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The role of asymptomatic carriers on the dynamics of a lymphatic filariasis model incorporating control strategies 无症状携带者对包含控制策略的淋巴丝虫病模型动态的作用
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2024-05-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.rico.2024.100425
Mussa A. Stephano , Maranya M. Mayengo , Jacob I. Irunde

This study presents a mathematical model to investigate the patterns of transmission in lymphatic filariasis. The model considers chronic, acute, and asymptomatic individuals and integrates key control strategies. Random synthetic data is generated robustly through numerical solutions to closely replicate real-world scenarios and encompass uncertainties. The synthetic data adheres to a Gaussian distribution to ensure validity and reliability. Following the derivation of the basic and effective reproduction number using the next generation matrix approach, Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) and the Partial Rank Correlation Coefficient (PRCC) algorithm is utilized to assess the parameters that significantly influence the model outputs. The study examine the trajectories of different population compartments through numerical simulations over time, with particular emphasis on the role played by asymptomatic individuals in the transmission of the disease. To assess the potential for disease elimination, the study introduces a range of strategies involving protective measures, treatment interventions, and mosquito control. These strategies are determined through sensitivity analysis. The findings demonstrate that the simultaneous implementation of all control measures has a noteworthy effect in managing lymphatic filariasis. In conclusion, the proposed model enhances understanding of lymphatic filariasis dynamics and informs effective control strategies.

本研究提出了一个数学模型,用于研究淋巴丝虫病的传播模式。该模型考虑了慢性、急性和无症状个体,并整合了关键的控制策略。随机合成数据是通过数值求解稳健生成的,以接近真实世界的情景并包含不确定性。合成数据采用高斯分布,以确保有效性和可靠性。在使用下一代矩阵方法推导出基本和有效的再现数后,利用拉丁超立方采样(LHS)和部分等级相关系数(PRCC)算法来评估对模型输出有重大影响的参数。该研究通过数值模拟,考察了不同人群随时间变化的轨迹,并特别强调了无症状个体在疾病传播中所扮演的角色。为了评估消除疾病的可能性,该研究引入了一系列涉及保护措施、治疗干预和蚊虫控制的策略。这些策略是通过敏感性分析确定的。研究结果表明,同时实施所有控制措施对控制淋巴丝虫病有显著效果。总之,所提出的模型加深了人们对淋巴丝虫病动态的了解,并为有效的控制策略提供了依据。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of wind flow and global warming in the dynamics of prey–predator model 风流和全球变暖对捕食者-捕食者动态模型的影响
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.rico.2024.100424
Ashraf Adnan Thirthar , Shireen Jawad , Salam J. Majeed , Kottakkaran Sooppy Nisar

Prey–predator interaction is among the most crucial aspects of ecology. In this paper, the dynamics of a prey–predator system in which the prey and predator populations experience a birth rate reduction due to global warming and the wind flow effect on them are investigated. The system’s well-posedness before presenting findings about the existence of potential equilibrium points is studied. Conditions under which a different number of interior equilibria exist are also derived here. It is very important to know that when the positive equilibrium point is stable, this reflects positively on the ecosystem, its continuity and persistence. The conditions that have been identified are conditions that preserve the ecosystem from extinction when environmental influences such as global warming and wind speed are present. In addition, the local stability study around all equilibrium points and established the transversality criteria for the occurrence of transcritical bifurcations and Hopf bifurcations is conducted. The existence of different equilibrium points numerically by altering the prey’s global warming effect is illustrated , also showcasing the model’s dynamic character from a mathematical perspective. For significant amounts of global warming, its notice that the system exhibits periodic behavior. Thus, ecologists can approximate the parameters necessary to investigate and obtain such crucial findings regarding nonlinear systems with the aid of the current study.

