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Midpoint-width lexicographic equilibria: Existence results for interval-valued equilibrium problems 中点宽度字典均衡:区间值均衡问题的存在性结果
IF 3.2 Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.rico.2025.100637
Somaye Jafari
This paper presents a new solution concept for interval-valued equilibrium problems using an appropriate interval ordering that considers both the central value and the uncertainty inherent in the data. The aim is to define solutions in a way that represents the imprecision frequently encountered in real-world situations. The proposed solution concept is then explained through a motivating example, demonstrating its advantages in handling interval-valued data. Furthermore, the study shows that the introduced interval-valued equilibrium problem can be reduced to a mixed equilibrium problem, for which existence results are established using a proof technique based on a KKM-type argument. A projection-based algorithm is also presented by adapting classical splitting methods for equilibrium problems to the proposed interval-valued equilibrium model. This work provides a rigorous and verifiable framework for addressing interval-valued equilibrium problems.
本文提出了一种新的区间值平衡问题的求解概念,采用适当的区间排序,同时考虑了中心值和数据中固有的不确定性。其目的是以一种表示在现实世界中经常遇到的不精确的方式来定义解决方案。然后通过一个激励示例解释了所提出的解决方案概念,展示了它在处理区间值数据方面的优势。进一步研究表明,所引入的区间值均衡问题可以化为混合均衡问题,并利用基于kkm型论证的证明技术建立了混合均衡问题的存在性结果。将经典的均衡问题分裂方法应用于所提出的区间值均衡模型,提出了一种基于投影的算法。这项工作为解决区间值均衡问题提供了一个严格和可验证的框架。
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引用次数: 0
Deep–adaptive fuzzy predictive navigation framework for stable and intelligent mobile robot control 面向稳定智能移动机器人控制的深度自适应模糊预测导航框架
IF 3.2 Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.rico.2026.100669
Safa Jameel Al-Kamil , Edit Laufer , Róbert Szabolcsi
Autonomous mobile robot navigation in dynamic and uncertain environments demands control architectures that are simultaneously robust, adaptive, and provably stable. This work introduces a hierarchical predictive navigation framework that combines adaptive fuzzy decision-making with forward-looking motion optimization and explicit stability constraints.
Simulation studies conducted in static, mixed, and dynamic environments demonstrate that the proposed framework achieves approximately 30–40% higher average velocity, a 25–35 % reduction in traversal time, and 5–10 % lower energy consumption per unit distance compared with conventional fuzzy–potential field and optimization-tuned fuzzy navigation baselines. Across all evaluated scenarios, the robot maintained collision-free navigation and bounded control behavior. Selective human supervision was required in fewer than 10 % of operating intervals, reducing operator involvement while preserving safety.
These results indicate that the proposed framework provides a quantitatively validated and interpretable alternative to existing fuzzy-based and predictive navigation approaches for autonomous mobile robots.
动态和不确定环境下的自主移动机器人导航要求控制体系结构同时具有鲁棒性、适应性和可证明的稳定性。本文介绍了一种将自适应模糊决策与前瞻性运动优化和显式稳定性约束相结合的分层预测导航框架。在静态、混合和动态环境中进行的仿真研究表明,与传统的模糊势场和优化后的模糊导航基线相比,该框架的平均速度提高了约30-40%,穿越时间减少了25 - 35%,单位距离能耗降低了5 - 10%。在所有评估的场景中,机器人保持无碰撞导航和有界控制行为。在不到10%的作业间隔内,需要选择性的人工监督,减少了操作人员的参与,同时保证了安全。这些结果表明,所提出的框架为自主移动机器人提供了一种定量验证和可解释的替代方案,以替代现有的基于模糊和预测的导航方法。
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引用次数: 0
The zero-dispersion regime of energy-critical fractional nonlinear equations 能量临界分数阶非线性方程的零色散状态
IF 3.2 Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.rico.2026.100670
Kalim Ullah , Zou Ran , Muhammad Ishfaq Khan , Homan Emadifar , Aseel Smerat , Karim K. Ahmed
This work investigates the dispersion limit of the fractional complex Ginzburg–Landau (FCGL) equation in the energy-critical defocusing regime. Using an energy-method framework, we prove that, as the phase parameter θ0, solutions of the FCGL equation with initial data in Hα(RN), N=3,4, converge to solutions of the energy-critical fractional nonlinear heat (FNLH) equation, for which the limiting dynamics are well posed under the stronger regularity assumption H2α(RN). The analysis highlights the additional analytical challenges introduced by the nonlocal fractional Laplacian in the energy-critical setting. Numerical simulations are performed using a Fourier spectral discretization in space, which exactly resolves the fractional Laplacian through its Fourier symbol, combined with a fourth-order Runge–Kutta (RK4) scheme in time. Numerical errors between the FCGL and FNLH solutions are computed for different values of θ, and a temporal convergence study is carried out for fixed θ, confirming the consistency and accuracy of the numerical scheme. As θ decreases, the solutions transition from dispersive, oscillatory dynamics to smoother profiles that closely approximate the FNLH solution. Quantitative measures, including the evolution of the L2-norm and representative spatial profiles, provide clear numerical confirmation of the theoretical dispersion limit. These results elucidate the interplay between dispersion and dissipation in energy-critical fractional PDEs and contribute to the understanding of nonlocal dynamics in complex media.
