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Revealing optimal end-of-life options for biodegradable plastic bags: A cradle-to-grave life cycle assessment. 揭示生物降解塑料袋的最佳使用寿命选择:从摇篮到坟墓的生命周期评估。
IF 8.4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.128599
Ye Zhang, Ya Zhou, Xuechun Yang, Qilin Wen, Hailin Tian, Ning Chen, Xinchao Bian, Qinghai Zhou, Xianhong Wang, Yufeng Wu, Zhifeng Yang
<p><p>Growing environmental concerns over plastic waste and fossil fuel consumption have driven the exploration of sustainable alternatives such as biodegradable plastics. Previous studies mainly focused on the PBAT, PLA and their blends with different scope, data source, and EOL scenarios in different degradation conditions, which leads to the bias in the degradation rate of biodegradable plastics and environmental impact results. This study conducted a comparative life cycle assessment of commercial biodegradable plastic bags made from PLA/PBAT and PLA/PPC blends based on the localized life cycle inventory for biodegradable plastic in China. Four end-of-life (EOL) options including industrial composting, anaerobic digestion, incineration and landfill were considered to identify the optimal environmental performance of biodegradable plastic bags, and environmental performance of biodegradable plastic blended bags replacing conventional plastic bags in the express and takeaway industries were evaluated. Results revealed that PBAT/PLA/CaCO<sub>3</sub> plastic bags showed superior environmental performance across 10 impact categories compared to other blended biodegradable plastic bags (with reduction ranging from 8 % to 48 %), primarily evident in human toxicity (27 %-48 % reduction), ecotoxicity (35 %-40 % reduction), terrestrial acidification (36 %-39 % reduction) and marine eutrophication (24 %-27 % reduction). This advantage stems from the high inorganic filler content, which reduces the consumption of virgin petroleum polymers. In contrast, due to lower CO<sub>2</sub> emission and energy consumption in feedstock production, PLA/PPC plastic bags performed superior performance across other seven impact categories, such as ozone depletion (80 %-87 % reduction), ionizing radiation (22 %-25 % reduction) and global warming potential (22 %-26 % reduction). The cradle-to-grave GWP of PLA/PPC (70/30) plastic bags is 4.22 kg CO<sub>2</sub> eq per kg, 26 % lower than that of PBAT/PLA/CaCO<sub>3</sub> (67/3/30) plastic bags. Biodegradable plastic bags have better environmental performance in anaerobic digestion and incineration conditions, the worst in composting condition. Anaerobic digestion is the optimal EOL option for PPC/PLA plastic bags, offsetting 2 %-65 % of the cradle-to-gate environmental impact across 18 impact categories. Incineration is the optimal EOL option for PBAT/PLA plastic bags, offsetting 1 %-43 % of the cradle-to-gate environmental impact across 18 impact categories. The substitution of PVC bags with biodegradable plastic in the express industry has significant environmental gains, with impacts reduction ranging from 16 % to 97 % across 9 impact categories. Substituting HDPE bags with biodegradable alternatives in the takeaway industry has limited benefits, achieving emission reductions ranging from 3 to 96 % across only 5 impact categories. This study provides insights for green substitution and sustainability of biodegradable pla
对塑料废物和化石燃料消耗日益增长的环境担忧推动了对生物可降解塑料等可持续替代品的探索。以往的研究主要集中在PBAT、PLA及其共混物上,研究范围、数据来源和EOL场景不同,降解条件不同,导致生物降解塑料的降解速率和环境影响结果存在偏差。本研究基于中国生物降解塑料的本地化生命周期清单,对PLA/PBAT和PLA/PPC共混物制成的商用生物降解塑料袋的生命周期进行了比较评估。综合考虑工业堆肥、厌氧消化、焚烧和填埋4种使用寿命终结方案,确定了生物降解塑料袋的最佳环境性能,并对生物降解塑料混合袋替代传统塑料袋在快递外卖行业的环境性能进行了评价。结果表明,与其他混合可生物降解塑料袋相比,PBAT/PLA/CaCO3塑料袋在10个影响类别中表现出优异的环境性能(减少幅度为8%至48%),主要表现在人体毒性(减少27% - 48%)、生态毒性(减少35% - 40%)、陆地酸化(减少36% - 39%)和海洋富营养化(减少24% - 27%)。这一优势源于无机填料含量高,从而减少了原生石油聚合物的消耗。相比之下,由于更低的二氧化碳排放和原料生产中的能源消耗,PLA/PPC塑料袋在其他七个影响类别中表现优异,例如臭氧消耗(减少80% - 87%),电离辐射(减少22% - 25%)和全球变暖潜能值(减少22% - 26%)。PLA/PPC(70/30)塑料袋从摇篮到坟墓的GWP为4.22 kg CO2当量/ kg,比PBAT/PLA/CaCO3(67/3/30)塑料袋低26%。可生物降解塑料袋在厌氧消化和焚烧条件下环境性能较好,在堆肥条件下最差。厌氧消化是PPC/PLA塑料袋的最佳EOL选择,在18个影响类别中抵消了2% - 65%的从摇篮到大门的环境影响。焚烧是PBAT/PLA塑料袋的最佳EOL选择,在18个影响类别中抵消了1% - 43%的从摇篮到大门的环境影响。在快递行业中,用可生物降解塑料代替PVC袋对环境有显著的好处,在9个影响类别中,影响减少了16%到97%。在外卖行业,用可生物降解的替代品取代HDPE袋的好处有限,仅在5个影响类别中实现了3%至96%的减排。本研究为生物降解塑料包装的绿色替代和可持续性,以及塑料包装废弃物的可持续管理提供了启示。
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引用次数: 0
Driving analysis and multi-scenario simulation of water-energy-food system efficiency in the Yellow River Basin: An integrated XGBoost and LSTM analysis. 黄河流域水-能-粮系统效率驱动分析及多情景模拟——基于XGBoost和LSTM的综合分析
IF 8.4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.128602
Huiqiang Fu, Dengshuai Chen, Xin Li, Yifang Duan

