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Kentsel ve Kırsal Nüfus Tespiti Sorunu: Adana ve Osmaniye İli Örneği
Pub Date : 2021-08-16 DOI: 10.33688/aucbd.936093
Okan Türkan
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引用次数: 3
Yüksek Çözünürlüklü CCSM4 Model Verilerine Göre Son Buzul Maksimumunda (SBM) Türkiye’nin Holdridge Ekolojik Bölgeleri ve Günümüz İklim Şartlarıyla Karşılaştırılması
Pub Date : 2021-07-05 DOI: 10.33688/aucbd.880675
Erkan Yilmaz
In this study, Holdridge ecological zones (HEZ) were created and compared for current and Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) time using CCSM4 and ERA-Interim model data, and then climatic conditions of Turkey in LGM was analyzed using CCSM4 data. According to the results, the temperature difference in LGM compared today was low around the Black Sea while it increases at south and terrestrial of Turkey. Precipitation in LGM is high at mountain regions (exclude Southwestern Taurus Mountains) while it is low in coastal and low altitude and Eastern Anatolian Regions. According to HEZ results, lower montane is not defined at LGM but montane, sub alpine, alpine and nival conditions expanded. In LGM, more humidity conditions (ratio of evaporation and precipitation) was formed in Turkey connected increasing precipitation and especially decreasing evaporation. Desert scrub and thorn woodland are not defined in LGM, thorn steppe, steppe, dry forest biomes were narrowed while other biome areas were enlarged. In conclusion, it is obtained that CCSM4 data is suitable for eastern half of Turkey, but it is not usable for western half. ABSTRACT In this study, environmental conditions during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) in Turkey were examined by creating Holdridge ecological zones (HEZ) using the CCSM4 climate model data (Gent et al., 2011). Here, ambient conditions in the LGM are also compared with current HEZ zones (Yılmaz, 2021) created by ERA-Interim data (Dee et al., 2011) with an enhanced resolution by Karger et al. (2017). The average monthly temperature and total monthly precipitation amounts were also compared, the differences were determined, and changes in precipitation and temperature regimes were revealed.
本研究利用CCSM4和ERA-Interim模式数据建立了Holdridge生态区(HEZ),并对当前和末次极盛期(LGM)时间进行了比较,然后利用CCSM4数据分析了土耳其末次极盛期的气候条件。结果表明,与今天相比,黑海附近的LGM温差较小,而土耳其南部和陆地的LGM温差增大。LGM的降水在山区(不包括西南金牛座山脉)较高,而在沿海和低海拔地区以及安纳托利亚东部地区较低。根据HEZ结果,LGM没有定义低山地,但扩大了山地、亚高山、高山和山地条件。在LGM中,土耳其形成了更多与降水增加特别是蒸发减少有关的湿度条件(蒸发与降水之比)。荒漠灌丛和棘林未被明确划分,刺草原、草原、干旱林等生物群系面积缩小,其他生物群系面积扩大。综上所述,CCSM4数据适用于土耳其东半部,但不适用于西半部。本研究利用CCSM4气候模式数据(Gent et al., 2011)创建了Holdridge生态区(HEZ),研究了土耳其末次盛冰期(LGM)的环境条件。在这里,LGM的环境条件也与ERA-Interim数据(Dee等人,2011)创建的当前HEZ区域(Yılmaz, 2021)进行了比较,Karger等人(2017)提高了分辨率。对月平均气温和月总降水量进行了比较,确定了差异,揭示了降水和温度的变化规律。
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引用次数: 2
Cumhuriyetin İlk Yıllarında Modern Toplum İnşa Sürecinde Sanayi Tesislerinin Rolü
Pub Date : 2021-05-22 DOI: 10.33688/aucbd.873551
M. Kaya
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引用次数: 0
Türkiye'de Evsel Su Tedarik ve Tüketim İstatistiklerinin Değerlendirilmesi
Pub Date : 2021-03-23 DOI: 10.33688/AUCBD.883794
Faize Sarış