本文研究了分数复金兹堡-朗道方程在能量临界离焦状态下的色散极限。利用能量法框架,证明了当相位参数θ→0时,初始数据为Hα(RN), N=3,4的FCGL方程的解收敛于能量临界分数阶非线性热(FNLH)方程的解,该方程在强正则性假设H2α(RN)下具有良好的极限动力学。分析强调了在能量临界条件下,由非局部分数拉普拉斯函数引入的附加分析挑战。数值模拟采用傅里叶谱离散化方法,该方法通过傅里叶符号精确解析分数阶拉普拉斯算子,并结合四阶龙格-库塔(RK4)格式在时间上进行。计算了不同θ值下FCGL和FNLH解的数值误差,并对固定θ值下的时间收敛性进行了研究,验证了数值方案的一致性和准确性。随着θ的减小,解从色散的振荡动力学转变为接近FNLH解的光滑曲线。定量测量,包括l2范数和代表性空间剖面的演变,为理论色散极限提供了明确的数值证实。这些结果阐明了能量临界分数阶偏微分方程中色散和耗散之间的相互作用,有助于理解复杂介质中的非局部动力学。
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引用次数: 0
Controllability of stochastic multi-term fractional-order impulsive systems involving state delay 包含状态延迟的随机多项分数阶脉冲系统的可控性
IF 3.2 Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.rico.2025.100644
G. Arthi , M. Vaanmathi , R. Sivasangari , Yong-Ki Ma
This study investigates the damping behavior of impulsive fractional-order stochastic systems with state delays, which are essential for modeling dynamical processes exhibiting both memory and stochastic effects. The system is formulated using Caputo fractional derivatives and Mittag-Leffler functions, allowing for analytical expressions that accurately capture the hereditary properties of fractional dynamics. The main contribution of this work is the establishment of sufficient conditions for the controllability of both linear and nonlinear systems, achieved through a combination of stochastic analysis and fixed-point techniques, explicitly accounting for the influences of delays, damping, and impulses. The proposed methodology extends existing controllability results to a broader class of fractional stochastic systems and provides a systematic approach for analyzing their damping mechanisms. The theoretical findings are illustrated through a numerical example, confirming the accuracy and effectiveness of the developed methodology.
