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Foreign capital and energy consumption in Tunisia: Driving growth or enhancing sustainability? 突尼斯的外资和能源消耗:推动增长还是增强可持续性?
IF 5.6 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2026.101155
Naceur Khraief , Mazin Alharbi
This study examines the short- and long-term relationships between energy consumption and foreign capital inflows in Tunisia from 1971 to 2020, while also exploring the influence of economic growth, exports, and currency devaluation on energy consumption. Employing the ARDL bounds testing approach with structural breaks, the analysis reveals a stable long-term relationship among these variables. Causal analysis indicates bidirectional effects between foreign capital inflows and energy consumption, energy consumption and economic growth, and foreign capital inflows and economic growth, underscoring the strong interdependence among these factors.
This research is particularly significant for Tunisia, where persistent energy deficits, currency fluctuations, and limited domestic investment constrain economic growth. Understanding how foreign capital inflows affect energy demand provides valuable insights for designing policies that attract sustainable investment while reducing energy dependency. The findings highlight that foreign capital inflows play a pivotal role in shaping Tunisia's energy dynamics by supporting economic expansion, enhancing energy efficiency, and promoting sustainable consumption patterns. By integrating foreign investment strategies with energy efficiency objectives, policymakers can foster balanced economic development and strengthen Tunisia's energy resilience.
本研究考察了1971年至2020年期间突尼斯能源消费与外资流入之间的短期和长期关系,同时也探讨了经济增长、出口和货币贬值对能源消费的影响。采用结构断裂的ARDL边界检验方法,分析揭示了这些变量之间稳定的长期关系。因果分析表明,外资流入与能源消费、能源消费与经济增长、外资流入与经济增长之间存在双向效应,强调了这些因素之间的强烈相互依存关系。这项研究对突尼斯尤其重要,因为突尼斯持续的能源短缺、货币波动和有限的国内投资制约了经济增长。了解外国资本流入如何影响能源需求,为设计吸引可持续投资、同时减少能源依赖的政策提供了有价值的见解。研究结果强调,外国资本流入通过支持经济扩张、提高能源效率和促进可持续消费模式,在塑造突尼斯的能源动态方面发挥着关键作用。通过将外国投资战略与能源效率目标相结合,政策制定者可以促进平衡的经济发展,增强突尼斯的能源弹性。
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引用次数: 0
A multi-stage strategy and geoscience knowledge-based method for shoreline extraction from Landsat time-series 基于地球科学知识的Landsat时间序列海岸线提取多阶段策略
IF 5.6 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2026.101153
Chao Chen , Shuo Lv , Ni Kong , Miao Li , Ziyao Jin , Xinping Yan , Aoxiang Zhu , Xiaoyan Yang , Jian Gao
Shoreline resources constitute one of the most critical terrestrial elements, as they play a pivotal role in fluvial-lacustrine monitoring and the sustainable utilization of spatial resources. As the longest and most economically significant river in China, the Yangtze River exhibits several unique geographical attributes, and as such, research on the spatiotemporal evolution and precise spatial delineation of its shoreline is important. Taking into account the complexity of the geographical environment, the study proposed a multi-stage strategy and geoscience knowledge-based method for shoreline extraction from Landsat time-series data. Longitudinal variations, spatial displacement, and interbank disparities between the northern and southern shores of the Yangtze River, China have been quantitatively assessed, supported by a shoreline change rate model was developed using the Digital Shoreline Analysis System. The results demonstrated a high level of accuracy in shoreline spatial positioning, with clearly demarcated land–water boundaries. From 1990 to 2020, the total shoreline length exhibited a net increase from 12,645.02 km to 13,637.42 km. Both the northern and southern shores displayed synchronous elongation trends, peaking in 2010 before subsequent retreat. Linear regression rate and end point rate analyses revealed overall stability in these migration trends but pronounced interbank heterogeneity. The southern shore exhibited significantly greater linear regression and end point rate variability than the northern shore (P < 0.05), indicative of the stronger synergistic impacts from anthropogenic and natural drivers in that area. This study establishes a framework for high-resolution dynamic monitoring of shorelines along large river systems and elucidates the spatial differentiation mechanisms governing the fluvial evolution of shorelines. The findings provide empirical support for optimizing shoreline resource allocation, delineating environmental conservation boundaries, and implementing the “Yangtze River Conservation Strategy,” thereby advancing the capacity of regional sustainable development and spatial governance.
