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Analysis of the fire and explosion hazard of the formation of corrosive deposits on the inner surface of tanks with sulfurous oil 含硫油罐内表面形成腐蚀性沉积物的火灾爆炸危险性分析
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.25257/tts.2022.3.97.74-83
D. A. Petrilin
Introduction. The annual number of fires at the facilities of the petrochemical industry is increasing. Spontaneous combustion of pyrophoric corrosive deposits is one of the main sources of ignition. The large damage caused by fires on tanks with sulfur oil indicates a serious danger of the formation of pyrophoric corrosive deposits on the surface of oil tanks. The purpose of the study. Analyze the fire and explosion hazard of the formation of pyro-form corrosion deposits on the surface of oil tanks. The tasks of the work: - analysis of statistics of accidents that occurred at the facilities of the petrochemical industry; - analysis of fires that occurred due to spontaneous combustion of pyrophoric corrosive deposits; - analysis of the danger of formation of corrosive deposits on the surface of oil tanks, protection systems against them. Methods. In the course of the work, methods of comparison, description, generalization were used. The information basis of the study was various literary sources, regulatory documents, materials of fire analysis at tank farms. Results and discussion. The practice of operating oil tanks during the storage of sulfurous oil and the origin of fires shows that modern methods of corrosion protection are ineffective. It is necessary to adjust the existing regulatory and legal documentation in the field of improving the fire and explosion safety of petrochemical industry facilities, to develop new, more effective means of anticorrosion protection of tanks with sulfurous oil. One of the methods to protect the oil tank from corrosion is to apply protective coatings on the inner surface of the tank. However, modern anticorrosive coatings do not have the required protective ability. Conclusion. The corrosion protection system currently used is insufficiently effective. At the same time, the problem of protecting the inner surface of sulfurous oil tanks by applying anticorrosion paint coatings has not been sufficiently studied. Therefore, a more thorough study of this issue is necessary in order to increase the fire and explosion safety of sulfur oil tanks. Keywords: fire and explosion safety, tank, corrosion, pyrophores, protection, oil, sulfur.
介绍。石油化学工业设施每年发生的火灾数量正在增加。焦性腐蚀性沉积物的自燃是引燃的主要来源之一。含硫油罐火灾造成的巨大损失表明,油罐表面存在形成焦性腐蚀沉积物的严重危险。研究的目的。分析了油罐表面形成热态腐蚀沉积的火灾和爆炸危险性。工作任务:-分析统计发生在石化工业设施的事故;-分析由焦性腐蚀性沉积物自燃引起的火灾;-分析油罐表面形成腐蚀性沉积物的危险,以及针对它们的保护系统。方法。在工作过程中,采用了比较法、描述法、概括法。本研究的资料基础是各种文献资料、规范性文件、油罐场火灾分析资料。结果和讨论。硫磺油储存过程中油罐的操作实践和火灾的起因表明,现代的防腐方法是无效的。在提高石化工业设施防火防爆安全方面,有必要调整现有的法规和法律文件,开发新的、更有效的含硫油储罐防腐保护手段。保护油罐免受腐蚀的方法之一是在油罐的内表面涂上保护涂层。然而,现代防腐涂料不具备所需的防护能力。结论。目前使用的防腐系统不够有效。同时,对含硫油罐内表面防腐涂料的保护问题研究还不够充分。因此,有必要对这一问题进行更深入的研究,以提高含硫油罐的火灾和爆炸安全性。关键词:防火防爆安全,储罐,腐蚀,焦粉,防护,油,硫。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling of the impact of hazardous factors on the system "critical object - ecological environment 危险因素对系统临界对象——生态环境的影响建模
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.25257/tts.2022.3.97.171-189
A. I. Ovsyanik, Yuri N. Kosenok
