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A New Kernel Estimator Based on Scaled Inverse Chi-Squared Density Function 一种新的基于比例逆卡方密度函数的核估计
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-12-11 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2020.1854138
Elif Erçelik, Mustafa Nadar
Abstract In this work, a new kernel estimator based on scaled inverse chi-squared distribution is proposed to estimate densities having nonnegative support. The optimal rates of convergence for the mean squared error (MSE) and the mean integrated squared error (MISE) are obtained. Adaptive Bayesian bandwidth selection method with Lindley approximation is used for heavy tailed distributions. Simulation studies are performed to compare the performance of the average integrated square error (ISE) by using the bandwidths obtained from the global least squares cross-validation bandwidth selection method and the bandwidths obtained from adaptive Bayesian method with Lindley approximation. Finally, real data sets are presented to illustrate the findings.
摘要本文提出了一种基于比例反卡方分布的核估计器,用于估计具有非负支持度的密度。得到了平均平方误差(MSE)和平均积分平方误差(MISE)的最优收敛速率。对于重尾分布,采用Lindley近似的自适应贝叶斯带宽选择方法。利用全局最小二乘交叉验证带宽选择方法获得的带宽与基于Lindley近似的自适应贝叶斯方法获得的带宽进行了仿真研究,比较了平均积分平方误差(ISE)的性能。最后,给出了实际数据集来说明研究结果。
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引用次数: 5
On the Quotient of Extreme Order Statistics from Two Triangularly Distributed Random Variables 关于两个三角分布随机变量的极序统计量的商
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-11-24 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2020.1848667
Ali I. Genç
Abstract Although computer simulations can be used in computations of various characteristics of a stochastic problem to get an approximate answer, we frequently require exact results. When the uncertainty of this problem is restricted within some bounded domain, a triangular distribution may be used appropriately for modeling. In this work, we consider two triangularly and independently distributed random variables. We derive the exact distribution of the ratio of the maximum of these random variables to their minimum. This ratio of extreme statistics may be used as a dispersion measure. We present the quotient distribution in a computable form. Two possible applications are also given.
摘要尽管计算机模拟可以用于计算随机问题的各种特征以获得近似答案,但我们经常需要精确的结果。当这个问题的不确定性被限制在某个有界域内时,可以适当地使用三角形分布进行建模。在这项工作中,我们考虑两个三角形独立分布的随机变量。我们导出了这些随机变量的最大值与其最小值之比的精确分布。这种极端统计的比率可以用作一种离散度量。我们以可计算的形式给出了商分布,并给出了两个可能的应用。
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引用次数: 0
On the Economic Order Quantity Model with Compounding 关于具有复合的经济订单数量模型
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-11-24 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2020.1847224
Cenk Çalışkan
Abstract The classical Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) model assumes simple interest to represent the opportunity cost of capital tied up in the inventory. Recently, the classical model has been extended to incorporate compounding, and an intuitive closed-form solution has been proposed. The compounding based model is more realistic than the original EOQ model because compound interest is the standard practice in finance and banking. The resulting closed-form solution proposed for this recent model is based on an approximation of the annual compound interest-based opportunity cost. However, the derivation of the approximation model is rather long and complicated, involving the use of the L’Hôpital’s rule several times. Here, we show an easier way to approximate the annual compound interest-based opportunity cost. Our derivation is shorter and it does not require the use of the L’Hôpital’s rule. We also demonstrate that the approximation is remarkably close to the exact model, and it results in the same intuitive closed-form solution as the earlier one.
