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Factors and structural paths of the changes in carbon emissions in China's provincial construction industries. 中国省级建筑业碳排放变化的因素和结构路径。
IF 8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123292
Jindao Chen, Shengping Li, Lingyue Li, Xu Peng, Jinwen Zhang

The changes in the carbon emissions in China's provincial construction industries are of high complexity. It is essential to understand the changes in the construction carbon emissions (CCEs) in China on the provincial scale. This study evaluates the factors and structural paths of the changes in provincial CCEs in China between 2012 and 2017 using the structural path decomposition analysis. The results show that the emission intensity effect and production structure effect contributed greatly to the reduction of CCEs across various regions, while the final demand effect had contrary impacts. The local nonmetallic mineral products industry (c13), metal smelting and pressing industry (c14), and electricity industry (c24) generally contributed significantly to the emission intensity effect, production structure effect, and final demand effect across most regions. The consumption of local c13, c14, and c24 by the construction industry (c27), namely "local c13→c27", "local c14→c27", and "local c24→c27" were generally the important structural paths of the CCEs changes across various regions. Nonlocal industries such as Hebei c14 and nonlocal structural paths such as "Hebei c14→c27" contributed substantially to the CCEs changes in many regions such as Beijing. The emission intensity effect, first-order production structure effect, and final demand effect typically dominated the effects of the critical structural paths of the CCEs changes across various regions. This study can help policymakers better understand the changes in China's provincial CCEs to formulate region-specific emission reduction measures and provide a comprehensive reference for related research.