Introduction. The article reveals the concept of "dangerous state", formulated the task of modeling the impact of hazardous factors on the system "Critical object – ecological environment", taking into account the interaction of elements in the subsystem "Potentially dangerous object – environment". Goals and objectives. On the basis of a systematic approach to the analysis of the elements of the system "Critical object – ecological environment" to substantiate the system of indicators of the protection of the subsystem "Potentially dangerous object – environment" and a system of indicators of the impact on the system under study and its subsystems of dangerous factors of the aggressive environment, taking into account the modeling of the impact of natural factors and human impact. Methods. To form a system of subsystem security indicators "Potentially dangerous object – environment" and systems of indicators of the impact on the system under study and its subsystems of dangerous factors of aggressive environment used methods of mathematical modeling of various states of subsystems, methods of probability theory, analytical methods for assessing the security and survivability of objects and complexes, methods of disaster theory. Results and discussion. As a result of a systematic approach to the analysis of the system "Critical object – ecological environment", the following conclusions are substantiated. Justification of subsystem security indicators "A potentially dangerous object – environment" is based on the security model of its subsystems. The system of indicators of the impact on the studied system and its subsystems of hazardous factors of an aggressive environment is based on models of the impact of natural factors and human factors. These include: - model of the impact of damaging elements on the elements of the subsystem "inventory storage facility – environment"; - model of shock-wave impact in case of an accident on the elements of the subsystem "object of storage of stocks – environment"; - model of the effect of polluting compounds in the air on the elements of the subsystem "storage facility – environment"; - model of the impact of a landscape fire on the elements of the subsystem "inventory storage facility – environment". - model of violators' access to stocks on potentially hazardous facility at their storage facilities; - model of countering terrorism in the system "object of storage of stocks – environment"; - model for predicting emergencies in case of violation of safety regulations by maintenance personnel in the subsystem "object of work with reserves environment". Conclusions. The concept of "dangerous state" is disclosed, the indicators of the protection of a potentially dangerous object are justified, the indicators of the impact of dangerous factors in the subsystem are justified "A potentially dangerous object is the environment". Keywords: dangerous condition, potentially dangerous object, system, environment, mode
介绍。本文揭示了“危险状态”的概念,提出了在考虑“潜在危险对象-环境”子系统中各要素相互作用的情况下,对危险因素对“关键对象-生态环境”系统的影响进行建模的任务。目标和目的。在对系统要素“关键对象-生态环境”进行系统分析的基础上,实证了“潜在危险对象-环境”对系统及其子系统的保护指标体系和侵略性环境危险因素对系统及其子系统的影响指标体系,同时考虑了自然因素的影响和人为影响的建模。方法。运用各种子系统状态的数学建模方法、概率论方法、评估对象和复合体的安全性和生存性的分析方法、灾害理论方法,形成了“潜在危险对象-环境”子系统安全指标体系和“潜在危险环境危险因素对被研究系统及其子系统的影响”指标体系。结果和讨论。通过对“关键对象——生态环境”系统的系统分析,得到了以下结论。“潜在危险对象-环境”子系统安全指标的论证是基于其子系统的安全模型。攻击性环境中危险因素对研究系统及其子系统影响的指标体系建立在自然因素和人为因素影响模型的基础上。这些包括:-破坏要素对分系统“库存储存设施-环境”要素的影响模型;-发生事故时冲击波对“库存储存对象-环境”子系统要素的冲击模型;-空气中的污染化合物对分系统“贮存设施-环境”各要素的影响模型;-景观火灾对“库存储存设施-环境”子系统要素影响的模型。-违规者在其储存设施取得潜在危险设施的库存的模式;-“库存对象-环境”体系下的反恐模式;-“储备环境下工作对象”子系统中维修人员违反安全规定时的紧急情况预测模型。结论。公开了“危险状态”的概念,对潜在危险对象的保护指标进行了论证,对子系统中危险因素的影响指标进行了论证,“潜在危险对象是环境”。关键词:危险条件、潜在危险对象、系统、环境、建模、安全指标、暴露危险因素。经费:这篇文章是根据俄罗斯联邦政府下属的金融大学的国家分配的预算经费所进行的研究结果编写的
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引用次数: 0
