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Are Ratings Informative Signals? The Analysis of the Netflix Data 评级是信息信号吗?Netflix数据分析
Pub Date : 2008-10-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1286307
Ivan Maryanchyk
The aim of this research is to analyze whether and when ratings are informative signals about the quality of movies. The ratings data of Netflix is used to fit a structural Bayesian learning model. This model links revealed experience utilities of raters, previous consumers, to the product choice of the future consumers of the same good. I postulate that movies are chosen based on the prior beliefs' and signals' precisions. The extent of signals' use depends on their informativeness, that is on how many consumers revealed their preferences before. The results demonstrate that consumers learn about the quality using ratings as signals. The signal produced by one rating is very noisy and might not be taken into account. The more people rate, the better are signals' quality. Consumers are not considerably dispersed in how they value quality.
本研究的目的是分析评分是否以及何时是电影质量的信息信号。Netflix的收视率数据被用来拟合一个结构贝叶斯学习模型。该模型将评价者(以前的消费者)的经验效用与未来消费者对同一商品的产品选择联系起来。我假设电影的选择是基于先验信念和信号的精确度。信号的使用程度取决于它们的信息量,也就是之前有多少消费者透露了他们的偏好。结果表明,消费者了解的质量使用评级作为信号。一个额定值产生的信号噪声很大,可能不被考虑在内。评分的人越多,信号的质量就越好。消费者对质量的重视程度并不是很分散。
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引用次数: 11
What's in a (Missing) Name? Status and Signaling in Open Standards Development (失踪的)名字有什么关系?开放标准发展中的状态和信令
Pub Date : 2008-10-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1287438
Timothy S. Simcoe, David M. Waguespack, L. Fleming
How much are we influenced by an author's identity? If identity matters, is it because we have a ``taste for status" or because it offers a useful shortcut --- a signal that is correlated with the likely importance of their ideas? This paper presents evidence from a natural experiment that took place at the Internet Engineering Task Force (IETF) --- a community of engineers and computer scientists who develop the protocols used to run the Internet. The results suggest that IETF participants use authors' identity as a signal or filter, paying more attention to proposals from high-status authors, and this has a surprisingly large impact on publication outcomes. There is little evidence of a “taste" for status.
作者的身份对我们的影响有多大?如果说身份很重要,是因为我们有“对地位的品味”,还是因为它提供了一个有用的捷径——一个与他们的想法可能的重要性相关的信号?本文展示了一个发生在互联网工程任务组(IETF)的自然实验的证据。IETF是一个由工程师和计算机科学家组成的社区,他们开发用于运行互联网的协议。结果表明,IETF参与者使用作者的身份作为信号或过滤器,更多地关注来自高地位作者的建议,这对发表结果有惊人的大影响。几乎没有证据表明他们有追求地位的“品味”。
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引用次数: 2
Is the Benefit of Reserve Requirements in the 'Reserve' or the 'Requirement'? 法定准备金的利益是指“准备金”还是“法定准备金”?
Pub Date : 2008-09-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1154101
Timothy Brennan
Reliability in electricity markets is, in many respects, a public good, in that one supplier's failure to meet its customers' demands can cause failure throughout the grid. This creates a blackout externality. One of the remedies for a blackout externality are reserve requirements, where load serving entities have capacity on hand to meet demand in case of unexpected surges in demand or unit failures. We model the magnitude of the externality as a positive function of use and negative function of capacity. Doing so reveals that a benefit of capacity requirements is that covering their costs imposes a tax on usage. After illustrating this possibility, a model looking at the sector as a whole, where spot markets can resolve individual but not overall shortfalls, illustrates that capacity requirements should be increased or decreased to exploit this usage tax effect.
在许多方面,电力市场的可靠性是一种公共利益,因为一个供应商不能满足其客户的需求可能会导致整个电网的故障。这就造成了一种不透明的外部性。停电外部性的补救措施之一是储备要求,即负载服务实体手头有能力在需求意外激增或机组故障的情况下满足需求。我们将外部性的大小建模为使用的正函数和容量的负函数。这样做表明,容量需求的一个好处是,支付它们的成本会对使用征税。在说明了这种可能性之后,一个将该行业视为一个整体的模型(现货市场可以解决个别但不能解决整体短缺)表明,应该增加或减少产能要求,以利用这种使用税的影响。
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引用次数: 2
Structuring for Globalization: The Minimal Network 全球化的结构:最小网络
Pub Date : 2008-09-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1357324
João Vieira da Cunha, S. Clegg, M. Cunha
Globalization and localization seem to be opposite concepts - a thesis and its antithesis. Nonetheless, managers seem to be able to handle the paradox posed by these two contradicting tensions by enacting, via action, a synthesis that allows for the co-presence of a high level of global integration and local adaptation (instead of a compromise between both), which has been labeled glocalization. We discuss how the concept of improvisation allows this synthesis by developing the two poles that ground it, namely 'glocal' strategy and 'glocal' organization. Global advantage requires a dialectical capability that organizations rarely achieve, and the importance of which orthodox management theory rarely recognizes.
