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Habitat suitability modeling for Posidonia oceanica distribution along a Mediterranean region (NW Italy) 为地中海地区(意大利西北部)Posidonia oceanica 的分布建立生境适宜性模型
IF 5.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2025.100587
Rachele Bordoni , Chiara Paoli , Monica Montefalcone , Alice Oprandi , Ilaria Rigo , Francesca Ruggeri , Paolo Vassallo
Posidonia oceanica (L.) Delile is a keystone seagrass species, playing a central role in the ecological balance of Mediterranean coastal areas but threatened by increasing human pressures. Proper management and conservation of coastal marine habitats require the understanding of its distribution. To address this need, we developed habitat suitability models (HSMs), built up using the Random Forest algorithm in R software, that assess the suitability of the environment for the presence of P. oceanica in the Ligurian Sea (NW Italy).
Model response variables included potential seabed areas characterized by P. oceanica habitats on soft and rocky bottoms, down to 50 m depth. Explanatory variables included natural factors as well as variables related to human activities along the coastal strip.
The HSMs showed high accuracy rates of 82% for P. oceanica on soft bottom and 99% for P. oceanica on rocky bottom. The models predict an increase in P. oceanica meadows on soft bottom, from 2448 ha to 11623 ha, and a modest increase on rocky bottom, from 159 ha to 200 ha. The west coast of Liguria was found to have a greater extent of seagrass meadows compared to the east coast.
This study provides valuable guidance for the sustainable management of P. oceanica meadows and offers practical tools for scientific research, land managers, stakeholders, and policy makers. These findings are essential for the conservation of a vital marine ecosystem and for promoting prudent and effective land management, ultimately securing the legacy of P. oceanica in northwestern Italy.
Posidonia oceanica (L.) Delile 是一种关键的海草物种,在地中海沿岸地区的生态平衡中发挥着核心作用,但却受到越来越大的人类压力的威胁。要妥善管理和保护沿海海洋栖息地,就必须了解其分布情况。为了满足这一需求,我们使用 R 软件中的随机森林算法建立了生境适宜性模型(HSMs),以评估利古里亚海(意大利西北部)环境对大洋洲褐藻的适宜性。解释变量包括自然因素以及与沿海地带人类活动有关的变量。HSM 对软质海底大洋 鲨栖息地的预测准确率高达 82%,对岩质海底大洋 鲨栖息地的预测准确率高达 99%。根据模型预测,软质海底的大洋草草甸面积将从 2448 公顷增加到 11623 公顷,岩质海底的大洋草草甸面积将从 159 公顷略微增加到 200 公顷。这项研究为大洋草草甸的可持续管理提供了宝贵的指导,并为科学研究、土地管理者、利益相关者和政策制定者提供了实用工具。这些发现对于保护重要的海洋生态系统、促进谨慎有效的土地管理以及最终确保意大利西北部海草的遗产至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
The differentiated impacts of interprovincial trade on achieving nine environment-related SDGs in China
IF 5.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2025.100589
Xiaoyu Duan , Qingxu Huang , Ziwen Liu , Ling Zhang , Penghui Li , Chunyang He , Delin Fang , Zhenci Xu , Yihao Li
In the wave of globalization, trade has had profound and unique impacts on resource allocation and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) among different regions. However, we still have a limited understanding of the impacts of interprovincial trade on environment-related SDGs, especially compared with the counterfactual no-trade scenario. Therefore, via an environmentally extended multiregional input‒output model and scenario analysis, we explored the impacts of interprovincial trade on the achievement of nine environmental-related SDG targets across 31 provinces in China. The results revealed that interprovincial trade has improved environmental sustainability across the country, with the total score of the nine SDGs increasing by 4.3%. Specifically, trade positively contributed to the achievement of SDG6.4 (sustainable water use) and SDG9.4 (clean industrialization) in eight sectors and slightly inhibited the achievement of SDG7.3 (primary energy efficiency). In addition, interprovincial trade has exerted greater environmental pressure on developing provinces (e.g., Nei Mongol, Jilin and Heilongjiang) with better natural resource endowments than developed provinces (e.g., Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai). Importantly, we found that the impacts on the total SDG score was significantly associated with GDP per capita (R = 0.65, p < 0.01). Therefore, regions and sectors that are vulnerable to negative impacts need increasing technical and policy support.
