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Forecasting of COVID-19 Cases in India: A Predictive Study 印度新冠肺炎病例预测:一项预测研究
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-11-12 DOI: 10.2174/1573395516999201112092152
P. Sharma, Tanu Sharma, K. Veer
An outbreak of new coronavirus (COVID-19) originated by SARS-CoV has reached212 countries throughout the world. India is the second-highest populated country, so it is criticalto forecasting the confirmed cases and deaths due to pandemic. To fulfil the purpose, three machinelearning models Linear Regression, Multilayer Perceptron, and Sequential Minimal OptimizationRegression are used. The predictive data of three geographic regions (India, Maharashtra, andTamil Nadu) are compared with the data considered to be adequate in practice. The analysis concludedthat Sequential Minimal Optimization Regression can be adopted for possible pandemic predictionssuch as COVID-19.
由SARS-CoV引起的新型冠状病毒(新冠肺炎)疫情已波及全球212个国家。印度是人口第二高的国家,因此预测疫情导致的确诊病例和死亡至关重要。为了实现这一目的,使用了三个机器学习模型线性回归、多层感知器和序列最小优化回归。将三个地理区域(印度、马哈拉施特拉邦和泰米尔纳德邦)的预测数据与实践中认为足够的数据进行了比较。分析得出结论,序列最小优化回归可用于新冠肺炎等可能的大流行预测。
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引用次数: 0
Can Mandated BCG Vaccine Promote herd Immunity against Novel Coronavirus? A Potential Solution at Hand to Tackle Covid-19 Pandemic 强制接种卡介苗能提高群体对新型冠状病毒的免疫力吗?应对Covid-19大流行的潜在解决方案
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-11-12 DOI: 10.2174/1573395516999201112092557
Ashok Arasu, P. Balakrishnan, T. Velusamy, T. Ramesh
The 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) infection is an emerging pandemic that posesa severe threat to global public health. This pandemic started from the Wuhan City of HubeiProvince in China, and is speculated to have originated from bats and spread among humans withan unknown intermediate transmitter. The virus binds to angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2),which is abundantly expressed on various human cells, including lung epithelial and intestinalcells, thereby entering into these cells and causing infection. It is transmitted to other humansthrough airborne droplets from infected patients. Presently there are no specific treatments orvaccines that are available to curtail the spread of this disease. There are few indirect reports thatexplain the potential importance of the mandated BCG vaccine as a protective factor againstCOVID-19. There is a speculation that a live attenuated vaccine (BCG vaccine) can be beneficialagainst COVID-19 to develop the initial immune response, and can also spread in the community,thereby boosting herd immunity to fight against COVID-19. This review summarizes the conclusionsof various reports on the BCG vaccine, and is an attempt to establish BCG-vaccination mediatedherd immunity as an effective instant intermediate approach in curbing COVID-19 spread inhighly populous countries.
