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Labor Migration and People’s Political and Economic Views in Transition Countries 转型国家劳动力迁移与人民政治经济观
Pub Date : 2020-10-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3720329
Daichi Yamada, Masato Hiwatari
In this study, we focus on the effects of labor migration on the economic and political views of people in European, Caucasian, and Central Asian transition countries. During 30 years of transition, people’s views towards transition have demonstrated substantial variations from supports to oppositions. Labor migration can play roles in shaping their views. It can promote supports for transition by providing knowledges and norms related to liberal and democratic systems from foreign countries, a mechanism known as social remittances. However, transition countries also receive immigrants and the economic pressure associated with immigrants can reduce the supports. With survey data covering 27 transition countries and three years, 2006, 2010, and 2016, and remittance flow data as proxies for labor migration intensities, we empirically examine how sending and receiving labor migrants affect the preferences for a market economy and democracy. Our main findings are (i) that sending labor emigrants increases people’s preferences for a market economy but (ii) that receiving immigrants reduces those for a market economy and democracy. The former effect is observed in countries from which labor emigrants head to Western European countries, suggesting the roles of social remittances. Conversely, with immigrants, people increase their demand for governmental interventions and skeptic views towards democracy.
在本研究中,我们关注劳动力迁移对欧洲、高加索和中亚转型国家人民经济和政治观点的影响。在30年的转型中,人们对转型的看法呈现出从支持到反对的巨大变化。劳动力迁移可以在形成他们的观点方面发挥作用。它可以通过提供与外国自由和民主制度有关的知识和规范(一种称为社会汇款的机制)来促进对过渡的支持。然而,转型期国家也接受移民,与移民有关的经济压力会减少对移民的支持。通过对27个转型国家2006年、2010年和2016年三年的调查数据,并以汇款流量数据作为劳动力迁移强度的代表,我们实证研究了劳务移民的发送和接收如何影响对市场经济和民主的偏好。我们的主要发现是:(i)派遣劳工移民增加了人们对市场经济的偏好,但(ii)接收移民降低了人们对市场经济和民主的偏好。前一种效应在劳工移民前往西欧国家的国家中观察到,这表明了社会汇款的作用。相反,移民增加了人们对政府干预的需求,对民主持怀疑态度。
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引用次数: 0
Citizenship Amidst Disaster 灾难中的公民
Pub Date : 2020-09-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3692793
Ritumbra Manuvie
Climate disaster, climate migration, and displacements due to disasters are a growing field of academic inquiry. Several recent studies have highlighted the human cost of climate vulnerability and discussed the scenario of climate migration as a strategy for adaptation (or failure to do so). Studies on climate migration governance have questioned the lack of regional and national policy frameworks to deal with climate migration flows. In this paper, I explore how the government of Assam in India responds to hydro-metrological displacement exacerbated by climate change in recent years. I argue that the complexity of migration, belonging and citizenship in sub-national spaces is often ignored in policy debates. I further argue that to create inclusive climate future it is necessary not just to recognize the institutional barriers but to also address the citizenship barriers in vulnerable geographies.
气候灾害、气候迁移和灾害造成的流离失所是一个日益增长的学术研究领域。最近的几项研究强调了气候脆弱性给人类带来的代价,并讨论了将气候移民作为一种适应(或不适应)策略的设想。关于气候移民治理的研究质疑缺乏应对气候移民流动的区域和国家政策框架。在本文中,我探讨了印度阿萨姆邦政府如何应对近年来气候变化加剧的水文计量位移。我认为,在政策辩论中,地方空间中移民、归属感和公民身份的复杂性往往被忽视。我进一步认为,要创造包容性气候的未来,不仅需要认识到制度障碍,还需要解决脆弱地区的公民障碍。
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引用次数: 0
Plight of Migrant Workers of India Due to COVID-19 新冠肺炎疫情下印度农民工的困境
Pub Date : 2020-08-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3813438
R. Ramakrishnan
The availability of jobs has been a great concern in developing countries like India, with exploding population, increasing urbanization rate and regional disparities in development. This results in migration from one to other cities, states in search of employment for improved livelihood. Migration has become essential, where population densities are high in relation to land. Frequent shortage of rainfall or suffer floods also forces people to move. Informality, circular migration, labor market and social discrimination, and segmentation go hand in hand. This puts these migrants vulnerable. The announcement of stringent lock-down at a notice of about four hours on 24, March 2020 in India in response to the Corona pandemic intensified the feeling of insecurity among the migrant labourers across various parts of the country. The loss in employment and incomes of the workers in the informal economy, some 93 percent of all workers, was almost complete in the first phase of the lockdown. The loss in employment and incomes immediately threatened their access to food and non-food essential items, rented accommodation and shelter in many places. The central government as well as many of the state governments failed to anticipate and understand the scale and nature of the problem faced by migrants. They chose to interpret and deal with the urgent issues as a law and order problem arising due to what it considered were planned spread of misinformation. With all forms of transport stopped completely at the initial stage of this lockdown, most of the immigrant laborer's had no choice but to walk miles to their homes. This paper confines the study to internal laborer's of India and uses secondary data sources and observations of the researchers during the lock down phase of COVID19.
