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The Political Economy of a Planetary Sunshade 行星遮阳伞的政治经济学
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-03-08 DOI: 10.1080/14777622.2018.1436360
J. Hickman
ABSTRACT Geoengineering proposals are increasingly acknowledged as possible responses to climate change because of the repeated failure of national decision makers to solve the collective action problem of allocating carbon emission reductions at the Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Geoengineering is attractive, the possible moral hazard notwithstanding, because of differences in the economic effects of climate change across countries, which are organized as factions seeking to shift the burden of carbon reductions or to delay response. This article outlines the political economic advantages of a planetary sunshade to reduce the amount of sunlight reaching the Earth. Rather than adopt the more common game theoretic model to describe the relevant international relations, construction of the planetary sunshade is characterized as an auction in which a single spacefaring power completes construction of the megaproject as a global good, comparable to the willingness of the United States to provide the dollar as a global reserve currency, and then determines the average global temperature based upon financial or material contributions from other countries. The willingness to contribute is based upon calculations of preferred average global temperatures.
由于各国决策者在《联合国气候变化框架公约》缔约方大会上屡次未能解决分配碳减排的集体行动问题,地球工程建议越来越被认为是应对气候变化的可能措施。地球工程是有吸引力的,尽管可能存在道德风险,因为各国在气候变化的经济影响方面存在差异,这些差异被组织成寻求转移碳减排负担或延迟响应的派系。这篇文章概述了行星遮阳的政治经济优势,以减少到达地球的阳光量。与其采用更常见的博弈论模型来描述相关的国际关系,行星遮阳伞的建设被描述为一种拍卖,在这种拍卖中,单个航天大国完成了作为全球商品的大型项目的建设,可与美国提供美元作为全球储备货币的意愿相比较,然后根据其他国家的财政或物质贡献来决定全球平均温度。捐款的意愿是基于对首选全球平均温度的计算。
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引用次数: 0
U.S.-China Space Cooperation: Balancing Act between the U.S. Congress and President 美中太空合作:美国国会与总统之间的平衡法案
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-09-02 DOI: 10.1080/14777622.2017.1378962
Vidya Sagar Reddy
ABSTRACT There are a growing number of U.S. space scientists and managers calling for reinitiating cooperation with China in space. It is well-known that investigations of the U.S. Congress into various allegations involving China have resulted in a series of laws curtailing space cooperation between these two countries. By surveying the concurrent political developments within the United States in the 1980s and 1990s, this article attempts to reveal the domestic compulsions that propelled changes in the U.S. space policy towards China. The fundamental impetus is the power struggle and differences between the U.S. president and Congress in their perception of U.S. economic interests and national security in the context of space technology that strained these relations. Recent U.S. presidents who inherited this situation added to the discourse based on their own perceptions about outer space and China. These perceptions either found congruence with the policy of the U.S. Congress or led to finding ways to circumvent its legal restrictions. Based on these developments, it is concluded that the view of the U.S. president has alternated between necessary, desirable, and objectionable on the issue of U.S.-China space cooperation, and the U.S. Congress has thus shifted from supporting to restricting and then legally banning cooperation.
越来越多的美国空间科学家和管理者呼吁重启与中国的空间合作。众所周知,美国国会对涉及中国的各种指控进行调查,导致了一系列限制两国太空合作的法律。通过考察20世纪80年代和90年代美国国内的政治发展,本文试图揭示推动美国对华太空政策变化的国内推动力。根本的推动力是权力斗争,以及美国总统和国会在空间技术背景下对美国经济利益和国家安全的看法上的分歧,这些分歧使这些关系变得紧张。最近几任美国总统继承了这种局面,并根据他们自己对外太空和中国的看法,增加了这种言论。这些看法要么与美国国会的政策一致,要么导致找到规避其法律限制的方法。基于这些发展,我们得出结论,美国总统对美中空间合作的看法在必要、可取和反对之间交替,美国国会也因此从支持转向限制,然后在法律上禁止合作。
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引用次数: 3
North Korean Space Program Legitimization Efforts: Review and Policy Recommendations 朝鲜太空计划合法化的努力:审查和政策建议
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-09-02 DOI: 10.1080/14777622.2017.1378964
Aliaksandr Starun
ABSTRACT With much attention being concentrated on containing North Korean nuclear and ballistic missile programs, the North Korean space program also faces objections from the international community. This article claims that identifying North Korea’s space program developments with its ballistic missile program is unjustified and even undermines the space program’s potential for hastening a successful Korean unification. The goal of the article is to suggest a departure from a current hostile attitude toward the North Korean space program and to make alternative policy recommendations. The first part of the article focuses on a literature review of sources devoted to the North Korean space program, emphasizing the existence of alternative views of it other than the common view of it being a threat to international security. The second part describes efforts made by North Korea on the international and domestic scenes to confirm its space program’s legitimacy and make it more transparent, amidst continuing condemnations and sanctions by the United Nations, concluding with the positive dynamics of North Korean space efforts. The final part is dedicated to possible alternatives to current international policy towards the North Korean space program, underscoring a potentially mutually beneficial cooperation between North Korea and Southeast Asian prospective spacefaring nations. It is claimed that such cooperation might raise the technological level of the North Korean economy and narrow the gap between the two Korean states, offering more possibilities for eventual unification.