岸线资源是最重要的陆地要素之一,在河湖监测和空间资源可持续利用中起着举足轻重的作用。长江作为中国最长、最具经济意义的河流,具有许多独特的地理属性,因此,研究长江岸线的时空演变和精确的空间圈定具有重要意义。考虑到地理环境的复杂性,本研究提出了一种基于地球科学知识的多阶段Landsat时间序列岸线提取策略。利用数字岸线分析系统开发的岸线变化率模型,对中国长江南北岸线的纵向变化、空间位移和银行间差异进行了定量评估。结果表明,岸线空间定位精度较高,陆水边界划分清晰。从1990年到2020年,岸线总长度从12645.02 km净增加到13637.42 km。南北海岸均呈现同步延伸趋势,在2010年达到峰值,随后回落。线性回归率和终点率分析显示,这些移民趋势总体稳定,但银行间异质性明显。南岸的线性回归和终点速率变异性显著大于北岸(P < 0.05),表明该地区的人为和自然驱动因素的协同影响更强。本研究建立了大型水系岸线高分辨率动态监测框架,阐明了岸线河流演化的空间分异机制。研究结果可为优化岸线资源配置、划定环境保护边界、实施“长江保护战略”提供实证支持,从而提升区域可持续发展能力和空间治理能力。
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引用次数: 0
Climate risk communication and farmers’ adaptive behaviour in the Indo-Gangetic Plains: Insights from the Stimulus-Organism-Response (S-O-R) framework 印度恒河平原气候风险沟通和农民适应行为:来自刺激-生物-反应(S-O-R)框架的见解
IF 5.6 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2026.101141
Nushrat Jahan , R.N. Padaria , Aiswarya S , L. Muralikrishnan , Subhashree Sahu , Md Yeasin , Ananta Vashisth , Dibyanshu Shekhar , Priti Priyadarshni , Bhaskar Ghosh , Sweety Mukherjee , Amandeep Ranjan , Kotha Shravani , Simran Pundir
The Indo-Gangetic Plains (IGP) remain highly climate vulnerable, where farmers experience limited access to timely, trusted, and contextualized risk information necessary for adaptation. This study examines how exposure to risk communication, along with key socio-psychological determinants, shapes behavioural responses to climate change. Using the Stimulus-Organism-Response (S-O-R) framework, six constructs were conceptualized and validated—Risk Communication, Social Participation, Institutional Awareness, Risk Perception, Negative Emotions, and Behavioural Change. A multistage sampling approach was applied across Bihar and Uttar Pradesh, engaging 240 farmers. PLS-SEM was used to develop indicators, evaluate construct validity, and test structural relationships. Among the significant predictors, Negative Emotions strongly impacted Behavioural Change (β = 0.961), while Institutional Awareness significantly influenced both Negative Emotions (β = 0.817) and Risk Perception (β = 0.711). Beyond model fit, the validated indicators generated through this study can support future assessment of climate risk communication effectiveness and serve as reference metrics for extension and sustainability research. Overall, the study offers a contextually grounded and empirically strengthened risk communication model that can inform more responsive and farmer-centric advisory strategies to enhance climate resilience in the IGP. It provides valuable insights for designing more effective, psychologically informed risk communication strategies to strengthen climate resilience among vulnerable farming communities.