2019年新型冠状病毒(2019- ncov)感染是一种新兴大流行,对全球公共卫生构成严重威胁。这次大流行起源于中国湖北省武汉市,推测起源于蝙蝠,并在未知的中间传播媒介中在人类中传播。该病毒与血管紧张素转换酶2 (ACE2)结合,从而进入这些细胞并引起感染。ACE2在各种人体细胞上大量表达,包括肺上皮细胞和肠细胞。它通过受感染患者的飞沫传播给其他人。目前还没有专门的治疗方法或疫苗来遏制这种疾病的传播。很少有间接报告解释强制性卡介苗作为预防covid -19的保护因素的潜在重要性。有人推测,减毒活疫苗(卡介苗)可有助于形成初始免疫反应,并可在社区中传播,从而增强群体免疫力,以对抗COVID-19。本文综述了各类关于卡介苗的报道结论,试图将卡介苗介导的群体免疫作为一种有效的即时中间途径,在人口稠密的国家遏制COVID-19的传播。
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引用次数: 2
Interleukin-10 in Oral Lichen Planus – Review and Meta-Analysis 口腔扁平苔藓中白细胞介素-10的研究综述与meta分析
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-11-11 DOI: 10.2174/1573395516999201111162844
F. Agha-Hosseini, N. Rezaei, Mahdieh-Sadat Moosavi
Interleukin 10 (IL-10) is a powerful anti-inflammatory cytokine capableof preventing inflammatory and autoimmune diseases. Oral lichen planus (OLP) is an autoimmune,chronic, inflammatory disease with relapsing nature involving oral mucous membranes. It was prevsioulyassumed that like other autoimmune diseases, IL-10 may have a role in OLP pathogenesis,and many studies focused on that. But there are obvious controversies among IL-10 levels in OLPpatients.In this review with Meta-Analysis, we attempt to assess IL-10 expression in OLP patients.The search was conducted via Pubmed, Ovid, and Google Scholar, to identify articlespublished up to Jun 2020. A meta-Analysis by Revman 5.3 was conducted based on serum levelsof IL-10 in 313 OLPs and 203 controls.With Meta-Analysis in 313 OLPs and 203 controls, the Mean difference between IL-10 inOLPs and controls was obtained as 0.26 (95% CI: -0.51-1.03), demonstrating no statistically significantdifference. IL-10, in concert with its receptors, has a crucial role in the pathogenesis of variousdiseases, including inflammatory, infectious, and autoimmune diseases. Both over-expression, aswell as IL-10 deficiency, have been described in oral lichen planus. With Meta-Analysis on serumIL-10 levels, it is speculated that no significant relationship exists between IL-10 and OLP pathogenesis.With respect to the importance of cytokines in the autoimmunity process, performing additionalstudies is of necessity to understand the association of other cytokines with OLP predispositionand its underlying pathological processes.
白细胞介素10 (IL-10)是一种强大的抗炎细胞因子,能够预防炎症和自身免疫性疾病。口腔扁平苔藓(OLP)是一种自身免疫性慢性炎症性疾病,具有复发性,累及口腔粘膜。以前认为,像其他自身免疫性疾病一样,IL-10可能在OLP的发病机制中起作用,许多研究都集中在这一点上。但在olp患者中IL-10水平存在明显的争议。在这篇荟萃分析的综述中,我们试图评估IL-10在OLP患者中的表达。检索是通过Pubmed、Ovid和b谷歌Scholar进行的,以确定截至2020年6月发表的文章。采用Revman 5.3软件对313例olp和203例对照组的血清IL-10水平进行meta分析。对313例olp和203例对照组进行meta分析,IL-10与对照组的平均差异为0.26 (95% CI: -0.51-1.03),差异无统计学意义。IL-10及其受体在包括炎症、感染性和自身免疫性疾病在内的各种疾病的发病机制中起着至关重要的作用。IL-10过表达和IL-10缺乏均见于口腔扁平苔藓。通过对血清IL-10水平的meta分析,推测IL-10与OLP发病机制之间不存在显著关系。关于细胞因子在自身免疫过程中的重要性,有必要进行额外的研究,以了解其他细胞因子与OLP易感性及其潜在病理过程的关系。
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引用次数: 2
Thymosin α1; Potential Therapeutic Implications of an Immunoregulatory Drug in the Treatment of Lymphocytopenia Associated with COVID-19 胸腺素α1;免疫调节药物治疗与COVID-19相关的淋巴细胞减少症的潜在治疗意义
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-11-11 DOI: 10.2174/1573395516999201111163304
Milad Shirvaliloo
It is not unbeknownst to us that since the very onset of the COVID-19 outbreak, many patients from different age groups have suffered greatly, and in a remarkable number of cases, succumbed to their untimely demise as a result of infection with the novel coronavirus or SARS-CoV- -2. The elderly are perhaps the most vulnerable community, who stand at the pinnacle of morbidity and mortality rates due to contracting severe forms of COVID-19. Hopefully, based on the recent findings and the present evidence, there might be a number of medications that would possibly be of great prophylactic and therapeutic value to the elderly patients diagnosed with COVID-19. According to an interventional study, Thymosin α1 is arguably one such medication that has recently been indicated to be an effective therapeutic agent for inpatient management of lymphocytopenia and T cell exhaustion caused by COVID-19.
