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Improving Strategic Decisions in Sequential Games by Exploiting Positional Similarity 利用位置相似性改进序贯博弈中的战略决策
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-04-28 DOI: 10.3390/g14030036
Sabrina Evans, P. Turrini
We study the strategic similarity of game positions in two-player extensive games of perfect information by looking at the structure of their local game trees, with the aim of improving the performance of game-playing agents in detecting forcing continuations. We present a range of measures over the induced game trees and compare them against benchmark problems in chess, observing a promising level of accuracy in matching up trap states. Our results can be applied to chess-like interactions where forcing moves play a role, such as those arising in bargaining and negotiation.
通过观察局部博弈树的结构,研究了完全信息的二人扩展博弈中博弈位置的策略相似度,以提高博弈智能体检测强迫延续的性能。我们提出了一系列对诱导博弈树的度量,并将它们与国际象棋中的基准问题进行比较,观察到匹配陷阱状态的准确度有希望的水平。我们的研究结果可以应用于类似国际象棋的互动,其中强迫移动发挥作用,例如在讨价还价和谈判中产生的作用。
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引用次数: 0
On Some Connections between Negotiating while Fighting and Bargaining between a Buyer and Seller 论买卖双方在战斗中谈判与讨价还价之间的联系
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-04-28 DOI: 10.3390/g14030039
Adam Meirowitz
We point out an equivalence between a class of games in which players negotiate while fighting and a class of games in which a buyer and seller negotiate over terms. Importantly and perhaps ironically, bargaining before fighting is strategically distinct from bargaining before a change of ownership but bargaining while fighting is equivalent to bargaining before a change of ownership. These connections and intuition from models of bilateral trade help shed light on two mechanisms for learning while frighting: inference based on observing strategic choices and information leakage on the battlefield. Debates on the relative importance of these to mechanism are addressed; some subtle clarifications to extant arguments are provided. Moreover, the importance of learning hard information from the battlefield is connected to work on Coasian Dynamics with information leakage and avenuse for future work relying on advances in behavioral theory are sketched out.
我们指出了一类玩家在战斗中进行协商的游戏与一类买卖双方就条款进行协商的游戏之间的等价性。重要的是,也许具有讽刺意味的是,战斗前的讨价还价在战略上不同于改变所有权之前的讨价还价,但战斗时的讨价还价相当于改变所有权之前的讨价还价。双边贸易模型的这些联系和直觉有助于揭示两种边学边学的机制:基于观察战略选择的推理和战场上的信息泄露。讨论了这些因素对机制的相对重要性;对现存的论点作了一些微妙的澄清。此外,从战场上学习硬信息的重要性与具有信息泄漏的科斯动力学的工作联系起来,并概述了依赖于行为理论进展的未来工作的途径。
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引用次数: 0
The Role of the Status-Quo in Dynamic Bargaining 现状在动态谈判中的作用
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-04-28 DOI: 10.3390/g14030035
Francesca Flamini
We analyze a dynamic bargaining game where parties can agree to implement a policy change, which is costly (beneficial) in the short-run but beneficial (costly) in the long-run. When the status-quo is endogenized (at least in some components), we show that the more farsighted party can induce their rival to accept the short-run costs of policy changes designed to generate benefits in the long-run. This is more common when players’ asymmetries are less pronounced, the status-quo is fully endogenized and the state depreciates more quickly.
我们分析了一个动态的讨价还价游戏,各方可以同意实施政策变化,这在短期内是昂贵的(有益的),但在长期内是有益的(昂贵的)。当现状是内生的(至少在某些方面),我们表明,更有远见的政党可以促使他们的竞争对手接受旨在产生长期利益的政策变化的短期成本。当参与者的不对称性不那么明显,现状完全内生,国家贬值更快时,这种情况更为常见。
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引用次数: 0
Blockchain-Based Dispute Resolution: Insights and Challenges 基于区块链的争议解决:洞察与挑战
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-04-28 DOI: 10.3390/g14030034
Yannick Gabuthy
A smart contract can be defined as a computer program, stored on a blockchain, which allows a transaction or an agreement—defined ex-ante—to be self-executed when some conditions are met, and without the need for a central authority to enforce it. Even if this new technology is very promising, it may face a challenge: the codified nature of smart contracts creates new types of disputes that require new mechanisms of dispute resolution, which are precisely based on the blockchain. The aim of this article is to analyze one of these emerging mechanisms, namely Kleros, which is a blockchain-based dispute resolution platform implying crowdsourced jurors whose incentives to make fair decisions are based on game theory. The Kleros case provides also a basis for a broader discussion on the future of the decentralized justice market.
