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A model for information support of fire brigades management when extinguishing fires in buildings 楼宇灭火时消防队管理信息支持模型
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.25257/tts.2022.2.96.141-150
K. Mikhailov
Introduction. Fire brigades carry out actions to extinguish fires in buildings in conditions of insufficient visibility. To increase the probability of extinguishing a fire by the first arriving unit, it is necessary to improve their information support. For information support for fire brigades control, it is suggested to use shortwave infrared range monitoring tools. The results of assessing the degree of influence of factors (smoke conditions and the availability of short-wave infrared range means) on the information support of fire brigades when extinguishing fires in buildings are presented. Goals and objectives. The aim of the study is to improve the information support of fire brigades based on the use of short-wave infrared monitoring tools when extinguishing fires in buildings. The objectives of the study are to build a factor model, determine the level of significance of factors – conditions for information support of fire departments and smoke conditions during a fire in a building, and analyze the results obtained. Methods. When conducting the research on constructing a factor model and determining the degree of influence of factors on the information support of fire brigades when extinguishing fires in buildings, scientific methods were used: analysis, synthesis, factor experiment, statistical processing of experimental data. Results and discussion. The results of the evaluation of the influence of factors on the information support of fire brigades showed that both factors – the degree of smoke and the availability of short-wave infrared monitoring tools are significant. In turn, improved information support conditions increase the likelihood of conducting a fire reconnaissance in the building. The results of the study can be used in the educational process when training personnel of fire brigades to practice professional skills. Conclusions. A factor model was built, which made it possible to determine the degree of influence of factors on the information support of fire departments when extinguishing fires in a building. It was found that the factors – smoke conditions and the availability of short-wave infrared monitoring tools are significant for information support of fire department management when extinguishing fires in a building. Keywords: visibility, smoke degree, short-wave infrared range, the source of fire.
介绍。消防队在能见度不足的情况下采取行动扑灭建筑物内的火灾。为了提高第一个到达单位扑灭火灾的可能性,有必要改善他们的信息支持。建议使用短波红外距离监控工具,为消防队控制提供信息保障。给出了烟雾条件和短波红外距离手段的可用性等因素对消防队灭火信息保障的影响程度的评估结果。目标和目的。这项研究的目的是改善消防队在扑灭建筑物火灾时使用短波红外监控工具的信息支持。本研究的目的是建立因子模型,确定因子-消防部门信息支持条件和建筑物火灾时烟雾条件的显著性水平,并对所得结果进行分析。方法。在构建因子模型,确定各因子对消防队扑救建筑物火灾信息保障的影响程度的研究中,采用了分析、综合、因子实验、对实验数据进行统计处理等科学方法。结果和讨论。对各因素对消防队信息保障的影响进行了评价,结果表明,烟雾程度和短波红外监测工具的可用性这两个因素都具有显著性。反过来,改善的信息支持条件增加了在建筑物中进行火灾侦察的可能性。研究结果可用于消防队人员专业技能培训的教学过程中。结论。通过建立因子模型,可以确定各因子对消防部门灭火信息支持的影响程度。研究发现,烟雾条件和短波红外监测工具的可用性对消防部门在建筑物灭火时提供信息支持具有重要意义。关键词:能见度,烟雾度,短波红外距离,火源。
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引用次数: 0
Algorithm for determining limits of individual fire risk for Vietnam 确定越南个人火灾风险极限的算法
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.25257/tts.2022.4.98.52-67
N. N. Brushlinsky, S. V. Sokolov, N. L. Prisyazhnyuk, V. H. Truong
Introduction. Fire risk management is an important part of any country's fire safety. For fire risk management, the normative value of individual fire risk (IFR) is important. This indicator allows fire safety specialists to compare the actual (calculated) values of an individual fire risk with its standard value. In many countries of the world, the values of IFR are defined, but in Vietnam such a standard has not yet been established, which complicates management activities in the field of fire safety. To establish the value of IFR, the limiting indicators of this value are initially determined. Aims and Purposes. The purpose of this article is to define an upper and lower limit for individual fire risk. To achieve this goal, it is necessary to develop an algorithm and apply it to determine the limiting values of the IFR. Methods. Used methods of mathematical analysis and methods of mathematical statistics. Results and discussion. Based on the results of the study, an algorithm was obtained for determining the upper and lower limit levels of individual fire risk in Vietnam and their specific values. This is an important step in directly defining the value of the IFR for Vietnam. Creating the value of IFR is extremely necessary when making managerial decisions to ensure the fire safety of territories and objects economically in Vietnam. Conclusions. Based on the developed algorithm, it was found that the indicator of the upper limit level of individual fire risk for Vietnam is 3,7∙10-6 and the indicator of the lower limit level is 3,7∙10-8. This means that the death toll from the fires in Vietnam must be higher than 3,7 deaths per 100 million people. per year and below 3,7 victims. per 1 million people in year. The value of the normative individual fire risk in Vietnam should be within these limits. Keywords: individual fire risk, marginal risk level, null hypothesis, ALARP principle, regression analysis.