随着外界对遏制朝鲜核计划和弹道导弹计划的关注越来越多,朝鲜的太空计划也面临着国际社会的反对。这篇文章声称,将朝鲜的太空计划发展与弹道导弹计划混为一谈是不合理的,甚至破坏了太空计划加速朝鲜半岛成功统一的潜力。这篇文章的目的是建议改变目前对朝鲜太空计划的敌对态度,并提出替代政策建议。文章的第一部分着重于对有关朝鲜太空计划的文献资料进行回顾,强调除了将其视为对国际安全的威胁这一普遍观点之外,还存在其他观点。第二部分描述了在联合国持续的谴责和制裁中,朝鲜在国际和国内舞台上为确认其空间计划的合法性并使其更加透明所做的努力,最后以朝鲜空间努力的积极动态结束。最后一部分专门讨论了当前针对朝鲜太空计划的国际政策的可能替代方案,强调了朝鲜与东南亚潜在航天国家之间潜在的互利合作。有分析认为,这种合作可以提高北韩的经济技术水平,缩小南北之间的差距,为最终实现统一提供更多可能性。
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引用次数: 2
Comparative Perspective of the Brazilian and Indian Space Programs 巴西和印度空间计划的比较
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-09-02 DOI: 10.1080/14777622.2017.1378960
R. C. Ribeiro, Rodolpho Vasconcellos
ABSTRACT In the early 1960s, India and Brazil started developing space capabilities covering three major complementary areas: (1) satellites; (2) launch vehicles; and (3) ground systems. More than 50 years later, India is among the most active and successful spacefaring countries and is developing cost-effective space technologies. On the other hand, Brazil still does not possess a launch system and has put into orbit only small and non-commercial satellites, several of them built with Chinese cooperation and launched on Chinese launch vehicles. The goal of this article is to compare Brazilian and Indian space programs, which present different levels of accomplishments. This analysis contains three elements. The first part discusses the two space programs’ evolutions and their contemporary features. The second part compares the space programs’ models from two observation variables: (1) the state administrative organization; and (2) international cooperation in the space sector. Finally, the third part of the article compares the strengths and challenges of each program, highlighting that an international partnership between Brazil and India in space opens a window of opportunity for Brazil to take part in a much wider range of projects than is possible if funded alone.
在20世纪60年代初,印度和巴西开始发展空间能力,涵盖三个主要互补领域:(1)卫星;(二)运载火箭;(3)地面系统。50多年后,印度是最活跃和最成功的航天国家之一,正在发展具有成本效益的空间技术。另一方面,巴西仍然没有发射系统,只把小型和非商业卫星送入轨道,其中有几颗是与中国合作建造的,用中国的运载火箭发射的。这篇文章的目的是比较巴西和印度的太空计划,它们表现出不同的成就水平。这种分析包含三个要素。第一部分论述了这两个航天项目的演变及其当代特征。第二部分从两个观测变量对空间规划模型进行比较:(1)国家行政机构;(2)空间领域的国际合作。最后,文章的第三部分比较了每个项目的优势和挑战,强调巴西和印度在太空领域的国际伙伴关系为巴西参与更广泛的项目打开了机会之窗,而不是单独资助。
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引用次数: 1
The Brazilian Space Industry: Geostationary Satellite of Defense and Strategic Communication Program 巴西空间工业:地球同步卫星防御和战略通信计划
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-09-02 DOI: 10.1080/14777622.2017.1381827
F. Barcellos
ABSTRACT Autonomy in satellite communications is a major defense issue for peripheral countries, a problem increased by the difficulties in investing in the construction, launching, and operation of satellite platforms. Indeed, the objective of the present article is to evaluate the Geostationary Satellite of the Defense and Strategic Communication Program as a starting point for the Brazilian space industry, a subsector of the aerospace industry. Thus, the article evaluates the opportunities this program generates for a dormant sector in the country. The goal-attainment model is used to assess whether the policy attained what it prescribed and the impacts of those achievements. In addition, the side-effects model is applied to verify the opportunities prompted by policies and private sector investments outside the determinations of the main regulations and how they help to strengthen the Brazilian space industry. Finally, the article concludes with a discussion of the current situation of the Brazilian space industry and defends the main argument that the creation of Visiona as an integrator company, responsible for contracting firms to execute the satellite project, is of strategic importance for the Brazilian space industry.