我们并不不知道,自新冠肺炎爆发以来,来自不同年龄组的许多患者都遭受了巨大的痛苦,在相当多的病例中,他们因感染新型冠状病毒或SARS-CoV-2而过早死亡。老年人可能是最脆弱的群体,他们因感染严重形式的新冠肺炎而处于发病率和死亡率的顶峰。希望根据最近的研究结果和现有证据,可能会有许多药物对诊断为新冠肺炎的老年患者具有巨大的预防和治疗价值。根据一项介入研究,胸腺素α1可以说是一种最近被证明是治疗新冠肺炎引起的淋巴细胞减少和T细胞衰竭的有效药物。
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19: Update on Pathogenesis and Treatment Strategies COVID-19:发病机制和治疗策略的最新进展
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.2174/1573395516999201001154837
R. Chauhan, P. Sharma, S. Srivastava
COVID-19 (Coronavirus disease) is the most contagious virus, which has been characterizedas a global pandemic by WHO. The pathological cycle of COVID-19 virus can be specified asRNAaemia, severe pneumonia, along with the Ground-glass opacity (GGO), and acute cardiac injury.The S protein of Coronavirus has been reported to be involved in the entry of the virus intothe host cell, which can be accomplished by direct membrane fusion between the virus and plasmamembrane. In the endoplasmic reticulum or Golgi membrane, the newly formed enveloped glycoproteinsare introduced. The spread of disease occurs due to contact and droplets unleashed by thevesicles holding the virus particles combined with the plasma membrane to the virus released bythe host. The present manuscript describes the pathogenesis of COVID-19 and various treatmentstrategies that include drugs such as chloroquine and hydroxychloroquine, an anti-malarial drug,antibodies: SARS-CoV-specific human monoclonal antibody CR3022 and plasma treatment facilitatethe therapeutic effect.
新冠肺炎(冠状病毒病)是传染性最强的病毒,已被世界卫生组织定性为全球大流行。新冠肺炎病毒的病理周期可被指定为RNA血症、严重肺炎、地面不透明(GGO)和急性心脏损伤。据报道,冠状病毒的S蛋白参与了病毒进入宿主细胞的过程,这可以通过病毒和质膜之间的直接膜融合来实现。在内质网或高尔基体膜中,新形成的包膜糖蛋白被引入。疾病的传播是由于携带病毒颗粒的囊泡与宿主释放的病毒质膜结合而产生的接触和飞沫。本文描述了新冠肺炎的发病机制和各种治疗策略,包括氯喹和羟氯喹等药物、抗疟疾药物、抗体:SARS-CoV-特异性人单克隆抗体CR3022和促进治疗效果的血浆治疗。
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引用次数: 0
Immunomodulation in Multiple Sclerosis by Phytotherapy 植物疗法对多发性硬化症的免疫调节作用
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-09-30 DOI: 10.2174/1573395516999200930122850
M. Bahrami, G. Mosayebi, A. Ghazavi, A. Ganji
Multiple sclerosis is a chronic inflammatory and demyelinating disorder of the centralnervous system (CNS) that can cause cognition, mobility, and sensory impairments. Studies haveshown that the immune system through inflammation and autoreactive T cells are involved in theprogression of MS. The present article aimed to review the potent anti-inflammatory, antioxidant,and immunomodulatory agents that could modulate the immune response in MS. In herbalmedicine, various medicinal plants including Olive, Silybum marianum, Grape, Pomegranate peelextract, Nigella sativa, Turmeric, Green tea, Aloysia citrodora, Boswellia papyrifera, Boswellia serrata,Ruta graveolens, and Andrographis paniculata are known with therapeutic benefits in MS patientsthrough immunoregulation and reduction of major symptoms.
