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A Comparison of Different Bayesian Models for Leukemia Data 白血病数据的不同贝叶斯模型的比较
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-07-27 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2021.1957730
M. Rafique, Sajid Ali, Ismail Shah, B. Ashraf
Abstract Different probability models are used to model survival data. However, it is important to know which model describe best the data because if the assumptions for parametric methods hold, the resulting estimates have smaller standard errors and are easier to interpret and helps in predictions. This article presents the Bayesian censored data modeling assuming Gumbel, double exponential, exponentially modified Gaussian, Weibull, and lognormal distributions as sampling models. In particular, a historical Leukemia data set is used to show the comparison among different models. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are used to compute the posterior summaries. Different model selection criteria, like, Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Deviance Information Criterion (DIC), Leave-one-out Cross-Validation (LOOCV), and Watanabe-Akaike Information Criterion (WAIC) are used for model selection. It is observed from the comparative study that the lognormal model has the minimum values of different model selection criteria and considered to be the best for this Leukemia data.
摘要不同的概率模型用于生存数据的建模。然而,知道哪个模型最能描述数据是很重要的,因为如果参数方法的假设成立,得到的估计有更小的标准误差,更容易解释并有助于预测。本文介绍了假设甘贝尔分布、双指数分布、指数修正高斯分布、威布尔分布和对数正态分布作为抽样模型的贝叶斯截尾数据建模。特别地,使用历史白血病数据集来显示不同模型之间的比较。采用马尔科夫链蒙特卡罗(MCMC)方法计算后验总结。模型选择采用了赤池信息准则(AIC)、偏差信息准则(DIC)、留一交叉验证(LOOCV)、渡边赤池信息准则(WAIC)等不同的模型选择准则。从比较研究中可以看出,对数正态模型具有不同模型选择标准的最小值,被认为是该白血病数据的最佳模型。
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引用次数: 2
AIC for Growth Curve Model with Monotone Missing Data 具有单调缺失数据的增长曲线模型的AIC
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-07-27 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2021.1946667
Ayaka Yagi, T. Seo, Y. Fujikoshi
Abstract In this article, we consider an AIC for a one-sample version of the growth curve model when the dataset has a monotone pattern of missing observations. It is well known that the AIC can be regarded as an approximately unbiased estimator of the AIC-type risk defined by the expected -predictive likelihood. Here, the likelihood is based on the observed data. First, when the covariance matrix is known, we derive an AIC, which is an exact unbiased estimator of the AIC-type risk function. Next, when the covariance matrix is unknown, we derive a conventional AIC using the estimators based on the complete data set only. Finally, a numerical example is presented to illustrate our model selection procedure.
摘要在本文中,当数据集具有单调的观测缺失模式时,我们考虑增长曲线模型的单样本版本的AIC。众所周知,AIC可以看作是由期望-预测似然定义的AIC型风险的近似无偏估计量。这里,可能性是基于观察到的数据。首先,当协方差矩阵已知时,我们导出AIC,它是AIC型风险函数的精确无偏估计量。接下来,当协方差矩阵未知时,我们仅使用基于完整数据集的估计量来导出传统的AIC。最后,给出了一个数值例子来说明我们的模型选择过程。
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引用次数: 0
Estimation of Shannon Entropy in the Presence of Length-Bias and Type I Censoring 长度偏差和I型滤波存在下香农熵的估计
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-07-13 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2021.1941452
R. Rajesh, R. G., S. Sunoj
Abstract Length-biased data appear when sampling lifetimes by cross-section. This article presents a nonparametric kernel estimators of entropy function for the length-biased sample under type I censoring. We have shown that the proposed estimator is consistent and asymptotically normal under suitable regularity conditions. We have conducted simulation studies to assess the performance of the proposed estimators.
摘要按横截面采样寿命时,数据出现长度偏差。本文给出了一类截断下长度偏样本的熵函数的非参数核估计。在适当的正则性条件下,我们证明了所提出的估计量是相合的和渐近正态的。我们进行了模拟研究,以评估建议的估计器的性能。
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引用次数: 1
A New Two Sample Generalized Type-II Hybrid Censoring Scheme 一种新的双样本广义ii型混合滤波方案
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-07-08 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2021.1946666
O. Abo-Kasem, A. Elshahhat
Abstract Generalized hybrid censoring schemes, proposed by Chandrasekar et al. (Naval Research Logistics, 51(7), 994–1004, 2004), have several advantages over the conventional hybrid censoring schemes. In this paper, we introduce a new generalized Type-II hybrid censoring scheme for two samples. The maximum likelihood and Bayesian inferential approaches for estimating the unknown mean lifetimes of the experimental units for the two samples follow exponential population with different scale parameters are considered. The corresponding asymptotic confidence intervals of the maximum likelihood estimators are also obtained. Using gamma conjugate priors, the Bayes estimators are developed relative to both symmetric and asymmetric loss functions. Also, some popular censoring plans are generalized and can be obtained as a special cases from our results. One real-life data set is analyzed to discuss how the applicability of the proposed methods in real phenomenon. Finally, to examine the performance of proposed methods, a Monte Carlo simulation study is carried out.