中国各省建筑业碳排放量的变化非常复杂。了解中国省级建筑业碳排放(CCE)的变化情况至关重要。本研究采用结构路径分解分析法,评价了 2012 年至 2017 年中国省级 CCE 变化的因素和结构路径。结果表明,排放强度效应和生产结构效应对各地区 CCEs 的降低贡献较大,而最终需求效应的影响则相反。大部分地区的本地非金属矿物制品业(c13)、金属冶炼和压制业(c14)和电力工业(c24)普遍对排放强度效应、生产结构效应和最终需求效应有显著贡献。建筑业(c27)消耗本地 c13、c14 和 c24,即 "本地 c13→c27"、"本地 c14→c27 "和 "本地 c24→c27 "一般是各地区 CCEs 变化的重要结构路径。河北 c14 等非本地产业和 "河北 c14→c27 "等非本地结构路径对北京等许多地区的 CCEs 变化贡献较大。排放强度效应、一阶生产结构效应和最终需求效应通常主导了各地区 CCEs 变化的关键结构路径效应。本研究有助于政策制定者更好地理解中国省级 CCEs 的变化,从而制定针对具体地区的减排措施,并为相关研究提供全面的参考。
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引用次数: 0
Breathing life into equity: How air pollution influences corporate pay gap 为公平注入活力:空气污染如何影响企业薪酬差距。
IF 8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123298
Weiping Li , Zhongyi Xiao , Yinglin Huang , Haili Wu
Using a dataset encompassing 19,229 Chinese listed firm-year observations from 2014 to 2020, this study investigates the relationship between air quality and the pay gap between executives and employees. Our empirical results indicate that companies tend to reduce the pay gap in response to air pollution. These results exhibit robustness through various methodological approaches: employing thermal inversion as an instrumental variable (IV) for IV regressions, adopting quantile regressions, utilizing alternative metrics for assessing air pollution and corporate pay gap, expanding control variables, excluding firms undergoing reorganization, and applying firm-level clustering. This effect is especially strong in corporations with greater public scrutiny, strong corporate governance, and fewer financial constraints. Moreover, such strategic adjustments in compensation policies not only help firms retain valuable human resources, but also ultimately enhance their green innovation and ESG performance, as diminished pay gap contribute to fostering increased employee engagement and motivation within the work environment. Our research contributes to environmental management by demonstrating how air quality can be a pivotal factor in corporate compensation strategies. The findings provide actionable insights for executives and policymakers, advocating for the integration of environmental considerations into core business frameworks.
本研究使用从 2014 年到 2020 年的 19,229 个中国上市公司年度观测数据集,研究了空气质量与高管和员工之间薪酬差距之间的关系。我们的实证结果表明,企业倾向于缩小薪酬差距以应对空气污染。这些结果通过不同的方法表现出稳健性:采用热反转作为 IV 回归的工具变量 (IV)、采用量化回归、使用其他指标评估空气污染和企业薪酬差距、扩大控制变量、排除重组中的企业以及应用企业级聚类。在公众监督力度较大、公司治理较强、财务限制较少的公司中,这种效应尤为明显。此外,薪酬政策的战略性调整不仅有助于企业留住宝贵的人力资源,还能最终提高企业的绿色创新和环境、社会和公司治理绩效,因为薪酬差距的缩小有助于提高员工在工作环境中的参与度和积极性。我们的研究通过展示空气质量如何成为企业薪酬战略的关键因素,为环境管理做出了贡献。研究结果为管理人员和政策制定者提供了可行的见解,倡导将环境因素纳入核心业务框架。
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引用次数: 0
Deep recurrent Q-network algorithm for carbon emission allowance trading strategy 碳排放限额交易策略的深度递归 Q 网络算法。
IF 8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123308
Chao Wu , Wenjie Bi , Haiying Liu
Against the backdrop of global warming, the carbon trading market is considered as an effective means of emission reduction. With more and more companies and individuals participating in carbon markets for trading, it is of great theoretical and practical significance to help them automatically identify carbon trading investment opportunities and achieve intelligent carbon trading decisions. Based on the characteristics of the carbon trading market, we propose a novel deep reinforcement learning (DRL) trading strategy - Deep Recurrent Q-Network (DRQN). The experimental results show that the carbon allowance trading model based on the DRQN algorithm can provide optimal trading strategies and adapt to market changes. Specifically, the annualized returns for the DRQN algorithm strategy in the Guangdong (GD) and Hubei (HB) carbon markets are 15.43% and 34.75%, respectively, significantly outperforming other strategies. To better meet the needs of the actual implementation scenarios of the model, we analyze the impacts of discount factors and trading costs. The research results indicate that discount factors can provide participants with clearer expectations. In both carbon markets (GD and HB), there exists an optimal discount factor value of 0.4, as both excessively small or large values can have adverse effects on trading. Simultaneously, the government can ensure the fairness of carbon trading by regulating the costs of carbon trading to limit the speculative behavior of participants.
在全球变暖的背景下,碳交易市场被认为是一种有效的减排手段。随着越来越多的企业和个人参与碳市场交易,帮助他们自动识别碳交易投资机会,实现智能碳交易决策,具有重要的理论和现实意义。根据碳交易市场的特点,我们提出了一种新颖的深度强化学习(DRL)交易策略--深度递归 Q 网络(DRQN)。实验结果表明,基于 DRQN 算法的碳配额交易模型能够提供最优交易策略,并适应市场变化。具体而言,DRQN算法策略在广东(GD)和湖北(HB)碳市场的年化收益率分别为15.43%和34.75%,明显优于其他策略。为了更好地满足模型实际应用场景的需要,我们分析了贴现因子和交易成本的影响。研究结果表明,贴现因子可以为参与者提供更清晰的预期。在两个碳市场(GD 和 HB)中,最佳贴现因子值均为 0.4,过小或过大的贴现因子值都会对交易产生不利影响。同时,政府可以通过调节碳交易成本来限制参与者的投机行为,从而保证碳交易的公平性。
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引用次数: 0
Interregional imbalance in the Yellow River Basin: Insights from flood-sediment transport, socioeconomic, and environmental subsystems. 黄河流域的区域间失衡:洪水-泥沙输移、社会经济和环境子系统的启示。
IF 8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123295
Hao Hu, Guiliang Tian, Jan F Adamowski, Raffaele Albano, Yixue Liu, Xiaodong Jing, Qiuya Zhao