Derleme Hızlı kentleşme, arazi örtüsü değişimi ve doğal afetlerdeki artış tatlı su kaynaklarının miktarı, kalitesi ve erişilebilirliği üzerinde önemli bir baskı oluşturur. Türkiye'de kentsel nüfus artışına paralel olarak su talebi de artmaktadır. Ancak, arazi kullanımının ve iklim değişikliklerinin olumsuz etkileri, ülkenin bazı bölgelerinde su sıkıntısı hatta su kıtlığı ile sonuçlanmıştır. Bu çalışma, Türkiye'nin son 25 yıldır evsel su temini ve su kullanım örüntülerinin mekânsal ve zamansal değerlendirmesine odaklanmaktadır. Ulusal evsel su istatistikleri ve belediye su istatistikleri TÜİK'ten alındı ve coğrafi perspektifle değerlendirildi. Türkiye'de çekilen su miktarı artmakta; baraj, kuyu ve pınarlar ana su sağlama kaynaklarını oluşturmaktadır. Son yıllarda nehirlerden su çekilme oranı artmaktadır. Evsel kullanım için yüzey sularına bağımlılık, özellikle metropol alanlarda artma eğilimindedir. Barajların iklim değişikliği ile birlikte değişen yağış desenleri ve artan buharlaşma bakımından kırılganlığı düşünüldüğünde, gelecekte su güvenliği açısından pek çok risk ortaya çıkabilir. Su ve diğer suyla ilgili hizmetleri sürdürmek için, belediyeler su kullanım verimliliği yaklaşımlarını benimsemelidir. DOI: 10.33688/aucbd.883794
回顾 快速的城市化、土地植被变化和自然灾害的增加对淡水资源的数量、质量和可获得性造成了巨大压力。在土耳其,随着城市人口的增长,对水的需求也在增加。然而,土地利用和气候变化的负面影响导致土耳其部分地区水资源短缺,甚至缺水。本研究的重点是对土耳其过去 25 年的生活供水和用水模式进行时空评估。土耳其国家统计局提供了全国生活用水统计数据和城市用水统计数据,并从地理角度进行了分析。土耳其的取水量在不断增加;水坝、水井和泉水是主要的供水来源。近年来,从河流中取水的比例不断上升。生活用水对地表水的依赖呈上升趋势,特别是在大都市地区。考虑到水坝易受气候变化带来的降水模式变化和蒸发量增加的影响,未来可能会出现许多影响水安全的风险。为了维持供水和其他与水相关的服务,市政当局应采用提高用水效率的方法。DOI:10.33688/aucbd.883794
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引用次数: 3
Yüksek Çözünürlüklü ERA-Interim ve HadGEM2-CC Model Verilerine Göre Türkiye’nin Güncel ve Gelecekteki Holdridge Ekolojik Bölgeleri
Pub Date : 2021-01-08 DOI: 10.33688/AUCBD.778259
Erkan Yilmaz
Holdridge ecological zones (HEB) are used for climate classifications and contain biome identification. In this study, using high-resolution ERA-Interim and HadGEM2-CC model data, current, 2041-2060 and 2061-2080 periods HEB zones of Turkey have been created. According to the obtained results, while premontane and lower montane belts are expanded in Turkey, subalpine, alpine and alvar belts are narrowing during the 2041-2080 period. Arid regions that not been in Turkey now appears during the 2041-2060 period. While semi-arid and sub-humid areas are increasing, humid, per-humid, super humid and semi-saturated areas are decreasing in this period. Desert shrubs, thorn woodlands, thorn steppes, steppes, dry forests, moist forests, wet forests, rain forests, tundra and cold desert biomes has been determined in current Turkey conditions. While very arid forest biome appears in 2041-2060 period, glacial areas disappear in 2061-2080 period. A method that makes determination of HEB classes practical has been developed. ABSTRACT The existing studies that have been conducted on Holdridge ecological zones (HEZ) in Turkey (Tatli and Dalfes, 2016; Tatlı, 2017; Tekin, Tatlı and Koç, 2018) have been station-based, and lack detailed information on regional borders. Although the HEZ borders have been determined on the global scale (Leemans, 1990), these are of low resolution and the details of these borders do not represent Turkey. Total monthly precipitation and average monthly temperature data produced by Karger et al. (2017) has been used in this study to determine Turkey's current HEZ border details. Approximately 1 km resolution data sets have been used for this study. Turkey is represented by 800 thousand data points, HEZ altitude-latitude belts, humidity regions, and biome boundaries of the integrated HEZ have been obtained. Current HEZ regions are obtained for the 1979–2013 period and compared to future data based on the HadGEM2-CC model and RCP 4.5 scenario for the 2041–2060 and 2061–2080 periods.