The Water-Energy-Food (WEF) Nexus, which provides a critical framework for coordinating the management of multiple interrelated fundamental resources, such as water, energy and food, is key to achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Urgently conduct the in-depth research on the spatiotemporal evolution driving mechanism of WEF efficiency, and scientific predictions of its dynamic response in different future development scenarios. Therefore, this study constructed a comprehensive framework that integrates the super-efficiency network SBM model, Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression (GTWR) model, Explainable Machine Learning model and XGBoost-LSTM model, to conduct the quantitative evaluation, driving factor analysis, and multi-scenario simulation of the WEF system efficiency in the Yellow River Basin (YRB) of China. The results show that: (1) From 2000 to 2022, the efficiency of WEF system and its subsystems followed a declining-then-rising trend; (2) Driven by economic development and ecological resilience, the eastern and southern regions demonstrated higher system efficiency and better subsystem balance compared to the central and western regions; (3) The spatiotemporal heterogeneity significantly shapes the critical impact of government fiscal capacity in improving the WEF system and its energy and food subsystems, while water use control is crucial for enhancing the water subsystem efficiency; (4) Compared to single XGBoost and LSTM models, the XGBoost-LSTM integrated model improves prediction accuracy by approximately 12.11 % and 8.9 %, respectively; (5) Multi-scenario projections based on the XGBoost-LSTM model identify the WEF synergistic enhancement scenario as the optimal pathway for enhancing WEF system efficiency in the YRB. The WEF comprehensive framework proposed in this study can provide case demonstration and technical method for other regions in the world facing similarly resource management and sustainable development issues.

