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2016 11th International Conference on Reliability, Maintainability and Safety (ICRMS)最新文献

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Bayesian reliability assessment for high-value pyrotechnics systems based on inheritance factor 基于遗传因子的高值烟火系统贝叶斯可靠性评估
Xiaoyu Yang, Yuquan Wen, Hai-ping Dong, Qihai Liang, Bin Qin, X. Yi
A Bayesian reliability assessment method for pyrotechnics systems based on the inheritance factor is proposed to solve the problem of reliability assessment of high-value pyrotechnics systems with small samples. In this method, the test data of a pyrotechnics system and its components are combined to assess the reliability of the pyrotechnics system, and the inheritance factor is adopted to describe the similarity between the test data of the pyrotechnics system and its components. With the new method, the evaluated reliability of a pyrotechnics system reaches 0.9901 under the confidence level 0.90. The result shows that the new method is more rational than the classical method and the traditional Bayesian method, and it is feasible to use the new method to evaluate the reliability of pyrotechnics systems.
针对小样本高值烟火系统可靠性评估问题,提出了一种基于遗传因子的烟火系统可靠性评估贝叶斯方法。该方法将烟花系统及其部件的测试数据结合起来,对烟花系统的可靠性进行评估,并采用遗传因子来描述烟花系统及其部件的测试数据之间的相似度。在置信水平为0.90的情况下,该方法对某烟火系统的可靠性评估达到了0.9901。结果表明,新方法比经典方法和传统贝叶斯方法更为合理,适用于烟火系统可靠性评估。
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引用次数: 1
Failure analysis of multilayer ceramic capacitor board level interconnect caused by monotonic bending stress 单调弯曲应力引起的多层陶瓷电容器板级互连失效分析
Hongqin Wang, Chaohui Liang, T. Lu, Hui Xiao, Wanchun Tian
Aimed at the status of low anti-bending property and relatively high failure rates of the multilayer ceramic capacitors which are widely used in the electronics industry. The board level interconnect with the typical multilayer ceramic capacitor were designed and fabricated. The effects of the monotonic bending loading on the multilayer ceramic capacitor board level interconnect were analyzed, including the physical characteristics of the failure or loss. In addition, the relationship among the monotonic bending loading conditions, the corresponding stress and strain and the physical damage was clarified, in order to provide a quantitative reference basis for the application reliability of multilayer ceramic capacitors.
针对电子工业中广泛应用的多层陶瓷电容器抗弯曲性能低、故障率较高的现状。设计并制作了典型的多层陶瓷电容器板级互连电路。分析了单调弯曲载荷对多层陶瓷电容器板级互连的影响,包括失效或损耗的物理特性。此外,阐明了单调弯曲加载条件与相应应力应变及物理损伤之间的关系,为多层陶瓷电容器的应用可靠性提供定量参考依据。
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引用次数: 1
TDR measurement of a solder under temperature cycle test 焊料在温度循环试验下的TDR测量
Qi-hai Li, Wenxiao Fang, Jing Xiao, Weiming Li, W. Chen, Haimi Qiu, J. Cui, Bin Zhou
With the decrease in the overall size and the rapid increase in the working frequencies of printed circuit boards, the reliability of solder joints, especially the high frequency signal transmission reliability has become the key factor in system reliability. In this paper, changes in RF impedance of solder joints in a temperature cycling environment was studied using time-domain reflectometry measurements. It was found that with the increase in the temperature cycle, the intermetallic compound layer gradually thickened, and even if no macro damage was found, the RF impedance increased. The transmission reliability of the high frequency signal was degraded.
随着印刷电路板整体尺寸的减小和工作频率的迅速提高,焊点的可靠性,特别是高频信号传输的可靠性已成为影响系统可靠性的关键因素。本文采用时域反射测量法研究了温度循环环境下焊点射频阻抗的变化。研究发现,随着温度循环的增加,金属间化合物层逐渐增厚,即使没有发现宏观损伤,射频阻抗也会增加。导致高频信号传输可靠性降低。
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引用次数: 2
Bivariate empirical mode decomposition of grinding chatter signals 磨削颤振信号的二元经验模态分解
Jianyang Shen, Huanguo Chen, Yongyu Yi, Jianwei Wu, Yajie Li, Chunshao Huang
Large numbers of experiments have shown that grinding chatter is one of the major forms of host fault performance in grinding processes. In view of this, more advanced monitoring techniques are required to ensure the high reliability of grinders. The empirical mode decomposition (EMD) technique has shown promise for meeting this requirement. In general, EMD has been limited to processing one-dimensional signals and is unable to deliver the information fusion function required for reliable chatter detection. In this paper, a bivariate EMD (BEMD) was assessed as a grinding condition monitoring technique. Conventional EMD and BEMD were compared by using them to process a simulated chatter signal. The BEMD technique showed a more powerful capability to process non-stationary and non-linear chatter signals. Moreover, BEMD was more effective for extracting features from multiple signals and detecting the phase information of intrinsic mode functions. The instantaneous energy, peak to peak, standard deviation and kurtosis parameters of the signal were able to be used as chatter feature vectors to describe the different vibratory states encountered during grinding. These feature vectors exhibit distinctive behaviors and could be applied as detectors of early grinding chatter.