本文研究了具有状态延迟的脉冲分数阶随机系统的阻尼行为,这是建模具有记忆和随机效应的动态过程所必需的。该系统使用卡普托分数阶导数和Mittag-Leffler函数制定,允许准确捕获分数阶动力学遗传特性的解析表达式。这项工作的主要贡献是建立了线性和非线性系统的可控性的充分条件,通过随机分析和不动点技术的结合来实现,明确地考虑了延迟、阻尼和脉冲的影响。提出的方法将现有的可控性结果扩展到更广泛的分数阶随机系统,并为分析其阻尼机制提供了系统的方法。通过一个算例说明了理论结果,验证了所开发方法的准确性和有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Improving diagnostic accuracy for PCOS: A hybrid machine learning architecture with feature selection, data balancing, and explainable AI techniques 提高PCOS的诊断准确性:一种混合机器学习架构,具有特征选择,数据平衡和可解释的AI技术
IF 3.2 Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.rico.2025.100647
Khandaker Mohammad Mohi Uddin , Abir Chowdhury , Md. Mahbubur Rahman Druvo , Mehreen Tabassum Jaima , Md. Tofael Ahmed Bhuiyan , Md. Manowarul Islam
Polycystic Ovary Syndrome (PCOS), which affects 5–10 % of women worldwide who are of reproductive age, is often misdiagnosed (∼70 %) despite the rising risks of metabolic disorders and infertility. Current machine learning diagnostics frequently struggle with unbalanced data and are not interpretable. This research improves PCOS diagnosis by introducing a new, interpretable hybrid architecture. We used mutual information and extra trees to improve feature selection and extensive preprocessing, including SMOTE for class imbalance, on a dataset of 541 patient records. A Soft Voting Ensemble that included Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) with CatBoost, optimized using GridSearchCV, and verified with 5-fold cross-validation, outperformed each individual model with previous research with a state-of-the-art accuracy of 96.88 %. Additionally, deep learning models performed well, most notably DANet (94.50 % accuracy). Importantly, SHAP and LIME improved model interpretability, offering clear insights into diagnostic judgments. The architecture was put into practice in an intuitive Flask web application for explainable, real-time forecasts. This study offers a therapeutically applicable method that strikes a balance between interpretability and high accuracy, enabling early PCOS identification and better patient outcomes. Multimodal integration and dataset extension are potential avenues for future study.
多囊卵巢综合征(PCOS)影响全世界5 - 10%的育龄妇女,尽管代谢紊乱和不孕症的风险不断上升,但仍经常被误诊(约70%)。当前的机器学习诊断经常与不平衡的数据作斗争,并且不可解释。本研究通过引入一种新的、可解释的混合架构来改善PCOS的诊断。我们使用互信息和额外的树来改进特征选择和广泛的预处理,包括针对类别不平衡的SMOTE,在541个患者记录的数据集上。包含多层感知器(MLP)和CatBoost的软投票集成,使用GridSearchCV进行优化,并经过5倍交叉验证,以96.88%的最先进精度优于先前研究的每个单独模型。此外,深度学习模型表现良好,最显著的是DANet(准确率为94.50%)。重要的是,SHAP和LIME提高了模型的可解释性,为诊断判断提供了清晰的见解。该架构在一个直观的Flask web应用程序中付诸实践,用于可解释的实时预测。本研究提供了一种治疗上适用的方法,在可解释性和高准确性之间取得平衡,使PCOS的早期识别和更好的患者预后成为可能。多模态集成和数据集扩展是未来研究的潜在途径。
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引用次数: 0
Stability and optimizing the treatment control of tuberculosis model via numerical approach 用数值方法研究结核模型的稳定性和治疗控制的优化
IF 3.2 Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.rico.2025.100650
Muhammad Farman , David Amilo , Manal Ghannam , Kottakkaran Sooppy Nisar , Mohamed Hafez
According to World Health Organization data, tuberculosis (TB) affects nearly one-third of the world’s population and causes several million deaths and new cases each year. Recent advances in fractal–fractional differential operators have proven effective in simulating complex real-world problems. In this study, we present a TB model with an emphasis on hospital treatment and public health education, using a fractal–fractional operator under the Mittag-Leffler function. The study focuses on biological feasibility elements such as unique solutions, existence, positivity, and feasible domains. The Lipschitz and growth conditions are used to demonstrate the existence and uniqueness of solutions to the proposed TB system. A next-generation matrix technique is used to calculate the effective reproductive number of tuberculosis to determine its spread. Suitable Lyapunov functionals are developed to demonstrate the global stability of both TB-free and endemic equilibria. Each model parameter’s impact on the effective reproductive number is assessed using a normalized sensitivity index calculation. A numerical iterative method with Newton polynomial interpolation is utilized to demonstrate the usefulness of the proposed model, and numerical simulations show that it is more efficient at various fractional orders. We looked at numerical data from a variety of factors and fractional order values, concentrating on their impact on disease eradication. The simulation results are compared between the Newton polynomial interpolation approach and the fractional Adams–Bashforth–Moulton predictor–corrector method for the model compartments. The fractal–fractional approach essentially combines the complex real-world dynamics of infectious diseases with theoretical mathematics. This approach offers deep insights that help improve public health decision-making and guide successful control measures.