水-能源-粮食关系为协调水、能源和粮食等多种相互关联的基本资源的管理提供了一个关键框架,是实现可持续发展目标的关键。迫切需要深入研究世界经济论坛效率的时空演化驱动机制,科学预测其在未来不同发展情景下的动态响应。为此,本研究构建了一个整合超效率网络SBM模型、GTWR模型、可解释机器学习模型和XGBoost-LSTM模型的综合框架,对中国黄河流域世界经济论坛系统效率进行定量评价、驱动因素分析和多场景模拟。结果表明:(1)2000 - 2022年,世界经济论坛系统及其子系统效率呈现先下降后上升的趋势;(2)在经济发展和生态复原力的驱动下,东部和南部地区的系统效率高于中西部地区,子系统平衡性更好;(3)政府财政能力对改善世界经济论坛系统及其能源和粮食子系统的关键性影响具有显著的时空异质性,而水资源利用控制对提高水子系统效率至关重要;(4)与单一的XGBoost和LSTM模型相比,XGBoost-LSTM集成模型的预测精度分别提高了12.11%和8.9%;(5)基于XGBoost-LSTM模型的多情景预测表明,世界经济论坛协同增强情景是提高长江区世界经济论坛系统效率的最佳途径。本研究提出的世界经济论坛综合框架可以为世界上面临类似资源管理和可持续发展问题的其他地区提供案例示范和技术方法。
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引用次数: 0
Soil loss, firm performance, and financing structure: An empirical investigation of Italian agricultural firms. 土壤流失、企业绩效与融资结构:意大利农业企业的实证研究。
IF 8.4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.128563
Kevin Pirazzi Maffiola, Elena Beccalli, Edoardo Puglisi, Andrea Fiorini

Regulators, companies, and financial players are increasingly focusing on adverse climate events and environmental risks. Using a novel integration of high-resolution geospatial and firm-level financial data, this study provides the first empirical evidence on how rainfall-induced soil loss affects the financial performance and capital structure of Italian agricultural firms. We find that unsustainable soil erosion is associated with significantly lower profitability, manifesting as a decrease of 1.20% in Return on Assets (ROA) and 2.10% in Return on Equity (ROE). Unsustainable levels of soil loss also impair the ability to access external financing, as firms located in these areas exhibit lower levels of external bank financing (-2.00%) and (-3.30%) supplier short-term debt and rely more on equity financing (+4.80%). We also find partial support for the view that unsustainable soil loss impairs a firm's credit risk profile, evidenced by a negative relationship with the interest coverage ratio (-4.69). This research is highly relevant to international studies because it offers a concrete financial framework for understanding the economic consequences of environmental degradation. By providing quantifiable data linking soil loss to a firm's financial health, this study can inform policymakers and regulators globally of the hidden risks in agricultural supply chains. The methodology and insights can be applied to other countries facing similar challenges, providing a basis for considering how sustainable land management practices can contribute to mitigating systemic risks and fostering greater resilience in the agricultural sector.

监管机构、公司和金融机构越来越关注不利的气候事件和环境风险。利用高分辨率地理空间和企业层面财务数据的新颖整合,本研究首次提供了降雨引起的土壤流失如何影响意大利农业企业财务绩效和资本结构的实证证据。我们发现,不可持续的土壤侵蚀与盈利能力显著降低相关,表现为资产收益率(ROA)下降1.20%,净资产收益率(ROE)下降2.10%。不可持续的土壤流失水平也削弱了获得外部融资的能力,因为位于这些地区的公司表现出较低水平的外部银行融资(-2.00%)和供应商短期债务(-3.30%),更多地依赖股权融资(+4.80%)。我们还发现了部分支持不可持续的土壤流失损害公司信用风险状况的观点,这与利息覆盖率(-4.69)呈负相关。这项研究与国际研究高度相关,因为它为理解环境退化的经济后果提供了一个具体的金融框架。通过提供将土壤流失与企业财务状况联系起来的可量化数据,本研究可以让全球的政策制定者和监管机构了解农业供应链中隐藏的风险。这些方法和见解可以应用于面临类似挑战的其他国家,为考虑可持续土地管理实践如何有助于减轻系统性风险和增强农业部门的抵御能力提供基础。
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引用次数: 0
Applicability of machine learning in predicting N2O emission from wastewater treatment processes: a narrative review. 机器学习在预测废水处理过程中N2O排放中的适用性:叙述性回顾。
IF 8.4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.128609
Yingke Fang, Qi Sun, Shusen Wang, Hongcheng Wang, Hongbin Xu, Long Huang, Guoqiang Li, Yuan Li, Aijie Wang