摘要Chandrasekar等人提出的广义混合审查方案(Naval Research Logistics,51(7),994–10042004)与传统的混合审查方案相比具有几个优点。在本文中,我们介绍了一种新的两个样本的广义II型混合截尾方案。考虑了估计两个样本的实验单元未知平均寿命的最大似然和贝叶斯推理方法,这些方法遵循不同尺度参数的指数总体。给出了最大似然估计量的渐近置信区间。使用伽马共轭先验,相对于对称和非对称损失函数开发了贝叶斯估计量。此外,我们还推广了一些流行的审查方案,并将其作为特例从我们的结果中得到。分析了一个真实的数据集,讨论了所提出的方法在真实现象中的适用性。最后,为了检验所提出的方法的性能,进行了蒙特卡罗模拟研究。
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引用次数: 1
Time-Dependent Stress-Strength Reliability Model with Phase-Type Cycle Time Based on Finite Mixture Models 基于有限混合模型的阶段型循环时间时变应力强度可靠性模型
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-06-21 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2021.1933661
M. Drisya, Joby K. Jose, K. Krishnendu
Abstract This paper deals with the estimation of the stress-strength reliability of time-dependent models. Suppose that a system is allowed to run continuously and is subjected to random stress at random time points. Then we can assume a decrease in the strength of the system during the completion of each run. Let the strength of the system decreases by a constant and the stress on the system increases by a constant over each run. Time taken for completion of a run is assumed to have continuous phase-type distribution, the initial strength of the system, as well as, initial stress on the system are assumed to have a finite mixture of either Weibull distributions or power transformed half logistic distributions. A detailed numerical illustration of the results is also carried out.
摘要本文研究了时变模型的应力-强度可靠性估计问题。假设系统连续运行,在随机时间点受到随机应力。然后我们可以假设在每次运行完成时系统的强度会下降。让系统的强度降低一个常数,系统的压力在每次运行中增加一个常数。假设完成一次运行所需的时间具有连续的相位型分布,假设系统的初始强度以及系统的初始应力具有威布尔分布或幂变换半logistic分布的有限混合。对结果进行了详细的数值说明。
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引用次数: 1
Kernel Estimation of Mathai-Haubold Entropy and Residual Mathai-Haubold Entropy Functions under α-Mixing Dependence Condition α-混合相关条件下Mathai-Haubold熵和残差Mathai-Haubold熵函数的核估计
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-06-07 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2021.1935366
R. Maya, M. Irshad
Abstract Mathai and Haubold introduced a new generalized entropy namely Mathai-Haubold entropy and Dar and Al-Zahrani proposed the Mathai-Haubold entropy for the residual life time and called it as residual Mathai-Haubold entropy. In the present paper, we propose nonparametric estimators for the Mathai-Haubold entropy and the residual Mathai-Haubold entropy where the observations under consideration are exhibiting α-mixing (strong mixing) dependence condition. Asymptotic properties of the estimators are established under suitable regular conditions. A Monte Carlo simulation study is carried out to compare the performance of the estimators using the mean squared error. The methods are illustrated using a real data set.
摘要Mathai和Haubold引入了一种新的广义熵,即Mathai Haubold熵,Dar和Al-Zahrani提出了剩余寿命的Mathai Haobold熵,并称之为剩余Mathai Haub熵。在本文中,我们提出了Mathai-Haubold熵和残差Mathai-Houbold熵的非参数估计,其中所考虑的观测值表现出α-混合(强混合)依赖条件。在适当的正则条件下,建立了估计量的渐近性质。进行了蒙特卡罗模拟研究,以比较使用均方误差的估计器的性能。使用实际数据集对这些方法进行了说明。
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引用次数: 2
Bayesian Prediction Bounds from a Family of Exponentiated Distributions in the Presence of Outliers 一类指数分布在异常值存在下的贝叶斯预测界
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-06-07 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2021.1931587
Heba S. Mohammed
Abstract In this paper, Bayesian prediction bounds for order statistics of future observations from a family of exponentiated distributions are obtained in the presence of a single outlier arising from different members of the same family of distributions. During an experimentation, we come across circumstances where one or more observations may not be homogeneous to rest of the observations and hence can be treated as outliers. Nowadays, the classification for outlier prediction are applied in various fields like bioinformatics, natural language processing, military application, geographical domains etc. We consider single outliers of two types in future observations when the sample size of the future sample is a random variable. The exponentiated exponential distribution has been used as a special case from the suggested family. We introduce numerical examples and compute Bayesian prediction bounds based on the real data, by using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm.