霍尔德里奇生态带(HEB)用于气候分类和包含生物群系识别。本研究利用高分辨率ERA-Interim和HadGEM2-CC模型数据,建立了土耳其当前、2041-2060和2061-2080期HEB带。结果表明,2041-2080年土耳其前山带和下山带扩张,亚高山带、高山带和阿尔瓦带变窄。在2041-2060年期间,土耳其没有出现的干旱地区现在出现了。半干旱和半湿润地区在增加,湿润、超湿润、超湿润和半饱和地区在减少。沙漠灌木、带刺林地、带刺草原、大草原、干燥森林、潮湿森林、潮湿森林、雨林、冻土带和寒冷沙漠生物群系已在目前的土耳其条件下确定。2041—2060年期间出现了非常干旱的森林生物群落,而2061—2080年期间冰川区消失。提出了一种实用的HEB类测定方法。对土耳其Holdridge生态区(HEZ)的现有研究(Tatli and Dalfes, 2016;Tatlı,2017;Tekin, taltlar和Koç, 2018)基于站点,缺乏区域边界的详细信息。虽然HEZ边界已经在全球范围内确定(Leemans, 1990),但这些边界的分辨率很低,这些边界的细节并不代表土耳其。本研究使用了Karger等人(2017)提供的月总降水量和月平均气温数据来确定土耳其目前的隔离区边界细节。本研究使用了大约1公里分辨率的数据集。土耳其以80万个数据点为代表,获得了综合HEZ的高纬度带、湿度区和生物群系边界。基于HadGEM2-CC模式和RCP 4.5情景的2041-2060年和2061-2080年期间的未来数据,获得了1979-2013年期间的当前HEZ区域。
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引用次数: 1
Sembolik Bilgi Tabanlı Sektörlerde Bilgi, Öğrenme ve İnovasyon Kanalları: Trabzon Kuyumculuk Kümesi Örneği
Pub Date : 2020-12-01 DOI: 10.33688/AUCBD.777976
Fatih Altuğ
Firmalarin piyasalarda tutunabilmeleri icin rekabet kilit bir oneme sahiptir ve bu kilidin anahtari inovasyondur. Inovasyonun temeli ise bilgi ve ogrenmedir. Bilgi ve ogrenme becerileri kumulatif bir nitelige sahiptir. Kumeler hem bu birikim icin havuz vazifesi gormekte hem bunlarin yayilim merkezi olmakta hem de bilgi ve ogrenmenin uretim ussu konumundadirlar. Calismamizin amaci, dogal kume ozelligi tasiyan sembolik bilgi tabanli geleneksel bir sektorde, firmalarin inovasyon surecleri icin gerekli olan bilgi kanallari ve ogrenme sureclerinin yerel ve yerel otesi kanallarini tespit etmektir. Ayrica firmalarin inovasyon duzeyi ile bu kanallar arasindaki farklilasmayi da belirlemek calismanin bir diger amacidir. Anketlerle elde edilen veriler SPSS ile hem betimsel hem de istatistiksel olarak analiz edilmistir. Sonuclara gore kume icindeki firmalar yerel ve yerel otesi baglantilar vasitasiyla inovasyon sureclerini gerceklestirmektedirler. Firmalarin inovasyon duzeyine gore bu baglantilarin onemi de degismektedir. Inovasyon duzeyi yuksek olan firmalar yereldeki bilgiyi daha cok kullanmaktadir. Calisma, geleneksel bir kumenin bilgi ve ogrenme sureclerinin yerel ve yerel otesi baglantilarini analiz etmesi bakimindan literature katki sunmayi hedeflemektedir.