在印度这样的发展中国家,就业机会一直是一个很大的问题,因为印度人口激增,城市化率上升,地区发展差距也很大。这导致人们从一个城市迁移到另一个城市或州,寻找就业机会以改善生活。在人口密度相对于土地密度较高的地方,移徙已变得必不可少。频繁的降雨不足或遭受洪水也迫使人们迁移。非正式性、循环迁移、劳动力市场和社会歧视以及分割是密切相关的。这使得这些移民很脆弱。为应对新冠肺炎大流行,印度于2020年3月24日发布了约4小时的严格封锁通知,加剧了该国各地农民工的不安全感。在封锁的第一阶段,非正规经济劳动者(约占全体劳动者的93%)的就业和收入损失几乎完全完成。失业和收入的损失立即威胁到他们在许多地方获得粮食和非粮食必需品、租用住房和住所的机会。中央政府和许多邦政府都未能预见和理解移民所面临问题的规模和性质。他们选择将紧急问题解释和处理为法律和秩序问题,这是由于它认为是有计划地传播错误信息而引起的。在封锁的最初阶段,所有形式的交通都完全停止了,大多数移民劳工别无选择,只能步行几英里回家。本文将研究局限于印度的内部劳动者,并使用了二手数据来源和研究人员在covid - 19封锁阶段的观察结果。
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引用次数: 1
Migration with Pension Reform Expectations 移民与养老金改革预期
Pub Date : 2020-05-11 DOI: 10.3326/PSE.44.2.3
M. Góra, Anna Ruzik-Sierdzińska
Pension reforms, which imply a reduction in the generosity of pension benefits, are becoming widespread in response to the demographic transition. The scale, the timing, and the pace of these reforms vary across countries. In this theoretical article, authors analyse individual migration decisions, by adding a component linked to the expected old-age pension benefits in sending and receiving countries in two cases: when the pension system rules are known, and when there is a risk of the pension systems reforms. The results indicate that when individuals fail to take future pension wealth into account, they can make sub-optimal migration decisions.
养恤金改革意味着减少养恤金福利的慷慨程度,为应对人口转变而变得普遍。这些改革的规模、时机和步伐因国而异。在这篇理论文章中,作者通过在两种情况下增加一个与输出国和接受国预期养老金福利相关的组成部分来分析个人移民决策:当养老金制度规则已知时,以及当养老金制度存在改革风险时。结果表明,当个人未能考虑到未来的养老金财富时,他们可能会做出次优的移民决策。
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引用次数: 0
IFAD Research Series 53 - Youth Access to Land, Migration and Employment Opportunities: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa Papers of the 2019 Rural Development Report 农发基金研究系列53 -青年获得土地、移民和就业机会:来自撒哈拉以南非洲的证据2019年农村发展报告文件
Pub Date : 2020-01-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3523765
F. Yeboah, T. Jayne, M. Muyanga, J. Chamberlin
This paper examines the intersections between youth access to land, migration decisions and employment opportunities using nationally representative and multi-year data from multiple African countries. We document evidence on the evolving dynamics in land distribution and ownership patterns, the effect of land access on youth livelihood choices and development of rental and sales market in the region. The report highlights six key findings: First, a progressively smaller proportion of young people are inheriting land due to land scarcity. Second, rural youth who do inherit land will need to wait longer to gain access to it because of significantly longer adult life spans. Third, land scarcity has been driving rapid changes in the land ownership and distribution patterns over the past decade and shaping the employment and migration decisions of rural youth. Fourth, the share of individual labour time devoted to farming is declining over time across age categories and gender, signifying that continued economic transformation processes are underway in Africa.
