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Beyond Einstein's visions 超越爱因斯坦的视野
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2017-08-16 DOI: 10.1504/IJFIP.2017.10006858
F. Moser
In what way are Einstein's visions, and the accompanying research results of recent decades, relevant for us today? In essence, they prove without doubt that this world is of an entirely different nature than has so far been thought. Until today, a materialistic-positivistic paradigm characterised by 'Chance and Necessity' has been, and to a large degree still is, prevalent in this world. That paradigm means: Man evolved purely by chance from out of nowhere, and only survived out of necessity - the law of survival of the fittest. In contrast to these views, research has proved what Einstein already foresaw, that 'everything is nothing', i.e. matter does not exist and everything there is, is mind or spirit. This, then, is the essence of our being, and Einstein has been proven correct. Research has further substantiated that time is an illusion and the basis of our reality is therefore timelessness. From these basic understandings, it follows that we are in every respect the creators of our own destiny and that in doing injustice to others, we harm only ourselves. All our foresight, and what we think and do in innovation, is therefore, in every respect and always, governed by this basic choice.
爱因斯坦的愿景,以及近几十年来伴随而来的研究成果,在哪些方面与今天的我们相关?从本质上讲,它们毫无疑问地证明,这个世界的性质与迄今为止人们所认为的完全不同。直到今天,以“偶然性和必然性”为特征的唯物实证主义范式在这个世界上一直盛行,并且在很大程度上仍然盛行。这种范式意味着:人类完全是偶然地从哪里进化出来的,只有在必要的情况下才能生存下来——适者生存的法则。与这些观点相反,研究已经证明了爱因斯坦的预言,即“一切皆无”,即物质不存在,存在的一切都是思想或精神。因此,这就是我们存在的本质,爱因斯坦已被证明是正确的。研究进一步证实,时间是一种幻觉,因此我们的现实的基础是永恒的。根据这些基本的理解,我们可以得出结论,无论从哪个方面来说,我们都是自己命运的创造者,如果我们不公正地对待别人,我们只伤害了自己。因此,我们所有的远见卓识,以及我们在创新方面的思考和行动,在各个方面都始终受到这个基本选择的支配。
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引用次数: 1
The Global Change Data Base pictures global dynamics 全球变化数据库描绘了全球动态
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2017-08-16 DOI: 10.1504/IJFIP.2017.10006864
G. Ahamer
The purpose of this article is to combine prospective and didactic approaches with a sound and detailed database describing global trends, including mainly energy and technologies. It suggests how internationally accepted data sources can trigger hypothesis building and facilitate their discussion processes while learning. Current themes such as globalisation and global change are first structured along easy formulaic approaches and then described by a tool based on information technology, namely the author's Global Change Data Base. Graphically oriented representations of the complex data structure allow students to develop and test hypotheses on globalisation and future trends that quantitatively support well-informed dialogue and consensus finding in class. The meaning of 'societal targets' is quantitatively defined by the value of the second derivative of a time series. Experience shows that time is often too short during traditional courses; therefore, interdisciplinary seminars are best suitable for the suggested learning strategy. The density of social interaction increases visibly when offering both information and communication technology tools and manageable data sources including analytical tools. Game-based learning (as suggested in this article) attracts more self-generated interest, compassion and perseverance in students than frontal teaching. As learning is boosted by real-world interaction and peer communication, this and similar learning strategies look promising.
本文的目的是将前瞻性和说教性方法与描述全球趋势(主要包括能源和技术)的健全和详细的数据库结合起来。它提出了国际公认的数据源如何能够触发假设构建并促进他们在学习过程中的讨论过程。当前的主题,如全球化和全球变化,首先按照简单的公式化方法构建,然后通过基于信息技术的工具进行描述,即作者的全球变化数据库。复杂数据结构的图形化表示允许学生发展和测试关于全球化和未来趋势的假设,这些假设在数量上支持课堂上有充分信息的对话和共识。“社会目标”的含义是通过时间序列的二阶导数的值来定量定义的。经验表明,传统课程的时间往往太短;因此,跨学科研讨会最适合建议的学习策略。当提供信息和通信技术工具以及包括分析工具在内的可管理数据源时,社会互动的密度明显增加。基于游戏的学习(如文章所述)比正面教学更能吸引学生自发的兴趣、同情心和毅力。由于现实世界的互动和同伴交流促进了学习,这种学习策略和类似的学习策略看起来很有前途。
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引用次数: 1
A multi-perspective view on global economic and ecological system 全球经济与生态系统的多重视角
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2017-08-16 DOI: 10.1504/IJFIP.2017.10006869
Martina Pfarrhofer
Interdisciplinary thinking is essential in order to find solutions to many challenges of our time and avoid a lack of foresight. This article points out the importance of thinking in multiple perspectives and shows one example of how different fields and theories can be combined. This leads to conclusions, which cannot be neglected for understanding our world and should be considered for further developments. The example brings together the global economic system and the ecological system by using basic principles of Niklas Luhmann's systems theory. Although being considered as differentiated systems they influence each other. Contrasting developments and differing fundamental characteristics lead to discrepancies, which endanger many organisms and can only be resolved if they are approached on a broad and interdisciplinary basis.