根据世界卫生组织的数据,结核病(TB)影响着世界近三分之一的人口,每年造成数百万人死亡和新病例。分形-分数阶微分算子的最新进展已被证明在模拟复杂的现实问题方面是有效的。在这项研究中,我们提出了一个结核病模型,重点是医院治疗和公共卫生教育,在Mittag-Leffler函数下使用分形-分数算子。研究的重点是生物可行性要素,如唯一解、存在性、正性和可行域。利用Lipschitz条件和生长条件证明了所提出的TB系统解的存在性和唯一性。采用新一代基质技术计算结核的有效繁殖数,以确定其传播。开发了合适的Lyapunov泛函来证明无结核病和地方性平衡的全局稳定性。每个模型参数对有效繁殖数的影响采用归一化敏感性指数计算进行评估。利用牛顿多项式插值的数值迭代方法验证了该模型的有效性,数值仿真结果表明,该模型在不同分数阶上都具有较高的效率。我们查看了来自各种因素和分数阶值的数值数据,重点关注它们对疾病根除的影响。比较了牛顿多项式插值法和分数阶Adams-Bashforth-Moulton预测校正法对模型室的模拟结果。分形-分数方法本质上是将复杂的真实世界传染病动力学与理论数学相结合。这种方法提供了深刻的见解,有助于改进公共卫生决策并指导成功的控制措施。
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引用次数: 0
Stability and weighted l2-gain analysis of discrete-time switched T–S fuzzy systems based on admissible-edge-dependent weighted average dwell time strategy 基于允许边相关加权平均停留时间策略的离散时间切换T-S模糊系统稳定性及加权12增益分析
IF 3.2 Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.rico.2026.100655
Qiang Yu, Lijuan Mao
The paper introduces the admissible-edge-dependent weighted average dwell time switching strategy that not only considers the differences and compensation between subsystems, but also takes into account the switching order of subsystems. The global uniform asymptotic stability and weighted l2-gain of a class of discrete-time switched nonlinear systems and its related switched T–S (Takagi–Sugeno) model are studied under the new strategy and the multiple discontinuous Lyapunov function approach. The obtained results present a larger feasible range of switching signals than the existing results. Finally, a numerical example is given to illustrate the validity and superiority of the results.
提出了一种基于允许边的加权平均停留时间切换策略,该策略不仅考虑了子系统间的差异和补偿,而且考虑了子系统间的切换顺序。研究了一类离散时间切换非线性系统及其相关的切换T-S (Takagi-Sugeno)模型在新策略和多重不连续Lyapunov函数方法下的全局一致渐近稳定性和加权12增益。所得结果比现有结果提供了更大的开关信号可行范围。最后通过数值算例说明了所得结果的有效性和优越性。
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引用次数: 0
A hybrid fractional-order and neural network model for corruption dynamics using the ABC derivative 基于ABC导数的腐败动力学的分数阶和神经网络混合模型
IF 3.2 Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.rico.2026.100676
Nadeem Abbas , Syeda Alishwa Zanib , Sehrish Ramzan , Syed Ibn E Ali Zulqarnain , Wasfi Shatanawi
Corruption can be defined as the misuse of power, of public office, or of authority entrusted to the state for one’s benefit, thus bringing to light the lack of transparency, accountability, and fairness in public and private sectors. In this context, we introduce a fresh compartmental model for corruption dynamics which fully aligns theoretical assumptions to empirical realities. The different individuals are divided into the five compartments, namely, susceptible Sϱ, corrupt Cϱ, under investigation Pϱ, jailed Jϱ, and honest Hϱ. To introduce memory and lineage effects in the corruption dynamics, the Atangana–Baleanu–Caputo fractional derivative is utilized. Applying the next-generation matrix method, we determine the basic reproduction number R0, which acts as a threshold parameter for the survival of corruption in the system. The case of R0<1 corresponds to the situation where the corruption-free equilibrium enjoys both local and global asymptotic stability, while R0>1 results in the endemic equilibrium (corruption-present) being asymptotically stable. Additionally, the bifurcation analysis is used to expound the parameter-induced transitions in the level of corruption and to pinpoint the main intervention mechanisms. The model now achieves improved predictive accuracy through the implementation of an artificial neural network (ANN) method which operates three distinct scenarios that researchers define as Case 1, Case 2, and Case 3. The ANN accurately models the system behavior and encompasses complex nonlinear traits. The ANN-derived predictions match the numerical simulations conducted with Maple 19 and the Lagrange interpolation technique almost perfectly. The results indicate that anti-corruption measures carefully chosen according to the model can lead to a substantial decrease in corruption thus proving the usefulness of the proposed model for political evaluation and strategy-making.
