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A Survey of Economics Bloggers 对经济博客的调查
Pub Date : 2008-01-03 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1080238
A. Schiff
This paper presents the results of a survey of economics bloggers. The survey attempted to assess the characteristics of these bloggers, their blogging activity, and factors affecting their motivations for blogging. Based on the results, bloggers are also separated into groups of academics and non-academics, and those with and without commercial elements on their blogs, and differences in activity and motivations between these groups are tested for. The relationship between time spent and blog posts written is also estimated.
本文介绍了一项对经济学博客作者的调查结果。这项调查试图评估这些部落客的特征、他们的部落格活动,以及影响他们部落格动机的因素。基于结果,博客作者也被分为学术与非学术、博客中有商业元素与没有商业元素的两组,并测试了这两组之间的活动与动机差异。花费的时间和写的博客文章之间的关系也被估计。
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引用次数: 0
Beliefs in Network Games 网络游戏中的信念
Pub Date : 2008-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1004279
W. Kets
Networks can have an important effect on economic outcomes. Given the complexity of many of these networks, agents will generally not know their structure. We study the sensitivity of game-theoretic predictions to the specification of players' (common) prior on the network in a setting where players play a fixed game with their neighbors and only have local information on the network structure. We show that two priors are close in a strategic sense if and only if (i) the priors assign similar probabilities to all events that involve a player and his neighbors, and (ii) with high probability, a player believes, given his type, that his neighbors' conditional beliefs are close under the two priors, and that his neighbors believe, given their type, that...the conditional beliefs of their neighbors are close, for any number of iterations.
网络可以对经济结果产生重要影响。考虑到这些网络的复杂性,智能体通常不知道它们的结构。在玩家与其邻居进行固定博弈且只有网络结构的局部信息的情况下,我们研究了博弈论预测对网络上玩家(共同)先验规范的敏感性。我们证明,两个先验在策略意义上是接近的,当且仅当(i)先验为涉及玩家和他的邻居的所有事件分配相似的概率,以及(ii)在给定玩家类型的情况下,玩家高概率地相信他的邻居的条件信念在这两个先验下是接近的,并且他的邻居相信,给定他们的类型,……对于任意次数的迭代,它们邻居的条件信念是接近的。
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引用次数: 10
Peer Influence in Network Markets: An Empirical and Theoretical Analysis 网络市场中的同伴影响:实证与理论分析
Pub Date : 2008-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.956564
J. Henkel, J. Block
Network externalities spur the growth of networks and the adoption of network goods in two ways. First, they make it attractive to join a network with a large installed base. Second, they make it attractive for network members to actively recruit new members. Despite indications that this “peer eect” can be more important for network growth than the installed-base eect, it has so far been largely ignored in the literature. We aim at closing this gap, using both survey data and a game-theoretical model. Comparing respondents’ adoption of two distinct networks goods, we find that the peer eect matters strongly for small, but not for large networks. Results from model analysis support this finding. Under conservative assumptions, the increase in network size due to the peer eect is by an additive constant ‐ which, for small networks, can amount to a large relative increase. The dierence between small, local, and personal networks and large, global, anonymous networks thus arises endogenously from our model. In the duopoly case, we find that introducing the peer eect favors winner-take-all outcomes. We use the examples of the Internet services, Skype and eBay, for our empirical analysis and as illustration of our theoretical findings. Since many network goods give rise to small, local networks, our findings are highly relevant for the management of network goods and the social networks they can give rise to.