印度河-恒河平原(IGP)仍然极易受到气候变化的影响,农民获得适应气候变化所需的及时、可信和有背景的风险信息的渠道有限。本研究考察了暴露于风险沟通以及关键的社会心理决定因素如何影响对气候变化的行为反应。采用刺激-机体-反应(S-O-R)框架,对风险沟通、社会参与、制度意识、风险感知、负面情绪和行为改变这六个构念进行了概念化和验证。在比哈尔邦和北方邦采用了多阶段抽样方法,涉及240名农民。PLS-SEM用于制定指标、评估结构效度和检验结构关系。负性情绪显著影响行为改变(β = 0.961),制度意识显著影响负性情绪(β = 0.817)和风险感知(β = 0.711)。除了模型拟合之外,通过本研究生成的经过验证的指标可以支持未来气候风险沟通有效性的评估,并可作为推广和可持续性研究的参考指标。总体而言,该研究提供了一个基于背景和经验的风险沟通模型,可以为更具响应性和以农民为中心的咨询战略提供信息,以增强IGP的气候适应能力。它为设计更有效、心理知情的风险沟通策略,以加强脆弱农业社区的气候适应能力提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Integrating sustainability assessments to facilitate decision making in sustainable water management in agriculture 综合可持续性评估,促进农业可持续水资源管理决策
IF 5.6 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2026.101140
Tamara Avellán , Hanna Dencker , Jonas Nordström , Nóra Hatvani , Balázs Sándor Gál , Wieslaw Fialkiewicz
Agricultural production necessitates sustainable practices to ensure long-term and sustained food security. Water is a key ingredient for food production. Ensuring sustainable water management in agriculture is thus essential for global wellbeing. But how do we make sure that our practices are sustainable? A large variety of sustainability assessments abound. Their results may even show conflicting results. In this study, we demonstrate the application of three sustainability assessment methods – Water Footprint Assessment, Cost-Benefit Analysis and Life Cycle Assessment – for the use of a water retainer product on different soil types, crops and growing seasons in a farm in Poland. In addition, we aggregate the results of these assessments through a Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (PROMETHEE) to facilitate decision making. Our findings suggest that yields of all crops, on all soils in both growing seasons increased. However, yield gain was insufficient in most cases to offset the increased costs of using the water retainer product. The Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis showed that soil type and crops used had a larger effect on rank than the application of the water retainer. Overall, the conclusion from the various methods is to not recommend the use of the water retainer as an efficient water saving technology for the specific case. Our analysis showed the effects on the economic and environmental dimension of sustainability but does not include the social dimension due to the lack of data, leaving an incomplete picture of sustainability.
农业生产需要可持续的做法,以确保长期和持续的粮食安全。水是粮食生产的关键要素。因此,确保农业用水的可持续管理对全球福祉至关重要。但我们如何确保我们的做法是可持续的呢?各种各样的可持续性评估比比皆是。他们的结果甚至可能显示出相互矛盾的结果。在这项研究中,我们展示了三种可持续性评估方法的应用——水足迹评估、成本效益分析和生命周期评估——在波兰的一个农场中,在不同的土壤类型、作物和生长季节使用保水剂产品。此外,我们通过多标准决策分析(PROMETHEE)汇总这些评估的结果,以促进决策制定。我们的研究结果表明,在两个生长季节,所有土壤上的所有作物的产量都增加了。然而,在大多数情况下,产量的增加不足以抵消使用保水剂产品所增加的成本。多准则决策分析表明,土壤类型和作物用量对土壤等级的影响大于保水剂用量。总的来说,从各种方法得出的结论是,不建议在具体情况下使用挡水器作为一种高效的节水技术。我们的分析显示了可持续发展对经济和环境维度的影响,但由于缺乏数据,没有包括社会维度,留下了一个不完整的可持续发展图景。
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引用次数: 0
The paradox of fossil fuel subsidies in emerging economies: Assessing their impact on environmental sustainability, energy equity, and energy security with a structural break 新兴经济体化石燃料补贴的悖论:评估其对环境可持续性、能源公平和能源安全的影响
IF 5.6 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2026.101149
Mayank Parashar , Ritika Jaiswal
The three pillars of the energy trilemma (ET) framework are frequently at odds when fossil fuel subsidies (FFSs) remain intact in emerging economies. Although intended to enhance energy availability, these subsidies can lead to a paradoxical relationship with environmental sustainability, energy equity, and energy security. However, empirical evidence that examines these trade-offs remains limited. To comprehend this, the present study investigates the impact of FFSs on the ET—environmental sustainability, energy equity, and energy security indicators—across 12 emerging economies from 2011 to 2021 using robust econometric methods such as Panel Corrected Standard Errors (PCSE), Feasible Generalized Least Squares (FGLS), and Method of Moments Quantile Regression (MMQR). The empirical results show that FFSs contribute to higher greenhouse gas emissions and carbon intensity, undermining environmental sustainability. Results also reveal that FFSs enhance access to electricity at lower quantiles. However, the estimates become insignificant at higher quantiles. Additionally, FFSs negatively influence energy security by reducing the overall share of electricity from low-carbon and hydropower energy sources. This is attributed to market distortion, geographical differences, technological challenges, financial constraints, and inefficient policy frameworks, which further exacerbate the negative impacts of FFSs. Moreover, higher amounts of FFSs encourage overconsumption of conventional energy sources. On the contrary, solar and wind energy sectors exhibit resilience, emphasizing the significance of sector-specific incentives, targeted policies, and technological advancements. Thus, there is an urgent need for phased and strategic subsidy reform, combined with targeted social protection and technology-specific incentives to ensure equitable energy transition and boost sustainability.