The ecological environment, resource endowment, and the level of socioeconomic development vary extensively amongst regions in the Yellow River Basin (YRB). To ensure the basin's sustainable development, the supply and demand relationship of ecosystem services (ESs) within the basin was analysed from the perspective of three subsystems: flood-sediment transport, socioeconomics, and ecological environment. The supply, demand, and the ratio of supply to demand of typical ESs were initially computed for 385 counties and districts within the YRB. These ESs included soil retention (SR), flood mitigation (FM), water yield (WY), crop supply (CrS), carbon sequestration (CS), and natural accessibility (NA). Correlations among ecosystem service supply-demand ratios (ESDRs) were completed and the spatial characteristics of the weighted multiple ESs supply-demand index (WMESI) were then investigated. Finally, the importance of WMESI driving factors were explored using extreme gradient boosting. Calculated for three subsystems in 385 counties and districts, the coupling coordination degree (CCD) indicated that: (i) ESDRs exhibit spatiotemporal heterogeneity, with FM and WY having relatively lower ESDRs; (ii) the trade-off and synergy relationships among ESDRs vary in a dynamic manner. In particular, a disruptive change in the relationship between the ESDR of SR and other ESDRs occurred in 2010; (iii) in the basin's downstream region, WMESI exhibits low-low clustering, with both population and precipitation having a significant impact on WMESI. Moreover, precipitation factors shifted significantly towards population factors; (iv) Overall, the CCD of 385 counties and districts in the YRB is low, and the spatial imbalance of CCD was mainly attributable to socioeconomic factors. The present research findings provide new insights into the sustainable governance of the YRB.

黄河流域各地区的生态环境、资源禀赋和社会经济发展水平差异很大。为确保流域的可持续发展,从洪水-泥沙输移、社会经济和生态环境三个子系统的角度分析了流域内生态系统服务(ES)的供求关系。初步计算了长三角流域内 385 个县区典型生态系统服务的供给、需求和供需比。这些生态系统服务包括土壤保持(SR)、洪水缓解(FM)、水产量(WY)、作物供应(CrS)、碳固存(CS)和自然可达性(NA)。完成了生态系统服务供需比(ESDR)之间的相关性研究,然后研究了加权多重生态系统服务供需指数(WMESI)的空间特征。最后,利用极端梯度提升法探讨了 WMESI 驱动因素的重要性。通过对 385 个县区的三个子系统进行计算,耦合协调度(CCD)表明(i) ESDR 呈现时空异质性,调频和 WY 的 ESDR 相对较低;(ii) ESDR 之间的权衡和协同关系呈动态变化。特别是在 2010 年,SR 的 ESDR 与其他 ESDR 之间的关系发生了颠覆性变化;(iii) 在流域下游地区,WMESI 呈低-低聚类,人口和降水对 WMESI 都有显著影响。此外,降水因子明显向人口因子偏移;(iv) 从总体上看,长三角流域 385 个县区的 CCD 偏低,CCD 的空间失衡主要归因于社会经济因素。本研究结果为长三角地区的可持续治理提供了新的视角。
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引用次数: 0
Artemisia argyi leaf powder improves soil properties and recruits Sphingobium bacteria to promote the growth and yield of Pinellia ternata. 青蒿叶粉可改善土壤性质,并能繁殖鞘氨醇细菌,促进半夏的生长和产量。
IF 8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123322
Jinxin Li, Kaili Qu, Lu Wei, Hong Chen, Huixia Cai, Jingyi Zhang, Likun Mei, Bingsen Liu, Yifan Han, Yuhuan Miao, Dahui Liu