大量实验表明,磨削颤振是磨削过程中主机故障表现的主要形式之一。鉴于此,需要更先进的监测技术来保证磨床的高可靠性。经验模态分解(EMD)技术有望满足这一要求。一般来说,EMD仅限于处理一维信号,无法提供可靠的颤振检测所需的信息融合功能。本文对二元EMD (BEMD)作为一种磨削状态监测技术进行了评估。通过对仿真颤振信号的处理,对传统EMD和BEMD进行了比较。BEMD技术显示出更强的处理非平稳和非线性颤振信号的能力。此外,BEMD能够更有效地从多个信号中提取特征并检测固有模态函数的相位信息。信号的瞬时能量、峰对峰、标准差和峰度参数可以作为颤振特征向量来描述磨削过程中遇到的不同振动状态。这些特征向量表现出独特的行为,可以作为早期磨削颤振的检测器。
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引用次数: 2
A reliability risk analysis method based on the fuzzy fault tree and fuzzy event tree 一种基于模糊故障树和模糊事件树的可靠性风险分析方法
C. Quan, Liang Lingqiang, Yuan Dongping, Yingkui Gu
Based on the analyses systems of fuzzy fault tree and event tree, this paper proposes a method for a reliability risk analysis to mitigate problems associated with risk modeling of fuzzy and uncertain information. Risk event occurrence probabilities were obtained with fuzzy linguistic variables instead of exact values used in fault tree analysis. Quantitative analysis was applied to the fuzzy fault tree to determine the fuzzy importance degree of each basic event, which were then ranked and divided to distinguish the influence of these basic events. Based on this analysis, a fuzzy event tree was constructed and linguistic terms used to evaluate occurrence probabilities and outcomes. Mitigation measures were put forward for risk events and the expected risk magnitudes were calculated under the mitigation strategies. This ensured the mitigation measures were intuitive and accurate. Finally, an application example was illustrated to verify that the proposed method was effective and feasible.
本文在分析模糊故障树和事件树系统的基础上,提出了一种可靠性风险分析方法,以解决模糊和不确定信息风险建模的问题。用模糊语言变量代替故障树分析中的精确值来获得风险事件发生概率。对模糊故障树进行定量分析,确定各基本事件的模糊重要度,并对其进行排序和划分,以区分这些基本事件的影响。在此基础上,构建了一个模糊事件树,并使用语言术语来评估发生概率和结果。针对风险事件提出了缓解措施,并根据缓解策略计算了预期的风险程度。这确保了缓解措施的直观和准确。最后,通过一个应用实例验证了该方法的有效性和可行性。
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引用次数: 2
Important degree evaluation of test equipment based on fuzzy DEMATEL and fuzzy hierarchical TOPSIS 基于模糊DEMATEL和模糊层次TOPSIS的测试设备重要度评价
Chun-yu Zhao, Lun Ma, Lifei Huo, Yun Liu, Xuefeng Zhao
The preventive maintenance requirement of test equipment is determined by the reliability centered maintenance (RCM) analysis. In the first step of RCM analysis procedure, the important degree evaluations of test equipment play a significant way to identify the functionally significant item (FSI) list. To evaluate the important degree of test equipment, a systematic methodology integrating the fuzzy “decision-making and trial evaluation laboratory” (DEMATEL) method and the hierarchical fuzzy “technique for order reference by similarity to ideal solution” (TOPSIS) method is proposed. According to the designed hierarchical criteria about important degree evaluation for test equipment, the fuzzy DEMATEL method is used to determine the value of the criteria weights and hierarchical fuzzy TOPSIS method is used for rating the important degree of alternative components. After the steps of the hybrid method are listed, a case study about a certain type of test equipment is presented to illustrate its effectiveness.
以可靠性为中心的维修(RCM)分析确定了试验设备的预防性维修需求。在RCM分析程序的第一步中,测试设备的重要度评价是确定功能重要项目列表的重要途径。为评价试验设备的重要程度,提出了一种将模糊“决策与试验评价实验室”(DEMATEL)方法与层次模糊“理想解相似序参考技术”(TOPSIS)方法相结合的系统方法。根据设计的试验设备重要度评价层次准则,采用模糊DEMATEL法确定各准则权重值,采用层次模糊TOPSIS法对备选部件的重要度进行评定。在列举了混合方法的步骤后,以某型试验设备为例说明了混合方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Software dynamic fault model and injection method 软件动态故障模型及注入方法
Renya He, Longli Tang, Shihai Wang, Zhengwei Yu
An unconventional software testing method, fault injection based on fault model, is enhanced to improve the software reliability testing and measurements. Dynamic fault models for injecting faults through software are investigated and reported in this paper including memory faults, CPU faults and communication fault models. Dynamic fault models can be used to simulate influences which are caused by environmental disturbances. They are suited to injecting faults in memory, CPU and bus directly while the software is running. At the same time, the methods of how to inject dynamic faults into the system are given, including the dynamic environment fault injection and the dynamic binary fault injection.