Nitrous oxide (N2O) is a greenhouse gas produced during wastewater treatment. Recent advancements in computer technology have facilitated the generation and collection of large-scale multi-source datasets, rendering machine learning (ML) a powerful tool to predict N2O emissions from these processes. In the narrative review, the emission characteristics and pathways of N2O from wastewater treatment processes have been reviewed, while summarizing the mechanistic models, ML methods, and hybrid models used for N2O emission prediction. In particular, the performance of different models in predicting the N2O emission flux (accuracy), corresponding pathways and key influencing factors has been analyzed. Support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), and artificial neural network (ANN) algorithms were the most commonly used N2O emission prediction models with high performance (R2 > 0.90), computational speed, and interpretability. Key influencing factors identified by these models were nitrogen compounds, DO, and C/N, which was consisted with the domain knowledge. Hybrid models of mechanistic and ML algorithms (e.g., Long Short-Term Memory) were superior to the respective individual components in predicting N2O emission flux and pathways because of the fewer data requirements and higher interpretability. However, the issues of data availability, interpretability, and transferability challenge the applicability of ML models. Hence, further studies on performance improvement strategies (e.g., generative models, interpretable ML, and transfer learning) should be conducted. Nevertheless, the studied prediction methods are important for controlling global warming.

一氧化二氮(N2O)是废水处理过程中产生的温室气体。计算机技术的最新进步促进了大规模多源数据集的生成和收集,使机器学习(ML)成为预测这些过程中N2O排放的强大工具。本文综述了污水处理过程中N2O的排放特征和排放途径,综述了用于N2O排放预测的机理模型、ML方法和混合模型。重点分析了不同模型预测N2O排放通量的性能(精度)、预测途径和关键影响因素。支持向量机(SVM)、随机森林(RF)和人工神经网络(ANN)算法是最常用的N2O排放预测模型,具有较高的性能(R2 > 0.90)、计算速度快和可解释性。这些模型确定的主要影响因素是氮化合物、DO和C/N,与领域知识一致。在预测N2O排放通量和排放途径方面,机械和机器学习混合模型(如长短期记忆)的数据需求更少,可解释性更高。然而,数据可用性、可解释性和可移植性等问题对ML模型的适用性提出了挑战。因此,应该进一步研究性能改进策略(如生成模型、可解释ML和迁移学习)。研究的预测方法对控制全球变暖具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
A graph-based machine learning framework for river water quality management under data limitations. 数据限制下河流水质管理的基于图的机器学习框架。
IF 8.4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.128575
Sueryun Choi, Zahid Ullah, Moon Son

Accurate prediction of riverine water quality is often hindered by sparse sampling and limited streamflow data, a common outcome of resource-constrained watershed monitoring. To address this, we propose a three-module machine-learning framework-prediction (graph neural networks or recurrent networks), interpretation (explainable AI), and management (counterfactual analysis)-and apply it to chromaticity prediction in the Hantan River Basin, Republic of Korea. The dataset includes 1667 monthly observations from 59 monitoring sites (December 2021-October 2024) covering 37 hydro-environmental variables. Performance was assessed using independent training, validation, and test sets. Graph-based models outperformed the recurrent baseline, with the enhanced Graph Sample-and-Aggregate model achieving a test R2 of 0.82, demonstrating that representing pollution-source characteristics and transport pathways improves prediction. Interpretability analyses revealed management-relevant insights: PGExplainer highlighted strong upstream influences from the SC sub-watershed, identifying it as the primary intervention region. Feature attribution distinguished long-term influences (e.g., TOC near major WWTPs) from short-term episodic drivers associated with facility-specific effluent spikes. Counterfactual analyses quantified the reductions in effluent chromaticity and proximal indicators required to achieve downstream targets at site HT Y4. Counterfactual success rates-defined as the proportion of model-generated cases meeting the target-were 26 % and 40 % for chromaticity targets of 14 and 15 color units (CU), respectively. Given these outcomes and considering that 14-15 CU is generally acceptable for basin-scale management, a downstream target of 14-15 CU was proposed as feasible and practical. Overall, the framework serves as a cost-effective and interpretable decision-support tool for watershed management under data-limited monitoring conditions.