腐败可以被定义为滥用权力、公职或为个人利益滥用委托给国家的权力,从而暴露出公共和私营部门缺乏透明度、问责制和公平性。在这种情况下,我们引入了一个新的腐败动力学分区模型,该模型将理论假设与经验现实完全一致。不同的人被分为五个隔间,即易感者Sϱ、腐败者Cϱ、调查中Pϱ、入狱者Jϱ和诚实者Hϱ。为了引入腐败动力学中的记忆和谱系效应,利用了Atangana-Baleanu-Caputo分数阶导数。应用新一代矩阵方法,确定了基本再生数R0,作为系统中腐败存活的阈值参数。R0<;1的情况对应于无腐败均衡同时具有局部和全局渐近稳定的情况,而R0>;1则导致地方性均衡(存在腐败)渐近稳定。此外,采用分岔分析阐述了腐败水平的参数诱导转变,并确定了主要的干预机制。现在,该模型通过人工神经网络(ANN)方法的实现实现了提高的预测精度,该方法可以操作研究人员定义为案例1、案例2和案例3的三种不同场景。人工神经网络准确地模拟了系统的行为,并包含了复杂的非线性特征。人工神经网络的预测与Maple 19和拉格朗日插值技术进行的数值模拟几乎完美匹配。结果表明,根据模型仔细选择的反腐败措施可以导致腐败的大幅减少,从而证明了所提出的模型在政治评估和战略制定方面的有用性。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal control and dynamical transmission of asthma due to smoking populations: Incorporating medical and public health measures 吸烟人群哮喘的最优控制和动态传播:结合医疗和公共卫生措施
IF 3.2 Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.rico.2026.100674
Muhammad Farman , Noreen Asghar , Muhammad Umer Saleem , Soheil Salahshour , Aseel Smerat , Mohamed Hafez
Smoking has numerous impacts on the human body, including damage to the lungs. Throughout global history, respiratory diseases have presented serious health challenges, with asthma emerging as one of the most prevalent chronic disorders worldwide for health risk control. Addressing the growing impact of asthma requires comprehensive modeling techniques to better understand its spread and to support effective disease management. This study presents a deterministic mathematical model that investigates the dynamics of asthma disease influenced by active smoking. To capture the transmission and progression of the disease, a smoking-induced asthma model is formulated in which the total population is divided into six compartments. Fundamental properties of the model, including positivity, boundedness, invariant regions, and equilibrium points, are rigorously analyzed to ensure biological feasibility. The basic reproductive number (R0) is derived and investigated to determine its role in disease persistence or eradication, while sensitivity analysis identifies the most influential factors governing asthma spread. This investigation further explores local stability of the smoking-induced asthma model, with special focus on a small number of observations. To obtain numerical solutions, the well-established Non-standard finite difference (NSFD) scheme is employed to illustrate the systems behavior and validate analytical findings. Additionally, to achieve the fundamental goal of this research, an optimal control approach is introduced by incorporating two control factors: awareness campaigns through social media and treatment protocols aimed at reducing the abundance of infected individuals. Simulations demonstrate the predictive effect of smoking on asthma prevalence and highlight the dynamics under different parameter variations. The findings emphasize that smoking significantly accelerates asthma transmission and severity, underscoring the importance of medical services and public health interventions. This work provides valuable insights into asthma dynamics and establishes a mathematical foundation for developing future strategies to reduce the disease burden.