全球化和本地化似乎是两个相反的概念——正题和反题。尽管如此,管理者似乎能够处理这两种相互矛盾的紧张关系所带来的悖论,通过行动,制定一种综合,允许高水平的全球整合和本地适应(而不是两者之间的妥协)共同存在,这被称为全球本地化。我们讨论了即兴的概念如何通过发展其基础的两极,即“全球本地”战略和“全球本地”组织,来实现这种综合。全球优势需要一种辩证的能力,而这种能力是组织很少能达到的,而且正统管理理论也很少认识到它的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
The Tools of Networked Individuals: Parallel Patterns and Strategies for Governmental and Research Institutions 网络个人的工具:政府和研究机构的平行模式和策略
Pub Date : 2008-09-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1264425
W. Dutton, R. Eynon
Discussion of the role of the Internet in government and research tends to be 'institution-centric' in that e-Government and e-Research initiatives are both anchored in top-down strategies to provide information resources to citizens or researchers by place-based institutions, including governments and universities. In both institutional arenas, the diffusion of these services has been limited to small albeit growing proportions of their target audiences. In contrast, individuals with access to the Internet have taken bottom-up initiatives to obtain information and services from the space of flows of the Internet in ways that reach beyond the boundaries of both governmental and research institutions, but in ways that could compete with but also enhance existing institutions, such as by making them more accountable to their respective constituencies. Institutional actors in government and research need to more explicitly recognize and strategically adapt to the practices and tools taken up by networked individuals, such as by creating e-infrastructures that - like the Internet - enable rather than constrain bottom-up innovation.
关于互联网在政府和研究中的作用的讨论倾向于“以机构为中心”,因为电子政务和电子研究计划都是以自上而下的战略为基础的,通过基于地方的机构(包括政府和大学)向公民或研究人员提供信息资源。在这两个机构领域,这些服务的推广仅限于其目标受众的一小部分,尽管比例在不断增加。相比之下,有机会接触互联网的个人则采取自下而上的主动行动,从互联网流动的空间中获取信息和服务,其方式超出了政府和研究机构的界限,但可以与现有机构竞争,但也可以加强现有机构,例如使它们对各自的选民更负责。政府和研究机构需要更明确地认识并战略性地适应网络化个人采用的实践和工具,例如通过创建电子基础设施(如互联网)来实现而不是限制自下而上的创新。
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引用次数: 0
European VAT and Electronically Supplied Services 欧洲增值税和电子供应服务
Pub Date : 2008-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1261822
D. Parrilli
This paper is aimed to provide an in-depth analysis of the European VAT regime applicable to electronically supplied services (e.s.s.), as regards, in particular, what kind of services can be considered as e.s.s. and where they are taxed, taking into account B2B and B2C transactions. Apart from the provisions applicable for the time being, an analysis of the regime introduced by Directive 2008/8/EC (in force from 2010-2015) will be provided.
本文旨在深入分析适用于电子供应服务(e.s.s)的欧洲增值税制度,特别是考虑到B2B和B2C交易,哪种服务可以被视为e.s.s以及在哪里征税。除了目前适用的规定外,还将对指令2008/8/EC(2010-2015年生效)引入的制度进行分析。
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引用次数: 4
Who Thinks about the Competition? Managerial Ability and Strategic Entry in US Local Telephone Markets 谁在考虑竞争?美国本地电话市场的管理能力与战略进入
Pub Date : 2008-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1286240
Avi Goldfarb, Mo Xiao
This paper examines how manager and firm characteristics relate to entry decisions in US local telephone markets. To do so, it develops a structural econometric model that allows managers to be heterogeneous in their ability to correctly conjecture competitor behavior. The model adapts Camerer, Ho, and Chong’s (2004) Cognitive Hierarchy model to a real-world setting. We observe the industry in 1998, shortly after the Telecommunications Act of 1996 opened up the market. We find that older firms with older, more experienced managers have higher estimated levels of strategic ability. Managers with degrees in economics or business, and managers with graduate degrees, also have higher estimated levels of strategic ability. We find no evidence that university quality is related to ability. We repeat this exercise using data from 2000, 2002, and 2004. While the core results do not change, the overall level of measured strategic ability increases substantially by 2004. The estimates of strategic ability are also correlated with survival: those firms with lower estimated levels of ability are more likely to exit the industry early.