采样稀疏和流量数据有限往往阻碍了对河流水质的准确预测,这是资源受限的流域监测的常见结果。为了解决这个问题,我们提出了一个三模块的机器学习框架——预测(图神经网络或循环网络)、解释(可解释的人工智能)和管理(反事实分析)——并将其应用于韩国汉滩河流域的色度预测。该数据集包括来自59个监测点(2021年12月至2024年10月)的1667个月观测数据,涵盖37个水文环境变量。使用独立的训练、验证和测试集评估性能。基于图的模型优于循环基线,增强的图样本和聚合模型的检验R2为0.82,表明代表污染源特征和运输途径可以提高预测。可解释性分析揭示了与管理相关的见解:PGExplainer强调了来自SC子流域的强大上游影响,将其确定为主要干预区域。特征归因将长期影响(例如,主要污水处理厂附近的TOC)与与设施特定污水峰值相关的短期偶发驱动因素区分开来。反事实分析量化了在hty4站点实现下游目标所需的废水色度和近端指标的减少。反事实成功率-定义为模型生成的案例达到目标的比例-分别为14和15个颜色单位(CU)的色度目标的26%和40%。考虑到这些结果,并考虑到14-15 CU对于流域规模的管理通常是可以接受的,因此提出了14-15 CU的下游目标是可行和实际的。总体而言,该框架为数据有限的监测条件下的流域管理提供了具有成本效益和可解释的决策支持工具。
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引用次数: 0
WCD-YOLO: A waste classification detection model. WCD-YOLO:一个垃圾分类检测模型。
IF 8.4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.128601
Long Ling, Yufeng Chen, Zhiwu Li

To solve the problem of intelligent waste classification, a new waste classification detection model named WCD-YOLO (Waste Classification Detection -You Only Look Once) is proposed. We first optimize the backbone network of YOLOv10 by developing an MCA module to heighten the overall model's feature extraction capability and refine the model's precision. At the same time, a more powerful feature extraction module, FNC2f, with high efficiency and multi-scale characteristics, is created to enrich the network's feature extraction and meet the needs of high-precision target recognition. A brand-new FNC2f-BiFPN feature pyramid network structure is also designed, strengthening the detection ability of the waste with insufficient feature capture. Finally, we use Inner-CIoU as the loss function of the WCD-YOLO model and control the scale of the auxiliary boundary. Experimental results show that the WCD-YOLO model developed in this research has better precision on the self-built dataset at two IoU thresholds than other models, with mAP50 reaching 95.8%, an increase of 1.6% over the original model, and mAP50:95 reaching 74.0%, an increase of 2.6%. The model parameters are only 7.2MB, and the GFLOPs are 8.5G. The proposed model is characterized by low consumption and high precision in waste recognition and classification, providing a reference for future academic research and engineering practice.

为了解决智能垃圾分类问题,提出了一种新的垃圾分类检测模型WCD-YOLO (waste classification detection -You Only Look Once)。我们首先通过开发MCA模块对YOLOv10的骨干网进行优化,以提高整体模型的特征提取能力,提高模型的精度。同时,创建了功能更强大的特征提取模块FNC2f,该模块具有高效、多尺度的特点,丰富了网络的特征提取,满足了高精度目标识别的需要。设计了全新的FNC2f-BiFPN特征金字塔网络结构,增强了对特征捕获不足的废品的检测能力。最后,利用Inner-CIoU作为WCD-YOLO模型的损失函数,控制辅助边界的尺度。实验结果表明,本研究开发的WCD-YOLO模型在两个IoU阈值下的自建数据集上的精度优于其他模型,mAP50达到95.8%,比原始模型提高1.6%,mAP50:95达到74.0%,提高2.6%。型号参数仅为7.2MB, gflop为8.5G。该模型具有能耗低、分类精度高等特点,可为今后的学术研究和工程实践提供参考。
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引用次数: 0
Human capital, digital transition and carbon emissions: Investigating non-linear dynamics for sustainable and human-centric future. 人力资本、数字化转型和碳排放:研究可持续和以人为中心的未来的非线性动态。
IF 8.4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.128449
Leena Ajit Kaushal, Ashish Dwivedi