在全球化浪潮中,贸易对不同地区的资源分配和可持续发展目标(SDGs)产生了深刻而独特的影响。然而,我们对省际贸易对环境相关可持续发展目标的影响的了解仍然有限,尤其是与反事实的无贸易情景相比。因此,我们通过环境扩展的多区域投入产出模型和情景分析,探讨了省际贸易对中国 31 个省份实现九项与环境相关的可持续发展目标的影响。结果显示,省际贸易改善了全国的环境可持续性,九项可持续发展目标的总分提高了 4.3%。具体而言,贸易积极促进了八个部门实现可持续发展目标 6.4(水资源可持续利用)和可持续发展目标 9.4(清洁工业化),但略微抑制了可持续发展目标 7.3(一次能源效率)的实现。此外,与发达省份(如北京、天津、上海)相比,省际贸易对自然资源禀赋较好的发展中省份(如内蒙古、吉林和黑龙江)造成了更大的环境压力。重要的是,我们发现对可持续发展目标总分的影响与人均 GDP 显著相关(R = 0.65,p <0.01)。因此,易受负面影响的地区和部门需要更多的技术和政策支持。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing environmental change and population declines of large wading birds in southwestern India
IF 5.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2024.100572
K.M. Aarif , Aymen Nefla , K.A. Rubeena , Yanjie Xu , Zakher Bouragaoui , M. Nasser , C.T. Shifa , T.R. Athira , K. Jishnu , Jasmine Anand , Seerangan Manokaran , P.P. Moosa , Anu Gopinath , Omer R. Reshi , K.M. Rajaneesh , H. Byju , Thadickal V. Joydas , Karuppasamy P. Manikandan , Mohd Irfan Naikoo , Christian Sonne , Sabir Bin Muzaffar
Large waders including herons and egrets are important ecological wetland health indicators since these species are sensitive to a complex set of environmental factors. Anthropogenic factors are driving major changes in coastal and inland wetlands. We investigated the relationship between environmental variables, productivity, fish diversity and large waders in southwestern India. These variables cover climatic variables (rainfall), sediment variables (salinity, pH, organic carbon, nitrogen, phosphorus), water variables (Salinity, pH, temperature, nitrate, phosphate), primary productivity (Chlorophyll-a) and prey availability (mean fish stock availability). Densities of all the studied wader species decreased significantly from 2010 to 2019, with highest densities in agroecosystems or estuarine habitats and in post-monsoon seasons but lowest in mudflats and in monsoon seasons. Structural equational modelling revealed that rainfall and organic carbon positively affected the primary productivity, whereas water variables (nitrate, salinity and phosphate) positively affected the fish stock availability. This in turn positively affected the density of large wading birds. The decreasing trend of water nitrate negatively affected the primary productivity and density of waterbirds while rainfall negatively affected fish stock availability and waterbird density. Sediment phosphorous adversely affected both the biotic variables and the density of waterbirds. Sediment variables (salinity, pH, and phosphorus) increased over years, whereas organic carbon and nitrogen in the sediment decreased significantly. Salinity, water temperature, pH, and phosphate showed a significant increase while water nitrate, and chlorophyll-a decreased over the period of study. Significant decline in fish stock availability and altered environmental variables resulted in long term decline in the abundance of wading birds. Thus, large waders have adapted to these long-term, anthropogenically driven, environmental changes by shifting to agroecosystems and estuaries as their alternate foraging habitats. These population declines indicate consistent decline in ecosystem health of wetlands. Strategies need to be formulated to mitigate declines and restore ecosystem health.