Recent research has reported the strong herbicidal activity of Artemisia argyi leaf powder (AALP), indicating its high potential for use as an environmentally friendly weed management solution for ecological agriculture. However, AALP's impacts on soil physicochemical properties and microbial communities have remained uninvestigated. This study explores these effects through pot experiments assessing the AALP's efficacy in weed suppression and its ability to promote the growth of Pinellia ternata, a plant utilized in traditional Chinese medicine. The results demonstrate that a 10% concentration of AALP suppressed nearly 100% of all weeds. Additionally, AALP treatments at 2.5%, 5%, 7.5%, and 10% concentrations increased P. ternata yields by 29.79%, 24.76%, 35.67%, and 31.00%, respectively. A soil analysis revealed that AALP enhanced soil fertility by increasing the contents of nutrients such as SOM, AN, AP, AK, Ca, Fe, Mn, and Zn, as well as the enzyme activity of CAT, ACP, UE, and SC, creating an optimal growth environment for P. ternata. In addition, AALP significantly increased the PA (phenolic acid) content in soil, which is a key factor in inhibiting weed germination and growth. Furthermore, a microbial community structure analysis indicated an enrichment of Actinobacteriota and Bacteroidota after AALP treatment, with notable increases in the growth-promoting bacteria Sphingobium and Flavobacterium. A permutational multivariate analysis of variance (PERMANOVA) based on the Bray-Curtis distance reaveled that all of the tested soil properties were significantly correlated with changes in bacterial community composition except for pH. Further two-factor correlation network analysis identified AN, Zn, SC, and PA as key environmental factors. Finally, the Sphingobium sp. strain AFR15, isolated from AALP-treated soil, exhibited significant growth-promoting effects on P. ternata. After inoculation with Sphingobium sp. strain AFR15 for one month, the heights of P. ternata were increased significantly. The leaf length and leaf width of P. ternata were also positively correlated with the treatment concentration of AFR15, and the chlorophyll contents of the leaves also increased. This results highlighted Sphingobium sp. strain AFR15's potential as a specialized microbial fertilizer in crop yield increased. In conclusion, AALP applications not only control weeds but also promote P. ternata growth by improving soil physiochemical properties and fostering beneficial bacterial allies. These findings lay the groundwork for future research and promote the use of AALP in ecological agriculture.

最近的研究报告指出,艾蒿叶粉(AALP)具有很强的除草活性,这表明它极有可能被用作生态农业的一种环境友好型杂草管理解决方案。然而,AALP 对土壤理化性质和微生物群落的影响仍未得到研究。本研究通过盆栽实验评估了 AALP 抑制杂草的功效及其促进中药植物半夏生长的能力,从而探讨了这些影响。结果表明,10% 浓度的 AALP 几乎 100%地抑制了所有杂草。此外,2.5%、5%、7.5% 和 10%浓度的 AALP 处理可使半夏产量分别增加 29.79%、24.76%、35.67% 和 31.00%。土壤分析表明,AALP 可提高土壤肥力,增加 SOM、AN、AP、AK、Ca、Fe、Mn 和 Zn 等养分含量,以及 CAT、ACP、UE 和 SC 的酶活性,为 P. ternata 创造最佳生长环境。此外,AALP 还大大增加了土壤中的 PA(酚酸)含量,而 PA 是抑制杂草发芽和生长的关键因素。此外,微生物群落结构分析表明,经 AALP 处理后,放线菌群和类杆菌群的数量有所增加,促进生长的细菌 Sphingobium 和 Flavobacterium 的数量也明显增加。基于布雷-柯蒂斯距离的永久多变量方差分析(PERMANOVA)显示,除 pH 值外,所有测试的土壤特性都与细菌群落组成的变化显著相关。进一步的双因子相关网络分析发现,AN、Zn、SC 和 PA 是关键的环境因子。最后,从 AALP 处理过的土壤中分离出的 Sphingobium sp.接种 Sphingobium sp. AFR15 菌株一个月后,蕨类植物的高度明显增加。叶长和叶宽也与 AFR15 的处理浓度呈正相关,叶片的叶绿素含量也有所增加。这一结果凸显了 AFR15 菌株作为专用微生物肥料在作物增产方面的潜力。总之,施用 AALP 不仅能控制杂草,还能通过改善土壤理化性质和培养有益的细菌盟友来促进 P. ternata 的生长。这些发现为今后的研究奠定了基础,并促进了 AALP 在生态农业中的应用。
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引用次数: 0
Research on two-way ecological compensation strategy for transboundary watershed based on differential game. 基于差分博弈的跨界流域双向生态补偿策略研究。
IF 8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123314
Hao Xu, Liuxin Chen, Qiongfang Li