当新兴经济体的化石燃料补贴保持不变时,能源三难困境(ET)框架的三大支柱经常发生冲突。尽管这些补贴旨在提高能源供应,但可能导致环境可持续性、能源公平和能源安全之间的矛盾关系。然而,检验这些权衡的经验证据仍然有限。为了理解这一点,本研究利用面板修正标准误差(PCSE)、可行广义最小二乘法(FGLS)和矩量分位数回归方法(MMQR)等稳健的计量经济学方法,调查了2011年至2021年12个新兴经济体的ffs对et、环境可持续性、能源公平和能源安全指标的影响。实证结果表明,金融服务业导致温室气体排放和碳强度增加,破坏了环境的可持续性。结果还显示,ffs在较低的分位数上增加了电力的获取。然而,在较高的分位数上,这些估计值变得微不足道。此外,ffs降低了低碳和水力能源的总体电力份额,对能源安全产生了负面影响。这是由于市场扭曲、地理差异、技术挑战、资金限制和低效的政策框架,这些因素进一步加剧了金融服务提供者的负面影响。此外,较高数量的FFSs鼓励过度消费常规能源。相反,太阳能和风能行业表现出弹性,强调了针对特定行业的激励措施、有针对性的政策和技术进步的重要性。因此,迫切需要分阶段和战略性的补贴改革,结合有针对性的社会保护和特定技术的激励措施,以确保公平的能源转型并促进可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial-temporal patterns and influencing factors of Urban Low-carbon Resilience from a Comprehensive Green Transformation Perspective in different regions of China 综合绿色转型视角下中国不同区域城市低碳弹性时空格局及影响因素
IF 5.6 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2026.101147
Wenjie Chen , Yisong Yang , Zhu Xiao , Siqi Li
The integration of carbon mitigation objectives with urban resilience building, to develop synergistic pathways that combine climate change Adaptability and mitigation, has emerged as a critical focus in global sustainable development discourse. Employing the entropy weight method, this study measures the Urban Low-carbon Resilience (LCR) of 203 prefecture-level cities in China from 2011 to 2023. It then systematically examines the spatial-temporal evolution and influencing factors of LCR and three subsystems both nationally and across seven geographical regions, utilizing kernel density estimation, exploratory spatial data analysis, and spatial Durbin models. The main findings are as follows: (1) The regional evolution of LCR in China shows a trend of differentiation; East China and North China are in the lead, while Northeast China and South China are lagging. For Defensive Resistance, the eastern coastal areas are dominant, and the spatial structure is "scattered". For Recovery Adaptability, the polarization of central cities in each region is prominent. For Transformative Regeneration, a diffusion effect from west to east is formed. (2) The agglomeration of LCR in China also shows a trend of differentiation. The gap in the level of LCR between the western region and the eastern and central regions is getting bigger and bigger. (3) Labor quality and Capital structure are the main factors affecting the LCR and Defensive Resistance in China's seven major geographical regions. Grounded in these findings, the study concludes by proposing region-specific policy strategies for enhancing LCR, offering targeted insights to supplement and refine current urban climate governance frameworks.