摘要经典的经济订货量(EOQ)模型假设简单的利息来表示被捆绑在库存中的资金的机会成本。最近,经典模型被扩展到包含复合,并提出了一个直观的封闭解。基于复利的模型比原来的EOQ模型更现实,因为复利是金融和银行业的标准做法。为这个最近的模型提出的封闭形式的解决方案是基于基于年复利的机会成本的近似值。然而,近似模型的推导过程相当漫长和复杂,涉及到L 'Hôpital规则的多次使用。这里,我们展示了一种更简单的方法来估算基于复利的年度机会成本。我们的推导更短,它不需要使用L 'Hôpital规则。我们还证明了近似与精确模型非常接近,并且它产生了与前面的模型相同的直观的封闭形式解。
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引用次数: 5
Bayesian Estimation of Queueing Model using Bivariate Prior 基于二元先验的排队模型的贝叶斯估计
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-11-13 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2020.1835589
V. Deepthi, Joby K. Jose
Abstract This article describes Bayes estimation of various queue characteristics such as queue parameters λ and μ, and queue performance measures like traffic intensity, expected waiting time in the queue, and expected queue size of model using Mckay’s bivariate gamma distribution as prior under squared error loss function as well as entropy loss function. Closed form expressions are obtained for the Bayes estimators of the queue parameters and various queue performance measures using the properties of confluent hyper geometric function and Gauss hyper geometric function. Bootstrap Bayes estimates and credible regions are computed using simulated data for different set of hyper parameter values. Also we apply Markov Chain Monte Carlo method and compute Bayes estimates and credible intervals of various queue characteristics using the same joint prior distribution and compare the values with bootstrap estimates.
摘要本文描述了各种队列特征的贝叶斯估计,如队列参数λ和μ,以及队列性能指标,如交通强度、队列中的预期等待时间和模型的预期队列大小,使用Mckay的二元伽玛分布作为先验平方误差损失函数和熵损失函数。利用合流超几何函数和高斯超几何函数的性质,得到了队列参数和各种队列性能测度的贝叶斯估计的闭式表达式。使用不同超参数值集的模拟数据计算Bootstrap Bayes估计和可信区域。我们还应用马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗方法,使用相同的联合先验分布计算各种队列特征的贝叶斯估计和可信区间,并将其值与bootstrap估计值进行比较。
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引用次数: 4
Analysis and Performance Evaluation of Markovian Feedback Multi-Server Queueing Model with Vacation and Impatience 带休假和不耐的马尔可夫反馈多服务器排队模型分析与性能评价
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-11-13 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2020.1842271
A. Bouchentouf, M. Cherfaoui, Mohamed Boualem
Abstract This paper deals with a finite capacity multi-server Markovian queueing model with Bernoulli feedback, synchronous multiple vacation policy and customers’ impatience (balking and reneging). By employing certain customer retention mechanism, impatient customers can be retained in the system. Applications of the suggested queueing model can be found in a wide variety of practical systems including modern information and communication technology (ICT) networks, call centers, and manufacturing systems. Using the recursive method, the steady state probabilities of the model are obtained. Various performance measures are derived. Then, some important particular cases are provided. Finally, different numerical examples are presented to demonstrate how the different parameters of the model influence the behavior of the stationary characteristics of the system.
摘要研究了具有伯努利反馈、同步多休假策略和顾客不耐烦(拒绝和食言)的有限容量多服务器马尔可夫排队模型。通过采用一定的客户保留机制,可以将缺乏耐心的客户保留在系统中。所建议的排队模型可以在各种各样的实际系统中找到应用,包括现代信息和通信技术(ICT)网络、呼叫中心和制造系统。利用递归方法,得到了模型的稳态概率。推导出各种性能度量。然后,给出了一些重要的具体案例。最后,给出了不同的数值算例来说明模型的不同参数对系统平稳特性的影响。
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引用次数: 12
Statistical Inference for Gompertz Distribution Using the Adaptive-General Progressive Type-II Censored Samples 使用自适应一般渐进型ii截尾样本的Gompertz分布的统计推断
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-11-09 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2020.1835590
M. H. Abu-Moussa, M. El-din, M. A. Mosilhy
Abstract In this article, we combine the adaptive progressive Type-II censoring model with the general progressive model, to obtain the estimates for the parameters of Gompertz distribution, and the Bayesian prediction intervals. Estimation is executed using the maximum likelihood method (MLE) and the Bayesian method. Bayesian estimates are constructed depending on four types of loss functions. The credible intervals and the asymptotic confidence intervals are determined for the parameters of Gompertz distribution based on the Bayesian estimates and the MLEs, respectively. Finally, a real data example and the simulation study are discussed to compare the proposed methods.