Digitalisation and Human Capital (HC) are key drivers of economic transformation, yet their joint influence on environmental outcomes remains underexplored in developing economies. Existing evidence largely focuses on linear or isolated effects, overlooking potential nonlinearities and complementarities crucial for sustainable development. This study investigates the nonlinear and interactive impacts of digitalisation and HC on carbon emissions in 23 developing countries from 2000 to 2023. A multidimensional digitalisation index is constructed using Principal Component Analysis (PCA), integrating digital infrastructure, industrialisation, and innovation. Employing a dynamic system Generalised Method of Moments (GMM) estimator, the study captures endogeneity, persistence, and feedback mechanisms. Results confirm that both digitalisation and HC exhibit U-shaped relationships with carbon emissions. While early stages enhance efficiency and environmental awareness, advanced levels intensify emissions through energy-intensive infrastructure and industrial upgrading. The interaction between digitalisation and HC is insignificant, revealing unrealised synergies in developing contexts. The study contributes to the environmental economics literature by integrating digital and HC dynamics into a unified nonlinear framework and offers policy insights for aligning digital transformation with renewable energy deployment, green skill formation, and institutional coordination to advance low-carbon, human-centric growth.

数字化和人力资本是经济转型的关键驱动力,但它们对发展中经济体环境结果的共同影响仍未得到充分探索。现有证据主要集中在线性或孤立的影响上,忽视了对可持续发展至关重要的潜在非线性和互补性。本研究调查了2000 - 2023年数字化和HC对23个发展中国家碳排放的非线性和交互影响。利用主成分分析(PCA)构建了多维数字化指数,整合了数字基础设施、工业化和创新。采用动态系统广义矩量法(GMM)估计器,研究捕获了内生性、持久性和反馈机制。结果证实,数字化和HC都与碳排放呈u型关系。虽然早期阶段提高效率和环保意识,但先进水平通过能源密集型基础设施和产业升级加剧排放。数字化和HC之间的相互作用是微不足道的,这揭示了发展中国家尚未实现的协同效应。该研究通过将数字和HC动态整合到统一的非线性框架中,为环境经济学文献做出了贡献,并为将数字转型与可再生能源部署、绿色技能形成和制度协调结合起来,促进以人为中心的低碳增长提供了政策见解。
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引用次数: 0
Tapping more trees less often or fewer trees more often? Evaluating choices for forest resources governance. 少砍树还是少砍树?评价森林资源治理的选择。
IF 8.4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.128615
Tewodros Tadesse, Tsehaye Asefa, Amanuel Hadera, Tafesse W Gezahegn, Muluberhan Biedemariam, Kinfe G Bishu, Emiru Birhane

An important aspect in the management of forests is how the resources should be used. Governance structures put in place for forest management need to reflect resource users' divergent preferences, rules governing resource use to mirror local conditions, and the need for collective choice arrangements to ensure users' participation in appropriation and provision rules. These mechanisms could promote coordination as well as cooperation, and influence preference for resource management and extraction behavior. In this study, we consider forest governance structures that mimic these core issues and examine whether resource users choose to extract more tree resources less often or fewer tree resources more often. Based on a choice experiment on forest resource users involving mainly farmers and youth, a mixed logit model was used to explore preferences and estimate willingness to accept. Findings show that users are willing to switch to forest management regimes that delay resource extraction by allowing more resting periods for trees to rehabilitate. Moreover, results related to our time preference measure imply that users with a lower discount rate are likely to prefer governance structures that increase the resting period. On the contrary, users have negative preferences for resting higher proportion of trees. Instead, they prefer to tap more trees and are willing to pay for it. Overall, results highlight resource users' strong preferences for forest governance structures that allow resource extraction from more trees but less often.

森林管理的一个重要方面是如何利用这些资源。森林管理的治理结构必须反映资源使用者的不同偏好,管理资源使用的规则必须反映当地情况,并需要集体选择安排,以确保使用者参与拨款和提供规则。这些机制可以促进协调和合作,并影响资源管理和开采行为的偏好。在本研究中,我们考虑了模拟这些核心问题的森林治理结构,并研究了资源使用者是选择较少地提取更多的树木资源还是更频繁地提取较少的树木资源。在以农民和青年为主体的森林资源使用者选择实验的基础上,采用混合logit模型探讨了森林资源使用者的偏好和接受意愿。调查结果显示,使用者愿意改用允许树木有更多休养期以延缓资源开采的森林管理制度。此外,与我们的时间偏好测量相关的结果表明,贴现率较低的用户可能更喜欢增加静息期的治理结构。相反,用户对放置更高比例的树木有负面偏好。相反,他们更愿意砍伐更多的树木,并愿意为此付出代价。总体而言,研究结果强调了资源使用者对森林治理结构的强烈偏好,这种结构允许从更多的树木中提取资源,但频率较低。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental impact and economic performance analysis of two faecal sludge treatment plants in Beijing: A life cycle perspective. 北京市两家粪便污泥处理厂的环境影响与经济效益分析:生命周期视角。
IF 8.4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.128506
Jingang Chen, Marc Jeuland, Edoardo Borgomeo, Zhengxian Chen, Shaomin Guo, Zifu Li, Wei Wen, Shikun Cheng

