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Emergency Service Location Problem with Ring Roads 环城公路应急服务定位问题
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-04-24 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2022.2062270
Sally M. Borham, A. Tharwat, E. Hassan
Abstract A key purpose of a service network design is to determine the best possible location(s) for each service center. The facility services must provide a quick and easy response to callers within a reasonable distance, especially in urgent cases. It’s well known that this problem is NP-hard, non-convex and non-differentiable optimization problem. However, if we make some simplifying assumptions, the problem could be solved within a polynomial time. This article introduces an algorithm for solving the problem of determining the best possible locations of the emergency service centers, concerning the case in which these centers are located on simple closed curves (e.g., ring roads). The proposed model can be applied in designing the emergency centers on ring roads in new cities, which have become one of the most important designs in solving traffic congestion problems. The problem is mathematically formulated, an algorithm for solving the problem under simplifying assumptions is proposed, the mathematics behind the algorithm is given, and the algorithm is illustrated by a numerical example.
摘要服务网络设计的一个关键目的是确定每个服务中心的最佳位置。设施服务必须在合理距离内为来电者提供快速方便的响应,尤其是在紧急情况下。众所周知,这是一个NP难、非凸、不可微的优化问题。然而,如果我们做一些简化的假设,这个问题可以在多项式时间内解决。本文介绍了一种算法,用于解决确定紧急服务中心的最佳可能位置的问题,涉及这些中心位于简单的封闭曲线(例如环路)上的情况。该模型可应用于新城市环路应急中心的设计,已成为解决交通拥堵问题的重要设计之一。对该问题进行了数学公式化,提出了一种在简化假设下求解该问题的算法,给出了该算法背后的数学模型,并通过数值例子对该算法进行了说明。
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引用次数: 0
A Bayes Analysis and Comparison of Arrhenius Weibull and Arrhenius Lognormal Models under Competing Risk 竞争风险下Arrhenius Weibull和Arrhenius Lognormal模型的贝叶斯分析与比较
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-02-21 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2022.2037030
Ankita Gupta, Rakesh Ranjan, S. Upadhyay
Abstract The paper considers constant stress accelerated life test situations under a competing risk scenario. The different groups of experimental units are operated at different accelerated levels of stress and, at each level, the units are exposed to fail from two competing causes of failures. For modeling the failure times resulting from such a test, the paper considers two competing risk models. The first model is based on the minimum of two Weibull failure times whereas the second one is based on the minimum of two lognormal failure times. In order to study the effect of covariates on failure times, the scale parameter of component models in each modeling framework has been regressed using the Arrhenius relationship. The paper performs a complete Bayes analysis of both the considered models for a real dataset arising from a temperature accelerated life test experiment and compares the two models using a few standard Bayesian tools. Bayes analysis is done using vague but proper priors for the parameters. Moreover, the considered models result in to intractable posterior distributions and, therefore, the paper uses the Metropolis algorithm to draw the desired posterior based inferences. For censored data situations, however, the intermediate Gibbs steps are used as updating mechanism by defining full conditionals corresponding to unknown censored data. The plausibility of both the models for entertained dataset has also been checked before performing their comparison. A numerical example based on a real dataset is provided for illustration.
摘要本文考虑了竞争风险情景下的恒应力加速寿命试验情况。不同组的实验单元在不同的加速应力水平下运行,在每个水平上,单元都暴露于两种相互竞争的失效原因。为了对此类试验的失效时间进行建模,本文考虑了两个相互竞争的风险模型。第一个模型是基于两个威布尔失效时间的最小值,而第二个模型是基于两个对数正态失效时间的最小值。为了研究协变量对失效时间的影响,利用Arrhenius关系对各建模框架中构件模型的尺度参数进行了回归。本文对来自温度加速寿命测试实验的真实数据集的两种模型进行了完整的贝叶斯分析,并使用一些标准贝叶斯工具对两种模型进行了比较。贝叶斯分析使用模糊但适当的先验参数。此外,所考虑的模型导致难以处理的后验分布,因此,本文使用Metropolis算法来绘制所需的基于后验的推论。然而,对于审查数据情况,通过定义与未知审查数据对应的完整条件,中间的Gibbs步骤被用作更新机制。在进行比较之前,还对娱乐数据集的两种模型的合理性进行了检查。给出了一个基于实际数据集的数值算例。
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引用次数: 0
Reliability of Multicomponent Stress-Strength Model Based on Bivariate Generalized Exponential Distribution 基于二元广义指数分布的多组分应力强度模型的可靠性
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-02-10 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2022.2032500
Mustafa Nadar, Elif Erçelik
Abstract This paper deals with a system consisting of k identical strength components where each side of a given component is composed of a pair of dependent elements. These elements have bivariate generalized exponential distribution and each element is put through a common random stress T which has generalized exponential distribution. The system is considered as working only if at least s out of strength random variables overcome the random stress. The multicomponent reliability of the system is defined by at least s of the exceed where and for Estimation of the multicomponent reliability may help the safety management and prevent some catastrophic disaster. We estimate multicomponent reliability by using classical and Bayesian approaches. Since the explicit form of stress-strength reliability estimate is not accessible, Lindley’s approximation and the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are used to develop Bayes estimate of Further, numerical studies are conducted and the reliability estimators are compared through the estimated risks (ER).