介绍。火灾风险管理是各国消防安全的重要组成部分。对于火灾风险管理来说,个体火灾风险(IFR)的规范性值是很重要的。该指标允许消防安全专家将个别火灾风险的实际(计算)值与其标准值进行比较。世界上许多国家都确定了IFR的值,但在越南尚未建立这样的标准,这使消防安全领域的管理活动变得复杂。为了确定IFR的值,首先确定该值的限制指标。目标和目的。本文的目的是定义个人火灾风险的上限和下限。为了实现这一目标,有必要开发一种算法并应用它来确定IFR的极限值。方法。运用数学分析方法和数理统计方法。结果和讨论。根据研究结果,获得了确定越南个人火灾风险上限和下限水平及其具体值的算法。这是直接确定越南IFR价值的重要一步。在制定管理决策以确保越南领土和物体的经济消防安全时,创造IFR的价值是极其必要的。结论。基于所开发的算法,发现越南个体火灾风险上限指标为3.7∙10-6,下限指标为3.7∙10-8。这意味着越南火灾造成的死亡人数必须高于每1亿人死亡3.7人。每年有少于37名受害者。每年每100万人。越南规范的个人火灾风险值应在这些范围内。关键词:个人火灾风险,边际风险水平,零假设,ALARP原理,回归分析。
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引用次数: 0
SYSTEM OF MODELS FOR ANALYZING THE RESPONSE EFFICIENCY OF FIRE DEPARTMENTS 分析消防部门反应效率的模型系统
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.25257/tts.2019.3.85.65-76
V. Vilisov, V. Semikov, S. P. Alexeev
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引用次数: 0
FEATURES OF THE SOCIOTECHNICAL SYSTEM OF SAVING PEOPLE IN CASE OF FIRE IN A PUBLIC BUILDING 公共建筑火灾救援社会技术系统的特点
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.25257/TTS.2019.1.83.101-112
V. Kolodkin, D. Varlamov
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引用次数: 0
Model and methodology for assessing the degree of complexity of buildings for organizing the actions of fire departments 评估建筑物复杂程度的模型和方法,以组织消防部门的行动
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.25257/tts.2022.2.96.69-81
Egor Vladimirovich Stepanov, Min Khoang Kha Chan, S. Butuzov, V. V. Terebnev, D. Tarakanov
Introduction. Extinguishing fires in buildings causes the need for firefighters to carry out actions in conditions of limited visibility and unsuitable for breathing environment. To ensure fire safety of buildings of increased complexity and basements of complex layout, it is necessary to equip fire protection units with breathing apparatus with extended protective action time. The decision on equipment is made by the head of the territorial body of EMERCOM of Russia. However, at the moment there are no methods and criteria for assessing the degree of complexity of buildings in terms of the actions of fire departments. Accordingly, the person making the decision on equipment is based only on experience in extinguishing similar fires. Goals and objectives. The aim of the study is to develop a model for assessing the degree of complexity of buildings to support decision-making in extinguishing fires. To achieve this goal, it is necessary to develop a model and methodology for assessing the degree of complexity of buildings for firefighters in an inhospitable environment. Methods. In the course of this study, a graph model was used to formalize the description of the degree of complexity of the building. The complexity assessment was carried out according to four parameters relative to the average value obtained for all the studied objects. Simulation modeling was used to assess the reliability of the research results. Results and its discussion. A model and methodology for determining the spatial degree of complexity of the task for the actions of fire departments have been developed, which allow determining the relative complexity index. The comparison of the results of the assessment of the degree of complexity of buildings with the time of the survey by gas and smoke protectors obtained as a result of the simulation modeling was carried out. Conclusions. The application of the results of the study will allow the decision-maker to determine the degree of complexity of buildings, which is necessary when choosing breathing apparatus with an extended protective action time and when predicting the likelihood of large (from the point of view of extinguishing tactics) fires. Keywords: degree of complexity of the building, fire protection units, large fires, graph model, assessment methodology.
