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2016 11th International Conference on Reliability, Maintainability and Safety (ICRMS)最新文献

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Monte Carlo simulation of dendrite growth due to contaminant deposition on a printed circuit board 印制板上污染物沉积引起的枝晶生长的蒙特卡罗模拟
Z. Ren, C. Teng, Yonghong Li, Yun Fu, Yun Wang, W. Ouyang
The reliability of electronic devices depends not only on the quality of components but also on the environmental condition, such as the humidity and the density of contaminants. For example, electrostatically enhanced dust deposition typically produces a dendritic deposit which induces a short circuit in adjacent conductors. In order to investigate contaminant deposition mechanisms on a printed circuit board (PCB), a Monte Carlo simulation is developed in the present paper to discover the dendrite growth features of contaminants under different conditions. It is found that, under the simulation parameters, the contaminant particles will diffuse, gather and grow up to form a dendrite configuration after they are deposited on the solid surface. The size of the dendrite increases as the number of contaminant particles increases. Finally, the dendrite connects the two conductors on both sides and this is why the dendrite induces a short circuit. These findings could shed light on the understanding of the dendrite growth mechanisms on printed circuit boards. It is helpful to design proper protection methods in order to reduce the malfunction of the devices as much as possible.
电子设备的可靠性不仅取决于元件的质量,还取决于环境条件,如湿度和污染物的密度。例如,静电增强的粉尘沉积通常会产生树枝状沉积,从而在邻近导体中引起短路。为了研究污染物在印刷电路板(PCB)上的沉积机理,本文采用蒙特卡罗模拟方法来研究污染物在不同条件下的枝晶生长特征。研究发现,在模拟参数下,污染物颗粒沉积在固体表面后,会扩散、聚集、长大,形成枝晶结构。随着污染物颗粒数量的增加,枝晶的尺寸也随之增大。最后,树突连接两边的两个导体,这就是树突引起短路的原因。这些发现有助于理解印刷电路板上枝晶的生长机制。设计合理的保护措施,尽可能地减少设备的故障。
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引用次数: 0
Challenges and opportunities of complex equipment operational reliability technology in industrial big data age 工业大数据时代复杂设备运行可靠性技术的挑战与机遇
Hongbo Ma, Xianguang Kong, Yiping Zhong, Changqi Yang, Zhongquan Li, Yang Fu
Large and complex equipment reliability evaluation is extremely dependent on equipment reliability experiment data, maintenance records, and failure data. With the informationalization and intellectualization of equipment (such as CNC machine tools, shield machines, and weaponry), large amounts of data (big data) will be produced during the equipment's operation. Abundant data provide a strong support for equipment operational reliability analysis in the industrial big data age, but also pose a huge challenge for reliability analysis. This paper first explores the opportunities provided by big data to promote the reliability analysis and assessment of complex equipment. Then, we mainly focus on the remaining challenges of equipment operational reliability assessment using the industrial big data method, such as the fact that most of the data reflect an intermediate state (incomplete failure state) of the equipment. We also consider a way to analyze the multiple-states of the equipment operation and correlate the multiple failure modes of the equipment operation using the big data. Moreover, a big data analysis method for calculating the reliability and predicting the residual life of gradual systems is discussed, along with a method for combining the traditional reliability calculation theory with the big data theory. All of these issues provide a significant challenge for the reliability analysis of complex equipment in the big data age.
大型复杂设备的可靠性评估非常依赖于设备可靠性实验数据、维修记录和故障数据。随着设备(如数控机床、盾构机、武器装备)的信息化、智能化,在设备运行过程中会产生大量的数据(大数据)。丰富的数据为工业大数据时代的设备运行可靠性分析提供了有力的支撑,但也对可靠性分析提出了巨大的挑战。本文首先探讨了大数据为推动复杂设备可靠性分析与评估提供的机遇。然后,我们主要关注了利用工业大数据方法进行设备运行可靠性评估的剩余挑战,例如大多数数据反映了设备的中间状态(不完全失效状态)。我们还考虑了一种利用大数据分析设备运行的多状态和关联设备运行的多种故障模式的方法。探讨了渐进式系统可靠性计算和剩余寿命预测的大数据分析方法,以及将传统可靠性计算理论与大数据理论相结合的方法。所有这些问题都为大数据时代复杂设备的可靠性分析提出了重大挑战。
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引用次数: 1
Step-stress accelerated degradation modeling based on nonlinear Wiener process 基于非线性Wiener过程的阶跃应力加速退化模型
Lin Deng, Zegui Huang, Zhongyi Cai, Yunxiang Chen
Aiming at nonlinear degradation data in step-stress accelerated degradation test (SSADT), the reliability assessment method is put forward based on Wiener process. the process and degradation data model of SSADT is analyzed. The time scale model is used to convert nonlinear data into linear data. Draft coefficient of Wiener process is regarded as a random variable. Reliability model for nonlinear degradation data is built in consideration of individual variation. The two-step maximum likelihood estimation method (TSMLE) is used to derive the unknown parameters. An example is analyzed to show that presented model is correct.
