进一步加剧了权力斗争,从而使争端成为一个难以解决的问题。本文的核心在于理解中日东海争端的波动性。在此过程中,本文考察了争端的决定因素、涉及的行为者及其反应。
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引用次数: 1
Maritime Affairs: Winter 2017: From the Chairman's Desk 海事事务:2017年冬季:主席办公桌
Pub Date : 2017-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/09733159.2017.1414854
R. Dhowan
The maritime environment in the Indian Ocean Region, and the larger Indo-Pacific, is today characterized by an unusual complexity. While the seas and oceans offer the greatest potential for the dev...
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引用次数: 0
Destined For War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides’s Trap? 命中注定的战争:美国和中国能逃脱修昔底德的陷阱吗?
Pub Date : 2017-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/09733159.2017.1412578
Jyotishman Bhagawati
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引用次数: 227
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Maritime Affairs: Journal of the National Maritime Foundation of India
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