Rationale for improving the system of informing participants of fire extinguishing about the existing risk in the performance of the main task 改进告知灭火人员灭火主要任务执行中存在的风险的制度的理由
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.25257/tts.2019.4.86.96-103
E. A. Mzokova, A. Ishchenko, I. A. Votchenko
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引用次数: 0
Detection of residues and determination of the composition of combustible components in case of explosions of vapor-gas-air mixtures 蒸气-气体-空气混合物爆炸时可燃成分的残留物检测和成分测定
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.25257/tts.2022.3.97.51-60
Larisa Anatolyevna Yatsenko, M.Y Printseva, Ilya Danilovich Cheshko, Artur Alexandrovich Tumanovsky
Introduction. Liquefied hydrocarbon gases (LHG) are widely used in various fields. The main components of LHG are: propane, isobutane and n-butane, which are not only combustible, but also explosive gases capable of detonation combustion. The detection of LHG in the air is a very urgent task in expert studies. To determine the component composition of various flammable liquids, for the purpose of their identification, chromatographs equipped with a capillary quartz column with a phase that allows detecting saturated hydrocarbons of the homologous series from pentane to pentatetracontane inclusive are used in the Forensic Expertise Institutions of Federal Fire Service of EMERCOM of Russia. However, it is not possible to analyze the component composition of lighter hydrocarbons according to the previously proposed and used in expert practice method for detecting and studying flammable liquids/high liquids under these conditions. To solve the problem of unification of the use of the instrumental base for the detection of residues of flammable liquids, liquid liquids and light hydrocarbons, new chromatography conditions were selected using the existing equipment set. Goals and objectives. The aim of the study is to select the analysis conditions for detecting the remains of liquefied hydrocarbon gases after explosions of steam-air mixtures on the basis of the instrumental gas chromatographic complex in service with the Forensic Expertise Institutions of Federal Fire Service of EMERCOM of Russia. Research methods. To detect and determine the composition of residues of combustible components during explosions of vapor-gas-air mixtures, a hardware-software instrumental complex based on a gas-liquid chromatograph equipped with a flame ionization detector, a ZB-50 capillary column, and an attachment from a two-stage thermal desorber was used. Results and its discussion. In the course of the study, the optimal conditions for conducting gas chromatographic analysis were defined and selected in order to detect liquefied hydrocarbon gases. Recommended pressures are given for various carrier gases. It is shown that, by varying the pressure and inlet temperature, light hydrocarbons propane, butane, isobutane is fairly well separated on a gas-liquid chromatograph with a flame ionization detector and on a ZB-50 capillary column 30 meters long. Conclusion. The research shows that the problem of combining a hardware-software instrumental complex based on a gas chromatograph with an attachment from a two-stage thermal desorber used for the analysis of two groups of substances (liquefied hydrocarbons and flammable liquids, gas liquids) is solved by varying the pressure and temperature of the input. Keywords: gas-liquid chromatography, thermal desorption, liquefied petroleum gases, light hydrocarbons, air-fuel mixtures, vapor-gas-air mixtures, explosion, fire examination.