本文使用具有全国代表性和来自多个非洲国家的多年数据,研究了青年获得土地、移民决策和就业机会之间的交集。我们记录了该地区土地分配和所有权模式的演变动态,土地获取对青年生计选择的影响以及租赁和销售市场的发展。该报告强调了六个主要发现:首先,由于土地稀缺,继承土地的年轻人比例逐渐减少。其次,继承土地的农村青年将需要等待更长的时间才能获得土地,因为成年人的寿命要长得多。第三,在过去十年中,土地稀缺推动了土地所有权和分配模式的快速变化,并影响了农村青年的就业和移民决定。第四,不同年龄类别和性别用于农业的个人劳动时间份额正在随着时间的推移而下降,这表明非洲正在进行持续的经济转型进程。
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引用次数: 1
Behind Migrant and Non‐Migrant Worktime Inequality in Europe: Institutional and Cultural Factors Explaining Differences 欧洲移民和非移民工作时间不平等的背后:解释差异的制度和文化因素
Pub Date : 2020-01-14 DOI: 10.1111/bjir.12521
R. Ortlieb, Julian Winterheller
Migrants often work longer hours than their non‐migrant counterparts. In this article, we examine reasons behind this inequality, arguing that institutional working time configurations at the country level have impact on worktime inequality. Our cross‐country comparative study uses data from the European Labour Force Survey. We focus on France, Sweden, Austria and the UK as archetypal examples of working time configurations and breadwinner models in Europe. Our findings indicate that institutional and cultural factors play a role in working hour differences between migrants and non‐migrants. We conclude that more centralized worktime regulation and bargaining foster equality, and we suggest several avenues for future research.
流动人口的工作时间往往比非流动人口的工作时间更长。在本文中,我们研究了这种不平等背后的原因,认为国家层面的制度工作时间配置对工作时间不平等有影响。我们的跨国家比较研究使用了欧洲劳动力调查的数据。我们把法国、瑞典、奥地利和英国作为欧洲工作时间配置和养家糊口模式的典型例子。我们的研究结果表明,制度和文化因素在移民和非移民之间的工作时间差异中发挥了作用。我们的结论是,更集中的工作时间监管和讨价还价促进了平等,我们提出了未来研究的几个途径。
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引用次数: 2
International Migration and Export Flows: Evidence from the People's Republic of China 国际移民与出口流动:来自中华人民共和国的证据
Pub Date : 2019-09-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3473673
Dimitrios Karkanis
Since China’s opening to international trade, the rapid growth of the country’s export sector has been coupled by an intensification of migratory outflows of ethnic Chinese. The literature has already stressed the beneficial role of migration in enhancing bilateral trade. The present paper applies a gravity model in order to capture the impact of migration on Chinese exports for a relatively long period of time (1995-2017) where significant developments take place. We estimated four regressions, each of them confirming the positive network effects of migration for boosting export growth. Apart from the main finding, it appears that the role of institutional and geographical proximity can prove to be complementary for trade enhancement. The results finally suggest mixed effects due to the countries’ import openness, indicating that China’s free trade agreements acts as a substitute for smoothing trade competition from third countries.
自从中国向国际贸易开放以来,中国出口部门的快速增长伴随着华人移民外流的加剧。文献已经强调了移民在促进双边贸易方面的有益作用。本文采用重力模型,以捕捉在相对较长时间内(1995-2017年)发生重大发展的移民对中国出口的影响。我们估计了四种回归,每一种回归都证实了移民对促进出口增长的积极网络效应。除了主要发现之外,似乎体制和地理邻近的作用可以证明是促进贸易的补充。结果最后表明,由于各国的进口开放,混合效应,表明中国的自由贸易协定起到了平滑来自第三国贸易竞争的替代作用。
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引用次数: 0
Migrant Tenure Abroad and the Differential Impact of Remittances for Entrepreneurship in Developing Countries 移民在国外的居留和汇款对发展中国家创业的不同影响
Pub Date : 2019-09-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3460442
Michael E. Cummings, David L. Deeds, Paul M. Vaaler
We use social identity and agency logic to theorize and test hypotheses about how migrants’ different abilities and motivations tied to tenure abroad change the impact of their remittances on venture investment back home. Regression and related analyses of remittances to 33 developing countries from 2001–2010 indicate that, for migrants residing abroad for less (more) than a year, remittances significantly increase new business founding rates (venture-funding availability). Our results suggest that migrants’ tenure abroad shifts remittance-based venture investment activity in ways consistent with shifting importance in migrants’ dual social identities and their related entrepreneurial abilities and motivations. Shorter-term migrants identifying more with their home countries remit to found ventures that provide livelihoods upon their return. Longer-term migrants identifying more with their host countries remit to fund ventures from afar that provide individual financial returns and, perhaps, social returns derived from assisting home-country family members, local communities, and the broader homeland.