摘要本文讨论了一个由k个相同强度分量组成的系统,其中给定分量的每一侧都由一对相关元素组成。这些单元具有二元广义指数分布,每个单元都经历一个具有广义指数分布的公共随机应力T。只有当至少s个强度不足的随机变量克服了随机应力时,系统才被认为是工作的。系统的多组分可靠性由超过的至少s来定义,多组分的可靠性估计有助于安全管理和预防一些灾难。我们使用经典和贝叶斯方法来估计多分量可靠性。由于无法获得应力强度可靠性估计的显式形式,因此使用Lindley近似和马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗(MCMC)方法来发展的Bayes估计。此外,进行了数值研究,并通过估计风险(ER)对可靠性估计进行了比较。
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引用次数: 0
Ordering Results for Order Statistics from Heterogeneous Log-Logistic Distributions 异构对数逻辑分布中订单统计的排序结果
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-02-07 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2021.2019148
S. Kayal, L. K. Patra, Raju Bhakta, S. Nadarajah
SYNOPTIC ABSTRACT The largest and the smallest order statistics respectively represent the lifetime of a parallel and a series system. Various stochastic orders such as the usual stochastic order, hazard rate order and the reversed hazard rate order are used to obtain a stochastically better system. In the present communication, we consider stochastic comparison of the largest and the smallest order statistics arising from heterogeneous log-logistic distributions. First, we treat the case when the components do not receive random shocks. In other case, we assume that the components receive random shocks. The comparisons are studied in terms of the dispersive, usual stochastic, hazard rate and the reversed hazard rate orders. Majorization-based sufficient conditions are obtained to compare the order statistics. In addition, to illustrate the results, several numerical examples are presented.
概要摘要最大阶和最小阶统计量分别表示并联和串联系统的寿命。使用各种随机阶,如通常的随机阶、危险率阶和反向危险率阶,来获得随机性更好的系统。在目前的通信中,我们考虑由异质对数逻辑分布产生的最大阶和最小阶统计量的随机比较。首先,我们处理组件没有受到随机冲击的情况。在其他情况下,我们假设组件受到随机冲击。从分散性、一般随机性、危险率和反向危险率的顺序进行了比较研究。获得了比较订单统计的基于专业化的充分条件。此外,为了说明结果,给出了几个数值例子。
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引用次数: 0
More-for-Less Paradox in Time Minimization Transportation Problem with Mixed Constraints 混合约束下时间最小化运输问题的多换少悖论
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-01-27 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2022.2027302
Swati Agarwal, Shaurav Sharma
Abstract In emergency situations, such as at the time of the outbreak of infectious viruses (COVID-19, SARS, Ebola, MERS, etc.), strike of natural disasters (Earthquakes, tsunamis, cyclones, etc.), wars, terrorist attacks, etc., where distributing essential goods and services in minimum possible time is a major logistical challenge, the concept of more-for-less paradox could be helpful. In a minimization type transportation problem, this paradoxical situation occurs when the value of objective function falls below the optimum value by shipping a large number of total goods. In this article, a unified algorithm is developed to identify and resolve the existence of paradoxical situation in the time minimization transportation problem with mixed constraints using right-hand side parametric formulation. Using this prior approach, the paradoxical solution (if exists) can be found first, followed by an optimal solution. If the paradoxical part does not exist, it gets neglected. The conditions governing the existence of more transportation flow in less shipping time enable the decision-maker to extend the optimal solution in search of more-for-less opportunity at the time of emergency. The validity of an algorithm has been tested through numerical illustrations and by computational observations on matlab.