猎物与捕食者之间的相互作用是生态学最重要的内容之一。本文研究了一个猎物-捕食者系统的动力学,在该系统中,猎物和捕食者种群因全球变暖而导致出生率下降,风流也会对它们产生影响。在提出潜在平衡点存在的结论之前,研究了该系统的良好假设性。这里还得出了存在不同数量内部平衡点的条件。重要的是,当正平衡点稳定时,这对生态系统、其连续性和持久性都有积极的影响。已确定的条件是,当全球变暖和风速等环境影响因素存在时,生态系统免于灭绝的条件。此外,还围绕所有平衡点进行了局部稳定性研究,并建立了发生跨临界分岔和霍普夫分岔的横向性标准。通过改变猎物的全球变暖效应,在数值上说明了不同平衡点的存在,同时从数学角度展示了模型的动态特性。对于大量的全球变暖,我们注意到该系统表现出周期性行为。因此,生态学家可以借助当前的研究,近似地计算必要的参数,以研究并获得有关非线性系统的重要发现。
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引用次数: 0
Cyber security attack recognition on cloud computing networks based on graph convolutional neural network and graphsage models 基于图卷积神经网络和图模型的云计算网络网络安全攻击识别
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2024-04-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.rico.2024.100423
Fargana Abdullayeva, Suleyman Suleymanzade

In this paper, the modeling of the network attacks of cloud computing through Graph Neural Networks is considered. Based on structural features and relationships between neighboring nodes and the edges of the cloud ecosystem a cyberattack detection method is proposed. A simulation dataset is created on the CSE-CIC-IDS2018 dataset to train and test the proposed graph neural network based models. In a comparative analysis of the suggested method with the existing one superior results are obtained from the model constructed on the GraphSAGE algorithm. Thus in the recognition of dataset samples, the model obtained a value of 0.97739 according to the accuracy metric. The values obtained by the algorithm on precision, recall, and F1-score metrics were also higher compared to the Graph Convolutional Neural Network model.

本文考虑通过图神经网络对云计算的网络攻击进行建模。基于云生态系统的结构特征以及相邻节点和边缘之间的关系,提出了一种网络攻击检测方法。在 CSE-CIC-IDS2018 数据集上创建了一个模拟数据集,用于训练和测试所提出的基于图神经网络的模型。在建议方法与现有方法的比较分析中,基于 GraphSAGE 算法构建的模型获得了更优的结果。因此,在识别数据集样本时,根据准确度指标,模型获得了 0.97739 的值。与图形卷积神经网络模型相比,该算法在精确度、召回率和 F1 分数指标上获得的值也更高。
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引用次数: 0
New investigation on controllability of sobolev-type Volterra-Fredholm functional integro-differential equation with non-local condition 带非局部条件的 Sobolev 型 Volterra-Fredholm 函数积分微分方程可控性新探
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2024-04-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.rico.2024.100418
E. Thilakraj , K. Kaliraj , C. Ravichandran , M. Manjula

In this article, we analyse the controllability criteria on sobolev-type Volterra-Fredholm functional Integro-differential Equations (SVFIDE) via Atangana–Baleanu Caputo (ABC) derivative. The primary outcomes was established by utlising the concepts on the measure of noncompactness, semigroup theory, the contraction principle and Darbo fixed point technique with nonlocal condition. An illustrative example to demonstrate the analytical result is provided at the end.

本文通过阿坦加纳-巴莱亚努-卡普托(Atangana-Baleanu Caputo,ABC)导数分析了索波列夫型伏特拉-弗雷德霍姆函数积分微分方程(SVFIDE)的可控性标准。主要成果是利用非紧凑性度量、半群理论、收缩原理和具有非局部条件的 Darbo 定点技术等概念建立起来的。最后还提供了一个示例来演示分析结果。
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引用次数: 0
Efficient fuzzy multi-criteria decision-making for optimal college location selection: A comparative study of min–max fuzzy TOPSIS approach 高校最佳选址的高效模糊多标准决策:最小-最大模糊 TOPSIS 方法的比较研究
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2024-04-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.rico.2024.100422
Diptirekha Sahoo , Prashanta Kumar Parida , Bibudhendu Pati

Ranking fuzzy values is often essential in fuzzy multi-criteria decision-making (FMCDM) systems since it is established on the comparison of hazy data pairs, even though the comparison needs temporal complexity. Then to provide a fuzzy MCDM approach under min–max operations for avoiding the fuzzy comparison. By using fuzzy TOPSIS’s min and max operations, the suggested method produces two positive and negative ideal solutions of each alternative. Here, before discussing the effectiveness of the matrices between the alternatives, first to analyze the weighted strength and weakness indices from both positive and negative indices. The results of the method have been described using a straightforward case study of a proper location for creating a college. The best location can be identified using this method based on various criteria. The outcomes are also compared with the suggested method for its effectiveness. Additionally, this problem analyzes the fuzzy TOPSIS approach in an interval-valued number for greater efficiency.