为了找到解决我们这个时代许多挑战的办法并避免缺乏远见,跨学科思维是必不可少的。本文指出了从多个角度思考的重要性,并举例说明了如何将不同的领域和理论结合起来。这导致了一些结论,这些结论对于理解我们的世界来说是不可忽视的,对于进一步的发展应该加以考虑。该例子利用Niklas Luhmann系统理论的基本原理,将全球经济系统和生态系统结合在一起。尽管被认为是有区别的系统,但它们相互影响。不同的发展和不同的基本特征会导致差异,这会危及许多生物体,只有在广泛和跨学科的基础上加以解决。
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引用次数: 0
Demonstration projects in transition processes to sustainable energy and transport 向可持续能源和运输过渡过程中的示范项目
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2016-08-17 DOI: 10.1504/IJFIP.2016.078370
Antje Klitkou
In this paper, an analysis was made of the role of public support schemes funding demonstration, test and trial activities for sustainable development in energy and road transport. This paper presents the analysis of the effects of demonstration projects in transition processes to sustainable energy and transport in the Scandinavian countries on the development of knowledge networks and on interaction with users. The main purpose of this paper is: (1) to analyse the role of publically funded demonstration projects concerning changes in knowledge networks of project participants over time; (2) analysing policy priorities in collaboration by the public funding programmes. The paper addresses following research questions: (1) How successful are Scandinavian demonstration projects in contributing to the development of knowledge networks for sustainable energy and transport transitions? (2) Do Scandinavian demonstration programmes prioritise learning in international knowledge networks and user involvement? (3) How have demonstration projects contributed to transition processes?
本文分析了公共支助计划资助示范、测试和试验活动对能源和公路运输可持续发展的作用。本文分析了斯堪的纳维亚国家向可持续能源和交通过渡过程中的示范项目对知识网络发展和与用户互动的影响。本文的主要目的是:(1)分析公共资助示范项目对项目参与者知识网络随时间变化的影响;(2)分析公共资助项目合作的政策重点。本文解决了以下研究问题:(1)斯堪的纳维亚示范项目在促进可持续能源和交通转型的知识网络发展方面取得了多大的成功?(2)斯堪的纳维亚示范项目是否优先考虑国际知识网络中的学习和用户参与?(3)示范项目如何促进转型过程?
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引用次数: 0
Strategic scenario construction made easy 战略场景构建变得容易
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2016-08-17 DOI: 10.1504/IJFIP.2016.078349
Henrik Johannsen Duus
Scenario planning is a well-known way to develop corporate strategy by creating multiple images of alternative futures. Yet although scenario planning grew from very hands-on strategy development efforts in the military and from operations research dedicated to solving practical problems, the use of scenarios in business has, in many cases, remained a cumbersome affair. Very often a large group of consultants, employees and staff is involved in the development of scenarios and strategies, thus making the whole process expensive in terms of time, money and human resources. In response, this article uses insights from the area of strategic forecasting (of which scenario planning is a proper subset) and experiences gained from a recent course in that area to develop a simpler, more direct, hands-on method for scenario construction and to provide several ideas for scenario construction that can be used by a broader circle of firms.