在传染病(COVID-19、SARS、埃博拉、MERS等)爆发、自然灾害(地震、海啸、飓风等)、战争、恐怖袭击等紧急情况下,在尽可能短的时间内分配基本商品和服务是一项重大的后勤挑战,“多赔少”悖论的概念可能会有所帮助。在最小化型运输问题中,当目标函数的值由于运输了大量的货物总量而低于最优值时,就会出现这种矛盾情况。本文提出了一种统一的算法来识别和解决混合约束下的时间最小化运输问题中存在的悖论情况。使用这种先验方法,可以首先找到矛盾解(如果存在),然后找到最优解。如果矛盾的部分不存在,它就会被忽略。在更短的运输时间内存在更多运输流量的条件使决策者能够在紧急情况下扩展最优解决方案,以寻求更少的机会。通过数值算例和matlab上的计算观察,验证了算法的有效性。
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引用次数: 1
Step-Down Procedure for Comparison between Successive Exponential Populations 连续指数总体间比较的降压法
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-12-23 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2021.2007189
Jatesh Kumar, Vikram Singh Brahm, A. N. Gill
Abstract This article deals with the comparison between successive two-parameter exponential populations with respect to the location parameter when it is reasonable to assume that the populations are ordered in some natural way. It is well reported in the literature that if the interest of the experimenter is only in testing the significance of differences, the stepwise procedures are more powerful than the simultaneous confidence intervals procedures. This fact motivated us to extend the simultaneous confidence intervals procedure, for the differences between the location parameters of successive exponential populations, of Singh et al. (2006) to a stepwise procedure by proposing step-down tests for simultaneously testing the significance of the differences of the location parameters of successive two-parameter exponential populations. For a given type-I family-wise error rate (FWER), the critical constants are tabulated for the implementation of the proposed procedure by the practitioners. The advantage of the proposed procedure in comparison to the Singh et al. (2006) procedure is demonstrated by using a numerical example.
摘要本文讨论了在假定连续的双参数指数总体以某种自然方式有序的情况下,它们相对于位置参数的比较。在文献中有很好的报道,如果实验者的兴趣只是在测试差异的显著性,逐步程序比同步置信区间程序更强大。这一事实促使我们将Singh等人(2006)针对连续指数总体位置参数差异的同步置信区间程序扩展为逐步程序,提出了同时测试连续双参数指数总体位置参数差异显著性的降压检验。对于给定的i型家庭误差率(FWER),为从业者提出的程序的实施列出了关键常数。与Singh等人(2006)的方法相比,所提出的方法的优势通过一个数值例子得到了证明。
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引用次数: 0
Properties of Bivariate Distributions Represented through Quantile Functions 用分位数函数表示的二元分布的性质
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-12-23 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2021.2016522
N. Unnikrishnan Nair, B. Vineshkumar
Abstract Recently, Vineshkumar and Nair (2019) have discussed the applications of bivariate quantile functions in the context of reliability analysis. But, the general properties of bivariate quantile functions have not been considered in their work. In the present paper, we carry out a preliminary study on the properties of bivariate distributions represented through quantile functions. The uses of the new results are illustrated in the case of a bivariate quantile function model by deriving their properties and then applying them to real data.
摘要最近,Vineshkumar和Nair(2019)讨论了二变量分位数函数在可靠性分析中的应用。但是,在他们的工作中没有考虑到二元分位数函数的一般性质。在本文中,我们对用分位数函数表示的二元分布的性质进行了初步研究。在二元分位数函数模型的情况下,通过推导其性质并将其应用于实际数据,说明了新结果的用途。
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引用次数: 0
On Combining Independent Tests in Case of Log-Normal Distribution 对数-正态分布中独立检验的组合
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-11-15 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2021.1997676
Abedel-Qader Al-Masri
Abstract Combining p-values from independent statistical tests is a popular approach to meta-analysis, particularly when the data underlying the tests are either no longer available or are difficult to combine. For simple null hypotheses, given any non-parametric combination method which has a monotone increasing acceptance region, there exists a problem for which this method is most powerful against some alternative. Starting from this perspective and recasting each method of combining p-values as a likelihood ratio test, we present theoretical results for some of the standard combiners which provide guidance about how a powerful combiner might be chosen in practice. In this paper we consider the problem of combining independent tests as for testing a simple hypothesis in case of log-normal distribution. We study the six free-distribution combination test producers namely; Fisher, logistic, sum of p-values, inverse normal, Tippett’s method, and maximum of p-values. Moreover, we studying the behavior of these tests via the exact Bahadur slope. The limits of the ratios of every pair of these slopes are discussed as the parameter and As the maximum of p-values is better than all other methods, followed in decreasing order by the inverse normal, logistic, the sum of p-values, Fisher, and Tippett’s procedure. Whereas, the worst method the sum of p-values and the other methods remain the same, since they have the same limit. In the end, a numerical study to investigate these comparisons behavior in different values of It will be shown that the inverse normal method is the best method followed by the logistic method, the Fisher method and the sum of p-values method.