在模糊多标准决策(FMCDM)系统中,模糊值排序通常是必不可少的,因为它是建立在朦胧数据对的比较之上的,尽管这种比较需要时间上的复杂性。因此,为了避免模糊比较,提供一种最小-最大运算下的模糊多标准决策方法。通过使用模糊 TOPSIS 的最小值和最大值运算,建议的方法为每个备选方案生成了正负两个理想解。在此,在讨论备选方案之间矩阵的有效性之前,首先要分析正负两个指数的加权强弱指数。该方法的结果已通过一个关于创建一所大学的合适地点的直接案例研究进行了描述。使用这种方法可以根据各种标准确定最佳地点。还将结果与建议的方法进行了比较,以确定其有效性。此外,本问题还分析了区间值数字中的模糊 TOPSIS 方法,以提高效率。
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引用次数: 0
Mathematical modelling and bifurcation analysis of an eco-epidemiological system with multiple functional responses subjected to Allee effect and competition 受阿利效应和竞争影响的具有多种功能反应的生态流行病学系统的数学建模和分岔分析
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2024-04-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.rico.2024.100421
Samim Akhtar, Nurul Huda Gazi, Sahabuddin Sarwardi

This article deals with an eco-epidemiological predator–prey model system with Allee effect on prey species and different functional responses. The growth function of the prey species is considered to follow Allee effect as this effect has an important and fundamental aspect on population growth. In this study we explore stability behaviour of the system along with bifurcation properties. It is also shown that the system experiences chaotic behaviour via period-doubling bifurcation as the parameters pass through some threshold values. The study’s validity is authenticated through numerical simulations using appropriate tools. The numerical simulations reveal that the system exhibits diverse dynamic behaviours with slight variations in system parameters.

本文论述的是一个生态流行病学捕食者-猎物模型系统,其中猎物物种具有阿利效应和不同的功能反应。猎物物种的增长函数被认为是遵循阿利效应的,因为这种效应对种群增长有着重要而根本的影响。在这项研究中,我们探讨了该系统的稳定性行为和分岔特性。研究还表明,当参数通过某些临界值时,系统会出现周期加倍分岔的混沌行为。研究的有效性通过使用适当工具进行的数值模拟得到验证。数值模拟显示,系统参数稍有变化,系统就会表现出多种动态行为。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal treatment and stochastic stability on a fractional-order epidemic model incorporating media awareness 包含媒体意识的分数阶流行病模型的优化处理和随机稳定性
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2024-04-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.rico.2024.100419
Snehasis Barman , Soovoojeet Jana , Suvankar Majee , Tapan Kumar Kar

Infectious diseases have become a severe concern in our society in recent times. In this respect, conducting a qualitative investigation of infectious disease systems is very crucial. Nowadays, developing a mathematical model and its analysis for disease control has been very popular. Our present study has formulated a SIR-type epidemic model by considering a saturated incidence function with media impact. To account for the influence of memory, we have modified the model by employing a system of fractional-order differential equations of Caputo’s notion. We have determined all the system equilibrium points and discussed their stability criteria based on the basic reproduction number (R0) as the threshold parameter. It is observed that for the threshold R0<1, disease-free equilibrium becomes both locally and globally asymptotically stable. A transcritical bifurcation occurs at the threshold R0=1. Further, as the threshold R0 exceeds unity, the endemic equilibrium becomes asymptotically stable. A fractional-order optimal control problem with treatment as the control parameter is developed to reduce the impact of disease. Using Pontryagin’s Maximum Principle yields a theoretical and numerical solution to the fractional order optimal control problem. It is observed that both the media and memory effect dramatically reduces infection rates. Considering environmental variations, the stochastic stability of the endemic equilibrium point has also been studied. Sensitivity analysis is carried out to comprehend how the parameters impact the threshold value (R0). Finally, extensive numerical simulations are performed to demonstrate our theoretical examination.