多发性硬化症是一种中枢神经系统(CNS)的慢性炎症和脱髓鞘疾病,可导致认知、活动和感觉障碍。研究表明免疫系统通过炎症和自身反应性T细胞参与多发性硬化症的进展,本文旨在综述有效的抗炎、抗氧化和免疫调节剂,可调节多发性硬化症的免疫反应。在草药中,各种药用植物包括橄榄、水飞蓟、葡萄、石榴皮提取物、黑草、姜黄、绿茶、芦荟、乳香草、众所周知,锯齿乳香、荆芥和穿心莲通过免疫调节和减轻主要症状对多发性硬化症患者有治疗作用。
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引用次数: 1
Seroprevalence of Hepatitis B, Hepatitis C, and Human Immunodeficiency Viruses in End-Stage Renal Disease Patients, Southern Iran 伊朗南部终末期肾病患者乙型肝炎、丙型肝炎和人类免疫缺陷病毒的血清阳性率
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-08-19 DOI: 10.2174/1573395516999200819164045
Nahid Tavakoli Movaghar, S. Mojarrad, H. Shahraki, M. Nazari, M. Hadadi, M. Motamedifar
Hemodialysis [HD] patients are more prone to blood-borne viruses, suchas hepatitis B virus [HBV], hepatitis C virus [HCV], and, to a lesser extent, Human ImmunodeficiencyVirus [HIV]. Chronic HBV and HCV infections are associated with liver cirrhosis, hepatocellularcarcinoma, and early graft failure after kidney transplantation. As there was no recent information,this study aimed to evaluate the prevalence of HBV, HCV, and HIV infection in HD patientsin Fars province, southern Iran. This could help health policymakers to run more effective infectioncontrol practices for reducing such blood-borne virus infections, if necessary.This cross-sectional study was performed on 906 HD patients in Fars province, southernIran. A total of 906 blood samples were obtained from patients and diagnostic tests of HBV, HCV,and HIV were done. Demographic data and some other information, such as duration of dialysis,were extracted from the patients’ medical records. Data were analyzed in SPSS, version 18.Out of the patients enrolled in the study, 547 [60.4%] were male and 359 [39.6%] female.The mean ± SD age of the patients was 58.0 ± 15.8 years. The prevalence of HBV, HCV, and HIVinfection was 0.88%, 0.55% and 0.44%, respectively. HIV-infected subjects were significantlyyounger than the HIV-negative group [P <0.017]. It seems that Fars is among the provinces with low HBV and HCV prevalence in HDpatients in comparison to other provinces of Iran. On the other hand, HIV prevalence here is higherthan other provincial studies. Strict adherence to preventive infection control measures is recommendedin HD centers.
血液透析[HD]患者更容易感染血源性病毒,如乙型肝炎病毒[HBV]、丙型肝炎病毒[HCV],以及在较小程度上感染人类免疫缺陷病毒[HIV]。慢性HBV和HCV感染与肝硬化、肝细胞癌和肾移植后早期移植物衰竭有关。由于没有最新的信息,本研究旨在评估伊朗南部法尔斯省HD患者中HBV、HCV和HIV感染的流行情况。这可能有助于卫生政策制定者在必要时实施更有效的感染控制措施,以减少这种血液传播的病毒感染。这项横断面研究在伊朗南部法尔斯省的906名HD患者中进行。共采集了906份患者血液样本,并进行了HBV、HCV和HIV诊断检测。从患者的医疗记录中提取了人口统计数据和一些其他信息,如透析持续时间。数据分析采用SPSS, version 18。在纳入研究的患者中,男性547例(60.4%),女性359例(39.6%)。患者的平均±SD年龄为58.0±15.8岁。HBV、HCV和hiv感染率分别为0.88%、0.55%和0.44%。hiv感染者年龄明显低于hiv阴性组[P <0.017]。与伊朗其他省份相比,法尔斯似乎是hdv患者中HBV和HCV患病率较低的省份之一。另一方面,这里的艾滋病毒感染率高于其他省级研究。建议艾滋病中心严格遵守预防感染控制措施。
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引用次数: 0
Warm Reactive Anti-A1 Agglutinin in an A2B individual: A Rare Case with Review of Literature A2B个体的温反应性抗a1凝集素:一例罕见病例并复习文献
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-08-07 DOI: 10.2174/1573395516999200807162612
M. Raturi, A. Kusum