As demand for non-sewered sanitation continues to increase globally, faecal sludge management (FSM) continues to have critical implications for public health and sustainable development. However, understanding of the life-cycle performance of alternative FSM technologies is lacking. Here, we address this gap and present a framework for combined life cycle assessment and cost analysis to systematically quantify the carbon footprint and economic viability of faecal sludge treatment plants (FSTP). We apply the framework to two case study FSTPs in Beijing (FSTP1 and FSTP2), which serve as representative examples of FSM in mega-cities in China and the world. These plants use different FSM technology and process different waste mixtures, with FSTP1 using traditional physicochemical processes to treat single-source faecal sludge and FSTP2 co-processing faecal sludge, food waste, and municipal sludge through anaerobic digestion, combined with biogas and crude oil recovery. Carbon emissions analysis shows that FSTP1 emits 54.7 ± 2.08 kg CO2-eq/t organic waste (OW), which is considerably lower than FSTP2's net emission of 70.5 ± 8.45 kg CO2-eq/t OW. This accounts for FSTP2's 43.6 % emission reduction from resource recovery, which partially offsets the plant's otherwise much higher carbon emissions. Transportation distance and grid GHG emission intensity are key factors that affect each plant's carbon footprint. Thus, emissions could be reduced through development of low-carbon faecal sludge treatment technologies and optimization of regional logistics and energy structures. Economic analysis shows that the life cycle costs for FSTP1 and FSTP2 are 79.7 million CNY (≈11.2 million USD)1 and 282 million CNY (≈39.7 million USD), respectively. Although FSTP2 requires a higher initial investment, its diversified revenue structure and stable treatment fees result in a higher operating income, shortening the investment payback period to just over 10 years, compared to the 14 years required by FSTP1. This indicates the greater economic feasibility of the synergistic treatment and resource utilization approach in the medium to long term. The research findings can inform optimized urban faecal sludge management strategies and selection or promotion of lower-carbon treatment technologies and circular economy models.

随着全球对无下水道卫生设施的需求不断增加,粪便污泥管理继续对公共卫生和可持续发展产生重大影响。然而,缺乏对替代FSM技术的生命周期性能的理解。在这里,我们解决了这一差距,并提出了一个结合生命周期评估和成本分析的框架,以系统地量化粪便污泥处理厂(FSTP)的碳足迹和经济可行性。我们将该框架应用于北京两个FSTP1和FSTP2的案例研究,这两个案例作为中国和世界特大城市FSM的代表性案例。这些工厂采用不同的FSM技术,处理不同的废物混合物,FSTP1采用传统的物理化学工艺处理单一来源的粪便污泥,FSTP2通过厌氧消化,结合沼气和原油回收,共同处理粪便污泥、食物垃圾和城市污泥。碳排放分析表明,FSTP1排放54.7±2.08 kg CO2-eq/t有机废物(OW),明显低于FSTP2的净排放量70.5±8.45 kg CO2-eq/t OW。这使得FSTP2从资源回收中减少了43.6%的排放量,部分抵消了工厂更高的碳排放。运输距离和电网温室气体排放强度是影响各电厂碳足迹的关键因素。因此,可以通过开发低碳粪便污泥处理技术和优化区域物流和能源结构来减少排放。经济分析表明,FSTP1和FSTP2的生命周期成本分别为7970万元人民币(≈1120万美元)和2.82亿元人民币(≈3970万美元)。虽然FSTP2需要较高的初始投资,但其多元化的收入结构和稳定的治疗费用使其营业收入更高,将投资回收期缩短至10年多一点,而FSTP1需要14年。这表明在中长期内,协同处理和资源利用方法具有更大的经济可行性。研究结果可为优化城市粪便污泥管理策略、选择或推广低碳处理技术和循环经济模式提供参考。
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引用次数: 0
Contribution of lakes to global greenhouse gas emissions: Mechanisms, quantification and mitigation strategies. 湖泊对全球温室气体排放的贡献:机制、量化和减缓战略。
IF 8.4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.128585
Weiqiao Wang, Xin Sun, Xue Zhu, Ran Hao, Fei Li