对基于故障模型的故障注入这一非常规的软件测试方法进行了改进,以提高软件的可靠性测试和测量。本文研究并报道了软件注入故障的动态故障模型,包括内存故障、CPU故障和通信故障模型。动态故障模型可以用来模拟由环境扰动引起的影响。它们适合在软件运行时直接向内存、CPU和总线注入故障。同时,给出了动态故障注入系统的方法,包括动态环境故障注入和动态二元故障注入。
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引用次数: 0
Classical and Bayes methods for Two-Sample prediction of a Weibull distribution 威布尔分布双样本预测的经典方法和贝叶斯方法
Yongquan Sun, Yingchao Jin, Bo Liu, Quanwu Liu, Chunyu Yu, Jiahai Zhang
Two-Sample prediction is useful to develop scientific maintenance strategies, but its application is restricted due to the computation complexity. In this paper, lifetime prediction method is studied through constructing predictor and prediction limits for the minimum or, more generally, the jth smallest of a set of future observations from a Weibull population. For the sake of computation simplification, Newtonian binomial law is integrated into the modeling process, and explicit formulae for Weibull future order statistics are developed by classical Two-Sample prediction method only using current failure observations, and by Bayes Two-Sample prediction method using both previous and current failure data under Gamma prior distribution. A case study is presented, which illustrates methods to predict mud pump life. The predictor and one-sided lower prediction limits with different confidence level 0.80, 0.85, 0.90, 0.95 are given.
双样本预测有助于制定科学的维护策略,但由于计算复杂性,其应用受到限制。本文通过对威布尔总体的一组未来观测值的最小值(更一般地说,是第j小值)构建预测器和预测限来研究寿命预测方法。为简化计算,在建模过程中引入牛顿二项定律,采用仅使用当前失效观测值的经典双样本预测方法,以及在Gamma先验分布下同时使用以前和当前失效数据的贝叶斯双样本预测方法,推导出威布尔未来阶统计量的显式公式。通过实例分析,阐述了预测泥浆泵寿命的方法。给出了不同置信水平0.80、0.85、0.90、0.95的预测下限和单侧预测下限。
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引用次数: 0
A new method for product field reliability assessment based on accelerated life test 一种基于加速寿命试验的产品现场可靠性评估新方法
Guolong Zhang, Junhu Li, Guohui Bao, Busheng Zhang
Accelerated life testing (ALT) is one of the major methods of rapidly evaluating product field reliability and life. The topic of how to improve assessment precision using ALT and field observation data has attracted research interest recently. A new method of field reliability assessment is proposed in this paper. Firstly, in view of data fusion, a more accurate model is established by integrating failure information from both the field and ALT data. Secondly, posterior parameter estimation, and field reliability and life are rapidly obtained through Bayesian analysis based on MCMC, which can effectively reduce the computational complexity of the model. Finally, a comprehensive set of experiments is conducted and the results show that reliability and life assessment based on this method is more precise.
加速寿命试验(ALT)是快速评估产品现场可靠性和寿命的主要方法之一。如何利用ALT和野外观测资料提高评估精度是近年来研究的热点问题。提出了一种新的现场可靠性评估方法。首先,从数据融合的角度出发,将现场故障信息与ALT数据相结合,建立更精确的故障模型;其次,通过基于MCMC的贝叶斯分析,快速获得后验参数估计、现场可靠性和寿命,有效降低了模型的计算复杂度;最后,进行了一组全面的实验,结果表明,基于该方法的可靠性和寿命评估更加精确。
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引用次数: 1
Maintenance policies for improving the availability of a software-hardware system 用于提高软硬件系统可用性的维护策略
G. Kumar, M. Kaushik, Preeti
The present paper deals with the study of a Software-Hardware system under the consideration of software and hardware failures. The concept of degradation is considered for both the Software and Hardware components. For improving the degradation in the performance of Software and Hardware, we have supposed some maintenance policies in the Software as well as Hardware components. To enrich and improve the performance of the software components, the idea of Software rejuvenation has been incorporated. To develop a Markovian model, multi-level Software rejuvenation policy is taken in to consideration. While in the case of Hardware components, maintenance policies for different types of repairs such as corrective and preventive repairs have been considered. Various performance indices of the Software-Hardware system are determined using steady state probabilities. The illustrations are performed to validate the analytical model.
本文研究了考虑软硬件故障的软-硬件系统。软件和硬件组件都考虑了退化的概念。为了改善软件和硬件性能的下降,我们在软件和硬件组件中假设了一些维护策略。为了丰富和提高软件组件的性能,引入了软件复兴的思想。为了建立马尔可夫模型,考虑了多层次的软件复兴策略。而在硬件组件的情况下,则考虑了不同类型维修的维护策略,例如纠正和预防性维修。采用稳态概率法确定了软硬件系统的各项性能指标。通过实例验证了分析模型的正确性。
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引用次数: 8
期刊
2016 11th International Conference on Reliability, Maintainability and Safety (ICRMS)
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