本文将自适应渐进式ii型滤波模型与一般渐进式模型相结合,得到了Gompertz分布参数的估计和贝叶斯预测区间。估计使用最大似然法(MLE)和贝叶斯方法执行。贝叶斯估计是根据四种类型的损失函数构造的。分别基于贝叶斯估计和最大似然估计确定了Gompertz分布参数的可信区间和渐近置信区间。最后,通过实际数据算例和仿真研究对所提方法进行了比较。
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引用次数: 8
Modeling the Impact of Remanufacturing Process in Determining Demand-Cost Trade off Using MAUT 基于MAUT的再制造过程对需求成本权衡的影响建模
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-11-04 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2020.1839609
G. Bansal, Adarsh Anand, Mohini Agarwal
Abstract In order to maintain an ecological balance between new demands and reducing waste, a “remanufacturing” process has emerged as a tool that collectively gratifies long-term benefits to both the firms as well as the consumers. The role of remanufacturing is important in new product development as it fastens the rate of system degradation. In view of this, the current study presents a methodical approach to estimate and analyze how the concept of remanufacturing helps in minimizing cost while satisfying demand. To determine the optimal time point of maximum profit and minimum cost as the overall objective, multi-attribute utility theory (MAUT) have been utilized. The cost of remanufacturing the product and its demand has been considered as significant components which affect the optimal point. Furthermore, the proposed model has been validated on real-life sales data of automobile industry.
摘要为了在新需求和减少浪费之间保持生态平衡,“再制造”过程已经成为一种工具,它可以共同为企业和消费者带来长期利益。再制造在新产品开发中的作用很重要,因为它可以加快系统退化的速度。有鉴于此,本研究提出了一种系统的方法来估计和分析再制造的概念如何有助于在满足需求的同时将成本降至最低。为了确定以利润最大、成本最小为总体目标的最优时间点,运用了多属性效用理论。再制造产品的成本及其需求被认为是影响最优点的重要组成部分。此外,该模型已在实际汽车行业销售数据中得到验证。
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引用次数: 6
Confidence Intervals for a Population Size Based on Capture-Recapture Data 基于捕获-再捕获数据的总体规模的置信区间
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-11-03 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2020.1835591
Bao-Anh Dang, K. Krishnamoorthy, Shanshan Lv
Abstract Capture-recapture is a popular sampling method to estimate the total number of individuals in a population. This method is also used to estimate the size of a target population based on several incomplete records/databases of individuals. In this context, a simple approximate confidence interval (CI) based on the hypergeometric distribution is proposed. The proposed CI is compared with a popular approximate CI, likelihood CI and an exact admissible CI in terms of coverage probability and precision. Our numerical study indicates that the proposed CI is very satisfactory in terms of coverage probability, better than the popular approximate CI, and much shorter than the admissible CI. The interval estimation method is illustrated using a few examples with epidemiological data.
摘要捕获-再捕获是一种流行的抽样方法,用于估计种群中的个体总数。该方法还用于根据几个不完整的个人记录/数据库来估计目标人群的规模。在此背景下,提出了一种基于超几何分布的简单近似置信区间(CI)。将所提出的CI与流行的近似CI、似然CI和精确可容许CI在覆盖概率和精度方面进行了比较。我们的数值研究表明,所提出的CI在覆盖概率方面是非常令人满意的,比流行的近似CI好,并且比容许CI短得多。
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引用次数: 0
Penalized Empirical Likelihood-Based Variable Selection for Longitudinal Data Analysis 基于惩罚经验似然的纵向数据分析变量选择
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-10-28 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2020.1837042
Tharshanna Nadarajah, A. Variyath, J. Loredo-Osti
Abstract Longitudinal data with a large number of covariates have become common in many applications such as epidemiology, clinical research, and therapeutic evaluation. The identification of a sub-model that adequately represents the data are necessary for easy interpretation. Existing information theoretic-approaches such as AIC and BIC are useful, but computationally not efficient due to an evaluation of all possible subsets. A new class of penalized likelihood methods such as LASSO, SCAD, etc. are efficient in these situations. All these methods rely on the parametric modeling of the response of interest. The joint likelihood function for longitudinal data is challenging, particularly for correlated discrete outcome data. In such a situation, we propose penalized empirical likelihood (PEL) based on generalized estimating equations (GEE) by which the variable selection and the estimation of the coefficients are carried out simultaneously. We discuss its characteristics and asymptotic properties and present an efficient computational algorithm for optimizing PEL. Simulation studies show that when model assumptions are true, its performance is comparable to that of the existing methods and when the model is misspecified, our method has clear advantages over the existing methods. We have applied the method to two case examples.