Water pollution control in transboundary watersheds can improve the water environment quality, alleviate water resource conflicts, and is an important guarantee for achieving healthy and stable development of watersheds. Ecological compensation is an important measure to solve the problem of water pollution in transboundary watersheds and has been widely applied in China. We constructed differential game models for water pollution control in transboundary watersheds under four scenarios: (1) no ecological compensation scenario, (2) upstream one-way ecological compensation scenario, (3) downstream one-way ecological compensation scenario, and (4) upstream and downstream two-way ecological compensation scenario. We studied the optimal water pollution control strategies and ecological compensation strategies under different scenarios, and compared the results obtained under different scenarios to explore which scenario has better water pollution control and ecological compensation, as well as the applicable conditions for different one-way ecological compensation. The results indicate that both upstream and downstream one-way ecological compensation can promote water pollution control, and the optimal one-way ecological compensation should be determined based on the cost and benefit parameters of upstream and downstream water pollution control. The upstream and downstream two-way ecological compensation can reduce the pollutant reduction furthest and improve the social welfare extremely, making it the best ecological compensation. Finally, it is necessary to actively promote the formation of two-way ecological compensation in the upstream and downstream of transboundary watersheds to achieve long-term sustainable development of the watershed.

跨界流域水污染治理可以改善水环境质量,缓解水资源矛盾,是实现流域健康稳定发展的重要保障。生态补偿是解决跨界流域水污染问题的重要措施,在我国已得到广泛应用。我们构建了四种情景下跨界流域水污染控制的微分博弈模型:(1)无生态补偿情景;(2)上游单向生态补偿情景;(3)下游单向生态补偿情景;(4)上下游双向生态补偿情景。我们研究了不同方案下的最优水污染控制策略和生态补偿策略,并对不同方案下的结果进行了比较,以探讨哪种方案具有更好的水污染控制和生态补偿效果,以及不同单向生态补偿的适用条件。结果表明,上下游单向生态补偿都能促进水污染控制,最优的单向生态补偿应根据上下游水污染控制的成本和效益参数来确定。而上下游双向生态补偿能最大幅度地减少污染物减排量,极大地改善社会福利,是最佳的生态补偿方式。最后,要积极推动跨界流域上下游双向生态补偿的形成,实现流域的长期可持续发展。
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引用次数: 0
Unraveling microplastic pollution patterns in sediments of a river system: The combined impacts of seasonal changes and waterway differences. 揭示河流系统沉积物中的微塑料污染模式:季节变化和水道差异的综合影响。
IF 8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123348
Nguyen Xuan Tong, Vo Thi Kim Khuyen, Nguyen Thi Thanh Thao, Binh Thanh Nguyen

Microplastic (MP) distribution in river sediment, influenced by water regimes and pollution sources, remains understudied in the current literature. This study examines the combined impacts of seasonal variation and waterway differences on MP concentration in the sediment of the Saigon River and its tributaries, while identifying potential sources. Paired sediment samples were collected from eleven sites along the river and its tributaries during rainy and dry seasons. MPs from these 44 samples were separated, quantified, and characterized for a comprehensive assessment. The results revealed that MP concentrations in sediments ranged from 140 to 1200 items kg-1, with predominant characteristics of fiber particles, white color, and particle sizes ranging from 200 to 500 μm. During the rainy season, MP concentrations were similar between the river (584 items kg-1) and tributaries (553 items kg-1), while during the dry season, tributaries exhibited statistically higher MP concentrations (737 items kg-1) than the river (351 items kg-1). Notably, the river, despite being farther from the sources, had a higher proportion of smaller MPs (<200 μm), while larger particles (>200 μm) were more prevalent in tributaries. These discrepancies are attributed to the combined impacts of water flow patterns and pollution sources, derived from residential, industrial, and agricultural activities. In brief, MP pollution in the river and tributary sediments is influenced by the interplay of seasonal variation and waterway characteristics, determined by water flow patterns and pollution sources. These findings emphasize the need for specific management strategies that account for spatial and temporal variations in MP distribution.