竞争是企业在市场中生存的关键,而创新则是这一关键的关键。创新的基础是知识和学习。知识和学习技能具有积累性。组织既是这种积累的宝库,也是其传播的中心,还是知识和学习的生产场所。我们的研究旨在确定具有自然集群特征的传统象征性知识型产业中企业创新过程所需的本地和跨本地知识渠道和学习过程。研究的另一个目的是确定企业创新水平与这些渠道之间的差异。通过问卷调查获得的数据使用 SPSS 进行了描述性和统计性分析。结果显示,集群中的企业通过本地和跨本地联系实现其创新过程。这些联系的重要性因企业的创新水平而异。创新水平较高的企业更多利用本地知识。本文旨在通过分析传统企业知识和学习过程的本地和跨本地联系,为相关文献做出贡献。
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引用次数: 1
Kafkas Dağları İçin Yeni Araştırma Eğilimleri: Bibliyometrik Bir Analiz
Pub Date : 2020-10-31 DOI: 10.33688/aucbd.710750
İ̇smet Guney, Merve Altundal Öncü, Mehmet Somuncu
Arastirmada, Kafkas Daglari’ni konu alan uluslararasi calismalar bibliyometrik olarak incelenmistir. Burada amac, Kafkas Daglari calismalarinda lider aktorler ve yeni kavramlar ele alinarak yeni arastirmalara bir yol gostermektir. Arastirmada su temel soruya yanit aranmistir: Kafkas Daglari konusundaki literaturunun mevcut gelisimi nasildir ve gelecekte nereye evirilecektir? Tali sorular ise; Kafkas Daglari konusundaki, temel kavramlar ve yeni temalar nelerdir, hangi ulkeler ilgilenmektedir, atif odaklari hangi yazarlardir, yeni is birligi odaklari nerelerdedir ve disipliner dagilisi nedir? Arastirma sorularin yanitlanabilmesi icin bibliyometrik ag analizi teknigi kullanilmistir. Sonuclarina gore yayin sayisi bakimindan en onemli ulkeler ABD, Rusya ve Gurcistan’dir. Yayinlarin alansal dagilisi incelendiginde 327 eserden 251’i doga bilimleri ve muhendislik alanlarinda oldugu tespit edilmistir. Dolayisiyla Kafkas Daglari arastirmalarinda sosyal bilimler yetersizdir. Kafkas Daglari’nin bolge ulkelerinde ortak bir mekânsal birimi olmasina ragmen analizlere gore is birligi duzeyi dusuktur. Bu sonuclarla Kafkas Daglari’nin kalkinmasi icin multi-disipliner bir bilim anlayisinin ve birlikte yonetim mekanizmalarinin onemi bir kez daha dusunulmelidir.