将碳减排目标与城市抗灾能力建设相结合,发展将气候变化适应性与减缓相结合的协同途径,已成为全球可持续发展论述的一个关键重点。本文采用熵权法,对2011 - 2023年中国203个地级市的城市低碳弹性(LCR)进行测度。利用核密度估算、探索性空间数据分析和空间Durbin模型,系统分析了全国和7个地理区域LCR及其三个子系统的时空演变及其影响因素。主要研究结果如下:①中国土地利用效率的区域演化呈现分异趋势;华东和华北处于领先地位,东北和华南落后。防御抵抗以东部沿海地区为主,空间结构呈“散”状。在恢复适应性方面,各区域中心城市两极分化突出。对于转型再生,形成了从西向东的扩散效应。(2)中国LCR的集聚也呈现分化趋势。西部地区与东部和中部地区的LCR水平差距越来越大。(3)劳动力素质和资本结构是影响中国七大地理区域LCR和防御阻力的主要因素。在这些发现的基础上,本研究提出了加强LCR的区域政策战略,为补充和完善当前的城市气候治理框架提供了有针对性的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Community belonging and grassland restoration willingness: Evidence from a micro-survey of herders in Qinghai Province, China 群落归属与草地恢复意愿:来自青海省牧民微观调查的证据
IF 5.6 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2026.101146
Jiale Li , Zinuo Huo , Xinling Jiang , Toba Stephen Olasehinde , Yubing Fan , Hua Qin
Due to climate change and human activities, the grasslands of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau have experienced varying degrees of degradation, which has significantly reduced livelihoods of the herder households. Herders are indigenous to these vast grasslands. Over centuries, they have developed a strong sense of community belonging, which helps protect natural grasslands and prevent further degradation. This study explores how community belonging affects herders' willingness to restore degraded grasslands and examines the underlying mechanisms of this relationship. We frame our analysis within a common-pool resource framework to clarify the collective action dilemma associated with grassland restoration. The results indicate that community belonging shows a statistically significant and positive effect on herders’ willingness to restore degraded grasslands, suggesting a 36.7 % increase in willingness. Being a village cadre negatively moderates the impact of community belonging, indicating a 70.1 % decrease in the positive effect. Additionally, herders with smaller livestock scales, those who have access to loans, and those residing in the Haixi region exhibit stronger behavioral willingness responses to community belonging. Therefore, grassland restoration policies should focus on enhancing community belonging and leveraging social capital as a key component of grassland protection and restoration strategies, with targeted economic incentives and improved institutional trust through better policy implementation.
由于气候变化和人类活动的影响,青藏高原草原发生了不同程度的退化,严重影响了牧民的生计。牧民是这片广袤草原的原住民。几个世纪以来,他们已经形成了强烈的社区归属感,这有助于保护天然草原,防止进一步退化。本研究探讨了社区归属如何影响牧民恢复退化草原的意愿,并探讨了这种关系的潜在机制。我们在公共资源框架内进行分析,以澄清与草地恢复相关的集体行动困境。结果表明,群落归属对牧民恢复退化草原的意愿有显著的正向影响,增加了36.7%。村干部身份负向调节社区归属感的影响,表明正效应下降了70.1%。此外,牲畜规模较小的牧民、获得贷款的牧民和居住在海西地区的牧民对社区归属感表现出更强的行为意愿反应。因此,草原恢复政策应注重增强社区归属感和撬杠杆社会资本,将其作为草原保护与恢复战略的关键组成部分,通过更好的政策实施,有针对性地提供经济激励,提高制度信任。
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引用次数: 0
The power of a biocentric view: Ecological worldviews as a key driver of subjective well-being for residents near nature reserves 生物中心观的力量:生态世界观是自然保护区附近居民主观幸福感的关键驱动因素
IF 5.6 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2026.101148
Zhao Jinyu , Sa Na , Kou Xuyang , Cao Yuexuan , Lu Zhaohua , Sang Weiguo
Enhancing subjective well-being (SWB) is central to sustainable development, yet the psychological mechanisms linking ecological worldviews to SWB in conservation contexts remain underexplored. This study investigates how the New Ecological Paradigm (NEP)—a measure of biocentric worldview—shapes residents’ perceptions of ecosystem services (ES) and influences SWB in Dailing Town, a community adjacent to Liangshui National Nature Reserve in China. Using a mixed-methods approach combining Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) and Canonical Correspondence Analysis (CCA) with survey data from 169 residents, we find that: (1) SWB is highest in the health dimension but lowest in social relations, with specific deficits in transportation, water quality, and employment conditions; (2) NEP is the strongest predictor of SWB, exerting both direct effects and indirect effects mediated by enhanced ES perceptions; (3) ES preferences are segmented by socioeconomic and demographic factors: older, land-dependent residents prioritize cultural services (e.g., recreation, aesthetics), whereas younger, non-land-based residents value tangible provisioning and regulating services. These findings underscore the critical role of ecological worldviews in shaping well-being and highlight the need for targeted policies that integrate ecological education, social infrastructure, and differentiated livelihood strategies to foster synergistic human-nature outcomes in protected area communities.