情景规划是一种众所周知的制定公司战略的方法,它通过创造多种不同的未来图景来实现。然而,尽管情景规划是从军事中非常实际的战略发展努力和致力于解决实际问题的运筹学中发展起来的,但在许多情况下,在商业中使用情景仍然是一件繁琐的事情。经常有一大群顾问、雇员和工作人员参与方案和战略的制定,从而使整个过程在时间、金钱和人力资源方面都很昂贵。作为回应,本文利用战略预测领域的见解(其中情景规划是一个适当的子集)和从该领域最近的课程中获得的经验,开发出一种更简单、更直接、更实际的情景构建方法,并为情景构建提供了一些可供更广泛的公司使用的想法。
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引用次数: 3
Using transition management concepts for the evaluation of intersecting policy domains ('grand challenges'): the case of Swedish, Norwegian and UK biofuel policy 使用过渡管理概念评估交叉政策领域(“重大挑战”):瑞典、挪威和英国生物燃料政策的案例
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2016-08-17 DOI: 10.1504/IJFIP.2016.078326
P. Upham, Antje Klitkou, D. S. Olsen
The notion of 'grand challenges' (GC) is increasingly used in international research and innovation discourse, but risks being used rhetorically to justify business as usual policy approaches. We draw on a study that maps the characteristics of policy problems and proposals referred to in association with 'GC', showing how transition management fits well as a response to these characteristics. We then use the transition management perspective to evaluate prevailing research and innovation policy for an exemplar policy sector (biofuels), in countries with differing policy histories for that sector (the UK, Norway and Sweden). We argue that transition management functions well as a means of highlighting not only policy shortcomings in a sector, but also policy directions appropriate to the scale of GC.
“大挑战”(GC)的概念越来越多地用于国际研究和创新话语中,但有可能被用来为“商业一如既往”的政策方法辩护。我们借鉴了一项研究,该研究绘制了与“GC”相关的政策问题和建议的特征,展示了过渡管理如何很好地适应这些特征。然后,我们使用过渡管理的角度来评估典型政策部门(生物燃料)的现行研究和创新政策,在该部门具有不同政策历史的国家(英国,挪威和瑞典)。我们认为,转型管理不仅可以突出部门的政策缺陷,还可以突出适合GC规模的政策方向。
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引用次数: 8
Grand Challenges in US science policy attempt policy innovation 美国科学政策面临的重大挑战是政策创新的尝试
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2016-08-17 DOI: 10.1504/IJFIP.2016.078379
D. Hicks
This paper investigates the historical development of the Grand Challenges concept in US science policy. The concept originated in advocacy for funding for high-performance computing and was enshrined in the High-Performance Computing Act of 1991. The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation's Grand Challenges in Global Health programme marked a second milestone in the application of the concept to US science funding. The National Academy of Engineering's Grand Challenges in Engineering followed in 2008. Most recently, the White House has pursued programmes under the Grand Challenges rubric. The history of these varied initiatives spanning 40 years is examined here to identify core elements and continuity as well as to explore the relationship between innovation and tradition in US Science Policy.
本文考察了美国科学政策中“大挑战”概念的历史发展。这个概念起源于为高性能计算提供资金的倡议,并被写入1991年的《高性能计算法案》。比尔和梅林达·盖茨基金会的“全球卫生大挑战”规划标志着将这一概念应用于美国科学资助的第二个里程碑。2008年,美国国家工程院发起了“工程大挑战”。最近,白宫在“大挑战”的标题下推行了一些项目。本文考察了这些跨越40年的不同举措的历史,以确定核心要素和连续性,并探索美国科学政策中创新与传统之间的关系。
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引用次数: 29
Competing technological innovation systems as a challenge for new mission orientation - insights from the German Energiewende 竞争的技术创新系统是对新任务定位的挑战——来自德国能源转型的见解
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2016-08-17 DOI: 10.1504/IJFIP.2016.078382
C. Dreher, M. Kovác, Carsten Schwäbe
In the past decade, a major feature of science, technology and innovation (STI) policy has been the widespread adoption of a new mission-oriented approach based on 'grand challenges'. The concept reflects the idea of putting societal challenges into the centre of contemporary STI policy choice and design. However, little is known about how this new orientation will challenge today's policy practices and which policy mechanisms will be needed to support the fulfilment of such a goal. In this article we interpret the 'grand challenges' approach as a competition between different but dependent technological innovation systems. Out of this perspective we present an analysis of the current German energy revolution (Energiewende) and explore the significance of interacting and competing technological innovation systems (TIS) for goal-oriented policies. Building on the functional approach for studying TIS and insights from the time-strategic approach, we demonstrate that the governance of competing TIS leads to specific new challenges for STI policy. Especially the monitoring of technological development stages, reflexive policies and dynamic instrument adjustments are newly becoming necessary and highly dynamic policy elements.