Lakes cover only 1.8 % of Earth's land yet emit 0.35-0.55 Pg C yr-1 as CO2, 60-120 Tg CH4, and 60-150 Gg N2O, about 5 % of global fossil-fuel emissions. This review synthesizes recent advances in lake GHG mechanisms, measurement, and mitigation, and outlines key research directions. Net respiration generally exceeds primary production, maintaining CO2 supersaturation, while anaerobic methanogenesis dominates CH4 release; oxic pathways linked to methyl-phosphonate cleavage and cyanobacterial leakage add up to 28 % of CH4 in warm, P-limited, dissolved organic carbon (DOC)-rich waters. Roughly 60 % of N2O originates from nitrifier-denitrification. Multi-scale monitoring now combines satellite retrievals, eddy covariance, and buoy sensors, yet global budgets still vary ten-fold because small ponds, littoral "hot spots", and winter ice-outs are under-sampled and gas-transfer coefficients are inconsistent. A range of mitigation measures offers substantial climate-related benefits: (i) enhanced wastewater treatment, urine-diverting sanitation, and vegetated buffers cut CH4 + N2O by 15-25 %, while generating climate and water quality co-benefits can value at billions of USD globally; (ii) biomass harvesting and floating macrophytes lower CH4 + CO2 by up to 57 %; (iii) micro-bubble destratification or moderate sulfate dosing trim residual CH4 by 25-60 %. Together, these measures can abate 0.01-0.08 Mt CO2-eq yr-1 per 100 ha of intensively managed urban lake, enough to achieve 6-10 % of the Global Methane Pledge. Future priorities are resolving the oxic-methane paradox, standardising monitoring, and applying AI-driven up-scaling to embed lake mitigation within SDGs, turning lakes from overlooked emitters into actionable components of climate and water-quality policy.

湖泊仅覆盖地球陆地的1.8%,但每年排放0.35-0.55 Pg C的二氧化碳、60-120 Tg CH4和60-150 Gg N2O,约占全球化石燃料排放量的5%。本文综述了近年来湖泊温室气体排放机制、测量和减缓的研究进展,并提出了重点研究方向。净呼吸通常超过初级生产,维持CO2过饱和,而厌氧甲烷生成主导CH4释放;在温暖的、磷限制的、富含溶解有机碳(DOC)的水中,与甲基膦酸盐裂解和蓝藻菌泄漏相关的氧途径增加了28%的CH4。大约60%的N2O来自硝化-反硝化作用。现在,多尺度监测结合了卫星检索、涡流相关方差和浮标传感器,但由于小池塘、沿海“热点”和冬季海冰的采样不足,气体传输系数不一致,全球预算仍然相差10倍。一系列缓解措施可带来与气候相关的巨大效益:(i)加强废水处理、尿液转移卫生设施和植被缓冲将CH4 + N2O减少15- 25%,同时在全球范围内产生价值数十亿美元的气候和水质共同效益;(ii)生物量收获和漂浮的大型植物可将CH4 + CO2降低多达57%;(iii)微泡脱层或适度的硫酸盐剂量可使残余CH4减少25- 60%。这些措施加在一起,每100公顷集约管理的城市湖泊每年可减少0.01-0.08亿吨二氧化碳当量,足以实现全球甲烷承诺的6- 10%。未来的优先事项是解决氧气-甲烷悖论,标准化监测,并应用人工智能驱动的扩大规模,将湖泊缓解纳入可持续发展目标,将湖泊从被忽视的排放源转变为气候和水质政策的可操作组成部分。
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Journal of Environmental Management
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