增强主观幸福感(SWB)是可持续发展的核心,但在保护背景下,将生态世界观与主观幸福感联系起来的心理机制仍未得到充分探讨。本研究探讨了新生态范式(NEP)——一种衡量生物中心世界观的方法——如何塑造居民对生态系统服务(ES)的看法,并影响中国凉水国家级自然保护区附近的戴岭镇社区的SWB。采用结构方程模型(SEM)和典型对应分析(CCA)相结合的混合方法对169名居民的调查数据进行分析,发现:(1)主观幸福感在健康维度上最高,而在社会关系维度上最低,具体在交通、水质和就业条件方面存在缺陷;(2) NEP是主观幸福感最强的预测因子,在主观幸福感增强的介导下,NEP会产生直接效应和间接效应;(3)社会经济和人口因素对社会服务偏好进行了细分:年龄较大、依赖土地的居民优先考虑文化服务(如娱乐、美学),而年龄较小、不依赖土地的居民则重视有形的提供和调节服务。这些发现强调了生态世界观在塑造福祉方面的关键作用,并强调了有针对性的政策的必要性,这些政策将生态教育、社会基础设施和差异化的生计战略结合起来,以促进保护区社区的人与自然协同成果。
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引用次数: 0
Early determinants of packaging waste recovery under Iceland's 2023 EPR reform: Evidence from Grey Relational and econometric analysis 冰岛2023年EPR改革下包装废弃物回收的早期决定因素:来自灰色关联和计量经济学分析的证据
IF 5.6 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2026.101144
Guðmundur Kristján Óskarsson , Sveinn Agnarsson , Brynhildur Davíðsdóttir
This study examines the early effects of Iceland's 2023 extended producer responsibility (EPR) reform for packaging waste, one of the first nationwide implementations of a fully harmonised, producer-funded system in a small and geographically dispersed country. Using municipal-level data for 2023–2024, the analysis evaluates how socioeconomic, demographic, and infrastructural factors influence per capita collection of packaging paper and plastics. Grey Relational Analysis (GRA) is applied to identify the most influential determinants under limited data conditions, and pooled ordinary least squares (OLS) regression is used to estimate their statistical associations while controlling for region and year.

Results

show that paper recovery increased markedly in 2024, reflecting rapid adaptation to standardised collection, whereas plastic recovery remained largely unchanged. In this early two-year sample, municipal variation appears to be shaped primarily by structural and service-design factors rather than socioeconomic characteristics. A higher ratio of seasonal housing is associated with greater apparent per capita recovery, and a higher share of home collection is linked to lower recovery for both materials. The negative relationship between per capita costs and plastic recovery suggests diminishing returns to expenditure or reflects structural remoteness constraints that raise costs without increasing capture.
The findings highlight the importance of tailoring EPR implementation to the local context. Adjusting performance metrics for seasonal occupancy, optimising the curbside/drop-off collection mix, and refining fee distributions for structurally high-cost municipalities can improve equity and efficiency. Overall, EPR provides the financial and regulatory scaffold, but geography and system design ultimately determine realised recycling outcomes.