介绍。液化烃气体(LHG)广泛应用于各个领域。LHG的主要成分是:丙烷、异丁烷和正丁烷,它们不仅是可燃物,而且是能够爆轰燃烧的爆炸性气体。空气中LHG的检测是专家研究的一个非常紧迫的任务。为了确定各种可燃液体的组分组成,为了对其进行鉴定,俄罗斯联邦消防局(EMERCOM)的法医鉴定机构使用了配备毛细管石英柱的色谱仪,该色谱柱的相可以检测从戊烷到含五四孔烷的同源系列饱和烃。然而,在这些条件下,根据先前提出并在专家实践中用于检测和研究易燃液体/高纯度液体的方法,不可能分析轻质碳氢化合物的成分组成。为解决可燃液体、液态液体和轻烃残留量检测仪器底座使用统一的问题,在现有设备的基础上选择了新的色谱条件。目标和目的。本研究的目的是在俄罗斯联邦消防局法医鉴定机构使用的仪器气相色谱复合物的基础上,选择检测蒸汽-空气混合物爆炸后液化碳氢气体残留物的分析条件。研究方法。为了检测和确定蒸汽-气体-空气混合物爆炸过程中可燃组分残留物的组成,采用了一种基于气液色谱仪的硬件-软件仪器组合,该仪器配备了火焰电离检测器、ZB-50毛细管柱和两级热解吸器的附件。结果及其讨论。在研究过程中,确定并选择了气相色谱分析的最佳条件,以检测液化烃气体。给出了各种载气的推荐压力。结果表明,在带火焰电离检测器的气液色谱仪上,在长30米的ZB-50毛细管柱上,通过改变压力和入口温度,轻烃——丙烷、丁烷、异丁烷可以很好地分离。结论。研究表明,通过改变输入的压力和温度,解决了气相色谱仪与两级热解吸器附件相结合的硬件-软件仪器复合物分析两组物质(液化碳氢化合物和可燃液体、气态液体)的问题。关键词:气液色谱,热解吸,液化石油气,轻烃,空气-燃料混合物,蒸汽-气体-空气混合物,爆炸,火灾检测。
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引用次数: 0
The use of differential leakage current transformers in an automated fire prevention system in the power grid of industrial facilities 差动漏电流互感器在工业设施电网自动防火系统中的应用
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.25257/tts.2021.4.94.20-33
N. Topolsky, E. N. Mineev, G. N. Malashenkov, M. S. Mintcaev, D. S. Beresnev
Introduction. The occurrence of severe consequences of accidents in the electrical networks of industrial facilities depends on how correctly the automated systems for protection, detection and extinguishing of fire are selected. One of the reasons for the occurrence of a fire hazardous situation in electrical networks is the violation of the insulation and sheath of the electrical cable due to its aging or mechanical damage. Timely detection of the pre-fire state of electrical equipment is ensured by using an automated control system for electrical equipment using a differential leakage current transformer (DLCT). The automated control system for electrical equipment using a differential leakage current transformer is designed for early detection of the location of current leakage in the protected power and (or) lighting group (the electric motor and the power cable supplying it and other parts of the electrical equipment) and the issuance of information to the post with permanent duty personnel. Targets and goals. Improving fire safety of industrial facilities by using an automated control system for electrical equipment using a differential leakage current transformer. Methods. To obtain the results, general scientific and special methods of scientific knowledge were used: analysis, synthesis, generalization, which were based on the provisions of the theory of probability and the theory of reliability. Research results. It is proposed to use DLCT for the protection of high-current electrical receivers in various sections of networks, taking into account selectivity as part of an automated fire prevention system. Conclusions. The use of an automated control system for electrical equipment upon detection of leakage currents makes it possible to: - timely detection of the place of occurrence of leakage currents, detection of the pre-fire condition of electrical cables by leakage currents; - transmission of information about the state of electrical cables to a higher level of the automated control system for electrical equipment; - disconnection of the cable line from power sources and power consumers on command from a programmable controller; - preventing the spread of fire along the cable route and along adjacent structural elements, enclosing structures and technological units; - activation of executive devices by the operator in an automated mode. Key words: accident, analysis, fire, explosion, risk, statistics, reliability, electrical equipment.