包括苍鹭和白鹭在内的大型鸻鹬类是重要的湿地生态健康指标,因为这些物种对一系列复杂的环境因素非常敏感。人为因素正在推动沿海和内陆湿地发生重大变化。我们研究了印度西南部环境变量、生产力、鱼类多样性和大型鸻鹬类之间的关系。这些变量包括气候变量(降雨量)、沉积物变量(盐度、pH 值、有机碳、氮、磷)、水变量(盐度、pH 值、温度、硝酸盐、磷酸盐)、初级生产力(叶绿素 a)和猎物可用性(平均鱼类种群可用性)。从2010年到2019年,所有研究的涉禽物种的密度都明显下降,其中农业生态系统或河口栖息地以及季风后季节的密度最高,而泥滩和季风季节的密度最低。结构方程模型显示,降雨量和有机碳对初级生产力有积极影响,而水变量(硝酸盐、盐度和磷酸盐)对鱼类种群可用性有积极影响。这反过来又对大型涉禽的密度产生了积极影响。水体硝酸盐的下降趋势对初级生产力和水鸟密度产生了负面影响,而降雨量则对鱼类资源的可用性和水鸟密度产生了负面影响。沉积物中的磷对生物变量和水鸟密度都有不利影响。沉积物变量(盐度、pH 值和磷)逐年增加,而沉积物中的有机碳和氮则显著减少。在研究期间,盐度、水温、pH 值和磷酸盐显著增加,而水中硝酸盐和叶绿素-a 则减少。鱼类资源的大幅减少和环境变量的改变导致涉禽数量长期下降。因此,大型涉禽已通过转移到农业生态系统和河口作为其替代觅食栖息地来适应这些由人类活动引起的长期环境变化。这些种群数量的减少表明湿地生态系统的健康状况持续下降。需要制定战略来缓解数量下降并恢复生态系统健康。
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引用次数: 0
Review of climate-resilient agriculture for ensuring food security: Sustainability opportunities and challenges of India
IF 5.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2024.100544
Satiprasad Sahoo , Chiranjit Singha , Ajit Govind , Armin Moghimi
Climate Resilient Agriculture (CRA) effectively responds to climate change while contributing to sustainable productivity adapted to local hydro-meteorological conditions. CRA provides resilience to climate variability by enhancing agricultural viability through water exchange between surface and groundwater systems. In water-stressed countries such as India, where demand for water from agriculture, industry, and domestic use is increasing, CRA offers ways to address current and future food security challenges. This review examines the role of the CRA in agricultural sustainability and community participation in India. It assesses critical CRA projects and policies in India and explores how CRA can improve water policy by integrating farmers' perspectives in groundwater-based agriculture. The study also shows that collaboration between government agencies, NGOs, and local groups is important to sustaining CRA initiatives. Discussions indicated that empirical studies, clear sustainability indicators, and integration of advanced technology such as artificial intelligence and geo-spatial tools are needed to improve India's adaptation strategies to climate change. This study highlighted how CRA aligns with key SDGs by addressing poverty, hunger, climate action, and community wellbeing. GRACE data indicated that northwestern India emerged as a critical water scarcity hotspot, displaying negative trends of around −7.413 cm per year. Furthermore, the analysis clearly showed that the Western Dry Region, Western Himalayan, and Gangetic Plain agro-ecological zone (AEZ) experienced the sharpest declines in equivalent water thickness (EWT) compared to other AEZ regions in India. The review also highlighted the value of knowledge-sharing platforms and tailored CRA strategies that increase agricultural productivity and enable farmers to make informed decisions in the face of climate uncertainty.
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引用次数: 0
Network properties of the global waste trade
IF 5.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2024.100550
Filippos K. Zisopoulos , Brian D. Fath , Xin Tong , Martin de Jong
The network properties of the global waste trade were assessed by using time series data of material and monetary flows between 2000 and 2022 from the online experimental database of Chatham House. More specifically, indicators from ecological network analysis and ascendency analysis were used to identity patterns which may not otherwise be directly identifiable, and to compare the network properties of the global waste trade to those of natural ecosystems. Focus was given on the distribution of monetary and material flows, on policy recommendations, and on future research avenues which we think are relevant for obtaining a more comprehensive understanding of socio-economic systems such as trade networks. This work provides a solid example of the application of network-based methods as an eco-mimicry approach for assessing the sustainability and fragility of socio-economic systems which can be of relevance to researchers and policy makers interested on transitions towards regenerative circular economies.