网络外部性以两种方式刺激网络的增长和网络产品的采用。首先,它们使加入一个拥有庞大安装基础的网络变得具有吸引力。其次,它们吸引了网络成员积极招募新成员。尽管有迹象表明,这种“同伴效应”对网络增长比安装基础效应更重要,但迄今为止,它在很大程度上被文献所忽视。我们的目标是利用调查数据和博弈论模型来缩小这一差距。比较受访者对两种不同网络产品的采用,我们发现同伴效应对小型网络影响很大,但对大型网络影响不大。模型分析的结果支持这一发现。在保守的假设下,由于对等效应导致的网络规模的增加是通过一个附加常数-对于小型网络,可以达到较大的相对增加。因此,小型的、本地的、个人的网络和大型的、全球的、匿名的网络之间的差异从我们的模型中内生地产生出来。在双头垄断的情况下,我们发现引入同伴效应有利于赢者通吃的结果。我们使用互联网服务的例子,Skype和eBay,为我们的实证分析和说明我们的理论发现。由于许多网络产品会产生小型的本地网络,因此我们的研究结果与网络产品的管理及其可能产生的社会网络高度相关。
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引用次数: 5
Hold the Phone: Assessing the Rights of Wireless Handset Owners and Carriers 持有手机:评估无线手机所有者和运营商的权利
Pub Date : 2008-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1081345
R. Frieden
Wireless operators in most nations qualify for streamlined regulation when providing telecommunications services and even less government oversight when providing information services, entertainment and electronic publishing. In the United States, Congressional legislation, real or perceived competition and regulator discomfort with ventures that provide both regulated and largely unregulated services contribute to the view that the Federal Communications Commission ("FCC") has no significant regulatory mandate to safeguard the public interest. Such a hands off approach made sense when cellular telephone carriers primarily offered voice and text messaging services in a marketplace with six or more facilities-based competitors in most metropolitan areas. However the wireless industry has become significantly more concentrated even as wireless networking increasingly serves as a key medium for accessing a broad array of information, communications and entertainment ("ICE") services. As wireless ventures plan and install next generation networks ("NGNs"), these carriers expect to offer a diverse array of ICE services, including Internet access, free from common carrier regulatory responsibilities that still apply to telecommunications services. Wireless carrier managers reject the need for governments to ensure consumers safeguards such as nondiscriminatory access and separating the sale of radiotelephone handsets from carrier services. Critics of wireless regulation claim that government-imposed obligations would create disincentives for NGN investment and have no place in a competitive marketplace.This article will examine the costs and benefits of government-imposed rules that would require wireless carriers to separate sales of handsets from service subscriptions and to comply with network neutrality rules designed to ensure nondiscriminatory access to content. The article will assess the rights of both wireless subscribers and carriers to control how handsets attach to networks and what services the handsets can access. The article will consider whether wireless network access should parallel long established rules for wired networks and will compare wireless network neutrality issues with a preexisting debate about neutral Internet access via wired networks. For example, wireless network neutrality includes consideration of separating Internet access equipment from Internet services, an unbundling principle established for wired networks decades ago. Because wireless carriers package subsidized handset sales often with a blend of ICE services and consumers welcome the opportunity to use and replace increasingly sophisticated handsets, regulators have refrained from ordering handset unbundling. But for other services, such as cable television, the FCC has pursued public safeguards that attempt to allow consumers the opportunity to access only desired content using least cost equipment options. The article also examines why wireless carriers cou
大多数国家的无线运营商在提供电信服务时都有资格获得简化的监管,而在提供信息服务、娱乐和电子出版时,政府监管就更少了。在美国,国会立法、实际或感知的竞争以及监管机构对既提供受监管服务又提供基本上不受监管服务的企业的不满,导致人们认为联邦通信委员会(“FCC”)没有维护公共利益的重要监管授权。当移动电话运营商主要提供语音和文本信息服务时,这种不干涉的做法是有道理的,因为在大多数大都市地区,市场上有六个或更多的竞争对手。然而,尽管无线网络日益成为获取广泛的信息、通信和娱乐(“ICE”)服务的关键媒介,但无线行业已经明显变得更加集中。随着无线企业计划和安装下一代网络(“ngn”),这些运营商希望提供各种各样的ICE服务,包括互联网接入,而不受仍然适用于电信服务的普通运营商监管责任的约束。无线运营商管理人员不认为政府有必要确保消费者的安全保障,比如不受歧视的接入,以及将无线电话手机的销售与运营商服务分开。无线监管的批评者声称,政府强加的义务将阻碍下一代网络的投资,在竞争激烈的市场中没有立足之地。本文将考察政府强制规定的成本和收益,这些规定将要求无线运营商将手机销售与服务订阅分开,并遵守旨在确保非歧视性访问内容的网络中立规则。这篇文章将评估无线用户和运营商控制手机如何接入网络以及手机可以访问哪些服务的权利。本文将考虑无线网络接入是否应该与有线网络长期建立的规则平行,并将无线网络中立性问题与通过有线网络进行中立互联网接入的先前存在的辩论进行比较。例如,无线网络中立性包括考虑将互联网接入设备从互联网服务中分离出来,这是几十年前为有线网络建立的一种分拆原则。由于无线运营商在销售补贴手机时,通常会将各种ICE服务捆绑在一起,而消费者也乐于有机会使用和更换日益复杂的手机,因此监管机构一直没有下令对手机进行分拆。但对于有线电视等其他服务,FCC一直在寻求公共保障措施,试图让消费者有机会只使用成本最低的设备选项访问他们想要的内容。这篇文章还探讨了为什么无线运营商可以避免卷入网络中立性的争论好几年,尽管事实上他们的公共运营商地位,相对于语音服务,提供了一个法律支持的基础,以施加非歧视责任。文章的结论是,无线网络对大多数ICE服务的重要性日益提高,消费者对运营商对手机多功能性和无线网络接入的限制越来越不抱幻想,这将引发对无线网络中立性所带来的公共利益利益的更密切的监管审查。
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引用次数: 3
E-Census Unplugged: Why Americans Should Be Able to Complete the Census Online 《不插电的电子普查:为什么美国人应该能够在线完成人口普查》
Pub Date : 2008-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1105046
D. Castro
Given the increasingly digital world that we live in, most Americans will be surprised to learn that they will be unable to complete the 2010 Census online. This report analyzes the decision made by the U.S. Census Bureau to eliminate the Internet response option and concludes that allowing respondents to submit their survey online would have saved the Census Bureau and taxpayers money. In addition, the report challenges the conventional wisdom that using the Internet for such an application poses a security risk, and outlines how other countries have met this challenge.