吸烟对人体有许多影响,包括对肺部的损害。纵观全球历史,呼吸系统疾病带来了严重的健康挑战,哮喘成为世界范围内最普遍的健康风险控制慢性疾病之一。解决哮喘日益增长的影响需要全面的建模技术,以更好地了解其传播并支持有效的疾病管理。本研究提出了一个确定性的数学模型,探讨了积极吸烟对哮喘疾病的影响。为了捕捉疾病的传播和进展,制定了一个吸烟诱发哮喘模型,其中将总人口分为六个隔间。模型的基本性质,包括正性,有界性,不变区域和平衡点,严格分析,以确保生物可行性。基本繁殖数(R0)被导出和调查,以确定其在疾病持续或根除中的作用,而敏感性分析确定控制哮喘传播的最重要因素。本研究进一步探讨了吸烟诱发哮喘模型的局部稳定性,并特别关注少数观察结果。为了得到数值解,采用非标准有限差分(NSFD)格式来说明系统的行为并验证分析结果。此外,为了实现本研究的基本目标,引入了一种最优控制方法,结合两个控制因素:通过社交媒体开展的宣传活动和旨在减少感染个体数量的治疗方案。模拟结果显示了吸烟对哮喘患病率的预测作用,并突出了不同参数变化下的动态变化。研究结果强调,吸烟显著加速了哮喘的传播和严重程度,强调了医疗服务和公共卫生干预的重要性。这项工作为哮喘动力学提供了有价值的见解,并为制定未来减轻疾病负担的策略奠定了数学基础。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic Nash game for linear stochastic control with Markov Jump in Mpox Mpox中马尔可夫跳跃线性随机控制的动态纳什对策
IF 3.2 Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.rico.2025.100640
Md. Abdullah Bin Masud , Tanjina Tasnim , Mostak Ahmed , Md. Khalilur Rahman
Mpox, as a re-emerging infectious disease, poses considerable challenges due to uncertain transmission dynamics and sudden outbreak shocks, which cannot be adequately addressed by classical deterministic control models. To overcome these limitations, we develop a dynamic Nash game framework based on linear stochastic control with Markov jump disturbances. The framework integrates a controlled SEIR system in which regional decision-makers adopt strategies involving vaccination, social distancing, and awareness campaigns, interacting both competitively and cooperatively. By applying Pontryagin’s maximum principle, we derive the Hamiltonians and costate equations and obtain explicit formulations for both Nash equilibrium controls and team optimal controls. The stochastic SEIR model with Markov jumps is solved numerically using the Euler–Maruyama method. Simulation results indicate that Nash strategies significantly reduce infection prevalence compared to uncontrolled dynamics, yet they may produce unequal benefits across regions. Numerical simulations show that Nash controls reduce exposure and infection compared with uncontrolled dynamics, while coordinated team-optimal controls provide substantially greater reductions in outbreak magnitude and duration. This stochastic game-theoretic framework offers a robust extension of existing Mpox models by integrating Markov-jump uncertainty, multi-agent control, and analytically derived equilibrium strategies, providing practical insights for coordinated epidemic interventions.
麻疹作为一种重新出现的传染病,由于传播动力学的不确定性和突发的疫情冲击,带来了相当大的挑战,经典的确定性控制模型无法充分解决这一问题。为了克服这些限制,我们开发了一个基于线性随机控制和马尔可夫跳变扰动的动态纳什博弈框架。该框架整合了一个受控制的SEIR系统,在该系统中,区域决策者采取涉及疫苗接种、保持社会距离和提高认识运动的战略,通过竞争和合作相互作用。应用庞特里亚金极大值原理,导出了纳什均衡控制和团队最优控制的哈密顿量和协态方程,得到了两者的显式表达式。采用Euler-Maruyama方法对具有马尔可夫跳变的随机SEIR模型进行了数值求解。模拟结果表明,与不受控制的动态相比,纳什策略显著降低了感染率,但它们可能在不同地区产生不平等的效益。数值模拟表明,与不受控制的动态相比,纳什控制减少了暴露和感染,而协调的团队最优控制在爆发规模和持续时间方面提供了更大的减少。这个随机博弈论框架通过整合马尔可夫跳变不确定性、多智能体控制和解析导出的均衡策略,对现有的Mpox模型进行了鲁棒扩展,为协调流行病干预提供了实用的见解。
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Results in Control and Optimization
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