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引用次数: 0
Relationship between GDP, FDI, renewable energy, and open innovation in Germany: New insights from ARDL method 德国国内生产总值、外国直接投资、可再生能源和开放式创新之间的关系:ARDL 方法的新见解
IF 5.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2025.100592
Vu Ngoc Xuan
This study examines the dynamic interactions among GDP, foreign direct investment (FDI), renewable energy, and open innovation in Germany, leveraging the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method to uncover short- and long-term relationships. Amid growing global emphasis on sustainable development, understanding how these factors interrelate is crucial for shaping policies that foster economic growth while promoting environmental sustainability. Using data from 2000 to 2023 and robust econometric modelling, the study reveals significant insights into the roles of FDI and open innovation in enhancing renewable energy adoption and economic performance. Findings indicate that FDI positively influences GDP in both the short and long term, while renewable energy adoption and open innovation act as critical catalysts, strengthening FDI's impact on economic growth. These results underscore the importance of fostering an innovation-friendly environment to maximize renewable energy's contributions to GDP. Policy implications suggest that enhancing support for open innovation and renewable energy initiatives could yield sustained economic benefits. This study contributes to the existing literature by highlighting open innovation's distinctive role in Germany's economic framework, with specific recommendations to support future research addressing current policy and economic analysis gaps.
本研究考察了德国国内生产总值(GDP)、外国直接投资(FDI)、可再生能源和开放式创新之间的动态互动关系,利用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)方法揭示了短期和长期关系。在全球日益重视可持续发展的背景下,了解这些因素之间的相互关系对于制定既能促进经济增长又能促进环境可持续发展的政策至关重要。研究利用 2000 年至 2023 年的数据和稳健的计量经济学模型,揭示了外国直接投资和开放式创新在提高可再生能源采用率和经济绩效方面的重要作用。研究结果表明,外国直接投资在短期和长期内都会对国内生产总值产生积极影响,而可再生能源的采用和开放式创新则起到了关键的催化作用,加强了外国直接投资对经济增长的影响。这些结果突出表明,必须营造有利于创新的环境,以最大限度地提高可再生能源对国内生产总值的贡献。政策影响表明,加强对开放式创新和可再生能源计划的支持可以产生持续的经济效益。本研究通过强调开放式创新在德国经济框架中的独特作用,为现有文献做出了贡献,并提出了支持未来研究的具体建议,以解决当前政策和经济分析方面的差距。
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引用次数: 0
Factors influencing agricultural land transformation for climate change adaptation in Can Loc district, Ha Tinh province, Vietnam
IF 5.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2024.100576
Trong Phuong Tran , Duc Vien Tran , Van Khue Phan , Dinh Trung Nguyen , Truong Son Cao , Duc Loc Nguyen , Huu Cong Vo
In recent years, the socioeconomic development of Ha Tinh province, particularly in the Can Loc district, has been significantly influenced by substantial agricultural growth, however, the grassroot factors such as economic condition, policy mechanism, employment, natural factors have not been considered. This study aims to investigate the impact of these factors on agricultural land transformation in Can Loc district, Ha Tinh province, Vietnam. The methodology utilizes a survey-based approach to collect data from 200 households and employs multivariate regression statistics to investigate the factors that drive changes in agricultural land use in response to climate change in the Can Loc district. The findings reveal a hierarchy of factors that influence agricultural land use change for climate adaptation in the district. Economic factors (X4) have the most substantial influence, accounting for 23.56% of the observed changes. Policies mechanisms (X1) rank second, contributing to 21.15% of the observed changes. Employment considerations (X5) rank third, with a contribution of 19.87%. Climate change considerations (X2) closely follow, accounting for 18.69%. Nature factors (X3) round up the list, with a 16.73% influence. Furthermore, the study proposes policies mechanisms and suggests implementing comprehensive mechanization processes to enhance the agricultural production capacity, enabling better adaptation to climate change.