我们使用社会认同和代理逻辑来理论化和检验关于移民在国外的不同能力和动机如何改变其汇款对回国风险投资的影响的假设。2001-2010年对33个发展中国家汇款的回归分析和相关分析表明,对于在国外居住少于(多于)一年的移民,汇款显著提高了新企业创立率(风险融资可用性)。我们的研究结果表明,移民在国外的居留改变了基于汇款的风险投资活动,其方式与移民双重社会身份及其相关创业能力和动机的重要性变化相一致。短期移民更认同自己的祖国,他们会去创办企业,回国后提供生计。长期移民更认同他们的东道国,他们从远方为企业提供资金,这些企业提供个人经济回报,也许还能从帮助母国家庭成员、当地社区和更广泛的家园中获得社会回报。
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引用次数: 2
Towards a Purposeful Economic Integration in Africa: Free Movement of Persons in Lieu of Illegal Migration 迈向非洲有目的的经济一体化:人员自由流动代替非法移徙
Pub Date : 2019-09-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3459837
Michael Imran Kanu
Illegal migration has beguiled the youths of Africa, typified by the treacherous Mediterranean crossing to Europe in recent years. This migration typology, once instigated by political conflicts, is now driven by socio-economic factors. Emigration in search of green pastures is, however, dwarfed by the huge but inconspicuous intra-Africa movement by Africans across international borders for trade, cultural/family ties, and of course, safety from conflicts. But, as migration within and out of Africa is motivated by economic factors, this article examines the Africa Union’s agenda on economic integration through the lens of free movement of persons. It investigates the nexus between migration, free movement, and economic growth through integration; and further provides an outline of the African Union’s framework on migration, mainly free movement of persons. It does so with the view of putting forward a case for the revision of the present African Union’s fragmented and complex migration normative framework. This paper argues for the revision of the present policy of an unconditional progressive approach to free movement, and calls for the acceleration of economic integration in Africa through the said free movement of persons. This economic integration approach will act as a desirable catalyst for the overall continental integration aspirations.
非法移民一直困扰着非洲的年轻人,以近年来穿越危险的地中海前往欧洲为代表。这种移徙类型曾经受到政治冲突的煽动,现在则受到社会经济因素的驱动。然而,与非洲人为了贸易、文化/家庭关系,当然还有为了躲避冲突而跨越国际边界的大规模但不引人注目的非洲内部流动相比,寻找绿色牧场的移民相形见绌。但是,由于非洲内部和外部的移民是由经济因素驱动的,本文通过人员自由流动的视角来审视非洲联盟关于经济一体化的议程。它通过一体化研究了移民、自由流动和经济增长之间的联系;并进一步概述了非洲联盟关于移民的框架,主要是人员的自由流动。它这样做的目的是为修改目前非洲联盟支离破碎和复杂的移民规范框架提出一个案例。本文主张修改目前对自由流动采取无条件进步办法的政策,并呼吁通过上述人员的自由流动加速非洲的经济一体化。这种经济一体化方法将成为整个大陆一体化愿望的理想催化剂。
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引用次数: 0
Living in Limbo: Economic and Social Costs for Refugees 生活在边缘地带:难民的经济和社会成本
Pub Date : 2019-09-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2880065
Nadiya Ukrayinchuk, Olena Havrylchyk
Our paper tests the hypothesis that living in limbo could have negative consequences for socio-economic integration of refugees. We define limbo as a protracted time period when asylum seekers are granted only a temporary residence permit linked to the asylum application, waiting for the decision concerning a permanent refugee status. To quantify the impact of limbo, we rely on the data from the French survey of migrants, ELIPA. We measure integration by labor market participation, fluency in French, finding new French friends and studying. We first demonstrate that limbo is exogenous as it is not related to the ability of refugees to fulfill administrative procedures. Then, we show that a higher share of the time living in limbo slows down all aspects of socio-economic integration, except fluency in French. The chances of a given refugee being employed are 1.2 times higher than for a refugee that spent one standard deviation more time in limbo, while the odds of having French friends and studying in France are 1.7 times higher, respectively. There are little gender differences.
我们的论文检验了这样一个假设,即生活在不稳定状态可能对难民的社会经济融合产生负面影响。我们将limbo定义为一个漫长的时期,在此期间,寻求庇护者只获得与庇护申请相关的临时居留许可,等待有关永久难民身份的决定。为了量化“不确定状态”的影响,我们依靠法国移民调查机构ELIPA的数据。我们通过劳动力市场参与度、法语流利程度、结交新的法国朋友和学习来衡量融入程度。我们首先证明,暂置状态是外生的,因为它与难民履行行政程序的能力无关。然后,我们表明,生活在不稳定状态中的较高比例会减缓社会经济融合的各个方面,除了法语的流利性。一个难民找到工作的几率比一个难民多待一个标准差的几率高1.2倍,而拥有法国朋友和在法国学习的几率分别是1.7倍。性别差异不大。
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引用次数: 7
期刊
International Political Economy: Migration eJournal
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