微塑料(MP)在河流沉积物中的分布受水系和污染源的影响,但目前的文献对其研究仍然不足。本研究探讨了季节变化和水道差异对西贡河及其支流沉积物中微塑料浓度的综合影响,同时确定了潜在的污染源。研究人员在雨季和旱季从西贡河及其支流沿岸的 11 个地点采集了配对沉积物样本。对这 44 个样本中的多溴联苯醚进行了分离、量化和特征描述,以进行综合评估。结果显示,沉积物中 MP 的浓度介于 140 至 1200 微克/千克之间,主要特征为纤维颗粒、白色,粒径介于 200 至 500 微米之间。在雨季,河流(584 个项目 kg-1)和支流(553 个项目 kg-1)的 MP 浓度相似,而在旱季,支流的 MP 浓度(737 个项目 kg-1)高于河流(351 个项目 kg-1)。值得注意的是,尽管河流距离源头较远,但支流中较小的 MPs(200 μm)比例较高。这些差异归因于水流模式和居民、工业和农业活动污染源的综合影响。简而言之,河流和支流沉积物中的 MP 污染受水流模式和污染源决定的季节变化和水道特征的相互作用的影响。这些发现强调,需要根据 MP 分布的时空变化制定具体的管理策略。
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引用次数: 0
Global greenhouse gas reduction forecasting via machine learning model in the scenario of energy transition. 在能源转型情况下,通过机器学习模型预测全球温室气体减排量。
IF 8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123309
Ningchang Gan, Shujie Zhao

Global warming is becoming increasingly serious, with greenhouse gas (GHGs) emissions identified as a principal contributor. In response to the climate crisis, many countries are actively transitioning to renewable energy. Therefore, it is crucial to forecast GHGs emissions across different countries under varying degrees of energy transition to inform decision-making. Previous studies often focused on single regions and overlooked the developmental variance among countries. To address this problem, this study aims to project GHGs emissions in 39 major carbon-emitting countries globally, distinguishing between developed countries (DCs) and developing countries (LDCs). The results show that a 5.39% increase in global GHGs emissions from 2016 to 2021 and a 327.64% rise in the renewable electricity generation of LDCs. Additionally, this research develops various energy transition scenarios, employs Random Forest (RF) for feature selection, and utilizes an Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model enhanced by Bayesian Optimization (BO) to forecast GHGs emission levels in DCs and LDCs. The performance test shows that RF-BO-XGBoost has higher stability and accuracy. The projection results indicate that the total emissions from all DCs and all LDCs will decrease as the scenario shifts from the baseline to the high energy transition scenario, by 1.22% and 5.23% respectively. Further, the study quantifies the impacts of energy transitions on GHGs emissions across individual countries, revealing that not all countries are likely to achieve optimal reduction under the high energy transition scenario. This study underscores the influence of transition costs and supports the climate policymaking.

全球变暖问题日益严重,温室气体(GHGs)排放被认为是主要原因之一。为应对气候危机,许多国家正在积极向可再生能源转型。因此,预测不同国家在不同程度的能源转型情况下的温室气体排放量,为决策提供参考至关重要。以往的研究往往只关注单一地区,而忽视了各国之间的发展差异。为解决这一问题,本研究旨在预测全球 39 个主要碳排放国家的温室气体排放量,并对发达国家(DCs)和发展中国家(LDCs)进行了区分。结果表明,从 2016 年到 2021 年,全球温室气体排放量将增加 5.39%,而最不发达国家的可再生能源发电量将增加 327.64%。此外,该研究还开发了各种能源转型情景,采用随机森林(RF)进行特征选择,并利用贝叶斯优化(BO)增强的极端梯度提升(XGBoost)模型来预测发展中国家和最不发达国家的温室气体排放水平。性能测试表明,RF-BO-XGBoost 具有更高的稳定性和准确性。预测结果表明,随着情景从基线向高能源转型情景转变,所有发展中国家和所有最不发达国家的总排放量将分别减少 1.22% 和 5.23%。此外,该研究还量化了能源转型对各个国家温室气体排放的影响,表明并非所有国家都能在高能源转型情景下实现最佳减排效果。这项研究强调了转型成本的影响,为气候决策提供了支持。
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引用次数: 0
Grazing impacts on experimentally restored aquatic macrophytes as critical habitat for the threatened Australian lungfish. 放牧对作为濒危澳大利亚肺鱼重要栖息地的试验性恢复水生大型植物的影响。
IF 8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123289
Colin L Burke, Luke Carpenter-Bundhoo, David T Roberts, César Herrera, Hannah M Franklin, Mark J Kennard