介绍。扑灭建筑物中的火灾需要消防员在能见度有限和不适合呼吸的环境中执行行动。为保证复杂性增加的建筑物和布局复杂的地下室的消防安全,有必要为消防单位配备防护作用时间延长的呼吸器。装备的决定是由俄罗斯EMERCOM地区机构的负责人做出的。然而,目前还没有方法和标准来评估消防部门行动中建筑物的复杂程度。因此,对设备做出决定的人仅仅是基于扑灭类似火灾的经验。目标和目的。该研究的目的是开发一个模型来评估建筑物的复杂程度,以支持灭火决策。为了实现这一目标,有必要开发一种模型和方法来评估消防员在恶劣环境中建筑物的复杂程度。方法。在本研究过程中,使用图形模型来形式化描述建筑的复杂程度。根据四个参数相对于所有研究对象的平均值进行复杂性评估。采用仿真建模对研究结果的可靠性进行评估。结果及其讨论。确定消防部门行动任务的空间复杂程度的模型和方法已经开发出来,它允许确定相对复杂性指数。将模拟建模得到的建筑物复杂程度评估结果与燃气和烟雾保护器的调查时间进行了比较。结论。研究结果的应用将使决策者能够确定建筑物的复杂程度,这在选择具有延长保护作用时间的呼吸器和预测大型(从灭火战术的角度来看)火灾的可能性时是必要的。关键词:建筑复杂程度,消防单位,大型火灾,图形模型,评估方法
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引用次数: 0
ANALYSIS OF STRUCTURAL AND LOGIC MODEL OF RESERVATION OF THE MEANS OF OPERATIONAL FIRE MONITORING 实用型火灾监控装置预留的结构与逻辑模型分析
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.25257/tts.2019.2.84.99-107
A. V. Kuznetsov, Ivanovo Fire, M. O. Bakanov, D. Tarakanov
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of the behavior of the staff of shops of shopping and entertainment centers when organizing the evacuation of people 在组织人员疏散时,对购物娱乐中心商店工作人员的行为进行评估
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.25257/tts.2022.3.97.144-159
Andrey Aleksandrovich Efimov, D. Shikhalev
Introduction. Fires in shopping and entertainment centers often receive a wide public response. First of all, this is due to the large number of dead and injured people. The results of domestic and foreign studies in the field of evacuation indicate that the behavior of personnel is one of the key factors affecting the safety of people in case of fire. However, the analysis of information about large fires at such facilities showed that the staff of shopping and entertainment centers does not always have the appropriate level of training and skills to organize the evacuation of visitors to the facility, which negatively affects the process under consideration. The established facts confirm the relevance of the research topic. Goals and objectives. The purpose of the study is to establish the factors influencing the process of organizing the evacuation of people by collecting and analyzing information about the actions of personnel when various signs of fire appear. To achieve this goal, it is necessary to conduct a survey of persons responsible for the evacuation of visitors to shopping and entertainment centers. Methods. To formalize the decision-making process and obtain data on the behavior of the staff of shopping and entertainment centers when organizing the evacuation of visitors, identifying their quantitative parameters and prevalence, a proven method of individual questioning was used. Results and its discussion. In the course of the study, a survey of the staff of shops of shopping and entertainment centers (384 respondents) was conducted. Important facts in the field of organization of the evacuation process have been revealed. Algorithms of personnel actions have been established when various signs of fire appear, as well as the procedure for organizing evacuation has been formalized. Conclusions. The results obtained will be applied in the development of an information and analytical system to support management decision-making in the organization of evacuation from shopping and entertainment centers. Computer simulation of evacuation, taking into account the algorithms obtained, will allow us to determine rational strategies for organizing the evacuation of people. Keywords: survey, evacuation organization, store staff, shopping and entertainment center, decision support.