近来,传染病已成为社会严重关切的问题。因此,对传染病系统进行定性研究非常重要。如今,建立数学模型并对其进行分析以进行疾病控制已非常流行。本研究通过考虑具有媒体影响的饱和发病率函数,建立了一个 SIR 型流行病模型。为了考虑记忆的影响,我们对模型进行了修改,采用了卡普托概念的分数阶微分方程系统。我们确定了所有的系统平衡点,并根据作为阈值参数的基本繁殖数(R0)讨论了它们的稳定性标准。结果表明,在临界值 R0<1 时,无病平衡在局部和全局上都是渐近稳定的。在阈值 R0=1 时,会出现跨临界分岔。此外,当临界值 R0 超过 1 时,地方病均衡变得渐近稳定。为了减少疾病的影响,我们提出了一个以治疗为控制参数的分数阶最优控制问题。利用庞特里亚金最大值原理,得到了分数阶最优控制问题的理论和数值解。据观察,介质效应和记忆效应都能显著降低感染率。考虑到环境变化,还研究了流行平衡点的随机稳定性。还进行了敏感性分析,以了解参数如何影响阈值 (R0)。最后,还进行了大量的数值模拟,以证明我们的理论研究。
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引用次数: 0
Intelligent Solar PV Grid Connected and Standalone UPQC for EV Charging Station Load 用于电动汽车充电站负载的智能太阳能光伏并网和独立式 UPQC
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.rico.2024.100420
Bomma Shwetha , G. Suresh Babu , G. Mallesham

The insertion of renewable energy sources into the grid, as well as the development of power electronics technology to regulate loads that are not linear, had an impact on power quality (PQ). This study focuses on the PQ enhancement of grid-connected and standalone solar PV systems (SPVS) with battery energy storage device (BESD) for the Electric vehicle (EV) charging station (EVCS) load in addition to the local load. Here, a hybrid control strategy that uses both the superior qualities of the sliding mode controller (SMC) and the fuzzy logic controller (FLC) is suggested for the unified power quality conditioner (UPQC's) shunt filter. It's major goal is to achieve steady DC capacitance voltage (SVDC) during load (like EVCS, non linear balanced/unbalanced etc.) and irradiation variations, diminish of total harmonic distortion (THD) in source current and load voltage, and mitigate sag, swell disturbances, and source voltage unbalances. The created model's performance is assessed using two scenarios (grid and island) under four case studies with varying combinations of loads and grid voltage circumstances. However, to establish the superiority of the proposed technology, comparative research with standard technologies such as proportional integral controller (PIC) and SMC controllers is required. THD is reduced by the proposed method to 2.25 %, 2.36 %, and 1.71 %, It is inferior to the current approaches found in the survey.

可再生能源并入电网以及用于调节非线性负载的电力电子技术的发展对电能质量(PQ)产生了影响。本研究的重点是并网太阳能光伏系统(SPVS)和独立太阳能光伏系统(SPVS)的电能质量改进,除了本地负载外,还包括电动汽车(EV)充电站(EVCS)负载的电池储能装置(BESD)。在此,针对统一电能质量调节器(UPQC)并联滤波器提出了一种混合控制策略,该策略同时使用了滑动模式控制器(SMC)和模糊逻辑控制器(FLC)的卓越品质。其主要目标是在负载(如 EVCS、非线性平衡/不平衡等)和辐照变化时实现稳定的直流电容电压 (SVDC),降低源电流和负载电压中的总谐波失真 (THD),缓解下垂、膨胀干扰和源电压不平衡。在负载和电网电压情况各不相同的四个案例研究中,使用两种情景(电网和岛屿)对所创建模型的性能进行了评估。不过,要确定所提技术的优越性,还需要与比例积分控制器 (PIC) 和 SMC 控制器等标准技术进行比较研究。建议的方法将总谐波失真(THD)降至 2.25%、2.36% 和 1.71%,低于调查中发现的现有方法。
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引用次数: 0
Controlled gradient descent: A control theoretical perspective for optimization 受控梯度下降:优化的控制理论视角
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2024-03-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.rico.2024.100417
Revati Gunjal, Syed Shadab Nayyer, S.R. Wagh, N.M. Singh