Aquatic macrophytes, especially Vallisneria nana, provide essential spawning habitat and food resources for the threatened Australian lungfish (Neoceratodus forsteri). The availability of V. nana for lungfish has been dramatically reduced in some areas due to flood disturbances and macrophyte recovery is inhibited by reduced hydrochory due to river fragmentation by dams. Active transplanting of macrophytes may be a feasible restoration strategy to increase abundance of macrophytes, however, in the presence of macro-herbivorous aquatic animals, replanted beds may not persist due to intensive grazing. In this study, we analyzed the effects of environmental conditions on growth and expansion of transplanted V. nana in six 60 m2 herbivore exclosures in the mid-Brisbane River in subtropical south-east Queensland. Following establishment, we also quantified the impact of aquatic herbivores on different patch sizes (15 m2 or 45 m2) of restored V. nana to test the hypothesis that larger patch sizes may confer greater resistance to grazing using a paired control/treatment design. After initial planting, V. nana grew and spread rapidly throughout the exclosure plots, with mean % cover increasing from 5% to 71% on average and mean leaf length increasing from 20 cm to 54 cm on average over 161 days. Transplanted V. nana cover was significantly positively associated with water depth and finer substrate sizes and leaf length was significantly positively associated with water depth and water velocity but was unrelated to substrate size. Exposure to grazing significantly reduced cover of V. nana, however there was no significant effects of macrophyte patch size, grazing intensity, or environmental factors on changes in V. nana cover. Complete removal of exclosure fencing resulted in near complete loss of macrophytes within 7-22 days at all plots, indicating the macrophyte beds (15 m2-60 m2) were of insufficient size to resist grazing pressure. Our findings suggest that transplanting is a viable restoration method with exclusion of grazing, which is critical for creating resistant beds to disturbances and driving future macrophyte recovery. Further research is required to evaluate the feasibility and efficacy of alternative macrophyte restoration strategies in rivers to foster hydrochory and natural regeneration processes following flood disturbance.

水生大型藻类,尤其是裸鲤,为濒危的澳大利亚肺鱼(Neoceratodus forsteri)提供了重要的产卵栖息地和食物资源。在一些地区,由于洪水的干扰,肺鱼的 V. nana 数量急剧下降,而大坝造成的河流支离破碎又降低了水文通道,从而抑制了大型水生植物的恢复。积极移植大型水草可能是增加大型水草丰度的可行恢复策略,然而,在大型食草水生动物的存在下,重新种植的水草床可能会因密集的放牧而无法持续。在这项研究中,我们分析了环境条件对昆士兰亚热带东南部布里斯班河中游 6 个 60 平方米食草动物围栏中移植的 V. nana 的生长和扩展的影响。种植后,我们还量化了水生食草动物对不同面积(15 m2 或 45 m2)的裸冠菊恢复植被的影响,通过配对对照/处理设计,验证了较大面积的裸冠菊可能具有更强的抗放牧能力这一假设。在最初种植后,裸冠菊迅速生长并蔓延到整个围栏地块,平均覆盖率从5%增加到71%,平均叶长在161天内从20厘米增加到54厘米。移植的裸冠菊盖度与水深和较细的基质尺寸呈显著正相关,叶长与水深和水速呈显著正相关,但与基质尺寸无关。放牧会明显降低裸冠菊的覆盖率,但大型植物斑块大小、放牧强度或环境因素对裸冠菊覆盖率的变化没有明显影响。完全拆除围栏会导致所有地块的大型植物在 7-22 天内几乎完全消失,这表明大型植物床(15 m2-60 m2)的大小不足以抵御放牧压力。我们的研究结果表明,移植是一种可行的禁牧恢复方法,这对于建立抗干扰性床和推动未来大型植物恢复至关重要。还需要进一步研究,以评估在河流中采用其他大型藻类恢复策略的可行性和有效性,从而在洪水干扰后促进水生和自然再生过程。
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引用次数: 0
Characterizing and modeling spatiotemporal trends in rangelands: Prosopis juliflora impact in middle Awash Basin, Ethiopia. 牧场时空趋势的特征和建模:埃塞俄比亚阿瓦什盆地中部的鹅掌楸影响。
IF 8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123336
Kalid Hassen Yasin