结合独立统计检验的p值是一种流行的元分析方法,特别是当检验的基础数据不再可用或难以结合时。对于简单的零假设,给定任何具有单调递增接受域的非参数组合方法,存在该方法对某些替代方法最有效的问题。从这个角度出发,并将组合p值的每种方法重新定义为似然比检验,我们提出了一些标准组合器的理论结果,这些结果为在实践中如何选择强大的组合器提供了指导。本文考虑了对数正态分布下检验简单假设的组合独立检验问题。研究了6个自由分布组合试验生产者;Fisher, logistic, p值和,反正态,Tippett方法,p值最大值。此外,我们还通过精确的Bahadur斜率来研究这些试验的行为。每对斜率的比值的极限作为参数进行了讨论,因为p值的最大值比所有其他方法都好,其次是逆正态、逻辑、p值和、Fisher和Tippett过程。然而,最差的方法- p值的总和和其他方法保持不变,因为它们有相同的极限。最后,通过数值研究考察了这些比较在不同值下的行为,结果表明,逆正态法是最好的方法,其次是logistic法、Fisher法和p值和法。
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引用次数: 1
Methods of Estimation and Bias Corrected Maximum Likelihood Estimators of Unit Burr III Distribution 单位BurrⅢ分布的估计方法和偏差校正的最大似然估计
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-08-28 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2021.1963357
S. Dey, Liang Wang
Abstract In this article, various classical estimation methods are employed to estimate the parameters of unit Burr III distribution. Further, the associated second-order bias corrections of the MLEs of its parameters are obtained by using a modified bias-corrected approach. In addition, another parametric bootstrap bias correction method is also considered for model parameters. Extensive Monte-Carlo simulation studies are performed to evaluate different estimation methods in terms of their average biases and mean squared error, and the performance of these estimators are compared as well. Our results reveal that the bias corrections improve the accuracy of maximum likelihood estimates. Finally, one real data example is discussed to illustrate the applicability of the unit Burr III distribution.
摘要本文采用各种经典的估计方法来估计单位BurrⅢ分布的参数。此外,通过使用改进的偏置校正方法来获得其参数的MLE的相关联的二阶偏置校正。此外,对模型参数还考虑了另一种参数自举偏差校正方法。进行了广泛的蒙特卡罗模拟研究,以评估不同的估计方法的平均偏差和均方误差,并比较了这些估计量的性能。我们的结果表明,偏差校正提高了最大似然估计的准确性。最后,通过一个实际数据实例说明了单位BurrⅢ分布的适用性。
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引用次数: 1
EOQ Model for Exponentially Deteriorating Items with Planned Backorders without Differential Calculus 具有计划延期订单的指数劣化项目的EOQ模型
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-08-27 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2021.1957729
Cenk Çalışkan
Abstract We study the Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) model for deteriorating items with planned backorders. In the exponentially deteriorating items model, the inventory deterioration rate is proportional to the inventory level, which leads to an exponentially decreasing inventory level over time, obtained by solving an ordinary differential equation. Due to polynomial and exponential terms in the total cost function, an exact closed form solution is not possible. Therefore, an approximation of the total cost function has to be used. In this paper, we propose a concise and intuitive method to determine the inventory level function without using differential equations, and a method to determine the optimal solution without derivatives, based on an accurate approximation of the total cost function. Our approximation is novel and intuitive and numerical experiments demonstrate the accuracy of the closed form solution based on our approximation.
摘要我们研究了有计划延期订单的变质物品的经济订单量(EOQ)模型。在指数恶化项目模型中,通过求解常微分方程,库存恶化率与库存水平成比例,这导致库存水平随时间呈指数下降。由于总成本函数中存在多项式和指数项,因此不可能得到精确的闭合形式解。因此,必须使用总成本函数的近似值。在本文中,我们提出了一种不使用微分方程来确定库存水平函数的简洁直观的方法,以及一种基于总成本函数的精确近似来确定无导数最优解的方法。我们的近似是新颖直观的,数值实验证明了基于我们的近似的闭合形式解的准确性。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
American Journal of Mathematical and Management Sciences
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