介绍。工业设施电网事故的严重后果取决于如何正确地选择用于保护、探测和灭火的自动化系统。在电网中发生火灾危险情况的原因之一是由于电缆老化或机械损伤导致绝缘和护套的破坏。采用差动漏电流互感器(dct)的电气设备自动控制系统,保证了对电气设备火灾前状态的及时检测。采用差动漏电流互感器的电气设备自动控制系统,是为了及早发现被保护电源和(或)照明组(电动机和供电电缆及电气设备的其他部分)的漏电位置,并向有常勤人员的岗位发布信息而设计的。目标和目标。采用差动漏电流互感器的电气设备自动控制系统,提高工业设施的消防安全。方法。为了得到结果,在概率论和可靠性理论的规定的基础上,采用了一般科学和特殊科学知识的方法:分析、综合、概括。研究的结果。考虑到选择性作为自动防火系统的一部分,建议将dct用于保护网络各部分的大电流电气接收器。结论。电气设备采用泄漏电流检测自动控制系统,可以:——及时检测泄漏电流发生的地点,通过泄漏电流检测电缆着火前的状况;-向电气设备自动化控制系统的更高一级传输有关电缆状态的信息;-根据可编程控制器的命令从电源和电力用户断开电缆线路;-防止沿电缆路线及相邻结构构件、围护结构和工艺单元的火灾蔓延;-由操作员在自动模式下激活执行装置。关键词:事故,分析,火灾,爆炸,风险,统计,可靠性,电气设备。
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引用次数: 0
Advanced laboratory workshop on the determination of the viscosity coefficient of liquids by the Stokes method 用斯托克斯法测定液体粘度系数的高级实验室讲习班
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.25257/tts.2022.4.98.43-51
Vladimir Vyacheslavovich Kuzmin, A. V. Klygin, V. N. Mikhalkin, Platon Viktorovich Mikhalkin
Introduction. In accordance with the training plan for students and cadets of higher technical educational institutions of EMERCOM of Russia, when studying Molecular Physics, the laboratory work "Determination of the viscosity coefficient of a liquid by the Stokes method" is performed. The need for this work is due to the fact that students are visually familiar with the phenomenon of transfer in liquids, since in the future, when solving problems of hydraulics and when operating fire equipment, it is necessary to take into account the viscosity of the liquid. Goals and objectives. The aim of the study is to modernize the laboratory method for determining the viscosity of a liquid by the Stokes method, since an analysis of the published descriptions of this work shows that the relative error in determining the viscosity is 15 percent or more. Methods. To reduce the error in determining the viscosity coefficient of the liquid, video recording of the ball falling in the test liquid was used, followed by graphical processing of the experimental results to calculate the constant speed of the ball and the area in which a constant speed is observed. Results and discussion. The method was tested on the example of determining the viscosity coefficient of glycerin. Examples of computer-graphical processing of the results of experiments for calculating the constant velocity of the ball falling in glycerin are given. It is shown that a tenfold deceleration of the video recording of the fall of a steel ball in glycerin practically does not affect the result of processing its position during the fall and the value of the constant velocity. A visual picture of the movement of a ball in glycerin in the center of a dimensional glass cylinder is obtained. The liquid flows around the ball in laminar mode, which makes it possible to apply the Stokes dependence for the resistance force. Conclusions. It is shown that the proposed method of optical video recording of the ball falling in glycerin allows measuring a constant rate of fall with an error of less than 0.2 %. The laboratory work on determining the viscosity coefficient of a liquid by the Stokes method has been modernized, which allows determining the viscosity coefficient with an error of less than 4 %. Keywords: viscosity coefficient, glycerin, Stokes method, laboratory technique.