The Gradient Descent (GD) paradigm is a foundational principle of modern optimization algorithms. The GD algorithm and its variants, including accelerated optimization algorithms, geodesic optimization, natural gradient, and contraction-based optimization, to name a few, are used in machine learning and the system and control domain. Here, we proposed a new algorithm based on the control theoretical perspective, labeled as the Controlled Gradient Descent (CGD). Specifically, this approach overcomes the challenges of the abovementioned algorithms, which rely on the choice of a suitable geometric structure, particularly in machine learning. The proposed CGD approach visualizes the optimization as a Manifold Stabilization Problem (MSP) through the notion of an invariant manifold and its attractivity. The CGD approach leads to an exponential contraction of trajectories under the influence of a pseudo-Riemannian metric generated through the control procedure as an additional outcome. The efficacy of the CGD is demonstrated with various test objective functions like the benchmark Rosenbrock function, objective function with a lack of flatness, and semi-contracting objective functions often encountered in machine learning applications.

梯度下降(GD)范式是现代优化算法的基本原理。GD 算法及其变体,包括加速优化算法、大地优化、自然梯度和基于收缩的优化等,被广泛应用于机器学习、系统和控制领域。在这里,我们提出了一种基于控制理论视角的新算法,即受控梯度下降算法(CGD)。具体来说,这种方法克服了上述算法依赖于选择合适几何结构的难题,尤其是在机器学习领域。所提出的 CGD 方法通过不变流形及其吸引力的概念,将优化可视化为流形稳定问题(MSP)。CGD 方法会导致轨迹在通过控制程序生成的伪黎曼度量的影响下呈指数级收缩,这是一种额外的结果。通过各种测试目标函数,如基准罗森布洛克函数、缺乏平坦性的目标函数以及机器学习应用中经常遇到的半收缩目标函数,证明了 CGD 的功效。
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing dynamics and stability of single delay differential equations for the dengue epidemic model 分析登革热流行病模型单延迟微分方程的动力学和稳定性
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2024-03-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.rico.2024.100415
A. Venkatesh , M. Prakash Raj , B. Baranidharan

This paper introduces a mathematical model that simulates the transmission of the dengue virus in a population over time. The model takes into account aspects such as delays in transmission, the impact of inhibitory effects, the loss of immunity, and the presence of partial immunity. The model has been verified to ensure the positivity and boundedness. The basic reproduction number R0 of the model is derived using the advanced next-generation matrix approach. An analysis is conducted on the stability criteria of the model, and equilibrium points are investigated. Under appropriate circumstances, it was shown that there is local stability in both the virus-free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium points when there is a delay. Analyzing the global asymptotic stability of equilibrium points is done by using the appropriate Lyapunov function. In addition, the model exhibits a backward bifurcation, in which the virus-free equilibrium coexists with a stable endemic equilibrium. By using a sensitivity analysis technique, it has been shown that some factors have a substantial influence on the behavior of the model. The research adeptly elucidates the ramifications of its results by effortlessly validating theoretical concepts with numerical examples and simulations. Furthermore, our research revealed that augmenting the rate of inhibition on infected vectors and people leads to a reduction in the equilibrium point, suggesting the presence of an endemic state.

本文介绍了一种模拟登革热病毒随时间在人群中传播的数学模型。该模型考虑到了传播延迟、抑制效应的影响、免疫力丧失和部分免疫力的存在等方面。该模型已经过验证,以确保其正向性和有界性。利用先进的新一代矩阵方法推导出了模型的基本繁殖数 R0。对模型的稳定性标准进行了分析,并研究了平衡点。结果表明,在适当的情况下,当存在延迟时,无病毒均衡点和流行均衡点都具有局部稳定性。利用适当的 Lyapunov 函数分析了平衡点的全局渐进稳定性。此外,模型还出现了反向分叉,即无病毒均衡与稳定的地方病均衡并存。通过使用敏感性分析技术,研究表明某些因素对模型的行为有重大影响。研究通过数字实例和模拟验证了理论概念,从而巧妙地阐明了研究结果的影响。此外,我们的研究还发现,提高对受感染病媒和人群的抑制率会导致平衡点降低,这表明存在流行状态。
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引用次数: 0
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Results in Control and Optimization
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