针对阶跃应力加速退化试验(SSADT)中的非线性退化数据,提出了基于Wiener过程的可靠性评估方法。分析了SSADT的过程和退化数据模型。采用时间尺度模型将非线性数据转化为线性数据。将维纳过程的牵伸系数作为一个随机变量。建立了考虑个体变异的非线性退化数据的可靠性模型。采用两步极大似然估计法(TSMLE)推导未知参数。算例分析表明该模型是正确的。
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引用次数: 0
A reliability data fusion method based on improved D-S evidence theory 基于改进D-S证据理论的可靠性数据融合方法
Lingqiang Liang, Yanjun Shen, Quan Cai, Yingkui Gu
In order to solve the problem of the uncertainty of multi-source reliability data, a reliability data fusion method based on improved D-S evidence theory was presented. The confidence level was calculated by using the angle cosine similarity coefficient and its similarity matrix which is as the weight of the data. After the weights are assigned again, they are fused together with the information. By using this method, the causes of the faults can be determined. A major problem that the fusion results are inconsistent with the intuition when the multi-source data information conflicts each other was solved. A case of reliability analysis of a certain diesel engine was presented as an example to illustrate the proposed method. The results showed that the interference of conflicting evidence can be reduced by introducing a similarity coefficient. Furthermore, the fusion efficiency and precision of the model are increased. Not only can the real reasons for the diesel engine faults be identified accurately, but also the identification efficiency of the whole system can be improved.
为了解决多源可靠性数据的不确定性问题,提出了一种基于改进D-S证据理论的可靠性数据融合方法。采用角余弦相似系数及其相似矩阵作为数据的权重,计算置信水平。重新分配权重后,将权重与信息融合在一起。通过这种方法,可以确定故障发生的原因。解决了多源数据信息相互冲突时融合结果与直觉不一致的主要问题。以某型柴油机的可靠性分析为例,对该方法进行了验证。结果表明,引入相似系数可以降低证据冲突的干扰。进一步提高了模型的融合效率和精度。不仅可以准确地识别柴油机故障的真实原因,而且可以提高整个系统的识别效率。
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引用次数: 6
Accelerative effect analysis of quantitative environmental stress screening 定量环境应力筛选的加速效应分析
Jun Gao, Daoping Huang, Xiaobing Li
Environmental stress screening is an effective method to eliminate the potential defects of electronic products. In order to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of environmental stress screening, the acceleration effect was derived and analyzed based on the quantitative environmental stress screening mathematical principles of GJB/Z34. Then the high-temperature aging, temperature cycling, and random vibration acceleration effect evaluation model was proposed, and the test times under conventional stress and accelerated stress were obtained respectively. Finally, the stress acceleration factor was calculated according to the test time between conventional stress and accelerated stress and an example given which proved that the screening was effective.
环境应力筛选是消除电子产品潜在缺陷的有效方法。为了提高环境应力筛分的效率和效果,基于GJB/Z34定量环境应力筛分数学原理,对加速效应进行了推导和分析。然后建立了高温老化、温度循环和随机振动加速效应评价模型,分别得到了常规应力和加速应力下的试验次数。最后,根据常规应力与加速应力之间的试验时间计算应力加速因子,并通过算例验证了筛分的有效性。
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引用次数: 2
Development status of the micro thrust measurement technology based on cantilever beam structure 基于悬臂梁结构的微推力测量技术发展现状
Chang Hao, Weijing Zhou, Xing Jin, Dapeng Wang
The micro thrust measurement device based on the cantilever beam can provide the evaluation platform for the mechanical properties of satellite micro thrusters, thus improving the reliability of satellites. With the principle of dividing methods of measurement into direct bearing and plume measuring, this thesis introduces several kinds of typical measuring devices based on the cantilever beam structure. The thesis also introduces the current reference force, such as weights, electromagnetic force and electrostatic force, and further introduces the relevant calibration methods. Displacement sensor calibration methods are introduced as well. It is concluded that further study of dip angle, non-axial alignment and other factors should be taken into consideration in order to improve measurement accuracy.
基于悬臂梁的微推力测量装置可以为卫星微推进器的力学性能提供评估平台,从而提高卫星的可靠性。本文根据测量方法分为直接承载和羽流测量的原理,介绍了几种典型的基于悬臂梁结构的测量装置。本文还介绍了目前的参考力,如砝码、电磁力和静电力,并进一步介绍了相关的校准方法。介绍了位移传感器的标定方法。为了提高测量精度,应进一步考虑倾角、非轴向对中等因素的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Reliability analysis for an EHCS of automatic transmission based on GO method 基于GO法的自动变速器EHCS可靠性分析
H. Mu, Yao Zhang, X. Yi, Li Li, Xiaoyu Yang, Yuan-Yuan Yang
The expanded GO method for multi-functional repairable systems is proposed in this paper. The expanded method was used to analyze the electro-hydraulic control system of an automatic transmission which has the characteristics of multi-function and repairability, and the minimal cut-sets and availability are obtained by the qualitative and quantitative analysis of the method. Finally, the qualitative and quantitative analysis results of the expanded GO method are compared with the qualitative analysis results of FTA and the quantitative analysis results of Monte Carlo to verify its accuracy and applicability.