智能合约可以定义为存储在区块链上的计算机程序,它允许在满足某些条件时自动执行交易或协议(预先定义),而不需要中央机构来执行。即使这项新技术非常有前景,它可能面临一个挑战:智能合约的法典化性质产生了新类型的纠纷,需要新的纠纷解决机制,而这些机制正是基于区块链的。本文的目的是分析其中一种新兴机制,即Kleros,这是一个基于区块链的纠纷解决平台,意味着众包陪审员的公平决策动机基于博弈论。克莱罗斯案也为更广泛地讨论去中心化司法市场的未来提供了基础。
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引用次数: 1
A Differential Game for Optimal Water Price Management 最优水价管理的微分博弈
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-04-05 DOI: 10.3390/g14020033
Andrea Caravaggio, L. Cesare, A. Liddo
This article studies a leader–follower differential game with a finite horizon, where a single buyer reacts to the selling price set by an agency (water supplier). The Open-Loop Stackelberg equilibrium is calculated, assuming that the user demand is fully satisfied (that is, the interior solution is considered), and the following different tariff schemes are analyzed: linear scheme, increasing block tariff, and convex tariff. Numerical simulations highlight how tariff convexity and seasonality in buyer’s preferences affect water price and demand, and the dynamics of the basin over time. The study shows that synchrony or asynchrony between basin recharge and buyer cyclical demand can dramatically affect the dynamics and basin levels observed at the end of the time period considered. Additionally, the presence of a large number of fluctuations in buyer preferences affects basin fluctuations, while natural recharge may help in maintaining acceptable levels of future water demands.
本文研究了一个有限视界下的领导者-追随者微分博弈,其中单个买家对代理(供水商)设定的销售价格做出反应。在充分满足用户需求(即考虑内部解)的情况下,计算开环Stackelberg均衡,并分析了以下几种不同的电价方案:线性电价方案、递增块电价方案和凸电价方案。数值模拟强调了买方偏好中的关税凸性和季节性如何影响水价和需求,以及流域随时间的动态。研究表明,流域补给与买方周期性需求之间的同步或非同步可以显著影响所考虑的时间段结束时观察到的动态和流域水平。此外,买方偏好的大量波动影响流域波动,而自然补给可能有助于维持未来可接受的水需求水平。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring the Difficulties in Forming a Coalition Government 衡量组建联合政府的困难
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-03-31 DOI: 10.3390/g14020032
Tobias Hiller
Electoral thresholds in the context of parliamentary elections are an instrument for preventing the fragmentation of parliaments and facilitate the formation of a coalition government. However, the clauses also introduce distortions and modify the equality of electoral votes in an election. In order to decide to what extent these negative effects can be accepted, it is necessary to measure the difficulties in forming a coalition government and to quantify the effects of electoral thresholds on these difficulties. For this issue, we introduce a concept based on cooperative game theory which takes into account the distribution of seats in parliament and coalition statements of parties.
在议会选举的背景下,选举门槛是防止议会分裂和促进组成联合政府的一种工具。然而,这些条款也引入了扭曲和修改选举中选举人票的平等性。为了决定这些负面影响在多大程度上可以被接受,有必要衡量组建联合政府的困难,并量化选举门槛对这些困难的影响。针对这一问题,我们引入了一个基于合作博弈论的概念,考虑了议会席位的分配和政党的联合声明。
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引用次数: 1
Equivalent Modes of Reimbursement in Augmented Contests 增强竞赛中的等价补偿模式
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-03-31 DOI: 10.3390/g14020031
Chen Cohen, Roy Darioshi, S. Nitzan
This article presents an equivalence theorem in the context of Tullock’s augmented lottery contest with external or internal cost reimbursement. Three alternative modes of reimbursement are studied. The equivalence implies that, even though the augmented contest is vulnerable to framing biases, it is strategically neutral.