The Middle Awash Basin (MAB) faces severe ecological degradation due to the rapid spread of the invasive Prosopis juliflora (P. juliflora), which threatens native vegetation. The study characterizes and predicts the spatiotemporal dynamics of rangelands affected by P. juliflora in the MAB. Using three Landsat images from ETM+ (2003) and OLI (2013 and 2023), we applied a supervised random forest (RF) classification technique processed on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform. This classification was integrated into an intensity analysis to examine temporal transitions between land use and land cover (LULC) classes. The predictive modeling included 12 variables, including climatic, topographic, edaphic, phenological, hydrological, and anthropogenic factors, using Terrset 2020. Using multitemporal satellite remote sensing, machine learning (ML), and cellular automata markov chain (CA-MC) methods, LULC was mapped from 2003 to 2023, and future scenarios were predicted up to 2060. The P. juliflora coverage quadrupled from 2.16% in 2003 to 8.61% in 2023, while rangelands were decreased by more than 25%. Models predict that P. juliflora could occupy 22% of the land by 2060 and over 40% of rangeland areas as of 2003, expanding two to three times faster than the intensities of the LULC baseline changes, primarily targeting rangelands. Our analysis is based on a single business-as-usual scenario; however, it highlights the worrying invasion patterns. The study's limitations include the absence of multiple scenarios and climate model integration, which could offer further insights into future invasion dynamics. Nonetheless, our findings indicate that the MAB faces imminent widespread ecosystem transformation without prompt action, which will severely affect pastoral livelihoods and biodiversity conservation. Therefore, we advocate for a management strategy involving prevention, eradication, and restoration measures, underpinned by policy reforms and stakeholder cooperation.

中阿瓦士盆地(MAB)面临着严重的生态退化问题,原因是外来入侵植物糙伏楠(P. juliflora)的迅速蔓延威胁着本地植被。该研究描述并预测了人与生物圈地区受箭毒草影响的牧场的时空动态。我们利用 ETM+(2003 年)和 OLI(2013 年和 2023 年)的三幅 Landsat 图像,在谷歌地球引擎(GEE)平台上应用了有监督的随机森林(RF)分类技术。该分类被整合到强度分析中,以检查土地利用和土地覆被 (LULC) 等级之间的时间转换。使用 Terrset 2020 进行的预测建模包括 12 个变量,其中包括气候、地形、土壤、物候、水文和人为因素。利用多时卫星遥感、机器学习(ML)和单元自动机马尔可夫链(CA-MC)方法,绘制了 2003 年至 2023 年的 LULC 图,并预测了直至 2060 年的未来情景。果岭草覆盖率从 2003 年的 2.16% 增加到 2023 年的 8.61%,翻了两番,而牧场减少了 25% 以上。根据模型预测,到 2060 年,鹅掌楸可能会占据 22% 的土地,占据 2003 年 40% 以上的牧场面积,其扩张速度是 LULC 基线变化强度的两到三倍,主要针对牧场。我们的分析基于单一的 "一切照旧 "情景,但却突出了令人担忧的入侵模式。这项研究的局限性包括缺乏多种情景和气候模型的整合,而这可以为未来的入侵动态提供进一步的见解。尽管如此,我们的研究结果表明,如果不及时采取行动,人与生物圈即将面临大范围的生态系统转变,这将严重影响牧民的生计和生物多样性保护。因此,我们主张在政策改革和利益相关者合作的基础上,采取包括预防、根除和恢复措施在内的管理策略。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Environmental Management
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