卫星通信自主权是周边国家的一个主要防务问题,这一问题因投资建设、发射和运行卫星平台的困难而加剧。事实上,本文的目的是评估国防和战略通信计划的地球静止卫星,作为巴西航天工业的一个分部门——航天工业的起点。因此,本文评估了该计划为该国一个休眠部门产生的机会。目标达成模型用于评估政策是否达到了规定的目标以及这些成就的影响。此外,还应用了副作用模型来核查主要条例决定之外的政策和私营部门投资所带来的机会,以及它们如何帮助加强巴西空间工业。最后,文章以讨论巴西空间工业的现状结束,并为主要论点辩护,即创建Visiona作为一个集成商公司,负责承包公司执行卫星项目,对巴西空间工业具有战略重要性。
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引用次数: 0
EOV Editorial Board EOV编委会
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-09-02 DOI: 10.1080/14777622.2017.1389128
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引用次数: 0
Myth-Free Space Advocacy Part II: The Myth of the Space Frontier 无神话的太空倡导第二部分:太空前沿的神话
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/14777622.2017.1339255
J. Schwartz
ABSTRACT Space advocates commonly compare the settling of the “space frontier” to the settling of the “western frontier” in the United States, arguing that space settlement will realize the same benefits purportedly realized by the western expansion of the United States: the generation of new cultures; the development of new technologies; and the empowerment of democratic governance. However, much of the reasoning here is based on a faulty understanding of history and on an overly optimistic view of what it will be like to live in a space settlement. Thus, I argue that ardent faith in the promises of settling the space frontier is a mythological belief, rather than a well-confirmed one.
空间倡导者通常将“太空边疆”的定居与美国“西部边疆”的定居进行比较,认为太空定居将实现美国西部扩张所声称实现的同样利益:新文化的产生;新技术的发展;以及民主治理的授权。然而,这里的大部分推理都是基于对历史的错误理解,以及对太空定居生活的过度乐观看法。因此,我认为,对解决太空前沿问题的承诺的热切信念是一种神话信仰,而不是一种得到充分证实的信念。
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引用次数: 8
Evaluating Decision-Making Modalities and Risk Acceptance Behavior after a Major Mishap: The Case of NASA and the Space Shuttle Columbia Accident 重大事故后评估决策模式和风险接受行为:以美国宇航局和哥伦比亚号航天飞机事故为例
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/14777622.2017.1340070
David M. Lengyel, T. Mazzuchi, D. Deal
ABSTRACT The February 2003 loss of the space shuttle Columbia on mission STS-107 was a mishap that stunned both NASA and the world. This research examines the pre-NASA and post-NASA decision-making modalities and risk acceptance behavior for the safe and reliable operation of the space shuttle through the lens of hazard analysis. Interviews with NASA administrators and senior Space Shuttle Program managers bring back to life their views from the 2003 through 2005 timeframe, during which NASA returned the space shuttle back to a flight status. Lessons from their effort have broad applicability to other organizations recovering from—and attempting to prevent—a major accident.