The prevalence of the major subgroup of A as A1 in almost 80% of the A group populationis a known fact. A2 and the remaining subgroups such as Aend, Am, Ax etc comprise the remainingpopulation, based on erythrocyte agglutinability and various serological reactions. These A subgroupscan often result in an ABO typing discrepancy. Anti-A1 antibody often appears as an irregularcold agglutinin in the sera of A2 or A2B individuals who lack the corresponding antigen. Rathernotably, the literature suggests that 1% to 8% of A2 and 22% to 35% of A2B individuals possess anallo-anti-A1 in their sera, which reacts at a temperature below 25°C. Although routinely, it does notpose any problem either during or post blood transfusion, however, the literature reports of hemolysishappening in procedures that are performed at lower temperatures, particularly in hypothermicsituations. We report herein, a case of a massively bleeding A2B Indian lady after the expulsion ofher dead fetus and an underlying uterine fibroid having a warm reactive allo-anti-A1 agglutinin thatwarranted an urgent blood transfusion management.
A的主要亚群A1在近80%的A人群中流行是一个众所周知的事实。根据红细胞凝集性和各种血清学反应,A2和其他亚群如Aend, Am, Ax等组成了剩余的人群。这些A亚群扫描通常导致ABO型差异。抗a1抗体通常在缺乏相应抗原的A2或A2B个体的血清中以不规则的冷凝集素的形式出现。值得注意的是,文献表明,1%至8%的A2和22%至35%的A2B个体在其血清中具有类似的抗a1,这种抗体在低于25℃的温度下发生反应。尽管通常情况下,它不会在输血过程中或输血后造成任何问题,然而,文献报道在较低温度下进行的手术中发生溶血,特别是在低温情况下。我们在此报告一例A2B印度妇女在排出另一个死胎后大量出血,潜在的子宫肌瘤具有热反应性异源抗a1凝集素,需要紧急输血处理。
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引用次数: 1
Is Immune Response Relevant in Interstitial Lung Disease? 免疫反应与间质性肺病有关吗?
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-03-31 DOI: 10.2174/1573395516999200914143054
Manzoor M. Khan
Interstitial lung disease, a term for a group of disorders, causes lung fibrosis, is mostlyrefractory to treatments and has a high death rate. After diagnosis the survival is up to 3 years butin some cases the patients live much longer. It involves a heterogenous group of lung diseases thatexhibit progressive and irreversible destruction of the lung due to the formation of scars. This resultsin lung malfunction, disruption of gas exchange, and eventual death because of respiratoryfailure. The etiology of lung fibrosis is mostly unknown with a few exceptions. The major characteristicsof the disease are comprised of injury of epithelial type II cells, increased apoptosis, chronicinflammation, monocytic and lymphocytic infiltration, accumulation of myofibroblasts, and inabilityto repair damaged tissue properly. These events result in abnormal collagen deposition andscarring. The inflammation process is mild, and the disease is primarily fibrotic driven. Immunosuppressantsdo not treat the disease but the evidence is evolving that both innate and acquired immuneresponses a well as the cytokines contribute to at least early progression of the disease. Furthermore,mediators of inflammation including cytokines are involved throughout the process oflung fibrosis. The diverse clinical outcome of the disease is due to different pattern of inflammatorymarkers. Nonetheless, the development of novel therapeutic strategies requires better understandingof the role of the immune response. This review highlights the role of the immune response ininterstitial lung disease and considers the therapeutic strategies based on these observations. Forthis review several literature data sources were used to assess the role of the immune response in interstitiallung disease and to evaluate the possible therapeutic strategies for the disease.