介绍。在购物和娱乐中心发生的火灾经常引起公众的广泛反应。首先,这是由于伤亡人数众多。国内外在疏散领域的研究结果表明,发生火灾时人员的行为是影响人员安全的关键因素之一。然而,对这些设施发生大火的资料的分析表明,购物和娱乐中心的工作人员并不总是具有适当的培训水平和技能来组织将游客疏散到设施,这对所考虑的过程产生了负面影响。既定的事实证实了研究课题的相关性。目标和目的。本研究的目的是通过收集和分析各种火灾迹象出现时人员的行为信息,建立影响组织人员疏散过程的因素。为了实现这一目标,有必要对负责将游客疏散到购物和娱乐中心的人员进行调查。方法。为了使决策过程形式化,并获得购物和娱乐中心工作人员在组织游客疏散时的行为数据,确定其定量参数和流行程度,采用了一种经过验证的个人询问方法。结果及其讨论。在研究过程中,对购物娱乐中心的工作人员(384名受访者)进行了调查。在组织撤离过程方面的重要事实已被揭露。建立了各种火灾迹象出现时的人员行动算法,并形成了组织疏散的程序。结论。获得的结果将应用于开发信息和分析系统,以支持组织从购物和娱乐中心疏散的管理决策。计算机模拟疏散,考虑到得到的算法,将使我们能够确定组织人员疏散的合理策略。关键词:调查,疏散组织,店员,购物娱乐中心,决策支持。
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引用次数: 0
Studying of some dangerous factors of the initial stage of fire in residential premises with the use of modern technical means 运用现代技术手段对住宅火灾初期的一些危险因素进行了研究
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.25257/tts.2021.2.92.33-46
E. Anosova, M. Kaziev, A. N. Shushpanov, A. G. Litvinenko
Introduction. An experimental installation with data logging based on the Arduino platform was developed to implement the approach used in modeling the spread of fire hazards in small rooms. The values of the heat flow from the convective column of the combustion center in the initial stage of the fire for a residential building with a predominant cellulose load were determined using obtained device according to the zone model of the fire. Goals and objectives. The purpose of this work is to create a compact device that allows us to quickly assess the development of fire hazards over time at the initial stage of their occurrence and to hold experiments at objects comparable in size to real fragments of buildings and premises. Methods. An experiment with the use of the field test method of fire hazard testing and an assumption about the possibility of using the developed device in testing the dynamics of the spread of fire hazards in rooms with a cellulose fire load was conducted. It is based on the data about the zonal modeling of the spread of fire hazards using modern technical means. Results and discussions. Experimental studies seem to be a necessary part of the forecast of the spread of fire hazards in residential premises. Field fire tests, which refer to tests of fragments of buildings and structures that are close in size to real objects, are able most accurately convey the conditions that occur in apartments and private homes during the fire phase. The current level of development of microelectronics makes it possible to use hardware and software for a wide range of people, including those who do not have a special education. Device, developed and created by the authors, is based on the Arduino Mega 2560 platform. It is compact and portable. It allows quickly receive and record data from the experiment of modeling fire conditions in small rooms. The obtained results allows us to estimate the level of heat flow of the convective column from the ignited wood, which simulates the fire load in the room to the ceiling, as well as the average temperature of the gas medium and the heat loss coefficient in the ceiling. Conclusions. The using of the experimental device presented by the authors makes it possible to optimize the obtaining of individual characteristics of the dynamics of fire hazards at the initial stage of ignition. Keywords: fire hazards, zone fire model, heat flow, field fire test, arduino platform
介绍。开发了一个基于Arduino平台的具有数据记录功能的实验装置,以实现对小房间火灾危险传播建模的方法。根据火灾的区域模型,利用所获得的装置确定了纤维素负荷占优势的住宅楼火灾初期燃烧中心对流柱的热流值。目标和目的。这项工作的目的是创造一个紧凑的设备,使我们能够在火灾发生的初始阶段快速评估火灾危险的发展,并在与建筑物和房屋的真实碎片大小相当的物体上进行实验。方法。采用火灾危险测试的现场测试方法进行了试验,并对使用所开发的装置测试具有纤维素火灾负荷的房间中火灾危险传播动力学的可能性进行了假设。本文利用现代技术手段对火灾危险蔓延进行了分区模拟。结果和讨论。实验研究似乎是预测住宅火灾危险蔓延的必要组成部分。现场火灾测试指的是对建筑物和结构的碎片进行测试,这些碎片的大小与真实物体接近,能够最准确地反映公寓和私人住宅在火灾阶段发生的情况。微电子技术目前的发展水平使各种各样的人,包括那些没有受过特殊教育的人,都可以使用硬件和软件。该设备由作者开发和创建,基于Arduino Mega 2560平台。它小巧便携。它可以快速接收和记录小房间模拟火灾条件的实验数据。得到的结果使我们可以估计从点燃的木材到天花板的对流柱的热流水平,模拟房间内的火灾负荷,以及天花板内气体介质的平均温度和热损失系数。结论。本文所提出的实验装置的使用,使着火初始阶段火源动力学个体特征的获得最优化成为可能。关键词:火灾隐患,区域火灾模型,热流,现场火灾测试,arduino平台