介绍。根据俄罗斯EMERCOM高等技术院校学生和学员的培养计划,在学习分子物理学时,进行了“用斯托克斯法测定液体粘度系数”的实验室工作。之所以需要这项工作,是因为学生在视觉上熟悉液体中的传递现象,因为在将来解决水力学问题和操作消防设备时,有必要考虑液体的粘度。目标和目的。这项研究的目的是使斯托克斯法测定液体粘度的实验室方法现代化,因为对这项工作发表的描述的分析表明,测定粘度的相对误差为15%或更多。方法。为了减少测定液体粘度系数时的误差,采用视频记录球在测试液体中下落的过程,然后对实验结果进行图形化处理,计算出球的恒速和观察到恒速的区域。结果和讨论。以甘油粘度系数的测定为例,对该方法进行了验证。给出了计算球在甘油中匀速下落的实验结果的计算机图形化处理实例。结果表明,将钢球在甘油中下落的录像速度减慢十倍,实际上并不影响钢球下落时的位置和等速值的处理结果。得到了一个球在三维玻璃圆柱体中心的甘油中运动的视觉图像。液体以层流方式绕球流动,这使得阻力的斯托克斯依赖成为可能。结论。结果表明,所提出的球在甘油中下落的光学视频记录方法可以测量恒定的下落率,误差小于0.2%。用斯托克斯法测定液体粘度系数的实验室工作已经现代化,它允许以小于4%的误差测定粘度系数。关键词:粘度系数,甘油,斯托克斯法,实验室技术。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling the threats of dangerous weather conditions using the theory of blurred sets 利用模糊集理论对危险天气条件的威胁进行建模
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.25257/tts.2021.4.94.187-200
D. A. Berezhnoy, S. Butuzov, O. Kosorukov
Introduction. The author's methods of forecasting the threat of emergencies caused by hazardous meteorological conditions are considered to ensure the required level of safety, including on the territory of the Republic of Crimea. Research objective: increasing the efficiency of the warning system and informing the population about emergency situations caused by hazardous weather conditions. Methods. To solve the problem of decision-making when predicting emergency situations caused by hazardous meteorological conditions, the methods of the theory of fuzzy sets are used. The article presents a method for determining the criteria, with the help of which it is possible to establish exactly whether the presented object belongs to the corresponding class. To implement the goal of timely informing and alerting the population and services of the Unified State System for the Prevention and Response of Emergencies (RSChS), lowering the entropy of an adequate assessment of the situation and taking effective measures to preserve the life and health of people, it is proposed to rank the criteria by wind speed, precipitation and air temperature , according to the levels of danger, indicating specific preventive measures for the population, management bodies and RSChS services. Results and discussion. A method is presented for determining the criteria by which it is possible to establish exactly whether the presented object belongs to the appropriate class. The method allows you to determine to what level of danger the situation can go. Conclusions. As the analysis has shown, the likelihood of the occurrence of a yellow level of threat during the year is practically the same. At the same time, the likelihood of a deterioration in the situation with the already emerging yellow threat level in the autumn-winter period is slightly higher. When the wind speed reaches the upper boundaries of the yellow level of threat in the autumn-winter period, the situation worsens twice as often than with the same values of the indicators in the spring-summer period. Key words: meteorological conditions, forecasting, fuzzy set theory, decision support system.
介绍。作者预测危险气象条件造成的紧急情况威胁的方法被认为可确保所需的安全水平,包括在克里米亚共和国领土上。研究目标:提高预警系统的效率,向民众通报危险天气条件造成的紧急情况。方法。为了解决灾害气象条件引起的紧急情况预测中的决策问题,运用了模糊集理论的方法。本文提出了一种确定标准的方法,借助该方法可以准确地确定所呈现的对象是否属于相应的类。为了实现及时向国家紧急情况预防和响应系统(RSChS)的人口和服务部门通报和警报的目标,降低对情况进行充分评估的熵值,并采取有效措施保护人民的生命和健康,建议根据危险程度按风速、降水和气温对标准进行排序,表明对人口的具体预防措施。管理机构和RSChS服务。结果和讨论。提出了一种方法,用于确定标准,通过该标准可以准确地确定所呈现的对象是否属于适当的类。这种方法可以让你确定情况会发展到什么程度。结论。正如分析所显示的,这一年中发生黄色威胁的可能性实际上是相同的。与此同时,随着秋冬季期间已经出现黄色威胁级别,情况恶化的可能性略高。当风速在秋冬期达到黄色威胁等级上限时,情况恶化的频率是相同指标值下春夏期的两倍。关键词:气象条件预报模糊集理论决策支持系统
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引用次数: 0
A model for estimating the influence of chlorine scattering at its emergency releases into the atmosphere at a potentially hazardous object in the city of Krasnoyarsk 用于估计克拉斯诺亚尔斯克市一个潜在危险物体紧急释放到大气中的氯散射影响的模型