间质性肺病是一组疾病的统称,可导致肺纤维化,最难治疗,死亡率高。确诊后,患者的生存期可达3年,但在某些情况下,患者的寿命要长得多。它涉及一组异质性肺部疾病,由于疤痕的形成,肺部表现出进行性和不可逆的破坏。这会导致肺功能衰竭,气体交换中断,最终因呼吸衰竭而死亡。肺纤维化的病因大多未知,只有少数例外。该疾病的主要特征包括上皮II型细胞损伤、细胞凋亡增加、慢性炎症、单核细胞和淋巴细胞浸润、肌成纤维细胞积聚以及无法正确修复受损组织。这些事件导致胶原沉积和携带异常。炎症过程是温和的,疾病主要是由纤维化引起的。免疫抑制剂不能治疗这种疾病,但有证据表明,先天和后天免疫反应以及细胞因子至少有助于疾病的早期进展。此外,包括细胞因子在内的炎症介质参与了整个肺纤维化过程。该疾病的不同临床结果是由于炎症标志物的不同模式。尽管如此,开发新的治疗策略需要更好地理解免疫反应的作用。这篇综述强调了免疫反应在晚期肺部疾病中的作用,并考虑了基于这些观察的治疗策略。第四部分综述了几种文献数据来源,用于评估免疫反应在间质性肺病中的作用,并评估该疾病的可能治疗策略。
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引用次数: 0
The Potential Prognostic Performance of Neutrophil CD64 and Monocyte HLA-DR in Patients with Complicated Intra-abdominal Infections 中性粒细胞CD64和单核细胞HLA-DR对复杂腹腔感染患者的潜在预后影响
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-03-12 DOI: 10.2174/1573395516666200312111456
E. Dimitrov, K. Halacheva, E. Enchev, G. Minkov, Y. Yovtchev
Complicated intra-abdominal infections are still associated with a high risk ofan unfavorable outcome. Despite the equal treatment, the mortality rates in some patients’ populationsremain significant, especially when the impaired immune response is present.The object of this research is to analyze the impact of pro-inflammatory neutrophil CD64 andanti-inflammatory monocyte HLA-DR on the final outcome.We have searched in the PubMed database, the literature relating the prognostic value of twobiomarkers - nCD64 and mHLA-DR in patients with complicated intra-abdominal infections and/orsepsis.Eighteen original studies with 2960 patients fulfilled our inclusion criteria. The data aboutnCD64 that we found was contradictory, whereas low mHLA-DR expression showed good prognosticvalue.Our review showed heterogeneous data about nCD64 survival prediction. Further investigationswith surgical patients exclusively are needed to evaluate its prognostic value in cIAIs. However,we observed a good prognostic performance of low mHLA-DR expression. After a validation inlarger multicentre studies, mHLA-DR could be used as promising prognostic biomarker in cIAIs.
复杂的腹腔内感染仍然和不良结果的高风险相关。尽管进行了同等的治疗,但一些患者的死亡率仍然非常显著,尤其是在存在免疫反应受损的情况下。本研究的目的是分析促炎性中性粒细胞CD64和抗炎性单核细胞HLA-DR对最终结果的影响。我们在PubMed数据库中搜索了两种生物标志物nCD64和mHLA DR在复杂腹腔内感染和/或癫痫患者中的预后价值相关的文献。对2960名患者进行的八项原始研究符合我们的纳入标准。我们发现nCD64的数据是矛盾的,而低mHLA DR表达显示出良好的预后价值。我们的综述显示了nCD64生存预测的异质性数据。需要对外科手术患者进行进一步的研究,以评估其在cIAIs中的预后价值。然而,我们观察到低mHLA DR表达具有良好的预后表现。经过大型多中心研究的验证,mHLA DR可作为cAII中有前景的预后生物标志物。
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引用次数: 1
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Current Immunology Reviews
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