本研究考察了冰岛2023年扩大生产者责任(EPR)改革对包装废弃物的早期影响,这是在一个小而地理分散的国家中,第一个在全国范围内实施完全协调的、生产者资助的系统之一。利用2023-2024年的市级数据,该分析评估了社会经济、人口统计和基础设施因素如何影响人均包装纸和塑料的收集。灰色关联分析(GRA)用于识别有限数据条件下最具影响力的决定因素,并使用汇总普通最小二乘(OLS)回归来估计其统计关联,同时控制地区和年份。结果表明,2024年纸张回收率显著增加,反映了对标准化收集的快速适应,而塑料回收率基本保持不变。在前两年的样本中,城市的变化似乎主要是由结构和服务设计因素而不是社会经济特征决定的。较高的季节性住房比例与更大的人均表观回收率有关,较高的家庭收集份额与两种材料的较低回收率有关。人均成本与塑料回收之间的负相关关系表明支出收益递减,或反映了结构上的偏远限制,增加了成本而不增加捕获量。研究结果强调了根据当地情况调整EPR实施的重要性。调整季节性入住率的绩效指标,优化路边/下车收集组合,并为结构上高成本的市政当局改善费用分配,可以提高公平性和效率。总体而言,EPR提供了财政和监管框架,但地理位置和系统设计最终决定了实现的回收结果。
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引用次数: 0
Asymmetric roles of innovation and renewable energy in shaping carbon emissions in China 创新和可再生能源在中国碳排放中的不对称作用
IF 5.6 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2026.101145
Dinh Thi Kim Chung , Vu Ngoc Xuan , Pham Xuan Hoa
Achieving sustained economic growth while reducing carbon emissions remains a central challenge for China's sustainability transition. Despite the rapid expansion of renewable energy capacity and innovation activity, carbon emissions continue to rise, suggesting that the environmental effects of technological progress and energy restructuring may be nonlinear and asymmetric. Understanding whether positive and negative changes in innovation and renewable energy exert different impacts on emissions is therefore fundamental for effective climate and development policies. This study examines the asymmetric relationships between innovation, renewable energy consumption, economic growth, trade openness, and CO2 emissions in China from 1990 to 2023. The analysis employs a Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model as the base framework, allowing positive and negative shocks in innovation and renewable energy to affect emissions differently in the short and long run. Long-run cointegration is examined using the NARDL bounds testing approach, while dynamic multiplier functions trace adjustment paths following asymmetric shocks. Robustness is assessed through alternative lag specifications, a linear ARDL benchmark model, and extensive diagnostic and stability tests, including CUSUM and CUSUMSQ. The results reveal asymmetries. Positive shocks to innovation and renewable energy reduce CO2 emissions, while negative shocks increase emissions. Economic growth continues to raise emissions. Trade openness raises emissions in the short run. Policies should stabilize R&D, prioritize grid integration and storage, and strengthen links with the emissions trading system.
在实现经济持续增长的同时减少碳排放,仍然是中国向可持续转型的核心挑战。尽管可再生能源产能和创新活动迅速扩张,但碳排放仍在持续上升,这表明技术进步和能源结构调整对环境的影响可能是非线性和不对称的。因此,了解创新和可再生能源的积极和消极变化是否对排放产生不同的影响,对于有效的气候和发展政策至关重要。本文研究了1990 - 2023年中国创新、可再生能源消费、经济增长、贸易开放和二氧化碳排放之间的不对称关系。该分析采用非线性自回归分布滞后(NARDL)模型作为基本框架,允许创新和可再生能源的积极和消极冲击在短期和长期内对排放产生不同的影响。使用NARDL边界检验方法检验长期协整,而动态乘数函数跟踪非对称冲击后的调整路径。鲁棒性通过替代滞后规范、线性ARDL基准模型和广泛的诊断和稳定性测试(包括CUSUM和CUSUMSQ)进行评估。结果揭示了不对称性。对创新和可再生能源的正面冲击减少了二氧化碳排放,而负面冲击则增加了排放。经济增长继续增加排放。贸易开放在短期内会增加排放。政策应稳定研发,优先考虑并网和储能,并加强与排放交易体系的联系。
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Environmental and Sustainability Indicators
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