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.25257/tts.2021.4.94.105-116
A. L. Khrulkevich, Y. Grebnev, A. Ovsyanik
Introduction. The article considers the risk of occurrence and development of an emergency situation caused by the occurrence of a landscape fire and the transition of a fire to technological buildings with further depressurization of containers containing chlorine. One of the threats to the city of Krasnoyarsk is chemically hazardous facilities that have the task of providing life support to the population and are located in complete isolation. These objects do not have a road connection with the coastline, which makes it practically impossible to use forces and means designed to respond to operational events at these objects in a timely manner. Goals and objectives. The aim of the study was to simulate the conditions of chlorine scattering during its accidental releases into the atmosphere and to identify the dependencies of the scattering parameters on the technological features of the release, weather conditions, as well as the characteristics of the environment where the release occurs. Methods. To simulate an emergency situation at a water treatment plant, the method of simulation modeling using the TOXI+Risk software product was used, and the method of neural network forecasting using the Scikit-Learn library in the Python programming language was used. Results and discussion. The simulation results demonstrated the possibility of using neural network modeling to solve the problem of short-term forecasting of the areas of dispersion of a chemically dangerous substance (chlorine). The analytical method and the neural network method are compared. Proposals have been developed to reduce the potential risk of an emergency. Conclusions. The use of a neural network model makes it possible to increase the speed of calculating the concentrations of AHS at various points in space in comparison with the use of a traditional integral model, as well as to assess the potential danger of scattering AHS in the event of destruction of the tank in the presence of a terrain model. However, the considered neural network model can predict the concentration exclusively in the training ranges of weather conditions. The combination of neural network and integrated models makes it possible to solve the problems of industrial safety under any circumstances. Key words: emergency chemically hazardous substance, emergency, chlorine, risk, threat, simulation modeling, forecasting, neural network model, analytical model.
介绍。本文考虑了景观火灾的发生和火灾向技术建筑的过渡以及含氯容器进一步降压所引起的紧急情况发生和发展的风险。克拉斯诺亚尔斯克市面临的威胁之一是具有化学危险的设施,这些设施的任务是为居民提供生命支持,并且完全与世隔绝。这些目标与海岸线没有公路连接,因此实际上不可能使用旨在及时对这些目标的作战事件作出反应的部队和手段。目标和目的。这项研究的目的是模拟氯在意外释放到大气中的散射条件,并确定散射参数与释放的技术特征、天气条件以及释放发生的环境特征的依赖关系。方法。采用TOXI+Risk软件产品进行仿真建模,采用Python编程语言中的Scikit-Learn库进行神经网络预测的方法,对某自来水厂的突发事件进行模拟。结果和讨论。仿真结果证明了利用神经网络建模解决化学危险物质(氯)扩散区域短期预测问题的可能性。对解析法和神经网络法进行了比较。已拟订了减少紧急情况潜在危险的建议。结论。与使用传统的积分模型相比,使用神经网络模型可以提高计算空间中各个点的AHS浓度的速度,并且可以评估在地形模型存在的情况下坦克被摧毁时散射AHS的潜在危险。然而,所考虑的神经网络模型只能在天气条件的训练范围内预测浓度。神经网络与集成模型的结合使得解决任何情况下的工业安全问题成为可能。关键词:突发化学危险物质,突发事件,氯,风险,威胁,仿真建模,预测,神经网络模型,分析模型
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引用次数: 0
THE RESULTS OF THE EXPERIMENTAL DETERMINATION OF THE GEOMETRIC PARAMETERS OF THE ENCLOSURES OF RESERVOIRS OF THE TYPE "GLASS IN GLASS" “玻璃中玻璃”型水库围护结构几何参数的实验测定结果
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.25257/tts.2019.3.85.13-23
A. S. Shvyrkov
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引用次数: 0
WOOD AS AN ELEMENT OF STRUCTURAL FIRE PROTECTION 木材作为结构防火的一种元素
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.25257/tts.2019.1.83.34-41
E. Polishchuk, P. V. Khalepa, A. Sivenkov
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Technology of technosphere safety
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