本文给出了具有外部或内部成本补偿的图洛克增强型彩票竞赛的等价定理。研究了三种可供选择的补偿模式。这种等价性意味着,尽管增强竞争容易受到框架偏见的影响,但它在战略上是中立的。
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引用次数: 0
Robust Satisfaction of Metric Interval Temporal Logic Objectives in Adversarial Environments 对抗环境下度量区间时间逻辑目标的鲁棒满足
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-03-30 DOI: 10.3390/g14020030
Luyao Niu, B. Ramasubramanian, Andrew Clark, R. Poovendran
This paper studies the synthesis of controllers for cyber-physical systems (CPSs) that are required to carry out complex time-sensitive tasks in the presence of an adversary. The time-sensitive task is specified as a formula in the metric interval temporal logic (MITL). CPSs that operate in adversarial environments have typically been abstracted as stochastic games (SGs); however, because traditional SG models do not incorporate a notion of time, they cannot be used in a setting where the objective is time-sensitive. To address this, we introduce durational stochastic games (DSGs). DSGs generalize SGs to incorporate a notion of time and model the adversary’s abilities to tamper with the control input (actuator attack) and manipulate the timing information that is perceived by the CPS (timing attack). We define notions of spatial, temporal, and spatio-temporal robustness to quantify the amounts by which system trajectories under the synthesized policy can be perturbed in space and time without affecting satisfaction of the MITL objective. In the case of an actuator attack, we design computational procedures to synthesize controllers that will satisfy the MITL task along with a guarantee of its robustness. In the presence of a timing attack, we relax the robustness constraint to develop a value iteration-based procedure to compute the CPS policy as a finite-state controller to maximize the probability of satisfying the MITL task. A numerical evaluation of our approach is presented on a signalized traffic network to illustrate our results.
本文研究了在对手存在的情况下执行复杂的时间敏感任务所需的网络物理系统(CPSs)控制器的合成。时间敏感任务被指定为度量间隔时间逻辑(MITL)中的公式。在对抗性环境中操作的CPS通常被抽象为随机游戏(SG);然而,由于传统的SG模型没有包含时间的概念,因此不能在目标对时间敏感的环境中使用。为了解决这个问题,我们引入了持续随机对策(DSG)。DSG将SG概括为包含时间的概念,并对对手篡改控制输入(致动器攻击)和操纵CPS感知的定时信息(定时攻击)的能力进行建模。我们定义了空间、时间和时空鲁棒性的概念,以量化在不影响MITL目标满意度的情况下,在合成策略下系统轨迹在空间和时间上可能受到干扰的量。在执行器攻击的情况下,我们设计计算程序来合成满足MITL任务的控制器,同时保证其鲁棒性。在存在定时攻击的情况下,我们放松了鲁棒性约束,开发了一个基于值迭代的过程,将CPS策略计算为有限状态控制器,以最大限度地提高满足MITL任务的概率。在信号交通网络上对我们的方法进行了数值评估,以说明我们的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Network Externalities and Downstream Collusion under Asymmetric Costs: A Note 非对称成本下的网络外部性与下游合谋
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-03-30 DOI: 10.3390/g14020029
Jen-Yao Lee, Chen-Chia Fan, C. Tsai
This paper considers the collusive stability of downstream competition in a vertical market with network externalities and cost asymmetry. A dynamic collusion game is constructed, and backward induction is employed to solve the subgame perfect Nash equilibrium. We show that larger network externalities lead to less collusive incentive for an inefficient firm, while for an efficient firm, this depends on the efficiency gap. An increase in network externalities will destabilize the downstream collusion when the cost asymmetry is large and network externalities are relatively weak.
本文考虑了具有网络外部性和成本不对称的垂直市场中下游竞争的共谋稳定性。构造了一个动态共谋博弈,并采用后向归纳法求解子博弈的完全纳什均衡。我们发现,较大的网络外部性会导致低效企业的共谋激励减少,而对于高效企业,这取决于效率差距。当成本不对称性较大且网络外部性相对较弱时,网络外部性的增加将破坏下游共谋的稳定。
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引用次数: 0
A Yin and Yang Perspective on the Trust Game: Trust and Reciprocity 信任博弈的阴阳视角:信任与互惠
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-03-23 DOI: 10.3390/g14020028
F. Krueger
Trust and reciprocity are fundamental for the cohesion and stability of human society, as they are essential components of cooperative exchange [...]
信任和互惠是人类社会凝聚力和稳定的基础,因为它们是合作交流的重要组成部分。
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引用次数: 0
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Games
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