2003年2月,执行STS-107任务的哥伦比亚号航天飞机失事,这一事故震惊了美国宇航局和全世界。本研究通过危害分析的视角,考察了nasa之前和nasa之后航天飞机安全可靠运行的决策方式和风险接受行为。对美国宇航局管理人员和航天飞机项目高级管理人员的采访使他们从2003年到2005年的时间框架中重新回到了生活中,在此期间,美国宇航局将航天飞机恢复到飞行状态。从他们的努力中获得的经验教训对其他从重大事故中恢复和试图防止事故的组织具有广泛的适用性。
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引用次数: 0
Integrating Public Deliberation into Engineering Systems: Participatory Technology Assessment of NASA’s Asteroid Redirect Mission 将公众审议纳入工程系统:NASA小行星重定向任务的参与式技术评估
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/14777622.2017.1340823
D. Tomblin, Z. Pirtle, M. Farooque, D. Sittenfeld, Erin Mahoney, Rick Worthington, Gretchen Gano, Michele Gates, Ira Bennett, Jason Kessler, A. Kaminski, Jason Lloyd, D. Guston
ABSTRACT We discuss an experiment employing participatory technology assessment (pTA), a public deliberation method for eliciting lay citizen input prior to making decisions about science and technology to inform upstream engineering decisions concerning technical aspects of NASA’s Asteroid Initiative. In partnership with NASA, the Expert and Citizen Assessment of Science and Technology network conducted a pTA forum on NASA’s Asteroid Initiative in 2014. The goal of the exercise was to assess citizens’ values and preferences about potential asteroid detection, asteroid mitigation, and exploration-based technologies associated with NASA’s Initiative. This article discusses the portion of the forum that focused on the Asteroid Redirect Mission, an effort to redirect an asteroid into lunar orbit that astronauts can study. The forum sought public input on two options for performing the mission that NASA included in technical assessments to make a down select decision: Option A to capture a 10-meter-diameter asteroid; or Option B to redirect a several-meters-diameter boulder from the surface of a larger asteroid. We describe the values and perceptions participants had about Option A and B, how these results were used by NASA managers, and the impact the results of the pTA had on the down select.
摘要:我们讨论了一项采用参与式技术评估(pTA)的实验,这是一种公众审议方法,用于在做出科学和技术决策之前吸引普通公民的意见,为美国宇航局小行星计划的上游工程决策提供相关技术方面的信息。2014年,科学技术专家和公民评估网络与美国宇航局合作,就美国宇航局的小行星计划举办了一次pTA论坛。该活动的目的是评估公民对潜在小行星探测、小行星减缓和与NASA倡议相关的基于探索的技术的价值观和偏好。这篇文章讨论了论坛的一部分,重点是小行星重定向任务,这是一项将小行星重定向到月球轨道的努力,宇航员可以研究。该论坛就执行任务的两种方案征求公众意见,美国宇航局将其纳入技术评估以做出最终选择:方案a捕获直径10米的小行星;或者选择B,将直径几米的巨石从更大的小行星表面移开。我们描述了参与者对选项A和B的价值观和看法,NASA管理人员如何使用这些结果,以及pTA结果对下选择的影响。
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引用次数: 21
Space Research and Development in Africa 非洲空间研究与发展
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/14777622.2017.1339254
S. Oyewole
ABSTRACT Africa is advancing in research and development (R&D) in space with a growing investment in satellites for communications and Earth observations, astronomical observatories, space launch vehicles, and ballistic missiles. These efforts are designed to develop capacity in space science and to advance human development and security in Africa. Nevertheless, there are emerging concerns within and outside the continent on the cost of R&D in space and the public priority it is receiving, given developmental priorities in Africa. This article examines the state of space-related R&D in Africa, its cost and benefits, and the imperative for a balanced policy priority and investment. Leading African states are encouraged to intensify international partnerships, internalize relevant know-how, improve their competitiveness, and support regional initiatives to minimize the domestic cost of spreading benefits of space technology across the continent.
非洲正在推进空间研究与开发(R&D),对用于通信和地球观测的卫星、天文台、空间运载火箭和弹道导弹的投资不断增加。这些努力的目的是发展空间科学的能力,并促进非洲的人类发展和安全。然而,考虑到非洲的发展优先事项,非洲大陆内外对空间研究和发展的费用以及它所得到的公共优先事项的关切正在出现。本文考察了非洲与空间相关的研发状况、成本和收益,以及平衡政策重点和投资的必要性。鼓励主要非洲国家加强国际伙伴关系,内化相关知识,提高竞争力,并支持区域倡议,以尽量减少在整个非洲大陆传播空间技术利益的国内成本。
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引用次数: 14
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Astropolitics
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