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引用次数: 0
Mathematical basis of stochastic modeling multicomponent risks in security systems 安全系统多组分风险随机建模的数学基础
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.25257/tts.2021.4.94.125-143
M. Prus
Introduction. It is shown that the development of methods for modeling multicomponent risks is a promising direction for improving information and analytical support for control in security systems. The purpose of the study is to develop new approaches to the study of natural, technogenic and anthropogenic risks based on stochastic modeling of the structure of multicomponent risks in socio-technical systems. Methods of stochastic modeling are based on a matrix representation of risk components, detailing the states of the protected object and the probabilistic characteristics of the functioning of security systems. Results and discussion. A method for analyzing multicomponent risks is presented, reflecting in-depth detailing of the states of the protected object and the probabilistic characteristics of the functioning of security systems. A stochastic model has been built that describes the structure of risk as a result of the interaction of two components, a multiplier and an accelerator, associated with various elements of the model, which, respectively, determine the possibility of occurrence of dangerous events, as well as the degree of vulnerability of protected objects. A connection is established between the indicators of expected losses in a certain territory with the presence of forces, means and systems of protection against the effects of hazardous factors and their current state. The procedures for determining the main parameters of the proposed stochastic model based on statistical and expert methods are discussed. A mathematical toolkit has been created for comparative analysis of the effectiveness of measures to reduce risks in socio-technical systems. The problem of multicriteria combinatorial optimization of planned costs and distribution of financial, material, technical and labor resources in territorial security systems is formulated. Conclusions. Methods for modeling multicomponent risks can be used to create effective algorithms for supporting risk-oriented management in security systems. Key words: stochastic modeling, multicomponent risk, socio-technical system, risk management, security system.
介绍。研究表明,发展多组件风险建模方法是提高安全系统控制信息和分析支持的一个有前途的方向。本研究的目的是基于社会技术系统中多成分风险结构的随机建模,开发研究自然风险、技术风险和人为风险的新方法。随机建模方法基于风险成分的矩阵表示,详细说明了受保护对象的状态和安全系统功能的概率特征。结果和讨论。提出了一种分析多组分风险的方法,该方法反映了受保护对象状态的深入细节和安全系统功能的概率特征。建立了一个随机模型,该模型描述了风险结构,这是与模型的各个元素相关联的两个组成部分(乘数和加速器)相互作用的结果,它们分别决定了危险事件发生的可能性以及受保护对象的脆弱性程度。在某一领土上,在存在防止危险因素影响的部队、手段和保护制度的情况下,预期损失的指标与其现状之间建立了联系。讨论了基于统计方法和专家方法的随机模型主要参数的确定过程。创建了一个数学工具包,用于比较分析减少社会技术系统风险的措施的有效性。提出了国土安全系统中计划成本和财政、物资、技术、人力资源配置的多准则组合优化问题。结论。建模多组件风险的方法可用于创建有效的算法,以支持安全系统中面向风险的管理。关键词:随机建模,多组分风险,社会技术系统,风险管理,安全系统
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引用次数: 0
EXPERIMENTAL STUDY OF EXTINGUISHING OIL POWER TRANSFORMERS 灭火油电力变压器的实验研究
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.25257/TTS.2019.2.84.27-34
A. Rozhkov, D. Perednya, O. A. Dyuzhakov, Llc Promo Consulting
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引用次数: 0
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Technology of technosphere safety
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