考虑到我们生活的这个日益数字化的世界,大多数美国人会惊讶地发现,他们将无法在网上完成2010年人口普查。本报告分析了美国人口普查局取消互联网回答选项的决定,并得出结论,允许受访者在网上提交他们的调查将节省人口普查局和纳税人的钱。此外,报告还挑战了使用互联网进行此类应用会带来安全风险的传统观点,并概述了其他国家如何应对这一挑战。
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引用次数: 3
Murder by Structure: Dominance Relations and the Social Structure of Gang Homicide in Chicago 结构谋杀:芝加哥帮派凶杀的支配关系与社会结构
Pub Date : 2007-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.855304
A. Papachristos
Most sociological theories consider murder an outcome of the differential distribution of individual, neighborhood, or social characteristics. And while such studies explain variation in aggregate homicide rates, they do not explain the social order of murder, that is, who kills whom, when, where, and for what reason. This article argues that gang murder is best understood not by searching for its individual determinants but by examining the social networks of action and reaction that create it. In short, the social structure of gang murder is defined by the manner in which social networks are constructed and by people's placement in them. The author uses a network approach and incident-level homicide records to recreate and analyze the structure of gang murders in Chicago. Findings demonstrate that individual murders between gangs create an institutionalized network of group conflict, net of any individual's participation or motive. Within this network, murders spread through an epidemic-like process of social contagion as gangs evaluate the highly visible actions of others in their local networks and negotiate dominance considerations that arise during violent incidents.
大多数社会学理论认为谋杀是个人、邻里或社会特征差异分布的结果。虽然这些研究解释了总体凶杀率的变化,但它们并没有解释谋杀的社会秩序,也就是说,谁杀了谁,什么时候,在哪里,出于什么原因。本文认为,要理解团伙谋杀,最好的方法不是寻找其个别决定因素,而是研究产生团伙谋杀的行动和反应的社会网络。简而言之,帮派谋杀的社会结构是由社会网络的构建方式和人们在其中的位置决定的。作者使用网络方法和事件级杀人记录来重建和分析芝加哥帮派谋杀的结构。调查结果表明,团伙之间的个人谋杀创造了一个制度化的群体冲突网络,任何个人的参与或动机都是如此。在这个网络中,谋杀通过类似流行病的社会传染过程传播,因为帮派会评估当地网络中其他人的明显行为,并就暴力事件中出现的支配地位问题进行谈判。
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引用次数: 193
To Continue Sharing or Not to Continue Sharing? – An Empirical Analysis of User Decision in Peer-to-Peer Sharing Networks 继续分享还是不继续分享?——点对点共享网络中用户决策的实证分析
Pub Date : 2007-11-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1028165
M. Xia, Yun Huang, Wenjing Duan, Andrew Whinston
Peer-to-peer sharing networks have seen explosive growth recently. In these networks, sharing files is completely voluntary, and there is no financial reward for users to contribute. Yet many users continue to share despite the massive free-riding by others. Using a large-scale dataset of individual activities in a peer-to-peer music-sharing network, we seek to understand users’ continued-sharing behavior as a private contribution to a public good. We find that the more benefit users “get from” the network, in the form of downloads, browses, and searches, the more likely they are to continue sharing. Also, the more value users “give to” the network, in the form of downloads by other users and recognition by the network, the more likely they are to continue sharing. Moreover, our findings suggest that, overall, “getting-from” is a stronger force for the continued-sharing decision than “giving-to.”