{"title":"Factors influencing agricultural land transformation for climate change adaptation in Can Loc district, Ha Tinh province, Vietnam","authors":"Trong Phuong Tran ,&nbsp;Duc Vien Tran ,&nbsp;Van Khue Phan ,&nbsp;Dinh Trung Nguyen ,&nbsp;Truong Son Cao ,&nbsp;Duc Loc Nguyen ,&nbsp;Huu Cong Vo","doi":"10.1016/j.indic.2024.100576","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.indic.2024.100576","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In recent years, the socioeconomic development of Ha Tinh province, particularly in the Can Loc district, has been significantly influenced by substantial agricultural growth, however, the grassroot factors such as economic condition, policy mechanism, employment, natural factors have not been considered. This study aims to investigate the impact of these factors on agricultural land transformation in Can Loc district, Ha Tinh province, Vietnam. The methodology utilizes a survey-based approach to collect data from 200 households and employs multivariate regression statistics to investigate the factors that drive changes in agricultural land use in response to climate change in the Can Loc district. The findings reveal a hierarchy of factors that influence agricultural land use change for climate adaptation in the district. Economic factors (X4) have the most substantial influence, accounting for 23.56% of the observed changes. Policies mechanisms (X1) rank second, contributing to 21.15% of the observed changes. Employment considerations (X5) rank third, with a contribution of 19.87%. Climate change considerations (X2) closely follow, accounting for 18.69%. Nature factors (X3) round up the list, with a 16.73% influence. Furthermore, the study proposes policies mechanisms and suggests implementing comprehensive mechanization processes to enhance the agricultural production capacity, enabling better adaptation to climate change.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":36171,"journal":{"name":"Environmental and Sustainability Indicators","volume":"25 ","pages":"Article 100576"},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143180320","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Carbon sustainability reporting based on GHG protocol framework: A Malaysian practice towards net-zero carbon emissions
IF 5.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2025.100588
Hussein H. Sharaf-Addin , Ahmed Abdullah Saad Al-Dhubaibi
Carbon sustainability reporting plays a critical role in achieving net-zero carbon emissions, yet its application and effectiveness require greater exploration. This study examines the Malaysian practice of carbon sustainability reporting, grounded in the Greenhouse Gas (GHG) protocol framework, focusing on five key principles: relevance, completeness, consistency, transparency, and accuracy. Using a quantitative approach, data were collected from the top 50 oil and gas companies listed in Bursa Malaysia via a questionnaire survey. Results from Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) reveal that consistency, transparency, and accuracy significantly enhance carbon sustainability reporting, while relevance and completeness exhibit no direct influence. Furthermore, all five GHG principles positively influence net-zero carbon emissions, emphasizing their importance in emission reduction efforts. The study also demonstrates that carbon sustainability reporting partially mediates the relationships between completeness, transparency, accuracy, and net-zero carbon emissions. These findings highlight the need for standardized, transparent, and accurate reporting practices to support effective climate action. Policy implications suggest that regulatory bodies prioritize robust reporting standards and provide incentives for adopting comprehensive GHG accounting frameworks, ensuring alignment with Malaysia's net-zero ambitions.
{"title":"Carbon sustainability reporting based on GHG protocol framework: A Malaysian practice towards net-zero carbon emissions","authors":"Hussein H. Sharaf-Addin ,&nbsp;Ahmed Abdullah Saad Al-Dhubaibi","doi":"10.1016/j.indic.2025.100588","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.indic.2025.100588","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Carbon sustainability reporting plays a critical role in achieving net-zero carbon emissions, yet its application and effectiveness require greater exploration. This study examines the Malaysian practice of carbon sustainability reporting, grounded in the Greenhouse Gas (GHG) protocol framework, focusing on five key principles: relevance, completeness, consistency, transparency, and accuracy. Using a quantitative approach, data were collected from the top 50 oil and gas companies listed in Bursa Malaysia via a questionnaire survey. Results from Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) reveal that consistency, transparency, and accuracy significantly enhance carbon sustainability reporting, while relevance and completeness exhibit no direct influence. Furthermore, all five GHG principles positively influence net-zero carbon emissions, emphasizing their importance in emission reduction efforts. The study also demonstrates that carbon sustainability reporting partially mediates the relationships between completeness, transparency, accuracy, and net-zero carbon emissions. These findings highlight the need for standardized, transparent, and accurate reporting practices to support effective climate action. Policy implications suggest that regulatory bodies prioritize robust reporting standards and provide incentives for adopting comprehensive GHG accounting frameworks, ensuring alignment with Malaysia's net-zero ambitions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":36171,"journal":{"name":"Environmental and Sustainability Indicators","volume":"25 ","pages":"Article 100588"},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143180548","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evaluating the merit of carbon credits: Is there a lack of effectiveness in transitioning from direct payments for ecosystem services to REDD+ community-based incentives?