本研究从文献计量学角度分析了有关高加索山脉的国际研究。本研究的目的是通过分析高加索山脉研究的主要参与者和新概念,为新的研究提供指导。研究旨在回答以下基本问题:关于高加索山脉的文献现状如何,未来将向何处发展?次要问题是:高加索山脉的主要概念和新主题是什么,哪些国家对此感兴趣,哪些作者是参考重点,新的合作重点在哪里,学科分布情况如何?为了回答这些研究问题,我们使用了文献计量学网络分析技术。结果显示,就出版物数量而言,最重要的国家是美国、俄罗斯和格鲁吉亚。对出版物的空间分布进行分析后发现,327 部作品中有 251 部属于自然科学和工程学领域。因此,社会科学在高加索山脉的研究中是不足的。虽然高加索山脉是该地区各国共同的空间单位,但根据分析,合作水平很低。有鉴于此,应再次考虑多学科科学方法和共同管理机制对高加索山脉发展的重要性。
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引用次数: 3
Rüzgâr Enerji Santrallerinin Ekonomik Etkileri ve Sosyal Kabul: Mucur Örneği
Pub Date : 2020-10-13 DOI: 10.33688/aucbd.784601
Emir Taşkin, Mutlu Yilmaz, Çağdaş Kılıç
The study focuses on the relationship between economic activities that ocur when the wind power plant is established in a region and the local community's acceptance of the plant. As it is known, wind power plants are the development tools for the region where it is established and front his aspect it is brought forward that it has been supported by the local people. In this context, the Geycek wind power plant located in Mucur district of Kirsehir province, which has a small-scale rural economy and where economic impacts can be easily followed, and its surrounding settlements have been selected as a research area. As a result of analyzing the data collected by the survey and the interview technique, it has been seen that the economic effects of the power plant are limited, it is far from being a development instrument for the region, and therefore the economic impact bundles of the plant have low level interaction with the acceptance processes.
该研究的重点是在一个地区建立风力发电厂时发生的经济活动与当地社区对该发电厂的接受程度之间的关系。众所周知,风力发电厂是该地区的发展工具,从他的角度来看,它得到了当地人民的支持。在这种情况下,位于Kirsehir省Mucur区的Geycek风力发电厂及其周围的定居点被选为研究区域,该地区具有小规模的农村经济,经济影响很容易跟踪。通过对调查和访谈技术收集的数据进行分析,可以看出电厂的经济效益是有限的,它远不是该地区的发展工具,因此电厂的经济影响束与验收过程的相互作用程度很低。
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引用次数: 4
Suriyeli Sığınmacılara Yönelik Faşizm Halleri: Faşekşist
Pub Date : 2020-10-09 DOI: 10.33688/aucbd.744375
Muhammet Öksüz
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引用次数: 1
İklim Değişikliği Çerçevesinde Ankara İli Ana Su Havzaları Gelecek Projeksiyonu: Sakarya ve Batı Karadeniz Havzaları
Pub Date : 2020-06-24 DOI: 10.33688/aucbd.732831
M. Kale
In this study; the impact of global climate change on the water resources of Ankara, located in the Sakarya and Western Black Sea basins, was investigated. In the study, IPCC AR4 and AR5 scenario outputs and long term precipitation and temperature datasets were used together. The main source of the water in the sub-basins where the regulators and dams are located is the precipitation in the winter and spring seasons. According to the results of the study, at the end of the projection period, precipitation anomalies in the sub-basin where the regulator is located reach up to10% in the winter season. In the same basin, precipitation anomalies in spring season ranging from - 20% to 10% are expected. At the end of the projection period, in the winter season it is expected that reach up to 10% in the sub-basins where the dams are located. In the spring season, negative precipitation anomalies are expected, up to 10% according to SRES A2 outputs and varying according to other scenario outputs. At the end of the projection period, temperature anomalies are expected between 2° C and 6°C in winter and spring seasons.
在本研究中;研究了全球气候变化对位于萨卡里亚和黑海西部盆地的安卡拉水资源的影响。本研究将IPCC AR4和AR5情景输出与长期降水和温度数据集结合使用。调节坝所在子流域的主要水源是冬春两季降水。研究结果表明,在预测期结束时,调节器所在的子流域冬季降水异常高达10%。同一流域春季降水距平幅度在- 20% ~ 10%之间。在预测期结束时,在冬季,预计大坝所在的子流域的这一比例将达到10%。在春季,根据SRES A2输出,预计负降水异常高达10%,并根据其他情景输出而变化。在预估期结束时,冬季和春季的温度异常预计在2°C至6°C之间。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Coğrafi Bilimler Dergisi
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