提出了多功能可修系统的扩展GO方法。将扩展方法应用于具有多功能和可修性的自动变速器电液控制系统的分析,通过定性和定量分析得到了该方法的最小割集和可用性。最后,将扩展GO方法的定性和定量分析结果与FTA的定性分析结果和Monte Carlo的定量分析结果进行比较,验证其准确性和适用性。
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引用次数: 0
Threshold N-policy for machine interference problem with additional repairman and spares under Bernoulli vacation schedule 伯努利休假计划下带有额外修理和备件的机器干扰问题的阈值n策略
Richa Sharma
This research deals with machine interference problem with additional repairman and warm standby under Bernoulli vacation schedule. Moreover, threshold N-policy is considered for controlling the vacation period of repairman. The first repairman opt a vacation with probability ‘q’ whereas with probability ‘p=1-q’ he would like to stay in the system and continue repair to the next failed machine. On the other hand, the second repairman takes the vacation when the number of failed machine is less than ‘N’. After completion of vacation, if second repairman finds ‘N’ or more failed machine available in the system he instantly stops his vacation and repair the failed machines otherwise he may go for another vacation. Various performance measures are determined using Runge-Kutta (RK) method. Sensitivity analysis is also performed.
本文研究了在伯努利休假计划下附加修理工和热备的机器干扰问题。此外,还考虑阈值n策略来控制修理工的休假时间。第一个修理工选择休假的概率为“q”,而在概率为“p=1-q”的情况下,他愿意留在系统中继续修理下一台故障的机器。另一方面,当故障机器数量小于N时,第二修理工休假。假期结束后,如果第二个修理工发现系统中有N台或更多的故障机器,他立即停止休假并修理故障机器,否则他可能会再次休假。采用龙格-库塔(RK)法确定各种性能指标。并进行了敏感性分析。
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引用次数: 2
Risk analysis of atmospheric and vacuum distillation unit using Bayesian networks 常压和真空蒸馏装置的贝叶斯网络风险分析
Junyan Zhang, B. Cai, Yiliu Liu, M. Xie
The accidents occurred in chemical plants often regard as low frequency and high consequence. It is necessary to raise the risk analysis for the petrochemical system to help people to find the weakest process in the whole system thus people can strength the process to improve the safety. In this paper, a methodology by using Bayesian Networks (BNs) to give a model for a chemical plant has been raised. According to the harm extend, the methodology classifies the events into three layers, cause, incident, and accident. Then the application of the methodology is illustrated by analyzing an atmospheric and vacuum distillation unit. The model identifies the most possible cause when an accident happened. After that, mutual information and variety of beliefs are calculated in order to find the most sensitive event of an accident. The study gives suggestions to people of identification the most relevant and weakest point in the plant.
化工厂发生的事故通常被认为是频率低、后果高的事故。有必要对石化系统进行风险分析,帮助人们找到整个系统中最薄弱的环节,从而对环节进行强化,提高安全性。本文提出了一种利用贝叶斯网络(BNs)对某化工厂进行建模的方法。该方法根据事故的危害范围,将事故分为原因、事件和事故三个层次。最后以常压真空蒸馏装置为例,说明了该方法的应用。该模型在事故发生时识别出最可能的原因。然后,计算相互信息和各种信念,以找到事故中最敏感的事件。该研究为人们识别植物最相关和最薄弱的地方提供了建议。
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引用次数: 1
Failure analysis for poor vertical fill of ENIG holes ENIG孔垂直充填不良的失效分析
Jianghua Shen, Chao-Kun Hu, Xiao He
Wave soldering is one of the most widely used soldering methods in the electronics industry. However there are many influences that caused to soldering failure. This article presents a typical case about poor vertical fill failure analysis during wave soldering. Base on a series analysis, such as surface element detected, vertical cross section, thickness of inter-metallic compound (IMC) measurement, energy dispersive spectroscopy (EDS) analysis etc, the poor vertical fill failure is primarily attribute to that the soldering heat is not enough. The contaminated surface and the Ni corroded intensify the failure.
波峰焊是电子工业中应用最广泛的焊接方法之一。然而,造成焊接失败的因素有很多。本文介绍了波峰焊纵向充填失效分析的典型案例。通过表面元素检测、垂直截面、金属间化合物(IMC)厚度测量、能谱分析(EDS)等一系列分析,认为焊接热不够是导致焊缝垂直填充不良的主要原因。污染表面和Ni腐蚀加剧了破坏。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
2016 11th International Conference on Reliability, Maintainability and Safety (ICRMS)
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