IF 5.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2025.100591
Virginia Hernanz , Sonia Quiroga , Cristina Suárez , José Evelio Aguiño
Rich in biodiversity, Tumaco is a key area for REDD+ (Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and forest Degradation) projects focused on reducing deforestation and promoting sustainable land use. Cacao farming plays a vital role in the local economy, offering an opportunity to align livelihoods with conservation. This study evaluates the impact of REDD + carbon payments versus PNIS (Integral Program for the Substitution of Illicit Crops) direct payments in replacing illicit crops and supporting peacebuilding efforts. It also examines how farmers' awareness of environmental payment schemes, particularly carbon credits, relates to income levels, and how climate conditions, especially rainfall patterns, influence perceptions of these initiatives. Farmers' understanding of climate change strongly affects the success of REDD+, with increased awareness of carbon credits expected to improve income and climate resilience. However, around 20% of farmers below the poverty line lack knowledge of carbon credits, threatening REDD + effectiveness. Current estimates suggest only a 5.76% likelihood of high awareness of carbon credits, rising to 19.43% under extreme climate conditions, stressing the need for targeted education efforts.
图马科拥有丰富的生物多样性,是降低因森林砍伐和退化所产生的排放(REDD+)项目的重点地区,该项目旨在减少森林砍伐,促进土地的可持续利用。可可种植在当地经济中发挥着至关重要的作用,为将生计与保护结合起来提供了机会。本研究评估了 REDD + 碳付款与 PNIS(替代非法作物综合计划)直接付款在替代非法作物和支持和平建设努力方面的影响。研究还探讨了农民对环境付款计划(尤其是碳信用额)的认识与收入水平的关系,以及气候条件(尤其是降雨模式)如何影响对这些举措的看法。农民对气候变化的理解在很大程度上影响着 REDD+ 的成功与否,对碳信用额度认识的提高有望提高收入和气候适应能力。然而,约 20% 处于贫困线以下的农民缺乏对碳信用额度的了解,这威胁到 REDD+ 的有效性。目前的估计表明,对碳信用额度有较高认识的可能性仅为 5.76%,而在极端气候条件下则会上升到 19.43%,这就强调了有必要开展有针对性的教育工作。
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引用次数: 0
Consequences of water and land scarcity and unhealthy diets on the productive capacity of the middle East and North Africa 水资源和土地匮乏以及不健康饮食对中东和北非地区生产能力的影响
IF 5.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2025.100594
Alireza Hadipour , Seyed Hamid Ahmadi , Ali Reza Sepaskhah
Water and land scarcity and their impacts on global food and water security and healthy diet represents a paramount challenge, especially for vulnerable regions like the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region A significant research gap persists in understanding the impact of climate change, population growth, and the overexploitation of water resources on the socioeconomic and political performance of countries. Therefore, we aim to investigate the effects of water and land scarcity, and unhealthy diets on the productive capacity index of MENA countries over a 20-year period (2001–2020) using time series trend, panel data econometric modeling and the fixed effects method. Accordingly, the results of the fixed effects model analysis showed that renewable water resources, arable to agriculture land ratio and exposure to a diet low in whole grains and legumes had the greatest negative impact on the productive capacity index of MENA countries, while the institutional quality and education level had the greatest positive impact on the index. The visualization analysis also revealed a significant diversity in water and land resources among MENA countries.
水和土地稀缺及其对全球粮食和水安全以及健康饮食的影响是一项重大挑战,尤其是对中东和北非(MENA)地区这样的脆弱地区而言。在了解气候变化、人口增长和水资源过度开发对各国社会经济和政治表现的影响方面,仍然存在巨大的研究差距。因此,我们旨在利用时间序列趋势、面板数据计量经济学模型和固定效应方法,研究水和土地稀缺以及不健康饮食在 20 年内(2001-2020 年)对中东和北非国家生产能力指数的影响。因此,固定效应模型分析的结果表明,可再生水资源、耕地与农业用地的比率以及全谷物和豆类含量低的饮食对中东和北非国家的生产能力指数的负面影响最大,而机构质量和教育水平对该指数的正面影响最大。可视化分析还显示,中东和北非国家的水资源和土地资源存在显著差异。
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引用次数: 0
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Environmental and Sustainability Indicators
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