点对点共享网络最近出现了爆炸式增长。在这些网络中,共享文件完全是自愿的,对用户的贡献没有经济奖励。然而,尽管其他人大量搭便车,许多用户仍在继续分享。利用点对点音乐共享网络中个人活动的大规模数据集,我们试图理解用户将持续分享行为视为对公共利益的私人贡献。我们发现,用户通过下载、浏览和搜索等形式从网络“获得”的好处越多,他们就越有可能继续分享。此外,用户以其他用户下载和网络认可的形式“给予”网络的价值越多,他们就越有可能继续分享。此外,我们的研究结果表明,总体而言,“获得”比“给予”对持续分享决策的影响更大。
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引用次数: 37
Network Neutrality and its Potential Impact on Next Generation Networks 网络中立性及其对下一代网络的潜在影响
Pub Date : 2007-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1026635
R. Frieden
This paper will examine the network neutrality debate with an eye toward assessing how the Internet will evolve as a major platform for content access and distribution. The paper accepts as necessary and proper many types of price and quality of service discrimination, but also identifies other types of potentially hidden and harmful discrimination. The paper concludes with an identification of best practices in "good" discrimination that should satisfy most network neutrality goals without creating disincentives that might dissuade ISPs from building the infrastructure needed distribution of high bandwidth consuming content such as full motion video.
本文将考察网络中立性的争论,着眼于评估互联网将如何演变为内容访问和分发的主要平台。本文认为许多类型的价格和服务质量歧视是必要和适当的,但也确定了其他类型的潜在隐藏和有害的歧视。本文最后确定了“良好”歧视的最佳实践,这些实践应该满足大多数网络中立性目标,而不会产生阻碍因素,可能会阻止互联网服务提供商建立高带宽消耗内容(如全动态视频)所需的基础设施。
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引用次数: 8
Measuring Quality Change due to Technological Externality in Multi-Feature Service Bundles 多特征服务包中技术外部性导致的质量变化度量
Pub Date : 2007-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1150301
Abhay Gupta
Technological innovation, externalities and network effects keep shifting the preference parameters in cellular telecommunication service sector. The paper suggests a framework to model these changes.It notes two channels that affect the service prices (in possibly opposite ways). In each corresponding period, consumer with lower reservation prices are shopping for the services. But these reservation prices are going up due to complementarity/ network effects. Under some reasonable assumptions on industry and cost structure, market data can be used to identify these changes. A price index is suggested that decomposes service bundle price changes into the change in price for same-quality of service and change in quality of the service bundle. Some interesting properties of these indexes are also discussed.
技术创新、外部性和网络效应不断改变着移动通信服务行业的偏好参数。本文提出了一个框架来模拟这些变化。它指出了影响服务价格的两个渠道(可能以相反的方式)。在每个相应的时间段内,预订价格较低的消费者都在购买服务。但由于互补性/网络效应,这些预订价格正在上涨。在对行业和成本结构进行一些合理假设的情况下,市场数据可以用来识别这些变化。提出了一个价格指数,将服务包价格变化分解为同质量服务价格变化和服务包质量变化。本文还讨论了这些指标的一些有趣的性质。
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引用次数: 0
Software Exclusivity and the Scope of Indirect Network Effects in the U.S. Home Video Game Market 美国家庭电子游戏市场的软件独占性和间接网络效应
Pub Date : 2007-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1029856
Kenneth S. Corts, Mara Lederman
This paper investigates the scope of indirect network effects in the home video game industry. We argue that the increasing prevalence of non-exclusive software gives rise to indirect network effects that exist between users of competing and incompatible hardware platforms. This is because software non-exclusivity, like hardware compatibility, allows a software firm to sell to a market broader than a single platform's installed base. We look for evidence of market-wide network effects by estimating a model of hardware demand and software supply. Our software supply equation allows the supply of games for a particular platform to depend not only on the installed base of that platform, but also on the installed base of competing platforms. Our results indicate the presence of both a platform-specific network effect and--in recent years--a cross-platform (or generation-wide) network effect. Our finding that the scope of indirect network effects in this industry has widened suggests one reason that this market, which is often cited as a canonical example of one with strong indirect network effects, is no longer dominated by a single platform.
本文研究了家庭电子游戏产业中间接网络效应的范围。我们认为,非排他性软件的日益普及导致了存在于竞争性和不兼容硬件平台用户之间的间接网络效应。这是因为软件的非排他性,就像硬件兼容性一样,允许软件公司向比单一平台安装基础更广泛的市场销售。我们通过估算硬件需求和软件供应的模型来寻找市场范围内网络效应的证据。我们的软件供应方程式允许特定平台的游戏供应不仅取决于该平台的安装基础,还取决于竞争平台的安装基础。我们的研究结果表明,特定平台的网络效应和近年来跨平台(或跨代)的网络效应都存在。我们发现,该行业的间接网络效应范围已经扩大,这说明了一个原因,即这个经常被引用为具有强大间接网络效应的典型例子的市场不再由单一平台主导。
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引用次数: 218
期刊
Economics of Networks
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