在过去十年中,科学、技术和创新(STI)政策的一个主要特征是广泛采用了基于“重大挑战”的以任务为导向的新方法。这一概念反映了将社会挑战置于当代科技创新政策选择和设计中心的想法。然而,对于这一新方向将如何挑战目前的政策做法以及需要哪些政策机制来支持实现这一目标,人们知之甚少。在本文中,我们将“大挑战”方法解释为不同但依赖的技术创新系统之间的竞争。从这个角度出发,我们对当前的德国能源革命(Energiewende)进行了分析,并探讨了相互作用和竞争的技术创新系统(TIS)对目标导向政策的意义。基于研究科技创新的功能方法和时间战略方法的见解,我们证明了竞争性科技创新的治理为科技创新政策带来了具体的新挑战。特别是对技术发展阶段的监测、反射性政策和动态的工具调整最近成为必要和高度动态的政策要素。
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引用次数: 4
Emergence of societal challenges-based innovation policies in market-based innovation systems: lessons from Estonia 基于市场的创新体系中基于社会挑战的创新政策的出现:来自爱沙尼亚的经验教训
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2016-08-17 DOI: 10.1504/IJFIP.2016.078366
Erkki Karo, Veiko Lember
The societal challenges-based approach to science, technology and innovation (STI) policy is currently one of the key ways by which the EU seeks to break away from the linear and science-push driven policy thinking. This seems to raise complex challenges of policy legitimisation, rationalisation and institutionalisation especially in the countries that have tried to build market-based innovation systems. Based on the case study of Estonia, we show that in addition to the development of new policy mixes and coordination instruments, such policy shift may also require the re-thinking of core STI policy rationales and legitimisation practices, and these may have to be further supported by experimental policy approaches and institutional innovations for changing the habits and routines of key STI system actors.
基于社会挑战的科学、技术和创新(STI)政策方法是目前欧盟寻求摆脱线性和科学推动驱动的政策思维的关键途径之一。这似乎提出了政策合法化、合理化和制度化的复杂挑战,尤其是在那些试图建立基于市场的创新体系的国家。基于爱沙尼亚的案例研究,我们表明,除了制定新的政策组合和协调工具外,这种政策转变还可能需要重新思考核心科技创新政策的基本原理和合法化实践,而这些可能必须得到实验性政策方法和制度创新的进一步支持,以改变科技创新系统关键参与者的习惯和惯例。
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引用次数: 9
The digital and natural worlds: crisis or challenge? 数字世界与自然世界:危机还是挑战?
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2016-08-17 DOI: 10.1504/IJFIP.2016.078377
D. Loveridge
The digital world appeared 80 years ago. Little attention was paid to it until WW II when code breaking became of paramount importance. The subsequent evolution of the electronics industry was challenge driven typical of a digital world of technical specialists, a situation that existed until the arrival of consumer electronics. The digital world quickly became ubiquitous acquiring an unstoppable momentum, especially once parallel developments in software created the so-called 'killer' applications. The digital worlds' ubiquitous penetration of human societies raised the spectre of a crisis between existence and extinction, an ever-present phenomenon throughout human existence. The crisis takes many interconnected forms perceived as a cascade of situations containing many turning points involving multiple and interconnected themes. For this reason the paper suggests that all research be underlain by the notion of a crisis in preference to that of a challenge based on well-defined problem-solving. The digital world will shape all lives well into the future, providing mutual existence in opposition to extinction.
数字世界出现在80年前。直到第二次世界大战,当密码破译变得至关重要时,人们才开始关注它。电子行业随后的发展是由技术专家的数字世界的典型挑战驱动的,这种情况一直存在到消费电子产品的出现。数字世界以不可阻挡的势头迅速变得无处不在,尤其是在软件的并行发展创造了所谓的“杀手级”应用程序之后。数字世界对人类社会的无所不在的渗透,引发了生存与灭绝之间危机的幽灵,这是贯穿人类生存的一种始终存在的现象。危机有许多相互关联的形式,被视为一系列情况,其中包含涉及多个相互关联主题的许多转折点。出于这个原因,本文建议所有的研究都要以危机的概念为基础,而不是基于定义明确的解决问题的挑战。数字世界将很好地塑造未来的所有生命,提供共同生存,反对灭绝。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy
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