摘要在本文中,在存在由同一分布族的不同成员产生的单个异常值的情况下,获得了指数分布族未来观测的阶统计量的贝叶斯预测界。在实验过程中,我们会遇到一个或多个观测值可能与其他观测值不一致的情况,因此可以将其视为异常值。如今,异常值预测的分类应用于生物信息学、自然语言处理、军事应用、地理领域等各个领域。当未来样本的样本量是随机变量时,我们在未来的观测中考虑两种类型的单个异常值。指数指数分布已被用作所建议的族的特例。介绍了数值算例,并根据实际数据,利用马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗(MCMC)算法计算了贝叶斯预测界。
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引用次数: 0
E-Bayesian and Hierarchical Bayesian Estimation of Inverse Rayleigh Distribution 逆瑞利分布的E-Bayesian和层次Bayesian估计
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-04-30 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2021.1914250
R. B. Athirakrishnan, E. I. Abdul-Sathar
Abstract This article proposes E-Bayesian and Hierarchical Bayesian estimation method to estimate the scale parameter and reversed hazard rate of inverse Rayleigh distribution. These estimators are derived under squared error, entropy and precautionary loss functions. The definition and properties of proposed estimators are given. The proposed estimators are suitable for all sample sizes and perform better than the existing classical estimator, such as MLE, with high efficiency. Simulated and real data sets are also discussed for studying the performance of the estimators, which shows that the proposed estimators are efficient and easy to use.
摘要本文提出了E-Bayesian和层次贝叶斯估计方法来估计逆瑞利分布的尺度参数和反向危险率。这些估计量是在平方误差、熵和预防损失函数下导出的。给出了估计量的定义和性质。所提出的估计器适用于所有样本大小,并且比现有的经典估计器(如MLE)性能更好,具有较高的效率。为了研究估计量的性能,还讨论了模拟和真实数据集,这表明所提出的估计量是有效的,易于使用。
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引用次数: 14
Computing Probabilties for Rank Statistics Used with Block Design Nonparametric Subset Selection Rules 基于块设计非参数子集选择规则的秩统计计算概率
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-04-26 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2021.1910885
G. C. McDonald
Abstract This article addresses the issue of computing an implementation constant required to apply a nonparametric subset selection procedure. Specifically, several approximations to the cumulative distribution function (cdf) of a statistic, based on ranks assigned randomly to continuous data arising from a randomized block designed experiment, are given and compared to the exact cdf. One of these approximations is simulation based using an R code. The second is based on a normal approximation to the rank sums. In the special case of comparing two populations, algebraic properties of the cdfs are derived and validated with the exact tabulations previously given in the literature. An application of these approximation methods is given for a published study of state traffic fatality rates for the years 1994 through 2012.
本文讨论了应用非参数子集选择过程所需的实现常数的计算问题。具体来说,基于随机分组设计实验中产生的连续数据随机分配的秩,给出了统计量的累积分布函数(cdf)的几个近似值,并与精确的cdf进行了比较。其中一种近似方法是使用R代码进行模拟。第二种是基于秩和的正态近似。在比较两个种群的特殊情况下,推导了cdfs的代数性质,并用文献中先前给出的精确表格进行了验证。这些近似方法的应用给出了1994年至2012年各州交通死亡率的一项已发表的研究。
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引用次数: 1
Exact Likelihood Inference for an Exponential Parameter under a Multi-Sample Type-II Progressive Hybrid Censoring Model 多样本型渐进式混合滤波模型下指数参数的精确似然推断
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-04-23 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2021.1914251
Marcel Jansen, E. Cramer, J. Górny
Abstract This paper introduces multi-sample Type-II progressive hybrid censoring which allows to incorporate data from independently conducted Type-II (progressive) hybrid censored experiments for the first time. Assuming exponentially distributed lifetimes with mean the maximum likelihood estimator of is obtained and its exact distribution is established. Moreover, we propose an exact confidence interval as well as two asymptotic confidence intervals for the unknown mean. The results are illustrated by simulations and a data set.
摘要本文首次引入了多样本ii型渐进混合截尾算法,该算法允许将独立进行的ii型(渐进)混合截尾实验的数据纳入其中。在寿命均值为指数分布的条件下,得到了的极大似然估计量,并建立了其精确分布。此外,我们提出了一个精确的置信区间和两个渐近置信区间的未知平均值。结果通过仿真和数据集进行了说明。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
American Journal of Mathematical and Management Sciences
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