摘要具有大量协变量的纵向数据在流行病学、临床研究和治疗评估等许多应用中已经很常见。为了便于解释,有必要确定一个充分代表数据的子模型。现有的信息论方法,如AIC和BIC是有用的,但由于评估了所有可能的子集,计算效率不高。一类新的惩罚似然方法,如LASSO、SCAD等,在这种情况下是有效的。所有这些方法都依赖于感兴趣的响应的参数化建模。纵向数据的联合似然函数具有挑战性,尤其是对于相关离散结果数据。在这种情况下,我们提出了基于广义估计方程(GEE)的惩罚经验似然(PEL),通过广义估计方程同时进行变量选择和系数估计。我们讨论了它的特性和渐近性质,并提出了一种有效的PEL优化计算算法。仿真研究表明,当模型假设成立时,其性能与现有方法相当,当模型指定错误时,我们的方法比现有方法具有明显的优势。我们已将该方法应用于两个实例。
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引用次数: 1
Estimating Common Scale Parameter of Two Logistic Populations: A Bayesian Study 估计两个Logistic总体的共同尺度参数:一个贝叶斯研究
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-10-26 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2020.1833794
N. Nagamani, M. Tripathy, Somesh Kumar
Abstract Estimation under equality restrictions is an age old problem and has been considered by several researchers in the past due to practical applications and theoretical challenges involved in it. Particularly, the problem has been extensively studied from classical as well as decision theoretic point of view when the underlying distribution is normal. In this paper, we consider the problem when the underlying distribution is non-normal, say, logistic. Specifically, estimation of the common scale parameter of two logistic populations has been considered when the location parameters are unknown. It is observed that closed forms of the maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) for the associated parameters do not exist. Using certain numerical techniques the MLEs have been derived. The asymptotic confidence intervals have been derived numerically too, as these also depend on the MLEs. Approximate Bayes estimators are proposed using non-informative as well as conjugate priors with respect to the squared error (SE) and the LINEX loss functions. A simulation study has been conducted to evaluate the proposed estimators and compare their performances through mean squared error (MSE) and bias. Finally, two real life examples have been considered in order to show the potential applications of the proposed model and illustrate the method of estimation.
摘要等式约束下的估计是一个古老的问题,由于其实际应用和理论挑战,过去一直被许多研究者所关注。特别是,当底层分布为正态分布时,从经典和决策理论的角度对该问题进行了广泛的研究。在本文中,我们考虑底层分布是非正态分布的问题,即逻辑分布。具体地说,考虑了在位置参数未知的情况下,两个logistic总体的共同尺度参数的估计。观察到相关参数的最大似然估计的封闭形式不存在。利用一定的数值技术推导出了最大误差。渐近置信区间也用数值方法推导出来,因为它们也依赖于最大似然值。利用非信息先验和共轭先验对平方误差(SE)和LINEX损失函数提出了近似贝叶斯估计。通过仿真研究对所提出的估计器进行了评价,并通过均方误差(MSE)和偏差比较了它们的性能。最后,考虑了两个现实生活中的例子,以显示所提出的模型的潜在应用,并说明了估计方法。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
American Journal of Mathematical and Management Sciences
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