本文考察了美国本地电话市场的经理和公司特征与进入决策之间的关系。为此,它开发了一种结构计量经济模型,允许管理者在正确推测竞争对手行为的能力上具有异质性。该模型将Camerer, Ho, and Chong(2004)的认知层次模型应用于现实世界。我们观察这个行业是在1998年,1996年《电信法》开放市场后不久。我们发现,拥有更年长、更有经验的管理者的老公司,其战略能力的估计水平更高。拥有经济学或商学学位的经理,以及拥有研究生学位的经理,对战略能力的估计水平也更高。我们没有发现大学质量与能力相关的证据。我们使用2000年、2002年和2004年的数据重复这个练习。虽然核心结果没有改变,但到2004年,衡量战略能力的总体水平大幅提高。对战略能力的估计也与生存相关:那些估计能力水平较低的公司更有可能提前退出行业。
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引用次数: 196
Networks and Political Attitudes: Structure, Influence, and Co-Evolution 网络和政治态度:结构、影响和共同进化
Pub Date : 2008-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1280328
D. Lazer, Brian Rubineau, C. Chetkovich, N. Katz, Michael Neblo
How do political views and social affiliations co-evolve? A long stream of research has focused on the relationship between political views and social affiliations, however, it is typically difficult to discern the causal relationship between views and affiliations. Here we use longitudinal attitudinal and whole network data collected at critical times (notably, at the inception of the system) to pinpoint and specify the determinants of attitudes and affiliations. We find significant conformity tendencies: individuals shift their political views toward the political views of their associates. This conformity is driven by social ties rather than task ties. We also find that, while individuals tend to associate with similar others, political views are notably less a basis for associational choices than demographic and institutional factors.
政治观点和社会关系是如何共同演变的?一长串的研究集中在政治观点和社会关系之间的关系,然而,通常很难辨别观点和社会关系之间的因果关系。在这里,我们使用在关键时刻(特别是在系统开始时)收集的纵向态度和整个网络数据来确定和指定态度和从属关系的决定因素。我们发现显著的从众倾向:个体将自己的政治观点转向其同伴的政治观点。这种从众是由社会关系而不是任务关系驱动的。我们还发现,虽然个人倾向于与相似的人交往,但政治观点明显不如人口和制度因素那样是交往选择的基础。
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引用次数: 19
Online Sales, Internet Use, File Sharing, and the Decline of Retail Music Specialty Stores 在线销售、互联网使用、文件共享和零售音乐专卖店的衰落
Pub Date : 2008-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.985115
Alejandro Zentner
This paper uses phonebook records of music retailers in the United States for the years 1998 and 2002 to examine how Internet use, file sharing, and online sales of records have affected the entry and exit of brick and mortar music specialty retailers. By merging music store information with data on Internet activity and broadband connectedness at the Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) level, with the number of broadband providers at the zip code level, and with a database of the location of universities, I analyze how online purchases, broadband, and Internet use affected the survival probability and the change in the number of music stores between 1998 and 2002. I further study whether the number of employees and chain membership affected the survival probability. I find that broadband connectedness increased the death rate of brick and mortar music stores and reduced their number. I also find that the presence of a university led to a reduction in the number of music specialty stores in the zip code.
本文使用1998年和2002年美国音乐零售商的电话簿记录来研究互联网使用、文件共享和在线唱片销售如何影响实体音乐专业零售商的进入和退出。通过将音乐商店信息与大都市统计区(MSA)级别的互联网活动和宽带连通性数据、邮政编码级别的宽带提供商数量以及大学位置数据库合并,我分析了在线购买、宽带和互联网使用如何影响1998年至2002年间音乐商店数量的生存概率和变化。我进一步研究了员工数量和连锁成员是否影响生存概率。我发现宽带连接增加了实体音乐商店的死亡率,减少了它们的数量。我还发现,一所大学的存在导致邮政编码内音乐专卖店的数量减少。
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引用次数: 64
Does Network Matter in International Expansion? Evidence from Italian SMEs 网络在国际扩张中重要吗?来自意大利中小企业的证据
Pub Date : 2008-08-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1260170
A. R. Gurrieri, L. Petruzzellis
In order to face the new competitive scenario, Apulian textile firms are involved in a process of change and are trying to adopt a networking approach in analysing the international propensity of SMEs. The case of the textile network in Apulia has been analysed using a semi-structured questionnaire submitted to a sample of family businesses in order to verify the influence of network on their internationalisation process. The contribution that the network can give to the single firm in its internationalisation process depends also on the level of cooperation in the network. In fact, relationships – at least dual vertical relationships – are the key to overcoming size limit and providing value to all the partners involved. The research attempted to offer a better academic understanding of the role of network in international competitive advantage. Future research should be based on cross countries analysis, in order to determine whether or not the set of internal determinants of internationalisation pensity remain stable from one country to another. The findings should also be useful to local governance for a better understanding of the network phenomenon in order to develop appropriate programmes for training and supporting SMEs in the global market. This paper provides a wide analysis of the network role in the internationalisation process in a low technology sector.
为了面对新的竞争情况,阿普利亚纺织公司正在参与变革过程,并试图采用网络方法来分析中小企业的国际倾向。为了验证网络对其国际化进程的影响,使用提交给家族企业样本的半结构化问卷对普利亚纺织网络的案例进行了分析。网络对单个企业国际化进程的贡献也取决于网络中的合作水平。事实上,关系——至少是双向垂直关系——是克服规模限制并为所有相关伙伴提供价值的关键。本研究试图对网络在国际竞争优势中的作用提供更好的学术理解。未来的研究应该基于跨国分析,以确定国际化密度的内部决定因素是否从一个国家到另一个国家保持稳定。调查结果也应有助于地方治理,以便更好地了解网络现象,以便制定适当的方案,培训和支持全球市场上的中小企业。本文对网络在低技术部门国际化过程中的作用进行了广泛的分析。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Economics of Networks
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